IMPACTS OF CLIMATE HAZARDS AND ADAPTATION IN SELECTED COASTAL AREAS IN THE PHILIPPINES Paul Joseph B. Ramirez1,2, Jaimie Kim B. Arias1, Shaneil R. Dipasupil3, Maripaz L. Perez4, Patrick A. Regoniel5, Asa Jose U. Sajise1, and Glaiza J. Zamora4 ABSTRACT This paper picks-up from a cross-country study covering Vietnam, Indonesia, and the Philippines. It specifically focuses on documenting the impacts from two climate hazards affecting selected coastal communities in the Philippines namely: typhoon/flooding, and coastal erosion. It also analyzed planned adaptation options, which communities and local governments can implement as well as the autonomous response of households to protect and insure themselves from these hazards. It employed a variety of techniques ranging from participatory based approaches such as community hazard mapping and FGDs to regression techniques to analyze the results of the household surveys. Results show that indeed households in coastal communities face a confluence of risks and often adapt simultaneously to these risks. These risks have most impacts on the livelihoods of households. Foregone income due to these risks is twice higher than the value of damages from loss of assets including damage to houses. These impacts would eventually have effects on their consumption. Using Vulnerability as Expected Poverty (VEP) as the vulnerability measure, it was found that the incidence of vulnerable households in some coastal communities in Palawan and Batangas are around 56% and 42%, respectively. The mean vulnerability estimate for Palawan is 0.51 which means that on average, the probability that households will fall below the minimum consumption level at which they will be considered poor is 51%, while Batangas has a mean estimate of 0.38. Various planned adaptation options, which communities and local governments can implement, were studied using cost effectiveness analysis. A consistent and common result in the study sites is that ecosystem based approaches (or natural barriers such as mangroves) are more cost effective than hard infrastructure investments. There also seem to be a preponderance of protective measures when in fact, the main impact or risks from these hazards is really on the livelihoods of coastal-based communities. In Batangas, it was found that livelihood diversification is a viable planned adaptation measure. INTRODUCTION Coastal and marine ecosystems are vital to most Southeast Asian countries, primarily because most of the countries in this region depend on fish and other marine products to fuel their economy and feed their population. Furthermore, population living in the coastal areas and are dependent on this resource base are among the poorest in the region. Thus, governments in this region have been concerned about the environmental problems confronting these ecosystems and the population dependent on them. With climate change, coastal ecosystems and the population are even more at risk. Most of the attendant effects of climate change like sea level rise, storm surges, and typhoons often 1 Department of Economics, CEM, UPLB, Philippines Corresponding author: pjbramirez@yahoo.com 3 University of Batangas, Batangas, Philippines 4 WorldFish, Penang, Malaysia 5 Palawan State University, Palawan, Philippines 2 emanate from the sea. Unlike before where environmental externalities have been traced from the ridge to the reefs, with climate change the problem is looked at from the reefs to the ridge. These ecosystems and the population dependent on them are thus in a very precarious position. This means that increasing the resiliency of coastal communities to climate change impacts is an urgent task for countries in Southeast Asia like the Philippines. Increasing resilience to climate change hazards often involve household and community adaptation. This can be in the form of protection and insurance and can be done either privately, as with autonomous household adaptation, or as local government or public led initiatives, as with planned adaptation strategies. For coastal areas, there have been numerous identified adaptation options. These options range from specific activities such as mangrove reforestation to large comprehensive programs such as integrated coastal management. Most of these options, however, have existed long before the climate change issue became popular. Therefore, benefits to these activities are general in nature and exist apart from those associated with risk reduction and resiliency enhancement. What remains to be identified and analyzed are the climate change related benefits (and costs) that come from these options. This can only be done if there is a clear and concrete assessment of the vulnerability of coastal communities to climate hazards and how these recommended options reduce the risks and enhance the resilience of these communities against climate hazards. This paper generally aims to understand public (planned) and private (autonomous) adaptation of coastal communities against multiple climate related hazards by (1) validating and assessing climate change impacts, (2) identifying the vulnerabilities and adaptation strategies of households and communities, and (3) evaluating the cost-effectiveness of planned adaptation strategies to climate change in selected coastal areas in the Philippines. Description of the Study Sites The Philippines is an archipelago consisting of 7,107 islands located off Indo-china in the Western Pacific, which has a land area of more than 300,000 km2 and a total coastline length of 36,289 km. Located within the Coral Triangle, the center of high marine diversity, the country’s vast, rich and diverse coastal and marine resources are composed of coral reefs, sea grass beds, mangrove and beach forests, fisheries, invertebrates, seaweeds, marine mammals and many others. These marine and coastal resources yield USD3.5 billion annually in goods and services (World Bank Report 2011). About 60 percent of the total Philippines population live in coastal zones and depend on these coastal resources for livelihoods. Unfortunately, the Philippines is both geographically and meteorologically one of the world’s natural hazard “hot spots” where tropical cyclones, storm surges, floods and droughts have already been part of the country’s history and culture. World Bank (2011) records show that there has been an increase in the frequency of cyclones entering the Philippines Area of Responsibility from 1990 to 2003. Recent evidence suggests a tendency for wetter conditions during the dry season, as the frequency of heavy storms during this period have increased. Moreover, the number and the inter-annual variability of rainy days have increased since 1990s. While there is an overall projection of rainfall increase, there are significant regional variations. For provinces in the Southern Tagalog Region, a 60–100 percent increase in annual rainfall is projected (PAG-ASA Report 2011). In terms of sea levels, it is projected to rise by the end of the century (2090-2099) by 0.35m (0.23m to 0.47m), although the spatial manifestation of this rise will not be uniform due to circulation changes and ocean density. The study covered four barangays in two municipalities in the Southern Tagalog Region. Two of these barangays, Hugom and Catmon, are from the coastal municipality of San Juan, Batangas. The municipality has often experienced climate related hazards like typhoon, storm surge and flooding. Based from the anecdotal reports, the residents have also noticed that the sea has encroached inland as a result of sea level rise for the past 20 years. Over the last five years, sea level surrounding the Verde Island Passage, for which San Juan is considered to be its “center of the center” has been increasing at 0.5 to 1.0 mm per year (CI 2009). This sea level rise could lead to inundation of low-lying wetland and dryland areas, erosion, saltwater intrusion, increased risk of flooding and storm damage. Specifically for the two barangays, the climate risks to address include coastal erosion, typhoon and flooding. With coastal resources serving the community the majority of its needs, it is critical that something should be done in order to address the geophysical impacts of the confluence of these hazards in order to minimize its adverse effects. The other two barangays are Binduyan and Babuyan located northeast of the City of Puerto Princesa, Palawan facing Honda Bay. The City Government of Puerto Princesa (GIS Map of Puerto Princesa 2011) identified areas in northeastern portion of the city that are prone to flooding including these two barangays. Some of the recent (2007-2010) flooding events in the area are attributed to heavy rains alone. Typhoon incidence also is becoming more frequent and stronger in the last 10 years. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY A common framework was used in analyzing climate change hazards, vulnerabilities, impacts, policies and adaptation options in the study sites. Figure 1 illustrates the flow of methodologies that was used to come up with a comprehensive basis for analysis that addressed both the differences in the situations across site and the commonalities that allowed comparisons and generate lessons learned not only terms of results but the approaches used for arriving at these results. Community FGDs Hazard Analysis/ Mapping Vulnerability Analysis CEA of Identified Planned Adaptation Field Survey Vulnerable sectors or population/ sectors at risk Autonomous Adaptation and Coping Mechanisms Sampling Frame for Field Survey Figure 1. General flow of methodologies Valuation of Damages Vulnerability Index (VEP) Climate change, in general is expected to affect coastal communities through a rise in sea surface temperature (SST), sea level rise (SLR), and changes in precipitation. As a consequence, water resources, agriculture, human health, fisheries, tourism and human settlements in these areas will be at risk. This study contends however, that coastal communities face a confluence of risks. For instance, typhoons result to both inundation and coastal erosion. Focusing on SLR for instance and attributing all damages to SLR can therefore be misleading. The impact of SLR is often magnified by storm surges and typhoons. Therefore, this study will deal with multiple threats coming from Typhoon/ Flooding and Coastal Erosion as the primary hazards or risks. To analyze the impacts of these hazards as well as responses of households, local governments, and communities a variety of methods were used. Vulnerability Assessment Community-Based Assessment The first step in the analysis was the qualitative assessment of the vulnerability of coastal communities to climate hazards. As in any vulnerability assessment, the bio-geophysical impacts of the climate hazards were identified and quantified. This involved delineating areas, resources, population, and capital at risk. The general approach that was taken to implement a preliminary vulnerability assessment was a community-based/participatory approach. This was undertaken to generate a more in-depth understanding of the potential social impacts of the climate hazards as well as verify the existence of important issues related to climate hazards from the perspective of those who are directly affected, i.e. the communities. Focus Group Discussions (FGD) with members of the community who represent various sectors of the society were conducted to identify the relevant issues related to climate change and its impacts. The FGD also served as a venue to gather information that helped refine the household survey instrument that was used. Various toolkits and guidebooks for communitybased and participatory vulnerability and adaptation assessments have already been developed (see for example Regmi, Morcette, Paudyal, Bastakoti & Pradhan, 2010; Reid, Cannon, Berger, Alam & Milligan, 2009) and necessary adjustments and modifications were made to suit local conditions in the project sites. The toolkit that was developed for the project included modules for (1) Historical Timeline Analysis, (2) Development of Vulnerability Matrices, (3) Hazard Mapping and Physical Vulnerability Mapping and (4) Household and Sectors at Risk from Bio-geophysical Impacts of Vulnerable Areas and Sectors. Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) with the community were also conducted to determine the adaptation activities and policies that are already being undertaken (i.e. autonomous adaptation). Local government officials were interviewed to identify past, current and proposed interventions aimed at reducing the vulnerability of these local communities. Through the FGDs, adaptation objectives and adaptation gaps were established. This served as a crucial input in identifying new adaptation strategies that can increase resilience of coastal communities. Selected existing adaptation strategies and proposed adaptation options were then subjected to cost-effectiveness analysis. Vulnerability as an Expected Poverty Quantitative assessment of household vulnerability was the next step in the flow of methodologies. The quantitative assessment was meant to complement qualitative information already gathered from the FGDs. There are basically two quantitative approaches: the index based approach and the econometric based approach. Because the index-based approach suffers from arbitrariness, in particular in the way weights are set arbitrarily to come up with an index, this study has opted to use an econometric approach. The approach adopted for the study utilizes the concept of Vulnerability as an Expected Poverty (VEP). This is an econometric approach in measuring the vulnerability of households. In the VEP framework, vulnerability is defined as the probability that households or individuals will move to poverty in the future or fall below a minimum consumption threshold level, given certain shocks (Chaudhuri, 2003). These shocks may include the occurrence of climate extremes or climate variability. The analytical procedure followed the work of Chaudhuri, Jalan & Suryahadi (2002) and Deressa, Hassan & Ringler (2008). First, it is assumed that the stochastic process that generates the consumption of a household is given by: The variable is per capita consumption expenditure, is a vector of observable household characteristics, is a vector of parameters, and is a mean-zero disturbance term which captures shocks. The model assumes that the variance of is given by: and were estimated using the three-step feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) method (Amemiya, 1977). Using the estimates of and , the expected log consumption for each household was computed: As well as the variance of log consumption: By assuming that consumption is log-normally distributed, the above were used to estimate the probability that a household with the characteristics, , will be poor (which is essentially the household’s vulnerability level) using: Where (.) denote the cumulative density of the standard normal distribution and is the log of the minimum consumption level, below which a household would be called vulnerable. The study used the World Bank minimum consumption threshold level of USD 1.25 per capita per day. The analysis is based from the assumption that climate extremes or climate shocks, particularly, typhoon, flood and drought will have an influence on the probability that households’ consumption will fall below a given minimum level (Deressa, Hassan & Ringler, 2009). Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Adaptation Options Another objective of the study is to look at the economic viability of different planned adaptation options, i.e. adaptation options that can be implemented by communities or local governments. Since the complete array of benefits from various adaptation options is difficult to monetize, Cost-Effectiveness Analysis (CEA) was used as an evaluation tool. The decision criterion of CEA was to choose the option that can achieve a specific objective at the least cost. In cases where the objective of adaptation is multiple, CEA can be applied if one objective can be expressed in the other by assigning importance (weight) to the objectives. Cost-effectiveness is measured in terms of cost per unit of outcome effectiveness, for example, cost per life saved. To compute this, one has to divide the budgetary cost of each adaptation option i, denoted by Ci, by the effectiveness (or physical measure of benefit) of that option, Ei. Mathematically, it can be shown as CEi Ci Ei The CE ratio can be interpreted as the average cost per unit of effectiveness. In other words, the most cost-effectiveness adaptation option has the lowest average cost per unit of effectiveness. In the climate change context, adaptation projects may incur cost at different times over the life of the project. To reflect this change, the equation above can be modified as follows: T CEi C t 0 it /(1 r )t Ei CEA Assumptions (Batangas) Five adaptation options were subjected to CEA, the construction of a sea wall, mangrove reforestation, establishment of an early warning system, land zoning, and implementation of a livelihood program. The proposed sea wall will be 3 meters in height and 1 meter thick. It will have an underwater base that is 1.5 meters high and 3 meters thick. The proposed construction materials are a combination of concrete and boulders, stacked