Acknowledgements Written by: Margaret Hartzell, Policy Advocate, Environment North Carolina Research and Policy Center and Whitney Knapp, Stanback Intern, Environment North Carolina Research and Policy Center. Special thanks to reviewers: Dr. Pete Peterson, University of North Carolina Institute of Marine Sciences; Brian O’Hara, Southeastern Coastal Wind Coalition; and Tony Dutzik, Frontier Group. Affiliation listed for identification purposes only and does not imply organizational support or agreement. © 2012, Environment North Carolina Research and Policy Center The opinions expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of our funders or those who provided editorial review. Any factual errors are strictly the responsibility of the author and editor. For additional copies of this report, please visit our website at: www.environmentnorthcarolina.org/center Environment North Carolina Research and Policy Center is a 501(c)(3) organization working to preserve the Blue Ridge, protect the Outer Banks and repower the state with clean, renewable energy. I. Summary The winds off North Carolina’s coast powered the Wright Brothers’ first flight in 1903, and they’ve been going strong ever since. In fact, just over 100 years after the first flight, converting just a fraction of the winds off our shores to energy could provide all of North Carolina’s energy needs. North Carolina has more potential for offshore wind than any other Atlantic state. Combine that with our world-class research institutions and existing green energy incentives, and North Carolina can chart a clean energy future, with offshore wind at the forefront. Despite our enormous potential for offshore wind energy and the boon it would be for North Carolina’s environment and economy, too many opinion leaders remain focused on promoting energy sources of the past, such as offshore drilling. This report details the environmental benefits of offshore wind power, documents the risks of drilling off of North Carolina’s prized coast, and compares estimated job creation benefits of pursuing each offshore energy source. The results are simple: offshore wind is estimated to create up to three times as many jobs as offshore drilling, without putting the state’s beaches, or its tourism economy, at risk of a devastating spill. North Carolina policy makers should reject calls for drilling off of our coast, and instead adopt initiatives to speed the development of offshore wind. II. Benefits of Offshore Wind in North Carolina As the Wright Brothers found more than 100 years ago, the winds off the North Carolina coast are abundant, in large part due to its wide and shallow coast. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) estimates that North Carolina has 297.5 GW of wind power potential within 50 nautical miles of its shores, the largest offshore wind resource along the East Coast.i There are more than 2,800 square miles of area along the North Carolina coast and the Sounds ripe for offshore wind development. If all of that area was developed, it could support 55,000 MWh of capacity—130 percent of North Carolina’s total energy use in 2007. Source: “Coastal Wind for North Carolina. Energy for North Carolina’s Future. A Study of the Feasibility of Wind Turbines in the Pamlico and Albermarle Sound and in Ocean Waters off the North Carolina Coast.” Pg. 28. June 2009. Environmental Benefits The vast majority of North Carolina’s electricity comes from dirty, dangerous fuel sources that increase air and global warming pollution and risk our safety. In fact, the state’s twenty-five coal-fired power plants cause 47 percent of the state’s carbon dioxide pollution.ii In addition, North Carolina ranks in the top 25 in the country in mercury emissions from coal-fired power plantsiii, while the Charlotte area had more unhealthy air days due to smog and soot pollution in 2011 than all but seven other cities nationwide.iv Reducing our reliance on coal-fired power plants will reduce the pollutants that threaten public health and fuel global warming. North Carolina decision makers must focus their attention on clean, renewable resources like offshore wind. For example, a large offshore wind farm with 450 3.6 MW turbines with a 40 percent capacity factor would generate about 5.7 million megawatt hours of electricity per year, initially offsetting between 3 and 5 million metric tons of carbon dioxide, and more than 50 million metric tons of carbon dioxide during the life of the project. This is comparable to replacing 9 million cars or the yearly emissions from 11 coal-fired power plants.v Source: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, State Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Emissions Detail by State, February 2008 (2004 levels) Economic Benefits With the recession continuing to bear down on the Tar Heel state, renewable energy, and in particular offshore wind, is a bright spot in an otherwise downturned economy. According to a U.S. Department of Energy projection, by 2030 50 GW of offshore wind will come from the East Coast, with 5 to 10 GW coming from North Carolina—the equivalent of seven and a half to 15 power plants averaging 667 MW per power plant.vi The Department of Energy estimates that developing this much offshore wind—just a fraction of our overall potential—could create between 10,000 and 20,000 new manufacturing jobs in North Carolina.vii In addition, North Carolina could stand to gain $22.1 billion in total economic benefit during construction and operational phases under an offshore wind scenario presented by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory.viii III. The Costs of Offshore Drilling—What is at Stake? Environmental Costs The BP Deepwater Horizon oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico in April 2010 is a perfect example of the impact offshore drilling can have on a coastal environment. According to government data, the BP oil spill was responsible for 6,100 dead birds, 605 dead sea turtles and almost 100 dead marine mammals.ix While there are numbers to document the harm that has been done due to the BP disaster, it is worth noting that the long-term environmental impacts are still largely unknown, and are likely the tip of the iceberg. Absent a massive spill like the Deepwater Horizon disaster, oil and gas drilling off our coast would still negatively impact our coast. Oil exploration and production has been blamed for some of Louisiana’s