Skype Task 183_3 City typology Intermediate Report D1.0 Prepared by: Mirko Gregor (GeoVille), Christoph Schröder, Ece Aksoy (UMA) Jaume Fons, Miquel Sainz (UAB) Alexander Storch, Pia Thielen, Wolfgang Schieder (UBA-V) Date: 15.07.2014 Project Manager: Geertrui Louwagie Universidad de Malaga ETCSIA PTA - Technological Park of Andalusia c/ Marie Curie, 22 (Edificio Habitec) Campanillas 29590 - Malaga Spain Telephone: +34 952 02 05 48 Fax: +34 952 02 05 59 Contact: etc-sia@uma.es TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Key messages ......................................................................... 1 2 Introduction............................................................................ 2 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 3 Urban domains ...................................................................................... 5 Data overview ....................................................................................... 6 Applicable projects ................................................................................. 7 Methodological definition ........................................................ 5 4.1 4.2 4.3 5 2 2 3 4 Conceptualisation and data overview...................................... 5 3.1 3.2 3.3 4 Context and objectives ........................................................................... Relevant policies .................................................................................... Project tasks ......................................................................................... Definitions ............................................................................................ Selection of indicators ............................................................................ 5 Prioritisation of indicators and basic key figures ........................................ 11 Methodological approach........................................................................ 16 References ............................................................................ 21 European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 0 1 KEY MESSAGES The key messages will be completed for the final report. European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 1 2 INTRODUCTION 2.1 CONTEXT AND OBJECTIVES Cities and urban areas in Europe are very different because they are located in different geographic situations (littoral, mountain, island, fluvial corridor, etc.), have different climate, heritage (morphology, size, age of housing, spatial segregation, etc.) and trajectory (shrinking cities, sprawl, etc.), activities (industry, tourism, etc.), urban management, population (demography, ageing), etc. For all these differences, it is impossible to compare cities and to take into account all the complexity of urban system. Some environmental data concerning the urban system exist, such as noise, air quality, waste water management, soil sealing. For certain others cases, proxy data can be used or computed. As it is a cross-cutting issue, the system of information on urban sustainability must be conceived in synergy and cross-fertilisation with many other topics (air, water, waste management, biodiversity, land, soil, etc.). The development of a set of indicators on urban sustainability can be done by developing specific indicators (green infrastructure, urban sprawl, etc.), by re-using the indicators already existing (in particular for air quality, noise, water and vulnerability), by gathering scattered data. The work will consist more in giving sense to all the dispersed information than create new information. The aim is to provide synthetized information in an easy-to-understand way in order to facilitate the communication of the key messages. A typology of cities based on an integrated analysis and taking into accounts the huge diversity of cities (size, development, demography, environmental profile, etc.), will be developed. This typology of urban areas could be based on statistical approach such as for example the ESPON study on the European Sea typologies in the ESaTDOR project http://www.espon.eu/main/Menu_Projects/Menu_AppliedResearch/ESaTDOR.html). Each class of the typology, composed of a group of urban areas will be followed in the future in order to analyse the trajectory of the group and not the individual trajectory of each urban areas. The expected final outcome should be a typology to support the assessment of urban sustainability. 2.2 RELEVANT POLICIES The following major policies are of relevance for the city typology activity: 7th Environmental Action Programme (COM(2012) 710 final), http://eurlex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2012:0710:FIN:EN:PDF Thematic Strategy on the Urban Environment (SEC(2006) 16), http://eurlex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2005:0718:FIN:EN:HTML Roadmap to a resource-efficient Europe (COM(2011) 571 final), http://ec.europa.eu/environment/resource_efficiency/pdf/com2011_571.pdf Soil Thematic Strategy COM(2006)231 final, http://eurlex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2006:0231:FIN:EN:PDF DG ENV Soil sealing guidelines, http://ec.europa.eu/environment/soil/pdf/guidelines/EN%20%20Sealing%20Guidelines.pdf Thematic Strategy on the sustainable use of natural resources (COM(2005) 670 final), http://eurlex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=CELEX:52005DC0670:EN:NOT European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 2 EU2020 Biodiversity Strategy (COM(2011) 244 final), http://eurlex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2011:0244:FIN:EN:PDF Upcoming EC Communication on Land as a Resource in 2015 UNCCD “Zero net land