Name ______________Solutions_________________________________ Date ________________________ AP Statistics 1. Jonathon is the manager of a used video game store. He wants to estimate the average amount a customer spends per visit. A random sample of 80 customers’ receipts gave a mean of $6.90 and a standard deviation of $2.45. a. What conditions are necessary to calculate a 90% confidence interval for the average amount spent by all customers? Sample size is greater than 30 b. 2. Chapter 8 Review For a day when the video game store had 80 customers, estimate the total income on that day. (as an interval) 90% C.I. (6.441, 7.3559) Allen is an appliance salesman who works on commission. A random sample of 39 days showed that the sample standard deviation value of sales was $215. How many more days should be included in a sample to be 95% sure the population mean µ is within $50 of the sample mean? n = 39 C.I. = 95% E = 50 𝑛 = ( 𝑧𝑐 𝜎 2 ) 𝐸 n= 72 33 More Days 3. What percentage of male athletes wear contact lenses during performances? If you have no preliminary estimate for p, how many male athletes should you include in a random sample to be 90% sure the point estimate will be within a distance of 0.05 from p. 1 𝑧 4 𝐸 n = ( 𝑐 )2 n = 271 Studies show that approximately 19% of male athletes wear contact lenses during performances. How many male athletes should you include in a random sample to be 90% sure the point estimate will be within a distance of 0.05 from p. 𝑧 n = pq( 𝑐)2 𝐸 n = 167 4. At a large office supply store, the daily sales of two similar brand-name laser printers are being compared. A random sample of 16 days showed that Brand I had mean daily sales $2464 and a standard deviation $529. A random sample of 19 days showed that Brand II had mean daily sales $2285 and a standard deviation $440. Assume sales follow an approximately normal distribution. a. Find a 90% confidence interval for the population mean difference in sales. µ1 = mean daily sales of laser printers brand 1 µ2 = mean daily sales of brand 2 90% C.I. µ1 - µ2 (-101.9, 459.86) b. What does the interval tell you about the mean sales of one printer compared to that of the other? At the 90% C.L. my interval contains both positive and negative values; it does not appear that the population mean daily sales of printers differ. 5. A production manager is studying the effect of overtime on different shifts. On shift I at least half the workers were on overtime. A random sample of 245 items assembly line showed that 24 were defective. Shift II had no overtime workers. A random sample of 258 items from the assembly line showed that 11 had defects. a. Find and interpret a 90% confidence interval of the proportion of defective items for Shift I versus Shift II. P1 = shift 1 population proportion of defective items 𝑝̂ 1 = P2 = shift 2 population proportion of defective items 𝑝̂ 2 = 24 245 11 258 2 Prop z-interval p1- p2 90% (.018, .093) I am 90% confident that p1 p2 . or I am 90% confident that the proportion of defects from shift 1 minus the proportion of defects from shift 2 is contained in(.018, .093). b. 6. What assumptions are required for your calculations from a. Do you think these assumptions are satisfied? n1p1 5 n1q1 5 and n2p2 5 n2q2 5 The table below shows data from Canadian and U.S. ninth-grader test scores. U.S. Canadians a. Sample Size Sample Mean 300 250 95 90.5 Write the formula for the 95% confidence interval in terms of the values shown above. (µ1 - µ2) ± (zc 1.96 or tc 1.98) (E) because n is so large could use zc (95 − 90.5) ± (1.96)√ b. Sample Standard Deviation 4.5 4.1 Determine the confidence interval. 95% C.I. µ1 - µ2 (3.78, 5.22) 4.52 4.12 + 300 250 c. Provide an interpretation of the confidence interval. Include in your interpretation a conclusion that can be drawn about which country has a higher average test score. µ1 – U.S. ninth-grader test score population mean µ2 - Canadian. ninth-grader test score population mean I am 95% confident that µ1 - µ2 is between 3.78 and 5.22. or I am 95% confident the U.S. ninth grade test scores are higher than Canadian test scores. 7. You want to create a 95% C.I. with a margin of error of no more than 0.05 for a population proportion. The historical data indicate that the population has remained constant at about 0.55. What is the minimum size random sample you need to construct this interval? 𝑧 n = pq( 𝑐)2 n = 381 𝐸 8. A random sample of 30 households was selected as part of a study on electricity usage, and the number of kilowatt-hours (kWh) was recorded for each household in the sample for the March quarter 2011. The average usage was found to be 450 kWh. In a very large study in the March quarter of the previous year it was found that the standard deviation of the usage was 81 kWh. Assuming the standard deviation is unchanged and that the usage is normally distributed provide an expression for calculating a 99% C.I. for the mean usage in March quarter of 2011. A. 450 ± 2.756 × B. 450 ± 2.575 × C. 450 ± 2.33 × 81 √30 9 √30 81 √30 81 D. 450 ± 2.575 × √30 σ used from previous year study E. None of the above 9. If our sample size from problem 8 were tripled, how would this change the confidence interval size? A. Divides the interval size by 3. B. Multiples the interval by 1.732 C. Divides the interval size by 1.732 increasing sample size by mult. of d divides the interval est. by √𝑑 D. Triples the interval size. E. None of the above. 10. Suppose you construct a 95% C.I. from a random sample of size n=20 with a sample mean 100 taken from a population with unknown µ and a known σ = 10. And the interval is fairly wide. Which of the following conditions would not lead to a narrower C.I.? A. B. C. D. E. If you decrease your C.I. If you increase your sample size If the sample size was smaller If the population standard deviation was smaller All of the above would lead to a narrower confidence interval. 11. Consider the following data: 1, 7, 3, 3, 6, 4 Assuming these data are drawn from a normal population with mean = µ and variance = 6, the 95% C.I. for the appropriate z-score is ____ standard units long. A. 5.14 B. 4.9 C. 4.04 D. 3.92 zc = 1.96 2(1.96) = 3.92 E. None of the above 12. In a middle school with 500 students, it was found that the true proportion of brunettes is 17.8%. If you were to construct a C.I. estimate of the proportion of brunettes with sample size n=50, which of the following statements is true? I. II. III. A. B. C. D. E. The interval contains 17.8% A 95% C.I. estimate contains 17.8% The center of the interval is 17.8% I and II II and III I and III All of the above None of the above 13. That is the critical t-value of a 95% C.I. estimate for a sample size of 25? A. 2.06 B. 1.711 C. 2.064 D. 1.708 E. None of the above 14. In a recent online survey of 1,700 adults it was revealed that only 17% felt the internet was secure. With what degree of confidence can you say that 17% ± 2% of adults believe that online security is secure? A. B. C. D. E. 72.9% 90% 95% 97.2% 98.6% 15. A C.I. estimate is determined from the SAT scores of a SRS of n students. All other things being equal, which of the following will result in a small margin of error? I. II. III. A. B. C. D. E. Smaller standard deviation Smaller sample size Smaller C.I. I and II I and III ME varies by zc and standard deviation II and III I, II, and III None of the above 16. If the C.I. for the population proportion changes from 90% to 98% with all else being equal, then ____________ A. The size of the interval increases by 41% ±1.645 𝑡𝑜 ± 2.326 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙 𝑠𝑖𝑧𝑒 B. C. D. E. The size of the interval decreases by 9% The size of the interval increases by 9% The size of the interval decreases by 41% None of the above 17. Which of the following margins of error in a C.I. results using z-scores? I. II. III. A. B. C. D. E. In obtaining the sample surveys error occurred due to no response Random sample surveys Errors occurred due to using sample standard deviation as estimates for σ I only II only ME due to variation of chance, nothing to do with defective survey III only I and II I and III 2.326 1.645 𝑏𝑦 41%