Foreign Military Intervention, Power Dynamics and Rebel Group Cohesion Codebook January 19, 2016 Marie Olson Lounsbery East Carolina University Citation for the dataset: Olson Lounsbery, Marie. 2016. “Foreign Military Intervention, Power Dynamics, and Rebel Group Cohesion.” Journal of Global Security Studies 2. 1 Introduction This document describes the Rebel Group Dynamics dataset. These data are organized at the rivalry year level for all intrastate rivalries identified by the Armed Conflict Database (Gleditsch, et al. 2002). New data on rebel group changes are added to existing data on rivalries, nonstate actors (Cunningham, et al. 2009), foreign military intervention (Pearson and Baumann 1989 updated by Pickering and Kisangani 2006), UCDP External Assistance (Hogbladh, et al. 2011), mediation (Bercovitch, de Rouen and Pospieszna (2011), conflict intensity (Lacina and Gleditsch 2005), lootable resources and mountainous terrain (Lujala 2010). For coding information on those variables, refer to their codebooks which can be identified in the references below. Coding information on rebel group changes are provided below. For a full description of variable conceptualization, see Olson Lounsbery (2016). Rebel Group Change According to Olson Lounsbery and Cook (2011), rebel groups can “either splinter/multiply, coalition/die off, re-emerge as separate entities after having formed a coalition or died off, or simply be replaced by another group” (79). In order to identify these changes among the actors involved in intrastate armed conflicts between the 1975 and 2009 time period, internal rivalries identified by the Armed Conflict Database (ACD) are examined. Civil conflicts tend to endure moving in and out of periods of violence. As a result, when the same actors or set of actors are engaged in armed struggle over time, they are considered to be engaged in the same rivalry and examined as such. Rivalries are determined by the ACD conflict identification codes resulting in 134 internal rivalries and 1,339 rivalry years (the unit of analysis for the data). Coups are eliminated and not included here. Variables in the Rebel Group Dynamics dataset TotalNo_ - Total number of rebel groups for the entire rivalry as identified by ACD. Count variable. NumGrps – Number of rebel groups active during the year. Count variable NewGrp – A group emerges in the armed rivalry that is not a splinter faction. 1=new group, 0=otherwise. Splinter – A faction of a previously identified rebel group emerges in the armed rivalry. 1=splinter faction, 0=otherwise. Coalition – A unified rebel group emerges from previously identified rebel factions. 1=coalition, 0=otherwise. Abate – A rebel group which had been active in the previous year is no longer active. 1=abated group, 0=otherwise. 2 Renewed_Grp – A rebel faction which had previously been active renews its struggle. 1=renewed group, 0=otherwise. All project variables Variable Obs Unique Mean Min Max Label ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------ccode 1339 79 591.0583 2 910 id 1339 134 122.3234 6 268 Active 1339 1 1 1 1 RivalryID 1339 154 2216.928 1060.1 3490 Location 1339 79 . . . SideA 1300 79 . . . SideA2nd 126 55 . . . SideB 1300 338 . . . sizeoppCG 1044 91 14726.44 100 160000 relstrength 1339 6 1.473488 0 5 SideBID 1300 341 . . . SideB2nd 43 20 . . . TotalNo_ 1335 12 3.846442 1 13 NumGrps 1339 9 1.2823 0 8 NewGrp 1339 2 .0597461 0 1 Splinter 1339 2 .0358476 0 1 Coalition 1339 2 .0238984 0 1 Abate 1339 2 .0821509 0 1 Renewed_Grp 1339 2 .0896191 0 1 GvtChg 1339 2 .0156833 0 1 Incomp 1339 2 1.490665 1 2 Terr 682 67 . . . year 1339 35 1991.922 1975 2009 Int 1300 2 1.253077 1 2 CumInt 1300 2 .74 0 1 Type 1300 2 3.110769 3 4 Startdate 1300 129 4184.627 -4963 18136 StartPrec 1300 6 2.066154 1 6 StartDate2 1300 238 8986.945 -4324 18262 Startprec2 1300 7 2.384615 1 7 EpEnd 1300 2 .1746154 0 1 EpEndDate 227 125 12764.58 5585 18262 EpEndPrec 227 4 3.374449 1 5 gwnoa 1300 78 590.4146 2 910 GWNOA2nd 126 55 . . . gwnob 0 0 . . . GWNOB2nd 43 19 . . . GWNOLoc 1300 78 590.4146 2 910 Region 1300 5 3.249231 1 5 Version 1300 1 . . . scode 1302 78 . . . country 1302 78 . . . polity2 1265 21 -.0679842 -10 10 gdp_per_ca~_ 1032 804 2001.742 84.71101 46350.42 eeurop 1301 2 .0430438 0 1 lamerica 1301 2 .0837817 0 1 ssafrica 1301 2 .2790161 0 1 asia 1301 2 .388163 0 1 mtnest 1301 64 24.94644 0 81 oil 1301 2 .1683321 0 1 intervention 1302 2 .7764977 0 1 lintervent~n 1298 2 .7334361 0 1 hostile 1339 2 .0694548 0 1 3 lhostile supportive lsupportive intvonset bdeadbes annualdata bdversion A_merge bds coup cumbds rivyr mediation territory lmediation weakreb strongreb parity InActive peaceyears govXsupp rebXsupp govLsupp rebLsupp govYsupp