degradation”, http://www.unccd.int/Lists/SiteDocumentLibrary/Rio+20/UNCCD_PolicyBrief_Zero NetLandDegradation.pdf Rio+20 outcome document “The Future We Want” (A/RES/66/288) mentioning ‘a land degradation neutral world in the context of sustainable development’ (reflected in the 7th EAP proposal, Preamble (17)), http://www.uncsd2012.org/content/documents/727The%20Future%20We%20Wa nt%2019%20June%201230pm.pdf 2.3 PROJECT TASKS The task is divided into 4 sub-tasks that can be directly linked to a milestone or deliverable. Sub-task Conceptualisation Activities Identification of the main domains to be considered (e.g. energy, water, land use) Assessment of data availability related to main domains identified above, time series and reporting unit(s) Overview of past/existing projects (in particular ESPON) and developments in the IUME community (in particular Regio GIS) Milestone: inception report Definition of typologies One single typology vs multiple typologies and clustered system (reality/applicability vs ideal system) Linking typologies to policy objectives: objective of the typology (e.g. cohesion, resource efficiency –including land,…), in particular to urban vulnerability to climate change. Milestone: proposal of typologies (methodologies) Implementation First milestone: intermediate report Second milestone/key deliverable: final report Development of map book Finalisation of the map book related to urban vulnerability (started in 2013) Prepare a concept of map book for urban typologies Milestone/ key deliverable: final report European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 3 The four project tasks are also reflected in the structure of the report. 2.4 DEFINITIONS Typology Basic definitions from the www: The study or systematic classification of types that have characteristics or traits in common. (http://www.thefreedictionary.com/typology) A classification according to general type, especially in archaeology, psychology, or the social sciences (http://www.oxforddictionaries.com/definition/english/typology) In our case the city typology could be understood as “a both quantitative and qualitative characterisation of cities, which should be structured in hierarchical systems providing a broad view on cities, their situation and basic functions, their individual performance and main activities, their threats and their most important changes (i.e. potential pressures and development paths)”. City This definition more refers to the reference unit that is to be applied in the context of the city typology: Urban Audit core city and/or Urban Audit Larger Urban Zone as administrative reference units that have a direct relation to the statistical data collected and provided on European level by Eurostat New degree of urbanisation as new harmonised definition of Urban Audit cities UMZ as morphological approximation of the “real” city (boundary); either derived from CLC or Urban Atlas A composite reference unit, such as using the core city with an additional buffer of a fixed width to take account of the periphery This issue will be an important decision to be made, being closely related to data availability. European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 4 3 CONCEPTUALISATION AND DATA OVERVIEW The aim of the first sub-task was the identification of the main urban thematic domains to be considered (e.g. energy, water, land use,..), an assessment of data availability related to the main thematic domains identified above, time series and reporting unit(s), and to provide an overview of past/existing projects (in particular ESPON) and developments in the IUME community (in particular Regio GIS). 3.1 URBAN DOMAINS The starting point of the conceptualisation was the identifica tion of a number of thematic urban domains which are considered to be relevant for the analysis of urban sustainability. Figure 1 below presents a mind map sketch of the major urban thematic domains and their inter-linkages. Figure 1: Mind map providing a sketch overview of the thematic urban domains and their potential inter-linkages European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 5 3.2 DATA OVERVIEW For each of the domains it was attempted to identify a number of data sets that could be used in the framework of the city typologies activity. The list so far contains 44 data sets with a relatively unequal distribution across domains. The majority of the data come from the land use and socio-economic domain while other domains are represented by only a small number of available data (cf. Figure 2). The proportions of tabular, raster and vector data, respectively, are almost identical (cf. Figure 3). The data are to a large and again almost equally distributed extent either reference data, variables or indicators, to a lesser extent already prepared typologies (cf. Figure 4). The entire list of data sets is delivered in a separate excel sheet 1. It is understood to be a living document that can be extended at any time during the task duration until the implementation of the typology commences. Afterwards, it will become more difficult to take additional data sets into account, but they can still be added to the list for later consideration. Figure 2: Number of data sets per urban domain 1 http://forum.eionet.europa.eu/etc-sia-consortium/library/2014-subvention/183_3-citiestypology/milestones/183_3-data-list European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 6 Figure 3: Proportion of tabular, raster and vector data sets, respectively Figure 4: Proportion of information type 3.3 APPLICABLE PROJECTS The following table contains a list of relevant projects from which either concepts or data could be considered for being integrated into the current