2013 – 2014 Target & Norm Charts TARGET AND NORM CHARTS 2013-2014 Version St. Croix River Education District Please discard your “green packet” from the 2012-2013 school year, and replace it with this current “blue packet” of targets and norms for our assessments. October 2013 St. Croix River Education District Rush City, MN 55069 2013 – 2014 Target & Norm Charts Highlights Updated targets include: o 1st grade Quantity Discrimination Measure (QDM) o AIMSweb Math Concepts & Applications (MCAP) o AIMSweb Oral Reading Fluency (CBM-R) o NWEA MAP Reading Why the change in labels? o Rather than seeing Tier 1, Tier 2, and Tier 3, in this packet you will see low risk (Tier 1), moderate risk (Tier 2), and high risk (Tier 3). o Reason: Tier 2 and 3 in the past has implied that the student is in some kind of intervention. However with the higher targets now in reading it would not be possible to have all students in yellow and red in a supplemental intervention. So, we will use these targets to say how much risk a student is in and reserve the term Tier 2 and 3 for those who are actually getting supplemental interventions. A note about goal setting: o Goals for interventions should be ambitious, but realistic. For measures that have multiple benchmarks, individual student goals can be written for students to reach the greatest benchmark target score (labeled as “low risk”) unless an IEP team for a particular student entitled to special education services determines a different goal for that student. If you have questions, contact: Kindle Kabat, Outcomes Manager Adam Lekwa, Instructional Services Coordinator email: kperkins@scred.k12.mn.us email: alekwa@scred.k12.mn.us October 2013 St. Croix River Education District Rush City, MN 55069 2013 – 2014 Target & Norm Charts Curriculum Based Measurement of Reading Words Read Correct Per Minute Revised in October, 2013 Grade 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Risk Level Fall Benchmark Winter Benchmark Spring Benchmark Low NA 51 ↑ 80 ↑ Moderate NA 7-50 38-79 High NA 6↓ 37 ↓ Low 71 ↑ 100 ↑ 118 ↑ Moderate 31-70 64-99 82-117 High 30 ↓ 63 ↓ 81 ↓ Low 100 ↑ 123 ↑ 138 ↑ Moderate 59-99 88-122 100-137 High 58 ↓ 87 ↓ 99 ↓ Low 123 ↑ 148 ↑ 160 ↑ Moderate 81-122 106-147 118-159 High 80 ↓ 105 ↓ 117 ↓ Low 126 ↑ 149 ↑ 161 ↑ Moderate 85-125 106-148 117-160 High 84 ↓ 105 ↓ 116 ↓ Low 148 ↑ 168 ↑ 178 ↑ Moderate 106-147 123-167 131-177 High 105 ↓ 122 ↓ 130 ↓ Low 175 ↑ 181 ↑ 181 ↑ Moderate 126-174 141-180 160-180 High 125 ↓ 140 ↓ 159 ↓ Low 175 ↑ 181 ↑ 181 ↑ Moderate 134-174 144-180 163-180 High 133 ↓ 143 ↓ 162 ↓ SPED and ADSIS: monitor students once per week using ORF. Low Risk = at least a 75% chance of passing criterion Moderate Risk = 50% chance of passing criterion High Risk = at best a 25% chance of passing criterion October 2013 St. Croix River Education District Rush City, MN 55069 2013 – 2014 Target & Norm Charts Early Literacy Measures Items Correct Per Minute Target Scores Predicting Performance on Grade 1 ORF Revised 8/2007 Measure Letter Naming Fluency Letter Sound Fluency Kindergarten Risk September November January May Low 9 High Low 10 High Measure Low Oral Reading Fluency 35 19 High Risk Grade 1 September November January May Students must reach 12 words correct on the Blending and Segmenting tests to