loss of wetlands.x Since the 1930’s, Louisiana has lost 1,900 square miles of wetland, about the size of Rhode Island.xi Scientists estimate that one third of those losses are due to subsidence and dredging for canals and pipelines by the oil industry. xii The same areas thought to have economically recoverable gas and oil deposits are also ecologically significant. On the coast of North Carolina, specifically off the coast of Cape Hatteras, there is a wide array of marine wildlife. The nearby Gulf Stream sweeps in seaweed, providing refuge for hatching sea turtles and a wide array of fish.xiii Since the 1960’s live coral reefs have been observed off the coast of North Carolina, including the world’s largest deep water system of coral reefs, designated a National Monument by President George W. Bush.xiv Economic Benefits While there are economic benefits to drilling off our coast, they pale in comparison to clean uses of our coast. According to government estimates of economically recoverable natural gas off our coast, coastal tourism and fishing generate $4 in revenue for every $1 that would be generated by oil or natural gas.xv By contrast, more than 67,000 North Carolinians work in coastal tourism or fishing, industries that generate $3 billion in revenue each year,xvi four times the revenue estimated from extracting oil and gas off our shores. Offshore drilling does have job creation benefits. According to the pro-drilling Southeast Energy Alliance, offshore drilling would create 6,700 new jobs in North Carolina.xvii Thus, assuming the job creation estimates of drilling proponents, offshore wind is still a more potent job creator, creating up to three times as many jobs for North Carolina. IV. The Clear Path There are many factors to take into consideration when charting a path to North Carolina’s energy future—the economy, the environment, and the quality of life of all North Carolinians. While we know that offshore wind could displace much of the electricity from coal-fired power plants and reduce pollution in North Carolina, offshore drilling poses serious environmental and economic threats to our state. The choice is clear—North Carolina’s path to a clean energy future travels through offshore wind. The Obama Administration has recognized this as well, putting on hold any plans to drill off North Carolina’s coast between 2012 and 2017, while finding ways to expedite the permitting of offshore wind farms in an environmentally sensitive way. While North Carolina is in a great position to utilize offshore wind, other states along the Atlantic Coast have jumped out ahead of us. For example, in New Jersey utilities are required to purchase offshore wind energy, with the goal of having at least 1,100 MW of offshore wind energy. In order for North Carolina to be competitive with other states and promote offshore wind energy, state leaders can take three key steps: Offshore Wind Goal for North Carolina In 2007, the North Carolina General Assembly passed Senate Bill 3, the Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Standard. Senate Bill 3 requires 12.5 percent of North Carolina’s electricity to come from renewable energy and energy efficiency by 2021. Senate Bill 3 was the first Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Standard in the Southeast, landing the Tar Heel state as a leader in renewable energy. North Carolina should continue to be a leader in clean energy by setting an offshore wind goal of 5,000 MW, while increasing our renewable energy standard accordingly. Power Purchase Agreements Since offshore wind energy would be transmitted to the utility companies, North Carolina needs to create requirements for utility companies to purchase energy produced from offshore wind farms, also known as Power Purchase Agreements. (PPA’s) In 2011, Maryland proposed the Maryland Offshore Wind Energy Act. This Act required the Public Service Commission (PSC) to order utilities into long-term PPA’s with offshore wind generators.xviii Part of this Act sets up the process for the PSC to issue a request for proposals and criteria to evaluate proposals received, including dates when these steps need to be completed.xix Requirements were created for how much offshore wind energy each utility would have to purchase, proportional to their average megawatt load.xx While the bill did not pass, it was a first step in moving offshore wind forward to benefit the economy and environment along the Atlantic coast. Tax Credits for Offshore Wind Developers Since one of the goals of offshore wind development is to create economic development in the state, North Carolina needs to provide incentives to attract wind developers and manufacturers to the state, such as tax credits. North Carolina also needs to require that developers apply for and take advantage of available funding to make the project more cost effective. i “Offshore Wind in the Atlantic. Growing Momentum for Jobs, Energy Independence, Clean Air, and Wildlife Protection.” National Wildlife Federation. Pg. 52. December 2009. ii U.S Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, State Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Emissions Detail by State, February 2008 (2004 levels) iii “America’s Biggest Mercury Polluters. How Cleaning up the Dirtiest Power Plants will Protect Public Health.” Environment North Carolina Research and Policy Center. November 2011. iv “Danger in the Air. Unhealthy Air Days in 2010 and 2011.” Environment North Carolina Research and Policy Center. September 2011. v “Coastal Wind. Energy for North Carolina’s Future. A Study of the Feasibility of Wind Turbines in the Pamlico and Albermarle Sounds and in Ocean Waters Off the North Carolina Coast.” Pg. 4-5. June 2009. vi Id. Note i vii Supra note i. Even the conservative think tank, Civitas Institute reports that 1,000 MW would create approximately 3,000 new jobs. For the purposes of this report, we used the more conservative numbers from the Department of Energy. viii Supra noteii. ix “Too Much at Stake: Don’t Gamble with North Carolina’s Coast.” Environment North Carolina Research and Policy Center. November 2010. x Id. Note viii xi Id. Note viii xii Id. Note viii xiii Id. Note viii xiv Id. Note viii xv Id. Note viii xvi Id. Note viii xvii http://consumerenergyalliance.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/sea-exec-summary2.pdf xviii Maryland House Bill 1054. 2011. xix Id. at pg. 5-6. xx Id. at pg. 6.