activity. European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 7 BESECURE Best practice Enhancers for Security in Urban Environments BRIDGE Sustainable urban planning decision support accounting for urban metabolism CHANCE2SUSTAI NUrban Chances: City growth and the sustainability challenge; Comparing fast growing cities in growing economies CityBench ESPON CityBench for benchmarking European Urban Zones FP7 The BESECURE project aims to support local policymakers in the creation, enhancement and implementation of security policies in urban zones. Urban security is a critical subject within the EU, but dealt with in widely different manners. Building a comprehensive and pragmatic set of indicators, and a pragmatic risk assessment model that can provide cues about the development of certain scenarios. On-going (03/2015) FP 7 The BRIDGE project aims at bridging the gap between bio-physical sciences and urban planners and at introducing innovative planning strategies for urban planning and design in Europe. 2008-2011 FP 7 This research programme examines how governments and citizens in cities with differing patterns of urban economic growth make use of participatory (or integrated) spatial knowledge management to direct urban governance towards more sustainable development. Development of a Decision Support System Methods and data to: Quantitatively estimate energy, water, carbon and pollutants fluxes at local scale. Quantitatively estimate the environmental impacts of the above components. Translate the above environmental impacts to socio-economic benefits. Development of a participatory spatial knowledge models of metropolitan governance networks. ESPON CityBench project will deliver the CityBench webtool. This webtool will help policymakers, practitioners and public and private investors to put economic, social and environmental sustainability of cities at the core of decisions. The conceptualisation of the webtool, including the selection/development of feasible urban indicators. The design, testing and establishment of a ready-to-use practical webtool to benchmark and monitor European cities. On-going (02/2014) European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 0 On-going (-03/2014) CORFU Collaborative research on flood resilience in urban areas FOCI - Future Orientation for Cities FP7 Interdisciplinary international project that will look at advanced and novel strategies and provide adequate measures for improved flood management in cities. Evaluation of future impacts of urban growth and climate change on flood probability through scenario studies. On-going (03/2014) ESPON FOCI analyses the current state, trends and development perspectives for the largest cities and urban agglomerations within the European territory. It shall identify the driving forces of urban development which are the most relevant for understanding urban evolutions and offer scenarios for the development of Europe’s cities leading to alternative policy options. Finished (2010) GREEN SURGE Green Infrastructure and Urban Biodiversity for Sustainable Urban Development and the Green Economy FP 7 GREEN SURGE will identify, develop and test ways of connecting green spaces, biodiversity, people and the green economy, in order to meet the major urban challenges related to land use conflicts, climate change adaptation, demographic changes, and human health and wellbeing. Indicators on the functional specification of FUA/LUZ and new complex indicators of cities´ development opportunities, competitiveness, socio-economic and environmental situation. Typologies of the urban system of Europe according to the functional specialisation of the cities and their competitiveness. Development of tools to: Develop urban green infrastructure as a planning concept for both integration and promotion of biodiversity and ecosystem services, and adapt it to local contexts. Explore how valuation and real market integration of biodiversity and ecosystem services can facilitate choices in favour of the development of multifunctional green spaces in urban areas. MOLAND Monitoring Land use/cover Dynamics JRC The aim of MOLAND is to provide a spatial planning tool that can be used for assessing, monitoring and modeling the development of urban and regional environments. Definition and computation of territorially-based indicators to allow integrated approaches Development of scenarios for longterm strategies of sustainable development. On-going programm e European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 1 On-going (-10/2017) OpenNESS Operationalisat ion of Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services FP 7 Phenotype Positive health effects on the natural outdoor environment in typical populations of different regions in Europe. PRIMUS Policies and research for an integrated management of urban sustainability FP7 SGPTD Secondary Growth Poles and Territorial Development in Europe; Performance, Policies and Prospects ESPON OpenNESS aims to translate the concepts of Natural Capital (NC) and Ecosystem Services (ES) into operational frameworks that provide tested, practical and tailored solutions for integrating ES into land, water and urban management and decision-making. It examines how the concepts link to, and support, wider EU economic, social and environmental policy initiatives and scrutinizes the potential and limitations of the concepts of ES and NC PHENOTYPE is intended to provide a better understanding of the potential mechanisms, and better integration of human health needs into land use planning and green space management. 