v0.8 Master thesis Perceived threats and opportunities of new technologies by professional associations. Han van Wieringen 314745jw@eur.nl Economics and informatics Erasmus University Rotterdam Tel: 06-4973 8720 Councilor Gert van der Pijl Economics and informatics Erasmus University Rotterdam Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen Contents 1. 2. Summary.........................................................................................................................3 Background .....................................................................................................................4 2.1. New developments .................................................................................................. 5 2.2. “Branche organisatie” / Trade associations ............................................................. 6 2.2.1. Other types of organization .............................................................................. 7 2.3. Models .................................................................................................................... 9 2.3.1. Propeller model ................................................................................................ 9 2.3.2. Star berenschot ...............................................................................................10 2.4. Types of threats and opportunities expected ..........................................................12 3. Research methods ........................................................................................................14 3.1. Case studies ..........................................................................................................14 3.2. Literature study ......................................................................................................14 3.3. Research question .................................................................................................15 3.4. Which questions were asked? ................................................................................16 4. Case analysis ................................................................................................................17 4.1. The case associations ............................................................................................17 4.2. Open Questions and discussion trends ..................................................................19 4.2.1. Minimalist strategy / maximizing strategy ........................................................19 4.2.2. Web 2.0...........................................................................................................19 4.2.3. Size as a factor ...............................................................................................19 4.2.4. Transparency ..................................................................................................20 4.2.5. Competing with commercial organizations ......................................................20 4.2.6. Competing with other associations ..................................................................21 4.2.7. Impossible for commercial organizations to take over activities .......................21 4.2.8. Not using possibilities ......................................................................................21 4.2.9. Low threat, big impact .....................................................................................22 4.2.10. Low threat, big opportunity...........................................................................22 4.3. Closed questions scores ........................................................................................22 4.4. Charts for closed questions ....................................................................................23 4.4.1. Businesses are the largest perceived source of threat. ...................................23 4.4.2. Main activity threat is low while opportunity is high. .........................................24 4.4.3. Expected impact is high ..................................................................................24 4.4.4. Business as main threat and overall threat ......................................................25 4.4.5. Perceived opportunities ...................................................................................25 5. Considerations ..............................................................................................................26 6. Conclusions...................................................................................................................28 6.1. Ideas for future research ........................................................................................32 7. Bibliography ..................................................................................................................33 Appendix A Cases ................................................................................................................39 Appendix B Overview case scores .......................................................................................81 2 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen 1. Summary This paper describes an exploratory case study of nine associations to discover how they perceive and deal with the changing technological environment. The idea behind it was that the new developments have made easier for other organizations to invest in activities that border on or are included in the activities of an association. These are representation, network, services, internal and external agreements. The internet as an independent entity is also a factor because some types of website already provide services similar to some association activities. Networking sites for professionals are growing steadily and specialized information is much more widely available. There seem to be two strategies used by associations regarding problems like this, the minimizing and maximizing strategy. Minimizing involves giving way to whatever market forces effect the trade and only investing in new activities if there is a clear obvious need for them. Maximizing is trying to maintain a stable position in the market by partaking in as many activities as possible to maintain influence and benefits for members. Developments like social networks and user generated content are candidates to be used by associations to augment their activities as well. Most cases indicate that they see opportunities in them, but these are not yet utilized by any of the associations. Some tests have been done on the subject by the associations, but they were not pursued further. The case studies are based on a series of interviews with the resident strategy or tech experts of the association. The interviews consisted of a series of open questions and discussion about the association and recent developments as well as some closed questions with scores to compare. The main finding of the paper is the observation that associations see great opportunities in and expect a big impact from social networks and web 2.0, but are not exploring these further. An important part of the issue is associations do not view businesses as a threat, even though they often then also say businesses are the main source of threat and models suggest that say that combined with the new developments there should be increased competition among different types of organization. This could be attributed to viewing other types of organization as businesses even though they are classified otherwise when looking at their activities. Other observations include impact being expected to be high, some independent online sources are already causing problems for associations and that currently available social networks are perceived as not specialized and professional enough to fit the needs of the associations. Hopefully this paper can serve as motivation to resume testing and explore issues further again. 3 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen 2. Background This research paper is the result of the question: “What is up with trade associations recently?” First casually mentioned during the discussing of a previous research, the question popped up and was discussed until it became clear that something really was up and deserved researching. To illustrate: There was a seminar on associations and web projects which had an 80% response to invites. The link to new technology was an obvious starting point since many things have changed there. Initial thought went out to web 2.0, this has been the biggest development on the internet in some years, which consists of an interactive relation with users and requires organizational changes to make proper use of these relations. However, because some of the early conversations on the subject also introduced some other technology that did not really fit under that header the term “new developments” is primarily used. This resulted in the research question found in 3.3. Case studies were used for this research, because as a single student I do not have the resources for large scale research and I expected to find that the associations had different organizational priorities and processes. To properly explore any factors that might be relevant to the issue personal interviews would be required and these would need to explore more about the organization than just their opinions about new developments. The subjects of this research are the subjective perceived threats and opportunities of these new developments. The objective threats and opportunities would require more in depth knowledge of the use of each development as well several similar associations to compare properly. If that objective analysis is going to be made papers like to this one should be useful for such research, as discovery of the current attitude towards the developments and will highlight the more important ones. There are several subjects that influence the current association climate and that are of importance to this research and will be discussed in the next chapter. Starting with the technological developments, some have been categorized as web 2.0, but there are more factors that need to be specified. The blur between organization types consists of commercial organizations, Trade associations, Professionals associations and Unions. Each of these can be active in an industry and each has their own properties. Competition is expected between these, depending on their activities. The star model and the propeller model both describe the workings of associations. These models can show how and why certain threats and opportunities exist, but they do both give a different perspective on associations. The threats and opportunities expected to accompany each of these subjects will be addressed as well. 4 Thesis 0.8 2.1. Han van Wieringen New developments There are many developments that are of importance for trade associations, but in the interest of achievable scope it will be limited to web 2.0 and surrounding developments rather than all technologies and developments which could quickly grow to unmanageable size. (The mckinsey quarterly, 2007),(ASSOCIATIONS NOW, 2007). The following developments are relevant for this study: Web 2.0 “Web 2.0 is one of the most hyped and misunderstood concepts in IT” (Smith, 2006) not surprising considering that it has been given many definitions and is still being debated. In 2004 the term ´web 2.0´ was coined by O´reilly media (O´reilly, 2007) (musser, 2007) and they have since defined it as “any project that grows exponentially more valuable as the number of members grow” To avoid confusion this research will only focus on the parts of web 2.0 that might actually matter to trade associations. Only properties that can be linked to activities will be used. For example one often mentioned characteristic is perpetual beta, but this is not applicable for this research. Taking the concept of web 2.0 further people have labeled the next step “web 3.0”. Again the concept is largely still undefined. It seems to be used primarily for services that automatically provide for the user without having to ask. This research will not look at this topic. Profile sites / social networks Any part of web 2.0 type sites where users upload their own content and information to a profile area can qualify as one. These sites have become extremely lucrative for businesses to focus marketing campaigns on and more groups are always forming representing certain demographics. Social networks are very much like associations and people see opportunities in it. (VM-online, 2009) Friends’ networks MySpace, Hyves & facebook are all types of friends’ social networks. People can fill in a profile page for themselves and link themselves to other profiles. This builds a web of people linked to each other via other people. The ability for people to view their relation to other via their network defines social network sites. The informal setting encourages people to post trivial information and express themselves, thus opening up to each other and making friends. Various other services on the sites create slight variation in the final product, for example attribute matching might assist in finding new people. Professional networks LinkedIn for example is also a social network service in some ways very similar to friends’ networks, with the simple difference that it was set up with a different goal. The slightly different template for filling in a profile could easily be offered by the other sites, but because it promoted itself as a network for professional usage, that’s what it became. Packages Some software developers have created packages offering standard software resembling some of these more popular websites. They believe there will be some demand for organizations setting up their own network rather than using existing ones. 5 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen News networks Twitter is the most popular example of these, allowing people to post news stories and rating other people´s stories importance. Meta-data is added to the stories to archive them and allow fast searching. Plein66 D66 has a large collection of social networks scattered across the internet. On multiple of the large networks is some presence. Attempts are being made to unify these into a more centralized one. KVK HaLLo community The Dutch chamber of commerce has also started an initiative to provide a gathering point for organizations to meet and form groups. Wikipedia clones The source for Wikipedia is available for the world and many organizations have already tried using it in some way to build a repository of knowledge specific to them. A common complaint about these is that it is unreliable because everyone can edit them or it fails because updates are not made on a regular basis. This can of course be managed much better in a smaller environment for a single organization where security measures can be taken and updating can be a mandated part of the process. 2.2. “Branche organisatie” / Trade associations For this research we will look at any organization that: A. has members paying contribution. B. claims to be governed by the members C. Acts to benefit these members D. is aimed at professionals in a trade or industry There are many types of associations and more types of organizations that are more or less similar to associations. Some associations do not call themselves one, while others call themselves one while they are not. Even if a specific definition is used the internal activities can result in it being divided up again, so each case must be analyzed to judge if it is valid to include it in this research. Plenty of papers have been written on the effects of web 2.0 of business and enterprise, what makes a trade association different is that it´s role of unifying people into a group could be replaced by the services of web 2.0 as opposed to other businesses. Also, services offered by businesses gathering groups of people could start encroaching on the services of the trade associations. Trade associations are a very broad organization type and fulfill many different functions, though which of them they fulfill is self imposed. Depending on which is their primary activity, the type of association changes. According to the Dutch chamber of commerce there are 1873 branches for trade associations (KVK, 2009). Within these branches multiple associations still diversify more. Niche markets (Bennett, 1999) are sub-categories of branches that somehow end up requiring their own association representatives separate from the main branch. 6 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen Sharing information (Vives, 1990) (Kirby, 1988) is one of the most common services of a trade associations, acting as a knowledge repository for its members, keeping track of developments in its field and maintaining a standard of expertise. I assume size is most likely an important factor in how easily it is affected by technological changes. Small associations might be more easily replaced by others, while larger ones might have more benefits from new services. 