Title of the Paper CLIMATE CHANGE AND SOCIAL ISSUES Abstract Prasidh Raj Singh1 Manu Maheshwari2 In the modern era Climate change has become one of the Global problems which directly or indirectly affect the people at large. Climate change mainly affects the agricultural, Costal resources, energy, forestry, tourism and water. If climate change turns to be large, there is a limit to how much damage climate can do to the economy. The social impact of climate change is very noxious which hamper the economy at large and also become the sources of major problem. Climate change represents a major challenge for employment policies both in terms of gains and losses, according to a February 2007 study conducted by the European Trade Union Confederation (ETUC) and the Social Development Agency (SDA) for the European Commission. Even the most optimistic climate-change scenario will have a major impact on economic activities and employment. The economy of developing countries is mainly depended upon the agriculture and forestry sector. They also tend to be low altitudes where the impacts to these sectors will be the most severe. The low latitudes tend to be too hot for the most profitable agricultural activities and any further warming will further reduce productivity. Up to 80 percent of the damages from climate change may be concentrated in low‐latitude countries. Climate change will not affect the global economy only, but will simply reduce the quality of life. In the recent era Asian countries faces number of problem related to Climate change. The main aim of this paper is to examine the current situation of climate change & social impacts and come up with the possible solution in this regard. Keywords: Global Problem, European Trade Union Confederation, Social Development Agency, Developing Countries, latitude countries, Climate change Prasidh Raj Sing – Student at National Law University, Orissa, India, Email: 09a033@nluo.ac.in Prasidh_raj16@yahoo.co.in , Mobile no +91 9583237911 2 Manu Maheshwari – Student at National Law University, Orissa, India, Email: 09m27@nluo.ac.in , Mobile no. +91 9439506555 1 INTRODUCTION Greenhouse gases are chemical compounds in the atmosphere. They allow sunlight to enter the atmosphere where it warms the Earth's surface and is reradiated back into the atmosphere as longer wave energy or heat. Greenhouse gases absorb this heat and trap it in the lower atmosphere to warm up the Earth's surface. Since the industrial revolution there has been a rapid increase in the production of human-made greenhouse gases – in particular carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide. Fossil fuel combustion, increasingly intensive agriculture, and an expanding global human population have been the primary causes for these changes. Climate change is undoubtedly the most serious environmental crisis Earth has ever witnessed. As the planet enters what many are terming the ‘Anthropocene’ period in its geological history (Crutzen and Stoermer 2000) Climate change is a major challenge for agriculture, food security and rural livelihoods for billions of people including the poor in the Asia-Pacific region. Agriculture is the sector most vulnerable to climate change due to its high dependence on climate and weather and because people involved in agriculture tend to be poorer compared with urban resident. Climate is an important factor of agricultural productivity. The fundamental role of agriculture in human welfare, concern has been expressed by many organizations and others regarding the potential effects of climate change on agricultural productivity. Interest of this matter has motivated a substantial body of research on climate change and agriculture over the past decade. Climate change is expected to agricultural and livestock production, hydrologic balances, input supplies and other components of agricultural systems. 1. Climate change vis-à-vis Agriculture Sector The rise in global temperature owing to climate change will affect agriculture in strikingly different ways in the lower and higher latitudes. While in temperate latitudes a rise in temperature will help developed countries increase food productivity, it will have adverse effects in India and other countries in the tropics. The agricultural sector employed about 1.4 billion of the world’s 3.4 billion workers in 2008. The sector also comprises the largest reservoir of workers in any economic sector looking for higher wages and more opportunity. (Philip 2010) The climate change effects on agriculture will differ across the world determining how climate change will affect agriculture is complex; varieties of effects are likely to occur. Change in temperature as well as changes in