5 case studies on “Sustainable urban management” (ES in urban land use planning, GI Strategy in urban planning, Sustainable urban planning) On-going (05/2017) Elaboration of core indicators to assess and monitor different types of natural environment Data collection of the natural environment (green spaces) On-going (-12/2015) The PRIMUS project has been designed to bridge the gap between research on the European level on one hand, and policy-making at (and for) the local level on the other hand. Development of set of advanced sustainability indicators for local governments to measure their performance in response to the renewed EU Sustainable Development Strategy, the Urban Thematic Strategy and the Aalborg Commitments, serving as a basis for developing measurable targets and timeframes for the mid-term. Typology of secondary cities Review of policy towards secondary cities at European Union level and in individual Member States 2009-2012 SGPTD develops a common understanding of the opportunities and prospects for the territorial development of secondary cities. The key objective hence is to produce clear policy recommendations about the challenges and opportunities facing secondary cities in Europe European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 2 Finished (2012) SUME Sustainable urban metabolism for Europe FP 7 TOWN – Small and MediumSized Towns ESPON TURAS Transitioning Towards Urban Resilience and Sustainability FP7 Urban Nexus The SUME project analysed the impacts of existing urban forms on resource use and estimate the future potential to transform urban building and spatial structures in order to signifi-cantly reduce resource and energy consumption, thereby taking into account differences in urban development dynamics. The main objective of this project is to create a methodology to identify small and mediumsized towns. This methodology should be compatible with the recently revised urbanisation classification at EU scale identifying all small and medium-sized towns as places having an urban centre with a population between 5 000 and 50 000 inhabitants. The TURAS Project brings together decision makers in local authorities with SMEs and academics to respond to the efforts of city communities. Eleven local authorities or local development agencies are involved as project partners and they will orient research and development from the outset towards the most significant sustainability and resilience challenges facing their cities. URBAN-NEXUS will develop a Strategic Dialogue & Partnership Framework to organise a long-term collaboration with stakeholders in relation to the key dimensions of sustainable urban development: Urban Climate Resilience Health and Quality of Life Integrated Urban Management Integrated Data and Monitoring Competing for Urban Land. European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis Identification and analysis of urban form in its relation to urban metabolism => urban form typology. Development of an urban metabolic rate typology. 2008-2011 Town typologies A methodological framework for studying small and medium-sized towns in their functional area contexts. Analysis and empirical evidence on the development and territorial potentials of small and medium sized towns in their respective functional area contexts at both European and regional level. GIS database and tools for urban resilience Report on limiting urban sprawl. On-going (12/2014) Synthesis Report "Integrated Data and Monitoring" Synthesis Report “Competing for Urban Land. On-going (-08/2014) 3 On-going (-09/2016) URBES – Urban Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services Biodivers a URBES is a three-year research project funded by BiodivERsA that aims to bridge the knowledge gap on the links between urbanization, ecosystem services and biodiversity. URGENCHE Urban Reduction of GHG Emissions in China and Europe FP 7 URGENCHE develops and applies a methodological framework for the assessment of the overall risks and benefits of alternative greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction policies for health and well-being. VITRUV Vulnerability Identification Tools for Resilience Enhancements of Urban Environments FP 7 The objective of VITRUV is the development of tools to support urban planners to consistently integrate security issues into the considerations made in the long and complex process which makes up urban planning. European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis Analysis of linkages between urban biodiversity, ecosystem services and land-use. Pan-European study on ecosystem service provision by urban areas Scenarios of future urban land-use Develop a modelling platform and a related database for urban impact assessment, including topics: Urban energy generation and use, and GHG and other pollution release Urban spatial data including the urban spatial plan, building stock, transportation and population Socio-economic, demographic, exposure, health and well-being of the population Development of planning tools at local/micro level 4 On-going (- 2014) On-going (08/2014) On-going (04/2014) 4 METHODOLOGICAL DEFINITION Sub-task 2 of the project aims at selecting a number of indicators to be used for the computation of the city typology; moreover, the processing approach should be developed, tested and evaluated. Indicators are useful tools to quantify and summarise a certain amount of data/information related to a topic of interest. Moreover, indicators provide the opportunity to identify groups of individuals that share similar properties and, therefore, possible parallel trends, pressures and development paths. In the context of the conceptual development of the cities typology the following questions appear to be highly relevant: How to select a set of cities to illustrate an indicator? How to identify groups of cities that share similar properties? Is it possible to establish a typology of cities connecting some city characteristics to come up with a fundamental characterisation of European cities for environmental reporting and statistics? 