2.2.1. Other types of organization There are many types of different of organization that are all similar by being organizations that represent a group in a trade and act in their interest, but there are distinct differences that must be noted before any study can be made of them. This is because language is a fluid thing and will change over time causing several words to mean the same thing. The differences between countries are present besides just differences in languages. This causes research on the subject to run into several hurdles when trying to search for a specific subject, therefore included is a description of the major categories of this type of organization. Please note that other terms are possible as names and there are plenty of sub-categories that will be explored later. (Tim van der Rijken, 2005), (Peter Tack, 2002), (Dedan schmidt, 2008 ). There are many terms used to describe the same thing, compounded by the issue of language of sources, so the first thing to do is describe clearly exactly what is meant by “Beroeps organisaties” / Professionals association While the focus of a trade association focus is more on the health of that industry, a professional’s association´s focus is on the benefits of their members much like a union. While they do not neglect what is best for the industry their primary goal is the immediate benefit of their members. “Werknemersbond” / Labor union A labor union is an organization for the rights if the laborer and its primary function is to serve as a united front against any that would exploit them. Trade unions are a large divers and interesting area, but for this research it is defined as that services are hardly provided to its members beyond representation and making demands of other groups, calling for strikes when deemed necessary. The FNV and CNV are primarily unions, but they have services that are like an association for different trades. However, it will always take the side of employees over employers. The competition between them and the associations is interesting. “Werkgeversbond” / Employers federation The employers’ federations are a response to labor unions and represent the employers to provide a front against the labor unions so negotiation is possible. Governing bodies / FEBI´s Trade associations usually belong to larger organizations that contain the branch organizations of that sector. MKB Nederland for all the small to medium businesses for example. These can overlap somewhat though and so it is possible for these organizations to fight over who gets these customers. 7 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen Publiekrechtelijke Beroeps- en Bedrijfsorganisaties / Public law Vocational and Business Organizations Some professions are legally protected. Not everyone can call themselves a Register Accountant (RA) and lawyer for example. To protect these, an association is appointed as a PBO to be legally responsible for it. This limits the possibilities of these associations. “Bedrijfschappen”&”Productschappen” / government trade groups Public bodies appointed by the Social Economic Committee (Sociaal Economische Raad) are Bedrijfschappen and Productschappen. “Bedrijfschappen” / government trade groups are different from trade associations because they are instigated by the government. They are created for sectors where a normal trade association can provide limited direct use to the members. Being a part of the government means that they are regulated differently. Since there are currently only a few in the Netherlands this will most likely be of little influence. 8 Thesis 0.8 2.3. Han van Wieringen Models There are only two relevant models that describe the inner workings of associations. They are the Tack propeller model (Paul de Ruijter, 2006) (Frans Huizinga, 2009) (Peter Tack, 2002) and the Berenschot star model (Dedan schmidt, 2008 ). Each has a different perspective of the inner workings of an association, but they are compatible because the propeller model looks at the abstract while the star model looks at more practical activities. 2.3.1. Propeller model Peter Tack´s model shows how an association is driven forward (propelled) by positioning strategic interest followed by collective organization followed by individual gain after which it starts over with the new situation. This is held together by the infrastructure of the organization. (Peter Tack, 2002) At its core, this is all an association is, a group of people, working together for whatever goal is mutually beneficial. There are many different forms of association discussed in 2.2 that fit this model even if they aren’t the focus of the research question. The propeller model is quite well known and was brought up during some of the interviews, but has more use as an explanatory model and provides little information for strategic decisions. The star model is more useful for this research because it does not just focus on a single goal. The propeller model 9 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen 2.3.2. Star berenschot The star model of the five association activities The Berenschot star model (Dedan schmidt, 2008 ) shows how different activities make up an association. The model acts as a tool to show how much is put into an activity. Relevant for this research are the five activities that make up an association and how these overlap with the new technology. The activities are Lobbying, Services, Feedback, internal- and externally binding agreements. Any of these activities could be performed with the help of new technology to make them faster, more accurate and capable of more, but what activities are going to experience big chances? Lobbying is the representation of needs of the members to governing bodies. Local, national, international and with umbrella and organizations all have occasions where the issues relevant to the association might come up. Communication to and from these bodies can be very labor intensive. Services offered by associations can vary greatly. Some don’t offer any, some have multiple. Specialist information databases, meeting arrangements, financial support services, collective purchasing, judicial advice, best practice cases from other members, collective payment or investment plans to name some. Identity: the communication with the members and the association about their wishes and seeing where these overlap and coincide. The traditional form of this is the members meeting, having periodic meetings free to attend by members for them to present their opinion and discuss it with others. With new technology this has been enhanced a lot. Forums on the internet, instant messaging and video chat have been around for a while, but newer trends like social networks, twitter, VoIP, online conferencing and text voting are also available now. These have consequences for the style of communication such as not being face to face anymore, but also that is has a much faster response time. Internally binding agreements are those made with the members the association in the form of labor agreements, certification, education, regulations and enforcing these. 10 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen Externally binding agreements are those made with parties not directly associated with the organization like labor agreements (other side), pension plans, ARBO agreements, reintegration projects and similar project. Depending on what activity is the primary activity an association becomes one of five archetypes: Diplomat, negotiator, guild, society or advisor. Overview of types of organizations bordering associations. A dangerous aspect this model illustrates is what happens if an organization goes too far in any direction. With too many services they become a business, with too much representation of their members they become an advocate. Ultimately a healthy association should probably be moderate in each of these areas. Another way to look at this model is that those outer organizations already exist and depending on their size, they border the association. If they grow they can push against and compete with the association on a certain activity. How this is affected by new developments is an important question. Two strategies towards the competition with other organizations are minimizing and maximizing. By minimizing an associations services offered and activities performed to what is not yet offered by the market. According to Schmidt (Dedan schmidt, 2008) this is the attitude associations should have. The other strategy is to try to gain members by offering as much incentive as possible in the form of services and activities. This brings the danger of going too far in an activity mentioned above. 11 Thesis 0.8 2.4. Han van Wieringen Types of threats and opportunities expected One threat from the internet is that it could result in a loss of members for an association, because services like a social network or professional advice are gotten there instead. Some threats might exist as a result of actions taken or because of how other companies have developed with the new technology. Similarly opportunities might come directly from using new sources available, or from how other groups have reacted or developed. We will explore some of these indirect threats here. (GILCHRIST, 2007) Losing members to other types of organizations The function of an association can be fulfilled in more and more other ways. Internet provides ways for networks of professionals to form, other organizations offer services to groups and expand their customer base to include functions previously provided by trade associations. This of course varies heavily depending on the exact functions fulfilled by a specific trade organization, but it does appear to be a common problem. Breach of charter While trying to expand business and solve some problems, other problems appear. When created an association sets its limits and goals in a charter that then guide it as an organization. This can also restrain it from fulfilling certain functions like commercial investment or expanding its customer base, for example dental associations not including dental hygienists. Government influence Associations are for a large part free from direct government influence, and some have taken to influencing the government for certain goals. Sometimes though the government sees fit to influence a part of a country or business that a trade association effects. In this case there might be some conflicts to be resolved. Then there is also direct government influence, when legislation is made to effect trade associations. Entrepreneurs risk / commercialization Can an organization that is mostly getting income from membership fees take this money and make a risky investment? Even to provide a service to its members? Much less if it is a large investment for which the trade association acts as collateral? These issues must be addressed if any new services are to be provided. Trade associations are different from commercial organizations when they provide a service, because commercial organizations are mostly profit driven. This allows trade associations to be trusted more easily with some things, but what kind if fee should be charged for these services? And where is the line between commercial organization and trade association? The best current example of this is the NMT, which wanted to provide its members with an automated service for invoicing. This resulted in a separate organization to handle this, because the NMT felt this activity would be too commercial for a trade association. Competition from internet Services offered by trade associations can be broken down into parts as described, these services can also be offered by other parties if they can get organized. The increased ability of people to get organized on the internet thanks to web 2.0 features means that this offers competition. 12 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen Not just groups organizing themselves, but existing groups can have services offered to them much easier by businesses. These are currently also exploring how the new internet can be fully utilized. This situation created another question that may or may not be answered during this research: Where the boundaries lie between association doing commercial activities and businesses offering association services and what this means for either. Also see Types of threats and opportunities expected. Advanced feedback Feedback is one of the most important parts of any trade association because without it the members cannot be represented. The new internet allows much more people to give feedback faster and more accurate. As well as having structure that keeps better track of history and allows member interaction and insight into what Added services With new technology come new possibilities. These could be very useful to members depending on trade and other existing similar services, or at least can allow services currently offered to exist in a more modern form. Other developments, technologies and partnerships This research will focus on IT technology, but sometimes other things drive current developments in associations. If a change in an association was partially or mostly caused by things other than IT technology. These must be fully identified and described in the case study to distinguish what is relevant for this paper. This includes partnerships, changes in the industry the association is active in and technological development independent of the internet. Other issues International law / Regional law When groups and organizations spread across borders, laws and norms tend to change. These changes can cause problems for any organization entrenched in their current ones, resulting in it being much more attractive to just stay put. Expected issues from interaction between these subjects The primary issue is expected to come from the core principles of web 2.0 and associations. As seen in the propeller model an association basically comes down to gathering people with things in common and organizing them for collective benefits. Web 2.0 developments include social networks (gathering people with things in common) and user contribution (single users contribute for use and benefit by all). The exact role the software that gets used and the exact activities of an association it complements are more intricate. A Wikipedia for example can be used to allow users to discuss and share their expertise on a specific subject, but a YouTube style upload system documents the discussing rather than the result. Being a part of Hyves or a similar network allows people to invite friends and co-workers in the industry casually or LinkedIn if things need to be more formal. These networks and services already exist outside out the associations and chances are their members are already a part of these networks. Associations can set up their own networks, but it might be easier to make use of existing ones. 13 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen 3. Research methods The issue being investigated is associations and their perceptions, but the issues that factor into it all this are largely unknown. Because of this an in-depth exploration of the subject would be the most beneficial to the industry. This is best achieved though a multiple-case study where we try to fully explore the subject. (Yin, 2009). Before starting a larger scale research 2 interviews were held NMT and ZLTO. From these we concluded that detailed information was required about each trade to be able to judge the association. This further promoted multiple in-depth case studies (in addition to literature of course.) 3.1. Case studies Because of the limited number of available organizations that could be interviewed and processed by a single student in a limited amount of time, a quantitative research is impossible at the moment. The diversity between organizations also makes it difficult to generalize. Therefore the best methodology for this project is using cases to describe a few organizations to illustrate their developments in the area of web 2.0. Organizations will be chosen because they have contacts with Mazars and some because they portray characteristics that would be useful to illustrate a specific issue, such as the three real-estate associations. These are interviewed and documented in a case study to be used as illustrations and examples of certain issues. These cases are built from interviews of personnel from the associations and its members about the perceived and observed threat from web 2.0. Interviews The goal of the interviews is to gain insight into the thoughts of the technological changes and the threats and opportunities they are considering. These interviews will initially be several open questions as not to plant any ideas. Afterwards a checklist of several topics will be discussed to make sure there is clear classification of the organizations activities and that the results are comparable to each other. 3.2. Literature study As with any paper a large part of the information must come from previous research and literature on the subject. Topics introduced during interviews and sources they recommend will be added if deemed interesting. This had largely already been done before the proposal was even made, but additional topics can be explored and added as well when the subject arises and will be added or expanded in the subject section. Any information deemed important enough to be of direct consequence on the results will also receive mention with those results when applicable, but the literature study is not the focus of this research and will be purely supportive. 14 Thesis 0.8 3.3. Han van Wieringen Research question With the methods described above there should be enough information to get some conclusions on the views of associations on the new developments. To properly address this issue it must be distilled into a research question that illustrated that this is an exploration for the views of professional associations on the new developments in technology like web 2.0 and results these developments might have on their organization and related organizations. To shorten this, the main question then becomes: “How do trade associations react to the threats and opportunities of web 2.0 and the like?” To complete this we need both sides of the views as the sub-questions: “What parts of web 2.0 pose a threat to trade associations? “ What is the perceived threat? Is the threat coming from the independent web 2.0? Is the threat coming from the organizations using it? How are they acting to counter these threats? One of the main initial ideas was that associations were scared into action lately by new developments so that should be investigated to settle the questions as well as to provide some tangible information for the organizations. And “How can web 2.0 be used by trade associations to their advantage?” What are the perceived opportunities? How does it fit with their activities? How does it fit with their business model? How are they using these opportunities? To illustrate the views on the subject and provide additional directly useful information for associations, overviews will be created that show what the perceived threats and opportunities are of the new developments. Keep in mind that this does not try to answer what the actual threats and opportunities are, nor does it try to predict future actions will be taken or what action should be taken. 