to form a wall. The mangrove reforestation would consist of propagules from the species already prevailing in the site to ensure that the rate of survival would be relatively high. Through an effective early warning system the number of avoidable and unnecessary deaths and property damage could be reduced dramatically. In this study, this option also includes effective response system involving evacuation and provision of temporary shelter. Because of budget constraints, the temporary shelter would be in schools and in public gymnasiums. Land zoning through the Comprehensive Land Use Program (CLUP) is an important option to minimize the damage posed by typhoon and flooding. Through the CLUP, development in lands that are flood prone will be prohibited. Also, subdivision developers will be required to undertake flood proofing measures as part of the strategy, while informal settlers living near the river banks will be relocated. Experiences in other countries had shown that the ability to cope with increasing climatic hazards is highly dependent on the ability to diversify income sources (Truong 2007). For the livelihood program, barangay residents would be provided an opportunity to be trained in an off-shore, non-fishing source of livelihood. After the initial round of training, they will be assisted in terms of management and financial aspects of the business that they will set-up. Access to credit would also be part of the package. Based from the best estimates of key informants, composed of an officer from the Provincial Government Environment and Natural Resources Office (PGENRO), a civil engineer, an NGO official engaged in mangrove reforestation and officers from the Municipal Agriculture Office and Provincial Disaster Coordinating Council, the following assumptions about the cost and impacts of the options were made: The cost of seawall construction is about PhP 7.5M (USD174,054) for 1000 linear meter, while the maintenance cost is PhP 50,000 (USD 1,160) annually. For the mangrove reforestation, initial cost is PhP 300,000 (USD 6,962) with an annual maintenance and monitoring cost of PhP 60,000 (USD 1,392). The cost of developing an integrated drainage and flood control system is PhP 4M (USD92,829) spread over 2 years until its full completion. Maintenance cost of the drainage system is at PhP 100,000 (USD2,321) annually. CLUP formulation and revision is PhP 3M (USD69,622) while PhP 100,000 (USD2,321) is provided for the annual monitoring and evaluation of the zoning ordinance. For the livelihood project, an investment of PhP 5M (USD116,036) is assumed for the first two years, and a yearly monitoring and evaluation cost of PhP100,000 (USD2,321) is expected. The early warning system will require an initial cost of PhP 2M (USD 46,414) in the first year, with an operations cost of PhP 100,000 (USD 2,321) yearly, thereafter. The annual cost for temporary shelter during calamities is PhP500,000 (USD 11,604) which decreases by 10% annually starting at year 5 as a result of the assumed increasing effectiveness of the early warning system. As part of the zoning implementation, PhP10M (USD232,072) is allotted for relocation spread over the first five years. It is assumed that the total number of households that will benefit from the projects is 500. There is no benefit for the sea wall in the first year while the structure is being constructed. The benefit of having the protection from coastal erosion starts at the 5th year when mangrove propagules become fully matured grown trees and it is assumed to increase through time. It is assumed that as the mangrove propagules become full-grown and mature trees as time passes by, their ability to stabilize the shore increases. It further assumes a 60% rate of survival for the propagules. CEA Assumptions (Palawan) In Palawan, the adaptation options included in the analysis are summarized in table 1. Table 1. Adaptation Options/Strategies in Palawan SITE BABUYAN OBJECTIVES To protect the household from storm surges and loss of property, and minimize sand erosion To prevent river overflow and minimize siltation that cause damages to coconut plantations and fishponds. To protect household from inland flooding. BINDUYAN To protect households from strong waves and storm surges ADAPTATION OPTIONS Breakwater Construction Dike/levee Construction Mangrove Reforestation Riverbank rehabilitation using vetiver grass Riverbank rehabilitation using vetiver grass combined with mechanical method Dike construction River dredging Upland reforestation IEC/Establish early warning system and provision of temporary evacuation center Relocate affected households to safer place Breakwater Construction Mangrove Reforestation Seawall Construction Relocation of affected households In Babuyan, the construction of a breakwater is expected to benefit 200 households living in the coastal areas as well as a stretch of 6.3 kilometers of coastline. It is assumed that one kilometer of shoreline will benefit 32 households (7.83 km shoreline with 251 HH residents). The dike on the other hand will be constructed on the mouth of the river and will benefit only 126 households. Mangrove reforestation is expected to provide progressive benefits. It was assumed that only around 10% of the expected household beneficiaries will benefit on the fifth year and the number will increase by 25 households every year for the next four years. In riverbank rehabilitation, the overflow of the river and siltation are expected to be addressed. Using the Vetiver grass alone, eight hectares of fishponds and coconut plantations will be protected from river overflow on the first year. On the second year, 24 hectares will be protected and an increase of 20 percent is expected every year thereafter. The target reduction in erosion and siltation is at least 80 percent and the full benefit is expected to start on the 7th year. The impact of riverbank rehabilitation using the Vetiver grass combined with mechanical method is assumed to be greater because of the additional materials used to reinforce the capacity of the grass in holding the soil. In the case of coral reefs, benefit will start on the 4th year. Dike construction along the mouth of the river will benefit a total of 107 hectares of coconut plantations, fishponds and coral reefs combined. Riverbed clearing as an option which will be done annually will likewise benefit a total of 91.5 hectares of coconut plantations, fishponds and coral reefs. The operation will require almost 3 months to complete. Finally, 126 household are believed to benefit from upland reforestation. Expected benefit will commence on the 6th year and will multiply at the rate of 25 households per year. Likewise, half of the total household is seen to avoid any disaster that will come to the community if a disaster warning system will be put in place. This option will go hand in hand with the establishment of temporary evacuation centers. Furthermore, relocating the community is another option. Their relocation is planned to be done in two batches. The first batch will be composed of 125 households and after a year the last 126 households will follow. For Babuyan, both the breakwater and seawall are expected to provide a constant protection to the households and the coastline. Breakwater is expected to provide 80% protection to the household living in the coastal area due to the fact that the length of the breakwater will not cover the full length of the coastline. Aside from the households being protected, the degree of erosion is also expected to be minimized and about 90% or 8.58 kilometers of the total coastal areas will be protected. The cost assumptions for the planned adaptation options are presented in Table 2. There was no identified maintenance cost for the structures. It was given that assuming the construction process followed strictly the standard for seawall, dike and breakwater no cost will be incurred within the specified effective life of the structures under normal conditions. Mangroves planted during reforestation were computed to have 80 percent survival rate thus, 20 percent of the seedlings planted need to be replenished the following year. Table 2. Cost assumptions for planned adaptation options Adaptation Options/Cost Items Breakwater Construction Construction Cost Dike Construction Construction Cost Mangrove Reforestation Planting Material Planting Material Labor Relocation of affected HH Acquisition of Land/Devt House Construction House Construction Volume Cost per Unit (USD) 100 298.68 1,000 34.81 50,000 300 50,000 0.30 0.12 1 125 126 23,210 1,160.36 1,160.36 Total Cost USD (‘000) 298.68 298.68 34.81 34.81 5,819.67 15.08 0.09 5804.5 314.46 23.21 145.05 