4.1 SELECTION OF INDICATORS First drafts and ideas have been elaborated and provided by UBA-V and are in the following linked to the first sub-task and the list of domains and data available. In their document the UBA-V colleagues have proposed an approach that is based on a quantitative characterisation of cities by both static and dynamic indicators and key figures supported by a qualitative characterisation to categorise cities according to their functions and main activities, which could be amended by information about geographic location. 4.1.1 Quantitative characterisation: static indicators A quantitative characterisation of cities by static information about the structure (aligned to a date, a year or as an average value of a defined period – within an adequate time range for comparing cities) provides a description of structure state. Examples are to set a number of classes on indicators focussing on specific topics and containing a certain number of sub-indicators. This indicator classes could for instance be determined by the domains identified in the first sub-task: S1 Urban dimension and land use Administrative area Cover area with buildings and infrastructure (based on Urban Atlas) Green urban spaces (based on Urban Atlas) Urban sprawl Land use mix Degree of soil sealing S2 Urban form and distribution Compactness European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 5 Share of high density area (based on Urban Atlas) Share of low density area (based on Urban Atlas) What is high- and what is low-density? Could be very different for countries. S3 Climate Average air temperature Average wind speed Average total annual precipitation Use data from water accounts; issue of insulation/no. of sunny days S4 Soil Degree of soil sealing Soil functions Soil degradation Agricultural use Land recycling is missing S5 Socio-economics Population: o Inhabitants o Density o Age structure o Migration and segregation Housing Economy Employment Tourism: o number of visitors o number of people working in touristic sector issue of income, poverty, GDP housing: age of building tourism: % of second house possible? S6 Water Supply networks Consumption Fresh water Possible to define the type of catchment in which the city is located? E.g. droughtprone area? European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 6 Water accounts data Flood areas missing S7 Energy Consumption Supply networks Conservative/fossil vs. renewables S8 Waste Production Collection Deposition Recycling Energy recovery? S9 Air quality Pollution by source Fresh air S10 Transport and mobility Transport networks (length of roads, railways) Modal split, e.g. o Modal split of public transport performance/ways o Modal split of biking transport performance/ways Pollution Cars per citizen Public parking Area for cars per citizen Capacity of public transport networks per inhabitant length of bicycle ways including mixed use with pedestrian for each direction per inhabitant S11 Noise Pollution Traffic Airport S12 Governance Local government revenue Voters participation European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 7 Civic associations Government effectiveness index (WorldBank, national level) City committed to fight climate change (Urban Audit Perception Survey 2013) City administrative services: support efficiency, trust (Urban Audit Perception Survey 2013) 4.1.2 Quantitative characterisation: dynamic indicators A quantitative characterisation of dynamics of change provides information about pressures or trends (aligned to a year or as an average value of a defined short period over a defined longer period to have a good view on a possible mid-term change). Ideally, there would be dynamic indicators based on time series of the static indicators. In reality this will not be the case. But still D1 Urban dimension and land use Changes of Cover area with buildings and infrastructure (based on Urban Atlas, 2012 not available yet) Green urban spaces (based on Urban Atlas, 2012 not available yet) Urban sprawl Changes in degree of soil sealing (based on Imperviousness layer, available for 2006, 2009 and soon for 2012; cf. urban vulnerability factsheet on soil sealing) D2 Urban form and distribution Compactness Share of high density area (based on Urban Atlas, 2012 not available yet) Share of low density area (based on Urban Atlas, 2012 not available yet) D3 Climate Changes in Average air temperature Average wind speed Average total annual precipitation D4 Soil Changes in degree of soil sealing (based on Imperviousness layer, available for 2006, 2009 and soon for 2012; cf. urban vulnerability factsheet on soil sealing) Change in agricultural use maybe quantitatively not relevant D5 Socio-economics Population o Inhabitants: growth and shrinkage of number of inhabitants European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 8 o Density o Age structure: change in age structure (are cities getting older?) o Migration and segregation Housing Economy: Regional gross value per inhabitant Employment: o growth or shrinkage of number of unemployed o In-commuter per employee within the city o Out-commuter per citizen Tourism: o Changes in number of visitors o Changes in number of people working in touristic sector D6 Water Change in consumption D7 Energy Change in consumption Conservative/fossil vs. renewables: change in split D8 Waste Changes in Production Collection Deposition Recycling D9 Air quality Changes in pollution by source D10 Transport and mobility Transport networks (length of