AQA AS Geography Unit 2 – Geographical Fieldwork Temburong River: 5th February 2013 Name Once a title (aim) has been decided, you must break the title down into an hypotheses (for Physical investigations). These hypotheses will help you find an overall answer to the title. Fieldwork Aim To investigate the changing characteristics of the Temburong River with increased distance downstream. Fieldwork Hypothesis Velocity will increase with distance downstream Geographical Understanding of Hypothesis What Geographical Understanding are you basing your hypothesis on? Bradshaw’s Model According to Bradshaw’s model average velocity will increase with distance downstream. This is because more energy is needed to overcome friction in the upper reaches of a river, leaving less energy available for movement. Greater turbulence as the water moves over the uneven bed means more internal friction in the upper course. There is also greater external friction under normal flow conditions, as large boulders on the river bed increase the wetted perimeter meaning that more water is in contact with the bed & banks giving the river a high hydraulic radius (less efficient channel profile). In the lower sections of the river, Flow is smoother meaning less internal friction. Channel shape is also more efficient (lower hydraulic radius) as cross-sectional area is higher. Since the river loses less energy to overcome friction in the lower course there will be more energy available for movement and thus flow will be more rapid. Location of Study Area: Temburong River, Temburong District, Brunei Darussalam (Borneo) The investigation took place along a 28km stretch of the Temburong River between its confluence with the Belalong River in the Ulu Temburong National Park and the town of Bangar The first site was just into the upper course of the river whilst the final site was at the beginning of the lower course. Poor accessibility meant that only sites between these two points could easily be reached. Why is this a suitable river to investigate changing channel characteristics downstream? What evidence is there from the map? The Temburong River has had little interference by people and for most of its course is flowing through a natural channel. The river between the National park and Batang Duri can be reached by longboat, from Batang Duri to Bangar there is a road running alongside the river. Beyond Bangar are mangrove swamps which are less accessible. We also had local knowledge of the area. Assess the extent to which this map is ‘fit for purpose.’ The OS Maps used were very out of date (1981).As Brunei has been in a state of emergency (since a rebellion in 1962), OS maps are restricted and not available to the general public. The map is useful for measuring distance along the river, seeing relief to help ascertain the stage each section of the river and helping to select sample points as the proximity of the road to the river can also be seen. However as the map was out of date some information was not accurate. The site of some settlements had changed and not all tracks down to the rivers edge were shown. Also in a couple of places there was some development alongside the river which restricted access. It was less easy to use the map further upriver, once we were in the boats as there were fewer points of reference, so we used time intervals to help us judge where to stop. Risk assessment You need to be able to carry out a risk assessment for any research you undertake – outline the risks of carrying out research and suggest strategies for minimising risk. Temburong - River Hazard/Risk Initial level of risk (L/M/H) Control measures (strategy for reducing level of risk) Residual level of risk (L/M/H) Boat Accident M Use reputable company with good quality boats and experienced drivers. Students told to listen to the boat driver’s instructions, distribute their weight evenly and not rock the boats l Drowning M Students to wear life jackets at all times Be aware who the non swimmers are and not let them go into water above their knees. Be aware of rainfall conditions upriver and keep a constant eye on changing river levels to avoid being caught in a flash flood. Keep a teacher lookout downstream to prevent students going beyond a specified point. L Fingers crushed when boats come alongside each other H Warn students to keep their hands inside the boats at all times, before leaving and throughout trip. L Slipping on wet stones H Wear shoes with good grips. Be aware of conditions L Crocodile attack L Do not enter rivers or go to close to the waters edge in areas where crocodiles have been sited L Sunburn H Use suncream & wear a hat Work/rest under shade as much as possible L Dehydration H Remind students to drink regularly Provide extra supplies of water for whole group L Insect bites H Use insect repellent Wear long sleeved shirts / long trousers L Have first Aid kit & trained first aider in group. Have one teacher per 10 students 2) Data Collection - Methods There are two types of data: a) Quantitative data – information can be expressed in numerical terms. Research involves using statistics to analyse data (e.g. river width). b) Qualitative data – difficult to measure, count or express in numerical terms (e.g. nature of relationships among groups in society, impacts of tourism in a named area). Researchers also often talk about data being subjective or objective. Subjective – influenced by personal opinion. Objective – undistorted by personal bias. You should also know the difference