146.21 Year Cost Incurred Y0 Y0 Y0 Y1 Y0 Y0 Y1 Riverbank Rehab Using Vetiver Grass Planting Materials Labor Transport Replanting Riverbank Rehab Using Vetiver Grass combined with mechanical method. Planting Material Labor Materials Needed Labor for Landscaping Replanting of vetiver grass Dike/levee construction Construction Cost Rehabilitation Cost (90% of the construction cost) Clearing of Riverbed Backhoe/Dredger Rent Fuel Oil/lubricants Wages Upland Reforestation Seedlings (free) Trans. Cost Replanting Replanting Replanting Labor Cost IEC/Establish disaster warning system and provision of temporary evacuation center Supplies and Materials Prep of temporary evacuation centers 18,000 90 1 0.01 0.20 2.00 9.28 4.18 0.42 0.05 4.64 Y0 41.35 4.18 0.42 23.21 8.91 4.64 66.14 18,000 90 1 1 0.00023 0.005 23.21 8.91 Y0 Y0 Y0 Y0 1000 34.81 31.33 34.81 Y0 320 4,800 1 40 34.81 1.39 1.16 13.92 19.54 11.14 6.68 1.16 0.56 749.09 Y0 Y0 Y0 Y0 5000 1000 200 40 6240 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.12 0.23 0.05 0.01 0.002 748.8 Y0 Y1 Y2 Y3 0.23 1 0.23 0.23 1160.9 Y0 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION The common and dominant threats in all the study sites are sea level rise (SLR) and extreme events such as typhoons, and to some degree storm surges. The attendant bio-geophysical impacts from the confluence of these hazards are coastal erosion and flooding/inundation. Table 3 presents the summary of climate change issues and related concerns in the area. The study concentrated on the impacts brought about by the confluence of these hazards as it is difficult to separate or attribute a bio-geophysical impact to just say SLR. Table 3: Summary of climate change hazards, impacts and other issues in the study sites Batangas Hazards sea level rise coastal erosion Confounding Environmental Issues sand quarrying illegal charcoal making using mangroves & other species illegal fishing using blasting and cyanide (nonresident) use of fine mesh net and superlight in fishing Impacts damage to property (hotels, resort, houses and boat) during typhoon or low pressure area Palawan Hazards more frequent and intense typhoons floods Confounding Environmental Issues mangroves cut for charcoal, housing and fencing materials weak enforcement of coastal laws illegal fishing burning of some upland areas to give way for rice farming (kaingin) growing private beachfront property development for housing and resorts lack of protection for the fish sanctuary because the guard house was destroyed by a typhoon coral bleaching and increasing number of crown of thorns impacts to livelihood and tourism in vulnerable coastal areas a number of houses were relocated because of coastal erosion houses, boats, and trees are washed out during typhoons decrease in fish catch during typhoons mangrove areas, coral reefs, marine protected area and beaches were also found at risk due to climate change Impacts water advances towards their homes change in the fish species caught more houses and more bancas were destroyed as a result of typhoons coral bleaching outside of the sanctuary decreased area of land due to coastal erosion increased temperature killed a substantial number of the traditionally gleaned shells along the coastline sea water is hotter during the 3-4 pm gleaning activity landslide; siltation extends up to 2 kilometers on both sides of a nearby river bangus fry collected for the past 5-6 years declined significantly Similarly for all study sites there are also various factors that exacerbate the damages from these bio-geophysical impacts. In the case of San Juan, Batangas, sand quarrying has hastened coastal erosion from rising sea levels and storm surges. Illegal fishing has also been observed that confounds the impact of SLR on declining fish stock and recruitment potential. Charcoal making also has led to a decrease in the mangrove area in the study site. The same contributory factors were observed in the Palawan project site. An additional factor in Honda Bay, Palawan is the extensive foreshore developments that have hastened coastal erosion. There is a variety of autonomous adaptation that was documented in the study sites. The behavior of households in particular the way they choose responses to climate change is quite diverse. Tables 4 and 5 enumerate current and potential initiatives and projects on climate change adaptation and disaster mitigation in the study areas. Some initiatives documented in the table cover and respond to attendant confounding factors but may not contribute directly to increasing the adaptive capacity of households. Nevertheless, they are important in so far as creating an environment that enhances the effects of planned as well as autonomous adaptations. Table 4: Initiatives and projects on climate change adaptation and disaster mitigation in Batangas Government-led Initiatives Organizing the Municipal Disaster Risk Management Council (MDRMC) Financial assistance to boat men affected by typhoons (Php 1,000 – Php 2,000).; Establishment of the Municipal Tourism Office (MTO) Enlarging and dredging of rivers to prevent flooding Regular conduct of Information, Education and Communication (IEC) campaigns Maintaining and Enhancing Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) and mangrove areas “Billion of Trees Project”. Planting of forest tree species and fruit bearing trees in 400 hectares of Communitybased Initiatives Aquaculture activities as a source of livelihood (i.e. shrimp, red crab, bangus) Fish processing Mangrove planting Regular collection of crown of thorns (COT) by the resort owners Autonomous Adaptation Options Relocation of houses Planting and selling of mangrove seedlings Temporary removal of light structures in beach areas upon the earliest sign of a low pressure area Available Resources MDRMC has a budget amounting to 5% to 20% of the Municipal Development Fund; Budget allocation of Php 300,000 for MPAs. Soup kitchen in case of emergency and calamity; 2-way radio (donated by First Philippine Conservation International) UST Biological station at Brgy. Imelda 5 Patrol boats, binocular, GPS, laptop, 2 cameras, projector and 6 life vests (donated by Conservation International) upland, lowland and sea areas. In 2009, 6 hectares have been replanted. Table 5: Initiatives and projects on climate change adaptation and disaster mitigation in Palawan Government-led Initiatives Ordinance Enacting the Code of Conduct for the Conservation, Protection and Restoration (CPR) of the Sources of Life of the City of Puerto Princesa On-going flood control project and plans to put up breakwaters to prevent destruction of fishponds and as protection to the rising waters Plan to reforest mangroves and put up a watch tower in the upland reforested area Organization of the Barangay Disaster Risk Management Council (BDDRMC) Communitybased Initiatives Establishment and expansion of the fish sanctuary Communitybased early warning system (going from house to house) Bio-engineering of riverbanks to prevent siltation and erosion Autonomous Adaptation Options Keeping the integrity of home lots facing the coastal area by using indigenous materials like 3 to 4 inch wooden stakes, rocks and bamboo slats to contain soil and sand (riprap) Resort owners use cement and rocks to control coastal erosion in their respective areas Available Resources Each barangay have their own Barangay Disaster Risk Management Council (BDDRMC) and has calamity funds allocated per year Non-government organizations engaged are mobilized during disasters Vulnerability Assessment and Impacts of Climate Hazards Participatory mapping activities were conducted to illustrate detailed information of village layout and infrastructure from the community residents themselves. These are vital to capture a better understanding of the livelihood strategies and assets of the communities in the study area, their dependence on different resources, the climate changes they perceived, their capacity to cope with these changes, to assess their needs, as well as to gain information on the role of different institutions in supporting them to cope with and adapt to perceived changes. In addition, hazard and physical vulnerability mapping were performed to identify the areas and resources at risk from climate hazards as perceived by the residents. Table 6 presents the primary hazards identified in each study site based on the vulnerability matrix and comparative ranking of hazards. Sectors that are highly dependent on coastal and marine ecosystems or resources (e.g. fisheries and tourism) are those greatly affected by these hazards. Table 6: Primary hazards and most vulnerable sectors Hazards Primary CC Hazards Highly Vulnerable