Algebra 1 Summer Institute 2014 Data Measurement and Variation Uncertainty Summary Goals Participant Handouts Participants will make Distinguish possible measurements using errors in measurement different measurement Understand the devices. Variation, or difference between differences in measured random error and data, occurs for a number of systematic error reasons. Participants will Realize there are human conjecture on the possible errors when measuring reasons for variation Materials Technology Source Poster paper Markers 12-inch ruler Tape Measure LCD Projector Facilitator Laptop GeoGebra file “adjusting lengths” 1. Data Measurement and Variation Uncertainty 2. Measuring Reaction Time and Error Analysis Annenberg Learner website Estimated Time 90 minutes Mathematics Standards Common Core State Standards for Mathematics MAFS.6.SP.1: Develop understanding of statistical variability 1.1: Recognize that a statistics question as one that anticipates variability in the data related to the question and accounts for it in the answers. MAFS.6.SP.2: Summarize and describe distributions 2.5: Summarize numerical data sets in relation to their context, such as by: a. Reporting the number of observations b. Describing the nature of the attribute under investigation, including how it was measured and its units of measurement. Standards for Mathematical Practice 1. Make sense of problems and persevere in solving them 2. Reason abstractly and Quantitatively 3. Construct viable arguments and critique the reasoning of others 5. Use appropriate tools strategically 6. Attend to precision 1 Algebra 1 Summer Institute 2014 Instructional Plan Variation, or differences in measured data, occurs for a number of reasons. Examining variation is a crucial part of data analysis and interpretation. In fact, explaining the variation in data is as important as measuring the data itself. 1. Place the participants in groups of two and ask them to find out the length of the room they are in. Participants will record their answers in inches using three forms of measurements: their stride, a 12-inch ruler, a tape measure. (Slide 2) 2. After all measurement are taken, participants will share their results, record the information given in a chart: Group Stride Ruler Tape 3. After all results have been recorded, have a class discussion about the difference in results. The following questions are suggested for the discussion: (Slide 3) a. Are the measurements obtained with the strides exactly the same? Can you explain why there may be differences? b. Are the measurements obtained with the ruler exactly the same? Can you explain why there may be differences? c. Are the measurements obtained with the tape exactly the same? Can you explain why there may be differences? d. Did you get similar answers using the different measuring tools? Why or why not? Did you get identical answers using the different measuring tools? Why or why not? e. Which measuring tool do you think gave you more accurate results? Why? f. Do you think a tape measure would be more or less accurate than a ruler or a tape measure? Why? If you have a tape measure available, use it to measure the same room five times and see how the results compare with your previous measurements. 4. Measurement is never perfect, and we can always expect measurement errors in our data. Our goal, of course, is to keep these errors to a minimum. For this reason, we need to be aware of the various sources and causes of measurement error. Participants should measure the room again with the device they feel is the most accurate. Record their results. Is their second measurement the same as the first measurement? If there is a difference, why might be some of the reasons for it? Have a class discussion, write down on the board or laptop their given reasons. (Slide 4) 2 Algebra 1 Summer Institute 2014 Random error is when variations in the measurements occur without a predictable pattern. If repeated measurements are made, random errors cause the measured value to vary, sometime above and below the actual measured value. A source of random errors comes from reading the scale on a measurement tool like a thermometer or tape measure. The errors are random rather than biased: They neither understate nor overstate the actual measurement. 5. In contrast, measurement bias, or systematic error, favors a particular result. A measurement process is biased if it systematically overstates or understates the true value of the measurement. Consider our scale example again. If a scale is not properly calibrated, it might consistently understate weight. In this case, the measuring device -- the scale -- produces the bias. The important thing to keep in mind is that biased measurements invariably produce unreliable results. Ask the participants to compare their tape measures and rules to verify if they have the same calibration 6. In any statistical investigation, we can always attribute some of the variation in data to measurement error, part of which can result from the measurement instrument itself. But human mistakes, especially recording errors (e.g., misreading a dial, incorrectly writing a number, not observing an important event, misjudging a particular behavior, position of observer), can also often contribute to the variability of the measurement and thus to the results of a study. Ask participants for suggestions on how to change the experiment to improve their results. Are those suggestions reducing systematic or random errors? (Slide 5, 6) 7. The difference between what individuals think they see (and how they see it) and the objective reality of what they have observed is called "visual error." These errors in perception, which can significantly misrepresent reality, are a natural consequence of being human. (Slide 7) In this Interactive Activity, participants will have an opportunity to see how well they make two visual judgments. Ask them to open the GeoGebra filed called “adjusting lengths”. Would you say that the errors made in the visual judgment of the interactive activity were due to random error, or to bias? Why or why not? Optional: in order to reinforce the difference between errors and the impact of human error, the “Measuring Reaction Time and Error Analysis” could be done. Participants should be in groups of 2. Have a partner hold the ruler vertically with the “0 cm” mark just above your fingers and release it with no warning. Try to close your fingers as quickly as possible to catch the falling ruler. We can use the 3 Algebra 1 Summer Institute 2014 distance the ruler falls before you catch it to calculate how long it takes you to react to the motion and close your fingers to stop the falling ruler. We’ll find several sources of uncertainty and we’ll practice using our new understanding of uncertainty during these calculations. (Slide 8) 8. Conclusion: review the different types of errors. What type could be more easily fixed? (Slide 9) 4