between primary and secondary data: a) Primary data: Data that is collected and processed by individuals (e.g. questionnaires, raw census data, maps with annotations). b) Secondary data: Data that is collected and processed by other people other than the researcher in question (e.g. processed census data). Once you have decided what type of data you need to collect, you need to decide on a sampling strategy to use to ensure that your results are as accurate and reliable as possible. Why do we need to take a sample when carrying out research? Cannot measure all points (no time) If sampling is carried out carefully it can be representative of reality, whilst being done in the limited amount of time available. Sampling: Samples are ideally collected to be representative, but in practice they are often selected as a matter of convenience. a) Random sampling: Every value, or member of the “population,” has an equal chance of being selected and the selection of one member does not affect the probability of selection of another member. Random sample is obtained using random numbers, usually generated on a computer. Advantage There is no bias in this sampling method. Disadvantage This is a time-consuming method and be beware that a random sample may miss an entire part of the survey area. b) Systematic sampling: Values are selected in a regular way (systematically). E.g. Choosing every tenth person on a list or every 20th house in a street. Advantage This gives an even coverage of the area being investigated. Disadvantage There is some bias in this sampling method (all points do not have an equal chance of selection). c) Stratified sampling: This is based on knowing something in advance about the population or area in question. If it is known that there are important groups in a population, it is possible to make sure that a representative sample of them is included in a survey. E.g. If you are surveying the attitudes of local people to the opening of a supermarket, your sample must reflect the age distribution of local people. Advantage Sample is representative Disadvantage Comment on how you have chosen to sample your data Initially : Systematic We had a 28km stretch of river which we have divided into 14 sites (one ever 2km) Fine tuning: the position of these sites then had to be adjusted taking local conditions into account; Accessibility to river (road/track nearby) Safety Feasibility (no dense vegetation on the bank) Outline and justify one method of data collection A piece of garlic was thrown into the fastest flowing part of the river (Thalweg) at each site. And the time that it took to float 10m was recorded. This process was repeated 3 times and then an average taken. These results were converted from seconds per 10metres to metres per second Garlic was used as it is o Able to float o Easy to see in the water o Biodegradable o Cheap The garlic was thrown slightly upriver of the start point to enable it to reach terminal velocity before the stopwatch was started. A student stood by the start and signalled (with arm and a call) when the garlic passed by. The timer with the stopwatch stood by the finishing point so they could see when the garlic had reached 10m. Efforts were made to ensure the measuring tape ran parallel to the rivers current to ensure the distance was accurate SEE LABELLED SKETCH Discuss the strengths and weaknesses of the method of data collection Strengths Easy Doesn’t need much equipment :tape, stopwatch, garlic Safe: Can do data collection from river bank (no need to get wet) Feasible: Can carry out measurements in places where water is very deep Weaknesses Only surface velocity can be recorded, so not representative of whole channel velocity which will vary with distance from the bed and banks due to changes in external friction) May not be able to position the garlic in the Thalweg o Unsure of the exact location of the Thalweg o Inaccurate throw o Too far to throw As the garlic cloves were not all exactly the same size and mass this might influence their velocity Difficulties in keeping the tape parallel to the current can lead to inaccurate measurement (the garlic might travel further than 10m) 3 & 4. Data Presentation & Analysis You must present data using appropriate methods – data must be presented visually and must show all information clearly – it must be easy for the reader to pick out trends, patterns, anomalies in the data. Where appropriate, titles, scales and keys should be clearly marked on presentation. Scatter Graphs & Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient Correlation is a method whereby a co-efficient is calculated to describe the degree of association between two sets of paired data/values. This co-efficient is then tested to determine the probability that the association might be due to chance. A correlation is concerned with assessing links, association or relationships between two or more phenomena. It looks at the strength of the relationship between two variables or two sets of data. Give examples of variables that you could correlate together: Velocity & distance downstream Velocity & depth of water Velocity & hydraulic radius Depth of water & distance downstream Hydraulic radius & distance downstream Bed load size and distance downstream Bed Load size and velocity Degree’s of correlation Which variable to draw on which axis of the scatter graph? Plot the INDEPENDENT variable on the horizontal axis (termed the X axis) and the DEPENDENT variable on the vertical axis (Y axis). One variable