rainfall patterns and the increase in CO levels projected to accompany climate change will have important effects on global agriculture especially in the tropical regions. It is expected that crop productivity will alter due to these changes in climate and due to weather events and changes in patterns of pest and diseases. The suitable land areas for cultivation of key staple crops could undergo geographic shifts in response to climate change. Climate Change Direct effect on crop Production Indirect Effect Social-Economics Sea level rise Food Demand Floods & Drought Costs and benefits Although in India agriculture contributes only 21% of India's GDP, its importance in the country's economic, social, and political fabric goes well beyond this indicator. Rural areas are still home to some 72% of India's 1.1 billion people, most of whom are poor and marginalised and rely on agriculture as their main source of income (World Bank 2009).Smaller farms are dependent on timely and sufficient rainfall during the monsoon for high crop yields. However with the changing climate, rainfall patters have become erratic and reduced leaving farmers exposed to many risks including droughts, floods, disease of both crops and animals and unpredictable market irregularities (Venkateswarlu 2009). Indeed it is estimated that every 1˚C increase in temperature is likely to lead to a 5-10% reduction in yields of some crops (Pachauri 2009) Food security has deteriorated since 1995 and reductions in child malnutrition are unlikely to reach targets set by the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) by 2015. Climate change will have a significant impact on food security and malnutrition, as changes in patterns of extreme weather events will affect the stability of, and indeed access to, food supplies (Cohen 2008).The impact of climate change on agriculture could result in problems with food security and may threaten the livelihood activities upon which much of the population depends. Climate change can affect crop yields (both positively and negatively), as well as the types of crops that can be grown in certain areas, by impacting agricultural inputs such as water for irrigation, amounts of solar radiation that affect plant growth, as well as the prevalence of pests. On the other hand Mali is a country in Sahelian Africa, where 80 percent of the population lives on agriculture and pastoral activities. The major crops produced for domestic consumption include: millet, sorghum, rice, maize, and legumes. Cotton, vegetables, and tubers are produced as cash crops (Reed 2009). Exported agricultural goods include cotton, livestock, and mangoes. Livestock and fisheries are traded, but also serve as a source of wealth. Agricultural activities are likely to be severely affected by climate change, namely through increased temperatures and likelihood of drought, as a result of reduced rainfall, and because of a shrinking rainfall season. These changes in turn affect agricultural and livestock productivity, food security, and food prices, and render agricultural production a daily struggle. 1.1Climate change can influence agricultural production in a number of ways. One can roughly Group the drivers into six categories: Temperature as it affects plants, animals, pests, and water supplies. For example, temperature alterations directly affect crop growth rates, livestock performance and appetite, pest incidence, and water supplies in soil and reservoirs. Precipitation as it alters, for example, the water directly available to crops, the drought-stress that crops are placed under, and the supply of forage for animals, animal production conditions, irrigation water supplies, aquaculture production conditions, and river flows supporting barge transport. Changes in atmospheric CO2 as it influence the growth of crop plants and weeds by altering one of the basic inputs for photosynthesis. Extreme events as they influence production conditions destroy trees or crops, drown livestock, alter water supplies, and influence waterborne transport and ports. Sea level rise as it influences the suitability of ports and waterborne transport, inundates producing lands, and may alter aquaculture production conditions. Climate-change-motivated greenhouse gas net-emissions reduction efforts as they would influence the desirability of production processes and the costs of inputs, plus add new opportunities. From the above observation it is almost clear that climate change not only affect the agriculture sector but it indirectly affect the economy of one country. The effect of climate change on agriculture trade lows, and the resultant impact on employment and GDP, for some of the most developing and undeveloped