Student Name: Date: ELA Grade 4 Research Project (RBK) Student Quizlet “Global Warming” August 2015 A fifth grade class learned in their study of the environment that global warming is creating changes in climate all over the world. Global warming is a result from large amounts of greenhouse gases that are emitted into the atmosphere. The research question for this project is: What are the results of global warming? Create an infographic or poster with the information you have discovered about an aspect of global warming. Present the infographic to your classmates. DIRECTIONS: Conduct your research project by completing the following steps: 1 Step 1: Gather information on global warming results by: summarizing what you already know, find at least one other source, and fill in the research graphic organizer. creating a research question about one (1) aspect of global warming. reading “Tomorrow’s Weather.” reading “Getting a Handle on Extreme Weather to Help Farmers Handle Climate Shifts.” choosing important information to include in the “Print Source Organizer.” choosing important information to include in the “Online Source Organizer”. Step 2. Prepare your infographic or poster by: selecting important information that will help you answer your research question. 3 showing facts and details by adding diagrams or illustrations. including your list of three resources. Step 3. Present your infographic or poster to your classmates by: speaking clearly, in complete sentences. using formal English that is appropriate for a presentation. answering any questions that your classmates may have. Page 2 1 Step 1: Gather information on global warming results by: summarizing what you already know, find at least one other source, and fill in the research graphic organizer. creating a research question about one (1) aspect of global warming. Research Graphic Organizer People The Environment Other Create a more specific research question about one (1) aspect of global warming. 1 Step 1. Checklist: Research summarize what I already know, find at least one other source, and fill in the research graphic organizer? Did I… create a research question about one (1) aspect of global warming? Page 3 1 Step 1. Gather information on global warming results by: reading “Tomorrow’s Weather.” Tomorrow's Weather In the movie The Day After Tomorrow, twisters topple buildings, waves wash out cities, and snow blankets streets. Could rapid climate change really happen? Could global warming turn Earth's climate upside down? Thunderous tornadoes demolish Los Angeles. Bowling-ball size hailstones rain down on Tokyo. Why the sudden onslaught of deadly weather? Global warming has triggered a series of natural disasters—including a monster storm that’s racing south from the Arctic. And when the behemoth hits in 96 hours, beware: It will turn New York City into a frozen wasteland. Panicked? Don’t be—this is just the plot of The Day After Tomorrow, a blockbuster movie of 2004. Even though scenes from the fast-paced flick are more Hollywood fiction than science fact, researchers have long been sounding a similar alarm: Earth has been gradually warming for decades. Could global warming (an average increase in Earth’s temperature) really turn Earth’s climate (weather conditions of an area) upside down as it did in The Day After Tomorrow? According to Michael Molitor, an earth-systems scientist and senior technical adviser for the movie, “The basic idea of the film—that human activity leads to an abrupt climate-change event with nasty consequences—is based on robust science. Where the film is less than accurate is the speed at which these changes would occur.” Rather than battling surprise storms or waking up to an ice age, we’d more likely feel changes over a decade. TOO MUCH OF A GOOD THING On the silver screen and in real life, global warming is the villain. What’s to blame for this rise in mercury? An out-of-whack greenhouse effect. After sunlight hits Earth’s surface, waves of infrared radiation, or heat energy, radiate back up toward the atmosphere. But this energy doesn’t make a quick getaway into space. Instead, it collides with molecules of greenhouse gases such as water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane, and ozone. Some of the heat energy radiates back toward Earth, and some radiates higher into the atmosphere, eventually escaping into space. The energy that returns to Earth heats the planet’s surface and gets recycled over and over before finally escaping into space. Do we need the greenhouse effect? You bet your thermal pj’s we do. Without it, Earth’s average temperature would be a nose-numbing 60 degrees Fahrenheit colder. Page 4 The trouble starts when unusually large amounts of greenhouse gases build up in the atmosphere. Then the heat cranks way up. Human activities—such as the burning of fossil fuels, like coal and petroleum—release billions of tons of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere every year. And deforestation (clearing of forests) removes the trees that would otherwise absorb carbon dioxide. Most climate scientists agree: The accumulation of gases is causing warming on a global scale. In The Day After Tomorrow, rising global temperatures lead to a big freeze. How? The key is a natural ocean pump most people take for granted GO WITH THE FLOW The North Atlantic Ocean would be a lot colder if it weren’t for the great ocean conveyor belt, an ocean-current system that slowly wends its way around the globe. It carries warm water to the North Atlantic. As this water reaches the Arctic, it cools and increases in density—its molecules pack together so it has more mass, or amount of matter, per unit volume. The surface saltwater freezes. And because salt can’t fit into