Draft Joint Sector Review Working Document Introduction The Social Protection sector contributes towards the Economic Development and Poverty Reduction Strategy (EDPRS) by providing cash transfers and access to public works to the extreme poor, as well as providing them a means of accessing other public services such as health and education. These objectives are delivered by a wide range of institutions, both governmental and non-governmental. MINALOC has the overall policy lead on Social Protection and chairs the Social Protection Working Group which includes representatives from across Ministries, key para-statals, development partners and NGOs intervening in Social Protection. The social protection sector in Rwanda has seen a remarkable growth over the past five years. From a collection of small MINALOC programmes and parallel fragmented donor supported projects consisting mainly of food aid, social protection has grown into a sector aligned behind a common strategy and implementation programme. The EDPRS flagship VUP programme is operational in 120 sectors and is now reaching 86,000 households with direct support or public works (2011/12 year to date). Other key programmes are also reaching tens of thousands of vulnerable people. For example, FARG is supporting 23,360 needy genocide survivors with direct support, 164,187 received Mutuelle de Santé, 2,000 individuals have received each a cow under the one cow per poor program under income generating activities and construction of houses for 1,166 households is ongoing whereas 39,036 and 5,066 students are receiving education scholarship in secondary and universities respectively and 2,443 vulnerable disabled ex-combatants received their monthly subsistence allowance. The recent EICV data shows that poverty has reduced by twelve percentage points nationally from 57% to 45% and extreme poverty from 36% to 24% in the past five years: a remarkable achievement. International and national evidence suggests that the social protection sector will have a key role to play in ensuring a continuation of this trend in poverty reduction. By the end of this financial year we expect to have data that will quantify the contribution that social protection programmes have made in reducing poverty in Rwanda. a) i) Progress in the Sector on EDPRS 2011/12 implementation Summary of Progress in the implementation of the Sector against EDPRS Targets and Policy Actions in 2010/11 The social protection sector continues to make very strong progress. All Social Protection 2010/11 policy actions were achieved by July 2011 and all indicators in the EDPRS Annual Implementation Report 2010/11 scored green, except for one for which data was not yet available. The substantial action taken by the social protection sector to fast track the implementation of policy actions to ensure that targets are met is demonstrated in the following short review of progress already made against the targets and key policy actions identified for 2011/12. 1. Government to continue support of VUP and to ensure coordination of all social protection activities in accordance with National Social Protection Strategy (NSPS), ensuring that NSPS Implementation Plan (IP) milestones are met Significant restructuring has taken place to support the social protection sector. In MINALOC a Directorate in charge of community development and social affairs became operational and a Director General was appointed. In order to support effective implementation of VUP, a general Directorate of social protection was also established in the Rwanda Local Development Support Fund and fully staffed. 1 An institutional framework to support the implementation of the National Social Protection Strategy has been put in place, led by MINALOC, which brings together Government, development partners, para-statal organisations and civil society actors. A high level Leadership Team, a Technical Group and four Sub-Committees are now operational. Short-term technical assistance is in place to support implementation of the strategy and ensure that all Implementation milestones are met. The recruitment of additional permanent staff to MINALOC is underway, in order to ensure the required long-term support to strategy implementation. 2. Continue scale up of PW in accordance with international best practices in 120 sectors The Public Works Programme has been scaled up to 120 sectors, where 152 projects are under implementation. Since July 2011, 61,411 households have benefitted, of which 28,591 (47%) are female headed. The target ‘35% of eligible households granted Public Works’ has already been exceeded. 45% of eligible households have accessed Public Works during the year to date. The re-targeting process carried out in 2011 introduced delays and no new public works projects were started between July and December, but 60 % of Districts have now submitted their new projects for funding and technical staff have been sent to support the remaining Districts. The sector strives to continually improve the impact and efficiency of public works programmes. To this end, the gender review to be carried out later this year will look at how pregnant women and nursing mothers access public works; and a study next financial year will look at the access of people with disabilities. 3. Continue scale up of direct support in accordance with international best practices in 120 sectors The Direct Support component was also scaled up to 120 sectors and reached 26,525 households, of which 17,020 (64%) were female headed. These households contained a total of 59,949 individuals. As mentioned above, the 2011 re-targeting process carried out during 2011 occasioned a delay in finalising beneficiary lists and these meant that no Direct Support payments were made between July and December 2011. Now, beneficiary lists have been finalised and all eligible households have benefited from a six month back payment of Direct Support. Tools for handling appeals and complaints were rolled-out to all sectors. 