Paul Wehr - Conflict Regulation UNIVERSIDAD DE COLORADO Sociology 4025: Conflict Management Material 1 Excerpts from Wallace and Wolf, Contemporary Sociological Theory, Prentice-Hall, 1986. INTRODUCTION Conflict theory is the major alternative to functionalism as an approach to analyzing the general structure of societies; and it is increasingly popular and important in modern sociology. It is also a less unified perspective than the others discussed in this book, and the disagreements among its proponents are often more bitter than those they have with theorists who use other approaches. However, conflict theorists of all types share a number of important assumptions and preconceptions. Together these create a distinctive way of looking at the world. . Functionalists, as we have seen, look at societies and social institutions as systems in which all the parts depend on each other and work together to create equilibrium. They do not deny the existence of conflict; but they believe society develops ways to control it, and it is these that they analyze. Conflict theorists' perception of society could hardly be more different. Where functionalists see interdependence and unity in society, conflict theorists see an arena in which groups fight for power, and the "control" of conflict simply means that one group is able, temporarily, to suppress its rivals. Functionalists see civ-I law, for example, as a way of increasing social integration; but conflict theorists see civil law as a way of defining and upholding a particular order that benefits some groups at the expense of others. We can see how very different a view of things this perspective creates if we go back to the example we used in introducing functionalism-a modern airport. A functionalist perspective points out the way the different parts of an airport work together to keep the system functioning. Conflict theory is interested in the rivalries among different workers and management, and the position each group is in to do well for itself. A conflict theorist might point out that the air traffic controllers want more staff and additional expensive equipment; that the pilots are continually trying to restrict entry into the profession in order to keep salaries high; that the porters, maintenance staff, and cleaners all belong to militant unions; and that all these groups are at odds with the airlines and terminal management, who want to keep costs down and profits up. The focus is on the shifting balance of power among competing groups, not on the equilibrium of interdependence and cooperation. I 'The contrast between equilibrium and conflict analyses of society is very old. One of the major modern theorists we discuss later, Ralf Dahrendorf, builds one of his expositions of conflict theory around the figure of Thrasymachus, a famous Greek Sophist who appears in the work of Plato as a "conflict theorist" attacking the "equilibrium theory" that Plato puts in I the mouth of Socrates. Ralf Dahrendorf, "In Praise of Thrasymachus" in Essays in the Theo7y of Society (Stanford, Calif.: Stanford University Press, 1968). This general "conflict" orientation incorporates three central and connected assumptions. The first is that people have a number of basic "interests," things they want and attempt to acquire and which are not defined by societies but rather common to them all. Conflict theorists are not always explicit about this view of mankind, but it is present in all their work. Second, and central to the whole conflict perspective, is an emphasis on power as the core of social relationships. Conflict theorists always view power not only as scarce and unequally divided-and therefore a source of conflict-but also as essentially coercive. This analysis leads, in turn, to a concern with the distribution of those resources that give people more or less power. For example, any conflict,theorist'would consider what happened to the American Indians to have been inevitable. The white settlers had greater numbers, greater wealth, and more advanced weapons; and were therefore bound, such a theorist would argue, to seize lands and mineral wealth and give little in return. What is surprising, from a conflict perspective, is not that the settlers' religion and political beliefs did not stop them, but that the Indians were not simply exterminated. The third distinctive aspect of conflict theory is that values and ideas are seen as weapons used by different groups to advance their own ends, rather than as means of defining a whole society's identity and goals. We shall find that conflict theorists have a great deal to say about ideas as an aspect of groups' interests, especially under the categories of "ideology" and "legitimacy." In the case of America's treatment of the Indians, for example, conflict theorists would tend to interpret the notion of America's "manifest destiny" and the idea of "civilizing" the tribes as clear examples of how people develop ideas that suit their own interests. The Two Traditions The basic elements of conflict theory which we have described are common to all its proponents; but conflict theory can also be divided into two quite dissimilar traditions. These differ, above all, in their view of social science and in whether they believe that conflict can ever be eradicated. This chapter will discuss each separately. The first group of theorists believes the social scientist to have a moral obligation to engage in a critique of society. It refuses to separate-or to admit that one can really separate-analysis from judgment or fact from value. Theorists in this group also generally believe that in principle a society could exist in which there were no longer grounds for social conflict. Therefore, these theorists are frequently considered Utopian writers. The second group, by contrast, considers conflict to be an inevitable and permanent aspect of social life; and it also rejects the idea that social