SUPPLEMENTAL ONLINE MATERIAL FOR VAN HOUTAN, HALLEY, AND MARKS; “TERRESTRIAL BASKING SEA TURTLES ARE RESPONDING TO SPATIOTEMPORAL SST PATTERNS” In this Supplement, we present more extensive information on the methods, additional figures and tables that provide additional quantitative data and other information. Fourier-series inversion formulas The following inversion formulas were used to find the components Ak and Bk of the Fourier series given in the equations from the manuscript text, π π΄π = ∫ π¦(π‘) cos[ππ0 π‘] ππ‘ 0 π π΅π = ∫ π¦(π‘) sinβ‘[ππ0 π‘]ππ‘ 0 Here ω0 = 2π/T is the fundamental angular frequency, and T the associated cycle time (1 year), while y(t) is the value of the data observed at time t. Since the data are a weekly series we have y1, y2,… , y52 for t = 1, 2, … 52 weeks. The integrals are approximated by a sum, with dtο ο οtο =1 week. Thus: 52 π΄π ≅ ∑ π¦π‘ cosβ‘[ππ0 π‘] π‘=1 52 π΅π ≅ ∑ π¦π‘ sinβ‘[ππ0 π‘] π‘=1 A thorough summary of periodic models in general and Fourier series in particular is available in reference [17]. Figure S1. Chronology estimates for bone stress marks (LAGs) given known dates of OTC marking and death. By definition, accretion of bone tissue is not linear or constant (light grey line), and it has been argued that it likely follows an annual cycle, such that lines of arrested growth (LAGs) appear in seasonal times of stress, and consequently growth rates slow. Since green turtle basking in Hawaii is on apparently similar seasonal cycle as SST stress (Figure 1b), it makes sense that such stressors might be visible in the bones tissues an on a similar schedule. As estimated from the Fourier model fits, this peak stress period would be from late March to mid-May each year. Given this, we applied the SST Fourier model to modulate the accretion rate of bone tissues (blue lines, see Materials and Methods), providing an estimate of the schedule of bone LAGs (orange shaded areas) between the validated times of oxytetracycline (OTC) marking and death (orange points). The result plotted here shows a hypothetical schedule for seasonal variability in bone growth, according to SST forcing. We display this for 3 Hawaiian green turtles whose stained, humeri bone cross-sections were provided to us as images by the lead author of a previous study on skeletochronology [13]. We analyze the 3 turtles that had the shortest spans between initial capture and death, to minimize the potential error from interannual growth variation. From these 3 turtles, we estimated the chronology of 6 LAGs, 5 of which were between the bookended, validated dates and one immediately proximate. In addition, we chronicled one LAG deemed “faint” by the authors of that study. Figure S2. Annual SST averages for 1990-2014 for the 11 major global green turtle populations and the global series average. Turtle site data are from NOAA Ocean Watch server (available at http://oceanwatch.pifsc.noaa.gov/las) and are AVHRR satellite data from January 1990 to January 2014. Global series is the NASA GISS series (available at http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/) discussed in reference [16]. We excluded the El Niño year 1997 from the Galapagos series due to that anomaly. Points are the annual surface temperature averages, with fitted model being a simple first-order GLM, with both the form and goodness-of-fit displayed. The SST series from all turtle populations are warming (white panels); some at alarming rates. These trends are especially a concern when compared to the global series (blue panel). All x-axis scaling is constrained between plots. All data available as supplemental data file. Chart Nester Nesting Symbol Abundance Rookery Green turtle Population M NP NI SA NA WP A SP IP SI EP Medi terra nea n Centra l North Pa ci fi c North Indi a n South Atla nti c North Atla nti c Centra l Wes t Pa ci fi c Southwes t Pa ci fi c Centra l South Pa ci fi c Ea s t Indi a n Wes t Pa ci fi c Southwes t Indi a n Ea s t Pa ci fi c 248 3,697 17,743 29,133 131,790 1,441 30,640 1,029 14,915 25,258 3,603 Akya ta n, Turkey Fr. Fri ga te Shoa l s , USA Ra s Sha rma , Yemen Pol i ã o, Gui nea Bi s s a u Tortuguero, Cos ta Ri ca Ul i thi Atol l , FSM Ra i ne Is l a nd, Aus tra l i a Sci l l y Atol l , Fr. Pol ynes i a Wel l es l ey, Aus tra l i a Europa Is l a nd, Fra nce Ga l a pa gos , Ecua dor Habitat Lat Lon 36.6 23.8 14.8 11.3 10.4 9.9 -11.6 -16.5 -16.6 -22.4 0.0 35.2 -166.2 50.0 -16.1 -83.5 139.9 144.0 -154.6 139.8 40.4 -90.5 Winter SST lo 95% ave hi 95% n 21.3 24.6 26.6 24.8 27.1 27.5 25.3 27.3 26.1 25.4 22.5 22.5 25.2 27.4 26.3 27.8 28.6 26.6 27.8 27.1 26.3 23.9 23.2 25.8 28.1 27.4 28.5 29.3 27.7 28.5 27.8 26.9 26.3 316 315 313 314 328 322 319 320 312 315 302 1990-2014 SST min lo 95% hi 95% max n 14.6 21.2 22.9 21.2 25.5 25.8 22.2 24.8 20.4 22.5 18.8 15.8 22.4 24.6 22.8 26.3 26.9 24.0 26.1 22.0 23.1 20.3 29.4 27.8 30.3 29.5 29.7 30.0 29.7 29.6 31.3 29.7 28.4 31.0 28.5 31.6 30.0 30.9 30.8 30.8 30.6 32.4 30.7 31.1 1221 1178 1182 1048 863 1007 1032 1085 1141 1213 1143 ΔSST ΔSST yr -1 1.2 0.8 0.7 2.2 1.0 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.048 0.034 0.029 0.090 0.044 0.059 0.059 0.023 0.011 0.029 0.035 Table S1. Full results from the global green turtle population SST analysis. The primary metrics of interest are the 95% interval for winter SST and annual SST, and in addition, the extreme annual values. ΔSST is the observed change in the linear SST changes during the entire period displayed in Figure S2, and discussed in the Materials and Methods. Populations, locations, and nester abundance are from reference [3]. Hawaii has the coolest peak SST of all populations as expressed in terms of the extreme peak (28.5 °C) and upper 95% interval (27.8 °C) of annual SST. Over these 24 years of data, SST profiles at these sites increased on average 1.0 °C (range 0.3-2.2 °C), which amounts to 4.1 °C century-1, but as high as 9.0 °C century-1 (Polião, Guinea Bissau). This average increase is 3 times (range 0.8–6.3 times) the average global surface temperature change (0.01 °C yr-1) during this period, based on the data from reference [16].