be considered phonemically aware. Phonemic Segmenting and Blending Nonsense Word Fluency 41 21 Students must reach 12 words correct on the Blending and Segmenting tests to be considered phonemically aware Phoneme Segmenting and Blending Nonsense Word Fluency 21 6 Low Moderate High Low Moderate High 32 ↑ 15 – 31 14 ↓ Low Risk = at least a 75% chance of passing criterion Moderate Risk = 50% chance of passing criterion High Risk = at best a 25% chance of passing criterion 45 ↑ 25 – 44 24 ↓ 52 ↑ 29 – 51 28 ↓ 51 ↑ 7 – 50 6↓ 80 ↑ 38 – 79 37 ↓ October 2013 St. Croix River Education District Rush City, MN 55069 2013 – 2014 Target & Norm Charts Measures of Academic Progress – Reading NWEA MAP Reading to MCAIII Reading 2013: Grade 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Risk Level Fall Target Score Spring Target Score Low Moderate High Low Moderate High Low 180 ↑ 160-179 159 ↓ 194 ↑ 180-193 179 ↓ 205 ↑ 195 ↑ 181-194 180 ↓ 205 ↑ 197-204 196 ↓ 214 ↑ Moderate High Low Moderate High Low Moderate High Low Moderate High Low Moderate 195-204 194 ↓ 211 ↑ 202-210 201 ↓ 218 ↑ 209-217 208 ↓ 224 ↑ 216-223 215 ↓ 229 ↑ 220-228 206-213 205 ↓ 217 ↑ 209-216 208 ↓ 223 ↑ 216-222 215 ↓ 228 ↑ 220-227 220 ↓ 231 ↑ 224-230 High Low 219 ↓ 228 ↑ 223 ↓ 232 ↑ Moderate High Low Moderate High 214-227 213 ↓ 232 ↑ 220-231 119 ↓ 218-231 217 ↓ 234 ↑ 222-233 221 ↓ Low Risk = at least a 75% chance of passing criterion Moderate Risk = 50% chance of passing criterion High Risk = at best a 25% chance of passing criterion October 2013 St. Croix River Education District Rush City, MN 55069 2013 – 2014 Target & Norm Charts Tests of Early Numeracy (TEN) Items Correct Per Minute Target Scores Predicting Fall Grade 2 MAP Success (176 RIT) Revised 8/2012 Kindergarten Targets Measure Oral Counting Fluency Missing Number Fluency Quantity Discrimination Measure* November January 62 80 15 18 May 25 26 Grade 1 Targets Measure Quantity Discrimination Measure* Risk September January May Low 12 ↑ 25 ↑ 29 ↑ Med. 1 - 11 9 - 24 15 – 28 High 0 8↓ 14 ↓ QDM First Grade: Lot’s of students end up in moderate at-risk yellow on this measure, therefore, our advice is that you look at other indicators in addition, (in-class work, curriculum tests, teacher recommendations) to determine who should get a supplemental intervention. QDM First Grade: 80% of the students who are at low risk will meet the Fall 2nd Grade MAP target. 66% of the students at high risk will not meet the Fall 2nd Grade MAP target. *Note: The Oral Counting Fluency and Missing Number Fluency used in this analysis are the same as those available for download on AIMSweb. The Quantity Discrimination Measure used for this analysis was revised to be inclusive of numbers 0-31 in Kindergarten, and 0-100 in Grade 1. Student performance on AIMSweb Quantity Discrimination Fluency probes should not be interpreted relative to the targets provided here. Low Risk = at least a 75% chance of passing criterion Moderate Risk = 50% chance of passing criterion High Risk = at best a 25% chance of passing criterion October 2013 St. Croix River Education District Rush City, MN 55069 2013 – 2014 Target & Norm Charts Math Fact Fluency Problems Correct Per Minute Target Scores Predicting Score of 30 in Spring Grade 5 Revised 10/2003 GRADE FALL 1 WINTER SPRING 7 