I, Robot-Citizen

advertisement
I, Robot-Citizen (I)
László Pitlik (CREW-PA Ltd.), 2012.V.
Introduction
The word of Sustainability (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sustainability) can be heard all over the
world more than ever. There are attempts to measure it on a lot of special fields (e.g.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sustainability_measurement). But a general concept for measuring
Sustainability could not be found till now. The attribute “Sustainable” can and should be used for
each phenomenon (e.g.): What is the Sustainable tourism? What is the Sustainable development of a
society? From point of view of the knowledge management following definition can be formulated:
Sustainable is something, when the observed objects based their measurable attributes can be
interpreted in an arbitrary way in the space and in the time. The argumentation is very simple: if a
(more or less complex) dynamic or static phenomenon cannot be understood in an optional deep
way, then it cannot be managed Sustainable. Sustainability presumes to know what will happen, if
the affected person does not anything or even do something. And based on the estimations about
expected future-variations it can be decided, which way is more likeable for the society having
responsibility and ability to choose.
In this article the way to the construction of the first Robot-Citizen will be described. As well as a
short historical overview the basic constitution law will also be published.
Robot-Citizen
The first question-set is: Why, where is needed a Robot-Citizen? What is a robot citizen at all? A
Robot-Citizen is a manifestation of the artificial intelligence. A Robot-Citizen is a support instrument,
WHO is able to evaluate human intuitions based on relevant facts and appropriate methods. The
Robot-Citizen is an artificial conscience. The facts (c.f. data-driven policy making) and methods are
always partial. The methods (used in the background like similarity analyses) are self-restricted.
Therefore the Robot-Citizen is not almighty: it can say now and then: “I do not know!” or “Based on
the available resources, I cannot derive significant conclusions!” So, a Robot-Citizen can be used
(switched on/off) in general in order to minimize the consequences of unstable human intuitions (like
demagogy, racism, etc.) driven by intern and/or extern influences (like fear, greed, hunger, thirst,
etc.).
Tasks for a Robot-Citizen
Assumed, that necessary data assets are available, a Robot-Citizen can solve following general (and
situation-specific) problems:



Is it right to use a word under given circumstances? e.g.
o Is somebody poor/reach?
o Is something expensive/cheap?
Is an object significant different compared to their rivals?
o Is somebody poor/reach?
o Is something expensive/cheap?
Has an object interpretable attributes? e.g.
o
o
Is somebody poor/reach?
Is something expensive/cheap?
It is not an accident to use the same examples for each question. The similarity analysis as
background methodology make possible to interpret the world on different complexity levels. Based
on a set of similarity analyses it is possible to find answers for questions like:










What is a real price for a product or service based on the attributes of competitive offers?
(c.f. public procurement)
Is the thinking way of somebody consistent enough based on questionnaires? (c.f. profiling,
lie detecting)
May a region/settlement talk in a marketing campaign about its attributes like “here is the
most beautiful church”?
Which country delivers more Olympic medallions than expected?
Which student should not have a mark in a multidimensional competition with other
students? (Who is the best in decathlon?)
Which motivation system makes the less trouble?
Which transaction seems to be the most suspicious?
Which prices/courses can be seen as a bubble before collapsing?
Which demand/supply seems to be realistic for the next season or for a new business place?
etc.
Constitution for a Robot-Citizen
Basic theses (based on the Hungarian study about futurology – translated citations): The basic rules
for a Robot-Citizen are rules of the Sustainability. A preamble of the constitution of the Sustainability
should consist each thesis, which made possible to derive the constitution:






Sustainable is a system, if the policy of raw forces and the policy of democracy are in
equilibrium
the democracy has to ensure the capability of adaptation on system level through (bio)diversity, competition, selection, multi-cultural attitudes, pluralism, freedom, majority rules,
inertia of processes, where the system rules make possible the necessary parameter of risk
management and heuristic intuition generating for individual fulfilment actions as
refund/pawn of an adaptive society
the force-driven policy making has to derive signs (like an early warning system) based on
explored lacks of equilibriums, where self-delusions and demagogy effects can be detected in
an automated and objective and consistent way so far as possible
the constitution of Sustainability is not a static text, it is not to sap, it is not the 11th
Commandment, but it is a capability and the art to detect and to fight the lacks of
equilibriums
the constitution of the Sustainability is not a penal and criminal code
the constitution of the Sustainability is a data-driven, machine-based conscience (being selfrestricted and able to self-improvements), a methodology to be able to create such systems
they make possible to control human intuitions
Basic rules of the Sustainability:











each fact is a datum
each datum is public (sometime in an anonym way, sometimes not)
each methods is public
each communication channel is public
before voting in a democratic system each intuitive declaration should be proven
the higher system level (state vs. individual) can have priority if the computing capacities are
tight
decision will be made through voting
the basic source of knowledge is the human intuition
real/conscious knowledge is a content, if it can be transformed into source code
the state has to publish the assumed knowledge
each human citizen is responsible for the continuous fine tuning of the machine conscience
Methodological basics:







the existence/exploration of Sustainability is a question of the mathematic
each happening/process is necessary (each happening has to happen)
but a societies can declare and prefer principles (like anti-corruption measurements,
principle of equal opportunities)
if arbitrary objects and their attributes cannot be arbitrary deep and exact modeled based on
the available facts and methods and legitimated principles, it means the estimation show
differences contrary to the facts, then
lacks of equilibrium has been detected.
The more analytical layers can be derived and the more these layers can be composed in an
consistent/logical way, the more these lacks of equilibrium are evaluated (veritable).
The compromise between antagonistic force fields is the mathematical democracy.
Social Sustainability:
The social Sustainability is based on the respect of being different (each object can be the same in an
other way). A system can be exist sustainable, if before crashing signs can be generated based on the
facts, which object in case of which attributes what type of changes should be made in order to avoid
irreversible processes / path dependences. Analyses on social level can also be interpreted as a sort
of sings of conscience. These fact-norm differences may not always be interpreted as true in an
automated way: calculation cannot always lead to consistent conclusions for each question. The
equilibrium on social level may not be enforced: it should be developed based on signs of the
machine consciences and the human heuristics.
Basic question of social level:




which groups of individuals (according to sex, nationality, sexual identity, religion, business
interests, professional principles, etc.)
which resources
when and where
in which volume may to use compared to other objects (groups of individuals)?
The Sustainability on social level may protect ab ovo any principles of group-identification. The bad
luck and the ruining own chances are always to prove as a potential conclusion for each individual in
each time interval. To declare a type of discrimination needs evidences and may not be assumed in
an automated way. The individuals and/or groups they will be evaluated as responsible for the own
situation should be search for new behavior patterns. The individuals and/or groups, where real bad
luck can be derived, they can expect supports in the needed volume.
In general:



there are any problems between women und man, but there are individuals in situation
marked by bad luck
there are any generation problems, but there are emerging and decreasing force fields
there are any discriminated settlements and regions, however there are life formation with
and without future perspectives
With other words: The Hungarian proverb “Cheap meat yields dilute soup” is not wisdom as a type of
self-evidence. It can be only a warning sign: there can be some sort of meats, where the price seems
to be cheap, but based on their substance of content and compared to other objects (meats) the
conclusion can be the following three status: here is an equilibrium of price/performance ratio or
here is a relative cheap or here is a relative expensive product (constellation). The social
Sustainability has to accept the phenomenon of extinction in a spontaneous way (c.f. evolution). Like
part of museum assets each object can be saved for ever if the saving can be covered on the
development level of the given society.
The result of following constitution rules of Sustainability is minimized amplitudes about rational
paths of equilibrium. This logic ensures a higher level of rationality in handling with resources. Motto:
to be glad expects being able to explore necessities!
Summary
A Robot-Citizen is created for following dynamic rules of Sustainability. These rules should always be
fine-tuned. A Robot-Citizen can help to detect irrational human intuition, but it is not almighty. A
Robot-Citizen cannot answer for each question based on the available facts and methods. But it is
able to analyse constellation continuously and in an automated way. A Robot-Citizen is a machine
conscience for switching on and off. Responsibility can and may not overtaken for decisions by a
Robot-Citizen, however it should have own opinions about each phenomenon. A Robot-Citizen is an
artificial instrument being able to derive new intuition, to identify new objectives. A Robot-Citizen is
the concentrated Good of Human - created by humans for humans…
Download