15 Thesis 0.8 3.4. Han van Wieringen Which questions were asked? The interviews that are the basis for cases all try to follow the same structure and topics. During an interview these topics might be explored further if deemed interesting by the interviewee or may be skipped if discussed during a previous question. However, the design is to have a structure where one question leads into another and have discussed all necessary topics. The main topics are: Has the organization observed technological developments that might be important either as a threat or opportunity in the last 2 years? An opener to expand on during the conversation, meant to give an idea of the various topics that might arise during the interview. As well as a means to see what are currently used technologies without explicitly mentioning one and planting suggestions, such as social networks. What are these threats and opportunities in the area of information technology? What has the organization considered about for these things so far? Do they only see positive or negative developments? Or have they implemented them for other reasons? How far could businesses take over their activities? Competition from business should according to my interpretation of the star model be an increased source of competition to associations. Equally important is what kind of organization they feel have impact and what does not. How have you responded to all this? Actions can give a much better view of how the organization as a whole perceives an issue rather than the opinion of the interviewee. How does this affect your business model? Have there been any changes to the type of organization the association is? Big investment projects can change the primary activities of an organization sometimes. What are your views on commercialization of trade associations? If your organization does change into something else, how would you respond? Are associations allowed to provide a wider range of services and have segments that make profit or do they need to be restricted? What do you feel would be the best solution for this issue? Both for the market and your organization. If the developments are found to have any effect at all, positive or negative, what are the plans for the future? Also includes further discussion of the subject and any ideas I haven´t thought of before. The closed questions There are not only open questions, but also some closed ones. Each pair of questions is to try to get a measurement of perceived threat, opportunity or impact compared with a more general threat, opportunity or impact. Which of these activities does the association perform and which is their primary activity? Which activity is most likely to be replaced or enhanced by new technologies? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback. What do you feel is the most likely source of threat for your trade association? What do you feel is the most likely source of opportunity for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, internal changes. 16 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen 4. Case analysis Cases that form the basis for this research are created from interviews with experts on the use of technology as well as the strategic activities of an association. These associations were picked because of already available contacts, information that they had a special project going or that they had a special property that could provide insight. These cases are neither a random sample nor best suited examples, but attempts were made to make the set as diverse as possible. The cases themselves are in the attachments, this section will give a short overview of the cases and relevant information that has come from them. It will start with the summaries of the interviewed associations in 4.1, followed by discussion of topics that came to light during the open questions in 4.2, and then an overview of the closed questions related charts in 4.3 and finally analyzing some of these charts in 4.4. 4.1. The case associations Representatives of the following associations were interviewed: ZLTO One of the agricultural trade associations is a massive organization with funding and influence all over the place. Has a very progressive network and approach to their work. They are investing heavily in digitalizing their organization. NMT A dentists association has the privilege of being a trade left out of medical legislation, but the trade is behind on digitalization. They are catching up now because of some possible new experimental legislation that would be beneficial to them. A while ago they founded NMT Fenqs as a new digital financial service for their members to which has been a large success. Aedes The rental home corporation association has a very conservative approach to offering services. Uses quite a bit of new technologies for themselves, but is not reacting to other organizations starting association-like activities themselves. Worries that it´s member will act on their own without involving the association, but acknowledges that ultimately they are just businesses. BN The construction association has a more traditional structure to their activities, but does focus on what technology can do for their members. Digitalization is mostly to save paper and costs, but they ignore most new developments. Bedrijfschap Afbouw A government appointed umbrella organization for the (construction) finishing trade. This case shows the relation between unions and trade associations in a different perspective. Because of their government status, there are no worries threats besides government. 17 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen VBZ The association for bake ware and candy actively experiences companies offering similar services causing a member loss. If they do not keep production fresh content for their members, they will leave and get their services elsewhere. The real-estate associations This set of three cases forms a set looking at a single industry. Viewing this as a set allows us to ignore industry specifics as a variable in determining the importance of size. Also it allows us to view competition from multiple sides at once. They all have in common that the real-estate agents title no longer requires oath since 2001 resulting in a massive influx in numbers. Also there is Funda, a website offering a list of all for sale real-estate. Founded by the NVM it was initially exclusive to NVM agents, but has been opened up for all associations since 2008. On a European level they are mostly in agreement with each other, but do still send their own representatives to European meeting. None of them make use of social networks or IT service beyond a one-way news website, although they do all claim to be experimenting with some ideas. LMV The smallest of the real-estate agent associations is more free-trade oriented than the others. It is the only one that allows trade of property by the agents and tries to be as commercially friendly as possible by being cheap and offering cheap additional 3rd party services. Part of this is because they have limited size and this limits their ability to start some of these services themselves. VBO The middle of the real-estate agent associations sees itself as a protector of the consumer rather than its members and has taken the initiative to propose and create many regulations and governing bodies for specific issues that then often get used by the entire industry soon after. NVM The largest of the real-estate agent associations sees itself as a quality label for its members. It is the oldest and was originally a PBO and now tries to offer many services and requirements for members to distinguish themselves. They have an advantage of being the largest and has used this to set up in-house education and several other services. Cancelled appointments These organizations were contacted and the subject was discussed briefly, but contact ended without an interview because they did now have someone who knew enough about it / had time / felt like it. VVAA, Orde van medisch spec, ANWB, CHzorg and FNV bouw And some that were unable to be contacted for various reasons. These do still function as excellent examples of organizations that are in between association in a unique position and can be used for follow-up research or as verification. 18 Thesis 0.8 4.2. Han van Wieringen Open Questions and discussion trends The main part of the interviews consisted of discussing seven open questions (see 3.4) about the state of new developments within the association. Often these topics were discussed in depth to make sure context and meaning were correctly interpreted. However, these topics were often spread out over all seven questions. This was compiled into a seven question format for the cases, but to get most meaningful information requires comparing the cases side by side. This chapter will therefore look at the trends that were found across the cases. Rather than comparing answers given for each question, topics will be discussed by category as seen in chapter 2. These illustrate some of the more noteworthy findings as well as factors to be of influence ahead of time. 4.2.1. Minimalist strategy / maximizing strategy Although consensus among interviewed seems to be that the position of an association should be minimalist, allowing the market take over any services and activities where possible, among the interviewed organizations only Aedes seems to be actively pursuing this as a strategy. Most associations seem to not have an explicit strategy regarding this, but do claim working together with other associations whenever interests overlap and to use business solutions as 3rd party if they are available. In compliance to the ideas that new possibilities have opened up through the internet being used and competition is forcing more services to encourage membership, associations do all have some investments in services 4.2.2. Web 2.0 The use of social networks seems to be largely non-existent, neither use of existing networks nor having their own network. However, at the same time it´s been said that groups do form independently online and can cause problems for the associations like the niche groups of ZLTO or the afbouwnet.nl of the bedrijfschap afbouw. Overall, web 2.0 seems to be ignored and as shown this can caused problems as those examples illustrate. Most IT developments have been affecting the members of the trade itself rather than the association. For every example mentioned during the interviews the first response was always the effect on the members. 4.2.3. Size as a factor The real-estate agent associations’ cases served as the best example of size as a factor. It is not possible to compare associations of different sizes in different trades properly since there might be other factors influencing whatever threat or opportunity. There are also still problems with comparing associations within an industry, namely differences in policy are not the primary reason for selecting a different association as you would have in an ideal situation to compare. The only impact that size seems to have on the actions of an association is that larger ones provide in-house services. Smaller associations simply do not have the funds to start these most of the time and prefer 3rd party services. Other observations about size relating to perceived threat and opportunity are inconclusive, but the cases would suggest that the percentage of the market as members, total number of members or numbers of services offered do not have an obvious correlation to opinions about technology 19 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen 4.2.4. Transparency Almost every association acknowledged that transparency is important for members to be able to have insight in the activities of the association and stay in control and that internet can be very useful in achieving that. However, none of them currently had any system in place for it. Transparency is of course an almost automatic side effect of web 2.0 development; because information the whole point of the whole point of such system is interaction and user generated content would need to be transparent to work. 4.2.5. Competing with commercial organizations A few associations have acknowledged that they are somewhat threatened by businesses that are or are trying to compete with their services for members (This is to be expected according to Schmidt.) Competing on other activities though is almost universally denied, saying that some activities simply cannot be taken over. Overview of types of originations bordering associations. But if we look at the Star model again we can see that at the far sides of each of the activities is a commercial organization fulfilling those tasks. Perhaps an association cannot be split into five organizations, but if some of the outer layer organizations are active in an industry, we do expect competition on at least that activity. And that’s exactly what we do see in some cases. NMT is worried about insurance companies, VBZ is worried about advice bureaus and online societies are mentioned as an issue by several. The real-estate agents have started to enforce internal regulation much more since the government has dropped its regulation of it, a stricter government would result in less to do for internal and external regulation (it would most likely result in more lobbying though.) This competition can be viewed in a slightly different model as well (Tim van der Rijken, 2005), but the point remains that although denied it is quite possible to receive competition in these areas. This ties nicely into the whole technology issue, because the new technology facilitates the means for any organization to be active in broader fields more easily. Meaning that although there was no competition before, organizations could have spread to that field since the technology has become available. 20 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen 4.2.6. Competing with other associations Those associations that have multiple associations in the industry whether it’s a professionals association or a related industry´s trade association (dentist and mouth hygienists for example) the common response is that they will cooperate as soon as interests overlap. Any straight up competition that takes place is usually about a small issue, while they agree on most other things. This would mean that they are only interested in the greater good, but as the bedrijfschap afbouw put it, they are often just as concerned with who gets the credit for it. Depending on how many issues are currently at play in the trade member numbers can fluctuate quite heavily and they do feel pressure from this, although no tangible membership requirement threshold was giving. 4.2.7. Impossible for commercial organizations to take over activities More than half of the interviewees said that business were the most likely source of threat, but also more than half said that businesses cannot take over the activities of an association. I think the misunderstanding here is that the services activity offered by associations is the primary place to compete with businesses, but the other activities performed by an association can also be considered services (networking, representation or guidelines even.) The organizations that offer these are not businesses, but without being explicitly aware of the distinction it is hard to perceive them as such. Associations might be aware that other types of organizations can cost them members, but they tend to see them as businesses. The activity that is threatened varies with each type of organization. Businesses do not supply internal regulations for the industry for example, but franchises do. Looking at this issue through the star model could help an association better deal with this issue. 4.2.8. Not using possibilities Multiple of the above trends point to associations not using the available possibilities. Even though most of associations indicate that they see opportunities, they do not seem to be making use of them. There is a mismatch between their expectations and how much they are actively pursuing the issues. In most cases there is no effort being made to invest in setting up their own social network or joining an existing network, they are usually explained as it not being necessary. General digitalization seems up to modern standards in term of website usage for news, logins for member service and internal links to the site are often recently established or in the making. However, the developments that were suspected of having the biggest impacts (social networks, online knowledge databases and communication systems) were only experimental at best, usually with negative results so far. LMV, BN and VBZ have all mentioned tests with chat , forums and networks that they ended up not using. 21 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen 4.2.9. Low threat, big impact On average the associations do not experience threat from technological developments, but do expect an often huge impact (as can be seen below in 4.3 and 4.4.) This could be attributed to that they also often have quite highly perceived opportunities, but this does not fit with the fact that they often did not have any plans for the new developments. If there are opportunities real enough that an impact can be expected, why aren’t there more tangible examples of investments in these? 4.2.10. Low threat, big opportunity This is the most common response to the situation, but it also seems like a quick easy answer. It is easier to say you see opportunities and do not see threats, regardless of what you actually feel about the situation. This is shown in that their actions usually do not reflect this, as very little investment is made in new developments. However, the poll by VM-online last December (VM-online 2009) does give the same result. In that 85% of respond that social networks would be a usefull tool for associations, 7% that social networks are direct competition and 7% that association members did not use those things. 