roads, railways) Modal split, e.g. Modal split of public transport performance/ways Modal split of biking transport performance/ways Pollution Cars per citizen Public parking Area for cars per citizen European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 9 D11 Noise Change in noise levels D12 Governance Change in Local government revenue Change in Voters participation Change in Civic associations Change in Government effectiveness index (World Bank, national level) 4.1.3 Qualitative characterisation A qualitative characterisation can be given by defined criteria to categorize cities according to their function or main activities etc.. Examples are cities of Private Services Banking and assurance Industry Public services and administration Higher education Culture and art Health and recreation Tourism and conferences Families (high share of young citizens) Retiree (high share of elder citizens) Immigration Emigration This categorisation per main function/activity could also be combined with basic information about the geographic location of a city, such as coastal, mountainous, in a fluvial corridor, etc. Moreover a general perspective (A) on quality of live for citizens, and (B) on the local business condition seems to be very useful to characterize cities according to the smart city and sustainable development approach (cf. UBA-V project on SmartCities, http://www.klimafonds.gv.at/foerderungen/aktuelle-foerderungen/2011/smart-energydemo-fit-for-set/). European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 10 4.2 PRIORITISATION OF INDICATORS AND BASIC KEY FIGURES To restrict the number of indicators and basic key figures for the computation of the typology an iterative prioritisation exercise was carried out based on an excel sheet in which all partners gave their scoring for each indicator twice with respect to a number of criteria: Data availability Data completeness Methodology Processing Policy relevance Message Finally, each partner had to give a “yes” or “no” indication if the indicator should be prioritised. While governance indicators were missing in the first round, they have been added to the list for the second vote. Unfortunately, not everybody replied to the second vote request, so there are some indicators which have a lower number of votes even though this might not mean that they should be removed from the priority list. To create consistency between the votes, the old votes have been used where no new votes had been provided. For the final selection, the number of “yes” scores was counted, leading to a number of indicators (except the ones on governance) with the maximum of 5 times “yes”, 4 or 3 “yes” (yellow) and 2,1 or 0 “yes” (red). Below is the preliminary list of the 36 “green” static and dynamic indicators and key figures (as of 30/06/2014). As there are still discussions on-going the list is not final yet. The full list of all indicators and the related scorings will be uploaded to the Forum as an amendment to this report2. 2 http://forum.eionet.europa.eu/etc-sia-consortium/library/2014-subvention/183_3-citiestypology/milestones/city-typology-t2-indicator-prioritisationlist/download/2/City_typology_indicator_prioritisation_D2.1.xlsx European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 11 Indicator ID Domain S1.3 S1.4 Urban dimension and land use S1.5 Urban dimension and land use S1.6 S2.1 Urban dimension and land use S2.2 Urban form and distribution S2.3 Urban form and distribution S3.3 Climate S4.1 Soil S5.7 Socio-economics Employment: rate of unemployed S6.2 Water Consumption S6.4 Water Flood areas [km²] S7.2 Energy Consumption S7.3 Energy Fossil vs. Renewables S8.1 Waste Production S8.4 Waste Rate of recycling S10.1 Transport and mobility Length of transport networks (roads, rail lines) S10.2 Transport and mobility Modal split Green urban spaces (based on Urban Atlas) Urban dimension and land use Urban sprawl Land use mix Degree of soil sealing Urban form and distribution Compactness Share of high density area (based on Urban Atlas) Share of low density area (based on Urban Atlas) Average total annual precipitation Degree of soil sealing European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 12 Change in green urban spaces (based on Urban Atlas, 2012 not available yet) Urban sprawl D1.2 Urban dimension and land use D1.3 Urban dimension and land use D1.4 Urban dimension and land use D2.2 Urban form and distribution D2.3 Urban form and distribution D4.1 Soil D5.1 Socio-economics No. of inhabitants, growth and shrinkage D5.2 Socio-economics Population density D5.3 Socio-economics Age structure D5.4 Socio-economics Migration/segregation D5.6 Socio-economics Economy: change in GDP, regional gross value per inhabitant D5.7 Socio-economics Employment: rate of unemployed D6.1 Water Consumption D7.1 Energy Consumption D7.2 Energy Change in split of fossil vs. renewables D8.4 Waste change in Rate of recycling D9.1 Air quality change in Pollution by source D10.2 Transport and mobility change in Modal split Change in degree of soil sealing Change in share of high density area (based on Urban Atlas, 2012 not available yet) Change in share of low density area (based on Urban Atlas, 2012 not available yet) Change in degree of soil sealing When further listing the indicators and key figures that have scored with 4 times “yes”, another 24 parameters are added. European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 13 ID Domain S1.1 Urban dimension and land use Indicator Administrative area Cover area with buildings and infrastructure (based on Urban Atlas) S1.2 Urban dimension and land use S3.1 Climate S4.5 Soil Land recycling S5.1 Socio-economics No. of inhabitants S5.2 Socio-economics Population density S5.3 