Sooyeon Kang April 8, 2012 DHP 207: GIS for International Applications Assignment 8: Project Proposal and Data Sources 1. Project Proposal: Vulnerability Mapping of North Korea a. Which areas in North Korea are most susceptible and vulnerable to starvation? i. Considering natural disasters such as flooding and famine (crop failure) ii. Structural factors such as road networks and access to public facilities b. Where have NGOs worked inside North Korea to deliver food-related humanitarian assistance over the years? (Possible question if data is acquired in time). 2. References: a. Forte, F., Strobl, R. O., & Pennetta, L. (2006). A methodology using GIS, aerial photos and remote sensing for loss estimation and flood vulnerability analysis in the SupersanoRuffano-Nociglia Graben, southern Italy. Environmental Geology, 50, 581–594. i. Although this article presents a good methodology of loss estimation and flood vulnerability analysis, it is not very useful to the case of North Korea because of the lack of access to aerial photos and remote sensing methods. However, this article was helpful in showing the level of in-depth analysis possible using direct mapping and indirect mapping techniques, in combination with other data sources. b. Jenelius, E. and L.-G. Mattsson (2006). Developing a Methodology for Road Network Vulnerability Analysis, Molde University College. Retrieved on: 2 April 2012. <http://home.abe.kth.se/~jenelius/vulnerability/Paper_Molde_2006.pdf>. i. This paper presents a methodology to analyze and quantify transportation network vulnerability. I could use similar methodology to identify access to alternatives from vulnerable regions – considering the travel time, land cover, and road networks. c. O’Brien, K., Leichenko, R., Kelkar, U., Venema, H., Aandahl, G., Tompkins, H., et al. (2004). Mapping vulnerability to multiple stressors: climate change and globalization in India. Global Environmental Change, 14, 303-313. i. I found this article helpful because it takes into account confounding variables to vulnerability. It tries to present a systematic methodology to study climate change vulnerability in the context of multiple stressors, and I would like to do something similar with my vulnerability to starvation analysis. It would benefit the analysis to measure the adaptive capacity as a composite of multiple indicators – weighting them according to their significant provided by research. d. Tran, P., Shaw, R., Chantry, G. and Norton, J. (2009). GIS and local knowledge in disaster management: a case study of flood risk mapping in Viet Nam. Disasters, 33: 152–169. i. This paper used a base map of the overlay of transportation system, river and steam network, commune boundary, and land cover to map flood risk in Viet Nam. It identified 6 main physical factors that contributed to household flood risk: house types; 1999 flood level; 2004 flood level; household proximity to river; household proximity to safe shelter; and household proximity to main roads. Although I do not have accessible flood level data, I found the study helpful in terms of giving relative weight to the factors that contributed to household flood risk and I found it insightful that the flood risk map was created considering the interactions between natural hazards, exposures and vulnerable conditions. e. Zhang, Z. and K. Virrantaus, K. (2010) Analysis of Vulnerability of Road Networks on the Basis of Graph Topology and Related Attribute Information, 13th AGILE International Conference on Geographic Information Science 2010 (presentation). Retrieved on: 6 April 2012 <http://agile2010.dsi.uminho.pt/pen/PosterAbstracts_PDF%5C76_DOC.pdf>. i. This presentation uses the multi-attribute value theory as a tool of decision analysis. The effect of different attributes are calculated and combined to evaluate the preparedness for crisis management. 3. Methods: a. Georeferencing – maps from CIA reports regarding floods in North Korea1 b. Proximity analysis – types of facility near areas of high flooding c. Overlay analysis – using the newly acquired data on North Korea (M-drive) and land cover data, analyze different types of points and polygons that fall within areas more vulnerable to starvation d. Density analysis – If I am able to gather enough NGO data, I would like to run a density analysis to learn more about the spread of NGO work over the region e. Suitability map using raster calculator – using individual factor maps, overlay them to create a vulnerability to starvation map. 4. Data Layers: Description of Layer 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 1 Land Cover Administrative boundaries Transportation network (streets and railroad lines) Population Elevation North Korean Provinces Receiving Heavy Rain in 2010 Source of Layer Basemap M:\datasets\Country\NorthKorea M:\datasets\Country\NorthKorea DPRK 2008 Population Census – National Report Global Digital Elevation Model (SRTM) “North Korea: Assessing the Impact of Flooding on Agricultural Output,” CIA Open Source Works, 15 December, 2010. (10). 6 April 2012. <http://www.fas.org/irp/cia/product/nk-flood.pdf>. “North Korea: Assessing the Impact of Flooding on Agricultural Output,” CIA Open Source Works, 15 December, 2010. (10). 6 April 2012. <http://www.fas.org/irp/cia/product/nk-flood.pdf>.