4.3. Closed questions scores The interviews also contained a closed questions component that was used to ask some simple, but quantifiable questions regarding the main activities and other organizations about threats and opportunities. This complements the information from the open interviews. A complete overview of answers is available in appendix B This table gives a summary of answers the questions of what the main activity or source was before they graded it. This illustrates how answers are very evenly distributed, with the exception of source of threat where businesses take a big lead. Tabel 1 summary of closed questions Main activity lobbying services feedback internal agreements external agreements 2 2 2 2 1 Main impacted activity lobbying services feedback internal agreements external agreements 2 2 3 0 1 Main source of threat members businesses online sources internal changes 1 5 2 1 Main opportunity members online sources internal changes technology other associations 1 2 1 2 2 22 Thesis 0.8 4.4. Han van Wieringen Charts for closed questions Alone these numbers mean very little and are hard to read, so to illustrate the most notable trends I have included charts that highlight them. First we look at a find in the summary table of the main source of threat, then we look at some comparisons of the scores associations gave to threats and opportunities. The questions were meant to be viewed in pairs to remove the difference in threat and opportunity bias that each organization might have and to illustrate this difference while keeping each question useful in itself. 4.4.1. Businesses are the largest perceived source of threat. The only noteworthy find in the tally of activity and source components of the closed questions was that businesses are named as the most likely source of threat to the association 5 out of 9 times. This could be interpreted as a sign that associations are focusing more on services and are therefore competing with businesses, but this could also be the result of associations seeing any organization that isn’t an association as a business. Main source of threat summary members businesses online sources internal changes 23 1 5 2 1 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen 4.4.2. Main activity threat is low while opportunity is high. Average of threat to and opportunity to main activity 2,78 6,78 The common answer is that the opportunity to the main activity of the association is much higher than any threat. The main activities are equally divided, but none of them seems to have a pattern to it. This data could be taken as a sign that primary activities aren’t threatened, but this cannot be discerned without asking different questions. 4.4.3. Expected impact is high Average of impact on most affected activity and on all 7,17 5,61 Main impact is mostly very high and overall impact is often expected to be high in most cases as well, except for some that are very low (NMT, BN and LMV.) Interestingly these all have technology/online sources as their main threat. ZLTO also had this, but has a radically different policy compared to the former. Internal and external agreements are understandably less a choice as main impact since it is harder to digitalize those. 24 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen 4.4.4. Business as main threat and overall threat Average of threat from most threatening source and average threat 6,17 4,72 The perceived threats are somewhat spread out, but interestingly most have named businesses as their main threat even though they also have all said that they cannot take over activities. 4.4.5. Perceived opportunities Average opportunity from most beneficial source and 2,78 6,78 average The perceived opportunities are high all around with no noteworthy relations seen, though it might be noted that there is no preferred reason for the opportunities, so technology cannot get credit for it. 25 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen 5. Considerations During any research project decisions are made that steer the course of the project and could be called into question by any readers. Though not every one of these can be predicted, some predictable comments can be answered ahead of time. The political representation is the core activity of an association and can never be replaced by for example a business offering services. This may or may not be true; businesses have found some creative solutions before. More importantly, the importance of the lobbying service varies heavily between associations as well as the current political environment varies over time. If there is nothing to represent at a time, and the member go to another organization because they have better benefits, then when a situation does arise and the new organization decides to lobby for it, it seems quite feasible. Even if they do not, the association might already have lost so many members that it can no longer effectively pressure politics. You have only interviewed a few associations; this is not representative of the country and the ones you have selected are biased. This research certainly can´t claim to represent all associations in the netherlands and the small number makes it very susceptible to bias. I attempted to avoid bias by contacting associations of different sizes and fields. The interviews have so far been often surprising and the results on some opinions seem to vary quite a bit. It might be possible that the organizations avoided making an appointment actually did not have anyone involved in these issues and is therefore biased against those, similarly any organization that does not have its information on the internet has a small chance of being noticed and contacted, but almost every organization is online in some form these days. Your source material is limited While this might be my lack of skill, I have had help from a colleague at Mazars in finding relevant papers and articles. So I have confidence that there are no important sources I have overlooked. The main problems seem to be that the terms we are searching for a fairly ambiguous and there simple seem to be few papers on the subjects. Also, while this literature gives an idea of “why” the situation might be as it is, it is fairly irrelevant as to the main question “what is the perceived threat”. Case XX has a flaw in it / contradicts itself / has left something out. The cases included in this research are not transcripts of the interviews, often a conversation would go on tangents and sometimes the subject would sometimes be misunderstood because the case in question has no examples. Also sometimes a person would change their mind about a situation during the conversation as they understood what I was researching more. The interview was then restructured in the form of the question format in order to make them more comparable. Each case was given back to the person interviewed for comments before using it. You should have used more new web technology yourself for this research since you are about it. Multiple times during this research I have thought about and attempted to set up some surveys or research blog, but I have always cancelled because the questions require a bit of depth and conversation to be useful. Associations contacted this way would be biases to being more IT skilled and using technology with which I am not an expert as a main information source for a master thesis seemed like a bad idea. 26 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen Organization maturity is important to their perception of these things, you did not select on this. Maturity is a term that describes multiple things about an organization and is fairly hard to measure. On top of that, maturity doesn´t even guarantee anything about their response, if it is a factor in these cases then is should be clear through the context of the cases how the results should be viewed. The organizations you did not talk to would have made this a much better paper It´s not like I didn´t try to contact them, I just failed to get an appointment in the end. Of course feel free to take them as a recommended starting point for any future research since I did feel like they could contribute something. You saw these things in the cases because you wanted to, you did not stay objective. I admit that I want a nice story, something that fits together somehow, whether there is a threat, no threat, big opportunities, as long as there is some common thread I am happy. The last thing I want is that the cases go all over the place and all disagree with each other, BUT while interviewing the people I hardly knew yet if I needed a specific outcome to make the story fit, I just pursued whatever they thought were important at the time. Afterwards cases were sent back to them to review in case I said something untrue. Why didn´t you use the competing organizations from the star model as basis for questions Q5 through Q8? This is most likely just a design flaw on my part, by the time I had considered using these as basis for the questions several cases had already been made. On the bright side very few associations seemed to even be aware of competing with other types of organization than businesses. This might not have come to light otherwise. 27 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen 6. Conclusions The whole point of this research was to answer the research question “How do trade associations react to the threats and opportunities of web 2.0?” This consisted of the two parts, what parts pose a threat? And how can it be used to their advantage? Remember that all questions focus on the association´s experience and perception of the subjects and that a quantifiable true threat and opportunity is not dealt with here. I wish I could have presented more objective results since those are harder to argue against and are less subject to interpretation, but the subjective threats and opportunities will provide insight into actions. First we´ll take a look at the research question, then other noteworthy finding and opinions that could benefit any involved party. What parts of web 2.0 pose a threat to trade associations? There is a small amount of threat from independent use of web 2.0 and quite a bit from businesses using it. Some of the independent groups are using social networks and independent initiatives, which can result in uncontrolled sub-groups. Of all sources businesses are most often named as the main source of threat. To counter these threats very little preventive actions are taken. Social networks are monitored, but policies seem to be to “wait and see.” How can web 2.0 be used by trade associations to their advantage? Whenever new opportunities were mentioned it always pointed to general digitalization rather than web 2.0 specifically. The things that did serve as examples of web 2.0 were mostly called impractical. Services and identity/feedback seem to be the most popular applications for the new technology and fits with their activities nicely. To fit with their business model small changes might have to be made when introducing new services, but no changes are planned to the overall setup. Strange considering since quite a few do expect a large impact on the association. They are using these opportunities (besides general digitalization of information) mostly by keeping an eye on social networks, but not actively doing anything with them. The benefits of setting up a web services or a community contribution system are most likely dependant on the organization type. Service oriented associations will need to make use of everything available just to stay competitive. Those that focus on internal regulation will most likely feel the least effect, but can still benefit greatly from using social networks to communicate and reach out to members. So, how do trade associations perceive the threats and opportunities of web 2.0? The observation simple seems to be that they do not. They do not seem to be aware of the possibilities or the all the threats or the overall effect it has on their field of work. I would say that they are not using it to its full potential, but we do not know what that potential is for associations yet. Associations are still uneducated on the subject and cannot make proper decisions. Sometimes LinkedIn is mentioned as a more professional network and then they acknowledge how useful it is and that members use it, but they seem to regard most other networks (Hyves usually) as unprofessional, without seeing that there are others or one could be started themselves. 28 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen Outer organizations pushing back Quite a few of the associations worried about competition from another source then internet or other associations, but most were grouped under “businesses” even though that is probably not the right term for them. The idea that the organizations on the outer edge of the star model were competing with associations came up in the latter part of the research and so was not included in the interviews However, re-interpreting the cases with it in mind does seem to indicate that this is the case. This also means that interviews that called businesses their primary threat source but did not have services as their main activity to make more sense. Trade associations are surrounded by other types of associations and similar organizations. These are all potential competitors for the same members, as they are not often member of multiple associations when one offers the same services as the other. The cases usually described their relationship with these other associations as a non-conflict. If there ever was a situation where interests overlapped it would be resolved between them, even the realestate associations agreed with each other on most of the issues. Most associations simply seem to have a disposition towards cooperation with other organizations. Changing mentality? The main development in IT is that communication is 2-way now, but this cannot completely be responsible for some of changes seen in businesses competing with associations. In their words “Businesses are becoming more like associations”, this cannot all be the result of them having new technology, but unfortunately I did not have the opportunity to talk to a business to get their point of view on the matter. 29 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen The main threat Specifically in the area between Identity and services we expected to find the most perceived threat (this topic was discussed with Dedan Schmidt), partly because services are covered more by businesses than any other area and identity because that’s where the most developments have taken place. Businesses are considered the biggest threat along with online sources, but the others seem almost neglected. This might be because of a classification error and everything gets lumped under `business`. Threatened area Easily sub-grouped area Warning for associations If you look at the lobbying and internal regulation activities they are fairly easy to apply to any group. The developments in social networks and others focus explicitly on forming groups and as we have seen, associations are not using them. Combining a minimalist strategy with a development that you yourself have deemed to have a big impact and a threat seems like a really bad idea. Businesses can offer services, the government and franchises can offer regulation, the internet can offer networking opportunities and unless an association would be ok with existing only when an issue arises and thinks it can rally members just for the occasion, representation would be all that’s left. Schmidt (Dedan Schmidt, 2008) suggest that the proper strategy for an association is filling only the gaps left by the other factors in the market, and for the most part this seems to be exactly what they are doing. When government regulations or market services step in, associations take a step back and they step in when businesses and government take a step back. However, in the areas of internal regulation, identity and representation everyone seems free to add to identity of the trade and group forming. If you have a group, you are free to have internal regulations in it and represent it. The means to do this are now also available to everyone with the internet. The effectiveness of this is of course dependant on how well you organize, but it is quite possible to get very close to the core of an association with just that (see also the propeller model.) Is having a minimalist strategy still valid when potentially faced with an onslaught of competition that takes up more than a little part of the activities chart? 30 Thesis 0.8 Han van Wieringen Implications for businesses Businesses that are interested in expanding into any field can apply much of the topics discusses here to their advantage as well. By viewing the product as a service provided to a network you can then expand services to related activities in the star model. For example it is easy enough to go from a franchise to setting number of internal and external standards in the industry. Or go towards marketing the image of the industry, like how McDonalds is trying to portray fast-food as organic and healthy. Cooperation with associations is another option. Most associations have said to work with businesses if that would provide benefits to their members. Implications for users of social networks One of the more often named threats is members acting on their own. One of the main parts of the new developments is social networks; these allow users to form groups online that would previously have required more work. Because of this, users can act on their own to rally people should they disagree with the actions of the association or if the association isn´t acting on an issue. Additionally, as shown by the star diagram, there are many alternatives for associations when active on a specific activity. If in any trade the main association does not engage in an activity (for example setting a norm for a new technology), nothing is stopping the members from forming their own co-operation. Though the association would most likely jump is as soon as it becomes viable for the whole trade. The accounting world (Including Mazars) currently has a new system they have to use “XBRL”. The association NIVRA (not a case) is currently not providing any assistance or guidelines on the issue, so accounting firms could band together and organize something themselves. 