International Finance Spring Instructor: Yiping Xu Email: xuyiping666@aliyun.com Office: Keyan 721 Course Description Over the last three decades, financial markets around the world have been transformed. Some changes have been gradual. For example, bank loans, straight debt, and common equity shares were once the dominant financial products. Now these products are being supplanted by commercial paper, financial futures, options and swaps. Other changes were more abrupt, such as the collapse of the Bretton Woods Agreement. In general these changes are in four aspects: the wider array of financial products, the increase in price volatility, the greater intensity of competition across financial markets and the increased incidence of financial crises. This transformation of financial markets raises many issues for private market participants and public policymakers. Course Outcomes The purpose of this course is to describe the institutional setting and economics of pricing in the modern international financial markets, and then to outline the policy issues affecting private individuals, firms and the government. We will divide the international financial markets into three major groups and study them respectively: (1) foreign exchange, (2) offshore markets and (3) derivative securities. Grading: Your grade will be based on midterm (30%) and a final exam (70%) Attendance Policy Due to the nature of a typical finance course, regular attendance is required. Unreported absence will be counted in the final evaluation. Only valid medical or family emergencies qualify as an absence, and documentation of the same must be presented to the professor no later than the next class meeting. All other absences are considered to be unexcused. Unexcused absences will affect your grade (see below). Penalties for unexcused absences: 1 absence – class participation grade drops one full letter grade (example: A- to B-) 2 absences – class participation grade drops two full letter grades 3 absences – class participation grade drops three full letter grades 4 or more absences – class participation grade is a failing grade Academic Honesty Statement Please refer to the following web link for policies on academic honesty: http://www.luc.edu/academics/catalog/undergrad/reg_academicintegrity.shtml 1 Required text E.David, Arthur.I.S and Michael.H.M, 2007, Multinational Business Finance, 11th Edition, Pearson, ISBN0-321-55956-8. Course coverage Lecture 1: An Overview of International Monetary Systems and Recent Developments in International Financial Markets The Changing Financial Landscape, The Expanding Menu of Financial Choices, Greater Volatility as a Feature of Financial Markets, Increased Competition within and among Financial Markets, Financial Crises and Contagion among International Financial Markets , International Monetary Arrangements in Theory and Practice,. Lecture 2: Balance of Payments The definition of international economic transactions; BOP accounting: current account, the capital and financial accounts; current and financial account balance relationships, the interaction between the current account and key macroeconomic variables. Lecture 3: Foreign exchange markets (I): Institution and PPP Market Structure and Institutions: Origins of the Market, A Close-Up View on Foreign Exchange Trading ,Explaining the Profitability of Foreign Exchange Trading , Comparing the Foreign Exchange Market with Other Markets, Controls over Foreign Exchange Trading Purchasing Power Parity: Purchasing Power Parity in a Perfect Capital Market, The Law of One Price, Absolute Purchasing Power Parity Relative Purchasing Power Parity , The Real Exchange Rate and Purchasing Power Parity, Managerial Decisions, Purchasing Power Parity and Product Pricing Decisions Lecture 4: Foreign exchange markets (II): Interest Rate Parity and the Fisher Parities The Relationship between Interest Rates, Spot Rates, and Forward Rates, Interest Rate Parity in a Perfect Capital Market, Empirical Evidence, The Fisher Parities ,The International Fisher Effect Application 1: Interest Rate Parity and One-Way Arbitrage Application 2: Interest Rate Parity and the Country Risk Premium Application 3: International Fisher Effect, Long-Term Bonds, and Exchange Rate Predictions Lecture 5: Foreign exchange markets (III): Spot Exchange Rate determination An Overview of the Flow Approach and the Stock Approach, Asset Models of the Spot Exchange Rate, The Monetary Approach, The Portfolio-Balance Approach, Empirical Evidence on Exchange Rate Models, Policy Matters for private Enterprises and public policymakers 2 Lecture 6: Foreign exchange markets (IV) Offshore Financial Markets (I)The Eurocurrency Market Historical Overview , The Origins of Supply and Demand for Offshore Banking, The Offshore Markets Endure, Growth of the Eurocurrency Market , Pricing of Eurocurrency Deposits and Loans, Can Offshore and Onshore Markets Coexist? The Impact of Capital Controls and Taxes , Policy Matters Lecture 7: Offshore Financial Markets (II) The Eurobond Market Historical Overview and Dimensions of the Eurobond Market, The Eurobond Market Endures , Regulatory and Institutional Characteristics of the Market, Issuing Costs, Ratings, and Exchange Listings, Market Segmentation and the Pricing of Eurobonds, Onshore-offshore Arbitrage Opportunities, Using the Eurobond Market to Enhance the Value of the Firm Lecture 8: Derivative Security Markets: Futures, Options, and Swaps Distinctions between Futures and Forwards, Cash Settlement and Delivery versus Marking-to-Market Convention, Futures Pricing and Forward Pricing, Option Pricing: Formal Models, Empirical Evidence on Option Prices, Arbitrage Boundary Conditions , Pricing Efficiency and Pricing Biases, Origins and underpinnings of the Swap Market, The Basic Cash Flows of a Swap Transaction, Currency Swap. Lecture 9: Foreign Exchange exposure Types of foreign exchange exposure, why hedge? Measurement of transaction exposure, measurement of operating exposure, strategy choice and outcome. 3