AP Statistics Significance Tests for Means One Sample Z-Test - for means when the population standard deviation is given. Called a one sample z test for means; (“Z Test” in calculator) P – Parameter = μ. Identify the Population when stating parameter. Process – identify the test A – Assumptions & Conditions 1. Random SRS/randomized experiment/ nonbias sample 2. Normality a. Given raw data, make a graph. If it is a small sample, it should be somewhat symmetrical and you can proceed with z procedure. If raw data is very skewed and the sample is smaller than 30, then you cannot proceed with z procedure. If the sample size is bigger than 30, then you can proceed with the z procedure according to the Central Limit Theorem. b. If not given raw data, use common sense. If the sample is large, the central limit theorem applies and you may proceed with the procedure. If small, think about whether the distribution should be normal. 3. Independence check to see if the population is at least 10 times larger than the sample by adding a 0 to the sample size and verifying the population size. S – Statistical Work Sampling distribution that you use for the calculation has a mean of μ and standard deviation of σ/√n N(𝜇, 𝜎/√𝑛) The test statistic is 𝑧= 𝑥−𝜇 𝜎/√𝑛 Determine p-value from Z using either Table A or calculator with 2nd VARS 2: normalcdf(lower bound, upper bound). ***If two-sided, multiply by your answer by 2*** S – Summary Decision make a decision based on your p-value and alpha level. “Because the p-value is less than the alpha level of ________, we can reject the null hypothesis.” OR “Because the p-value is not less than the alpha level of ________, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.” Conclusion when p-value is lower than alpha: “We can conclude that ____________ (state alternative hypothesis). *When p-value is higher than alpha: “We cannot conclude that ____________(state alternative hypothesis). One Sample T-test - for means when the population standard deviation is not given. P – Parameter = μ. Identify the Population when stating parameter. Process – identify the test A – Assumptions & Conditions same as Z-Test (Random, Normal, Independent) S – Statistical Work Sampling distribution that you use for the calculation has a mean of μ and standard error of s/√n N(𝜇, 𝑠/√𝑛) The test statistic is 𝑡= 𝑥−𝜇 𝑠/√𝑛 Determine p-value from t using either Table B or calculator with 2nd VARS tcdf(lower bound, upper bound). ***If two-sided, multiply by your answer by 2*** BE SURE TO GIVE DEGREES OF FREEDOM. S – Summary Decision make a decision based on your p-value and alpha level. “Because the p-value is less than the alpha level of ________, we can reject the null hypothesis.” OR “Because the p-value is not less than the alpha level of ________, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.” Conclusion when p-value is lower than alpha: “We can conclude that ____________ (state alternative hypothesis). *When p-value is higher than alpha: “We cannot conclude that ____________(state alternative hypothesis). Example 1) The environmental protection agency has determined that safe drinking water should contain no more than 1.3 mg/liter of copper. You are testing water from a new source, and take 30 water samples. The mean copper content is 1.36mg/liter with a standard deviation of 0.15. Do these samples provide convincing evidence that the water from this source contains unsafe levels of copper? P A S S