4. Roll out financial services targeting the poor in all VUP sectors. VUP financial services policies and procedures are clarified and defined and presented to the SWG. This component was also rolled out in 120 sectors. In the first six months of 2011/12, 14,000 people were reached, of whom 46% were women. The final financial services policies and procedures have yet to be presented to the Sector Working Group. A recent review has identified a number of strategic risks to this component, including limited institutional capacity, low repayment rates and a lack of a clear exit strategy. Given these challenges, the social protection sector is in the process of reflecting on the options and recommendations in the report and is deciding on the best way forward. As part of this a technical committee has been set up, which includes representatives from RLDSF, MINECOFIN and BNR. 5. Ensure that 2000 communities are implementing Ubudehe community projects All preparatory work for project implementation of projects has been carried out. To promote efficiency of implementation, it was decided to concentrate all 2000 projects within ten Districts. Training for Ubudehe committees, cell secretaries and village leaders has been completed. Planning and approval of all individual and community projects was also carried out before the end of the 2011 calendar year, though disbursal of funds did not commence. In order to ensure that the 2 budget is fully executed by year end, project implementation will be accelerated during the remainder of the year. 3 Progress Against EDPRS 2011/12 Targets and Policy Actions EDPRS STRATEGIC OUTCOMES (Results) INDICATORS 2.8.1 Improved Social Safety Net 2.8.1. percentage households bottom categories extreme according UBUDEHE The of in the two of poverty to EXPECTED PERFORMANCE PUBLIC POLICY ACTIONS Baseline 2010/11 Target 2011-12 Traffic light scoring and actual performa nce Key policy Benchmark/output 2011/12 Status (fully achieved, or not fully achieved) Brief progress and Proposed Evidence 34% (2007) 29.3% N/A Government to continue support of VUP and to ensure coordination of all social protection activities in accordance with National Social Protection Strategy (NSPS), ensuring that NSPS Implementation Plan (IP) milestones are met Ongoing The Ministry of Local Government is in the process of strengthening the staff through recruitment of technical assistance to ensure that the implementation activities are implemented. A department of social protection where VUP is situated was created under the Rwanda Local Development Support Fund to strengthen the implementation of VUP. Since September 2011, staff recruitment was done in order to ensure implementation of government policies. Baseline survey is ongoing and at the level of data entry; Terms of reference for conducting evaluation of VUP were advertised 2.8.2 Percentage of eligible households granted public works 91% 35% 45% Continue scale up of PW in accordance with international best practice in 120 sectors Ongoing The selection of PW beneficiaries was concluded and about 60% of the sectors submitted projects and implementation is underway. Technicians have been sent to the remaining districts where PW have not yet been identified to support those districts 4 EDPRS STRATEGIC OUTCOMES (Results) INDICATORS EXPECTED PERFORMANCE PUBLIC POLICY ACTIONS Baseline 2010/11 Target 2011-12 Traffic light scoring and actual performa nce Key policy Benchmark/output 2011/12 Status (fully achieved, or not fully achieved) Brief progress and Proposed Evidence 2.8.3 Percentage of eligible households granted direct support in VUP sectors 100% 85% 100% Continue scale up of direct support in accordance with international best practices in 120 sectors Ongoing Lists of all Direst Support beneficiaries have already been submitted and processing of payments is ongoing Ongoing Tools for handling appeals and complaints were developed and successfully pilottested in 5 VUP sectors. A circular to roll out this appeals and complaints mechanism to all VUP sectors has been prepared. A brief summary of the roll out process is in its draft form awaiting validation. 2.8.4 Percentage of VUP sector adult population with an active account in financial services <19% (Finscope Survey 2008) Roll out financial services targeting poor in all VUP sectors Ongoing The selection process has already been finalized VUP financial services policies and procedures are clarified and defined and presented to SWG Ongoing Technical committee was set up. Members of Technical committee include representatives of RLDSF, MINECOFIN and BNR. The Technical committee produced a draft proposal report matching Financial Services component/VUP with SACCO. Draft report is available 35% N/A VUP beneficiaries training manual was developed. There is a need of validation. 5 EDPRS STRATEGIC OUTCOMES (Results) INDICATORS 2.9 Integrated Social Protection Programming 2.9.1 Level of harmonization of the Social Protection sector EXPECTED PERFORMANCE Baseline 2010/11 Target 2011-12 MINALOC represent about 80% total Social Protection Spend Prog-ress to SWAp Eg MOU PUBLIC POLICY ACTIONS Traffic light scoring and actual performa nce Key policy Benchmark/output 2011/12 Status (fully achieved, or not fully achieved) Brief progress and Proposed Evidence Ensure that National Social Protection Strategy Implementation plan milestones (NSPS) met. Ongoing There are a set of policy actions as detailed in the implementation plan which are at different stages of implementation e.g. the development of MIS is in its initial stages; the different technical working groups and membership for the SWG were approved by the leadership team; the roadmap for VUP scaling up for 2012/13 was developed and is awaiting validation; the process of recruiting Technical assistance to support the implementation of the NSPS are underway. 