Socio-economics Age structure S5.6 Socio-economics Economy: GDP S5.8 S5.10 Socio-economics Tourism: no. of visitors Socio-economics Tourism: % of second houses S8.2 Waste Collection S8.3 Waste Deposition S9.1 Air quality Pollution by source S10.4 Transport and mobility Cars per citizens S11.1 Noise Pollution S11.2 Noise Traffic S11.3 Noise Airport Average air temperature European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 14 D1.1 D2.1 Urban dimension and land use Change in cover area with buildings and infrastructure (based on Urban Atlas, 2012 not available yet) Urban form and distribution Compactness D5.10 Socio-economics Tourism: change in % of second houses D10.1 Transport and mobility change in Production change in Length of transport networks (roads, rail lines) D10.4 Transport and mobility change in Cars per citizens D11.1 Noise Change in noise levels D8.1 Waste Concerning the governance indicators, four out of the proposed six static indicators were prioritised by all partners who undertook the prioritisation; that is, voters’ participation, WGI, city committed to climate change and city administrative services. Looking at the dynamic indicators, three of the proposed four scored high; that is, change in local government revenue (the change information was considered more important than the status information as it would allow for an assessment of the financial situation and the potential financial capability of a city to invest in environmental sustainability projects), change in voters’ participation, and change in the WGI. S12.1 Governance Local government revenue S12.2 Governance Voters participation S12.3 Governance Civic associations S12.4 Governance Government effectiveness index (WGI) S12.5 Governance City committed to fight climate change S12.6 Governance City administrative services (support efficiency, trust) D12.1 Governance change in local government revenue D12.2 Governance change in Voters participation D12.3 Governance change in Civic associations D12.4 Governance change in Government effectiveness index (WGI) European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 15 Lastly, UBA-V colleagues proposed four additional indicators for the mobility domain, two static and two dynamic ones, where the latter describe the change in the situation between two points in time. S10.6 Transport and mobility S10.7 Transport and mobility D10.6 Transport and mobility D10.7 Transport and mobility Capacity of public transport networks per inhabitant length of bicycle ways including mixed use with pedestrian for each direction per inhabitant Capacity of public transport networks per inhabitant length of bicycle ways including mixed use with pedestrian for each direction per inhabitant All in all, this means that the set of indicators/key figures that is now being prioritised sums up to a total of more than 40 (when taking only the ones with a score of “5 yes”) and almost 70, respectively (when also including the ones with 4 “yes”). This seems to be a lot for a meaningful and balanced typology, taking into account that the typology should also contain a number of qualitative indicators, such as some information on the function of a city (e.g., industrial city, service-oriented city) or its geographic location, e.g. at the coast, in a fluvial corridor or in the mountains. 4.3 METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH 4.3.1 Reference unit As already indicated in chapter 2 one important step will be to decide about the reference unit(s) to be selected and employed in the data processing. By and large, 5 different types of potential reference units are available: Urban Audit Core City (CC) Urban Audit Larger Urban Zone (LUZ) EC/OECD new degree of urbanisation as future basis for urban Audit (complemented for urban sprawl assessments by the urban-rural typology of NUTS-3 regions) Urban Morphological Zone o Corine-based o Urban Atlas-based Core city or UMZ with a buffer of a defined width, created e.g. in accordance with the MOLAND approach, i.e., in dependence of the size of the city (or another sound method) It was therefore decided to collect pros and cons of all delineations and list them in a table. European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 16 Reference unit Pros Cons Urban Audit core city Available Urban Audit Statistics Somewhat arbitrary delineation with national specificities Link to available national/subnational statistics possible (=> gap filling) Urban Audit LUZ Available Urban Audit Statistics some major gaps for certain countries and years Reflects functional urban zone BUT … includes wide areas of non-urban land uses Includes many different administrative areas Very large in some countries EC-OECD New degree of urbanisation New delineation of the Urban Audit, relation to core city and LUZ UMZ Reflects urban continuity and changes in land cover If based on Urban Atlas delineation is pretty precise in the reflection of the city morphology Revision leads to changes in number of cities and extent of some cities socioeconomic indicators not consistent for all cities Defines all built-up areas (=> not only cities) could be overcome by intersecting UMZ and core city Does not reflect administrative units => no link to statistics If based on CLC substantial urban areas are missing due to MMU issue Core city or UMZ with buffer zone Includes surrounding areas => allows sprawl and compactness analysis Not directly a con, but determining the extent of the periphery (i.e. the buffer) is critical. Although it seems to be mandatory on a first view to establish the basic reference unit for the typology, internal discussions led to the question whether there really is this need for actually defining strictly