LOCAL WORKFORCE INVESTMENT AREAS

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LOCAL WORKFORCE INVESTMENT AREAS
LONG-TERM INDUSTRY AND OCCUPATIONAL PROJECTIONS
2012-2022
Asa Hutchinson, Governor
State of Arkansas
Daryl Bassett, Director
Department of Workforce Services
Published By:
Department of Workforce Services
Labor Market Information
Occupational Career Information
“Equal Opportunity Employer/Program”
“Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to individuals with disabilities.”
P.O. Box 2981
Little Rock, AR 72203
Phone: (501) 682-3123
Fax: (501) 682-3186
TTD/TTY Voice: 1-800-285-1121
TDD: 1-800-285-1131
State of Arkansas Home Page: http://www.arkansas.gov
Department of Workforce Services Home Page: http://www.dws.arkansas.gov
Labor Market Information Web Portal: http://www.discover.arkansas.gov
Except for ranking tables, the projections contained in this publication are summary level. To find a more detailed industry or occupation, go to the Labor Market
Information Library at http://www.discover.arkansas.gov.
2
Table of
Contents
Explanation of Industry Projections Data
…………………………………….
5
Explanation of Occupational Projections Data
…………………………………….
5
Definition of Important Terms
…………………………………….
6
Methodology
…………………………………….
7
Total Employment Projections by Workforce Investment Area
…………………………………….
8
Percent Growth of Total Employment
by Workforce Investment Area (Chart)
…………………………………….
9
Local Workforce Investment Areas Map
…………………………………….
10
Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile
…………………………………….
11
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
…………………………………….
12
Industry Rankings
…………………………………….
13
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
…………………………………….
15
Occupational Rankings
…………………………………….
16
North Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile
…………………………………….
18
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
…………………………………….
19
Industry Rankings
…………………………………….
20
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
…………………………………….
22
Occupational Rankings
…………………………………….
23
Northeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile
…………………………………….
25
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
…………………………………….
26
Industry Rankings
…………………………………….
27
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
…………………………………….
29
Occupational Rankings
…………………………………….
30
Western Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile
…………………………………….
32
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
…………………………………….
33
Industry Rankings
…………………………………….
34
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
…………………………………….
36
Occupational Rankings
…………………………………….
37
West Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile
…………………………………….
39
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
…………………………………….
40
Industry Rankings
…………………………………….
41
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
…………………………………….
43
Occupational Rankings
…………………………………….
44
Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile
…………………………………….
46
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
…………………………………….
47
Industry Rankings
…………………………………….
48
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
…………………………………….
50
Occupational Rankings
…………………………………….
51
3
4
City of Little Rock Workforce Investment Area Profile
…………………………………….
53
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
…………………………………….
54
Industry Rankings
…………………………………….
55
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
…………………………………….
57
Occupational Rankings
…………………………………….
58
Eastern Arkansas Workforce Investment Area profile
…………………………………….
60
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
…………………………………….
61
Industry Rankings
…………………………………….
62
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
…………………………………….
64
Occupational Rankings
…………………………………….
65
Southwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile
…………………………………….
67
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
…………………………………….
68
Industry Rankings
…………………………………….
69
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
…………………………………….
71
Occupational Rankings
…………………………………….
72
Southeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area Profile
…………………………………….
74
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
…………………………………….
75
Industry Rankings
…………………………………….
76
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
…………………………………….
78
Occupational Rankings
…………………………………….
79
EXPLANATION OF INDUSTRY PROJECTIONS DATA
LOCAL WORKFORCE INVESTMENT AREAS
2012-2022
NAICS Title
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Indu str y t it le ac cor di ng to
the Nor th A mer ica n I ndu st ry
Cl as sif ic at ion Sy ste m
(N AI C S) T itl e a nd Co di ng
Str uc ture
An es ti mat e o f
the num ber of
job s in an
ind ustr y in
201 2
The p roj ec ted
numb er o f job s
exp ect ed to be in
an ind ustr y in
2022
Tota l n umb er o f
job s a n ind ust ry is
exp ect ed to ga in or
los e o ver th e 2 01 2
to 2 02 2 per io d
Per ce nt cha nge i n
the num ber of jo bs
in an ind us try ov er
the 201 2 t o 2 02 2
peri od
NAICS
Code
Indu str y cod e a cc ord ing to the N orth
Am eri can In du stry C la ss if i cat ion Sy ste m
(N AI C S) T itl e a nd Co di ng Str uc ture
EXPLANATION OF OCCUPATIONAL PROJECTIONS DATA
LOCAL WORKFORCE INVESTMENT AREAS
2012-2022
SOC
Code
The occupational code
based on the Standard
Occupational
Classification (SOC)
Coding and Title
Structure
SOC Title
The
occupational
title based on
the Standard
Occupational
Classification
(SOC) Coding
and Title
Structure
2012
Estimated
Employment
An estimate
of the number
of jobs in an
occupation
in 2012
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
The projected number Total number
Percent change in
of jobs expected
of jobs an
the number
to be in an occupation
occupation
of jobs in an
in 2022
is expected to gain occupation over
or lose over the the 2012 to 2022
2012
period
to 2022
period
Annual
OpeningsGrowth
Annual
OpeningsReplacement
Average number of Average number of
annual job openings annual job openings
expected to
expected to be
be available during available during the
the projection period projection period due
due to employment to the need to replace
growth
workers who leave the
occupation
Total
Annual
Openings
Average number of
annual job openings
expected to be
available during the
projection period due
to employment growth
and replacements
5
6
Definition of
Important
Terms
Base Employment – The average number of jobs in a particular industry or occupation during the benchmark year or quarter.
Current Employment Statistics (CES) – A monthly survey of business establishments that provides estimates of employment,
hours, and earnings data by industry for the nation as a whole, all states, and most major metropolitan areas.
Employment – The number of jobs in a business or firm at any given time.
Establishment – The physical location of a certain economic activity, for example, a factory, mine, store, or office. Generally, a
single establishment produces a single good or provides a single service.
Fastest Growing – Refers to percent growth. The higher the percent growth, the faster an industry or occupation is growing.
Industry – A group of establishments that produce similar products or provide similar services.
Metropolitan Statistical Area – A county or group of contiguous counties that contains an urban center of at least 50,000
residents and has a high degree of economic and social ties.
Net Growth – The difference between projected employment and base employment.
North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) – A system used in assigning industry-designated code numbers to
employers and/or establishments based on the nature of their activities, services rendered, or products delivered. It was
established by the U.S. Office of Management and Budget and is used by all agencies for data compilation.
Occupation – A set of activities that employees are paid to perform; employees who perform the same tasks are in the same
occupation, whether or not they are in the same industry.
Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) – A federal/state cooperative program that produces employment and wage
estimates for over 700 occupations. These are estimates of the number of people employed in certain occupations and
estimates of the wages paid to them. They are also used to gather occupational staffing patterns by industry that are used to
project employment needs by occupation.
Percent (%) Growth – The rate at which an industry or occupation is expected to grow or decline.
Projected Employment – The average number of jobs expected to be in an industry or occupation in the future.
Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) – A federal/state cooperative program that produces employment and
wage data for workers covered by state unemployment insurance laws and federal workers covered by the Unemployment
Compensation for Federal Employees Program; data is arranged by the type of industry according to the North American
Industry Classification System (NAICS).
Sector – A level of industry classification under supersector according to the NAICS structure.
Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) – A coding system used by all federal statistical agencies to classify workers into
occupational categories for the purpose of collecting, calculating, or disseminating data.
Subsector – A level of industry classification under sector according to the NAICS structure.
Supersector – The top level of industry classification according to the NAICS structure.
Workforce Investment Area – A group of contiguous counties where employment, training, and educational services are
provided; established through the Workforce Investment Act to provide services for eligible youth, adults, and dislocated workers
Methodology
The following shows a brief overview of the method used to produce long-term employment projections in Arkansas.
Data Development
Data development is accomplished by using three sources:
The Quarterly Census of Employment and Wage reports. This source provides all the covered employment for Arkansas. A firm or
business is considered “covered” if it meets the guidelines established under the Unemployment Insurance Law.
The Current Employment Statistics Survey. This source provides employment information for non-covered establishments, which are
railroads, the Federal Work Study Program, churches, religious-based schools, church-related day care centers, elected officials,
commissioned insurance agents, and sheltered workshops.
Agriculture employment. This is obtained from the Census of Agriculture. The Census of Agriculture is taken every five years in years
ending in two and seven. Information from the QCEW reports is used to make estimates for years following the Census year until the
next Census.
Industry Projections
The industry projections in this publication were produced using the Projections Suite System software, authorized by the
U.S. Department of Labor and developed by the Utah Department of Workforce Services. The software has several
components. The system forecasts employment using several models. The analyst chooses an appropriate forecast for each
industry. All areas are done at the same time. In addition, business news related to closures, layoffs, openings, and expansions
is used in the forecasting process and adjustments are made when necessary.
For some industry reporting, Industry Supersectors are used. NAICS codes for Supersectors are not published in the NAICS manual.
They were developed for statistical reporting purposes, and are used for some industry data contained on the Data Analysis section of
the Discover Arkansas website.
Occupational Projections
Occupational projections are produced by merging industries and occupations together into an industry-occupational matrix. This
matrix is a table showing the occupational pattern of each industry (i.e., the ratios of employment by occupation in a specific industry).
The statewide matrix is based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) survey and uses a Standard
Occupational Classification (SOC) code for each occupation. It uses the May OES semiannual survey of the year that corresponds to the
base year to establish the staffing patterns and is provided through the Estimates Delivery System (EDS).
The occupational employment projections contained in this publication were created using the Projections Suite software, authorized
by the U.S. Department of Labor and developed by the Utah Department of Workforce Services. The software applies occupational
change factors to the projected patterns to form a projected matrix. Also, using national self-employment and unpaid family workers
staffing patterns, the system generates base and projected employment for self-employed and unpaid family workers.
Data Limitations
The projections contained in this publication are estimates based on historical data. It is important not to rely on these projections as
the actual employment numbers that will occur in 2022. While every attempt is made to incorporate current and future events, such as
business closings, corporate layoffs, openings, and expansions, it is not possible to know everything that might happen. Events that take
place after the projection period or announcements concerning closings, layoffs, openings, and expansions known after projections were
completed are not reflected in the forecasts. Also, legislative policy could cause employment to change. Events such as these will likely
cause the actual employment numbers to vary significantly from these projections.
It is important to look at both net growth and percent growth when looking at projections. Generally, industries or occupations with
small employment will have higher growth rates than those with larger employment, but these industries may only add a few employees
over the projection period. Concerning occupational projections, it is important to look at both replacement and growth openings. Even if
an occupation is in decline, it still may have openings to replace workers who leave the profession for various reasons.
7
8
Total Employment Projections by Workforce Investment Area
Workforce Investment Area
Northwest Arkansas
North Central Arkansas
Northeast Arkansas
Western Arkansas
West Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas
City of Little Rock
Eastern Arkansas
Southwest Arkansas
Southeast Arkansas
2012
Estimated
Employment
268,330
83,452
107,445
116,877
122,369
168,330
186,552
42,615
92,376
84,530
2022
Projected
Employment
302,692
94,994
120,493
126,343
137,302
193,943
202,085
45,636
96,517
86,914
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
34,362
11,542
13,048
9,466
14,933
25,613
15,533
3,021
4,141
2,384
12.81%
13.83%
12.14%
8.10%
12.20%
15.22%
8.33%
7.09%
4.48%
2.82%
Annual
OpeningsGrowth
3,545
1,186
1,348
1,059
1,540
2,617
1,700
349
558
454
Annual
OpeningsReplacement
6,124
1,911
2,490
2,675
2,856
3,974
4,247
999
2,098
1,914
Annual
OpeningsTotal
9,669
3,097
3,838
3,734
4,396
6,591
5,947
1,348
2,656
2,368
The Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area (WIA) is projected to add the most jobs during the 2012-2022 projection period with an anticipated growth
of 34,362 new jobs, but Central Arkansas is estimated see the fastest growth at 15.22 percent. All of the 10 Areas are forecasted to add jobs with seven seeing
more than 8 percent growth. Southeast Arkansas, while the smallest in terms of net and percent growth, is still expected to see 2,384 new jobs, an increase of the
workforce by 2.82 percent. In terms of job openings, the Northwest Arkansas Area is projected to have 9,669 job openings available annually, with 6,124 due to
replacement.
Percent Growth of Total Employment by Workforce Investment Area
Southeast Arkansas
2.82%
Southwest Arkansas
4.48%
Eastern Arkansas
7.09%
City of Little Rock
8.33%
Central Arkansas
15.22%
West Central Arkansas
12.20%
Western Arkansas
8.10%
Northeast Arkansas
12.14%
North Central Arkansas
13.83%
Northwest Arkansas
0.00%
12.81%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
9
10
Local Workforce Investment Areas
Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Madison, Marion, Newton, Searcy, and
Washington Counties
NW
North Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
NE
Cleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Sharp, Stone, Van
Buren, White, and Woodruff Counties
NC
Northeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
Clay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Poinsett, and Randolph
Counties
E
W
Western Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
C
WC
Crawford, Franklin, Logan, Polk, Scott, and Sebastian Counties
West Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
SE
SW
LR
Clark, Conway, Garland, Hot Spring, Johnson, Montgomery, Perry, Pike,
Pope, and Yell Counties
Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
Faulkner, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Pulaski outside the city limits of Little
Rock, and Saline Counties
City of Little Rock Workforce Investment Area
Inside the city limits of Little Rock
Eastern Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Phillips, and St. Francis Counties
Southwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
Calhoun, Columbia, Dallas, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River,
Miller, Nevada, Ouachita, Sevier, and Union Counties
Southeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Cleveland, Desha, Drew, Grant,
Jefferson, and Lincoln Countie
Northwest Arkansas Profile
The Northwest Arkansas WIA has many tourist attractions. Among these are the Buffalo National River and the Prairie Grove
Civil War Battlefield. Nestled in the Ozark Mountains, the Area gives visitors a chance to view Rocky Mountain Elk near
Ponca, and the picturesque city of Eureka Springs offers shopping and unique architecture. The Crystal Bridges Museum of
American Art in Bentonville houses a permanent collection of signature works from American artists, along with galleries
dedicated to regional art including American Indian art.
The Northwest Arkansas WIA consists of nine counties: Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Madison, Marion, Newton, Searcy,
and Washington. The Area borders two states, Missouri to the north and Oklahoma to the west. The Fayetteville-SpringdaleRogers Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), is located within the Area.
The University of Arkansas, the state’s largest public university, is located in Washington County in the city of Fayetteville.
John Brown University, a private four-year university, is located in Siloam Springs. Offering associate degrees and certificate
programs, Arkansas State University-Mountain Home, North Arkansas College, and Northwest Arkansas Community College
are two-year colleges based in this WIA.
Among the 10 Local Workforce Investment Areas, Northwest Arkansas has the largest employment base in the state. This region is projected to gain 34,362 jobs, an increase of
12.81 percent, from 2012 to 2022. Goods-Producing industries are projected to gain 3,299 net jobs, while Services-Providing industries are predicted to add 31,492 jobs over the
2012-2022 projection period. An estimated 26,643 Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers are expected to be based in Northwest Arkansas by 2022, a loss of 429.
Education and Health Services is expected to be the top and fastest growing supersector with 10,965 jobs anticipated, equivalent to 21.11 percent job growth. Educational
Services is predicted to be the top growing industry adding 4,236 new jobs, while Food Services and Drinking Places appears to be a step behind at 4,235 new jobs. Chemical
Manufacturing is projected to be the fastest growing industry with a growth of 73.75 percent over the 10-year period. Information is the only supersector expected to experience a
decline with a small loss of 61 over the projection period. Postal Service is estimated to lose 157 jobs making it the top declining industry, while Crop Production is forecasted to
lose more than 20 percent of its workforce.
Northwest Arkansas is projected to have 9,669 annual job openings over the 2012-2022 projection period, with 3,545 for growth and expansion and 6,124 for replacement. The
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations major group is predicted to add the most jobs with a net gain of 4,499, while Personal Care and Service Occupations is
estimated to be the fastest growing major group with a 25.33 percent growth. Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers is estimated to be the top growing occupation with an
anticipated growth of 1,821 new jobs. Food Scientists and Technologists could increase by more than 55 percent making it the fastest growing occupation. Farmers, Ranchers,
and Other Agricultural Managers is projected to lead the Area in decline with 398 job losses, while Data Entry Keyers could be the fastest declining occupation losing nearly a
quarter of its workforce. With respect to annual job openings, Retail Salespersons tops all occupations with 413.