6 a) ii) Summary report of budget execution by programme and sub-programme. Budget Execution July 2011 to March 2012 Ministry/Agency Sub program Approved Budget Execution % 17,405,950,037 13,539,255,241 78% Promotion of Social Protection Support to Vulnerable groups Support to Genocide Survivors National Commission for Demobilization and Reintegration 62,253,000 28,843,397 46% 315, 128, 901 182,790,254 58% 8,866,934,399 5, 498,680,268 62% 3, 973,744,000 3,775,472,686** 95% Support to rural settlement 4, 187, 889,737 4,053,468,636 97% 347,822,918 29,000,000 8% 222,063,999 15,000,000 7% 125,758,919 14,000,000 11% 262,584,008 157,149,773 60% 262,584,008 157,149,773 45% 376, 158, 664 140, 505, 465 37% MINALOC MIDIMAR Assistance, protection of refugees and reintegration of returnees Risk reduction and disasters management PRIMATURE(MIGEPROF) Family promotion and protection Child rights promotion and protection RLDSF (Social Protection) 17,396,789,548 47% Direct Support 3,807,660,458 2,123,990,299 56% Public Works 10,833,970,558 5,097,334,809* 47% Financial Services Ubudehe Community Projects 2,309,477,192 1,040,711,324* 45% 445,681,340 0 0% 13,444,160,698 6,888,078,001 51% DISTRICTS (Ear Marked) Social protection (MINALOC) 7 Ministry/Agency Sub program Approved Budget Execution % 12,037,549,100 6,260,629,135 52% 1,406,611,598 627,448,866 45% 1,007,846,137 525,648,515 52% Child rights promotion and protection( 833,257,698 422,549,689 51% Gender and women promotion 174,588,439 103,098,826 59% Support genocide survivors to Support to vulnerable groups MIGEPROF) ** This amount includes the already committed funds; the actual payments are 2,675,578,353 which is equal to 63.3% of budget execution Some of the budget lines that are underspent and the reasons for this are as follows: Risk Reduction and Disaster Management (11%): TBD Child Rights Promotion and Protection (37%): Their social protection budget is at 37.4% execution which is low spending because the budget approved for child rights and protection sub program was transferred to National council for children (a new budget agency) implementing the said program. Two sub programs (budget lines) have spent substantially more than the 70% which would be expected in the last quarter of the financial year. The reasons for this are as follows: National Commission for Demobilisation and Reintegration (95%): The execution rate in the commission is at 95% because it includes the already committed funds. The actual spend is 2,675,578,353 which is 63%. Support to Rural Settlement (85%): the budget execution on rural settlement was mostly spent on supporting vulnerable households in eradication of grass thatched houses specifically on purchasing of iron sheets which was all done in the second quarter. 8 a) iii) The key challenges and lessons learned and a summary report of progress on underperforming areas identified in the 2010/11 EDPRS Annual Implementation Report and JSR Challenges and Lessons Learned The cross-cutting nature of social protection and the rapid scale up of social protection programming in Rwanda were flagged in the previous Forward Looking Review (April 2011) as key challenges and they continue to form the context for our work in the sector. Key lessons learned in the sector are that: There is an urgent need to strengthen both human and institutional capacity to deliver on social protection. Substantial progress has already been made by setting up new Directorates in both MINALOC and RLDSF; by re-energising the social protection Sector Working Group structures; by securing short term technical assistance; and by training social protection staff at national and decentralised levels. But, in the face of continued rapid scale-up of innovative programmes, much more remains to be done. In order to maintain programme quality and ensure results, long-term policy capacity within MINALOC and programme delivery capacity at both national and decentralised levels require substantial further strengthening. In the absence of this, there is a real risk that achievements to date will not be sustained. . Targeting mechanisms need to be reviewed and strengthened to maximise the impact of social protection programme, the efficiency of spending in the sector and the timeliness of payments. One challenge faced during the period July to December 2011 was the interruption in payments to VUP Direct Support and Public Works beneficiaries, occasioned by a revision of the Ubudehe targeting mechanism. Back-payments have now been made to all eligible households and action has been taken to improve the timeliness of payments going forward. Improved monitoring, evaluation and analysis (including gendered analysis of access and impacts) is required in order to inform policy and programming decisions. In the medium term this needs to be underpinned by an effective management information system (MIS). Improved harmonisation of efforts has led to greater effectiveness and efficiency in the sector and the Social Protection Sector is now performing very well in this regard. There is still scope for further improvement through the development of a Social Protection SWAp. There is still considerable need to increase the scale and coverage of social protection programmes. Substantial investment in the sector will be required to enable this to happen and financing needs to be underpinned by a strengthened MTEF and stronger linkages between planning and budgeting processes. This is particularly important in the context of fiscal decentralisation. The first three months of 2011/12 saw the finalisation and approval of the Implementation Plan of the National Social Protection Strategy, which set out a detailed action plan, taking account of all the lessons listed above. Since September 2011, the first steps to putting the plan into practice have been taken. a) iv) New Priorities for the Medium Term Given the challenges and lessons learned listed above, the following have been identified in the Social Protection Strategy as the key priorities for the Social Protection Sector over the medium term. These were also the key recommendations of the April 2011 Forward Looking Joint Sector Review. 1. Leadership, coordination and capacity on social protection strengthened across government 9 The newly created structures within the Social Protection Working Group will be strengthened and participation broadened; a new social protection team will be set up within MINALOC; and an extensive programme of capacity building will be undertaken. Since the April 2011 Forward Looking JSR : a two tiered Social Protection Working Group was established, with a high level Leadership Group and a Technical Working Team with four subcommittees with high representation from across government, development partners and civil society organisations. Short term technical assistance to support the Implementation Plan for the National Social Protection Strategy was sourced and will support capacity building of the MINALOC social protection team. Also social protection training for staff involved in SP programmes and policy making at national and decentralised levels was carried out. By the end of 2011/12 the Social Protection Sector will: keep up