Sectors Batangas Typhoon and Flooding Fisheries, Tourism & Housing Palawan Typhoon and Flooding Fisheries and Health Results from the household survey confirm earlier information obtained from the FGDs. Valuation of household damages arising from flooding and typhoons, coastal erosion, and saltwater intrusion reveal that most of the impact is on the earning capacity of coastal communities. Disruption of income generating activities is inevitable since most of these communities are resource dependent. Loss in income due to work disruption is almost twice the value of damages in assets including damage to houses. This is perhaps not surprising because these households are often very poor thus the value of their assets is also comparatively very low. Damages or disruption to income eventually redounds to a decline in consumption. This study exploits this to derive an empirical measure of the vulnerability of households. As a measure of vulnerability, the VEP framework was used. The estimates show the probability that a household will fall below the minimum consumption threshold level at which they will be considered as poor. The threshold used is the World Bank minimum of USD1.25 per capita per day. The estimates range from 0 to 1, with 0 having the lowest vulnerability and 1 the highest vulnerability. In this study, it is assumed that households with a VEP estimate of 0.00 to 0.49 are considered not vulnerable, those with 0.50 to 0.79 are considered moderately vulnerable and 0.80 to 1.0 are highly vulnerable. Separate regression analysis was undertaken for each of the study site. The explanatory variables used are gender and education of the household head, dependency ratio (number of members who are younger than 15 and older than 64 years of age over household size), value of household assets, number of contacts for credit, percentage of income from agriculture, fishery and forestry, dummy variables of whether household is involved in farming, fishing, gleaning, and livestock raising; number of floods experienced by household, and dummy variables for erosion and saltwater intrusion. It was found that mean vulnerability estimate for all households for Palawan is at 0.51 while Batangas is at 0.38. Mean VEP estimates for the highly vulnerable group in Batangas and Palawan are 0.88 and 0.87, respectively (Table 7). In terms of incidence, or the percentage of households considered vulnerable, Palawan is at 56% while Batangas is at 42%. The incidence of those who are considered highly vulnerable is at 22% for Palawan and 15% for Batangas. Figure 2 presents the household distribution according to their vulnerability level. Table 7. Mean VEP estimates and number of households at different vulnerability levels. Site Batangas Palawan Vulnerability Level Not vulnerable Moderately vulnerable Highly vulnerable All Households Not vulnerable Moderately vulnerable Highly vulnerable All Households Batangas Mean VEP 172 81 44 297 130 101 67 298 0.11 0.68 0.88 0.38 0.18 0.69 0.87 0.51 Highly vulnerable 22% Highly vulnerable 15% Moderatel y vulnerable 27% Number of HH Not vulnerable 58% Standard Deviation 0.14 0.09 0.05 0.34 0.17 0.07 0.05 0.32 Not vulnerable 44% Moderately vulnerable 34% Palawan Figure 2. Distribution of households according to level of vulnerability. One of the primary purposes of vulnerability assessment is to generate information that can aid in decision making. Hence, after identifying who the vulnerable households are, we need to describe their characteristics and analyze their profile. Such information can serve as a guide for the government; private organizations, as well as the community themselves, in strategizing how best to implement an adaptation program. Specifically, we looked at the primary occupation of the household head, their perceptions about their knowledge and preparedness to deal with future climate change impacts, and the damages and impacts that they have experienced from past climate related hazards and events. Looking at the role of gender also provided interesting insights. Majority of vulnerable households are headed by persons whose primary occupation is in the agriculture, fishery and forestry sector (table 8). Hence, it makes sense to implement interventions that target this particular group. It is important to note that this sector is highly sensitive to external shocks including those brought about by climate change. For instance, typhoon and flooding can destroy standing crops and fish pens. It can also prohibit fishermen and forest gatherers (who rely on their daily catch/collections to provide nourishment to their family) from going out to sea or to the forest. One strategy could be livelihood diversification and income augmentation. Training and credit provision to support alternative livelihoods may be pursued towards this end. The possibility of providing insurance may also be explored. In Batangas, however, a significant proportion of vulnerable households has heads who are laborers; service-oriented/ trade /unskilled workers; or plant and machine operators. Hence, it is also beneficial to implement interventions that target this sector. Table 8. Primary occupation of heads of vulnerable households (percentage distribution) Site Batangas Palawan Farmers, fishers, hunter/gatherers, foresters 55 73 Service-oriented workers, trade and related workers, plant and machine operators, laborers and unskilled workers 25 13 Officials, managers and business owners, professionals, technicians, clerks, and special occupations 10 4 Knowledge and information are crucial elements in ensuring that households are able to withstand or minimize the impacts of climate change. In Batangas, majority of the vulnerable households revealed that they have little or no knowledge about climate change and its impacts (table 9). For these sites, it may be necessary for climate change adaptation programs to include information dissemination activities. For Palawan, on the other hand, the trend is quite different, with a significant proportion (38%) revealing that at the very least their knowledge about climate change is adequate. Table 9. Level of knowledge of vulnerable households about climate change (percentage distribution). Site Batangas Palawan No information 47 14 A little bit of knowledge 40 48 Adequate knowledge 11 36 Fully knowledgeable 2 2 In table 10, it is shown that a small proportion of the vulnerable households (63%) in Batangas (22%) and Palawan (12%) consider themselves unprepared for future climate change hazards. The proportion of households claiming that they are at least adequately prepared is at 48% for Palawan while 34% in Batangas. Table 10. Distribution of vulnerable households based on their preparedness to deal with future impacts of climate change (in percentage) Site Batangas Palawan Not prepared 22 12 Somewhat prepared 43 39 Adequately prepared 23 35 Fully prepared 11 13 Looking at the impact of past hazards on vulnerable households can also serve as a guide to the strategic formulation and targeting of adaptation programs. It is a means by which we can roughly assess the adaptation needs of the communities living in the study site. Major impact for vulnerable households in Batangas is income loss due to work stoppage, loss of fishing income, damage to houses, and gastrointestinal illnesses. Again this highlights the need to augment income sources of vulnerable households. This also means that healthcare provision may be necessary to address their needs. For Palawan, impacts seem to be quite minimal affecting only a small percentage of the vulnerable households. Among these, gastrointestinal illness among household members had the highest incidence. The most significant impacts that households reported are damage to house as well as household appliances. Since the primary cause of these damages are erosion and sea level rise, it might be reasonable to consider relocation of affected households away from the shoreline. The role of gender still remains to be controversial. Some argue that women are more vulnerable since majority of the world’s poor are women and most women are largely dependent on livelihoods that rely heavily on the use of natural resources. The latter reason makes women more susceptible because natural resource intensive livelihoods are very sensitive to shocks. On the other hand, some contend that women play an important role in adaptation which essentially reduces household’s vulnerability. Nonetheless, it is important that adaptation programs should be gender sensitive. Table 11 shows the distribution of vulnerable households based on gender of household head. For all sites, although majority of the vulnerable households are