the ice crystals’ structure, it gets released into the water below the icy surface. This increase in salinity (saltiness) makes the water even denser. The dense saltwater sinks deep below the ocean surface and flows southward. Warmer water flows north to replace it and the cycle begins again. This movement of the ocean conveyor is called thermohaline circulation, because the water’s density depends on temperature (therm, Greek for heat) and salinity (hal, Greek for salt). Scientists fear global warming could weaken or shut down the ocean’s conveyor. “Melting glaciers would put more freshwater into the higher latitudes of the North Atlantic. When the water is fresher, it’s less dense and doesn’t have as much salt in it, and it doesn’t sink,” explains Warren Washington, senior scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado. That means warmer water doesn’t flow north to replace it. If the great conveyor were to shut down, scientists say the temperature drop could create abrupt climate change. In the movie, that change takes place in a few days. Could it happen that suddenly? HOW FAST IS FAST? Research shows abrupt climate changes in the distant past. But Inez Fung, director of the Berkeley Atmospheric Science Center, reminds us, “In geologic time, ‘abrupt’ could mean decades to centuries.” The ocean holds so much heat that a shutdown of the conveyor wouldn’t cause an instant temperature drop. As for whether or not a shutdown could trigger the weather catastrophes that flash across the screen in The Day After Tomorrow, Molitor says, “Changes in thermohaline circulation would lead to changes in the climate regime globally. You’d see effects everywhere, but we don’t know how big, or how bad they would be.” Page 5 REAL-LIFE DRAMA Climate change might not come in the form of mammoth storms and widespread destruction. Even so, the changes could alter your way of life. Residents of the island village of Shishmaref, Alaska, know firsthand. Over the past century, the average global temperature has risen one degree Fahrenheit. But in Alaska, the mercury has soared four degrees. That might not sound like much, but it’s caused a 4- to 10-inch rise in sea levels. That’s because as seawater warms, it expands. Water from melting glaciers also adds to the ocean’s volume. The upshot? Shishmaref is eroding into the sea. Rising sea levels, melting sea ice, and warmer air that holds more moisture are a recipe for brutal sea storms that have already washed away chunks of shoreline. Residents hope their island village can hang on until they find funds to relocate. But that’s not their only problem. The native population’s way of life depends on the sea freezing over at the right time. With warming temperatures, “we don’t freeze up until about two months later now,” says Vice Mayor Stanley Tocktoo. “By that time, the fish that we subsist on are way up in the river and we’re not able to catch many.” IS IT TOO LATE? Even if humans were to stop releasing additional greenhouse gases, global warming would continue while the oceans slowly respond to the buildup of gases already in the atmosphere. But Washington believes action now could help avert future disasters, such as coastlines lost to rising sea levels and extreme shrinkage of the polar ice caps. What can you do to curb global warming? Since most of our home energy is generated by power plants that burn fossil fuels, we can cut down on our share of greenhouse-gas emissions with simple energysaving measures. Turn off the TV, computer, and other electrical devices when you’re not using them. And if you plug these devices into a surge protector strip, make sure to switch it off too. Otherwise, the vampire-like gadgets continue to suck electricity from the lines. And flick out the lights when you leave a room. You can even help slow global warming by taking shorter showers. Remember: It takes energy to heat water. “We all have an individual responsibility to deal with this problem [of global warming],” says Washington. Reprinted from Science World, April 5, 2004 1 Step 1. Checklist: Research Did I… read “Tomorrow’s Weather.” Page 6 1 Step 1. Gather information on global warming results by: choosing important information to include in the “Print Source Organizer.” Print Source Organizer What I learned from reading "Tomorrow’s Weather": 1 Step 1. Checklist: Research Did I… choose important information to include in the “Print Source Organizer.” Page 7 1 Step 1. Gather information on global warming results by: reading “Getting a Handle on Extreme Weather to Help Farmers Handle Climate Shifts.” Getting a Handle on Extreme Weather to Help Farmers Handle Climate Shifts By Kansas City Star, adapted by Newsela staff Ted Guetterman, pictured Aug. 8, 2013, farms about 10,000 acres in southern Johnson County and northern Miami County, Kan. Photo: Fred Blocher/Kansas City Star/MCT KANSAS CITY, Mo. — Farmers can’t change the weather, of course. But perhaps now they will be able to outwit Mother Nature. New technologies like those from a California company called Climate Corp. are combining agriculture with math formulas. They offer farmers a way to handle severe weather patterns. These days more and more farmers are seeing crops wilt from overheating, drought and increasingly wild weather swings. Climate Corp. is among those offering help. “We’re moving into a period of very unstable weather, and that’s what producers need to be prepared for,” said Jerry Hatfield, a scientist with the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). Mountains Of Data Scientists believe they know the cause of the crazy weather: climate change, or global warming caused by humans when they burn fuels like gas. There are still many people who don't believe that climate