the momentum of the two tiered Social Protection Working Group, ensuring that the high level Leadership Group meets at least twice in the year and that the Technical Team meets every two months and that meetings are wellstructured and usefully guide the work of the sector. The four newly created Sub-Committees on policy, systems, finance and early warning systems will finalise their terms of reference and workplans and will meet at least three times before the end of the year. A team of consultants will provide short term technical assistance to move forward urgent actions in the Social Protection Strategy Implementation Plan. In order to ensure the required long term capacity on social protection, a restructuring plan for the Community Development and Social Affairs Department will be developed and the recruitment of any required additional staff will be launched. We will also develop a staffing and capacity building plan for the expansion of VUP. In the medium term the Social Protection Sector will: put in place a permanent social protection policy team in MINALOC and its capacity will be built by the short term technical team. Social protection will be mainstreamed into the work of the JADFs at District and Sector levels and we will develop stronger linkages between the centre and Districts. The Sector Working Group structures will continue to function effectively and will enjoy the active participation of a wide range of stakeholders, including not only Government Ministries and Agencies, but also NGOs and the private sector. The training programme to build social protection capacity at national and decentralised levels will be institutionalised and trainings will continue to be provided regularly. The Government of Rwanda will also work collaboratively with partner states within the East Africa region on social protection issues of common interest. 2. Social protection policies developed that are evidence-based and appropriate for Rwanda By carrying out impact analysis of existing social protection programmes and feasibility studies of potential new approaches, the social protection sector will ensure that policy and programme development is based on high quality national and international evidence. Since the April 2011 Forward Looking JSR, MINALOC has: carried out, with the support of development partners, a social protection mapping of stakeholders and a social safety nets study. By the end of 2011/12: an assessment of the implications of the two studies will be carried out. We will also assess the recent performance of the Ubudehe targeting mechanisms, looking at whether any risks and challenges can be addressed through minor modifications and additional verification processes, or whether more fundamental review is required. We will start looking at how existing social protection programmes are reaching particular groups within the extreme poor, including the elderly, children and people with disabilities; and we will develop framework/TORs for assessing the feasibility, the advantages and disadvantages of complementary or alternative programmes to reach these groups. We will also develop framework/TORs for looking at the feasibility, advantages and disadvantages of developing an employment guarantee scheme. We will launch a major three year evaluation of the VUP programme; we will update the social protection sector logframe; and we will feed in to the development of EDPRSII. In the medium term: the analysis of how well existing social protection programmes are reaching 10 vulnerable groups will be completed and we will carry out the feasibility studies into an employment guarantee scheme, child grant, old age grant and disability grant; we will model the costs involved; and based on the outcomes of the study, recommendations will be taken into consideration for future social protection programming in the medium term. As well as these studies, there are planned in-depth evaluations of key social protection programs which will inform the revision of the social protection policy which is planned for 2013/14. 3. Increased coverage of gender-sensitive social protection programmes that support the provision of a minimum income for families The VUP Direct Support and Public Work programmes will be substantially extended. Formal sector programmes will be expanded and efforts made to ensure that all social protection programmes support the goals of gender equality and women’s empowerment. Since the April 2011 Forward Looking JSR the Social Protection Sector has: expanded the VUP Direct Support and Public Works Programme to 120 sectors and developed the TORs for a gender analysis of the VUP programme. By the end of 2011/12: a gendered analysis in the social protection sector specifically of VUP will be carried out with the intention of identifying the level of access to and impacts of the VUP programme disaggregated by gender. We will also use EICV and Ubudehe data to determine the geographical focus of the VUP scale-up plan and the sectoral budget allocations. In the medium term: Vision 2020 Umurenge Program will continue to scale up Direct Support to all sectors across the country and Public Works to 240 sectors. In scaling up, programme quality will be maintained and strengthened, taking account of the lessons learned from implementation to date and the analytical work that we will have carried out. We will carry out a mid-term review of the VUP programme in 2012. 4. Strengthened systems established for the delivery and monitoring of social protection programmes During the early implementation phase of social protection programmes, lessons have been learned about how delivery can be strengthened. Key improvements will be made in the areas of monitoring and evaluation (M&E) systems, payments mechanisms and appeals processes. Since the April 2011 Forward Looking JSR: a preliminary assessment of existing management information systems (MIS) in key SP institutions was conducted, and a decision on the institutional location for a new computerised MIS was reached and as a first step, the TORs for a design consultancy for the MIS were developed. The appeals and complaints mechanism to all operational sectors were rolled out in all operational sectors, and we have developed a draft graduation and exit policy and have scoped the potential for linking social protection and early warning systems. By the end of 2011/12: the monitoring and evaluation framework of the sector will be strengthened through developing of some tools such as the log frame; and work will commence on the design of the Social Protection MIS that will underpin strengthened monitoring and evaluation in the sector. We will also finalise the VUP graduation and exit policy. In the medium term: a social protection MIS will be developed, pilot tested and rolled out. We will review e-payment options, pilot test and the roll-out the preferred approach; and we will carry out a review of the implementation of the VUP graduation and exit policy. 