male-headed. In terms of incidence of vulnerability, it can be seen that it is higher for males in Batangas, at 43% but higher for females in Palawan at 74% (Table 12). Table 11. Distribution of vulnerable households based on gender of household head (percentage share). Site Batangas Palawan Male 83 88 Female 17 12 Table 12. Incidence of vulnerability for male- and female-headed households (in percent). Site Batangas Palawan Male 43 55 Female 39 74 Valuation of Damages from Climate Change Hazards Batangas Since coastal population in San Juan is highly dense, they are likewise highly exposed to the adverse impact of climate change emanating from the sea. Majority of the respondents (62%) have been affected by approximately less than ten typhoons from year 2001-2010. These typhoons inundated their houses as a result of typhoons with heavy rains and from heavy rains coupled with typhoon plus high tide and storm surge. According to them, the highest flood depth level they encountered was 5 feet which happened in 2010. Furthermore, they revealed that it took them six (6) days before recovering from the financial impacts of the worst flood, and 1-7 days to recover from the emotional distress and to go back to their normal situation. Flooding is generally associated to the overflow of the rivers in their town. The flooding was not due to the extraordinary rise in sea level although they said that when the sea level if extremely high, the waves would normally reach their houses, especially those living 5 to 10 meters away from the shore. For coastal erosion/sea level rise, the respondents noticed that the sea is slowly moving inland. Anecdotal reports would point to several houses being taken away by the sea and a significant number of coconut trees being eroded away. Based from the survey results, 30% of the respondents incurred damages to their livelihood as a result of typhoon/flooding while 13% suffered damages due to coastal erosion. The average damage per household amounts to PhP4,795.00 for those arising from typhoon/flooding while those caused by coastal erosion amounts to an average of PhP3,400.00/household. Although there were no official reports on the exact damage to livelihood brought about by typhoon, flooding and coastal erosion, survey reveals a total damage of PhP 441,290 per occurrence. The damage to livelihood consists of loss from livestock production, loss of fishing income, income loss due to work stoppage and loss of income from tourism-related activities. The respondents revealed that their livelihood is more vulnerable to the impacts of typhoon. Since during a typhoon, most of the fishermen cannot go fishing, or for those who braved the tumultuous waves of the sea, still did not have a good catch. Damages also account for income loss due to work stoppage and also loss of business from tourism-related activities. This means no income for the family for several days. According to the survey, most respondents would normally have at least six days to recover from the financial stress brought about by the typhoon. In addition, damages to livelihood due to coastal erosion amount to PhP 134,430. This was due to the inability of the households living near the shore to raise livestock since there is no more space for them to build their pig pen. Coastal erosion also contributes to a loss of their fishing income since they need to spend more on gasoline because the fishing area has become farther away from the shore. Moreover, since they cannot dock their fishing boats properly, maintenance costs for their boats have soared. For the beach resort owners, coastal erosion affects their marketability. The respondents explained that when they needed to build their private dike, they needed to minimize the intake of visitors, thus resulting to a loss in income. Survey shows that 9% of the respondents have suffered health problems due to flooding/typhoon. They associated this to the efforts of the barangay health workers in ensuring that the residents, especially the children and the elderly would be given adequate health support. In terms of damages to health, waterborne diseases which affected the respondents include diarrhea, gastrointestinal problems, dengue and worms/helminths. Total damages amount to PhP49,060.00 which translates to an average damage of PhP2,582.00 per household. These costs were incurred mostly after a flooding/typhoon incident. On the contrary, coastal erosion did not pose any health problems to the respondents. Other than damages to livelihood and health, the occurrence of typhoon, flooding and coastal erosion can also bring about damage to properties such as houses, boats and other assets. Results show that 31% of the respondents have suffered other damages resulting from typhoon/flooding and coastal erosion. The remaining majority revealed that they did not incur any major damages to their properties for the past ten years. Results showed that damages to houses and other properties are also significant amounting to PhP525,450 as a result of typhoon and flooding while a total damage of PhP294,100 was caused by coastal erosion. These other damages account for loss/damage to houses, boats, cottages, appliances and other household assets. Palawan Climate-related events most notably typhoons, flooding, and storm surges can potentially affect the livelihood of hundreds of residents in the flatter or plain and coastwise protected regions of Barangay Babuyan more than the elevated, exposed sections of Barangay Binduyan in Honda Bay. More livelihood opportunities are available in Barangay Babuyan owing to more extensive plain areas that allow farming activities and fishpond production to take place. Land-based livelihood opportunities in Barangay Binduyan are comparatively lesser due to steep sloping and rugged terrain. The data gathered in this study revealed, however, that while the residents were cognizant of the impacts of climatic events on their livelihood, only a small segment of the population in both barangays experience the negative impact of climate-related events to their livelihood. Few households indicated the value of loss attributed to typhoons, flooding and storm surges. Residents of Barangay Babuyan suffered the consequences of strong typhoons on their fishing, farming (crops and livestock) an aquaculture activities from 2003 to 2008. Fishing impacts include inability to fish due to strong gusts of wind because many of their boats depend on wind power. Fish trading activities are affected. Strong wave action battered and damaged their boats. Farming which consists mainly of rice and corn fall under heavy winds and floods that result due to heavy rainfall. Grassfire occurred in 2003 that razed their cropland. In 2009, the hot climate attributed to El Niño and increased incidence of pests in 2010 affected their crops. Also, the heavy rainfall associated with strong typhoons laid waste the crops primarily affecting cashew plantations since the flowers are sensitive to moisture. Fishponds overflow leading to the loss of cultured milkfish and tilapia. Overall, the livelihood activities of residents in Barangay Babuyan are resource dependent, thus are vulnerable to climatic changes. In terms of value of damages to livelihood, agricultural production is the most affected livelihood due to flooding in Babuyan. Affected households indicated a range of agricultural production loss from PhP100 to PhP10,000 pesos. Notably, while only one fishpond owner indicated loss due to flooding, the value of loss is high at PhP20,000. Households in Binduyan indicated climate-related damages including flooding, grassfire, erosion, landslide and drought. These events affected their sources of income like cashew and banana plantations and subsistence activities like gleaning due primarily to episodes of hot temperature in 1998 and 2009. Target species like squid and octopus declined in abundance. Recently, the residents noted that there were more rainy days than hot days which affected the flowering of cashew trees. Loss in fishing income stands out as the main impact of flooding in Binduyan ranging from PhP200 to PhP21,000 across survey respondents. Damages to health in Babuyan are associated with the onset of the rainy season. Among these are malaria, typhoid fever, loose bowel movement, flu, dengue, pruritus, cough and colds. The residents are aware that these sicknesses can be attributed to their lack of sanitary comfort rooms, sound waste management practices and high coliform due to pigpens constructed near the sea. In Binduyan, residents noted the incidence of sickness like malaria, flu, hypertension, fever, and malnutrition especially among children. Autonomous Adaptation to