11
12
Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
NAICS
Code
000000
000671
006010
007010
101000
101100
110000
210000
101200
101300
102000
102100
420000
440000
480000
220000
102200
102300
520000
530000
102400
540000
550000
560000
102500
610000
620000
102600
710000
720000
102700
102800
NAICS Title
Total All Industries
Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Self Employed Workers, All Jobs
Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Goods Producing
Natural Resources and Mining
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
Durable Goods Manufacturing
Services Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and Warehousing
Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Professional and Business Services
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Education and Health Services
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Leisure and Hospitality
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Government)
Government
2012
Estimated
Employment
268,330
27,072
26,885
187
43,363
1,672
1,479
193
8,640
33,051
19,880
13,171
197,895
52,672
8,871
26,996
15,640
1,165
2,483
8,036
5,583
2,453
38,471
9,517
21,486
7,468
51,933
23,973
27,960
24,434
2,506
21,928
8,224
11,642
2022
Projected
Employment
302,692
26,643
26,467
176
46,662
1,738
1,524
214
10,107
34,817
20,537
14,280
229,387
59,189
9,680
30,028
18,137
1,344
2,422
9,018
6,134
2,884
43,453
11,234
23,542
8,677
62,898
28,209
34,689
29,568
2,695
26,873
9,526
13,313
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
34,362
-429
-418
-11
3,299
66
45
21
1,467
1,766
657
1,109
31,492
6,517
809
3,032
2,497
179
-61
982
551
431
4,982
1,717
2,056
1,209
10,965
4,236
6,729
5,134
189
4,945
1,302
1,671
12.81%
-1.58%
-1.55%
-5.88%
7.61%
3.95%
3.04%
10.88%
16.98%
5.34%
3.30%
8.42%
15.91%
12.37%
9.12%
11.23%
15.97%
15.36%
-2.46%
12.22%
9.87%
17.57%
12.95%
18.04%
9.57%
16.19%
21.11%
17.67%
24.07%
21.01%
7.54%
22.55%
15.83%
14.35%
Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections Rankings (by NAICS Subsector)
Top 10 Growing Industries Ranked by Net Growth
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
611000
722000
621000
484000
624000
551000
541000
999300
452000
238000
Educational Services
Food Services and Drinking Places
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Truck Transportation
Social Assistance
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Local Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals
General Merchandise Stores
Specialty Trade Contractors
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
23,973
19,060
9,556
11,687
6,143
21,486
9,517
6,909
7,720
6,204
28,209
23,295
12,650
13,913
8,239
23,542
11,234
8,286
9,052
7,416
4,236
4,235
3,094
2,226
2,096
2,056
1,717
1,377
1,332
1,212
17.67%
22.22%
32.38%
19.05%
34.12%
9.57%
18.04%
19.93%
17.25%
19.54%
Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
2012
2022
NAICS
Net
NAICS Title
Estimated
Projected
Code
Growth
Employment Employment
325000
314000
624000
621000
115000
524000
331000
442000
721000
315000
Chemical Manufacturing
Textile Product Mills
Social Assistance
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities
Primary Metal Manufacturing
Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores
Accommodation, including Hotels and Motels
Apparel Manufacturing
259
403
6,143
9,556
322
1,319
1,994
674
2,868
85
450
543
8,239
12,650
410
1,674
2,523
844
3,578
105
191
140
2,096
3,094
88
355
529
170
710
20
Percent
Growth
73.75%
34.74%
34.12%
32.38%
27.33%
26.91%
26.53%
25.22%
24.76%
23.53%
13
14
Top 5 Declining Industries Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
2012
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Code
Employment
491100
237000
424000
334000
112000
Postal Service
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods
Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing
Animal Production
923
818
2,617
956
1,079
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
766
711
2,514
909
1,036
-157
-107
-103
-47
-43
-17.01%
-13.08%
-3.94%
-4.92%
-3.99%
Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five) (Minimum Decline of Five)
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
111000
491100
512000
237000
517000
Crop Production
Postal Service
Motion Picture and Sound Recording Industries
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
Telecommunications
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
24
923
228
818
763
19
766
196
711
722
-5
-157
-32
-107
-41
-20.83%
-17.01%
-14.04%
-13.08%
-5.37%
Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
SOC
Code
SOC Title
00-0000
Total, All Occupations
11-0000
13-0000
15-0000
17-0000
19-0000
21-0000
23-0000
25-0000
27-0000
29-0000
31-0000
33-0000
35-0000
37-0000
39-0000
41-0000
43-0000
45-0000
47-0000
49-0000
51-0000
53-0000
Management Occupations
Business and Financial Operations Occupations
Computer and Mathematical Occupations
Architecture and Engineering Occupations
Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations
Community and Social Service Occupations
Legal Occupations
Education, Training, and Library Occupations
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations
Healthcare Support Occupations
Protective Service Occupations
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations
Personal Care and Service Occupations
Sales and Related Occupations
Office and Administrative Support Occupations
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations
Construction and Extraction Occupations
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Production Occupations
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
Annual
Openings due
to
Replacement
Total
Annual
Openings
268,330
302,692
34,362
12.81%
3,545
6,124
9,669
27,847
13,479
6,956
2,523
1,127
3,576
1,561
14,564
2,984
12,293
6,469
3,305
21,434
8,400
8,464
26,991
37,769
1,476
9,291
9,775
22,941
25,105
29,322
15,333
7,826
2,797
1,392
4,169
1,759
17,351
3,201
14,681
7,866
3,953
25,933
9,488
10,608
30,125
41,183
1,475
10,602
11,029
24,635
27,964
1,475
1,854
870
274
265
593
198
2,787
217
2,388
1,397
648
4,499
1,088
2,144
3,134
3,414
-1
1,311
1,254
1,694
2,859
5.30%
13.75%
12.51%
10.86%
23.51%
16.58%
12.68%
19.14%
7.27%
19.43%
21.60%
19.61%
20.99%
12.95%
25.33%
11.61%
9.04%
-0.07%
14.11%
12.83%
7.38%
11.39%
188
185
87
28
26
59
20
279
24
239
140
65
450
109
216
314
380
3
131
126
183
292
520
258
126
59
35
80
25
313
72
254
122
96
780
169
161
806
834
41
154
229
459
530
708
443
213
87
61
139
45
592
96
493
262
161
1,230
278
377
1,120
1,214
44
285
355
642
822
15
16
Northwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections Rankings
Top 10 Growing Industries Ranked by Net Growth
SOC
Code
53-3032
39-9021
35-3021
41-2031
35-3031
43-6014
29-1141
35-2014
25-2021
37-2011
SOC Title
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Personal Care Aides
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Retail Salespersons
Waiters and Waitresses
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal,
Medical, and Executive
Registered Nurses
Cooks, Restaurant
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education
Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping
Cleaners
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
Annual
Openings due
to
Replacement
Total
Annual
Openings
10,965
3,016
12,786
4,440
1,821
1,424
16.61%
47.21%
182
142
175
22
357
164
4,703
8,644
5,185
6,061
9,811
6,124
1,358
1,167
939
28.88%
13.50%
18.11%
136
117
94
180
296
250
316
413
344
4,789
3,748
2,253
2,397
5,529
4,425
2,922
2,922
740
677
669
525
15.45%
18.06%
29.69%
21.90%
74
68
67
52
58
73
44
53
132
141
111
105
3,953
4,478
525
13.28%
52
74
126
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
Annual
Openings due
to
Replacement
Total
Annual
Openings
117
45
1,424
53
28
233
376
30
163
47
55.19%
47.37%
47.21%
46.90%
44.44%
44.21%
39.70%
35.71%
35.67%
34.81%
12
4
142
5
3
23
38
3
16
5
7
1
22
2
1
8
18
1
5
3
19
5
164
7
4
31
56
4
21
8
Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
SOC
Code
19-1012
25-1071
39-9021
25-1072
29-2032
15-1122
31-1011
13-1121
13-1081
43-4061
SOC Title
Food Scientists and Technologists
Health Specialties Teachers, Postsecondary
Personal Care Aides
Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary
Diagnostic Medical Sonographers
Information Security Analysts
Home Health Aides
Meeting, Convention, and Event Planners
Logisticians
Eligibility Interviewers, Government Programs
2012
Estimated
Employment
212
95
3,016
113
63
527
947
84
457
135
2022
Projected
Employment
329
140
4,440
166
91
760
1,323
114
620
182
Top 10 Occupations Ranked by Annual Openings
SOC
Code
41-2031
53-3032
35-3031
35-3021
41-2011
11-9013
53-7062
39-9021
43-9061
43-4051
SOC Title
8,644
10,965
5,185
9,811
12,786
6,124
1,167
1,821
939
13.50%
16.61%
18.11%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
117
182
94
4,703
6,061
1,358
28.88%
136
180
316
5,651
11,841
4,541
3,016
5,666
3,383
6,173
11,443
4,999
4,440
6,112
3,888
522
-398
458
1,424
446
505
9.24%
-3.36%
10.09%
47.21%
7.87%
14.93%
52
0
46
142
45
50
244
191
141
22
119
92
296
191
187
164
164
142
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
2012
Estimated
Employment
Retail Salespersons
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Waiters and Waitresses
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Cashiers
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
Personal Care Aides
Office Clerks, General
Customer Service Representatives
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings due
to
Replacement
296
175
250
Total
Annual
Openings
413
357
344
Top 5 Declining Occupations Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
SOC
Code
11-9013
43-9011
43-5052
43-9021
53-7051
SOC Title
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Computer Operators
Postal Service Mail Carriers
Data Entry Keyers
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators
2012
Estimated
Employment
11,841
588
510
287
1,364
2022
Projected
Employment
11,443
496
427
216
1,314
-398
-92
-83
-71
-50
-3.36%
-15.65%
-16.27%
-24.74%
-3.67%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
Annual
Openings due
to
Replacement
Total
Annual
Openings
0
0
0
0
0
191
6
18
3
31
191
6
18
3
31
Annual
Openings due
to
Replacement
3
2
Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five) (Minimum Decline of 5)
SOC
Code
43-9021
43-5051
43-5053
43-9022
43-5052
SOC Title
Data Entry Keyers
Postal Service Clerks
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing
Machine Operators
Word Processors and Typists
Postal Service Mail Carriers
287
122
216
95
-71
-27
-24.74%
-22.13%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
0
0
137
110
-27
-19.71%
0
1
1
46
510
37
427
-9
-83
-19.57%
-16.27%
0
0
0
18
0
18
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Total
Annual
Openings
3
2
17
18
North Central Arkansas Profile
North Central Arkansas has numerous tourist attractions within its borders. Near Mountain View, visitors can tour the
underground beauty of Blanchard Springs Caverns and listen to traditional American mountain music at the Ozark Folk Center.
Created by a dam in 1964, the 40,000-acre Greers Ferry Lake offers outdoor adventurists plenty of fishing, boating, and
camping. Nearby, the Little Red River flows out of the lake’s tailwaters, providing excellent trout fishing.
The North Central Arkansas WIA consists of 10 counties: Cleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Sharp, Stone, Van
Buren, White, and Woodruff, with the state of Missouri bordering the Area to the north.
The Area is home to three public two-year colleges that are part of the Arkansas State University (ASU) system with
campuses located in Beebe, Newport, and Searcy. Also located in North Central Arkansas are two private four-year institutions,
Lyon College in Batesville and Harding University in Searcy. Rounding out the Area’s educational opportunities are several
community, technical, and trade schools, including the UA Community College in Batesville and Ozarka College in
Melbourne.
North Central Arkansas is projected to add 11,542 new jobs during the 2012-2022 projection period, or increase employment by 13.83 percent. Goods-Producing industries are
expected to add 1,350 new jobs, while the Services-Providing industries could add 8,308. The Area is also expected to gain 1,884 Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers.
Education and Health Services is projected to be the top growing supersector in North Central Arkansas with a growth of 3,934 jobs. Health Care and Social Assistance is
estimated to have the highest growth of the subsectors with an increase of 2,786 jobs. Leisure and Hospitality is forecasted to be the fastest growing supersector with a growth of
32.48 percent. Food Services and Drinking Places is estimated to be the top growing industry adding 1,792 new jobs, while Machinery Manufacturing is expected to be the fastest
growing industry with a rate of 80.80 percent. Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing is likely to have the toughest outlook in the Area with a decline of 195 jobs, or 28.97
percent of its workforce.
North Central Arkansas is expected to have 3,097 total job openings annually between 2012 and 2022. Of these, 1,911 would be for replacement, while 1,186 would be for growth
and expansion. The Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations major group is predicted to have the highest net growth with 1,908 new jobs. Farmers, Ranchers and
Other Agricultural Managers is estimated to add 1,238 new jobs to the workforce making it the top growing occupation in the Area. The occupation is also anticipating the most
annual openings with 254 between 2012 and 2022. At 32.20 percent, Personal Care and Service Occupations is projected to be the fastest growing major group. Driving this
growth is Personal Care Aides with a percent growth of 56.28. Postal Service Mail Carriers is predicted to be the top declining occupation with a loss of 34 jobs, while Lathe and
Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic is estimated to be the fastest declining, losing 43.75 percent of its workforce.
North Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
NAICS
Code
000000
000671
006010
007010
101000
101100
110000
210000
101200
101300
102000
102100
420000
440000
480000
220000
102200
102300
520000
530000
102400
540000
550000
560000
102500
610000
620000
102600
710000
720000
102700
102800
NAICS Title
Total All Industries
Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Self Employed Workers, All Jobs
Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Goods Producing
Natural Resources and Mining
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
Durable Goods Manufacturing
Services Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and Warehousing
Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Professional and Business Services
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Education and Health Services
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Leisure and Hospitality
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Government)
Government
2012
Estimated
Employment
83,452
11,753
11,699
54
14,115
2,944
847
2,097
2,575
8,596
3,969
4,627
57,584
16,278
1,961
9,153
4,471
693
533
2,483
1,892
591
3,129
1,086
176
1,867
20,388
8,778
11,610
6,146
426
5,720
2,622
6,005
2022
Projected
Employment
94,994
13,637
13,588
49
15,465
3,244
940
2,304
2,882
9,339
4,537
4,802
65,892
17,092
2,107
9,691
4,619
675
532
2,861
2,221
640
3,545
1,177
192
2,176
24,322
9,926
14,396
8,142
495
7,647
3,018
6,380
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
11,542
1,884
1,889
-5
1,350
300
93
207
307
743
568
175
8,308
814
146
538
148
-18
-1
378
329
49
416
91
16
309
3,934
1,148
2,786
1,996
69
1,927
396
375
13.83%
16.03%
16.15%
-9.26%
9.56%
10.19%
10.98%
9.87%
11.92%
8.64%
14.31%
3.78%
14.43%
5.00%
7.45%
5.88%
3.31%
-2.60%
-0.19%
15.22%
17.39%
8.29%
13.29%
8.38%
9.09%
16.55%
19.30%
13.08%
24.00%
32.48%
16.20%
33.69%
15.10%
6.24%
19
20
North Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections Rankings (by NAICS Subsector)
Top 10 Growing Industries Ranked by Net Growth
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
722000
Food Services and Drinking Places
5,079
6,871
1,792
35.28%
611000
Educational Services
8,778
9,926
1,148
13.08%
624000
Social Assistance
2,238
3,293
1,055
47.14%
621000
Ambulatory Health Care Services
3,232
4,009
777
24.04%
622000
Hospitals
3,254
3,777
523
16.07%
623000
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
2,886
3,317
431
14.93%
333000
Machinery Manufacturing
526
951
425
80.80%
999200
State Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals
2,119
2,518
399
18.83%
311000
Food Manufacturing
2,491
2,883
392
15.74%
452000
General Merchandise Stores
2,743
3,037
294
10.72%
Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
2012
2022
NAICS
Net
NAICS Title
Estimated
Projected
Code
Growth
Employment Employment
333000
Machinery Manufacturing
624000
Social Assistance
524000
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities
722000
Food Services and Drinking Places
325000
Percent
Growth
526
951
425
80.80%
2,238
3,293
1,055
47.14%
414
582
168
40.58%
5,079
6,871
1,792
35.28%
Chemical Manufacturing
673
851
178
26.45%
211000
Oil and Gas Extraction
413
517
104
25.18%
621000
Ambulatory Health Care Services
3,232
4,009
777
24.04%
111000
Crop Production
377
457
80
21.22%
721000
Accommodation, including Hotels and Motels
641
776
135
21.06%
812000
Personal and Laundry Services
481
578
97
20.17%
Top 5 Declining Industries Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
2012
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Code
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
332000
Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing
673
478
-195
-28.97%
336000
Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
989
799
-190
-19.21%
491100
Postal Service
416
345
-71
-17.07%
115000
Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry
154
114
-40
-25.97%
442000
Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores
141
115
-26
-18.44%
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five)
2012
2022
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Projected
Code
Employment Employment
332000
Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing
673
478
-195
-28.97%
115000
Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry
154
114
-40
-25.97%
336000
Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
989
799
-190
-19.21%
442000
Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores
141
115
-26
-18.44%
491100
Postal Service
416
345
-71
-17.07%
21
22
North Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
00-0000
Total, All Occupations
83,452
94,994
11,542
13.83%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
1,186
11-0000
13-0000
15-0000
17-0000
19-0000
21-0000
23-0000
25-0000
27-0000
29-0000
31-0000
33-0000
35-0000
37-0000
39-0000
41-0000
43-0000
45-0000
47-0000
49-0000
51-0000
53-0000
Management Occupations
Business and Financial Operations Occupations
Computer and Mathematical Occupations
Architecture and Engineering Occupations
Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations
Community and Social Service Occupations
Legal Occupations
Education, Training, and Library Occupations
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations
Healthcare Support Occupations
Protective Service Occupations
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations
Personal Care and Service Occupations
Sales and Related Occupations
Office and Administrative Support Occupations
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations
Construction and Extraction Occupations
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Production Occupations
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
11,295
1,359
339
441
276
1,299
282
5,131
629
5,167
2,755
1,609
6,248
2,758
2,727
7,243
10,644
631
3,958
3,598
7,308
7,755
12,946
1,549
393
481
313
1,529
309
5,880
702
6,181
3,354
1,762
8,156
3,169
3,605
7,855
11,523
694
4,339
3,956
8,030
8,268
1,651
190
54
40
37
230
27
749
73
1,014
599
153
1,908
411
878
612
879
63
381
358
722
513
14.62%
13.98%
15.93%
9.07%
13.41%
17.71%
9.57%
14.60%
11.61%
19.62%
21.74%
9.51%
30.54%
14.90%
32.20%
8.45%
8.26%
9.98%
9.63%
9.95%
9.88%
6.62%
166
19
5
5
4
23
3
75
8
101
60
15
191
41
88
61
100
6
39
37
83
55
SOC
Code
SOC Title
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
1,911
196
28
6
10
8
29
5
110
15
108
53
48
202
56
55
234
234
18
79
88
156
170
Total
Annual
Openings
3,097
362
47
11
15
12
52
8
185
23
209
113
63
393
97
143
295
334
24
118
125
239
225
North Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections Rankings
Top 10 Growing Occupations Ranked by Net Growth
SOC
Code
11-9013
35-3021
39-9021
31-1014
29-1141
29-2061
35-2011
53-3032
35-3031
39-9011
SOC Title
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Personal Care Aides
Nursing Assistants
Registered Nurses
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
Cooks, Fast Food
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Waiters and Waitresses
Childcare Workers
15.42%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
124
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
130
687
41.29%
69
64
133
511
290
258
253
247
236
229
224
56.28%
16.14%
20.71%
19.70%
23.52%
8.38%
29.93%
21.41%
51
29
26
25
25
24
23
22
6
34
24
31
21
45
37
31
57
63
50
56
46
69
60
53
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
6
8
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
8,027
9,265
1,238
1,664
2,351
908
1,797
1,246
1,284
1,050
2,816
765
1,046
1,419
2,087
1,504
1,537
1,297
3,052
994
1,270
Total
Annual
Openings
254
Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
SOC
Code
39-9021
35-2014
35-3021
41-3021
43-4061
31-2021
51-4111
35-3031
29-1123
29-2055
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Cooks, Restaurant
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Insurance Sales Agents
Eligibility Interviewers, Government Programs
Physical Therapist Assistants
Tool and Die Makers
Waiters and Waitresses
Physical Therapists
Surgical Technologists
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
908
401
1,419
576
511
175
56.28%
43.64%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
51
18
1,664
2,351
687
41.29%
69
64
133
218
146
59
61
765
101
54
307
203
79
81
994
131
70
89
57
20
20
229
30
16
40.83%
39.04%
33.90%
32.79%
29.93%
29.70%
29.63%
9
6
2
2
23
3
2
5
3
1
0
37
2
0
14
9
3
2
60
5
2
Total
Annual
Openings
57
26
23
24
Top 10 Occupations Ranked by Annual Openings
SOC
Code
11-9013
35-3021
41-2011
41-2031
53-3032
53-7062
31-1014
35-3031
39-9021
29-2061
SOC Title
15.42%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
124
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
130
687
41.29%
69
64
133
2,460
2,323
3,052
1,719
2,087
994
1,419
1,537
124
146
236
149
290
229
511
253
5.31%
6.71%
8.38%
9.49%
16.14%
29.93%
56.28%
19.70%
12
15
24
15
29
23
51
25
101
74
45
49
34
37
6
31
113
89
69
64
63
60
57
56
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
216
105
182
77
-34
-28
-15.74%
-26.67%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
0
0
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
8
1
141
123
-18
-12.77%
0
4
4
401
60
74
386
47
61
-15
-13
-13
-3.74%
-21.67%
-17.57%
0
0
0
9
1
1
9
1
1
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
Total
Annual
Openings
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
8,027
9,265
1,238
1,664
2,351
2,336
2,177
2,816
1,570
1,797
765
908
1,284
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Cashiers
Retail Salespersons
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
Nursing Assistants
Waiters and Waitresses
Personal Care Aides
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
Total
Annual
Openings
254
Top 5 Declining Occupations Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
SOC
Code
43-5052
43-9021
51-4011
53-7051
43-5051
51-9122
SOC Title
Postal Service Mail Carriers
Data Entry Keyers
Computer-Controlled Machine Tool Operators, Metal and
Plastic
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators
Postal Service Clerks
Painters, Transportation Equipment
Total
Annual
Openings
8
1
Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five) (Minimum Decline of 5)
SOC
Code
51-4034
43-9021
43-5051
43-5053
27-3022
SOC Title
Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and
Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Data Entry Keyers
Postal Service Clerks
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing
Machine Operators
Reporters and Correspondents
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
16
9
-7
-43.75%
0
0
0
105
60
77
47
-28
-13
-26.67%
-21.67%
0
0
1
1
1
1
47
37
-10
-21.28%
0
0
0
41
33
-8
-19.51%
0
1
1
Northeast Arkansas Profile
The Hemingway-Pfeiffer Museum and Educational Center in Piggott, including the home and barn studio where Ernest
Hemingway lived and wrote portions of "A Farewell to Arms,” is just one of the many attractions located in the Northeast
Arkansas WIA. A unique land formation, one of only two in the world, can be found in Crowley’s Ridge State Park near
Paragould. Lake Charles, in Powhatan, is one of several lakes in this region, offering camping and fishing. Built in 1888 and
restored in the 1970s, the historical Powhatan Courthouse is the main attraction at Powhatan Historic State Park.