5. Financial resources generated and sector-wide financial system developed to support delivery of social protection programmes A significant challenge facing the sector is generating the necessary financial resources. The activities set out in the Implementation Plan for the National Social Protection Strategy will require 11 an annual budget of approximately 60 billion Rwf by 2015/16. By demonstrating success in the sector we have managed to secure new sources of funding, but there is still a key financing gap, which needs to be addressed. Since the April 2011 Forward Looking JSR MINALOC has: carried out a preliminary internal review on how to harmonise existing cash transfer programmes in the social protection sector. By the end of 2011/12 the Social Protection Sector will: develop a financing strategy, identifying means of generating increased funding; and develop a funding mechanism for the social protection sector, supporting the formalisation of a social protection SWAP and improved MTEF. We will also carry out further analysis on how best to harmonise social protection programmes. In 2012/13 the Social Protection Sector: have a social protection SWAP in place with MOUs signed with all contributing developing partners. 6. Social development and complementary programmes to social protection implemented that support family and community efforts to move out of poverty There are a range of programmes that fall outside the social protection sector as defined in the social protection strategy, but which nonetheless are important complementary activities to those of the core social protection sector. These include financial services and Ubudehe community projects; as well as policy and programmes on nutrition, early childhood development, Mutuelles de Santé and child protection that are led by other Ministries, including MINISANTE, MIGEPROF, MINEDUC and MINAGRI. For example the Government has just approved the “Rwanda National Care Strategy: Family Based care for Children in Institutions”, which includes a child grant to be paid to each child for 2 years post-placement. Implementation of this will be led by MIGEPROF. Since the April 2011 Forward Looking JSR the RLDSF has: scaled up VUP financial services to 120 sectors and carried out a review of this component. We have also rolled out Ubudehe projects in 2000 communities. By the end of 2011/12 the Social Protection Sector will: consider the recent review of VUP financial services and decide on the way forward. We will also strengthen linkages and synergies of the sector with policy areas relevant to social protection objectives. We will engage with MINEDUC on the Early Childhood Development Policy (2011), with MINISANTE on Mutuelles de Santé and with MINISANTE and MINAGRI on nutrition. In 2012/13 the Social Protection Sector: will reach 3500 communities with Ubudehe community projects. We will continue to strengthen synergies with complementary programmes across Ministries, in order to maximise sustainable graduation out of poverty (bearing in mind that some people may not graduate.) We will work with other Ministries and the Social Cluster to develop shared targets to guide social protection and complementary programmes. We will engage increasingly with private insurance providers for health, pensions and employment. 7. Increased awareness across Rwanda and internationally of the benefits of social protection programmes and lessons learnt. In order to create more awareness of social protection programs amongst all stakeholders, an effective communications is critical, in order to promote a shared understanding and commitment to common objectives. Since the April 2011 Forward Looking JSR: a communications strategy for the social protection strategy is under development. By the end of 2011/12: a communications strategy will developed to promote a greater shared understanding of social protection by all key stakeholders, including: policy makers at national level across a range of Ministries; staff involved in implementing, overseeing and communicating about social protection programmes at decentralised levels; and the population at large, including the 12 target population of social protection programmes. We will pay attention to ensuring that relevant communications reach marginalised groups, including people with disabilities. In 2012/13: the communications strategy will be implemented. b) Sector Budgetary Allocations Indicative budget for social protection sector 2012/13 BUDGET AGENCY/ Sub program Outputs 2012/2013 BUDGET 2013/2014 BUDGET 2014/2015 BUDGET 1. Social protection coordination and financing mechanisms established. Capacity building of stakeholders Establish legal frame work for elderly people Improved targeting mechanism Households in the categories of extreme poverty reduced 399,854,869 193,936,720 170,837,146 Social assistance provided to extremely poor and vulnerable groups (HMP, PWD, Ex-Combatants, and Genocide survivors 156,854,869 66,536,720 57,637,146 MINALOC 1. Promotion of social protection 2. 3. 4. 5. 2. Support to vulnerable groups 1. RWANDA LOCAL DEVELOPMENT SUPPORT FUND (VISION 2020 UMURENGE) 1. Direct Support Scale up direct support in 180 sectors based on EICV data. 6,071,445,263 2. Public Works Scale up public works in 150 sectors based on EICV data 18,000,000,000 3. Financial Services Scale up financial services to 150 services in 150 sectors 3,280,000,000 RWANDA LOCAL DEVELOPMENT SUPPORT FUND (UBUDEHE PROGRAM) Ubudehe Community Projects Implement 3500 Ubudehe priority projects at the community and household level using the Ubudehe database 2,922,184,289 FARG 13 BUDGET AGENCY/ Sub program Outputs 2012/2013 BUDGET 2013/2014 BUDGET 2014/2015 BUDGET Support to genocide Survivors 1. Pay education scholarship in 11,156,490,259 11,745,966,803 11,655,337,94 5 11,199,815,520 5,263,991,252 5,223,375,650 NATIONAL COUNCIL OF PERSONS WITH DISABILITIES (NCPWD). 