countries across the world. Most of the countries that are expected to experience substantial declines in agricultural output because of climate change are also highly dependent on agricultural export earnings as a proportion of GDP. Some of the most dependent agricultural economies face an estimated loss of more than 50 percent of their total agricultural output by 2080, which directly impact on agriculture output. Conclusion Climate change as we all know become one of the major concerns related to agriculture sector which directly affect the economy at large and also affects the live hood of thousands of people across the globe. Now it’s high time to take the initiative in this regard and implement the mitigation programme which includes, 1. Long-term adaptation measures may include: changes in land use to maximise yield under new conditions; 2. Application of new technologies; new land management techniques; and water-use efficiency techniques. 3. It is necessary to make technology cheaper, more efficient and accessible to farmer in order to mitigate the climate change impact on agriculture sector. On the other hand Impacts on regional and local food supplies in some low latitude regions could amount to large percentage changes in current production. Climate addition, warming beyond that reflected in current studies may impose greater costs in terms of total food supply Reilly and Schummelpfenning (1999) define the following ‘major classes’ of adaptation, which include adapting to: seasonal changes and changing sowing dates and different varieties or species. Actions required may include those related to: Water supply and irrigation systems; Other inputs (fertiliser, tillage methods, grain drying, and other field operations); New crop varieties; Forest re management and/or other natural disaster Instead of that we should also includes, a new varieties: drought/heat resistance, new farm management practise, change in land use and watershed management should also be taken into consideration. References: 1. Cumhur Aydinalp and Malcolm S. Cresser, The Effects of Global Climate Change on Agriculture, American-Eurasian J. Agric. & Environ. Sci., 3 (5): 672-676, 2008, American-Eurasian J. Agric. & Environ. Sci., 3 (5): 672-676, 2008 2. A. Raneses, 1995. World agriculture and climate Economic Report No. 703. Natural Resources an Environmental Division, Economic Research Service U.S. Department of Agriculture’s, Washington, DC. Darwin, R., M. Tsigas, J. Lewandrowski anchange: Economic adaptations. Agricultural. 3. S.Mahendra Dev, Climate Change, Rural Livelihoods and Agriculture (focus on Food Security) in Asia-Pacific Region, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai August 2011, http://www.igidr.ac.in/pdf/publication/WP-2011-014.pdf. 4. Cohen, M. J. et. al. 2008. Impact of climate change and bioenergy on nutrition. International Food Policy Research Institute. 5. Pachauri, R. K. 2009. Climate change and its implications for India’s fragile ecosystems. The Human Impact of Climate Change: Policy Notes for Parliamentarians. CLRA: New Delhi 6. Venkateswarlu, B. 2009. Climate Change and Sustainable Agriculture: Securing the Small and Marginal Farmer in India.The Human Impact of Climate Change: Policy Notes for Parliamentarians. CLRA: New Delhi 7. Crutzen, P. J., and E. F. Stoermer. 2000. The "Anthropocene". Global Change Newsletter. 41: 12-13. 8. Philip Martin, Climate change, Agriculture Development and mitigation, the German Marshall fund of united states, http://www.gmfus.org/galleries/defaultfile/PMartin_V2.pdf 9. Reed, D (ed.), (2009). h e Institutional Architecture for Financing a Global Climate Deal: An Options Paper, Technical Working Group for the Danish Government. 10. Porter, G, Bird, N, Kaur, N and Peskett, L (2008). New Finance for Climate Change and the Environment. Gland/Berlin: World Wildlife Fund/Heinrichöll Stiftung. Obtained from: http:// www.odi.org.uk/resources/download/2980.pdf 11. Reilly, J M and Schimmelpfennig D (1999). Agricultural Impact Assessment, Vulnerability, and the Scope for Adaptation. Climatic Change, 43(4):745–788. 12. Brooks, N., Adger, W.N., Kelly, P.M. (2005) The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the national level and implications for adaptation. Global Environmental Change, 15, 151-163 13. Mitchell, T. et al. (2008), “Rural disaster risk-poverty interface”, background paper for Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2009, United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction, Geneva. 14. Sabates-Wheeler, R. et al. (2008), “Rural disaster risk – poverty Interfaces”, report prepared for Global Assessment Report on Disaster Reduction, IDS, University of Sussex, Brighton