31 Thesis 0.8 6.1. Han van Wieringen Ideas for future research During the time I have worked on this project its limitations have become obvious and many topics have come up that would be interesting to explore. I can´t deal with objective threat and the field of associations is still difficult to understand because every association plays by their own rules, not to mention differences internationally. Some of you reading this might be working on something related, another thesis or research project. For those readers, here are some suggestions for that research. How far can association activities be taken over by a single organization? Can businesses really grow in all an associations activities and still be a business. Several large organizations that have a monopoly in their industry seem to have positions like that. How far can association activities be taken over when split among multiple organizations? Can the members be split among several organizations, each providing their own part association activities? Or would one simple grow and take over the others? How does the commercial competition experience the new technology and the associations? I wanted to interview a few companies, but did not get around to it. Is this research applicable to other countries? 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ASSOCIATIONS NOW, January (2007). Tech on parade. 35 Case VBZ 0.1 Han van Wieringen 38 Case VBZ 0.1 Han van Wieringen Appendix A Cases 39 Case VBZ 0.1 Han van Wieringen 40 Case VBZ 0.1 Han van Wieringen Organisation Vereniging van bakkers en zoetwaren Interviewed Ton Baas Monday august 10 Size: Medium Trade: Baking and sweets industry Diversity of services: Medium Description The association for the baking and sweet ware industry is the results of a fusion of several smaller associations of different industries. They are currently one of the largest players in the industry in Europe and have influence in large number of political and industrial developments. Do not underestimate how large a part of the food market baking is, as well as how much of a sweet tooth the Dutch have, just look at how many aisles are dedicated to them in a local supermarket. The industry is one of cut-throat competition, there is no real room to grow in market share (we only eat so much) and so any growth is at the price of another product. However it is also a market of easy entrance, anyone can start a bakery or sweets production. It is also a very fluctuating and unstable market, even the big parties don´t have more than 15% market share and products of every kind are constantly appearing and disappearing. Questions and discussed subjects When introducing the subject to Mr. Baas he immediately agreed that commercial organizations pose a very real threat to associations. The main factor in this according to him was that member look at their own benefits for the money they pay and compare it to similar services offered from other parties. If you can´t compete, you will lose members. Open questions Has the organisation observed technological developments that might be important either as a threat or opportunity in the last 2 years? One of the main developments for the VBZ is their online knowledge database for their members. Here they keep not just regulations and relevant interesting information, but post new information packages that they actively create and research. These kinds of services are required because just political representation and acting as a social hub aren´t enough to keep members. What are these threats and opportunities in the area of information technology? This information is protected from non-members by a log-in, but the new information packages can still easily leak out through members, log-ins being shared and various other means that result in hard fought for advantages becoming everyone’s common knowledge. Accountants, legal advisers and personnel departments leak information everywhere. Financial service providers, auditors and consultancy companies all take the information packages and use them to offer services to members and potential members. A big factor in everything is how speed has changed. You cannot afford to be a week late with updates, you need them every hour. Information can be found by anyone if it´s out there and requires your activities to be visible and transparent to your members because the response of leaving your organisation is also a lot faster. 41 Case VBZ 0.1 Han van Wieringen How far could other organisations take over association activities? Political representation, regulating the industry through certificates so the government doesn´t interfere, COA negotiations and managing labour are important activities that cannot easily be taken over. But the advice and support services can be taken over easily, companies that offer these are a big threat. Marketing groups, where businesses share their data in order to get information about similar companies in order to compare numbers and obtain trend information are also becoming more association like. How have you responded to all this? The focus has shifted to being more supportive of entrepreneurs in the industry, offering support for members in the problems encountered by everyone. By fortifying the support services they are less at risk. Partially this is a response to the companies posing a threat, but mostly it´s to act on what the industry needs. How does this affect your business model? Pressure to increase performances have resulted in the association becoming more businesslike and needing to be able to account for everything spent, as well as trying to come up with ways to save money. We are held accountable for how many members we have and how happy they are with the situation. One way was going from several CAO´s to a single one for the industry, which saves a large amount of time and money spent. This is also why we push for general digitalisation; correspondents are less needed now for example. Resources had to be shifted to make new research was done and product packages for members are made. What are your views on commercialisation of trade associations? The current main source for information are the large members, they provide information from experience for the rest of the industry to learn from, but only after they have exhausted the advantage gained from it for themselves of course. Third party services could be used for additional services, but they would be maintained by the association as much as possible. 42 Case VBZ 0.1 Han van Wieringen What do you feel would be the best solution for this issue? Both for the market and your organisation. To maintain an effective position VBZ needs to have a pro-active stance. Projects are being started like border control (douane) initiative, energy scan and entrepreneur scan. Working with other associations if necessary if that’s what the industry needs. One danger though is the mega-companies; the ones pretty much own an entire industry. These don´t need an association anymore, but we suppose that for those instances it´s needed it would form as a part of such a mega-company. Additional discussion. Social networks are an issue for every association as niche groups tend to form on them often. VBZ tries to be a member of them and be involved in them as opposed to starting their own network. Relations with the industry are important so several events are held per year to meet and greet the people and maintain relationships and bind members. It is perceived as vital to the existence of the association that a trusted environment (ons-kent-ons) is maintained. Certificates are a dangerous tool, if too much value is placed on it you can create “good companies” vs “bad companies”, this should be avoided. Other related organisations like the FNLI (the food umbrella organisation) have influence in the industry and there is constant uncertainty as to what activities belong to what organisation. 43 Case VBZ 0.1 Han van Wieringen Closed questions Which of these activities does the trade association perform and which is their primary activity? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback Services, you got to maintain a lead. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to this activity from new technology? How much opportunity is there for this activity from new technology? 2 8 Which activity is most likely to be replaced or enhanced by new technologies and how? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback Lobbying, FNLI will big a big change On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How big an impact will this change have on the activity? How big an impact will this change have on the organisation? 8 7 What do you feel is the most likely source of threat for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Businesses, stealing information On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to your organisation from this source? How much threat is there to your organisation from all sources collectively on average? 6.5 5.5 What do you feel is the most likely source of opportunity for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Cooperation with other associations, but we got to try to be the ones in control. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much opportunity is there to your organisation from this source? How much opportunity is there for your organisation thanks to these sources on average? 7 4 44 Case VBZ 0.1 Han van Wieringen In closing It is nice to have an organisation have such a clear idea from the beginning that the issues predicted at the start of this research are true. Certainly this does not mean they are true in any way, nor should I let it affect my conclusion more than the other cases, but it is nice to see an outspoken opinion on it. VBZ is good example of an association that is aware that surroundings can change and tries to act on feedback it receives about this. Any organisation needs feedback on a number of factors and often finance is the only thing really looked at. According to VBZ in the last 3 or 4 years developments like the ones discussed have caught the attention of research organisations like Berenschot as well. Perhaps these should be contacted to discuss the subject, because as of this writing Dhr. Peck doesn´t seem to be available at all anymore. 45 Organization ZLTO Interviewed Ruud Hoosemans Monday 15 June 2009 Size: Large Trade: Agriculture Diversity of services: Large Description The ZLTO is a large agricultural trade association in the southern half of the Netherlands. It owns multiple other organizations besides the trade association, but considers that to be its core. The agricultural sector was described as one in which associations have formed early in history and therefore has a mix of corporations and associations overlapping. It also consists of a large number of niche markets that tend to form their own sub-associations and groups. Questions and discussed subjects Open questions Has the organisation observed technological developments that might be important either as a threat or opportunity in the last 2 years? In the past years ZLTO has digitised their periodical newsletter into a constantly updated website that also functions as a central platform for a huge number of other services offered. Investment have been made to support electronic billing, single sign-on redirecting to the members relevant services and some interesting advanced things. Satellite imaging for example is now used by members to calculate required watering as well as being used for a number of real-estate functions. This service was initially developed by a company who decided the quickest way to get their product into the market was via the association. Other than that new services are constantly being explored. What are these threats and opportunities in the area of information technology? These investments so far have already proven to be a great opportunity to expand their quality members and they expect new developments to be equally important. LinkedIn is already being used and on their site a social community package is being implemented. Existing networks currently out on the net like Hyves are not being used, although it was admitted that groups can and do form on these, particularly in the niche markets. These can form their own association and get picked up as a market by companies if ignored. How far could businesses take over their activities? Because of the nature of the agricultural trade big companies often already somewhat overlap with association activities, they have their own networks and services for members. However while admittedly a trade associations activities should therefore be easy enough to take over ZLTO considers itself active on a level above this. It considering itself fulfilling a “spider in the web” or “director´s seat” function and therefore not as threatened. How have you responded to all this? They are trying to stay ahead technologically. As many options as possible are explored and those that are deemed impractical or unprofitable are discarded, the rest are used. This has resulted in the whole organisation digitalising. Every service and activity currently performed must have a digital equivalent that should replace it as soon as possible. This goes for meetings, discussions, payments, newsletters, knowledge banks and services. As a result of digitalisation internal processes are currently undergoing some big changes, mostly as a result of both digital and real world version needing to co-exist. Case ZLTO 0.1 Han van Wieringen How does this affect your business model? Because of the nature of the agricultural trade the line between pure association and business was blurred quite some time ago. ZLTO owns several businesses that act as a source of finance as well as having a fund where other businesses invest in ZLTO. These are primarily used to fund the activities of the association besides member contribution at about a 1 to 5 ratio. ZLTO does claim however it primarily and most importantly considers itself in service of its members. What are your views on commercialisation of trade associations? It should not be a problem for a trade association to get funding from other sources then members as long as in the event of a conflict of interest the members and good of the industry. This was claimed to be upheld and supported by the fact that there is a separate component for each (LTO member benefits and LTO commerce.) However no example of a true conflict of interest occurring was discussed. What do you feel would be the best solution for this issue? Both for the market and your organisation. ZLTO maintains it position as above the network and trying to maintain productive relations between all parties beneficial of the whole industry. Therefore it feels that all issues should be able to be resolved in cooperation somehow it will continue to provide as many high quality services to as many parties and members as possible to accomplice this. In the event of a dispute however between two similarly sized parties with opposing viewpoints or simple unwillingness to cooperate for whatever reason, highest quality of services and increasing member’s numbers are the only option. Additional discussion. Membership numbers is ultimately a simple goal for an association and an effective way to measure threat and opportunity with. While no association is expected to ever directly state this as one of their main goals, ZLTO did acknowledge that there is truth in it. Competition between associations and businesses was also acknowledged with large firms like Campina being a big example of one building its own network and offering services. Because of the nature of the industry this is not a big deal and members are often part of multiple networks. Uniqueness is required to keep them a part of it. The expanding of reach for an association also means that ZLTO will no longer be limited to the southern region of the Netherlands, and while no international developments were mentioned competition with the northern LTO was expected. Whether there will be cooperation or competition between them is yet unknown. 48 Case ZLTO 0.1 Han van Wieringen Closed questions Which of these activities does the trade association perform and which is their primary activity? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback Services are the main activities, followed by the feedback with members. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to this activity from new technology? How much opportunity is there for this activity from new technology? 4 8 Which activity is most likely to be replaced or enhanced by new technologies and how? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback Feedback, the current non digital method is not only time consuming but distance is also. This requires more capacity, more speed and more creative methods to have all members represented. This is simply not possible with conventional methods and requires an overhaul in the associations processes as well. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How big an impact will this change have on the activity? How big an impact will this change have on the organisation? 8 8 What do you feel is the most likely source of threat for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Businesses, the big firms all have their networks and services close to what an association can offer and if not kept up they could really put a damper on member numbers. Other sources not so much. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to your organisation from this source? 7 How much threat is there to your organisation from all sources collectively on average? 4 What do you feel is the most likely source of opportunity for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Online sources most likely, if these are going to form on their own we should use that somehow. But all these have their opportunities for us. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much opportunity is there to your organisation from this source? How much opportunity is there for your organisation thanks to these sources on average? 8 7.5 In closing While ZLTO considers there to be far more opportunities then threats from the developments, they do reveal that if the organisation does not keep with the new trends the threats can suddenly become very real very fast. 49 Organization Aedes Interviewed Ellen de Vries Friday 10 July 2009 Added: IT report Aedes Size: Large Trade: Rental housing Diversity of services: Small Description Aedes is the association for rental home corporations. It´s most notable feature is that it is far less devoted to services as other associations thus far observed and instead focuses on dealing with politics. Te government tries to manage the housing market and this often leads to situations that the association has to react to. Questions and discussed subjects Open questions Has the organisation observed technological developments that might be important either as a threat or opportunity in the last 2 years? The internal structure of the organisation has changes a few years ago and the software has been updated to support these changes. This includes internal knowledge management, network management tools and detailed information about what colleges have done or are planning. Windex and SharePoint were mentioned as two packages. Aedesnet is the website of the association, with separate functions for members. The main function is currently to act as a meeting platform for network building and maintenance. There is currently no link between functionality of the website and processes in the association. What are these threats and opportunities in the area of information technology? When people have connected with each other via their network they act independently of it from that point on and there is no need for the association anymore. Often corporations will also have their own similar services. How far could businesses take over their activities? The networking and knowledge management functions are being taken often (although constantly shifting somewhat) by the corporations themselves, leaving Aedes to focus on lobbying functions. How have you responded to all this? These changes are not considered threats, focus is shifted to lobbying and is slowly being filtered out from all other activities. If the members ever feel that a central organisation like Aedes should offer certain services they will bring it up. There are some thought about social network software to support in these activities, but these are still experimental and not very active. Case Aedes 0.1 Han van Wieringen How does this affect your business model? Part of the corporations doing more themselves is because they are fusing and growing rapidly lately. This means fewer members, but they have different needs. The recent restructuring of the internal organisation was to accommodate this. Besides lobbying we have taken up more internal regulation, maintaining a positive image for the market, halting observed excesses and codes of conduct. What are your views on commercialisation of trade associations? Real-estate agents could take over contacts and specialised law offices can because central advice sources, but seems unlikely that lobbying will be taken over. The association is nothing more than a collection of members, if they want to do something else with it, they will. What do you feel would be the best solution for this issue? Both for the market and your organisation. No reaction on out part is needed, the members are all entrepreneurs. Meaning they are the kind to take initiative if they can benefit from it. As long as at least 50% of the country´s corporations are members there is no need to worry about continued existence and Aedes is at 98% membership at the moment. Additional discussion. The building of new homes for rent overlaps with that of homes for sale. Though Aedes is only for corporations (who rent homes) this is a possible area of expansion, since according to them there is currently no such body in existence for sold homes. This is mainly because these are built through either independent contractors or project developers. However the corporations running Aedes most likely are not interested in this. 52 Case Aedes 0.1 Han van Wieringen Closed questions Which of these activities does the trade association perform and which is their primary activity? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback Lobbying, it pretty much all we do. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to this activity from new technology? How much opportunity is there for this activity from new technology? 2 8 Which activity is most likely to be replaced or enhanced by new technologies and how? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback Feedback from and to members, other activities are changing at the moment, but not because of technology. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How big an impact will this change have on the activity? How big an impact will this change have on the organisation? 8 8 What do you feel is the most likely source of threat for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Corporations growing, fusing and then acting independently from the rest of the association of initiatives that would be more effective if done on a national scale. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to your organisation from this source? How much threat is there to your organisation from all sources collectively on average? 5 2 What do you feel is the most likely source of opportunity for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Corporations growing and demanding different services and structure from the association to meet the needs, this allows for new ideas and structure to best support the trade. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much opportunity is there to your organisation from this source? How much opportunity is there for your organisation thanks to these sources on average? 9 6.5 53 Case Aedes 0.1 Han van Wieringen IT audit questions What are the five most important strategic goals of the association? Binding the members, structuring the trade, lobby their needs and provide additional services. What is your IT strategy? Could you name five points? Just one, support the main strategy. How do you let your IT strategy match your business strategy? The people in charge try to maintain as much link as possible. Who in your organisation is responsible for the IT Policy? One director plus the head of daily affairs (hoofd bedrijfsvoering) are in charge. Do you ever have your IT environment tested by an auditor? Yes, Mazars and Nobel for example. If you do, does this include the strategy and governance planning? Yes, matching that is basically the only goal. What part of your IT strategy are you insecure about at the moment or would like additional security about? (not just content, but handling of it as well) The separation of intra / extranet, currently both are separated IT project and there is very little communication between digital front and back office because of it. Some integration would really help things. Questions were reviewed and possible modified for new reports after this report was made. In closing Aedes is a nice example of an association focussing on a single task rather than trying to offer as many as possible and a nice example of letting the members run the organisation rather than just having the members respond if they aren’t pleased. If the idea about new technology posing a threat to associations is correct, then we would expect to see it in organisations like Aedes (small amount of services), but they appear to not experience it like that at the moment. 54 Organization bedrijfschap afbouw Interviewed Anton van Kruistum Monday august 10 Size: Small Trade: Construction Diversity of services: Small Description Because this was a different type of organization from the associations seen so far, the questions asked focused more on the exact role of that type of organization and the connection between the different types of organization then before. A “Bedrijfschap” is an organization that performs activities very similar to a trade association, but it is mandated by law that all organizations in that industry register at it. This type of organization was introduced by the Germans in the Second World War and has been around since. Whether it should exist is occasionally subject to debate. The creation of this type of organization requires that social partners (organizations representing both sides of the industry, employers and employees) request the government for the creation of one. These social partners also have the power to disband it if either feels it is no longer desired. The social partners for afbouw are the FNV afbouw and the NOA. For an industry with multiple associations active in it participation on the board are still required to be 50% employers’ representation and 50% employees’ representation (except for the neutral chairman). Activities of a bedrijfschap can be anything a normal association would do, but usually the social partners will want to do as much activities as possible themselves because it allows them to appear actively involved and draw members that way. Any activity that benefits the industry as a whole but requires either too much resources or data not available to the partners is done by the organization. Recently a big reorganization took place cutting most of the employees. Efforts were made to move as much activities to the social partners as possible. To be lawfully representative an organization needs 60% of the workforce as a member. This same percentage applies to all associations that want to act as representatives for lobbying purposes. This illustrates the need for all associations to hand on to members. Questions and discussed subjects Open questions Has the organisation observed technological developments that might be important either as a threat or opportunity in the last 2 years? Most of the employees active in the industry mostly if not completely ignore IT for their work. However the organisation wants to stimulate a certain amount of digitalisation and provides as much as possible information on their website to at least be there if needed. Because a bedrijfschap legally requires membership is has no need for member-only services, but can offer everything to everyone interested. What are these threats and opportunities in the area of information technology? Because the workers in the industry are so far behind to the point of almost disliking reading information must be delivered to them in an extremely carefully prepared manner. With some new handheld devices and mobile websites information delivery could advance hugely to a very practical level for workers. Case Bedrijfschap afbouw 0.1Han van Wieringen How far could other organisations take over association activities? The social partners are the foundation of the organisation, therefore it will never do something to conflict or compete with those interests. However some business might come close to overlapping with either of the social partners, but these are dependent on each other already so any action that overlaps too much would have to come from newcomers to the market. As a 3rd party service the cooperation between association and business is almost always more profitable. Independent groups though have in the past played a part. Five years ago the ceiling and wall workers felt that they had not been treated fairly for the contribution they had paid and went on afbouwnet.nl to rant about their plight and almost formed a niche group of their own. How have you responded to all this? Afbouwnet.nl was taken over by the social partners and other social networks are somewhat being monitored. Efforts are being made to do what is best for the industry, even if its member might not want it. Workers that have completed an education are not inclined to pay for another person’s education for example. This is blamed on a massive short sightedness that is prevalent throughout the industry combined with the niche being younger than most of the construction trade. If not taken care of properly certain issues will eventually cause problems How does this affect your business model? The big reorganisation left some people specialised for the IT information services. There is a new regulation that bedrijfschappen have to be polls every 4 years among the employers about services and necessity. What are your views on commercialisation of trade associations? As a bedrijfschap it offers no extra services besides what is deemed necessary for the good of the industry by the social partners. No association should ever use have their position be to make money. However the position of the association to influence the workers and through them the market should not be underestimated. An example was given of the type of plaster used and how producers already try to influence the workers rather than the employers who have to purchase it. What do you feel would be the best solution for this issue? Both for the market and your organisation. This is an extremely fickle industry and any rash actions taken can result in other parties turning against you. Multiple organisations and groups are often intertwined in ways that are much more delicate than seems at first glance. Advertisements in a magazine being stopped can result in the whole industry back lashing against a brand. Appearances at meetings and socials greatly impact trades. Cars executives are seen in can break their career, but then this does apply to all trades to a degree. Additional discussion. One example of stimulating technology was that a new edition of a book was available on the website and the plan was not to have it in physical form yet for a year, thus rewarding those who use the technology without revealing it to be the intention. This in my opinion is a good approach to the problem. 56 Case Bedrijfschap afbouw 0.1Han van Wieringen Closed questions Which of these activities does the trade association perform and which is their primary activity? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback Internally binding agreements, setting regulations and inspections. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to this activity from new technology? How much opportunity is there for this activity from new technology? Money is a big restricting factor for most workers to realistically a 3 1 8 Which activity is most likely to be replaced or enhanced by new technologies and how? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback Feedback On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How big an impact will this change have on the activity? How big an impact will this change have on the organisation? 8 7 What do you feel is the most likely source of threat for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Commercial organisations for the social partners. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to your organisation from this source? Politics is also a big threat, but on a different level, 7 How much threat is there to your organisation from all sources collectively on average? 4 5.5 What do you feel is the most likely source of opportunity for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Better relations with the employers / employees (internal) On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much opportunity is there to your organisation from this source? How much opportunity is there for your organisation thanks to these sources on average? 7 8 57 Case Bedrijfschap afbouw 0.1Han van Wieringen In closing Bedrijfschap afbouw serves as a unique case among the others. It gives some insight into the workings of associations that they would not normally admit to themselves. Mainly how money driven they are on some aspects and how they can manipulate memberships at times. The relationships between the different types of organizations and the competitions between them is shown somewhat, although because of the limited amount within this trade it might not be fully applicable to others. Also the 60% representation limit is important and that this is well known and closely monitored by most associations. It means that there is a physical line that competition from commercial and other sources can push it against. The separation of employers and employees is much more dependent on the industry though. Please keep in mind that the questions in this case were often not discussed in order and style of a normal association and that any question not relevant to the bedrijfschap would be about the associations in that trade in general. This interview was primarily an exploration of the relations between the different types of organization and the perspective on the issues as viewed from an organization that is theoretically outside of the influence of threat. 