600,000,000 660,000,000 690,000,000 Promotion of social protection 600,000,000 660,000,000 690,000,000 Early Warning System are effectively monitored Vulnerability and hazard mapping in disaster prone areas. 133 725 000 153 865 710 177 039 875 Reintegration of returnees Assistance ,coordination and protection of refugees Repatriation of Rwandan refugees 138 577 982 182 461 875 209 942 992 698 001 421 858 538 821 950 476 919 secondary, University and TVET 2. Support needy genocide survivors to access health care services 3. Support genocide survivors in income generating activities through Girinka Program 4. Provide decent shelter for needy genocide survivors 5. Provide direct support to extremely needy genocide survivors. NATIONAL COMMISSION FOR DEMOBILISATION SOCIAL PROTECTION 1. 2. 3. Payment of subsistence monthly allowances, Construction of category 2 houses for disabled ex combatants. Provision of health services to disabled ex -combatants MIDMAR 1. Risk reduction and disaster management 1. 2. 2. Assistance, protection of refugees and reintegratio n of returnees 1. 2. 3. NATIONAL COMMISSION FOR CHILDREN 1. Child rights promotion and protection INDICATIVE CEILING FOR SOCIAL PROTECTION AT DISTRICT LEVEL SOCIAL PROTECTION 10,982,836,485 14 BUDGET AGENCY/ Sub program Outputs 2012/2013 BUDGET 2013/2014 BUDGET 2014/2015 BUDGET (MINALOC) 1. Support to genocide survivors 9,660,194,025 2. Support to vulnerable groups 1,322,642,460 CHILD RIGHTS PROMOTION AND PROTECTION(MIGEPROF) 822,230,245 1. Child protection 731,907,726 2. Support to the children rehabilitation centres and orphanages 90,322,519 The table above presents the medium term expenditure framework for the sector within the sector ceilings. Some of the major milestones that will be implemented in the medium term include are described in section a (iii) above: 15 c) i) EDPRS Results and Policy Matrix for 2012/13 EXPECTED PERFORMANCE Indicator Baselin e (2006) Basel ine (2008 ) 2.8 Improved Social Safety Net 2.8.1. The 34% percentage (2007 of ) household s in the bottom two categories of extreme poverty according to UBUDEHE classificati on No baseline survey to be conducted in 2009 Targ et 2009 -10 Targ et 2010 -11 PUBLIC POLICY ACTIONS Targ et 2011 -12 Target 201213 Source of data 2008 2009 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 29.3 % 28.6% MINAL OC (VUP program , VUP poverty baseline s/ impact study July 2011)) Governmen t has committed budget allocations to implement the VUP program in at least 6 pilot sectors and established a core manageme nt team to implement the VUP policy framework. Governme nt has committed budget allocations to implement the VUP program in at least 15 pilot sectors and ensured coordinatio n of all social protection activities, in accordance with National Social Protection Policy Governme nt has committed budget allocations to implement the VUP program in at least 30 pilot sectors and ensured coordinatio n of all social protection activities, in accordanc e with National Social Protection Governme nt to continue support of VUP and to ensure coordinatio n of all social protection activities, in accordanc e with National Social Protection Policy Governme nt to continue support of VUP and to ensure coordinatio n of all social protection activities, in accordanc e with National Social Protection Policy Social Protection Implement a-tion Plan milestones met Governmen t to continue support of VUP and to ensure coordinatio n of all social protection activities, in accordance with National Social Protection Policy, ensuring that Social Protection Implementa tion Plan milestones are met Social Protection Implement at-ion Plan adopted 16 EXPECTED PERFORMANCE Indicator 2.8.2 Percentag e of eligible household s granted public works Baselin e (2006) 0 Basel ine (2008 ) 35% Targ et 2009 -10 35% Targ et 2010 -11 35% Targ et 2011 -12 35% PUBLIC POLICY ACTIONS Target 201213 35% Source of data VUP reports, CDF reports, District Social Affairs Department reports, EICV for data for 2010 2008 Finalise budget allocations for VUP public works in line with EDPRS priorities and complete the implementa tion manuals of PW programme s incorporatin 2009 2009/10 Baseline survey to be conducted Policy Policy on public works applied in accordanc e with internation al good practice in respect of: wage rates (ration to market wage less than 1); community selection of projects; voluntary Scale up public works in according to internation al good practice in respect of: wage rates (ration to market wage less than 1); community selection of projects; voluntary savings 2010/11 Publicise eligibility criteria and programm e policy and procedures and disclose lists of eligible household s at sector and village levels. 2011/12 Assess overall reduction in extreme poverty between end-2008 & end2011 and contributio n of social protection Continue scale up of PW in accordanc e with internation al best practice in 120 sectors 2012/13 Continue scale up of PW in accordance with international best practice in 150 sectors. Evaluation of PW programme presented to SWG. Introduce an independe 17 EXPECTED PERFORMANCE Indicator 2.8.3 Percentag e of eligible household s granted direct support in VUP sector Baselin e (2006) 0 Basel ine (2008 ) 0 Targ et 2009 -10 60% Targ et 2010 -11 70% Targ et 2011 -12 85% PUBLIC POLICY ACTIONS Target 201213 90% Source of data MINAL OC,MIN ISANTE, MINED UC MIGEPROF, MIJESP OC, CSOs, EICV for data for 2010, other external studies 2008 2009 2009/10 2010/11 g internationa l good practice. savings and direct payment of wages, and with budget allocations reflecting EDPRS priorities. Policy of direct transfers applied in accordanc e with internation al good practice policies in respect of transparent communic ation systems for determinin g eligibility of clients and timely payment of and direct payment of wages, and with budget allocations reflecting EDPRS priorities. nt mechanis m to handle complaints in 5 pilot sectors. Scale up VUP direct supports according to internation al good practice and ensure coordinatio n of all social protection activities in accordanc e with the national social protection policy. Publicise eligibility criteria and programm