The Northeast Arkansas WIA consists of seven counties: Clay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Poinsett, and
Randolph, with the states of Missouri bordering the area to the north and Tennessee to the east. The Jonesboro Metropolitan
Statistical Area is located in this Area.
The Area is home to three four-year colleges, two private and one public: Williams Baptist College in Walnut Ridge,
Crowley’s Ridge College in Paragould, and Arkansas State University in Jonesboro. Arkansas Northeastern College in
Blytheville and Black River Technical College in Pocahontas are two-year colleges located in this WIA.
Northeast Arkansas is expected to add 13,048 jobs during the projection period. Goods-Producing industries are predicted to have a gain of 2,942 jobs, while Services-Providing
industries could add 8,725. A net gain of 1,381 Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers is anticipated.
Education and Health Services is expected to be the top growing supersector with 4,627 new jobs to be added during the projection period. Leisure and Hospitality is
estimated to be the fastest growing supersector in Northeast Arkansas with a 20.45 percent growth. Driving this growth is Food Services and Drinking Places, which is projected
to be the top growing industry with a gain of 1,639 jobs. Food Manufacturing could also drive growth in the Area with a 55.52 percent growth making it the fastest growing
industry. Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing is estimated to be the top declining industry with a decline of 115, while Leather and Allied Product
Manufacturing could lose a quarter of its workforce.
The Northeast Arkansas WIA is expected to have 3,838 annual job openings during the projection period. Of these, 2,490 would be for replacement, while 1,348 would be for
growth and expansion. The Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations major group is predicted to add the most new jobs with 1,742, while Personal Care and
Service Occupations is predicted to be the fastest growing major group at 25.52 percent. Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers is estimated to lead the Area in net
growth with 691 new jobs, while Personal Care Aides could lead the Area in percent growth with a 47.94 percent growth. Office and Administrative Support Occupations is
estimated to grow by 847 jobs, but the major group dominates the Top 5 Declining and Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations list. Stock Clerks and Order Fillers is set to be the
top declining occupation with 56 job losses, while Data Entry Clerks is forecasted to be the fastest declining occupation with a decline of 24.19 percent. With 153 annual
openings, Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food is predicted to have the most openings between 2012 and 2022.
25
26
Northeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
NAICS
Code
000000
000671
006010
007010
101000
101100
110000
210000
101200
101300
102000
102100
420000
440000
480000
220000
102200
102300
520000
530000
102400
540000
550000
560000
102500
610000
620000
102600
710000
720000
102700
102800
NAICS Title
Total All Industries
Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Self Employed Workers, All Jobs
Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Goods Producing
Natural Resources and Mining
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
Durable Goods Manufacturing
Services Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and Warehousing
Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Professional and Business Services
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Education and Health Services
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Leisure and Hospitality
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Government)
Government
2012
Estimated
Employment
107,445
94,61
9,384
77
24,748
2,159
2,050
109
3,103
19,486
5,799
13,687
73,236
19,256
4,355
11,897
2,528
476
826
3,145
2,156
989
7,320
1,573
490
5,257
25,309
10,537
14,772
8,029
435
7,594
2,709
6,642
2022
Projected
Employment
120,493
10,842
10,770
72
27,690
2,394
2,284
110
3,460
21,836
7,344
14,492
81,961
20,320
4,646
12,295
2,844
535
804
3,297
2,284
1,013
8,127
1,615
505
6,007
29,936
11,921
18,015
9,671
429
9,242
3,087
6,719
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
13,048
1,381
1,386
-5
2,942
235
234
1
357
2,350
1,545
805
8,725
1,064
291
398
316
59
-22
152
128
24
807
42
15
750
4,627
1,384
3,243
1,642
-6
1,648
378
77
12.14%
14.60%
14.77%
-6.49%
11.89%
10.88%
11.41%
0.92%
11.50%
12.06%
26.64%
5.88%
11.91%
5.53%
6.68%
3.35%
12.50%
12.39%
-2.66%
4.83%
5.94%
2.43%
11.02%
2.67%
3.06%
14.27%
18.28%
13.13%
21.95%
20.45%
-1.38%
21.70%
13.95%
1.16%
Northeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections Rankings (by NAICS Subsector)
Top 10 Growing Industries Ranked by Net Growth
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
722000
611000
311000
624000
621000
561000
331000
622000
623000
238000
Food Services and Drinking Places
Educational Services
Food Manufacturing
Social Assistance
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Administrative and Support Services
Primary Metal Manufacturing
Hospitals
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Specialty Trade Contractors
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
7,018
10,537
2,219
3,645
4,329
5,032
3,941
4,345
2,453
1,974
8,657
11,921
3,451
4,797
5,454
5,746
4,645
4,878
2,886
2,290
1,639
1,384
1,232
1,152
1,125
714
704
533
433
316
23.35%
13.13%
55.52%
31.60%
25.99%
14.19%
17.86%
12.27%
17.65%
16.01%
Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
2012
2022
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Projected
Code
Employment Employment
311000
322000
488000
321000
325000
624000
425000
493000
621000
814000
Food Manufacturing
Paper Manufacturing
Support Activities for Transportation
Wood Product Manufacturing
Chemical Manufacturing
Social Assistance
Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers
Warehousing and Storage
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Private Households
2,219
80
482
307
696
3,645
248
327
4,329
67
3,451
115
688
433
962
4,797
319
414
5,454
84
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
1,232
35
206
126
266
1,152
71
87
1,125
17
55.52%
43.75%
42.74%
41.04%
38.22%
31.60%
28.63%
26.61%
25.99%
25.37%
27
28
Top 5 Declining Industries Ranked by Net Growth
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
335000
491100
333000
448000
454000
Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing
Postal Service
Machinery Manufacturing
Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores
Nonstore Retailers
2012
Estimated
Employment
945
501
1,879
683
148
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
830
416
1,817
659
131
-115
-85
-62
-24
-17
-12.17%
-16.97%
-3.30%
-3.51%
-11.49%
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
21
416
830
131
252
-7
-85
-115
-17
-15
-25.00%
-16.97%
-12.17%
-11.49%
-5.62%
Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries Ranked by Percent Growth
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
316000
491100
335000
454000
517000
Leather and Allied Product Manufacturing
Postal Service
Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing
Nonstore Retailers
Telecommunications
2012
Estimated
Employment
28
501
945
148
267
Northeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
SOC
Code
SOC Title
00-0000
Total, All Occupations
11-0000
13-0000
15-0000
17-0000
19-0000
21-0000
23-0000
25-0000
27-0000
29-0000
31-0000
33-0000
35-0000
37-0000
39-0000
41-0000
43-0000
45-0000
47-0000
49-0000
51-0000
53-0000
Management Occupations
Business and Financial Operations Occupations
Computer and Mathematical Occupations
Architecture and Engineering Occupations
Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations
Community and Social Service Occupations
Legal Occupations
Education, Training, and Library Occupations
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations
Healthcare Support Occupations
Protective Service Occupations
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations
Personal Care and Service Occupations
Sales and Related Occupations
Office and Administrative Support Occupations
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations
Construction and Extraction Occupations
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Production Occupations
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
12.14%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
1,348
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
2,490
12.55%
11.14%
13.02%
3.40%
16.67%
19.07%
3.58%
15.08%
9.10%
17.76%
18.66%
4.81%
20.77%
12.30%
25.52%
5.34%
5.90%
8.96%
9.91%
14.90%
11.39%
11.91%
118
24
8
3
6
45
2
98
8
109
61
8
174
45
68
60
109
11
39
69
180
104
167
46
10
15
11
54
7
139
18
128
63
48
289
74
52
340
320
37
67
107
295
204
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
107,445
120,493
13,048
9,313
2,163
576
589
348
2,344
419
6,514
769
6,126
3,258
1,704
8,386
3,641
2,621
11,196
14,344
1,272
3,897
4,529
14,753
8,683
10,482
2,404
651
609
406
2,791
434
7,496
839
7,214
3,866
1,786
10,128
4,089
3,290
11,794
15,191
1,386
4,283
5,204
16,433
9,717
1,169
241
75
20
58
447
15
982
70
1,088
608
82
1,742
448
669
598
847
114
386
675
1,680
1,034
Total
Annual
Openings
3,838
285
70
18
18
17
99
9
237
26
237
124
56
463
119
120
400
429
48
106
176
475
308
29
30
Northeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections Rankings
Top 10 Growing Occupations Ranked by Net Growth
SOC
Code
11-9013
35-3021
53-7062
39-9021
51-4011
51-2092
29-1141
31-1014
35-3031
53-3032
SOC Title
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
Personal Care Aides
Computer-Controlled Machine Tool Operators, Metal and
Plastic
Team Assemblers
Registered Nurses
Nursing Assistants
Waiters and Waitresses
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
13.76%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
69
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
81
671
29.86%
67
86
153
2,647
1,259
416
408
18.65%
47.94%
42
41
69
6
111
47
935
1,242
307
32.83%
31
26
57
2,995
1,747
1,786
1,375
1,952
3,301
2,046
2,055
1,625
2,187
306
299
269
250
235
10.22%
17.12%
15.06%
18.18%
12.04%
31
30
27
25
24
47
34
34
66
31
78
64
61
91
55
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
6
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
5,022
5,713
691
2,247
2,918
2,231
851
Total
Annual
Openings
150
Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
SOC
Code
39-9021
43-5111
49-9041
31-2021
31-1011
51-4011
29-1122
49-9043
29-1123
29-1171
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Weighers, Measurers, Checkers, and Samplers,
Recordkeeping
Industrial Machinery Mechanics
Physical Therapist Assistants
Home Health Aides
Computer-Controlled Machine Tool Operators, Metal and
Plastic
Occupational Therapists
Maintenance Workers, Machinery
Physical Therapists
Nurse Practitioners
851
1,259
408
47.94%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
41
63
88
25
39.68%
2
1
3
501
90
536
685
121
718
184
31
182
36.73%
34.44%
33.96%
18
3
18
14
2
10
32
5
28
935
1,242
307
32.83%
31
26
57
71
116
131
65
94
153
172
85
23
37
41
20
32.39%
31.90%
31.30%
30.77%
2
4
4
2
1
2
3
1
3
6
7
3
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Total
Annual
Openings
47
Top 10 Occupations Ranked by Annual Openings
SOC
Code
35-3021
11-9013
41-2031
41-2011
53-7062
35-3031
51-2092
43-9061
29-1141
31-1014
SOC Title
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Retail Salespersons
Cashiers
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
Waiters and Waitresses
Team Assemblers
Office Clerks, General
Registered Nurses
Nursing Assistants
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
2,247
2,918
671
29.86%
67
86
153
5,022
3,518
2,580
2,231
1,375
2,995
2,454
1,747
1,786
5,713
3,677
2,625
2,647
1,625
3,301
2,580
2,046
2,055
691
159
45
416
250
306
126
299
269
13.76%
4.52%
1.74%
18.65%
18.18%
10.22%
5.13%
17.12%
15.06%
69
16
4
42
25
31
13
30
27
81
120
112
69
66
47
52
34
34
150
136
116
111
91
78
65
64
61
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
1,125
276
1,069
232
-56
-44
-4.98%
-15.94%
0
0
34
10
34
10
435
396
-39
-8.97%
0
4
4
124
94
-30
-24.19%
0
2
2
298
270
-28
-9.40%
0
6
6
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
2
1
Total
Annual
Openings
Top 5 Declining Occupations Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
SOC
Code
43-5081
43-5052
51-4031
43-9021
51-4021
SOC Title
Stock Clerks and Order Fillers
Postal Service Mail Carriers
Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters,
Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Data Entry Keyers
Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators,
and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
Total
Annual
Openings
Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five) (Minimum Decline of 5)
SOC
Code
43-9021
43-5051
43-5053
43-5052
11-9131
SOC Title
Data Entry Keyers
Postal Service Clerks
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing
Machine Operators
Postal Service Mail Carriers
Postmasters and Mail Superintendents
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
124
68
94
53
-30
-15
-24.19%
-22.06%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
0
0
64
51
-13
-20.31%
0
0
0
276
62
232
53
-44
-9
-15.94%
-14.52%
0
0
10
1
10
1
Percent
Growth
Total
Annual
Openings
2
1
31
32
Western Arkansas Profile
The Western Arkansas WIA is home to the two highest mountain peaks in Arkansas; Mount Magazine near Paris and Rich
Mountain at the Queen Wilhelmina State Park near Mena. The Cossatot River, an American Indian word for “skull crusher,”
provides some of the most challenging whitewater rafting in the state. Settled by Swiss and German immigrants in the 1880s,
Altus has become the wine capital of Arkansas, producing several award-winning wines from grapes grown in the Boston
Mountains. Area visitors can also see an eight-foot tall statue of Popeye in Alma, the self-proclaimed “spinach capital of the
world.”