58 Organization Bouwend Nederland Interviewed Herman Meerbach Wednesday aug 5 Size: Large Trade: Construction Diversity of services: Small Description BN is the largest trade association for the construction industry in the Netherlands, its primary focus is on political representation and maintaining a healthy industry after the big fraud scandals of the previous years. Questions and discussed subjects Open questions Has the organisation observed technological developments that might be important either as a threat or opportunity in the last 2 years? A general digitalisation has been promoted in the organisation for some time now, but because people in this industry seem to prefer physical versions it is expected that complete digitalisation will take at least another year up to five years. Online social networks have resulted in several independent groups forming, they are trying to stay in contact with these and feel that they should stay at the forefront with these developments. The website for the organisation has been renovated, but is still has very little special member features. What are these threats and opportunities in the area of information technology? The independent groups are an issue and are being monitored, but it is still being evaluated how big an issue it is. The new developments are considered mostly a benefit for the daily activities of the members than an opportunity for the association. How far could businesses take over their activities? There is a remote possibility businesses will become competitors, but the idea was mostly just considered impossible as there are mostly political and industry wide activities by the organisation and any business would sooner want to work with them then compete with them. Although there is “de zaak” which is trying, but little threat is perceived from this at the moment. The FNV´s Construction focuses on the independents and if they grow into more mature businesses they will join BN, so they are not considered an issue. How have you responded to all this? BN is already the result of a fusion to respond to a lot of problems in the industry, though a judicial service has also been started a while ago to provide extra benefits for members. This service is financed by having the guilty paying for the costs rather than from the contribution pool. Case Bouwend Nederland 0.1Han van Wieringen How does this affect your business model? The industry is changing to a pre-fabricated based one from the traditional build at location style. Virtualised blueprints are taking over and designs and changes are made much later then they used to. This will bring different requirements for the members and will have to provide new services and most likely via new technology. The digital issues and competitors are not important enough to influence the business model. What are your views on commercialisation of trade associations? An association should never take chances with member cash, everything is done through 3rd parties. Businesses will never see it profitable to compete with us and would rather use our network. This is fine since everything goes through 3rd party services anyway. What do you feel would be the best solution for this issue? Both for the market and your organisation. Associations should never start their own business; rather use whatever is available already. Additional discussion. A number of topics were discussed about how new developments influenced the industry, rather than how they influenced BN. Maps are becoming digital rather than classic blueprints, allowing for virtual 3d maps and allowing every phase of to be working with the same data. This can lead to new ways of looking at workflows and processes, and as an association we should be ready to support the industry in whatever that may bring. 60 Case Bouwend Nederland 0.1Han van Wieringen Closed questions Which of these activities does the trade association perform and which is their primary activity? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback Lobbying On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to this activity from new technology? How much opportunity is there for this activity from new technology? 2 3 Which activity is most likely to be replaced or enhanced by new technologies and how? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback Lobbying On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How big an impact will this change have on the activity? How big an impact will this change have on the organisation? 4 2 What do you feel is the most likely source of threat for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Networking sites On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to your organisation from this source? How much threat is there to your organisation from all sources collectively on average? 5 5 What do you feel is the most likely source of opportunity for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Networking sites On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much opportunity is there to your organisation from this source? How much opportunity is there for your organisation thanks to these sources on average? 7 6 61 Case Bouwend Nederland 0.1Han van Wieringen In closing BN seems more interested in the daily needs of its members then it is in what developments can mean for themselves. This might be because they have been reformed quite recently and it hasn´t come up yet. There is some technology being used and even new options being explored, they just don´t seem to really be important at the moment. This makes it difficult to access what the perceived threats and opportunities are, but the closed questions do indicate that they worry about everything equally and do not expect a lot of impact from anything. Also, they perceived trade development as being a separate activity for an association, this might be worth discussing. 62 LMV Interviewed Pieter Kuijt Tuesday 15 sep Size: Small Trade: Real-estate agents Diversity of services: Medium Description The LMV (landelijke makelaars vereniging) is one of five associations active in the same trade. The NVM, VBO and LMV are al real-estate agent associations and the RVD and NVR are property agent associations. The LMV is the result of a split in 1985 from the NVM after disagreements about some policies. A few years ago there was a single initiation as real-estate agent and appraiser. That has since split into two separate ones. Now people can call themselves real-estate agent much easier, resulting in a fourfold increase in agents, but the same number of buildings. Recently the LMV and the RVD attempted to fuse into the first professions associations in the trade. This failed by one vote, for now the LMV will attempt to perform this role themselves. Questions and discussed subjects Open questions Has the organisation observed technological developments that might be important either as a threat or opportunity in the last 2 years? “Funda” is the Netherlands´ largest real-estate website containing the data of all members of each of the associations. Initially set-up and owned 51% by the NVM it did not allow other associations access until recently. It now covers about 60% of real-estate agents in the Netherlands. “Makelaarsland” is a website that focuses on private sales, providing a place for those that used to avoid real-estate agents and place an advertisement on the wall at the local grocery store. It is not really considered a threat at the moment because the users were not using real-estate agents anyway. “Realnext” is a database network for real-estate agent files that allows access to all data inside for members for a fee and adding their data. The LMV uses this collectively for its members. Several smaller sites such as auction sites have started appearing lately, each promise great solutions to users, but these have been unpopular so far. What are these threats and opportunities in the area of information technology? Internet has massively changed the industry, prices have dropped massively and internet is now the first place people look rather than contacting an agent directly. A bigger problem right now is that there are too many associations active in the trade. On European delegation we are not being taken seriously because we are too splintered. “Realnext” can be a threat because sometimes members feel being listed themselves rather than with the LMV and not paying for LMV services is cheaper. Case LMV 0.1 Han van Wieringen How far could other organisations take over association activities? They would rather work with us then compete in any way. However Google is currently active in the real-estate business in Australia and if they expand that test to the rest of the world it will probably have a huge impact on the market. If that is the case we would have to make sure our members are listed on Google’s service as well. How have you responded to all this? We have been highly active on a weblog, Hyves and Twitter are being used, so far the response has been minimal but we are seeing an increase in younger members of the trade so we expect it to pick up. We are talking about an umbrella organisation for the trade (similar to BOVAG or Bouwend Nederland) to combat the splintered associations. How does this affect your business model? We had recently already had a big reorganisation so it’s hard to say what the result of technology is. We certainly were behind on technology and we hope that we have caught up somewhat. What are your views on commercialisation of trade associations? This is where we split from NVM, they and the VBO have a much more commercially minded approach to associations. We maintain that there must be zero profit margin. We also do not have in-house services like them (their education courses for example), instead everything is through a third party and therefore much cheaper. What do you feel would be the best solution for this issue? Both for the market and your organisation. We should have an umbrella organisation so we are more unified in the trade. We should collectively be playing the market rather then everyone for themselves. And associations should maintain a no-profit aspect. Additional discussion. The associations agree with each other on 95% of the topics so cooperation should not be a big issue, however odds of cooperation are currently low for various unnamed reasons. 64 Case LMV 0.1 Han van Wieringen Closed questions Which of these activities does the trade association perform and which is their primary activity? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback Feedback On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to this activity from new technology? How much opportunity is there for this activity from new technology? 3 8 Which activity is most likely to be replaced or enhanced by new technologies and how? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback External regulation, EPA is coming back On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How big an impact will this change have on the activity? How big an impact will this change have on the organisation? 5 2.5 What do you feel is the most likely source of threat for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Google entering the real estate market On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to your organisation from this source? How much threat is there to your organisation from all sources collectively on average? 7 4 What do you feel is the most likely source of opportunity for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. New technology On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much opportunity is there to your organisation from this source? How much opportunity is there for your organisation thanks to these sources on average? 7.5 8 65 Case LMV 0.1 Han van Wieringen In closing LMV was the first of the real-estate agent associations I have interviewed for these cases. The relations between associations will need to be verified from the others viewpoints. The other cases will no doubt overlap somewhat and parts of the industry will likely be discussed again, but it will be required to be able to compare them properly. The difference in size within a single trade allows us to see if there is any correlation between size and perceived treat and opportunity. Because of the competition between the associations in the same trade I am expecting some interesting results about how they perceive threat from each other. Because of limited available time, this interview was done by phone as opposed to all the others which were efface-to-face. Any impact this has on the quality must be evaluated afterwards, but it seemed better then not having the case since the real-estate cases make a set. 66 Organization NMT Interviewed Ton van Groeningen Friday 19 June 2009 Size: Large Trade: Dental Diversity of services: Large Description The NMT is the Dutch association for the dental profession. A trade that has been through a few unique changes in Dutch medical regulation, resulting in there being very little incentive for dentists to technologically advance in the last few decades, most dentists are still about a decade behind technologically. However current initiatives being taken by the NMT would provide a huge jump forward in benefits. Questions and discussed subjects Open questions Has the organisation observed technological developments that might be important either as a threat or opportunity in the last 2 years? A financial service has been started by the NMT (as NMT Fencs) offering to bundle the billing of the dentist and take over the cashing and administration of these. Other software packages are being discussed with developers to offer integrated support for this and other future services. These services require an online platform to host them. NMT is working on a main portal site to act as this platform and experiments are running to explore what is possible with it. What are these threats and opportunities in the area of information technology? Most dentists are not comfortable yet with online services for business though and it shows in that several tests with online discussion and meetings have been disappointing so far. Another experiment with a knowledge database wiki which also has a telephone helpdesk version available is getting more positive results. This success was credited to it being less digital. The reason current efforts are being made is because government is considering a “rate free” experiment which would be very beneficial, but requires digitalisation to be successful. Efforts have to being made to elevate members to a level where these more advanced services can be offered, but the technology gap does mean that no threat has been formed by IT in the past years. How far could businesses take over their activities? Commercial organisation have attempted to become more like associations in the services they offer and trying to appear like an association (VVAA for example.) Businesses try to get close to dentists because of the money in the costs they have to make, but this is more in the technical aspects then in services the NMT offers. Most businesses are too specialised to offer a service that is broad enough to be attractive on its own. Additionally the only real competitors would be the insurance bureaus, there are only four major ones and for them the dental profession would be too specialised. How have you responded to all this? The main defence against this is the associations’ advantage of already having knowledge of all aspects of the dental world and its dedication to the members. Even though businesses might be attempting to blur the boundaries, the NMT tries to set itself apart as purely dedicated to the members non-profit. Case NMT 0.1 Han van Wieringen How does this affect your business model? No change at all is expected, all investments in services are treated like a third party, no process changes are expected, nor are changes in organisation. At most another private company will be founded to handle the service. The reason for starting a private company rather than the NMT handling the service themselves is because there are large amount of the member´s money being handled. If anything went wrong with the NMT or if fraud was committed the two should be firmly separated. What are your views on commercialisation of trade associations? As long as the members agree with whatever actions the association takes it is a non-issue. Riskier investments are monitored by a separate part of the organisation. Other associations that do commercialise (NVP for example) to the point that member interests are downplayed and additional money is charged will ultimately suffer for it. What do you feel would be the best solution for this issue? Both for the market and your organisation. It shouldn´t be possible for competitors to a trade association to arise, but if it did it would most likely work out a partnership to ensure the best for the members. Associations will always maintain a unique role because of their central position, no change is expected in this. Some threats are actually beneficial to the NMT because pressure on the dentists will cause more to because members, but obviously those should be dealt with by us anyway. Additional discussion. The technological gap experienced by the dental profession means that if services were now offered that perfectly fitted with their requirements not only for now but also for future regulations it would be very attractive. The gap does mean that considerable investments must be made in digitalising the field and that some special half-way or dual solutions might be necessary to accommodate in the transition. If the boundaries between commercial organisations and associations fade then association must find a way to keep members and keep their right to exist. When a large association with lots of services is in this position it can compensate, but if an association with only a few services has competition it might lose member because of it and lose whatever influence it has in the trade. 68 Case NMT 0.1 Han van Wieringen Closed questions Which of these activities does the trade association perform and which is their primary activity? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback Member communication and external agreements On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to this activity from new technology? How much opportunity is there for this activity from new technology? 6.5 6.5 Which activity is most likely to be replaced or enhanced by new technologies and how? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback The third party services are modular, they could easily be completely removed with future developments, with little to no affect on the association. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How big an impact will this change have on the activity? 7 How big an impact will this change have on the organisation? 1 What do you feel is the most likely source of threat for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Commercial entities imitating trade associations might be a big problem, everything else is can be ignored. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to your organisation from this source? 