Econ 332, Economic Games and Strategy Fall 2014, Exam #2 Dr. Stonebraker Name ______________________________ Remember: if Y = a + bX + cX2, then Y is maximized when X = - (b/2c) 1. (5%) Economists say that risk-averse behavior results from diminishing marginal utility of money. Why? Clearly explain the logic. 2. (15%) Suppose that Barack and Vladimir play the simultaneous game with payoffs as listed below (Barack’s payoff is listed first and Vladimir’s is listed second). Vladimir Barack V1 V2 B1 12, 10 8, 8 B2 5, 20 18, 13 a. Identify any and all pure strategy Nash equilibriums. b. Suppose the game becomes sequential with Vladimir moving first. Show the game in extensive form and identify the rollback equilibrium. 3. (19%) Two firms (Econ Elites and Nobel Noggins) sell framed portraits of Nobel Prize winning economists on Scholar’s Walk. The demand for each depends both upon its own price and that of the other. They estimate the following functions (the E and N subscripts represent values for Econ Elites and Nobel Noggins respectively): QE = 40 - 2 PE + PN and QN = 28 – PN + PE The average cost of making a framed photo is a constant $10 for Econ Elites and $12 for Nobel Noggins (it provides higher quality frames). a. Calculate the profit functions for each firm. b. Calculate the best-response or reaction function for each firm. Show your work. c. Calculate the Nash equilibrium prices for each firm. 4. (14%) Each of two candy firms, Tyler's Toffee and Derek's Delights, has three possible strategies with payoffs listed in the table below. (Tyler's payoff is listed first and Derek's second). Using this matrix below: Derek’s Delights D1 Tyler's Toffee D2 D3 T1 30, 15 24, 40 16, 30 T2 14, 38 30, 20 28, 33 T3 15, 22 28, 17 24, 26 a. Explain how to find outcomes that are rationalizable. b. Find all rationalizable outcomes in the table above. 6. (16%) Vincent and Nikki must choose whether or not to make a campaign visit to Rock Hill. Vincent must choose first and Nikki second. The payoffs of this sequential game are listed below: visit -3, -3 Nikki visit not visit 6, -5 Vincent visit not visit -4, 3 Nikki not visit 2, 4 a. Show all possible strategies of this game in strategic or normal form. b. Identify any and all pure strategy Nash equilibriums and explain. c. Which, if any of these equilibriums are subgame perfect? Explain clearly. 6. (17%) Stonebraker is serving against Raphael Nadal for the Wimbledon Tennis Championship and must decide whether to serve to Nadal’s forehand or backhand. Nadal must anticipate what Stonebraker will do. Their chances of success are listed in the table below (Stonebraker's chance of success is listed first and Nadal’s is listed second). Let p= probability that Stonebraker will serve to Nadal’s forehand and q = probability that Nadal will expect a serve to his forehand. Nadal Expect forehand Expect backhand Forehand Stonebraker Backhand 20, 80 40, 60 30, 70 10, 90 a. Calculate the q-mix payoffs and show Stonebraker’s expected success for serving to both Nadal’s forehand and backhand at different q’s on the graph below. Label everything clearly. b. Calculate Nadal’s optimal q and Stonebraker’s expected success. Show your work. Stonebraker’s expected success Nadal’s q choice 7. (14%) Suppose that Nathan’s and Hebrew National each have two strategies with the payoffs listed below. Let p = the probability of Hebrew National playing H1 and q = the probability of Nathan’s playing N1. Nathan’s N1 N2 H1 4, 4 0, 1 H2 1, 0 2, 2 Hebrew National Graph Nathan’s best response curve on the diagram below. Show your work. p q