Table S1. Parameter values used in simulations, as well as the range of alternative values explored (in brackets) but not presented in this analysis. Values that are listed as a range refer to the values at the "temperate" and "tropical" ends of the spatial gradient, and all gradients were linear. Z, zero sum energy gradient, and NZ, non-zero sum scenarios. Parameter Value Units [range evaluated] Environmental gradient Regional carrying capacity, Kmax 0 - 40 ˚C Z: 4,000 - 40,000 individuals NZ: 40,000 Strength of environmental selection, ω 3 [1 - 11] ˚C, standard deviation units Strength of niche conservatism, σE 1 [1 - 11] ˚C, standard deviation units Per individual speciation probability 10-6 [10-7 - 10-5] probability Per individual dispersal probability 10-4 [10-6 - 10-2] probability 0.1 individuals-1 Extinction rate parameter (governing negative exponential decline of extinction vs abundance) Maximum number of species 10,000 species Maximum number of time steps 100,000 time steps tropical-most bin, spatial bin (1-10) Region of origin temperate-most bin