7 How much threat is there to your organisation from all sources collectively on average? 2.5 What do you feel is the most likely source of opportunity for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. It is unlikely anything can really cause a boost in membership numbers, but the best opportunity to invest in technology is most likely now. If we don´t businesses might catch up in a few years. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much opportunity is there to your organisation from this source? 7.5 How much opportunity is there for your organisation thanks to these sources on 5.5 average? In closing The technological gap of the dental profession creates a weird case for this research. The switch from web 1.0 to 2.0 isn´t all this research is about, but arguments can be made as to its relevance. Interestingly though NMT is still investing in current technology, although it needs to be seem what form will actually be accepted by their users. This handling of a technological gap could be the subject of research in and of itself. 69 NVM Interviewed Roeland Kimman Monday 22 sep Size: Large Trade: Real-estate agents Diversity of services: Medium Description NVM is the largest of the three real-estate agent trade associations in the Netherlands; they have approximately 75% of the agents as a member. It describes itself as having higher quality services than the others at higher cost. They currently focus on setting and upholding a code of conduct for their members to set standards and protect the consumers as a replacement for the initiation oath that was removed in 2001. The removal of this initiation has resulted in four times as many real-estate agents. This along with the economic crisis, changing mentality towards housing and technological changes is resulting in a somewhat turbulent time for them. One big difference between associations is that VBO and LMV allow their agents to trade housing rather than just act as intermediaries. Questions and discussed subjects Open questions Has the organisation observed technological developments that might be important either as a threat or opportunity in the last 2 years? Funda was started longer ago, but is still relevant. It is the largest website for real-estate in the Netherlands, having close to 90% of all housing for sale in it. This includes the other associations since recently, because it is more beneficial to the consumer if they have a complete view of the market. Also, if they did not, another site would sooner or later by “spidering” their data. (spidering is the mining of information from one site and presenting it on another, often together with more from similar sites.) Social networks are being monitored because the agents use them to obtain knowledge about their specialised areas, but the association does not do anything with them. What are these threats and opportunities in the area of information technology? The services offered by the NVM are tailored to the needs of its members, because they have many different types of members they have kinds of services that not all of them use. If the market changes, as it will because of the new developments, then the association must change with it. An expected development is that action websites will become increasingly important. Another is that people can use our gathered statistics and data to present their own data to the media. But besides impact via the members, there is little going on that is not just a normal part of advancing technology and market. There are always changes, there is nothing special about these. Case NVM 0.1 Han van Wieringen How far could other organisations take over association activities? Google´s entry into the market through its test in Australia was also called a huge threat, in England a large supermarket chain has entered the real-estate business (Tesco´s) and their entry into the market will make big changes in the association necessary to adapt. NVM´s activities include setting a code of conduct, educating, legal and business advice and lobbying, some of these can be taken over, but this has always been the case and is not a result of recent developments. How have you responded to all this? The NMA (Netherlands Competition Authority) has already taken quite a few steps to prevent us from legally being able to mandate a bunch of services and services, we must allow alternatives to the ones we offer. Because we are the largest association any action we take will be closely monitored and Over the last few years NVM has tried to change from an association that is only “against” developments to one that supports and initiates them. How does this affect your business model? Things are more digitalised all over these days, press releases and newsletters have changed to keep up, but lobbying and member meetings require an amount of personal interacting that isn´t possible through those means yet. What are your views on commercialisation of trade associations? Associations should not be businesses, but there is a big grey area. The NVM has NVM service bv, realworks, black berry service, funda and press work all as daughter companies that at one point broke away from the main organisation. These are now businesses, but are still considered part of NVM. (by the NMA as well, they don´t allow redirecting members to them for example.) What do you feel would be the best solution for this issue? Both for the market and your organisation. Lobbying and the code of conduct are the core of the association, anything else that needs to change should not be an issue. The industry should be kept healthy, since any problems that occur in there do directly impact out income. 72 Case NVM 0.1 Han van Wieringen Additional discussion. NVM considers being a label its primary activity, this comes from its code of conduct and enforcing of it. Currently it is used as a mark of quality, but because so many already have it, it is no longer a means for agents to differentiate themselves from others. One idea was to introduce a “golden NVM” label for the top one hundred for example. Representing the differences between groups is a problem for the association because the agents are by no means homogenous. There are big and small ones, but also is different fields, areas and activities they perform. This means they almost never agree on anything, and services must be offered for each of them without being paid by contribution and without being something one side disapproves of. Promoting the industry is one of the tasks of an association; a new campaign focuses on using them intelligently. Many consumers talk to the selling agent thinking he´s helping them get a good deal for example. People must be made aware of the added value an agent still has these days. On the European level NVM agrees that it could use an umbrella organization of some sort for the associations, but did not go into details about how it would work. 73 Case NVM 0.1 Han van Wieringen Closed questions Which of these activities does the trade association perform and which is their primary activity? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback internal On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to this activity from new technology? How much opportunity is there for this activity from new technology? 2 6 Which activity is most likely to be replaced or enhanced by new technologies and how? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback A bit of everything On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How big an impact will this change have on the activity? How big an impact will this change have on the organisation? 9 9 What do you feel is the most likely source of threat for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Internal, but also the others On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to your organisation from this source? How much threat is there to your organisation from all sources collectively on average? 7 7 What do you feel is the most likely source of opportunity for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. You can´t ignore any of them. On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much opportunity is there to your organisation from this source? How much opportunity is there for your organisation thanks to these sources on average? 7 7 74 Case NVM 0.1 Han van Wieringen In closing If any trade has multiple associations I expect the difference between them to be their stance on an issue, and this would be the deciding factor for becoming a member. But according to this interview it seems that there are so many things separating the associations (Size, amount of services, reputation of label, quality, price, stance on trading) that any member will most likely get unwanted things no matter what association they join. I will have to wait until I talk to VBO to get a complete view. NVM claims to act in best interest of the consumers, but representing the agents and being forced by the NMA. How these are possible at the same time and what motivated which action exactly is probably a bit complicated. Interesting is how the approach of associations as a label is alike to that of the VBZ, although they still had some doubt as to whether or not it would create “good” vs. “bad” companies. That does seem to be the case here; at least that they perceive the other labels to be lesser than theirs. 75 VBO Interviewed Bart Rijgwart & Iwan Wind Friday 13 nov Size: Medium Trade: Real-estate agents Diversity of services: Medium Description VBO is the middle sized of the real-estate agent associations, though like LMV it considers itself active in the same field as RVD and VNR as well. It´s goal is more focused on the consumers and quality of the industry then the other associations and its primary type of member is smaller businesses. Since its conception VBO has been responsible for many initiatives that provide stability and security for the consumer, these have often been adopted soon after by the other associations afterwards. It attempts to keep a more personal relationship between the association and its members as well as its members and their customers. Questions and discussed subjects Open questions Has the organisation observed technological developments that might be important either as a threat or opportunity in the last 2 years? The agents themselves have been reluctant to get involved with any new developments regarding their trade online, only after Funda did they start rushing online. Interestingly there is currently a discussion ongoing about how information online is unreliable and how the primary contribution an agent can give their customers is personally specified information. Social networks, knowledge centres and online services have been avoided by the VBO, although LinkedIn was named as being used more by their members lately. What are these threats and opportunities in the area of information technology? A big threat to the industry is that the consumers are using the internet as if it was completely trustworthy and getting too much unnecessary information along with it. This will impact the role of the real-estate agent in the future, it will most likely take some time for people to realise this about internet. Google´s entry into the market only compounds this problem, but this has already been anticipated. The plan is to spread the information wide rather than in a single site to get higher ranking on Google’s real-estate tool. How far could other organisations take over association activities? Franchises and big companies would never go to the extent the association in regulating the industry. New services will only be created by the association if they do not yet exist in or are of insufficient quality, otherwise they will be used as a 3rd party service instead. Saying that there was no profit in it for any such party the issue was dismissed. Case NVM 0.1 Han van Wieringen How have you responded to all this? Recently the management of VBO was redesigned for speed and more suited roles to accommodate recent growth. Preparations have been made to fit into Google’s real-estate rankings and there has been some expansion of services, including doing the administration for members through the association back-office. How does this affect your business model? It doesn´t, if anything their resolve to establish a traditional role for their members and themselves has been strengthened. Although the recent changes to management could be just the start of some bigger changes. Some new services have been started recently though, but these do not affect the core model and activities of the association. What are your views on commercialisation of trade associations? Investing in new services and activities can distract from the main goal of the association. The investment risk should also be avoided, but sometimes it is unavoidable for the good of the industry, services are then set up so they pay themselves back and are monitored closely to make sure nothing can go wrong. What do you feel would be the best solution for this issue? Both for the market and your organisation. No need to start one yourself if the market offers enough of them, maybe offering a discount to members with one provider. Only set something up yourself if the quality of the currently available is insufficient. Focus on your main activities. Additional discussion. Recently membership numbers have been increasing for VBO while the other associations have had somewhat decreasing numbers (according to VBO). This could have several reasons; the price / quality offer could be better which can count for a lot in a financial crisis, the agents could also be realizing that the more personal approach is what they prefer or what has a future as the role of a real-estate agent. 78 Case NVM 0.1 Han van Wieringen Closed questions Which of these activities does the trade association perform and which is their primary activity? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback The propeller model activities are equally important On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to this activity from new technology? How much opportunity is there for this activity from new technology? 2.5 5.5 Which activity is most likely to be replaced or enhanced by new technologies and how? Internally binding agreements, externally binding agreements, lobby, services, feedback services On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How big an impact will this change have on the activity? How big an impact will this change have on the organisation? 7.5 6 What do you feel is the most likely source of threat for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Online sources like social networks On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much threat is there to your organisation from this source? How much threat is there to your organisation from all sources collectively on average? 7 7 What do you feel is the most likely source of opportunity for your trade association? Other associations, online sources, businesses, or internal changes. Other associations On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 being none 10 being gigantic, How much opportunity is there to your organisation from this source? How much opportunity is there for your organisation thanks to these sources on average? 8 7.5 79 Case NVM 0.1 Han van Wieringen In closing This was the last of the last of the three real-estate cases and the last one total before finishing up the paper, so the style might have changed somewhat since the first case. It is also important to note that this is the only interview where a second person was present; however at no point was there disagreement expressed about any of the issues. Again focus in this association seems to be more on what can be done for the members then how it affects them as an organization. This does seem to be a common trend that most likely will end up in the conclusions. So far it seems that the focus of each association seems so different that it is hard to think of them in the same field unless you remember that they do have some mutually exclusive regulations. Since they do have a shared opinion on most issues I wonder if there isn´t a more effective way of sorting the few issues that do divide them. 80 Appendix B Overview case scores Case NVM 0.1 Han van Wieringen 82 Bouwend Nederland Lobbying Lobbying Which of these activities does the trade association perform and which is their primary activity? 2 2 How much threat is there to this activity from new technology? 8 3 How much opportunity is there for this activity from new technology? Feedback Lobbying Which activity is most likely to be replaced or enhanced by new technologies and how? 8 4 How big an impact will this change have on the activity? 8 2 How big an impact will this change have on the organisation? Members Networking sites 5 What do you feel is the most likely source of threat for your trade association? 5 2 5 How much threat is there to your organisation from all sources collectively on average? Members Networking sites 7 What do you feel is the most likely source of opportunity for your trade association? 9 6,5 6 How much opportunity is there for your organisation thanks to these sources on average? How much opportunity is there to your organisation from this source? How much threat is there to your organisation from this source? 5,5 Aedes 7,5 NMT 7,5 Technology 8 Bedrijfschap afbouw 8 2,5 7 4 Online sources 7 Internal 7 4 Businesses 5,5 Other associations 7 Businesses (for 4 partners) 5,5 Businesses 1 6,5 8 7 7 Businesses 8 Services 8 7 Feedback 6,5 Feedback 8 8 6,5 8 Lobbying 4 1 8 8 Services 2 7,5 ZLTO Services Technology Feedback and external Internal agreements VBZ 4 7,5 7 8 VBO Businesses /online Other associations 7 2,5 7 7 5 7 All External agreements Online sources 7 8 6 Internal changes 7 3 7,5 9 Feedback Services 9 LMV 5,5 All 6,67 6 Propeller model 2,5 activities* Internal 2 agreements NVM 7,56 4,72 5,61 6,17 7,17 6,78 2,78 average 83 The following table shows an overview of the answers and scores given to the closed questions segment of the interview. Case NVM 0.1 Han van Wieringen