one reference unit. It needs to be taken into account that the basic way of storing the data is the form of a database and, probably, a point map, which will refer generically to the "city" (not the city extent). So it would make sense to use the administrative boundary for all statistical information (Urban Audit) available, with the possibility to use member states’ local statistics for gap filling (waste, energy, water, etc.). For land cover aspects (urban sprawl, soil sealing) a morphological approach of delineating the city could be used (e.g., extract the mean degree of soil sealing from the grid data based on one of the reference units), linking the indicator to the related core city. Additionally, the chosen approach has to be very data-driven and also addressed to the "user" of the typology. If the idea is to support local decision-making and comparability of local actions (in its administrative borders), then the approach should rely on these borders. European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 17 4.3.2 Processing approach Next to the appropriate urban reference unit (core city, UMZ) and how to potentially integrate more than one reference unit into the processing, the identification of the most suited methodology as such (e.g. statistical approach like k-means clustering) is the main challenge. In that context, it must always be kept in mind that the aim is the creation of a city typology based on a number of urban sustainability indicators and key figures. For this objective, it is required to integrate as much as possible parameters into the process to best capture the entire picture of the city. Moreover, the link of the typology to the key policy questions or policy support must be identified. Cluster analysis or clustering is “a statistical procedure that starts with a data set containing information about a sample of entities and attempts to reorganise these entities into relatively homogeneous groups.” (Aldenderfer and Blashfield, 1989) The reorganisation of the elements is based on similarity, so clustering can be understood as the task of grouping a set of objects in such a way that objects in the same group (called cluster) are more similar (in some sense or another) to each other than to those in other groups (clusters). (Diansheng, 2002) Similarity is mostly determined by distances, based either on single or multi-dimensions. The simplest way of computing distances in a multi-dimensional feature space is the application of Euclidean distances, which simply are the geometric distances in the multidimensional space. (Aksoy, 2009) Figure 5: Examples of cluster analysis methods The targeted clustering (i.e. typology) of European cities will be based on a large number of parameters (indicators) and, thus, multiple dimensions. As a consequence, a large number of cluster analysis methods are available, such as hierarchical clustering, kmeans algorithms, etc. Some discussion led to the proposition to use k-means clustering algorithms, despite them also having some drawbacks. Pros and cons of the k-means approach together with some concrete steps how to tackle the typology are presented in the chapters below. In data mining, k-means clustering is a method of cluster analysis which aims to partition n observations into k clusters in which each observation belongs to the cluster with the nearest mean (Aksoy, 2009). k-means clustering is in general rather easy to implement and apply even on large data sets. As such, it has been successfully used in various topics, ranging from market segmentation, computer vision, geo-statistics and European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 18 astronomy to agriculture. It is often used as a pre-processing step for other algorithms, for example to find a starting configuration (e.g. feature learning step for supervised classifications). Limitations3 are related to Differing sizes Differing densities Having non-globular shapes It has also problems with outliers and empty clusters. Figure 6: Limitation differing densities 3 http://www.cs.uvm.edu/~xwu/kdd/Slides/Kmeans-ICDM06.pdf European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 19 Figure 7: Limitation non-globular shapes Considering that the majority of the partners agreed upon using k-means clustering, the question remained whether a pre-grouping of the indicators would be required, e.g., by having a Principal Component Analysis reducing the amount of data. There was no consensus about this, so the first proposition is to use a three-tiered approach on all indicators at once and compare/cross-evaluate them/the outcomes of the three methods: Pure PCA K-means with preceding PCA Pure k-means It was argued that clustering all indicators in one step would make the interpretation difficult as the respective influence of the single indicators becomes rather unclear. Therefore, another option would be to create a set of composite indicators per urban domain (e.g., by applying a PCA on the domain-specific set of indicators and variables) upon which the cluster analysis is applied. The cross-comparison should allow identifying if one of the methods is best suited or if further research has to be done. European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 20 5 REFERENCES Aksoy, E. (2009): “Classifying Turkish District Data With K-Means and SOM Algorithms” Book, VDM Publication, ISBN: 978-3-639-13560-2 Germany, 2009 Aldenderfer, M.S. and Blashfield, R.K. (1989): Cluster Analysis. Sage Universty Publications, Sixth printing, USA Diansheng, G. (2002): Spatiasl Cluster Ordering and Encoding for High-Dimensional Geographic Knowledge Discovery, UCGIS2, Summer, 2002 European Topic Centre Spatial Information and Analysis 21