usually has an effect on the other and this should enable you to identify the independent and dependent variables. Example:- temperature decreases as you go up the mountain. Height above sea level is the independent variable but the variable that changes is temperature so that is the dependent variable. Is a visual link precise enough? Not really because it is far too subjective. Vague statements like “The scattergraph seems to me to indicate a weak positive correlation…” are too imprecise. Applying the Spearman Rank Statistical Test means you can QUANTIFY the strength of the relationship that your scattergraph reveals. It is more objective and therefore acceptable to science. Sketch of your Scatter Graph Spearman’s Rank correlation coefficient Null Hypothesis: There is no correlation between velocity and distance downstream Alternative Hypothesis: there is a correlation between velocity and distance downstream SEE TABLE OF RANKINGS Rs = 1 - 6 x ∑d² n³ - n Rs = 1 - 6 x 788 14³ - 14 Rs = 1 - 4728 2730 Rs = 1 - 1.732 Rs = -0.732 As the calculated correlation coefficient (Rs) of -0.732 is higher than the tabulated critical value of 0.646 at the 99% confidence level, we can reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative hypothesis. Our data shows a significant negative correlation between river velocity and distance downstream Describe one technique you used to present data in this enquiry and outline the advantages and disadvantages of it A scattergraph was used as it clearly shows the nature of the relationship between the two variables (velocity & distance downstream) The main trend can be seen and anomalies identified. However, interpretation is subjective and a correlation test needs to be used to objectively assess the strength of the relationship between the two variables. If the correlation test fails, the scattergraph can provide evidence to explain why this has happened. The scattergraph only shows two variables, which need to be paired. It doesn’t provide additional data which might be influencing the results , such a: Location of pools & riffles If sites were on a Straight section of river or at a meander Effect of people (bridge disturbing flow) An alternative data presentation technique would be to superimpose the results (in the form of bars) over a map or Google Earth image. Outline and justify the use of one or more techniques used to statistically analyse your results A Spearman’s Rank correlation test was used. This was relatively quick to carry out and provided an objective assessment of our results. Major anomalies can affect the result, but The test is easy to repeat, leaving out these anomalies. But: The Spearman Rank correlation test only test ranks and is therefore not as accurate as the more complex Pearson’s Product Mode correlation test. We only had 14 pairs of data and would have got a clearer result if we had managed to get more samples. We also had problems deciding how to rank the negative velocities where the river was flowing backwards (due to the influence of tides) In this worked example a higher speed was given a lower rank if the water moved backwards. An alternative method is shown at the end of this report 5) Drawing conclusions and evaluation Summarise the results to answer the original question/hypothesis Support the summary with reference to evidence from earlier sections Explain results in the light of theories/concepts and location Identify limitations of methods and impacts on results - suggest improvements/extension Explain possible effect of limitations on results Examiner should be able to read conclusion and know what your study was about and what you found out Geographical Information Systems What is this? – the most powerful set of tools in existence for the analysis and visualisation of spatial information. How might you go about using GIS in your investigation? A smart phone could be used to take pictures of each site, with ‘location (GPS) on’. These pictures could then be uploaded to Google Earth to pinpoint the exact location of each sample point. The actual distance between each site could then be measured and used on the scattergraph, rather than just giving the rank of the distance downstream. Bar charts can be superimposed onto the Google Earth Image (or Google Map) to indicate velocity at each point. Google Earth also shows features which might be affecting the results, such as channel shape or human influences, such as bridges. Summarise your findings and comment on how well they support your background theory We were expecting a positive correlation between velocity and distance downstream, but our results showed a significant negative correlation which opposed Bradshaw’s theory, as velocity actually decreased downriver. The main reason for this was because although Bangar is more than 10km inland the Temburong River is still tidal here. Hence at the time of our investigation our three lowest sites were affected by a high tide, with the water actually running backwards at site 13 & 14 and being stationary at site 12. Without the final 3 sites the trend was still negative, but the correlation was no longer significant. To get a positive trend the final 7 sites (half the data would have to be omitted. Another factor to take into account is that the majority of our sites were in the middle course. Poor access further downstream into the lower course mangrove swamps or higher into the upper course where it was too shallow for boats and the valley sites were covered with impenetrable