rebYsupp govWsupp rebWsupp govMsupp rebMsupp govTsupp rebTsupp govFsupp rebFsupp govIsupp rebIsupp govOsupp rebOsupp govUsupp rebUsupp extsuppgov extsuppreb rebXWFsupp govXWFsupp counterIMI counterUCDP rivyr2 cumbds_log rivyr_log rivyr2_log peaceyrs_log diamonds ethnic SDIAP_C PDIAP_C GEMP_C ALLGEMP_C DRUGS_C oild_C oilp_C uneplnC frst12lnC parall_C 1298 1302 1298 1302 828 1230 1230 1339 1229 1339 1339 1339 1339 1339 1235 1339 1339 1339 1339 1339 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1277 1302 1277 1339 1316 1339 1339 128 1339 1338 1194 1194 1194 1194 1177 1194 1194 1194 1194 882 2 2 2 2 410 3 1 2 440 154 1078 64 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 22 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 64 1077 64 64 21 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 121 118 2 .0716487 .1006144 .1009245 .1543779 3052.595 1.328455 3 2.837192 2314.845 2216.749 34004.49 19.01867 .1247199 .5093353 .1052632 .7789395 .012696 .0604929 0 .4563107 .101018 .036805 .0250587 .2678152 .0571652 .101018 .3985904 .2858262 .3954581 .2372749 .3985904 .2270948 .2897416 .2701644 .045419 .0289742 .0133125 .07361 .0046985 .009397 .5418951 .5544244 .412686 .4612373 .0130568 .3453406 581.6341 8.719167 2.502283 5.004565 1.040728 .3017177 .6778774 .1549414 .038526 .2914573 .3559464 .2039082 .4530988 .39866 -1.625889 -2.518891 .3843537 0 0 0 0 25 0 3 1 15 1060.1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.218876 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -11.51293 -11.34332 0 4 1 1 1 1 80000 2 3 3 80000 3490 566342 64 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 33 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4096 13.24695 4.158883 8.317766 3.496508 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -.0454168 -.0326207 1 Mediation Event Territorial Rivalries Lagged mediation Rebels Weaker than ... Rebels Stronger tha... Rebels at Parity wi... Time since last Active (max) govXsupp (max) rebXsupp (max) govLsupp (max) rebLsupp (max) govYsupp (max) rebYsupp (max) govWsupp (max) rebWsupp (max) govMsupp (max) rebMsupp (max) govTsupp (max) rebTsupp (max) govFsupp (max) rebFsupp (max) govIsupp (max) rebIsupp (max) govOsupp (max) rebOsupp (max) govUsupp (max) rebUsupp Support to Governme... Support to Rebels D... Troops, Weapons and... Troops, Weapons and... Kimberlite and/or A... Dummy. Dummy. Dummy. Dummy. Dummy. Dummy. Dummy. Log: % Log: % Dummy: If = 1; Sec.... If = 1; Prim... If = 1; Gem ... If = 1; Gem ... If = 1; Drug... If = 1; Oil ... If = 1; Oil ... of conflict ... of conflict ... if=1 another... SDIAP 893 2 .3605823 0 1 Dummy: if=1 sec. di... PDIAP 893 2 .1601344 0 1 Dummy: if=1 primary... GEMP 893 2 .4860022 0 1 Dummy: if=1 Gem (ex... ALLGEMP 893 2 .5755879 0 1 Dummy: if=1 Gem (IN... onoilp 893 2 .7222844 0 1 Dummy: if=1 onshore... onhydrop 885 2 .719774 0 1 Dummy: if=1 onshore... oilp 885 2 .7220339 0 1 Dummy: if=1 oil pro... hydrop 885 2 .7220339 0 1 Dummy: if=1 hydroca... terr 885 2 .5050847 0 1 Dummy: if=1 incompa... _merge 1339 2 2.317401 1 3 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 References Bercovitch, Jacob, Karl de Rouen, Jr., and Paulina Pospieszna. 2011. “Introducing the Civil Wars Mediation (CWM) Dataset.” Journal of Peace Research 48(5): 663672. Cunningham, David E., Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, and Idean Salehyan. 2009. “It Takes Two: A Dyadic Analysis of Civil War.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 53(4): 570-597. Gleditsch, Nils Petter, Peter Wallensteen, Mikael Eriksson, Margareta Sollenberg, and Håvard Strand (2002) Armed Conflict 1946-2001: A New Dataset. Journal of Peace Research 39(5): 615-637. Högbladh, Stina, Therése Pettersson & Lotta Themnér, 2011. “External Support in Armed Conflict 1975–2009. Presenting new data” Paper presented at the 52nd Annual International Studies Association Convention, Montreal, Canada, 16-19 March, 2011. Lacina, Bethanie and Nils Petter Gleditsch. 2005. “Monitoring Trends in Global Combat: A New Dataset of Battle Deaths.” European Journal of Population 21(2-3): 145-166. Lujala, Paivi. 2011. “The Spoils of Nature: Armed Civil Conflict and Rebel Access to Natural Resources.” Journal of Peace Research 47(1): 15-28. Olson Lounsbery, Marie and Alethia Cook. 2011. “Rebellion, Mediation and Group Splintering: An Empirical Investigation of Competing Hypotheses,” Journal of Peace Research 48(1): 73-84. Pearson, Frederic S. and Robert A. Baumann. 1993. International Military Intervention, 1946-1988. Ann Arbor, MI: ICPSR [No. 6035]. Pickering, Jeffrey and Emizet N. F. Kisangani. 2009. “The International Military Dataset: An Updated Resource for Conflict Scholars.” Journal of Peace Research 46(4): 589-599. 6