The Western Arkansas WIA consists of six counties: Crawford, Franklin, Logan, Polk, Scott, and Sebastian; and is bordered to
the west by the state of Oklahoma. The Arkansas portion of the Fort Smith Metropolitan Statistical Area is located in the
Western Arkansas WIA.
The Area is home to the University of Arkansas at Fort Smith, a four-year public university located in Sebastian County.
Offering associate degrees and certificates, Rich Mountain Community College in Mena and Arkansas Tech-Ozark are two-year
colleges located in this Area, providing residents with a range of educational options.
Western Arkansas is expected to experience a net growth of employment with 9,466 jobs forecasted to be added during the projection period. Goods-Producing industries are
projected to have a net gain of 1,195 jobs, while the Services-Providing industries are estimated to add 9,219. The Area is predicted to lose 948 jobs for Self-Employed and Unpaid
Family Workers.
The Education and Health Services supersector is expected to add the most new jobs with 3,575 anticipated, while Leisure and Hospitality is estimated to see the fastest
growth at 18.27 percent. Food Services and Drinking Places is predicted to see the most growth gaining 1,488 jobs during the projection period. Wood Product Manufacturing is
projected to be the fastest growing industry with a 37.69 percent increase. Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing is anticipated to be the top declining
industry with a loss of 239 jobs, while Nonstore Retailers is expected to lose 18.64 percent of its workforce.
The Western Arkansas WIA is projected to see an 8.10 percent growth of its workforce between 2012 and 2022. Around 3,734 annual job openings are expected to be available
during the projection period with 2,675 for replacement and 1,059 for growth and expansion. The Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations major group is predicted
to add the most jobs with 1,642 anticipated, but Personal Care and Service Occupations is expected to see a percent growth of 21.96 percent over the projection period.
Personal Care Aides is estimated to be the top and fastest growing occupation with a growth of 554 or an increase of 48.47 percent. Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural
Managers is expected to be the top declining occupation with a loss of 491 jobs, while Data Entry Keyers could lose 27.87 percent of its workforce. Retail Salespersons is
projected to have the most job openings with 146 annually.
Western Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
NAICS
Code
000000
000671
006010
007010
101000
101100
110000
210000
101200
101300
102000
102100
420000
440000
480000
220000
102200
102300
520000
530000
102400
540000
550000
560000
102500
610000
620000
102600
710000
720000
102700
102800
NAICS Title
Total All Industries
Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Self Employed Workers, All Jobs
Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Goods Producing
Natural Resources and Mining
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
Durable Goods Manufacturing
Services Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and Warehousing
Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Professional and Business Services
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Education and Health Services
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Leisure and Hospitality
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Government)
Government
2012
Estimated
Employment
116,877
10,796
10,724
72
27,375
2,545
579
1,966
3,658
21,172
10,901
10,271
78,706
22,354
3,763
12,058
5,838
695
1,263
3,846
2,659
1,187
9,503
1,940
2,106
5,457
23,115
8,536
14,579
8,389
415
7,974
3,837
6,399
2022
Projected
Employment
126,343
9,848
9,787
61
28,570
2,868
649
2,219
4,169
21,533
11,063
10,470
87,925
23,979
3,979
12,871
6,444
685
1,284
4,133
2,825
1,308
10,658
2,390
2,301
5,967
26,690
9,524
17,166
9,922
437
9,485
4,233
7,026
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
9,466
-948
-937
-11
1,195
323
70
253
511
361
162
199
9,219
1,625
216
813
606
-10
21
287
166
121
1,155
450
195
510
3,575
988
2,587
1,533
22
1,511
396
627
8.10%
-8.78%
-8.74%
-15.28%
4.37%
12.69%
12.09%
12.87%
13.97%
1.71%
1.49%
1.94%
11.71%
7.27%
5.74%
6.74%
10.38%
-1.44%
1.66%
7.46%
6.24%
10.19%
12.15%
23.20%
9.26%
9.35%
15.47%
11.57%
17.74%
18.27%
5.30%
18.95%
10.32%
9.80%
33
34
Western Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections Rankings (by NAICS Subsector)
Top 10 Growing Industries Ranked by Net Growth
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
722000
611000
624000
622000
621000
561000
484000
541000
238000
999300
Food Services and Drinking Places
Educational Services
Social Assistance
Hospitals
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Administrative and Support Services
Truck Transportation
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Specialty Trade Contractors
Local Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
7,320
8,536
2,600
4,238
4,547
5,300
4,493
1,940
2,317
3,071
8,808
9,524
3,525
5,028
5,325
5,785
4,974
2,390
2,694
3,442
1,488
988
925
790
778
485
481
450
377
371
20.33%
11.57%
35.58%
18.64%
17.11%
9.15%
10.71%
23.20%
16.27%
12.08%
Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
2012
2022
NAICS
Net
NAICS Title
Estimated
Projected
Code
Growth
Employment Employment
321000
624000
814000
541000
112000
722000
622000
332000
621000
331000
Wood Product Manufacturing
Social Assistance
Private Households
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Animal Production
Food Services and Drinking Places
Hospitals
Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Primary Metal Manufacturing
605
2,600
63
1,940
230
7,320
4,238
1,551
4,547
778
833
3,525
84
2,390
280
8,808
5,028
1,833
5,325
906
228
925
21
450
50
1,488
790
282
778
128
Percent
Growth
37.69%
35.58%
33.33%
23.20%
21.74%
20.33%
18.64%
18.18%
17.11%
16.45%
Top 5 Declining Industries Ranked by Net Growth
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
335000
333000
322000
491100
327000
Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing
Machinery Manufacturing
Paper Manufacturing
Postal Service
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
3,319
1,552
1,078
448
633
3,080
1,439
968
372
558
-239
-113
-110
-76
-75
-7.20%
-7.28%
-10.20%
-16.96%
-11.85%
Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries Ranked by Percent Growth
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
454000
491100
327000
322000
812000
Nonstore Retailers
Postal Service
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
Paper Manufacturing
Personal and Laundry Services
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
236
448
633
1,078
645
192
372
558
968
581
-44
-76
-75
-110
-64
-18.64%
-16.96%
-11.85%
-10.20%
-9.92%
35
36
Western Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
SOC
Code
SOC Title
00-0000
Total, All Occupations
11-0000
13-0000
15-0000
17-0000
19-0000
21-0000
23-0000
25-0000
27-0000
29-0000
31-0000
33-0000
35-0000
37-0000
39-0000
41-0000
43-0000
45-0000
47-0000
49-0000
51-0000
53-0000
Management Occupations
Business and Financial Operations Occupations
Computer and Mathematical Occupations
Architecture and Engineering Occupations
Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations
Community and Social Service Occupations
Legal Occupations
Education, Training, and Library Occupations
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations
Healthcare Support Occupations
Protective Service Occupations
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations
Personal Care and Service Occupations
Sales and Related Occupations
Office and Administrative Support Occupations
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations
Construction and Extraction Occupations
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Production Occupations
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
116,877
126,343
9,466
10,509
3,370
877
975
444
1,798
529
5,249
970
6,274
3,672
1,751
9,103
3,083
2,891
10,649
15,611
686
4,865
5,127
15,174
13,270
10,377
3,755
963
1,036
500
2,051
595
5,940
1,018
7,277
4,158
1,925
10,745
3,284
3,526
11,328
16,436
724
5,380
5,554
15,675
14,096
-132
385
86
61
56
253
66
691
48
1,003
486
174
1,642
201
635
679
825
38
515
427
501
826
8.10%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
1,059
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
2,675
-1.26%
11.42%
9.81%
6.26%
12.61%
14.07%
12.48%
13.16%
4.95%
15.99%
13.24%
9.94%
18.04%
6.52%
21.96%
6.38%
5.28%
5.54%
10.59%
8.33%
3.30%
6.22%
37
38
9
7
6
25
7
69
6
100
49
17
164
20
67
68
103
4
52
46
72
92
189
68
15
23
14
41
8
111
22
129
71
46
320
63
51
328
353
17
95
120
302
290
Percent
Growth
Total
Annual
Openings
3,734
226
106
24
30
20
66
15
180
28
229
120
63
484
83
118
396
456
21
147
166
374
382
Western Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections Rankings (by NAICS Subsector)
Top 10 Growing Occupations Ranked by Net Growth
SOC
Code
39-9021
35-3021
29-1141
35-3031
41-2031
31-1011
43-6014
35-1012
53-7062
35-2014
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Registered Nurses
Waiters and Waitresses
Retail Salespersons
Home Health Aides
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal,
Medical, and Executive
First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving
Workers
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
Cooks, Restaurant
48.47%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
55
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
8
493
27.43%
49
69
118
2,290
2,299
3,709
1,042
364
311
289
242
18.90%
15.64%
8.45%
30.25%
36
31
29
24
37
96
117
15
73
127
146
39
1,848
2,089
241
13.04%
24
22
46
930
1,149
219
23.55%
22
26
48
2,631
786
2,848
971
217
185
8.25%
23.54%
22
18
82
16
104
34
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
1,143
1,697
554
1,797
2,290
1,926
1,988
3,420
800
Total
Annual
Openings
63
Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
SOC
Code
39-9021
29-2032
51-7042
31-1011
29-2055
31-2021
13-1161
43-4061
49-9041
13-1081
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Diagnostic Medical Sonographers
Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except
Sawing
Home Health Aides
Surgical Technologists
Physical Therapist Assistants
Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists
Eligibility Interviewers, Government Programs
Industrial Machinery Mechanics
Logisticians
48.47%
40.68%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
55
2
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
8
1
28
39.44%
3
0
3
242
28
30
48
31
116
22
30.25%
28.87%
28.85%
28.40%
27.93%
27.75%
27.50%
24
3
3
5
3
12
2
15
1
2
2
2
12
1
39
4
5
7
5
24
3
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
1,143
59
1,697
83
554
24
71
99
800
97
104
169
111
418
80
1,042
125
134
217
142
534
102
Total
Annual
Openings
63
3
37
38
Top 10 Occupations Annual Openings
SOC
Code
41-2031
35-3031
41-2011
35-3021
53-7062
11-9013
29-1141
39-9021
43-9061
43-5081
SOC Title
Retail Salespersons
Waiters and Waitresses
Cashiers
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Registered Nurses
Personal Care Aides
Office Clerks, General
Stock Clerks and Order Fillers
8.45%
15.64%
5.20%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
29
31
13
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
117
96
109
493
27.43%
49
69
118
2,848
4,955
2,290
1,697
2,420
1,699
217
-491
364
554
80
-32
8.25%
-9.02%
18.90%
48.47%
3.42%
-1.85%
22
0
36
55
8
0
82
88
37
8
49
52
104
88
73
63
57
52
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
5,446
1,387
245
122
1,731
4,955
1,305
205
88
1,699
-491
-82
-40
-34
-32
-9.02%
-5.91%
-16.33%
-27.87%
-1.85%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
0
0
0
0
0
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
88
32
8
2
52
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
2
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
3,420
1,988
2,519
3,709
2,299
2,650
289
311
131
1,797
2,290
2,631
5,446
1,926
1,143
2,340
1,731
Total
Annual
Openings
146
127
122
Top 5 Declining Occupations Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
SOC
Code
11-9013
53-7051
43-5052
43-9021
43-5081
SOC Title
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators
Postal Service Mail Carriers
Data Entry Keyers
Stock Clerks and Order Fillers
Total
Annual
Openings
88
32
8
2
52
Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five) (Minimum Decline of 5)
SOC
Code
43-9021
49-9091
43-5051
43-5053
43-2011
SOC Title
Data Entry Keyers
Coin, Vending, and Amusement Machine Servicers and
Repairers
Postal Service Clerks
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing
Machine Operators
Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
122
88
-34
-27.87%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
0
39
30
-9
-23.08%
0
0
0
59
46
-13
-22.03%
0
1
1
64
52
-12
-18.75%
0
0
0
120
98
-22
-18.33%
0
2
2
Total
Annual
Openings
2
West Central Arkansas Profile
The West Central Arkansas WIA contains unbelievable natural resources for recreational use, including multiple lakes and
mountains. Petit Jean State Park, located near Morrilton, is home to Cedar Falls, the tallest continuous flowing waterfall in the
state. The Crater of Diamonds State Park, located in Murfreesboro, is recognized as the only public diamond mine in the world
where you keep what you find. Visitors found 95.38 total carats in 2012. Hot Springs is also a center for tourism with its famous
Bathhouse Row, a theme park, and other historic attractions.
The West Central Arkansas WIA consists of 10 counties: Clark, Conway, Garland, Hot Spring, Johnson, Montgomery, Perry,
Pike, Pope, and Yell; with the Hot Springs Metropolitan Statistical Area located within the WIA.
The Area has several four-year colleges: Arkansas Tech University in Russellville; Henderson State University and Ouachita
Baptist University in Arkadelphia; and the University of the Ozarks in Clarksville. There are also a number of two-year
community and technical colleges in the area: National Park Community College in Hot Springs; a campus of the University of
Arkansas Community College System in Morrilton; and College of the Ouachitas in Malvern.
West Central Arkansas is expected to see an employment increase of 14,933 during the 2012-2022 projection period. Goods-Producing industries are projected to gain 1,730 net
jobs, while the Services-Providing industries are predicted to gain 12,282. There is estimated to be 921 more Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers in the Area by 2022.
Education and Health Services is estimated to add 5,705 jobs, making it the top supersector in West Central Arkansas for net growth. Leisure and Hospitality is projected to
be the fastest growing supersector, increasing employment by 22.38 percent. Food Services and Drinking Places is predicted to lead all industries in net growth adding 2,322 to
the local workforce. Social Assistance could increase employment by 46.31 percent making it the fastest growing industry in the Area. Postal Service jobs could fall by 93
making it the top declining industry, while Crop Production could lose 30.16 percent of its workforce making it the fastest declining industry.
West Central Arkansas’s occupational employment is expected to increase 12.20 percent during the projection period. About 4,396 annual job openings are anticipated in the
Area. Growth and expansion is estimated to account for 1,540 of those jobs, while 2,856 would be for replacement. The Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations
major group is projected to add the most jobs with 2,503 between 2012 and 2022. Personal Care and Service Occupations is forecasted to be the fastest growing major group
with a 31.21 percent increase. Driving this growth is Personal Care Aides, which is expected to be the top and fastest growing occupation with a gain of 957, a 55.64 percent
growth. On the negative side of the economy, Postal Service Mail Carriers is estimated to lose 53 jobs, while Data Entry Clerks could lose more than 25 percent of its workforce.
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers is estimated to have the most annual openings with 157 between 2012 and 2022.