jungle, meant that we didn’t get the full range of sites from source to mouth expected by the Bradshaw model. Comment on the validity of your conclusion based on the accuracy and reliability of the data you collected. Accuracy: The garlic cloves were not the same shape or mass and this might have affected their speed. Oranges could be used instead but this would be expensive as 42 (14 x3) were needed The measuring tape might not have been parallel to the flow of the river might so the garlic may have travelled more than 10m The movement of the garlic was disturbed at some sites by passing boats. Reliability: Results would be different at different times due to o Changes in the tide o Changes in discharge (due to rainfall difference) Make recommendations for further research. o o o Return at different times (such as low tide or after heavy rain) Try to get further into the lower course/upper course, but this will need more time. Use stratified sampling techniques which take location of pools/riffles or straight sections/meanders into account when selecting sample sites. In what ways would your conclusions be of use to other people? It would help people who use the river to know more about the characteristics of its flow. This would include Passenger boats between Bangar and the capital city (Bandar Seri Begawan) Grave barges Tourist boats to the national park Canoeists and people who go tubing from the Outward Bound Centre Where water lows more slowly or backwards it will be difficult for boats without engines and more expensive on fuel for those with engines. Velocity can also affect safety of boats. Possible question alternatives. Starting point 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Methods Skills Interpretation Conclusions/Evaluation What are the advantages and disadvantages of the analysis technique(s) that you used? Outline and justify the use of one or more techniques used to statistically analyse your results Name one technique of data analysis and describe how it was used How far did your fieldwork conclusions match the geographical theory, concept or idea on which your study was based Outline the aim and describe the theory, idea or concept from which your aim was derived Explain the geographical concept, process or theory that underpinned your enquiry Outline and justify one method of data collection that you used Describe one method used to present your data Examine the limitations of your chosen methodology Describe one application of ICT skills in carrying out your fieldwork and comment on its usefulness Outline one source of information that you used and assess the extent to which it was “fit for purpose” Explain how you devised your aim and how you responded to the risks associated with your chosen site for fieldwork Describe the location of your fieldwork and explain why it was suitable for your investigation Describe the purpose of your fieldwork enquiry Outline one hypothesis and describe one methodology for primary data collection in relation to this Describe and illustrate one technique you used to present data in this enquiry How did you respond to risks associated with undertaking primary data collection What difficulties did you face when presenting your results? What is meant by the term ‘significance’ in the analysis of fieldwork data? In what ways would your conclusions be of use to other people? Discuss the strengths and weaknesses of the method of data collection Describe a method of presentation that you used in your investigation and indicate how the chosen method was useful Outline one technique that you have used to present results from your data collection In the context of the analysis of fieldwork data, outline the meaning of ‘anomalies’. Drawing upon your findings, explain how your enquiry improved your understanding of the topic area Describe one method you used to present data collected in your fieldwork investigation Comment on the strengths and weaknesses of different aspects of the study and suggest improvements With the aid of a diagram, describe one technique that you used to present data in your enquiry Explain how the use of ICT can improve geographical understanding Summarise the main findings of your investigation With reference to fieldwork investigations distinguish between qualitative and quantitative data Describe the characteristic features of your study area Comment on the strengths and weaknesses of different aspects of the study. Suggest improvements. In the box provided, draw and annotated sketch map of the location of the study area to show the basic characteristics Summarise your findings and suggest how this enquiry could be improved Making specific reference to your results, suggest how your enquiry could be improved Methods Sketch Results table Site (x) (increasing distance downstream) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Rank x 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Average Velocity (y) (m/sec) 0.59 0.24 0.62 0.39 1.01 0.91 0.98 0.17 0.47 0.11 0.04 0 -0.10 -0.23 Rank y 5 8 4 7 1 3 2 9 6 10 11 12 13 14 d 9 5 8 4 9 6 6 -2 0 -5 -7 -9 -11 -13 ∑d² d² 81 25 64 16 81 36 36 4 0 25 49 81 121 169 788 Scattergraph with flow backwards still counted as a + velocity Correlation coefficient: -0.65 Critical value (99% confidence level): 0.646 n= 13 Still a negative correlation Scatter graph without last three sites Correlation coefficient: -0.57 Critical value (99% confidence level): 0.73 n= 11 This shows is still negative, but no longer a significant correlation