12 2 8 13 14 3 11 13 16 4 12 17 23 5 19 24 30 Based on a review of prior student data, we have confidence that students scoring ≥ 37 facts correct per minute in the spring of grade 5 are highly unlikely to score below 30 facts correct per minute on math facts assessments in grades 6-8, and as such may be excluded from math facts testing in these grades. Based on a review of prior student data, we have confidence that students scoring ≥ 35 facts correct per minute in the fall of grade 6 are highly unlikely to score below 30 facts correct per minute on math facts assessments in grades 6-8, and as such may be excluded from math facts testing in these grades. 6 30 30 30 Based on a review of prior student data, we have confidence that students scoring ≥ 35 facts correct per minute in the fall of grade 7 are highly unlikely to score below 30 facts correct per minute on math facts assessments in grades 7-8, and as such may be excluded from math facts testing in these grades. 7 30 30 30 8 30 30 30 Low Risk = at least a 75% chance of passing criterion Moderate Risk = 50% chance of passing criterion High Risk = at best a 25% chance of passing criterion October 2013 St. Croix River Education District Rush City, MN 55069 2013 – 2014 Target & Norm Charts Math Concepts and Applications Problems Correct in 8-10 Minutes (Grade Dependent) AIMSweb Probes Target Scores Predicting Performance on AIR Adaptive MCA-3 Revised October, 2013 Grade 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Risk Fall Winter Spring Low Moderate High Low Moderate High Low Moderate High Low Moderate High Low Moderate High Low Moderate High Low Moderate High 5↑ 20 ↑ 26 ↑ 2–4 7 – 19 10 – 25 1↓ 6↓ 9↓ 6↑ 12 ↑ 18 ↑ 2–5 5 – 11 7 – 17 1↓ 4↓ 6↓ 11 ↑ 19 ↑ 23 ↑ 4 – 10 8 – 17 10 – 22 3↓ 7↓ 9↓ 10 ↑ 17 ↑ 18 ↑ 5–9 8 – 16 8 – 17 4↓ 7↓ 7↓ 18 ↑ 24 ↑ 29 ↑ 10 – 17 14 – 23 17 – 28 9↓ 13 ↓ 16 ↓ 19 ↑ 25 ↑ 28 ↑ 10 – 18 16 – 24 16 – 27 9↓ 15 ↓ 15 ↓ 17 ↑ 20 ↑ 22 ↑ 9 – 16 11 – 19 12 – 21 8↓ 10 ↓ 11 ↓ SPED and ADSIS: monitor students with MCAP once every other week. Less risk, measure once per month. Low Risk = at least a 75% chance of passing criterion Moderate Risk = 50% chance of passing criterion High Risk = at best a 25% chance of passing criterion October 2013 St. Croix River Education District Rush City, MN 55069 2013 – 2014 Target & Norm Charts Measures of Academic Progress - Math RIT Scale Scores TIES-Wide Target Scores Predicting Performance on AIR 2012 MCA-3 (or Grade 11 MCA-2) Revised 10/2012 Grade Risk Level Fall Spring Low 174 ↑ 190 ↑ Moderate 162 – 173 181 – 189 High 161 ↓ 180 ↓ Low 188 ↑ 201 ↑ 3 Moderate 177 – 187 194 – 200 High 176 ↓ 193 ↓ Low 201 ↑ 214 ↑ 4 Moderate 192 – 200 205 – 213 High 191 ↓ 204 ↓ Low 216 ↑ 229 ↑ 5 Moderate 207 – 215 221 – 228 High 206 ↓ 220 ↓ Low 226 ↑ 234 ↑ 6 Moderate 218 – 225 228 – 233 High 217 ↓ 227 ↓ Low 232 ↑ 239 ↑ 7 Moderate 224 – 231 232 – 238 High 223 ↓ 231 ↓ Low 238 ↑ 242 ↑ 8 Moderate 228 – 237 234 – 241 High 227 ↓ 233 ↓ Low 247 ↑ 252 ↑ 9* Moderate 237 – 246 242 – 251 High 236 ↓ 241 ↓ Low 252 ↑ 256 ↑ 10* Moderate 242 – 251 246 – 255 High 241 ↓ 245 ↓ *Please use caution in interpreting grade 9 and 10 results. Samples are more limited and many districts only assess lower-performing students at these grades, which may have affected the sample. 