39
40
West Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
NAICS
Code
000000
000671
006010
007010
101000
101100
110000
210000
101200
101300
102000
102100
420000
440000
480000
220000
102200
102300
520000
530000
102400
540000
550000
560000
102500
610000
620000
102600
710000
720000
102700
102800
NAICS Title
Total All Industries
Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Self Employed Workers, All Jobs
Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Goods Producing
Natural Resources and Mining
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
Durable Goods Manufacturing
Services Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and Warehousing
Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Professional and Business Services
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Education and Health Services
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Leisure and Hospitality
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Government)
Government
2012
Estimated
Employment
122,369
12,450
12,368
82
23,314
2,174
1,583
591
4,614
16,526
9,735
6,791
86,605
21,370
2,483
13,748
3,841
1,298
724
4,189
3,135
1,054
7,999
2,721
413
4,865
27,614
11,911
15,703
12,044
1,862
10,182
4,148
8,517
2022
Projected
Employment
137,302
13,371
13,296
75
25,044
2,437
1,836
601
5,046
17,561
10,198
7,363
98,887
22,614
2,553
14,699
4,127
1,235
705
4,674
3,524
1,150
9,064
2,980
415
5,669
33,319
13,572
19,747
14,740
2,170
12,570
4,666
9,105
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
14,933
921
928
-7
1,730
263
253
10
432
1,035
463
572
12,282
1,244
70
951
286
-63
-19
485
389
96
1,065
259
2
804
5,705
1,661
4,044
2,696
308
2,388
518
588
12.20%
7.40%
7.50%
-8.54%
7.42%
12.10%
15.98%
1.69%
9.36%
6.26%
4.76%
8.42%
14.18%
5.82%
2.82%
6.92%
7.45%
-4.85%
-2.62%
11.58%
12.41%
9.11%
13.31%
9.52%
0.48%
16.53%
20.66%
13.95%
25.75%
22.38%
16.54%
23.45%
12.49%
6.90%
West Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections Rankings (by NAICS Subsector)
Top 10 Growing Industries Ranked by Net Growth
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
722000
624000
611000
621000
561000
999300
623000
622000
311000
813000
Food Services and Drinking Places
Social Assistance
Educational Services
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Administrative and Support Services
Local Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Hospitals
Food Manufacturing
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
8,559
3,712
11,911
4,958
4,543
4,046
3,258
3,775
6,471
2,668
10,881
5,431
13,572
6,271
5,297
4,621
3,786
4,259
6,905
2,973
2,322
1,719
1,661
1,313
754
575
528
484
434
305
27.13%
46.31%
13.95%
26.48%
16.60%
14.21%
16.21%
12.82%
6.71%
11.43%
Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
624000
814000
332000
523000
112000
722000
621000
115000
524000
327000
Social Assistance
Private Households
Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing
Securities, Commodity Contracts, and Other Financial Investments and Related Activities
Animal Production
Food Services and Drinking Places
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
3,712
80
938
179
434
8,559
4,958
601
1,288
342
5,431
106
1,237
233
557
10,881
6,271
748
1,543
402
1,719
26
299
54
123
2,322
1,313
147
255
60
46.31%
32.50%
31.88%
30.17%
28.34%
27.13%
26.48%
24.46%
19.80%
17.54%
41
42
Top 5 Declining Industries Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
491100
443000
221000
425000
335000
Postal Service
Electronics and Appliance Stores
Utilities
Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers
Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
547
337
1,298
339
411
454
261
1,235
279
381
-93
-76
-63
-60
-30
-17.00%
-22.55%
-4.85%
-17.70%
-7.30%
Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
2012
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Code
Employment
111000
443000
312000
425000
491100
Crop Production
Electronics and Appliance Stores
Beverage and Tobacco Product Manufacturing
Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers
Postal Service
63
337
96
339
547
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
44
261
79
279
454
-19
-76
-17
-60
-93
-30.16%
-22.55%
-17.71%
-17.70%
-17.00%
West Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
SOC
Code
SOC Title
00-0000
Total, All Occupations
11-0000
13-0000
15-0000
17-0000
19-0000
21-0000
23-0000
25-0000
27-0000
29-0000
31-0000
33-0000
35-0000
37-0000
39-0000
41-0000
43-0000
45-0000
47-0000
49-0000
51-0000
53-0000
Management Occupations
Business and Financial Operations Occupations
Computer and Mathematical Occupations
Architecture and Engineering Occupations
Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations
Community and Social Service Occupations
Legal Occupations
Education, Training, and Library Occupations
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations
Healthcare Support Occupations
Protective Service Occupations
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations
Personal Care and Service Occupations
Sales and Related Occupations
Office and Administrative Support Occupations
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations
Construction and Extraction Occupations
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Production Occupations
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
122,369
137,302
14,933
11,464
2,322
584
1,090
635
2,363
360
7,371
1,117
6,439
4,147
2,269
10,506
4,404
4,527
12,587
17,555
1,021
5,321
4,809
11,989
9,489
12,468
2,617
655
1,139
728
2,720
389
8,554
1,215
7,625
4,988
2,548
13,009
4,918
5,940
13,636
18,793
1,117
5,786
5,270
12,917
10,270
1,004
295
71
49
93
357
29
1,183
98
1,186
841
279
2,503
514
1,413
1,049
1,238
96
465
461
928
781
12.20%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
1,540
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
2,856
8.76%
12.70%
12.16%
4.50%
14.65%
15.11%
8.06%
16.05%
8.77%
18.42%
20.28%
12.30%
23.82%
11.67%
31.21%
8.33%
7.05%
9.40%
8.74%
9.59%
7.74%
8.23%
101
30
7
6
9
36
3
118
11
119
84
28
250
52
142
105
145
12
47
50
103
82
206
48
10
25
20
54
6
157
26
136
79
67
363
89
87
381
407
25
91
115
254
212
Percent
Growth
Total
Annual
Openings
4,396
307
78
17
31
29
90
9
275
37
255
163
95
613
141
229
486
552
37
138
165
357
294
43
44
West Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections Rankings
Top 10 Growing Occupations Ranked by Net Growth
SOC
Code
39-9021
35-3021
11-9013
35-3031
35-2014
29-1141
31-1011
31-1014
43-4051
37-2011
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Waiters and Waitresses
Cooks, Restaurant
Registered Nurses
Home Health Aides
Nursing Assistants
Customer Service Representatives
Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping
Cleaners
55.64%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
96
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
12
590
32.40%
59
70
129
7,267
2,536
1,534
2,265
1,298
2,405
2,224
467
467
392
339
333
331
324
6.87%
22.57%
34.33%
17.60%
34.51%
15.96%
17.05%
47
47
39
34
33
33
32
110
100
22
37
18
39
52
157
147
61
71
51
72
84
2,464
286
13.13%
29
41
70
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
12
1
3
18
22
6
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
1,720
2,677
957
1,821
2,411
6,800
2,069
1,142
1,926
965
2,074
1,900
2,178
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Total
Annual
Openings
108
Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
SOC
Code
39-9021
25-1072
31-2021
31-1011
35-2014
29-1123
35-3021
29-1122
25-2051
35-1012
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary
Physical Therapist Assistants
Home Health Aides
Cooks, Restaurant
Physical Therapists
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Occupational Therapists
Special Education Teachers, Preschool
First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving
Workers
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
1,720
56
116
965
1,142
239
2,677
80
157
1,298
1,534
317
957
24
41
333
392
78
55.64%
42.86%
35.34%
34.51%
34.33%
32.64%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
96
2
4
33
39
8
1,821
2,411
590
32.40%
59
70
129
111
52
146
68
35
16
31.53%
30.77%
4
2
2
1
6
3
896
1,158
262
29.24%
26
25
51
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Total
Annual
Openings
108
3
7
51
61
14
Top 10 Occupations Annual Openings
SOC
Code
11-9013
35-3031
41-2011
41-2031
35-3021
39-9021
43-4051
43-9061
31-1014
53-7062
SOC Title
6.87%
22.57%
5.26%
8.37%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
47
47
16
28
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
110
100
130
114
590
32.40%
59
70
129
957
324
151
331
153
55.64%
17.05%
5.41%
15.96%
8.34%
96
32
15
33
15
12
52
59
39
57
108
84
74
72
72
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
0
0
0
0
0
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
11
48
18
1
2
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
1
1
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
6,800
2,069
3,003
3,333
7,267
2,536
3,161
3,612
467
467
158
279
1,821
2,411
1,720
1,900
2,793
2,074
1,835
2,677
2,224
2,944
2,405
1,988
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
320
1,579
803
115
321
267
1,540
770
86
301
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Waiters and Waitresses
Cashiers
Retail Salespersons
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Personal Care Aides
Customer Service Representatives
Office Clerks, General
Nursing Assistants
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Total
Annual
Openings
157
147
146
142
Top 5 Declining Occupations (Ranked by Net Growth) (Bottom Five)
SOC
Code
43-5052
43-5081
53-7051
43-9021
51-6031
SOC Title
Postal Service Mail Carriers
Stock Clerks and Order Fillers
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators
Data Entry Keyers
Sewing Machine Operators
Net
Growth
-53
-39
-33
-29
-20
Percent
Growth
-16.56%
-2.47%
-4.11%
-25.22%
-6.23%
Total
Annual
Openings
11
48
18
1
2
Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations (Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five) (Minimum Decline of 5)
SOC
Code
43-9021
43-5051
43-5053
43-5052
43-5041
SOC Title
Data Entry Keyers
Postal Service Clerks
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing
Machine Operators
Postal Service Mail Carriers
Meter Readers, Utilities
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
115
86
86
67
-29
-19
-25.22%
-22.09%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
0
0
51
41
-10
-19.61%
0
0
0
320
41
267
35
-53
-6
-16.56%
-14.63%
0
0
11
1
11
1
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Total
Annual
Openings
1
1
45
46
Central Arkansas Profile
The Central Arkansas WIA is home to the Prairie County Museum in Des Arc, which contains artifacts and exhibits that
tell the story of the Lower White River’s influence on the first settlements in the Arkansas frontier. The Arkansas Game
and Fish Commission’s Joe Hogan Fish Hatchery in Lonoke is one of the largest working fish hatcheries in the world,
supplying state lakes, rivers, and streams with an abundance of fish. Located in Scott, the Plantation Agricultural Museum,
tells the history of cotton agriculture in the state; and the Toltec Indian Mounds State Park, a national historic landmark,
preserves and interprets the state’s tallest Native American mounds. The Little Rock Air Force Base in Jacksonville is the
world’s largest training ground for C-130 pilots and North Little Rock’s Old Mill, an authentic reproduction of a waterpowered gristmill, was seen in the opening credits of “Gone with the Wind”.
The Central Arkansas WIA consists of six counties: Faulkner, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Saline, and the portion of Pulaski
County outside of Little Rock. The majority of the Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway Metropolitan Statistical Area is
located in this WIA.
Three four-year colleges and universities are located in Conway: the University of Central Arkansas, Hendrix College, and Central Baptist College. There are satellite campuses
of other colleges and universities, including the University of Arkansas at Little Rock-Benton and the Pulaski Technical College-Saline County Career Center in Bauxite. Two
two-year colleges, Shorter College and Pulaski Technical College, are located in North Little Rock.
The Central Arkansas WIA is expected to add 25,613 new jobs between 2012 and 2022. Goods-Producing industries are projected to gain 1,884 net jobs, while the ServicesProviding industries are predicted to add 22,591 jobs. In addition, 1,138 more Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers are expected to be based in this area.
Education and Health Services is estimated to be the top and fastest growing supersector in Central Arkansas with a growth of 10,837, an increase of 32.46 percent.
Educational Services is forecasted to be the top growing industry with an increase of 3,876 new jobs. Nursing and Residential Care Facilities is expected to be the fastest growing
industry increasing by 46.47 percent. Postal Service could be the top and fastest declining industry in the Area with 134 job losses, a decrease of 17.05 percent.
Central Arkansas is expected to have 6,591 annual job openings during the projection period with 2,617 being for growth and expansion and 3,974 being for replacement. Food
Preparation and Serving Related Occupations major group is projected to add the most jobs with 3,651 anticipated, while Personal Care and Service Occupations is
estimated to be the fastest growing major group with an increase of 36.98 percent. Personal Care Aides is anticipated to be the top and fastest growing occupation adding 1,250
jobs, an increase of 59.21 percent. Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators is predicted to lose 53 jobs making it the top declining occupation,
while Data Entry Clerks is estimated to be the fastest declining occupation with a rate of 23.16 percent. Retail Salespersons is estimated to have the most annual openings with
278 during the projection period.
Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
NAICS
Code
000000
000671
006010
007010
101000
101100
110000
210000
101200
101300
102000
102100
420000
440000
480000
220000
102200
102300
520000
530000
102400
540000
550000
560000
102500
610000
620000
102600
710000
720000
102700
102800
NAICS Title
Total All Industries
Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Self Employed Workers, All Jobs
Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Goods Producing
Natural Resources and Mining
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
Durable Goods Manufacturing
Services Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and Warehousing
Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Professional and Business Services
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Education and Health Services
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Leisure and Hospitality
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Government)
Government
2012
Estimated
Employment
168,330
12,517
12,409
108
23,480
2,763
855
1,908
9,180
11,537
3,941
7,596
132,333
36,952
7,014
22,304
7,020
614
1,546
6,099
4,127
1,972
17,624
6,960
936
9,728
33,387
12,517
20,870
16,819
1,439
15,380
5,600
14,306
2022
Projected
Employment
193,943
13,655
13,554
101
25,364
3,177
1,000
2,177
10,105
12,082
3,898
8,184
154,924
39,595
7,286
24,003
7,566
740
1,632
6,835
4,671
2,164
19,979
7,622
1,023
11,334
44,224
16,393
27,831
20,378
1,590
18,788
6,396
15,885
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
25,613
1,138
1,145
-7
1,884
414
145
269
925
545
-43
588
22,591
2,643
272
1,699
546
126
86
736
544
192
2,355
662
87
1,606
10,837
3,876
6,961
3,559
151
3,408
796
1,579
15.22%
9.09%
9.23%
-6.48%
8.02%
14.98%
16.96%
14.10%
10.08%
4.72%
-1.09%
-7.74%
17.07%
7.15%
3.88%
7.62%
7.78%
20.52%
5.56%
12.07%
13.18%
9.74%
13.36%
9.51%
9.29%
16.51%
32.46%
30.97%
33.35%
21.16%
10.49%
22.16%
14.21%
11.04%
47
48
Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections Rankings (by NAICS Subsector)
Top 10 Growing Industries Ranked by Net Growth
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
611000
722000
623000
624000
621000
561000
999300
238000
541000
452000
Educational Services
Food Services and Drinking Places
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Social Assistance
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Administrative and Support Services
Local Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals
Specialty Trade Contractors
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
General Merchandise Stores
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
12,517
14,143
5,072
5,144
5,754
9,240
5,177
6,501
6,960
6,633
16,393
17,517
7,429
7,463
7,633
10,769
6,616
7,187
7,622
7,138
3,876
3,374
2,357
2,319
1,879
1,529
1,439
686
662
505
30.97%
23.86%
46.47%
45.08%
32.66%
16.55%
27.80%
10.55%
9.51%
7.61%
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
2012
2022
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Projected
Code
Employment Employment
623000
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
5,072
7,429
2,357
46.47%
624000
Social Assistance
5,144
7,463
2,319
45.08%
327000
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
509
683
174
34.18%
814000
Private Households
55
73
18
32.73%
621000
Ambulatory Health Care Services
5,754
7,633
1,879
32.66%
611000
Educational Services
12,517
16,393
3,876
30.97%
524000
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities
1,582
2,038
456
28.82%
999300
Local Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals
5,177
6,616
1,439
27.80%
722000
Food Services and Drinking Places
14,143
17,517
3,374
23.86%
112000
Animal Production
247
305
58
23.48%
Top 5 Declining Industries Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
786
652
-134
-17.05%
491100
Postal Service
999200
State Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals
4,337
4,233
-104
-2.40%
322000
Paper Manufacturing
1,466
1,404
-62
-4.23%
443000
Electronics and Appliance Stores
852
810
-42
-4.93%
326000
Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing
328
294
-34
-10.37%
Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries Ranked by Net Percent (Bottom Five)
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
491100
486000
314000
454000
326000
Postal Service
Pipeline Transportation
Textile Product Mills
Nonstore Retailers
Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
786
52
38
161
328
652
45
33
144
294
-134
-7
-5
-17
-34
-17.05%
-13.46%
-13.16%
-10.56%
-10.37%
49
50
Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
SOC
Code
SOC Title
00-0000
Total, All Occupations
11-0000
13-0000
15-0000
17-0000
19-0000
21-0000
23-0000
25-0000
27-0000
29-0000
31-0000
33-0000
35-0000
37-0000
39-0000
41-0000
43-0000
45-0000
47-0000
49-0000
51-0000
53-0000
Management Occupations
Business and Financial Operations Occupations
Computer and Mathematical Occupations
Architecture and Engineering Occupations
Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations
Community and Social Service Occupations
Legal Occupations
Education, Training, and Library Occupations
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations
Healthcare Support Occupations
Protective Service Occupations
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations
Personal Care and Service Occupations
Sales and Related Occupations
Office and Administrative Support Occupations
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations
Construction and Extraction Occupations
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Production Occupations
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
15.22%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
2,617
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
3,974
12.17%
13.89%
18.81%
3.81%
11.79%
22.48%
12.32%
30.98%
11.88%
22.05%
30.26%
21.35%
23.11%
13.89%
36.98%
8.72%
9.01%
13.33%
10.02%
12.27%
7.00%
11.09%
151
77
74
8
18
67
5
257
16
192
185
77
365
83
182
163
260
8
90
101
79
157
231
110
67
37
47
68
6
177
30
181
116
101
556
124
91
578
587
17
159
190
194
306
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
168,330
193,943
25,613
12,414
5,551
3,935
1,575
1,569
2,971
406
8,287
1,372
8,673
6,083
3,607
15,800
5,990
4,911
18,673
25,798
600
8,910
7,998
9,875
13,332
13,925
6,322
4,675
1,635
1,754
3,639
456
10,854
1,535
10,585
7,924
4,377
19,451
6,822
6,727
20,302
28,122
680
9,803
8,979
10,566
14,810
1,511
771
740
60
185
668
50
2,567
163
1,912
1,841
770
3,651
832
1,816
1,629
2,324
80
893
981
691
1,478
Total
Annual
Openings
6,591
382
187
141
45
65
135
11
434
46
373
301
178
921
207
273
741
847
25
249
291
273
463
Central Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections Rankings
Top 10 Growing Occupations Ranked by Net Growth
SOC
Code
39-9021
35-3021
31-1011
31-1014
35-3031
41-2031
43-4051
43-6014
29-2061
53-3032
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Home Health Aides
Nursing Assistants
Waiters and Waitresses
Retail Salespersons
Customer Service Representatives
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal,
Medical, and Executive
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
59.21%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
125
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
15
960
30.74%
96
119
215
3,276
2,827
4,006
7,005
3,625
849
659
646
584
544
34.98%
30.40%
19.23%
9.10%
17.66%
85
66
65
58
54
46
41
162
220
84
131
107
227
278
138
3,112
3,611
499
16.03%
50
38
88
1,557
3,764
2,055
4,243
498
479
31.98%
12.73%
50
48
38
60
88
108
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
15
4
4
9
2
3
5
6
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
2,111
3,361
1,250
3,123
4,083
2,427
2,168
3,360
6,421
3,081
Total
Annual
Openings
140
Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
SOC
Code
39-9021
27-2022
39-9041
29-1123
21-1094
29-1122
29-1127
25-2012
25-2022
25-2021
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Coaches and Scouts
Residential Advisors
Physical Therapists
Community Health Workers
Occupational Therapists
Speech-Language Pathologists
Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education
Middle School Teachers, Except Special and
Career/Technical Education
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
2,111
149
89
369
69
203
305
228
3,361
208
124
514
95
277
415
310
1,250
59
35
145
26
74
110
82
59.21%
39.60%
39.33%
39.30%
37.68%
36.45%
36.07%
35.96%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
125
6
4
14
3
7
11
8
713
967
254
35.62%
25
16
41
1,254
1,700
446
35.57%
45
28
73
Total
Annual
Openings
140
10
8
23
5
10
16
14
51
52
Top 10 Occupations Ranked by Annual Openings
SOC
Code
SOC Title
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Annual
Annual
Total
Openings
Openings
Annual
due to
due to
Openings
Growth
Replacement
278
9.10%
58
220
Percent
Growth
41-2031
Retail Salespersons
6,421
7,005
584
35-3031
Waiters and Waitresses
3,360
4,006
646
19.23%
65
162
227
41-2011
4,384
4,703
319
7.28%
32
190
222
3,123
4,083
960
30.74%
96
119
215
39-9021
Cashiers
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Personal Care Aides
2,111
3,361
1,250
59.21%
125
15
140
43-4051
Customer Service Representatives
3,081
3,625
544
17.66%
54
84
138
31-1011
Home Health Aides
2,427
3,276
849
34.98%
85
46
131
43-9061
Office Clerks, General
3,887
4,287
400
10.29%
40
82
122
53-7062
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
2,903
3,205
302
10.40%
30
90
120
53-3032
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
3,764
4,243
479
12.73%
48
60
108
35-3021
Top 5 Declining Occupations Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
SOC
Code
43-5053
43-5052
43-9021
43-5081
43-5051
SOC Title
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing
Machine Operators
Postal Service Mail Carriers
Data Entry Keyers
Stock Clerks and Order Fillers
Postal Service Clerks
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
Total
Annual
Openings
255
202
-53
-20.78%
0
2
2
269
190
3,109
73
223
146
3,074
57
-46
-44
-35
-16
-17.10%
-23.16%
-1.13%
-21.92%
0
0
0
0
9
2
94
1
9
2
94
1
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
2
1
Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five) (Minimum Decline of 5)
SOC
Code
43-9021
43-5051
43-5053
43-5052
43-2011
SOC Title
Data Entry Keyers
Postal Service Clerks
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing
Machine Operators
Postal Service Mail Carriers
Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
190
73
146
57
-44
-16
-23.16%
-21.92%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
0
0
255
202
-53
-20.78%
0
2
2
269
93
223
79
-46
-14
-17.10%
-15.05%
0
0
9
2
9
2
Total
Annual
Openings
2
1
City of Little Rock Profile
The City of Little Rock WIA has numerous attractions and resources for people to enjoy. There are a number of museums in
the Area, including the Arkansas Arts Center. Located in the historic MacArthur Park, the Center houses art galleries, a
Children’s Theater, and other attractions related to the arts. As Arkansas’s only major airport, the Bill and Hillary Clinton
National Airport transports over 2.2 million passengers in and out of the city each year. Central High School is considered one
of Arkansas's most important historical landmarks. In 1957, the school was brought to national attention in one of the earliest
school desegregation struggles in the modern civil rights movement. With the addition of the Clinton Presidential Library and
the revitalization of the River Market District, the downtown area has become a tourist destination for the state and Area.
