Functional Summary The statements and options used with the AUTOREG procedure are summarized in the following table. Table 8.1 AUTOREG Functional Summary Description Statement Option Data Set Options Specify the input data set AUTOREG DATA= Write parameter estimates to an output AUTOREG OUTEST= data set Include covariances in the OUTEST= AUTOREG COVOUT data set Requests that the procedure produce AUTOREG PLOTS= graphics via the Output Delivery System Write predictions, residuals, and OUTPUT OUT= confidence limits to an output data set Declaring the Role of Variables Specify BY-group processing BY Specify classification variables CLASS Printing Control Options Request all printing options MODEL ALL Print transformed coefficients MODEL COEF Print correlation matrix of the estimates MODEL CORRB Print covariance matrix of the estimates MODEL COVB Print DW statistics up to order MODEL DW= Print marginal probability of the generalized Durbin-Watson test statistics MODEL DWPROB for large sample sizes Print the p-values for the Durbin-Watson test be computed using a linearized MODEL LDW approximation of the design matrix Print inverse of Toeplitz matrix MODEL GINV Print the Godfrey LM serial correlation MODEL GODFREY= test Print details at each iteration step MODEL ITPRINT Print the Durbin t statistic MODEL LAGDEP Print the Durbin h statistic MODEL LAGDEP= Print the log-likelihood value of the MODEL LOGLIKL regression model Print the Jarque-Bera normality test MODEL NORMAL Print the tests for the absence of ARCH MODEL ARCHTEST= effects Print BDS tests for independence MODEL BDS= Print rank version of von Neumann ratio MODEL VNRRANK= test for independence Print runs test for independence MODEL Print the turning point test for MODEL independence Print the Lagrange multiplier test HETERO Print the Chow test MODEL Print the predictive Chow test MODEL Suppress printed output MODEL Print partial autocorrelations MODEL Print Ramsey’s RESET test MODEL Print Phillips-Perron tests for stationarity MODEL or unit roots Print Augmented Dickey-Fuller tests for MODEL stationarity or unit roots Print ERS tests for stationarity or unit MODEL roots Print Ng-Perron tests for stationarity or MODEL unit roots Print KPSS tests for stationarity or unit MODEL roots Print tests of linear hypotheses TEST Specify the test statistics to use TEST Print the uncentered regression MODEL Options to Control the Optimization Process Specify the optimization options Model Estimation Options Specify the order of autoregressive process Center the dependent variable Suppress the intercept parameter Remove nonsignificant AR parameters Specify significance level for BACKSTEP Specify the convergence criterion Specify the type of covariance matrix Set the initial values of parameters used by the iterative optimization algorithm Specify iterative Yule-Walker method Specify maximum number of iterations Specify the estimation method Use only first sequence of nonmissing data Specify the optimization technique Imposes restrictions on the regression estimates Estimate and test heteroscedasticity models RUNS= TP= TEST=LM CHOW= PCHOW= NOPRINT PARTIAL RESET STATIONARITY=(PHILLIPS=) STATIONARITY=(ADF=) STATIONARITY=(ERS=) STATIONARITY=(NP=) STATIONARITY=(KPSS=) TYPE= URSQ NLOPTIONS see Chapter 6, Nonlinear Optimization Methods, MODEL NLAG= MODEL MODEL MODEL CENTER NOINT BACKSTEP MODEL SLSTAY= MODEL MODEL CONVERGE= COVEST= MODEL INITIAL= MODEL MODEL MODEL ITER MAXITER= METHOD= MODEL NOMISS MODEL OPTMETHOD= RESTRICT HETERO GARCH Related Options Specify order of GARCH process Specify type of GARCH model Specify various forms of the GARCH-M model Suppress GARCH intercept parameter Specify the trust region method Estimate the GARCH model for the conditional t distribution Estimate the start-up values for the conditional variance equation Specify the functional form of the heteroscedasticity model Specify that the heteroscedasticity model does not include the unit term Impose constraints on the estimated parameters in the heteroscedasticity model Impose constraints on the estimated standard deviation of the heteroscedasticity model Output conditional error variance Output conditional prediction error variance Specify the flexible conditional variance form of the GARCH model Output Control Options Specify confidence limit size Specify confidence limit size for structural predicted values Specify the significance level for the upper and lower bounds of the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ statistics Specify the name of a variable to contain the values of the Theil’s BLUS residuals Output the value of the error variance Output transformed intercept variable Specify the name of a variable to contain the CUSUM statistics Specify the name of a variable to contain the CUSUMSQ statistics Specify the name of a variable to contain the upper confidence bound for the CUSUM statistic Specify the name of a variable to contain the lower confidence bound for the CUSUM statistic MODEL MODEL GARCH=(Q=,P=) GARCH=( ,TYPE=) MODEL GARCH=( ,MEAN=) MODEL MODEL GARCH=( ,NOINT) GARCH=( ,TR) MODEL GARCH=( ) DIST= MODEL GARCH=( ,STARTUP=) HETERO LINK= HETERO NOCONST HETERO COEF= HETERO STD= OUTPUT CEV= OUTPUT CPEV= HETERO OUTPUT ALPHACLI= OUTPUT ALPHACLM= OUTPUT ALPHACSM= OUTPUT BLUS= OUTPUT OUTPUT CEV= CONSTANT= OUTPUT CUSUM= OUTPUT CUSUMSQ= OUTPUT CUSUMUB= OUTPUT CUSUMLB= Specify the name of a variable to contain the upper confidence bound for the CUSUMSQ statistic Specify the name of a variable to contain the lower confidence bound for the CUSUMSQ statistic Output lower confidence limit Output lower confidence limit for structural predicted values Output predicted values Output predicted values of structural part Output residuals Output residuals from structural predictions Specify the name of a variable to contain the part of the predictive error variance ( ) Specify the name of a variable to contain recursive residuals Output transformed variables Output upper confidence limit Output upper confidence limit for structural predicted values OUTPUT CUSUMSQUB= OUTPUT CUSUMSQLB= OUTPUT LCL= OUTPUT LCLM= OUTPUT OUTPUT OUTPUT P= PM= R= OUTPUT RM= OUTPUT RECPEV= OUTPUT RECRES= OUTPUT OUTPUT TRANSFORM= UCL= OUTPUT UCLM=