Environmental Justice Adam Dorr GIS 3/1/2011 Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 Introduction Project Goals The topic of this project was environmental justice in Los Angeles county (shown in Figure 1 below) and my analysis was divided into two parts. The goal of Part 1 was to identify census tracts in Los Angeles county that are at highest risk of exposure to environmental pollution, and therefore identifying which Los Angeles county schools to target with environmental justice policies to improve indoor air quality and thereby protect children’s health. The goal of Part 2 was to test whether the landmark environmental justice findings of the 1987 United Church of Christ Report on Toxic Waste and Race in the United States1 that the racial composition of a community is the best predictor of hazardous waste sites can also be applied to predicting community composition based on air pollution risk. Figure 1: Area of Analysis – Los Angeles County The layout in Figure 1 above shows the project area of interest – central Los Angeles county – as well as major highways, which are of particular importance given the role they play in contributing to the area’s air pollution. An inset map of shows the location of the area of interest within the state of California. This layout served as the template not only for much of my analysis, but also for my presentation slides. Stylistically, I felt that it was highly effective to dissolve between one slide and the next in a seamless transition so that only the salient features change while the background features remain the same. To create this and the other project layouts I used both ArcMap and the Adobe Creativity Suite of graphics applications. I attempted to direct the attention of the view to key features of the layouts by making use of transparencies, subduing interior borders with soft grays, desaturating the colors of background layers, and emphasizing areas of interest with heavier and darker border lines. Data and Spatial Unit of Anlaysis For both parts of the project I used air pollution risk data from the EPA National Air Toxics Assessment (NATA) 20022. This dataset shows respiratory, cancer and neurological risk associated with a range of different types of air pollution at the census tract level. Since this was the primary dataset for both Part 1 and Part 2, the spatial unit of analysis I used for this project was the census tract. EPA also maintains a national dataset of environmental “sites of concern”. Street addresses for each site are Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 included in the dataset, and I was able to successfully geocode this dataset and use the more than 1400 sites in the Los Angeles county area for my analysis. For state and county boundary layers along with point and polygon data for schools, airports and waterbodies, I used data from UCLA’s mapshare website. For base layers, including shaded relief, terrain and major highways I used data published by ESRI and Microsoft that is accessible directly through ArcMap. I used imagery, 3D data and some placemarks for schools in the downtown Los Angeles area from Google that were projected in Google Earth. Finally, I used data from the US Census 2000 and the American Community Survey 5-year estimates published by the US Census Bureau for demographics such as income, racial composition and age composition at the census tract level. Part 1 To identify census tracts in Los Angeles county that are hotspots for environmental pollution, I began by mapping my NATA data for respiratory, cancer and neurological risk. In the NATA datasets risk is delineated by more than a dozen specific environmental toxics (lead, mercury, formaldehyde, etc.) and the dataset provides a consolidated category for “total risk”. The risk figure applies to a complex algorithm intended to inform public health and epidemiological research as was therefore not appropriate for the purposes of my project. I therefore chose to standardize, or normalize, the total risk figure, yielding a score from 0 to 1. I applied this to each of the risk categories – respiratory, cancer and neurological – to create three maps. I then combined these maps into a single map showing a composite air pollution risk index by multiplying the index scores together, which again yielded a standardized scale of 0 to 1. These maps are shown in Figure 2 and Figure 3 below. Figure 2: Creating a Composite Air Pollution Risk Index Map The majority of census tracts scored below 0.5 on this composite air pollution risk index, with only a handful scoring 0.6 or higher. These hotspot census tracts are shown in black highlighted with a yellow outline in Figure 3 below. Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 Figure 3: Composite Air Pollution Risk Index Next, I developed an index for environmental justice communities based on demographic factors, following examples of the definitions for environmental justice communities used in Massachusetts State Law.3 The logic behind creating a definition for an environmental justice community is that these communities are particularly vulnerable to environmental harm, and therefore lack the resources needed to be resilient in the face of such stressors. I used the following variables as criteria to create an EJ Index: 65% or more below median income 25% or more minority 25% or more foreign born 25% or more under age 10 25% or more age 65 or older For median income, I used the county figure as the baseline, and I defined “minority” as those who responded to any of the non-white categories reported in Census 2000. To compute a composite environmental justice community index, I gave each census tract 1 point if it met any of the above criteria, and added these points together for a final index score of 0 to 5. Calculations were performed in an Excel spreadsheet by exporting the raw data from ArcMap to textfile, then converting to excel and re-importing the computed data back into ArcMap. The resulting index is therefore scaled from 0 to 5. The results are shown in Figure 4 below, and hotspot census tracts (with scores of 4; there were no census tracts that scored 5) are identified in blocked highlighted by a yellow outline. Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 Figure 4: Environmental Justice Demographics Hotspot Map By multiplying the scores of the air pollution risk and environmental justice community indexes together by joining the layer data and using ArcMap’s field calculator to compute data for a new field, I was able produce a combined index of air pollution risk and environmental justice communities that shows the key hotspot census tracts for Los Angeles county. The census tracts at highest risks are shown in red, highlighted by a yellow outline, in Figure 5 below, and most are clustered downtown. Figure 5: Combined Index of Air Pollution Risk and Environmental Justice Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 To continue further refining my hotspot analysis, I attempted to incorporate EPA sites of concern data into the combined air pollution and environmental justice map data. Since the EPA sites of concern dataset is incomplete, most of the sites do not contain information about the quantity or nature of pollutants that are being emitted. As a result, I was unfortunately forced to treat all EPA sites of concern as if they were identical, and this certainly skewed the results of my analysis. Nevertheless, I felt it important to try to incorporate point source pollution data (some of which was air pollution, but some of which was likely water pollution, solid waste pollution, or noise pollution) into my analysis because even without these details because polluting sites generally contribute to environmental blight within environmental justice communities whatever their specific impacts may be. I started by clipping the national EPA sites of concern database to the Los Angeles County area and mapping those points to get a general sense of clustering and concentration. This is shown in Figure 6 below. A simple visual inspection showed corridors along highways and clusters around certain communities, particularly in the downtown area. Figure 6: EPA Sites of Concern I used a combination of rasters, map algebra, computations in a series of exported and reimported Excel spreadsheets, the ArcMap spatial analyst Euclidian distance tools, buffers, dissolves and ArcMap field geometry calculations to produce the maps show in Figure 7 below. These maps show the sequence of progressives steps I took to combine together measurements of the distances from EPA sites of concern, the spatial “density” of these sites, the presence of schools within 500 meters of these sites, and the proportion of land area within a census tract lying with 500 meters of major highways. Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 Figure 7: EPA Sites of Concern Maps With this collection of measures I was able to compute a final composite index from 0 to 5, again by standardizing scales and multiplying them by the earlier 0 to 5 index, but the highest score of which was less than 3.5 so only scores up to 3.5 are shown in the legend. This combined both air pollution and environmental site data with environmental justice Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 communities (Figure 8 below). Based on this final composite index of environmental risk, I identified my hotspot cluster in downtown Los Angeles for further analysis of schools in the area (shown inset). Figure 8: Final Composite Environmental Risk Index After identifying my hotspot in downtown Los Angeles, I created new layouts in ArcMap and Google Earth to provide more detailed views of the area of concern. Figure 9 below shows the hotspot area, with the 10 census tracts in Los Angeles county that score above 2.6 on my composite index scale of 0 to 5 (only scores up to 3.5 are shown in the legend). Figure 9: Hotspot Analysis - Downtown Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 In addition to the ArcMap layout of the downtown hotspot, I also presented a 3D rendering of the area generated in Google Earth, shown in Figure 10 below. This provides a much richer context and sense of the spatial structure of the area than the 2D map from ArcMap alone. Figure 10: Google Earth 3D Rendering of Downtown Los Angeles To highlight key demographics from my census tract layers of the downtown hotspot area, I computed the percentage of minority resident, percentage below the poverty line, percentage foreign born, and percentage earning over $200,000 per year. These data are summarized in Figure 11 below. Figure 11: Hotspot Demographics With these stark demographics in mind, I returned to the downtown hotspot layout produced in ArcMap and added layers to show the locations of schools, EPA sites of concern, and the major highways in the area, as shown in Figure 12 below. Highways and EPA sites of concern were important to show because they were key factors contributing to the construction of my environmental risk index. Since environmental pollution does not respect census tract boundaries, I included schools that feel within a Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 500 meter buffer around the 10 highest-risk tracts as well as the schools within the census tracts themselves. Figure 12: Downton Hotspot with Schools, Sites of Concern and Major Highways I was then able to combine my ArcMap hotspot layout with my Google Earth layout using the “overlay” function in Google Earth. This produced a compelling final hotspot analysis layout that combines the best of both worlds, showing the graduate color symbology and buffer features of the ArcMap layout with the 3D context and dynamics of the Google Earth layout. I produced two 3D layouts from different perspectives, in order to provide a better view of the schools that are the target of my policy intervention, shown in Figure 13and Figure 14 below. Figure 13: ArcMap and Google Earth Combined Hotspot Layout Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 Figure 14: ArcMap and Google Earth Combined Hotspot Layout Policy Recommendations According to my analysis, Downtown Los Angeles is the area of highest environmental risk in Los Angeles county. Unfortunately, because the area sees an extraordinarily broad mix of uses, including high-rise and low-rise residential, high-rise and low-rise commercial, and heavy industrial, there is no single local policy that can be applied uniformly to all of these types of land use and socioeconomic activity to reduce environmental pollution. Furthermore, since the largest portion of