change is real. And this is perhaps especially true in an industry as tradition-bound as farming. Still, scientists and farmers are increasingly planning ahead. They are trying to figure out ways to have a bountiful harvest if rain is less dependable and temperatures shift. Enter Climate Corp. Started six years ago, the company uses huge amounts of data and numbers to develop hyper-local weather forecasts. Page 8 Climate Corp. produces its forecasts from weather readings at 10 million locations. These readings are matched with 40 years of national crop-yield data. The company can provide detailed information for about 29 million fields in the United States. Farmers receive field-specific forecasts for rain, soil conditions and wind speed. The service can also give farmers a range of details about their land. For example, farmers can get information about projected yields, the amount of soil moisture and how well their crops are growing. Climate Corp. promises a new way for farmers to adjust to extreme weather. And, it adds, even farmers who can’t stomach the words “climate change” or “global warming” will find it useful. “Farmers still face a tough battle out there every year. Hopefully this helps them,” said Climate Corp. vice president Jim Ethington. “It’s by no means a silver bullet.” Weather Increasingly Unpredictable But some farmers don't just question global warming. They are also doubtful about the new forecasting methods. Ted Guetterman farms about 10,000 acres with his dad and three brothers. Guetterman, 45, said he’s willing to look at high-tech farming methods. Still, he thinks he’s his own best judge of what needs to be done. “Nobody knows my land better than I do,” Guetterman said. “I’ve been farming it all my life.” Guetterman said he would take some advice from an outside company. But, he added, “I’m not going to do my whole farm that way.” The emergence of farm number crunchers comes as global climate change is worsening. Rising temperatures and increasingly unpredictable weather patterns are altering the outlook for the country’s $300 billion agriculture industry. And they are changing the way crops are grown. A USDA report this year warned of increasing fluctuation in weather patterns and the effect on crops. Agriculture will be able to adjust to climate change in the near term, the report asserts. But in the long run, changing environmental conditions present “unprecedented challenges.” Those shifts will likely cause serious problems for Kansas and other Great Plains states, including Oklahoma, Nebraska and South Dakota. Page 9 Crops Yields Will Drop The USDA estimates that wheat production across the Great Plains will drop 6 percent by 2050 because of warming temperatures. And corn yields will fall 4 percent over the same period. A study by Kansas State University researchers also points to serious problems ahead. It estimated that for every 1 degree Celsius increase in average temperature, the state’s wheat yield would drop 21 percent. This translates to a loss of 10.6 bushels per acre. It’s a startling number considering that temperatures are expected to rise. Much of the middle of the country is expected to see temperatures increase by 2 to 3 degrees Celsius in the next 40 years. Few in Kansas believe climate change is going to push wheat or corn out of the state. But it could make growing them more risky. “The variability from year to year is going be greater than it has been in the past,” said soil scientist Charles Rice. “The producer is going to have to have money in the bank to pay for those poor years.” Rice and others emphasize the need for better ways to adapt. Areas of focus include better weather forecasting, new plant-breeding methods and better soil management. For instance, scientists are looking at how to develop a type of wheat that holds up better against the warming effects of climate change. Hatfield, the USDA expert, said farmers will need to adjust to climate change. “Climate has changed, climate is changing,” he said, “and climate is going to change in the future.” 1 Step 1. Checklist: Research Did I… read “Getting a Handle on Extreme Weather to Help Farmers Handle Climate Shifts .” Page 10 1 Step 1. Gather information on global warming results by: choosing important information to include in the “Print Source Organizer.” Print Source Organizer What I learned from reading “Getting a Handle on Extreme Weather to Help Farmers Handle Climate Shifts ": 1 Step 1. Checklist: Research Did I… choose important information to include in the “Print Source Organizer.” Page 11 1 Step 1. Gather information on global warming results by: choosing important information to include in the “Online Source Organizer”. Online Source Organizer What I learned from reading an online source: My research question: 1 Step 1. Checklist: Research Did I… choose important information to include in the “Online Source Organizer.” Page 12 Step 2. Prepare your infographic or poster by: selecting important information that will help you answer your research question. showing facts and details by adding diagrams or illustrations. including your list of three resources. Checklist: Prepare select important information that will help you answer my research question? Did I… show facts and details by adding diagrams or illustrations? include my list of three resources? Page 13 3 Step 3. Present your infographic or poster to your classmates by: speaking clearly, in complete sentences. using formal English that is appropriate for a presentation. answering any questions that your classmates may have. Checklist: Present 3 Did I… speak clearly, in complete sentences? use formal English that is appropriate for a presentation? answer any questions that my classmates have? Page 14