The City of Little Rock WIA is a center for government operations, serving as the county seat of Pulaski County as well as
the state’s capital. The Area is recognized as part of the Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway Metropolitan Statistical Area.
Three four-year colleges are located in the City of Little Rock: one public university, the University of Arkansas at Little
Rock; and three private colleges, Arkansas Baptist College, Philander Smith College, and Remington College. It is also home
to the University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences and the UALR William H. Bowen School of Law, one of two law schools
in the state.
The City of Little Rock WIA is expected to grow by 15,533 jobs during the 2012-2022 projections period, or an increase of 8.33 percent. Goods-Producing industries are
projected to experience a net growth of 231 jobs, while Services-Providing industries are predicted to add 15,391. Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, however, is
expected to experience a decline of 89.
Education and Health Services is estimated to be the top supersector in the Area adding an anticipated 6,984 new jobs. Leisure and Hospitality is projected to be the fastest
growing supersector with a gain of 17.82 percent. Food Services and Drinking Places is estimated to add 2,424 jobs making it the top growing industry, while Machinery
Manufacturing could see a significant rise in jobs with a growth of more than 75 percent. Food Manufacturing is predicted to be the top declining industry with a loss of 181,
while Miscellaneous Manufacturing could be the fastest declining industry with a loss of 43.46 percent. The Information supersector is estimated to lose 229 jobs.
City of Little Rock WIA employers are expected to have 5,947 annual openings during the projection period. Of these, 4,247 would be for replacement and 1,700 for growth and
expansion. Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations is predicted to be the top growing major group with 2,522 new jobs. Personal Care and Service Occupations
is expected to be the fastest growing major group with an increase of 22.59 percent. Driving this growth is Personal Care Aides, which is estimated to be the top and fastest
growing occupation with a growth of 910, an increase of 53 percent. Data Entry Clerks is estimated to lose 116 jobs, while Electromechanical Equipment Assemblers could lose
32.56 percent of its workforce. Retail Salespersons is estimated to have the most annual openings with 242 during the projection period.
53
54
City of Little Rock Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
NAICS
Code
000000
000671
006010
007010
101000
101100
110000
210000
101200
101300
102000
102100
420000
440000
480000
220000
102200
102300
520000
530000
102400
540000
550000
560000
102500
610000
620000
102600
710000
720000
102700
102800
NAICS Title
Total All Industries
Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Self Employed Workers, All Jobs
Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Goods Producing
Natural Resources and Mining
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
Durable Goods Manufacturing
Services Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and Warehousing
Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Professional and Business Services
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Education and Health Services
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Leisure and Hospitality
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Government)
Government
2012
Estimated
Employment
186,552
10,670
10,554
116
12,279
511
59
452
4,221
7,547
2,648
4,899
163,603
27,633
6,876
14,387
4,736
1,634
5,408
13,431
10,616
2,815
23,128
9,311
3,382
10,435
47,158
12,166
34,992
13,561
1,301
12,260
9,755
23,529
2022
Projected
Employment
202,085
10,581
10,477
104
12,510
504
56
448
4,306
7,700
2,380
5,320
178,994
29,162
7,522
15,288
4,657
1,695
5,179
14,481
11,567
2,914
23,687
9,458
3,668
10,561
54,142
13,969
40,173
15,978
1,228
14,750
10,750
25,615
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
15,533
-89
-77
-12
231
-7
-3
-4
85
153
-268
421
15,391
1,529
646
901
-79
61
-229
1,050
951
99
559
147
286
126
6,984
1,803
5,181
2,417
-73
2,490
995
2,086
8.33%
-0.83%
-0.73%
-10.34%
1.88%
-1.37%
-5.08%
-0.88%
2.01%
2.03%
-10.12%
8.59%
9.41%
5.53%
9.39%
6.26%
-1.67%
3.73%
-4.23%
7.82%
8.96%
3.52%
2.42%
1.58%
8.46%
1.21%
14.81%
14.82%
14.81%
17.82%
-5.61%
20.31%
10.20%
8.87%
City of Little Rock Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections Rankings (by NAICS Subsector)
Top 10 Growing Industries Ranked by Net Growth
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
722000
622000
999200
611000
624000
621000
813000
524000
333000
623000
Food Services and Drinking Places
Hospitals
State Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals
Educational Services
Social Assistance
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities
Machinery Manufacturing
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
10,349
20,295
13,390
12,166
4,343
8,104
6,844
6,144
736
2,250
12,773
22,327
15,362
13,969
6,124
9,125
7,725
6,732
1,291
2,597
2,424
2,032
1,972
1,803
1,781
1,021
881
588
555
347
23.42%
10.01%
14.73%
14.82%
41.01%
12.60%
12.87%
9.57%
75.41%
15.42%
Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
2012
2022
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Projected
Code
Employment Employment
333000
451000
624000
425000
722000
327000
488000
562000
623000
447000
Machinery Manufacturing
Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, and Music Stores
Social Assistance
Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers
Food Services and Drinking Places
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
Support Activities for Transportation
Waste Management and Remediation Service
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Gasoline Stations
736
620
4,343
1,094
10,349
164
742
376
2,250
642
1,291
928
6,124
1,405
12,773
193
869
434
2,597
739
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
555
308
1,781
311
2,424
29
127
58
347
97
75.41%
49.68%
41.01%
28.43%
23.42%
17.68%
17.12%
15.43%
15.42%
15.11%
55
56
Top 5 Declining Industries Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
311000
491100
517000
339000
811000
Food Manufacturing
Postal Service
Telecommunications
Miscellaneous Manufacturing
Repair and Maintenance
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
847
994
2,967
214
924
666
825
2,807
121
858
-181
-169
-160
-93
-66
-21.37%
-17.00%
-5.39%
-43.46%
-7.14%
Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five)
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
339000
115000
311000
493000
321000
Miscellaneous Manufacturing
Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry
Food Manufacturing
Warehousing and Storage
Wood Product Manufacturing
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
214
28
847
127
159
121
22
666
100
128
-93
-6
-181
-27
-31
-43.46%
-21.43%
-21.37%
-21.26%
-19.50%
City of Little Rock Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
SOC
Code
SOC Title
00-0000
Total, All Occupations
11-0000
13-0000
15-0000
17-0000
19-0000
21-0000
23-0000
25-0000
27-0000
29-0000
31-0000
33-0000
35-0000
37-0000
39-0000
41-0000
43-0000
45-0000
47-0000
49-0000
51-0000
53-0000
Management Occupations
Business and Financial Operations Occupations
Computer and Mathematical Occupations
Architecture and Engineering Occupations
Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations
Community and Social Service Occupations
Legal Occupations
Education, Training, and Library Occupations
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations
Healthcare Support Occupations
Protective Service Occupations
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations
Personal Care and Service Occupations
Sales and Related Occupations
Office and Administrative Support Occupations
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations
Construction and Extraction Occupations
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Production Occupations
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
8.33%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
1,700
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
4,247
7.52%
10.09%
11.77%
3.41%
11.56%
12.81%
4.49%
15.98%
2.64%
10.63%
14.45%
4.26%
19.97%
4.10%
22.59%
6.98%
3.54%
3.51%
2.66%
4.80%
1.31%
4.75%
86
114
61
12
20
58
12
148
13
187
83
18
252
32
124
134
198
1
17
38
33
58
229
238
99
58
52
100
43
191
68
354
108
103
452
157
107
501
760
6
85
160
144
233
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
186,552
202,085
15,533
11,277
11,109
5,124
2,555
1,730
4,537
2,652
9,257
2,997
17,406
5,590
4,180
12,627
7,629
5,365
17,677
35,496
228
5,037
6,836
7,174
10,069
12,125
12,230
5,727
2,642
1,930
5,118
2,771
10,736
3,076
19,256
6,398
4,358
15,149
7,942
6,577
18,911
36,753
236
5,171
7,164
7,268
10,547
848
1,121
603
87
200
581
119
1,479
79
1,850
808
178
2,522
313
1,212
1,234
1,257
8
134
328
94
478
Total
Annual
Openings
5,947
315
352
160
70
72
158
55
339
81
541
191
121
704
189
231
635
958
7
102
198
177
291
57
58
City of Little Rock Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections Rankings
Top 10 Growing Occupations Ranked by Net Growth
SOC
Code
39-9021
29-1141
35-3021
41-2031
43-6014
43-4051
35-3031
31-1014
35-2014
41-4012
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Registered Nurses
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Retail Salespersons
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal,
Medical, and Executive
Customer Service Representatives
Waiters and Waitresses
Nursing Assistants
Cooks, Restaurant
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except
Technical and Scientific Products
53.00%
11.88%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
91
83
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
12
135
820
28.01%
82
112
194
6,057
545
9.89%
54
188
242
4,010
4,422
412
10.27%
41
48
89
5,137
2,328
2,711
1,144
5,547
2,721
3,046
1,469
410
393
335
325
7.98%
16.88%
12.36%
28.41%
41
39
34
32
140
112
52
23
181
151
86
55
2,121
2,408
287
13.53%
29
41
70
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
12
11
1
2
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
1,717
6,955
2,627
7,781
910
826
2,928
3,748
5,512
Total
Annual
Openings
103
218
Top 10 Fastest Declining Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
SOC
Code
39-9021
31-1011
25-1071
25-1072
51-4033
29-2032
13-1081
43-4061
49-9062
15-2031
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Home Health Aides
Health Specialties Teachers, Postsecondary
Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary
Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters,
Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Diagnostic Medical Sonographers
Logisticians
Eligibility Interviewers, Government Programs
Medical Equipment Repairers
Operations Research Analysts
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
1,717
589
52
135
2,627
865
74
185
910
276
22
50
53.00%
46.86%
42.31%
37.04%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
91
28
2
5
78
104
26
33.33%
3
2
5
96
163
598
89
92
127
215
783
116
119
31
52
185
27
27
32.29%
31.90%
30.94%
30.34%
29.35%
3
5
18
3
3
1
2
12
2
2
4
7
30
5
5
Percent
Growth
Total
Annual
Openings
103
39
3
7
Top 10 Occupations Ranked by Annual Openings
SOC
Code
41-2031
29-1141
35-3021
43-4051
35-3031
41-2011
43-9061
39-9021
43-1011
37-2011
SOC Title
Retail Salespersons
Registered Nurses
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Customer Service Representatives
Waiters and Waitresses
Cashiers
Office Clerks, General
Personal Care Aides
First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support
Workers
Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping
Cleaners
9.89%
11.88%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
54
83
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
188
135
820
28.01%
82
112
194
5,547
2,721
2,729
4,924
2,627
410
393
94
-13
910
7.98%
16.88%
3.57%
-0.26%
53.00%
41
39
9
0
91
140
112
114
104
12
181
151
123
104
103
3,041
3,290
249
8.19%
25
72
97
3,732
3,931
199
5.33%
20
70
90
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
429
2,199
313
2,114
-116
-85
-27.04%
-3.87%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
0
0
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
5
66
322
260
-62
-19.25%
0
2
2
340
1,220
286
1,173
-54
-47
-15.88%
-3.85%
0
0
12
15
12
15
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
Total
Annual
Openings
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
5,512
6,955
6,057
7,781
545
826
2,928
3,748
5,137
2,328
2,635
4,937
1,717
Percent
Growth
Total
Annual
Openings
242
218
Top 5 Declining Occupations Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
SOC
Code
43-9021
43-5081
43-5053
43-5052
43-6011
SOC Title
Data Entry Keyers
Stock Clerks and Order Fillers
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing
Machine Operators
Postal Service Mail Carriers
Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants
Percent
Growth
Total
Annual
Openings
5
66
Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five) (Minimum Decline of 5)
SOC
Code
SOC Title
51-2023
Electromechanical Equipment Assemblers
43-9021
41-3041
43-9022
Data Entry Keyers
Travel Agents
Word Processors and Typists
Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and
Tenders, Metal and Plastic
51-4021
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
43
29
-14
-32.56%
0
0
0
429
37
110
313
28
84
-116
-9
-26
-27.04%
-24.32%
-23.64%
0
0
0
5
1
0
5
1
0
45
35
-10
-22.22%
0
1
1
Percent
Growth
59
60
Eastern Arkansas Profile
The Eastern Arkansas WIA is home to several national historic landmarks and interesting facts. The Parkin Archeological
Park, in Parkin, is a former American Indian village that some scholars believe was the village “Casqui,” visited during the
expedition of Hernando De Soto in 1541. In addition, on the border of Lee and Phillips Counties, a granite monument marks the
initial site for the East/West baseline of the 1815 survey of the Louisiana Purchase. Village Creek State Park, located in the
Crowley’s Ridge Area, is known for its fishing, hiking trails, and lush scenery. The King Biscuit Time radio show, the longest
running daily radio show in the nation, has broadcast blues music for over 70 years on KFFA in Helena.
The Eastern Arkansas Workforce Investment Area consists of five counties: Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Phillips, and St. Francis.
With Tennessee bordering this Area to the east, Crittenden County, makes up a portion of the Memphis Metropolitan Statistical
Area, the fifty-fifth largest in the United States.
Although there are no four-year colleges in the Area, several two-year institutions offer a variety of programs. Crowley’s
Ridge Technical Institute and East Arkansas Community College are in Forrest City, Phillips County Community College of
the University of Arkansas System is in Helena, and Mid-South Community College is in West Memphis, which has merged
into the Arkansas State University System.
The Eastern Arkansas WIA is expected to gain 3,021 net jobs during the 2012-2022 projection period. Goods-Producing industries are projected to gain 333 jobs, while the
Services-Providing industries are predicted to gain 2,636. Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers are predicted to gain 52 jobs during the projection period.
The Education and Health Services supersector is expected to add the most jobs with 1,572 anticipated. At 16.87 percent, Professional and Business Services is projected to
be the fastest growing supersector in the Eastern Arkansas WIA. Social Assistance is estimated to be the top growing industry with a gain of 1,027 jobs, while Waste Management
and Remediation Service is predicted to be the fastest growing industry with a gain of 58.33 percent of its workforce. Accommodation, including Hotels and Motels is projected to
be the top declining industry with a loss of 81, while Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers could lose 36.92 percent of its workforce and be the fastest declining
industry.
The Area is expected to have 1,348 annual openings during the projection period with 999 being for replacement and the remaining 349 for growth and expansion. Personal
Care and Service Occupations is projected to be the top and fastest growing major group with an anticipated gain of 558 jobs, an increase of 31.05 percent. Driving this growth
is Personal Care Aides with a gain of 396, or an increase of 50.97 percent. Stock Clerks and Order Fillers is estimated to be the top declining occupation with a loss of 50, while
Data Entry Clerks is forecasted to lose 23.08 percent of its workforce and be the fastest declining occupation in the Area. Overall, the Sales and Related Occupations major
group could lose 45 jobs, or just over one percent of its workforce. Cashiers leads the Area in the number of annual openings with 60.