2 Low Risk = at least a 75% chance of passing criterion Moderate Risk = 50% chance of passing criterion High Risk = at best a 25% chance of passing criterion October 2013 St. Croix River Education District Rush City, MN 55069 2013 – 2014 Target & Norm Charts Curriculum Based Measurement – Written Expression Correct Word Sequences Written in 3 Minutes SCRED-Wide Norms Fall Grade 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Percentile 90th 75th 50th 25th 10th 5th 90th 75th 50th 25th 10th 5th 90th 75th 50th 25th 10th 5th 90th 75th 50th 25th 10th 5th 90th 75th 50th 25th 10th 5th 90th 75th 50th 25th 10th 5th 90th 75th 50th 25th 10th 5th 90th 75th 50th 25th 10th 5th CWS NA NA NA NA NA NA 16 13 8 5 1 0 36 29 20 11 4 2 44 33 27 16 12 9 52 42 32 24 17 14 60 50 41 27 20 14 68 56 47 38 29 22 79 65 53 44 33 25 Revised 2012-13 Sch Yr Winter TWW NA NA NA NA NA NA 29 24 18 13 9 3 46 38 28 20 14 3 50 41 35 26 20 16 62 50 39 29 23 20 65 56 45 37 26 21 73 62 55 44 38 33 84 73 61 50 44 33 CWS 13 8 6 2 1 1 29 25 16 10 5 3 38 34 26 19 13 8 64 48 36 24 19 8 55 45 38 30 20 17 66 52 41 30 21 17 74 63 52 38 32 27 77 70 58 47 34 32 Spring TWW 26 21 15 11 8 6 44 37 31 22 14 13 49 44 37 30 24 20 63 57 42 34 27 19 60 56 46 37 29 21 68 56 48 37 28 22 77 65 57 44 37 34 87 74 65 54 41 37 CWS 19 15 11 5 2 1 34 25 19 12 5 4 50 43 32 23 15 11 58 45 35 23 14 11 77 63 48 39 24 13 78 65 53 44 38 33 83 67 55 46 34 28 89 78 63 53 42 37 TWW 31 26 18 13 9 8 49 42 31 24 19 16 65 56 43 33 26 21 65 52 41 33 21 17 80 72 59 48 38 29 79 70 60 52 43 39 84 71 62 53 40 34 91 82 72 61 52 50 SPED and ADSIS: monitor students once every other week with CWS. Less risk, can monitor once per month. Low Risk = at least a 75% chance of passing criterion Moderate Risk = 50% chance of passing criterion High Risk = at best a 25% chance of passing criterion October 2013 St. Croix River Education District Rush City, MN 55069 2013 – 2014 Target & Norm Charts Individual Growth and Development Indicators (IGDIs) Items Correct in Allotted Time Target Scores for Spring Prior to Kindergarten Eligibility Revised 1/2013 Alliteration Rhyming Picture Naming Low Risk 8 12 26 Higher Risk 5* 7* 16* * Higher Risk benchmarks are based on professional judgment distinguishing between students who are near target from those far from target. These targets are for Spring prior to entering Kindergarten, however, these same targets will be loaded into TIES for each benchmark season (Fall, Winter, and Spring) so that teachers can see how many students are achieving the spring target as the year progresses. Early Literacy Indicators Items Correct in 1 Minute Target scores for Fall, Winter, and Spring of year prior to Kindergarten enrollment predict success on same measure in September (LNF) / November (LSF) of Kindergarten Year Revised 1/2013 Letter Naming Fluency Low Risk Higher Risk Letter Sound Fluency Low Risk Higher Risk Fall 6 Winter 9 Spring 14 8* Fall 1 Winter 4 Spring 8 5* * Higher Risk benchmarks are based on professional judgment distinguishing between students who are near target from those far from target. Low Risk = at least a 75% chance of passing criterion Moderate Risk = 50% chance of passing criterion High Risk = at best a 25% chance of passing criterion October 2013 St. Croix River Education District Rush City, MN 55069