KEY BUDGET DRIVER FORECASTS 2013-14 to 2016-17 Key Budget Driver: Indicator: Prepared by: Section A: Tuition Annual % Change Resource Planning Industry/Sector Trends Undergraduate Tuition Tuition fees for Canadian full-time undergraduate students increased 4.3% for the 2011-12 academic year. This increase is slightly more than the previous year’s increase of 4.0%. In comparison, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by only 2.7% between July 2010 and July 2011. The highest average undergraduate fees are paid by students in dentistry ($16,024), followed by medicine and pharmacy, with the highest average increase (8.8%) occurring in pharmacy tuition rates. Graduate Tuition Nationally, graduate student tuition increases were close to those of undergraduate students, averaging 3.7% in 2011-12. The most expensive program is the executive master of business administration (EMBA) at $37,501 compared to the regular MBA at $21,528. Undergraduate and Graduate Tuition Rates and Percentage Change Undergraduate Canada Newfoundland and Labrador Prince Edward Island Nova Scotia New Brunswick Quebec Ontario Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta British Columbia 2010-11 2011-12 $5,146 $5,366 $2,649 $5,131 $5,497 $5,647 $2,411 $6,316 $3,593 $5,431 $5,505 $4,758 Graduate % Change % Change 2010-11 2011-12 4.3% $5,401 $5,599 3.7% $2,649 0.0% $2,456 $2,456 0.0% $5,258 $5,731 $5,853 $2,519 $6,640 $3,645 $5,601 $5,662 $4,852 2.5% 4.3% 3.6% 4.5% 5.1% 1.4% 3.1% 2.9% 2.0% $3,913 $7,157 $5,034 $2,601 $7,181 $4,132 $3,434 $4,672 $7,178 $3,992 $7,326 $5,258 $2,731 $7,578 $4,173 $3,504 $4,676 $7,303 2.0% 2.4% 4.4% 5.0% 5.5% 1.0% 2.0% 0.1% 1.7% International Students Undergraduate tuition for international students increased by an average of 4.3%, the same increase that was seen by their Canadian counterparts, as compared with an increase of 5.2% in the prior year. The international fee average for 2011-12 is $17,581. The largest increase (6.1%) was seen in Ontario. For international graduate students, the average fee increase was 1.1% (to $12,802), as compared to the 3.7% increase seen by Canadian graduate students. Office of Resource Planning, University of Alberta 09/02/16 Compulsory Fees Compulsory fees for services such as athletics, health services, and student associations are also on the rise. On average, these bundled fees increased by 5.5%. The Canadian average these fees paid by undergraduate students was $820, ranging from $212 in Newfoundland and Labrador to $1,399 in Alberta. Graduate student compulsory fees ranged from $229 in Newfoundland and Labrador to $1,133 in Alberta. Source: Statistics Canada – Survey no 3123 Section B: Trends within the University of Alberta Under the Public Post-secondary Institution’s Tuition Fee Regulation, tuition increases are limited to increases to the annual change in the Alberta Consumer Price Index (CPI). Specifically, the annual change in CPI for the 12 month period ending June 30th. For 2013-14, this CPI was 2.0%. In spring 2010, the University of Alberta instituted a mandatory non-instructional fee. This fee continued into 2012-13 at $148 per term for full time undergraduate and graduate students. The continuation of this fee will support an extensive range of non-instructional services provided by the University on behalf of students, e.g. risk management programs, support for common student space and sustainability initiatives. Tuition Increases 2006-07 6.40% Province rolled-back to 2004-05 rates. 2007-08 3.3% New tuition fee policy limiting tuition to Alberta CPI. 2008-09 4.6% 2009-10 4.1% 2010-11 1.5% 2011-12 0.35% Increase based on Alberta CPI July – June 2012-13 1.45% 2013-14 Section C: 2.0% Key Budget Driver Forecasts Indicator: Annual % Change Indicator CPI Alberta (July to June)1 CPI Alberta (September to August)2 Annual Non-Instructional Fees3 Annual Average Tuition (Arts and Sciences, Undergrad)* 2011/12 2012/13 Actual Actual 0.35% 1.45% 0.80% 1.60% $724 $735 $5,195 $5,270 2013/14 Forecast 2.18% 2.0% $749 2014/15 Forecast 2.3% 2.3% $766 2015/16 Forecast 2.2% 2.2% $782 2016/17 Forecast 2.0% 2.0% $797 $5,384 $5,507 $5,628 $5,740 Note: (1) Instructional tuition increases are based on the July to June CPI, while (2) non-instructional increases are based on the September to August CPI. (3) Mandatory non-instructional fees include Registration and transcript, Athletic Services, CoSSS, Student Services, and Health Services Fees. * Increases based on CPI Key Budget Drivers and assume no new program differential fees. * The same forecast is used for both CPI values above as only one CPI forecast period is available Office of Resource Planning, University of Alberta 09/02/16