e policy and procedures and disclose lists of eligible household s at sector and village levels. Finalise budget allocations for VUP direct support packages in line with EDPRS priorities and complete the implementa tion manuals of DS programme s incorporatin g 2011/12 2012/13 Continue scale up of DS in accordanc e with internation al best practice in 120 sectors. Continue scale up of DS in accordance with international best practice in 180 sectors. Evaluation of DS programme presented to SWG. Introduce an independe nt mechanis 18 EXPECTED PERFORMANCE Indicator 2.8.4 % of VUP sector adult population with an active account in a financial institution Baselin e (2006) Basel ine (2008 ) Targ et 2009 -10 <19% Targ et 2010 -11 Targ et 2011 -12 PUBLIC POLICY ACTIONS Target 201213 35% Source of data Finscop e survey 2008 2009 internationa l good practice. benefits, with budget allocations reflecting EDPRS policy priorities. Policy of microfinan ce applied in accordanc e with internation al good practice policies 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 Roll out financial services targeting the poor in all VUP sectors. VUP financial services policies and procedures are clarified and defined and presented to the SWG. Evaluate financial services targeting the poor in all VUP sectors. Roll out financial services in 150 sectors. m to handle complaints in 5 pilot sectors. Scale up VUP microfinan ce in accordanc e with internation al good practice Continue scale up VUP microfinan ce in accordanc e with internation al good practice 2.9 Integrated Social Protection 19 EXPECTED PERFORMANCE Indicator Baselin e (2006) Basel ine (2008 ) Targ et 2009 -10 Targ et 2010 -11 PUBLIC POLICY ACTIONS Targ et 2011 -12 Target 201213 Source of data 2008 Prog -ress to SWA p Eg MOU SPI developed (to delete) ; District s provide eviden ce of harmo nisation betwee n SP provide rs in DDPs PER 2006, MINAL OCMINECOFI N. District budget and annual plan docs, SPI Undertake comprehen sive mapping of social protection sector by MINALOC and inform social protection strategy developme nt. 2009 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 Complete socioeconomic surveys for 30 pilot VUP sectors using standard methodolo gy and complete early review of VUP. Adopt Socioeconomic audit methodolo gy by all districts. Ensure NSPS IP milestones met. Ensure that 2000 communiti es are implementi ng Ubudehe community projects. Ensure NSPS IP milestones met, including on gender equity. Programming 2.9.1 Level of harmonizat ion of Social Protection Sector MINAL OC represe nts about 80% total SP spend (2005): FARG, Ubudeh e and HIMO PW. Donor support parallel, fragmen t-ed, dominat ed by food aid. Endorse minimum package of services for OVCs. Finalise Social Protection Strategy drawing on lessons from VUP pilot and other programm es, and approved by Cabinet. Establish institutional and legal framework s for implementation. 3500 communities are implementin g Ubudehe priority projects (community and household.) Sector-wide funding mechanism in place. 20 EXPECTED PERFORMANCE Indicator Baselin e (2006) Basel ine (2008 ) Targ et 2009 -10 Targ et 2010 -11 Targ et 2011 -12 PUBLIC POLICY ACTIONS Target 201213 Source of data 2008 2009 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 c) ii) Revised EDPRS indicators and policy actions (with clear justification) Current Proposed Change Reason 2.8 Improved Social Safety Net INDICATORS 21 Current Proposed Change Reason 2.8.1 The percentage of households in the bottom two categories of extreme poverty according to UBUDEHE classification: Baseline: 34.0% (2007) Target 2012/13: 28.6% 2.8.2 Percentage of eligible households granted public works Baseline: 0 (2008) Target: 35% (2012/13) 2.8.3 Percentage of eligible households granted direct support in VUP Sector Baseline: 0 (2008) Target 2012/13: 90% 2.8.4 Percentage of VUP sector adult population with an active account in a financial institution Baseline: <9% (2008) 22 Current Proposed Change Reason Delete SPI developed. More reflection is required on the Social Protection Index. Given other priorities, it is Target: 2012/13:35% POLICY ACTIONS 2.8.1. Government to continue support of VUP and to ensure coordination of all social protection activities in accordance with National Social Protection Strategy (NSPS), ensuring that NSPS Implementation Plan milestones met. Assessment on overall reduction in extreme poverty between 2006/7 and 2010/11 in VUP Sectors. 2.8.2 Continue scale up of PW in accordance with international best practices in 150 sectors. Evaluation of Public Works Programme presented to Sector Working Group. 2.8.3 Continue scale up of DS in accordance with international best practice in 180 Sectors. Evaluation of DS programme presented to SWG. 2.8.4 Evaluate financial services targeting the poor in all VUP sectors. Roll out financial services in150 sectors. 2.9. Integrated Social Protection Programming 2.9.1 Level of harmonisation in social protection sector 23 Current Baseline: MINALOC represents about 80% of SP spend, FARG, Ubudehe and HIMO PW. Donor support parallel, fragmented, dominated by food aid (2006) Target: 2012/13: SPI developed. Districts provide evidence of harmonisation between social protection providers in DDPs. Proposed Change Reason now planned in the Implementation Plan for the Social Protection Strategy to develop the index by 2015. 2.9.1 Ensure NSPS implementation plan milestones met, including on gender equity. 3,500 communities are implementing Ubudehe priority projects (Community and Household). Sector wide funding mechanism in place. 