environmental pollution in the area is air pollution, the problem is diffuse and environmentally destructive activity any one source (including millions of vehicles) spreads out to affect a large spatial area. For these reasons, my environmental justice policy recommendation for downtown Los Angeles schools is not to attempt to improve downtown Los Angeles air quality but rather to improve the indoor air quality of the schools themselves. During the academic year, children can spend up to one half of their waking hours inside schools, and efforts to improve indoor air quality within schools themselves therefore have the potential to significantly reduce total child exposure to environmental risk from air pollution. I recommend four low-cost, easily-implemented methods for dramatically improving indoor air quality that can be applied immediately in downtown schools: 1. Improved HVAC Air Filtration Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems process air within a building to improve indoor comfort. With additional filtration, they can also improve indoor safety by improving air quality. Ion exchange and HEPA (High Efficiency Particulate Air) filters can be fitted to existing HVAC systems at modest cost and can dramatically reduce air toxics. 2. Use low VOC paints and cleaning agents Chemicals used indoors react over time with air, sunlight and heat to “offgas”, or release, Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs). Paints and cleaning agents are particularly common sources of hazardous VOCs, as well as sources of inorganic contaminants such as lead, mercury and arsenic. Low VOC paints and environmentally friendly cleaning products are now readily available and competitively priced in bulk with regular chemicals, and are therefore another low-cost and easily implemented option for improving indoor air quality in schools. 3. Reduction of pesticide application Pesticides are applied both indoors (to kill insects and rodents) and outdoors (to control weeds), and children come into contact with these hazardous chemicals more frequently and at higher concentrations per unit body mass than adults because of their activity and frequent contact with the ground. Eliminating pesticide application and replacing pesticides with non-chemical alternatives (such as rodent traps and replacing imported lawn grasses with native plants) can reduce the presence of hazardous chemicals inside schools. 4. Bioremediation Bioremediation is the use of plants to absorb environmental toxics, and a number of species are effective at removing air pollutants such as formaldehyde and nitrous and sulfur oxides. Indoor plants also improve the psychological environment inside schools for added benefit. Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 Part 2 In Part 2 of my final project I attempted to test whether the findings of the 1987 United Church of Christ report Toxic Waste and Race in the United States that race is the best predictor of the location of hazardous waste sites would also be true for air pollution. I suspected that demographic factors would not explain all of the variation observed, since air pollution is mobile and diffuse and is therefore affected by weather and atmospheric conditions in ways that ground sites are not. Nevertheless, I suspected that there may still be some significant correlation between the location of air pollution in a major city like Los Angeles and the demographic composition of a given community. To undertake this analysis, I began with a null model that simply predicts that the air pollution in any census tract will equal the average air pollution level of all census tracts. I then progressively refined this analysis by adding variables to a multiple regression model. Some of these variables best fit into the model in non-linear form. The models added these variables as follows: Model 1: added percent of census tract within 500 meters of major highway Model 2: added EPA site density by census tract area (log form) Model 3: added percentage in poverty (quadratic form) Model 4: added percentage foreign born (quadratic form) Model 5: added percentage minority I applied the results of the regression models to a successive series of maps, shown below. The scheme of graduated color symbology is designed to indicate where the model predicts the air to be more polluted than it actually is (red) or cleaner than it actually is (green). Where the model neither over- nor under-predicts, the model shows white. These are therefore maps of the residuals of the regression models, and so the more evenly distributed and lighter the colors on the map, the more accurate the model is. As Figure 15 below shows, the models become progressively more accurate. However, the demographic variables only explain a small amount of variation compared to how much variation in air pollution as measured by the NATA dataset is explained by the presence of major highways and EPA sites of concern. Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 Figure 15 The multiple regression model can be written as the following equation: Y = 0.158 + 0.108*(near_highway) + 0.031*Ln(site_density) - 0.184*(in_poverty) + 0.339*(in_poverty)2 + 0.218*(foreign_born) - 0.177*(foreign_born)2 + 0.073*(minority) + 0.004*(minority)2 Adam Dorr – GIS Final Project Write Up – W11 Despite the fact that the multiple regression modeling done here does not indicate that demography has large predictive power for air pollution, this was nevertheless an extremely useful exercise in using GIS to visualize multiple regression modeling data. Visually representing multiple regression models by mapping their residuals is a very promising analytical technique and has been an extraordinarily useful learning exercise. I fully intend to use this type of analysis again in the future. SOURCES 1 Commission for Racial Justice. (1987). Toxic Waste and Race in the United States: a National Report on the Racial and Socio-Economic Characteristics of Communities with Hazardous Waste Sites. United Church of Christ, 1987. 2 US EPA. 2002 National-Scale Air Toxics Assessment. http://www.epa.gov/nata2002/ 3 Commonwealth of Massachusetts. The Environmental Justice (EJ) Policy of the Executive Office of Environmental Affairs. http://www.mass.gov/Eoeea/docs/eea/ej/ej_factsheet_english.pdf