Eastern Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
NAICS
Code
000000
000671
006010
007010
101000
101100
101200
101300
102000
102100
420000
440000
480000
220000
102200
102300
520000
530000
102400
540000
550000
560000
102500
610000
620000
102600
710000
720000
102700
102800
NAICS Title
Total All Industries
Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Self Employed Workers, All Jobs
Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Goods Producing
Natural Resources and Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
Durable Goods Manufacturing
Services Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and Warehousing
Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Professional and Business Services
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Education and Health Services
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Leisure and Hospitality
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Government)
Government
2012
Estimated
Employment
42,615
4,067
4,036
31
5,214
1,236
758
3,220
1,718
1,502
33,334
9,566
2,031
4,797
2,515
223
227
1,405
876
529
2,181
489
176
1,516
10,896
4,824
6,072
3,358
601
2,757
1,241
4,460
2022
Projected
Employment
45,636
4,119
4,093
26
5,547
1,297
720
3,530
1,834
1,696
35,970
9,695
2,148
4,664
2,655
228
224
1,417
891
526
2,549
539
192
1,818
12,468
4,845
7,623
3,635
646
2,989
1,319
4,663
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
3,021
52
57
-5
333
61
-38
310
116
194
2,636
129
117
-133
140
5
-3
12
15
-3
368
50
16
302
1,572
21
1,551
277
45
232
78
203
7.09%
1.28%
1.41%
-16.13%
6.39%
4.94%
-5.01%
9.63%
6.75%
12.92%
7.91%
1.35%
5.76%
-2.77%
5.57%
2.24%
-1.32%
0.85%
1.71%
-0.57%
16.87%
10.22%
9.09%
19.92%
14.43%
0.44%
25.54%
8.25%
7.49%
8.41%
6.29%
4.55%
61
62
Eastern Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections Rankings (by NAICS Subsector)
Top 10 Growing Industries Ranked by Net Growth
NAICS
Code
624000
722000
623000
999100
561000
621000
484000
424000
311000
813000
NAICS Title
Social Assistance
Food Services and Drinking Places
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Federal Government, Excluding Post Office
Administrative and Support Services
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Truck Transportation
Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods
Food Manufacturing
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
2,355
2,358
1,108
701
1,396
1,544
1,133
1,068
644
615
3,382
2,671
1,409
945
1,628
1,766
1,258
1,187
725
694
1,027
313
301
244
232
222
125
119
81
79
43.61%
13.27%
27.17%
34.81%
16.62%
14.38%
11.03%
11.14%
12.58%
12.85%
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
120
2,355
701
1,108
1,396
1,544
256
2,358
615
644
190
3,382
945
1,409
1,628
1,766
290
2,671
694
725
70
1,027
244
301
232
222
34
313
79
81
58.33%
43.61%
34.81%
27.17%
16.62%
14.38%
13.28%
13.27%
12.85%
12.58%
Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
NAICS
Code
562000
624000
999100
623000
561000
621000
524000
722000
813000
311000
NAICS Title
Waste Management and Remediation Service
Social Assistance
Federal Government, Excluding Post Office
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Administrative and Support Services
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities
Food Services and Drinking Places
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations
Food Manufacturing
Top 5 Declining Industries Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
399
869
1,586
118
227
318
803
1,529
78
188
-81
-66
-57
-40
-39
-20.30%
-7.59%
-3.59%
-33.90%
-17.18%
Top 5 Fastest Declining Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five)
2012
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Code
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
41
78
318
188
74
-24
-40
-81
-39
-14
-36.92%
-33.90%
-20.30%
-17.18%
-15.91%
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
721000
445000
999200
327000
491100
Accommodation, including Hotels and Motels
Food and Beverage Stores
State Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
Postal Service
425000
327000
721000
491100
442000
Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
Accommodation, including Hotels and Motels
Postal Service
Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores
65
118
399
227
88
63
64
Eastern Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
SOC
Code
SOC Title
00-0000
Total, All Occupations
11-0000
13-0000
15-0000
17-0000
19-0000
21-0000
23-0000
25-0000
27-0000
29-0000
31-0000
33-0000
35-0000
37-0000
39-0000
41-0000
43-0000
45-0000
47-0000
49-0000
51-0000
53-0000
Management Occupations
Business and Financial Operations Occupations
Computer and Mathematical Occupations
Architecture and Engineering Occupations
Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations
Community and Social Service Occupations
Legal Occupations
Education, Training, and Library Occupations
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations
Healthcare Support Occupations
Protective Service Occupations
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations
Personal Care and Service Occupations
Sales and Related Occupations
Office and Administrative Support Occupations
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations
Construction and Extraction Occupations
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Production Occupations
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
7.09%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
349
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
999
2.89%
10.57%
5.13%
8.77%
17.45%
14.81%
3.40%
3.85%
7.24%
10.82%
25.66%
8.75%
11.58%
3.56%
31.05%
-1.02%
0.92%
3.76%
2.27%
5.26%
10.38%
5.86%
12
6
1
2
3
13
1
14
2
23
45
13
39
6
56
4
23
3
5
13
36
32
67
12
2
4
4
20
4
72
6
43
34
40
108
31
32
138
128
21
24
50
60
100
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
42,615
45,636
3,021
3,734
596
117
171
149
891
235
3,325
221
2,097
1,734
1,428
3,325
1,544
1,797
4,401
5,524
745
1,279
2,073
2,841
4,388
3,842
659
123
186
175
1,023
243
3,453
237
2,324
2,179
1,553
3,710
1,599
2,355
4,356
5,575
773
1,308
2,182
3,136
4,645
108
63
6
15
26
132
8
128
16
227
445
125
385
55
558
-45
51
28
29
109
295
257
Total
Annual
Openings
1,348
79
18
3
6
7
33
5
86
8
66
79
53
147
37
88
142
151
24
29
63
96
132
Eastern Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections Rankings
Top 10 Growing Occupations Ranked by Net Growth
SOC
Code
39-9021
31-1011
35-3021
53-7062
53-3032
33-3012
39-9011
43-6014
29-2061
49-9041
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Home Health Aides
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Correctional Officers and Jailers
Childcare Workers
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal,
Medical, and Executive
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
Industrial Machinery Mechanics
50.97%
40.22%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
40
29
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
6
14
161
18.76%
16
33
49
1,287
1,255
816
565
141
109
87
70
12.30%
9.51%
11.93%
14.14%
14
11
9
7
36
18
19
15
50
29
28
22
827
894
67
8.10%
7
10
17
357
229
420
284
63
55
17.65%
24.02%
6
6
9
7
15
13
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
777
726
1,173
1,018
396
292
858
1,019
1,146
1,146
729
495
Total
Annual
Openings
46
43
Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
SOC
Code
39-9021
31-1011
21-1022
39-9032
21-1093
49-9041
51-9061
21-1023
29-1171
35-2014
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Home Health Aides
Healthcare Social Workers
Recreation Workers
Social and Human Service Assistants
Industrial Machinery Mechanics
Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers
Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers
Nurse Practitioners
Cooks, Restaurant
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
Total
Annual
Openings
777
726
57
126
186
229
91
52
58
188
1,173
1,018
77
162
232
284
112
63
70
225
396
292
20
36
46
55
21
11
12
37
50.97%
40.22%
35.09%
28.57%
24.73%
24.02%
23.08%
21.15%
20.69%
19.68%
40
29
2
4
5
6
2
1
1
4
6
14
1
2
5
7
2
1
1
4
46
43
3
6
10
13
4
2
2
8
65
66
Top 10 Occupations Ranked by Annual Openings
SOC
Code
41-2011
53-7062
35-3021
39-9021
31-1011
11-9013
41-2031
53-3032
33-3012
35-3031
SOC Title
Cashiers
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Personal Care Aides
Home Health Aides
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Retail Salespersons
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Correctional Officers and Jailers
Waiters and Waitresses
-2.75%
12.30%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
0
14
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
60
36
161
18.76%
16
33
49
396
292
16
-34
109
87
43
50.97%
40.22%
0.74%
-3.25%
9.51%
11.93%
8.48%
40
29
2
0
11
9
4
6
14
35
36
18
19
24
46
43
37
36
29
28
28
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
Total
Annual
Openings
0
0
0
0
0
17
60
36
4
4
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
0
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
1,381
1,146
1,343
1,287
-38
141
858
1,019
777
726
2,148
1,047
1,146
729
507
1,173
1,018
2,164
1,013
1,255
816
550
Total
Annual
Openings
60
50
Top 5 Declining Occupations Ranked by Net Growth
SOC
Code
43-5081
41-2011
41-2031
43-5052
53-3022
SOC Title
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Stock Clerks and Order Fillers
Cashiers
Retail Salespersons
Postal Service Mail Carriers
Bus Drivers, School or Special Client
574
1,381
1,047
130
237
524
1,343
1,013
110
217
-50
-38
-34
-20
-20
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
26
20
-6
-23.08%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
0
22
17
-5
-22.73%
0
0
0
32
33
107
25
27
88
-7
-6
-19
-21.88%
-18.18%
-17.76%
0
0
0
0
1
5
0
1
5
Percent
Growth
-8.71%
-2.75%
-3.25%
-15.38%
-8.44%
17
60
36
4
4
Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Decline of 5)
SOC
Code
43-9021
43-5053
43-5051
43-5041
43-4081
SOC Title
Data Entry Keyers
Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing
Machine Operators
Postal Service Clerks
Meter Readers, Utilities
Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks
Percent
Growth
Total
Annual
Openings
0
Southwest Arkansas Profile
The Southwest Arkansas WIA contains some of the finest attractions in Arkansas. The Arkansas Museum of Natural Resources
in Smackover revisits the industrial and social history associated with the oil boom of the 1920s. The South Arkansas Arboretum
State Park in El Dorado preserves exotic plants and flowering species native to the West Gulf Coastal Plain region of the United
States, while the City of Hope is the center for watermelon production in Arkansas.
The Southwest Arkansas WIA is the largest Workforce Area in the state in terms of the number of counties represented. Twelve
counties are located within this region: Calhoun, Columbia, Dallas, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada,
Ouachita, Sevier, and Union. Three states border the Area: Oklahoma to the west, Texas to the southwest, and Louisiana to the
south. Miller County is part of the Texarkana AR/TX Metropolitan Statistical Area.
Several educational opportunities are available in the Southwest Arkansas WIA. Southern Arkansas University in Magnolia is
the only four-year college, while Cossatot Community College, University of Arkansas Community College at Hope, South
Arkansas Community College, and Southern Arkansas University-Tech are all two-year colleges located in the Area.
Employment in Southwest Arkansas is forecasted to increase by 4,141, or a 4.48 percent growth during the 2012-2022 projections period. Goods-Producing industries are
projected to gain 172 jobs, while the Services-Providing industries are predicted to increase by 4,375 jobs. The Area is expected to lose 406 Self-Employed and Unpaid Family
Workers.
Education and Health Services is estimated to be the top and fastest growing supersector with a gain of 2,764 jobs, a growth of 15.10 percent. Social Assistance is predicted
to lead all industries in net growth with a gain of 1,001 jobs and be the second fastest growing industry at 44.59 percent. Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers is
anticipated to be the fastest growing industry with a gain of 66.27 percent. On the negative side of the economy, Paper Manufacturing is expected to be the top declining industry,
losing 151 jobs between 2012 and 2022, while Support Activities for Transportation could be the fastest declining industry with a loss of 36.07 percent of its workforce. Natural
Resources and Mining is projected to have the toughest outlook among the supersectors with a loss of 147, almost six percent of its workforce.
Between 2012 and 2022, Southwest Arkansas employers are estimated to have 2,656 job openings annually. The Area is forecasted to have 2,098 replacement annual openings
and 558 annual openings due to growth. The Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations major group is expected to add the most jobs with 749 new jobs anticipated,
while Personal Care and Service Occupations are forecasted to be the fastest growing major group with an increase of 26.79 percent. Driving this growth is Personal Care
Aides with an increase of 536 jobs, a 50.14 percent rise in employment making it the top and fastest growing occupation in the Area. Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural
Managers is estimated to be the top declining occupation with a loss of 290, while Sewing Machine Operators could lose over two-thirds of its workforce making it the fastest
declining occupation. The Transportation and Material Moving Occupations major group is expected to lose 106 jobs between 2012 and 2022. Cashiers is expected to have
the most annual openings with 113 between 2012 and 2022.
67
68
Southwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
NAICS
Code
000000
000671
006010
007010
101000
101100
110000
210000
101200
101300
102000
102100
420000
440000
480000
220000
102200
102300
520000
530000
102400
540000
550000
560000
102500
610000
620000
102600
710000
720000
102700
102800
NAICS Title
Total All Industries
Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Self Employed Workers, All Jobs
Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Goods Producing
Natural Resources and Mining
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
Durable Goods Manufacturing
Services Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and Warehousing
Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Professional and Business Services
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Education and Health Services
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Leisure and Hospitality
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Government)
Government
2012
Estimated
Employment
92,376
9,636
9,570
66
26,279
2,489
1,462
1,027
4,763
19,027
10,738
8,289
56,461
15,623
2,397
8,859
3,821
546
471
2,769
1,954
815
4,201
1,082
721
2,398
18,309
8,579
9,730
5,346
366
4,980
3,406
6,336
2022
Projected
Employment
96,517
9,230
9,174
56
26,451
2,342
1,393
949
4,912
19,197
10,631
8,566
60,836
16,195
2,739
9,244
3,628
584
459
2,787
1,924
863
4,266
1,044
837
2,385
21,073
8,752
12,321
6,059
383
5,676
3,633
6,364
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
4,141
-406
-396
-10
172
-147
-69
-78
149
170
-107
277
4,375
572
342
385
-193
38
-12
18
-30
48
65
-38
116
-13
2,764
173
2,591
713
17
696
227
28
4.48%
-4.21%
-4.14%
-15.15%
0.65%
-5.91%
-4.72%
-7.59%
3.13%
0.89%
-1.00%
3.34%
7.75%
3.66%
14.27%
4.35%
-5.05%
6.96%
-2.55%
0.65%
-1.54%
5.89%
1.55%
-3.51%
16.09%
-0.54%
15.10%
2.02%
26.63%
13.34%
4.64%
13.98%
6.66%
0.44%
Southwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections Rankings (by NAICS Subsector)
Top 10 Growing Industries Ranked by Net Growth
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
624000
621000
722000
623000
332000
425000
813000
611000
325000
321000
Social Assistance
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Food Services and Drinking Places
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing
Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations
Educational Services
Chemical Manufacturing
Wood Product Manufacturing
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
2,245
2,438
4,373
3,227
2,655
415
2,137
8,579
1,427
2,202
3,246
3,405
5,074
3,746
3,095
690
2,343
8,752
1,592
2,365
1,001
967
701
519
440
275
206
173
165
163
44.59%
39.66%
16.03%
16.08%
16.57%
66.27%
9.64%
2.02%
11.56%
7.40%
Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
2012
2022
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Projected
Code
Employment Employment
425000
624000
621000
999100
332000
551000
623000
722000
562000
325000
Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers
Social Assistance
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Federal Government, Excluding Post Office
Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Food Services and Drinking Places
Waste Management and Remediation Service
Chemical Manufacturing
415
2,245
2,438
303
2,655
721
3,227
4,373
442
1,427
690
3,246
3,405
366
3,095
837
3,746
5,074
510
1,592
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
275
1,001
967
63
440
116
519
701
68
165
66.27%
44.59%
39.66%
20.79%
16.57%
16.09%
16.08%
16.03%
15.38%
11.56%
69
70
Top 5 Declining Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five)
2012
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Code
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
1,473
498
949
2,710
416
1,322
367
823
2,598
304
-151
-131
-126
-112
-112
-10.25%
-26.31%
-13.28%
-4.13%
-26.92%
Top 5 Declining Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five)
2012
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Code
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
78
304
367
332
132
-44
-112
-131
-68
-26
-36.07%
-26.92%
-26.31%
-17.00%
-16.46%
322000
331000
441000
326000
336000
488000
336000
331000
491100
486000
Paper Manufacturing
Primary Metal Manufacturing
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing
Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
Support Activities for Transportation
Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
Primary Metal Manufacturing
Postal Service
Pipeline Transportation
122
416
498
400
158
Southwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
00-0000
Total, All Occupations
92,376
96,517
4,141
4.48%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
558
11-0000
13-0000
15-0000
17-0000
19-0000
21-0000
23-0000
25-0000
27-0000
29-0000
31-0000
33-0000
35-0000
37-0000
39-0000
41-0000
43-0000
45-0000
47-0000
49-0000
51-0000
53-0000
Management Occupations
Business and Financial Operations Occupations
Computer and Mathematical Occupations
Architecture and Engineering Occupations
Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations
Community and Social Service Occupations
Legal Occupations
Education, Training, and Library Occupations
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations
Healthcare Support Occupations
Protective Service Occupations
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations
Personal Care and Service Occupations
Sales and Related Occupations
Office and Administrative Support Occupations
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations
Construction and Extraction Occupations
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Production Occupations
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
9,314
1,930
428
948
360
1,674
302
5,205
671
3,528
2,874
1,492
5,552
2,754
2,617
7,446
11,595
1,102
6,300
4,415
13,124
8,745
9,180
2,076
451
966
385
1,901
300
5,446
677
4,169
3,367
1,545
6,301
2,851
3,318
7,978
11,758
1,045
6,364
4,575
13,225
8,639
-134
146
23
18
25
227
-2
241
6
641
493
53
749
97
701
532
163
-57
64
160
101
-106
-1.44%
7.56%
5.37%
1.90%
6.94%
13.56%
-0.66%
4.63%
0.89%
18.17%
17.15%
3.55%
13.49%
3.52%
26.79%
7.14%
1.41%
-5.17%
1.02%
3.62%
0.77%
-1.21%
17
16
2
4
3
23
0
25
2
64
50
5
76
10
70
54
44
1
16
23
41
9
SOC
Code
SOC Title
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
2,098
166
40
7
24
11
38
5
111
16
75
55
40
175
56
49
237
264
28
120
107
282
194
Total
Annual
Openings
2,656
183
56
9
28
14
61
5
136
18
139
105
45
251
66
119
291
308
29
136
130
323
203
71
72
Southwest Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections Rankings
Top 10 Growing Occupations Ranked by Net Growth
SOC
Code
39-9021
35-3021
29-2061
31-1011
31-1014
41-4012
29-1141
41-2011
35-1012
41-2031
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
Home Health Aides
Nursing Assistants
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except
Technical and Scientific Products
Registered Nurses
Cashiers
First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers
Retail Salespersons
50.14%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
54
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
8
333
21.71%
33
59
92
1,156
915
1,509
211
182
172
22.33%
24.83%
12.86%
21
18
17
23
14
25
44
32
42
810
980
170
20.99%
17
16
33
966
2,289
630
2,144
1,116
2,424
744
2,255
150
135
114
111
15.53%
5.90%
18.10%
5.18%
15
14
11
11
19
99
18
73
34
113
29
84
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
1,069
55
51
99
265
135
133
733
52
71
1,605
80
70
134
347
174
169
915
64
87
536
25
19
35
82
39
36
182
12
16
50.14%
45.45%
37.25%
35.35%
30.94%
28.89%
27.07%
24.83%
23.08%
22.54%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
54
2
2
4
8
4
4
18
1
2
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
8
1
1
1
7
3
4
14
1
1
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
1,069
1,605
536
1,534
1,867
945
733
1,337
Total
Annual
Openings
62
Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
SOC
Code
39-9021
31-2021
21-1022
43-6013
21-1093
31-9091
29-2041
31-1011
21-1011
47-2132
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Physical Therapist Assistants
Healthcare Social Workers
Medical Secretaries
Social and Human Service Assistants
Dental Assistants
Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics
Home Health Aides
Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors
Insulation Workers, Mechanical
Total
Annual
Openings
62
3
3
5
15
7
8
32
2
3
Top 10 Occupations Ranked by Annual Openings
SOC
Code
41-2011
35-3021
11-9013
41-2031
39-9021
53-7062
53-3032
29-2061
31-1014
43-9061
SOC Title
Cashiers
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Retail Salespersons
Personal Care Aides
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
Nursing Assistants
Office Clerks, General
5.90%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
14
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
99
333
21.71%
33
59
92
-290
111
536
47
-44
211
172
-57
-5.21%
5.18%
50.14%
2.84%
-1.41%
22.33%
12.86%
-2.89%
0
11
54
5
0
21
17
0
90
73
8
51
50
23
25
41
90
84
62
56
50
44
42
41
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
2,289
2,424
135
1,534
1,867
5,564
2,144
1,069
1,656
3,127
945
1,337
1,972
5,274
2,255
1,605
1,703
3,083
1,156
1,509
1,915
Total
Annual
Openings
113
Top 5 Declining Occupations Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
SOC
Code
11-9013
43-9061
53-7051
51-6031
53-3032
SOC Title
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Office Clerks, General
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators
Sewing Machine Operators
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
Total
Annual
Openings
5,564
1,972
510
73
3,127
5,274
1,915
457
23
3,083
-290
-57
-53
-50
-44
-5.21%
-2.89%
-10.39%
-68.49%
-1.41%
0
0
0
0
0
90
41
12
0
50
90
41
12
0
50
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
Total
Annual
Openings
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five) (Minimum Decline of 5)
SOC
Code
51-6031
45-4023
43-9021
43-9022
43-9011
SOC Title
Sewing Machine Operators
Log Graders and Scalers
Data Entry Keyers
Word Processors and Typists
Computer Operators
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
73
65
78
34
22
23
44
54
26
17
-50
-21
-24
-8
-5
-68.49%
-32.31%
-30.77%
-23.53%
-22.73%
73
74
Southeast Arkansas Profile
Several attractions can be found in the Southeast Arkansas WIA. In Gillett, the Arkansas Post Museum, the first capital of
the Arkansas Territory, explores the history of and life on the Grand Prairie and the Delta. Lake Chicot, near Lake Village, is
Arkansas’s largest natural lake and the largest natural oxbow lake in the nation, offering excellent fishing opportunities. The
Arkansas River flows into the Mississippi River near Arkansas City, while Stuttgart is home to the World Championship
Duck Calling Contest each fall.