24 Annex 1: Analytical Studies The priority areas for undertaking analytical works in the 2012/13 fiscal year Study Area Relevance Timeline for the study Proposed (month) source of funding and cost SECTOR-WIDE Review of Ubudehe targeting mechanism It is critical that social protection programming can depend on robust targeting. The Ubudehe targeting mechanism underlies the flagship VUP programme, as well as other major national programmes, such as the Mutuelle. Evaluation of e-payment options for cash This study will look at whether there are payment transfers / public works options that would deliver quicker, more reliable payments to beneficiaries. Feasibility study for an old age grant These studies will assess whether all vulnerable groups can most effectively be reached through the extension and modification of existing programmes, or Feasibility study for a disability grant whether alternative or additional programmes are required. The vulnerable groups that will be looked at Feasibility study for a child grant are: older people, people with disabilities and vulnerable children. Feasibility study for an Employment This study will explore the feasibility, advantages and Guarantee Scheme disadvantages of an Employment Guarantee Scheme (which would guarantee a minimum number of days work to all eligible households). Model using EICV-3 data to simulate costs, Once technically feasible options for reaching vulnerable groups have been outlined in a series of coverage and impacts of different options in feasibility studies, it will be necessary to compare the feasibility studies costs and impacts of these approaches. A microsimulation model will be developed to do this. Oct 2012 (followed by pilot testing of a system in Dec 2012) Nov 2012 Mar 2013 Mar 2013 Nov 2012 By April 2013 (alongside feasibility studies) PROGRAMME SPECIFIC (VUP/FARG) 25 Study Area Relevance Timeline for the study Proposed (month) source of funding and cost Gender audit of VUP In Rwanda extreme poverty is higher in female July 2012 headed households (FHH) than in male headed households and indications are that poverty in FHH is reducing more slowly. No practical assessment of these issues has yet been carried out in Rwanda. This study will address this gap. Research into how people with disabilities are Decisions as to how best to reach vulnerable groups by Sept 2012 benefiting from VUP and any challenges will depend partly on the results of the feasibility studies listed above, but also on an assessment of how vulnerable groups are benefiting from current programmes. This study will look at one such group: people with disabilities. The Social Protection Sector proposes to draw up a comprehensive list of key analytical works produced in the last 5 years in Rwanda and will categorise these. The list, with links to the original documents, will be placed on the MINALOC website. 26 Annex 2: Progress Report on Cross Cutting Issues (CCIs) The social protection sector has chosen to report on the cross-cutting issues of gender and environment. Gender The National Social Protection Strategy and Implementation Plan set out the requirement for all programmes to actively seek to promote gender equity and women’s empowerment. All monitoring data is disaggregated and the sector is committed to regular gender audits of programmes. The VUP baseline indicated that female-headed households are significantly poorer than male headed households. While substantial efforts have been made to ensure equality of access to VUP and equity of outcome, considerable gender gaps in terms of poverty reduction outcomes have been identified. The 2009/10 VUP annual review found that poverty fell less fast in femaleheaded than in male-headed households and that female-headed households were less likely to graduate to a higher Ubudehe category. The 2010/11 annual review raised questions about the constraints to access to VUP Direct Support and Public Works by pregnant women and nursing mothers. Plans are currently underway for a gender audit of the VUP programme. The study will assess how men and women access the VUP programme benefits and also how VUP differentially impacts on men and women. It will look at how reproductive and caring roles impact on women’s access to direct support, public works and financial services. It will look at different groups of men and women to see how access varies by age, disability status, family size and composition etc. The assessment of impacts will entail not only comparing impacts on male and female headed households but also looking within households at how decisions about use of VUP cash are made, how the benefits of VUP are distributed between household members, and how VUP affects the roles and time use of men, women, girls and boys. This study is expected to generate information useful not only in strengthening VUP, but also to the social protection sector as a whole. Environment The National Social Protection Strategy and Implementation Plan identify one of the roles of social protection measures, such as the VUP cash transfers and public works, as enabling families and communities to cope better with shocks, including shocks due to natural disasters. Commonly experienced risks /disasters in Rwanda include heavy rains and floods, landslides, droughts, earthquakes, fires and volcanic eruptions. Increased climate variability linked to global climate change may exacerbate some of these risks in the future. - The pillars of effective risk management are: Mitigation measures (for example terracing) to protect the natural environment from climatic events Early warning systems to indicate the need for a response as early as possible Contingency plans and contingency financing, so that actors have already thought through how they will respond and there are resources in place to respond quickly Response capacity, so that institutional arrangements are in place to respond quickly. The VUP already makes a contribution to mitigation through the terracing carried out in public works. Over half of all public works expenditure in 2010-11 was on terracing. Within the social protection sector there is potential to use early warning information to enable existing programmes (such as VUP direct support and public works) to be scaled up to meet transitory needs in response to shocks. Programme modifications could include increased payments to existing beneficiaries (where the populations affected were in VUP Sectors) or an extension of programme coverage (where the affected populations were not already covered by VUP). 27 In order to fully realise this role, it is critical that links be forged between social protection programmes and other stakeholders working on disaster risk reduction and that practical linkages are built between social protection and early warning systems (EWS). A scoping study of existing early warning systems and potential linkages to social protection programmes has already been carried out, with support from the World Bank. A sub-committee of the Social Protection Working Group has now been set up to bring together all key actors to progress work in this area. 28