Major Climate Change Hazards Having substantial knowledge on autonomous adaptation practices is vital in determining complementary planned adaptation strategies that can reduce, or best, eliminate the damages to households. The tables below initially reviewed the common practices against flooding of households in barangays Catmon and Hugom in Batangas (Table 13), and Binduyan and Babuyan in Palawan (Table 14) and against coastal erosion (Table 15) based on the results of the household survey conducted. Table 13. Autonomous adaptation and expenditures (in PhP) before and during/after flooding, Catmon and Hugom, Batangas, 2002-2011 Autonomous Adaptation Strategies Catmon (# of community/house floods : 15/91) Before During/After no. of no. of expense expense adaptors adaptors Hugom (# of community/house floods : 10/7) Before During/After no. of no. of expense expense adaptors adaptors Undertook improvements (repairs) to make house 74 59,100 56 59,100 26 43,600 more resilient to flooding Evacuated to a safe place 22 9,000 20 6,000 7 1,500 Reinforced ponds/ fish 7 2,300 3 0 0 0 cages/ animal pens Joined savings-credit 4 20 4 200 1 3,000 group/ cooperative Pursued other means to generate additional 15 1,680 12 500 1 0 income Undertook other 6 0 107 0 0 0 preparations (activities) Borrowed money 0 0 12 15,300 0 0 Saved money 0 0 81 0 0 0 TOTAL* 75,470 81,300 48,150 *totals may not add up based on the table items due to omission of small expense items 14 5,000 7 1,000 0 0 2 50,000 1 0 103 50 1 96 0 0 56,050 Table 14. Autonomous adaptation and expenditures (in PhP) before and during/after flooding, Binduyan and Babuyan, Palawan, 2002-2011 Autonomous Adaptation Strategies Undertook improvements (repairs) to make house more resilient to flooding Harvested (replanted) crops or harvested (replaced) fish early Reinforced ponds/ fish cages/ animal pens Moved fishing or farming equipment to safe place Pursued other means to generate additional income Undertook other preparations (activities) Borrowed money Saved money Binduyan (# of community/house floods : 10/13) Before During/After no. of no. of expense expense adaptors adaptors Babuyan (# of community/house floods : 10/54) Before During/After no. of no. of expense expense adaptors adaptors 5 950 3 850 8 27,300 9 18,400 3 5,000 1 2,000 0 0 3 2,500 0 0 0 0 1 2,000 2 32,000 0 0 0 0 1 10,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2,000 6 2,000 0 0 50 0 0 0 182 0 0 0 0 0 1 39 3,000 0 0 0 0 0 2 175 1,400 0 TOTAL* 6,050 5,950 49,550 *totals may not add up based on the table items due to omission of small expense items 59,900 Table 15. Autonomous adaptation and expenditures (in PhP) for coastal erosion and SLR, Catmon and Hugom, Batangas, and Binduyan and Babuyan, Palawan, 2002-2011 Autonomous Adaptation Strategies Catmon (# of erosions affecting community/hh : 11/109) no. of expense adaptors Hugom (# of erosions affecting community/hh : 4/16) no. of expense adaptors Binduyan (# of erosions affecting community/hh : 3/3) no. of adaptors expense Installed permanent 5 30,300 2 45,000 1 4,000 protective structures Installed temporary and semi-permanent protective 4 30,000 1 20,000 5 2,550 structures Prepared for evacuation 18 2,260 4 0 1 500 but did not evacuate Evacuated/ migrated to a 9 300 2 0 1 2,000 safe place temporarily Evacuated/ migrated to a 4 3,000 0 0 0 0 safe place permanently Planted mangrove trees 11 0 0 0 1 0 along the shoreline Reinforced ponds/ fish 3 1,000 0 0 0 0 cages/ animal pens Pursued other means to 7 2,500 2 0 3 1,000 generate added income Availed crop insurance 2 5,000 0 0 0 0 Joined savings-credit 4 7,900 1 200 0 0 group/ cooperative TOTAL* 85,860 65,200 10,050 *totals may not add up based on the table items due to omission of small expense items Babuyan (# of erosions affecting community/hh : 7/1) no. of Expense adaptors 2 7,000 0 0 1 300 0 0 0 0 1 5,000 1 10,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 22.300 With regard to the household adaptation strategies in the barangays studied in Batangas, majority of the respondents improve their houses to make it more resilient to flooding and typhoon. In order to cope with the adverse effects of coastal erosion, the respondents prefer to undertake mangrove reforestation activities. Another interesting finding was that when the respondents were asked what they will do in the future to cope with the impacts of flooding and typhoon, they entertained the possibility of relocating permanently to a safer place. Although firm to stay in the current place for as long as possible, majority revealed that if their resources will just go to continuously improving and rehabilitating their houses after every flooding or typhoon or when the sea further reach their place, it would be better to just relocate somewhere else. Similarly for the studied barangays in Palawan, house improvement was among the top adaptation strategies done by the households against flooding. While there were only a very small percentage of the residents who undertook coping mechanisms or adaptation in response to flooding or typhoon in Babuyan, it is worth noting that among those affected, house improvement for resiliency to flooding or typhoon was made is on top of the list. This was followed by digging canals to facilitate water flow. None of these coping mechanisms indicate that they are leaving their place of abode. In Binduyan, improvements to make the house more resilient to flooding ranked second. Foremost in their list of coping mechanisms is the planting of trees along the periphery of their property. Considering that more than a fifth of the residents indicated so, this means that the residents put premium on trees as buffer against typhoon or flooding. While only a few responded to the threat of coastal erosion, temporary and semi-permanent protective structures were installed by the residents of to reduce the impact of coastal erosion. Many of them could not afford permanent protective structures as only one said so. However, for fishpond owners, they are reinforcing and increasing the height of fishpond dikes to make it resilient to erosion and high tide incidents to prevent losing the fishpond stocks. Another adaptation considered by the owners is to place nets around the pond areas to also prevent losing the stocks when the dike is breached and there is overflow of water. Based on the estimated associated expenses for these adaptation practices presented above, the following observations were made: (1) though it is obvious that households in the barangays that experience flooding more frequently would more likely undertake adaptation strategies during/after the incident, more households in these barangays also tend to undertake preparations to protect them before a flooding event, (2) households in barangays that invested greater amount in home improvements before flooding incurred less expenses on the aftermath of the event (particularly in Batangas), (3) households tend to save money after a flooding event in preparation for a possible recurrence, (4) household adaptations are more common in areas where coastal erosion is prevalent, as households with more experiences tend to adapt and prepare for such incidence, (5) the implication on the damage(s) from climate change hazards for households undertaking autonomous adaptation strategies is ambiguous as these same households usually receive the greater extent of damage and, (6) household adaptation to climate change impacts in coastal areas are still diverse with some becoming proactive, while others continue to be reactive. Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Planned Adaptation Options The planned adaptation strategies were selected through consultation with the residents, key individuals and officials of the community. After identifying the list of planned adaptation strategies in the study areas, the options were evaluated using cost-effectiveness analysis. Tables 16 and 17 presents the CEA conducted for each of the site. Table 16: CEA for Batangas Objectives Protect the coastline from eroding Increase the number of households saved from typhoon/flooding (combination of objectives 2 & 3) Planned Adaptation Strategies Construction of a sea wall Mangrove reforestation Zoning provisions according to revised and updated CLUP Improvement of typhoon early warning system and provision of emergency evacuation and shelter Integrated drainage and flood control system and diversification of livelihood CE Ratio 0.16M USD/linear km of erosion prevented 0.01M USD/ linear km of erosion prevented 0.07M USD/HH saved 0.04M USD/HH saved 0.10M USD/HH saved Result Mangrove reforestation is not only more cost effective, but also offers other co-benefits like additional sources of income, and preservation of marine biodiversity Although the improvement of typhoon early warning system with provision of emergency evacuation is the most cost effective, the construction of an integrated drainage and flood control system with livelihood diversification is highly acceptable among the stakeholders Table 17: CEA for Palawan Site Objectives Planned Adaptation Strategies CE Ratio Result Babuyan To protect the household from storm surges and Breakwater Construction 0.276M USD/HH Mangrove reforestation is cost effective in protecting loss of property, and minimize sand erosion To prevent river overflow and minimize siltation that cause damages to coconut plantations and fishponds Dike/ levee Construction 0.032M USD/HH Mangrove Reforestation 0.019M USD/HH Riverbank rehabilitation using vetiver grass Riverbank rehabilitation using vetiver grass combined with mechanical method Dike construction River dredging Upland reforestation To protect household from inland flooding. IEC/Establish early warning system and provision of temporary evacuation center Relocate affected households to safer place Breakwater Construction Binduyan To protect households from strong waves and storm surges. Mangrove Reforestation Seawall Construction Relocation of affected households 0.004M USD/Ha 0.034M USD/Ha 0.032M USD/Ha 0.002M USD/Ha 926 USD/HH 120 USD/HH the households and properties, and in minimizing sand erosion where mangrove has seen to thrive well The discussion on the planned options and CE ratios focused on prioritizing Riverbed Dredging at the same time also undertake Riverbank Rehabilitation using Vetiver Grass alone The IEC is cost effective but success depends on the maturity of the residents to react accordingly 2,234 USD/HH 0.277M USD/HH 0.009M USD/HH 0.00089M USD/HH 0.0012 USD/HH Officials agreed to prioritize seawall construction but at the same time, pursue mangrove reforestation appropriate for the area Various planned adaptation options, which communities and local governments can implement, were analyzed using cost effectiveness analysis. A consistent and common result across three sites is that ecosystem based approaches are more cost effective than hard infrastructure investments. This is true for the case of mangrove reforestation (whenever they are applicable) when compared with sea walls, embankments, and breakwaters. In Batangas, where livelihood diversification was considered for CEA, it was found that this intervention which can augment the income-earning capacities of households is a cost-effective planned adaptation option. As explained, the options considered for cost-effectiveness analysis were identified by the stakeholders, which include the local government. There seem to be a preponderance of protective measures as seen in the table when in fact, the main impact or risks from these hazards is really on the livelihoods of coastal-based communities. There is somewhat a disjoint in policy here. It is not to say that these initiatives are not needed. The results merely point to the fact that for coastal communities any public initiative should incorporate a livelihood diversification component. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION This paper generally aims to understand public (planned) and private (autonomous) adaptation of coastal communities against multiple climate related hazards by validating and assessing climate change impacts, identifying the vulnerabilities and adaptation strategies of households and communities, and evaluating the cost-effectiveness of planned adaptation strategies to climate change in selected coastal areas in the Philippines. The focus was on assessing the impacts from three climate hazards besetting coastal communities namely: typhoon/ flooding and coastal erosion. It also analyzed planned adaptation options, which communities and local governments can implement as well as the autonomous response of households to protect and insure themselves from these hazards. It utilized a variety of methodologies to gain a clearer picture of the interrelated issues in four project sites in the Philippines. Methodologies ranged from community based approaches such as community hazard mapping and focus group discussions to quantitative and econometric methods. These approaches provided information for further activities in the project. Specifically, the results of these community-based approaches were fed into a household survey. The results of the household survey were analyzed using various regression techniques. The results show that indeed households in the coastal communities face a confluence of risks and often adapt simultaneously to these risks. These risks have most impacts on the livelihoods of households. Foregone income due to these risks is often twice as high as the value of damages from loss of assets including the house. Both the household survey and the FGDs lend evidence to this claim. We find this not surprising because households in these communities are often poor and the value of their assets is often low. These eventually have effects on their consumption. VEP or vulnerability measures show that the mean vulnerability estimate for all households was highest for Palawan at 0.51. This means that, on average, there is a 51% probability that households in Palawan will fall below the minimum consumption threshold of USD1.25 per capita per day given shocks, including those that are climate-related. The mean vulnerability estimate for all households in Batangas is at 0.38. Accordingly, the incidence of vulnerability (or percentage of all households considered vulnerable) is at 56% in Palawan (56%) and 42% in Batangas. In terms of hazards and damages, the barangays studied in Batangas were found to be exposed to the impacts of typhoon, flooding, and coastal erosion. The sectors highly vulnerable to typhoon are fishing, tourism and housing while those highly vulnerable to the impacts of flooding include housing and tourism. Similarly, fishing, housing and tourism are highly vulnerable to the impacts of coastal erosion. Much of the damages to the livelihood are brought by typhoon and flooding which amounts to PhP 306,860 while those arising from the impacts of coastal erosion amounts to PhP 134,430. Damages to health amount to PhP 49,060. Other damages to properties like boats, houses, resorts are higher at PhP 525,450 caused by flooding/typhoon while those arising from coastal erosion amount to PhP 294,100. As for autonomous and planned adaptation strategies in Batangas, majority of the respondents improve their houses to make it more resilient to flooding and typhoon. In order to cope with the adverse effects of coastal erosion, the respondents prefer to undertake mangrove reforestation activities. Another interesting finding was that when the respondents were asked what they will do in the future to cope with the impacts of flooding and typhoon, they entertained the possibility of relocating permanently to a safer place. Based from the cost effectiveness analysis, the more cost effective adaptation strategies include mangrove reforestation, integrated drainage and flood control system and diversification of livelihood options. For Palawan, the major climate change impact experienced by the studied barangays is flooding due to sea level rise, with agriculture and fishing as the most vulnerable sectors. In terms of value of damages to livelihood, agricultural production is the most affected livelihood with loss from PhP100 to PhP10,000 pesos during flooding. Loss in fishing income also stands out as an impact of flooding ranging from a minimum of PhP200 to PhP21,000. As for autonomous and planned adaptation strategies, house improvement was among the top adaptation strategies done by the households against flooding. Planting of trees was initiated by some households to minimize impacts of flooding while temporary and semipermanent protective structures were installed by the residents of to reduce the impact of coastal erosion. Collectively, the community identified mangrove reforestation as the most cost effective strategy in protecting the households and properties as well as in minimizing sand erosion in areas where mangroves can grow well. Hard adaptation options like breakwater and dike construction may be opted by a few officials of the two barangays provided that adequate funds are available. Basically, resource availability is one of the major considerations in identifying the adaptation options that can be done in the community in order to elevate their resilience to the impact of climate change particularly to sea level rise. 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