The Southeast Arkansas WIA consists of 10 counties: Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Cleveland, Desha, Drew, Grant,
Jefferson, and Lincoln. Two states border the Southeast Arkansas WIA, Louisiana to the south and Mississippi to the east;
and the Pine Bluff Metropolitan Statistical Area is located in the Area.
Two campuses of the University of Arkansas system are in the Area, one in Pine Bluff, and the other in Monticello.
Southeast Arkansas College, a two-year institution, is also located in Pine Bluff. Two campuses of Phillips County
Community College, affiliated with the University of Arkansas System, are located in the Arkansas County cities of Stuttgart
and DeWitt. This gives students a variety of choices for their academic studies.
The Southeast Arkansas WIA is expected to increase employment by 2,384 between 2012 and 2022. Goods-Producing industries are projected to lose 856 jobs, while the
Services-Providing industries are predicted to gain 3,647 jobs. The Area is estimated to lose 407 Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers.
The Education and Health Services supersector is projected to lead the Area in net growth with 2,603 new jobs anticipated, while Leisure and Hospitality is estimated to be
the fastest growing supersector during the projection period with an 18.10 percent increase in jobs. Social Assistance is projected to be the top growing industry adding 1,139 jobs
between 2012 and 2022. Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing could be the fastest growing industry with a 45 percent rise in employment. On the negative side of the
economy, Paper Manufacturing is expected to lose 376 jobs during the projection period, while Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing could lose 292 jobs, or more than 30
percent of its workforce, making it the fastest declining industry in the Area.
Southeast Arkansas WIA employment is expected to increase by 2.82 percent between 2012 and 2022. Of the 2,368 job openings projected to be available annually, 454 would
be for growth and expansion, while 1,914 would be for replacement. Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations is predicted to be the top growing adding 947 new
jobs during the projection period. Personal Care and Service Occupations is anticipated to be the fastest growing major group with a gain of 25.68 percent. Personal Care
Aides is estimated to be the top and fastest growing occupation with a gain of 528 jobs, a 44.48 percent rise in employment. Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
is predicted to be the top declining occupation with a loss of 247, while Signal and Track Switch Repairers could lose 37.50 percent of its workforce making it the fastest declining
occupation. Overall in the Southeast Arkansas WIA, eight major groups are anticipated to see net job losses with Production Occupations losing the most at 596, or 5.60 percent
of its workforce. Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food is estimated to have 111 annual job openings between 2012 and 2022.
Southeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections by Major Division
NAICS
Code
000000
000671
006010
007010
101000
101100
110000
210000
101200
101300
102000
102100
420000
440000
480000
220000
102200
102300
520000
530000
102400
540000
550000
560000
102500
610000
620000
102600
710000
720000
102700
102800
NAICS Title
Total All Industries
Total Self Employed and Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Self Employed Workers, All Jobs
Unpaid Family Workers, All Jobs
Goods Producing
Natural Resources and Mining
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Mining
Construction
Manufacturing
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
Durable Goods Manufacturing
Services Providing
Trade, Transportation, and Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation and Warehousing
Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Finance and Insurance
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Professional and Business Services
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services
Education and Health Services
Educational Services
Health Care and Social Assistance
Leisure and Hospitality
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Accommodation and Food Services
Other Services (except Government)
Government
2012
Estimated
Employment
84,530
8,065
8,001
64
20,152
2,523
2,377
146
2,738
14,891
9,003
5,888
56,313
13,509
2,368
7,952
2,509
680
414
2,635
2,084
551
2,799
992
346
1,461
20,120
9,174
10,946
4,520
255
4,265
2,532
9,784
2022
Projected
Employment
86,914
7,658
7,603
55
19,296
2,486
2,349
137
2,604
14,206
8,612
5,594
59,960
13,149
2,361
7,866
2,353
569
398
2,550
2,025
525
2,733
946
385
1,402
22,723
9,253
13,470
5,338
238
5,100
2,741
10,328
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
2,384
-407
-398
-9
-856
-37
-28
-9
-134
-685
-391
-294
3,647
-360
-7
-86
-156
-111
-16
-85
-59
-26
-66
-46
39
-59
2,603
79
2,524
818
-17
835
209
544
2.82%
-5.05%
-4.97%
-14.06%
-4.25%
-1.47%
-1.18%
-6.16%
-4.89%
-4.60%
-4.34%
-4.99%
6.48%
-2.66%
-0.30%
-1.08%
-6.22%
-16.32%
-3.86%
-3.23%
-2.83%
-4.72%
-2.36%
-4.64%
11.27%
-4.04%
12.94%
0.86%
23.06%
18.10%
-6.67%
19.58%
8.25%
5.56%
75
76
Southeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Industry Projections Rankings (by NAICS Subsector)
Top 10 Growing Industries Ranked by Net Growth
NAICS
Code
NAICS Title
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
624000
Social Assistance
2,879
4,018
1,139
39.56%
722000
Food Services and Drinking Places
3,858
4,710
852
22.08%
623000
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
2,496
3,292
796
31.89%
621000
Ambulatory Health Care Services
2,557
3,034
477
18.65%
999200
State Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals
4,458
4,923
465
10.43%
813000
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations
1,528
1,715
187
12.24%
999100
Federal Government, Excluding Post Office
1,938
2,120
182
9.39%
321000
Wood Product Manufacturing
1,563
1,679
116
7.42%
622000
Hospitals
3,014
3,126
112
3.72%
611000
Educational Services
9,174
9,253
79
0.86%
Top 10 Fastest Growing Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
2012
2022
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Projected
Code
Employment Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
100
145
45
45.00%
Social Assistance
2,879
4,018
1,139
39.56%
623000
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
2,496
3,292
796
31.89%
425000
Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers
168
216
48
28.57%
722000
Food Services and Drinking Places
3,858
4,710
852
22.08%
621000
Ambulatory Health Care Services
2,557
3,034
477
18.65%
562000
Waste Management and Remediation Service
86
100
14
16.28%
493000
Warehousing and Storage
415
481
66
15.90%
814000
Private Households
76
88
12
15.79%
448000
Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores
305
344
39
12.79%
327000
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
624000
Top 5 Declining Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five)
2012
2022
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Projected
Code
Employment Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
3,719
3,343
-376
-10.11%
973
681
-292
-30.01%
Food Manufacturing
3,428
3,259
-169
-4.93%
452000
General Merchandise Stores
2,266
2,120
-146
-6.44%
221000
Utilities
680
569
-111
-16.32%
322000
Paper Manufacturing
332000
Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing
311000
Top 5 Declining Industries Ranked by Percent Growth (Bottom Five)
2012
2022
NAICS
NAICS Title
Estimated
Projected
Code
Employment Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
332000
Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing
973
681
-292
-30.01%
491100
Postal Service
355
295
-60
-16.90%
221000
Utilities
680
569
-111
-16.32%
113000
Forestry and Logging
821
717
-104
-12.67%
339000
Miscellaneous Manufacturing
80
71
-9
-11.25%
77
78
Southeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections by Major Group
00-0000
Total, All Occupations
84,530
86,914
2,384
2.82%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
454
11-0000
13-0000
15-0000
17-0000
19-0000
21-0000
23-0000
25-0000
27-0000
29-0000
31-0000
33-0000
35-0000
37-0000
39-0000
41-0000
43-0000
45-0000
47-0000
49-0000
51-0000
53-0000
Management Occupations
Business and Financial Operations Occupations
Computer and Mathematical Occupations
Architecture and Engineering Occupations
Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations
Community and Social Service Occupations
Legal Occupations
Education, Training, and Library Occupations
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations
Healthcare Support Occupations
Protective Service Occupations
Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations
Personal Care and Service Occupations
Sales and Related Occupations
Office and Administrative Support Occupations
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations
Construction and Extraction Occupations
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Production Occupations
Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
8,123
2,263
506
620
708
1,517
348
5,527
657
4,291
3,083
3,233
5,125
2,164
2,465
6,858
10,822
1,834
3,262
4,147
10,646
6,331
7,939
2,369
533
600
755
1,690
351
5,713
677
4,814
3,870
3,440
6,072
2,197
3,098
6,860
10,624
1,800
3,156
4,124
10,050
6,182
-184
106
27
-20
47
173
3
186
20
523
787
207
947
33
633
2
-198
-34
-106
-23
-596
-149
-2.27%
4.68%
5.34%
-3.23%
6.64%
11.40%
0.86%
3.37%
3.04%
12.19%
25.53%
6.40%
18.48%
1.52%
25.68%
0.03%
-1.83%
-1.85%
-3.25%
-0.55%
-5.60%
-2.35%
12
12
3
1
5
17
0
21
3
55
80
21
95
5
64
6
22
2
3
10
12
5
SOC
Code
SOC Title
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
1,914
146
46
9
15
20
34
6
118
15
91
59
85
159
44
43
220
239
44
59
98
220
145
Total
Annual
Openings
2,368
158
58
12
16
25
51
6
139
18
146
139
106
254
49
107
226
261
46
62
108
232
150
Southeast Arkansas Workforce Investment Area
2012-2022 Occupational Projections Rankings
Top 10 Growing Occupations Ranked by Net Growth
SOC
Code
39-9021
35-3021
31-1014
31-1011
29-2061
33-3012
29-1141
35-2011
49-9041
35-3031
43-6014
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Nursing Assistants
Home Health Aides
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
Correctional Officers and Jailers
Registered Nurses
Cooks, Fast Food
Industrial Machinery Mechanics
Waiters and Waitresses
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal,
Medical, and Executive
44.48%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
53
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
8
474
28.52%
47
64
111
1,985
1,259
1,231
2,052
1,190
1,173
711
491
428
310
227
189
127
119
67
62
27.49%
32.67%
22.61%
10.14%
11.95%
11.29%
10.40%
14.45%
43
31
23
19
13
12
7
6
30
18
24
50
21
21
19
21
73
49
47
69
34
33
26
27
1,724
62
3.73%
6
20
26
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
8
18
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
1,187
1,715
528
1,662
2,136
1,557
949
1,004
1,863
1,063
1,054
644
429
1,662
Total
Annual
Openings
61
Top 10 Fastest Growing Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Employment of 50)
SOC
Code
39-9021
31-1011
35-3021
25-1072
31-1014
35-3041
21-1022
29-1171
29-2061
11-9151
SOC Title
Personal Care Aides
Home Health Aides
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Nursing Instructors and Teachers, Postsecondary
Nursing Assistants
Food Servers, Nonrestaurant
Healthcare Social Workers
Nurse Practitioners
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
Social and Community Service Managers
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
1,187
949
1,715
1,259
528
310
44.48%
32.67%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
53
31
1,662
2,136
474
28.52%
47
64
111
50
1,557
217
63
60
1,004
115
64
1,985
274
78
74
1,231
137
14
428
57
15
14
227
22
28.00%
27.49%
26.27%
23.81%
23.33%
22.61%
19.13%
1
43
6
2
1
23
2
1
30
6
1
1
24
2
2
73
12
3
2
47
4
Total
Annual
Openings
61
49
79
80
Top 10 Occupations Ranked by Annual Openings
SOC
Code
35-3021
41-2011
11-9013
31-1014
33-3012
41-2031
39-9021
31-1011
29-2061
53-7062
SOC Title
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including
Fast Food
Cashiers
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Nursing Assistants
Correctional Officers and Jailers
Retail Salespersons
Personal Care Aides
Home Health Aides
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
Total
Annual
Openings
1,662
2,136
474
28.52%
47
64
111
2,167
4,758
1,557
1,863
1,940
1,187
949
1,004
1,435
2,136
4,511
1,985
2,052
1,964
1,715
1,259
1,231
1,441
-31
-247
428
189
24
528
310
227
6
-1.43%
-5.19%
27.49%
10.14%
1.24%
44.48%
32.67%
22.61%
0.42%
0
0
43
19
2
53
31
23
1
94
77
30
50
66
8
18
24
44
94
77
73
69
68
61
49
47
45
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
4,758
915
1,800
641
4,511
811
1,719
561
-247
-104
-81
-80
-5.19%
-11.37%
-4.50%
-12.48%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
0
0
0
0
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
77
28
38
16
493
416
-77
-15.62%
0
4
2012
Estimated
Employment
2022
Projected
Employment
Net
Growth
Percent
Growth
16
33
37
81
10
22
25
57
-6
-11
-12
-24
-37.50%
-33.33%
-32.43%
-29.63%
Annual
Openings
due to
Growth
0
0
0
0
Annual
Openings
due to
Replacement
0
1
1
1
27
19
-8
-29.63%
0
1
Top 5 Declining Occupations Ranked by Net Growth (Bottom Five)
SOC
Code
11-9013
43-5081
43-9061
51-4121
51-4031
SOC Title
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Stock Clerks and Order Fillers
Office Clerks, General
Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers
Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and
Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Total
Annual
Openings
77
28
38
16
4
Top 5 Fastest Declining Occupations Ranked by Percent Growth (Minimum Decline of 5)
SOC
Code
49-9097
49-3043
45-4023
43-9021
51-4033
SOC Title
Signal and Track Switch Repairers
Rail Car Repairers
Log Graders and Scalers
Data Entry Keyers
Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters,
Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Total
Annual
Openings
0
1
1
1
1
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