science's conclusions are necessarily value-laden. Instead, its proponents are interested in establishing a social science with the same canon of objectivity as informs the natural sciences. If we look at the major influences on modern conflict theory, we find that those in the first group, where we will discuss modern Marxism, the Frankfurt School theorists, and C. Wright Mills, are most influenced by the work of Karl Marx. In the second group, where we describe the work of Ralf Dahrendorf, Lewis Coser, and Randall Collins, Marx's influence is still apparent; but the most important continuities are with the writings of Max Weber. We therefore turn now to a discussion of the roots of modern conflict theory in the work of these two classical thinkers, as well as to the influence of such writers as the European elite theorists, Veblen, Schumpeter, Simmel, and the American sociologists of the Chicago School. INTELLECTUAL ROOTS Power, Position, and Legitimacy: Marx and Weber The basic elements of conflict theory were set out by two of the greatest early sociologists, Karl Marx and Max Weber. Much of Weber's work incorporates a debate with Marx and Marxist analysis, but in both these authors we find the same two concerns: with the way social positions bestow more or less power on their incumbents, and with the role of ideas in creating or undermining the legitimacy of a social position. Karl Marx (1818-1883) Conflict theory in sociology is the creation of Karl Marx; indeed, Marxism and conflict theory are sometimes discussed as though the two were synonymous. There can also be no better example than Marxism of the close connection between a theorist's ideas and the events of the "real world"; for it is in the name of Marx's ideas that revolutionaries around the world attack existing forms of society and that organized Communist parties rule a large part of mankind. Because Marx's work is still used by so many writers in their analyses of contemporary society, we discuss it in additional detail later in the chapter. Of course, the ideas of many other long-dead writers are essential to contemporary analyses; but Marx's work is rather different. Marxist sociologists form a school whose analyses take place within the framework Marx created. In this sense, therefore, Marxism is an entirely contemporary theory. The basic elements of conflict theory are all apparent in Marx's work. He believed, first of all, that people have an essential nature and predefined interests. Indeed, Marxists generally argue that if people do not behave in accordance with these interests it can only mean that they have been deceived about what their "true interests" are by a social system that works in others' favor. Second, Marx analyzed both historical and contemporary society in terms of conflicts between different social groups with different interests. Finally, he emphasized the link between the nature of ideas or "ideologies" and the interests of those who develop them; and he insisted that the ideas of an age reflect the interests of the "ruling class." Marx emphasized the primacy of technology and of patterns of property ownership in determining the nature of people's lives and the course of social conflict. Whereas Marxist and, to a lesser degree, other "critical" conflict theorists retain this emphasis, other analysts from Weber on have seen it as an important, but only partial, explanation. Marx's work is also distinguished by its claim to predict the future and its belief in the possibility of a perfect, conflict-free, "communist" society. Such beliefs are accepted partly or in full by the more "critical" or "Utopian" theorists, while being rejected by the analytic conflict theorists who draw on Weber. The divide between the two approaches thus derives from the central differences between Marx and Weber themselves. Max Weber (1864-1920) Max Weber was born into a prominent bourgeois German family. His father was an important member of the National Liberal Party, with a seat in the Reichstag (Parliament); while his mother came from a wealthy but also intensely religious and cultured background. There was considerable tension in his parents' marriage. As a youth, Weber tended to identify with his father. However, during his poststudent years, when he was still financially dependent and living at home, he came to resent the older man and his authoritarian behavior. These conflicts played an important part in the complete breakdown Weber suffered in his early thirties. Before and after this period he was enormously productive, both in his intellectual work and in political activities. He held chairs at the universities of Freiburg and Heidelberg, and produced a range of works on topics which included economic policy, political development, the social psychology of industrial work, the sociology of religion, economic history, and the methodology of social science. At the same time, he played an important role in Christian-Social political circles, producing papers on current issues. During this period his home was a center of German intellectual life. The last years of Weber's life were also those of the First World War; of German defeat, and revolution and virtual civil war at home; of the abdication of the Kaiser and the establishment of a German Republic. During this period Weber was intensely involved in politics. After initially supporting the war, he later urged peace feelers and called for widespread changes in the German political structure. He was a founding member of the Deutsche Demokratische Partei, and involved in writing the new constitution. But he also called the abortive 1918 revolution a "bloody carnival," something the left-wing never forgave, and which doomed proposals to have him join the government or become a candidate for President of the Republic. For all his lifelong concern with the relationship between politics and intellectual thought, Weber had none of the utopian prophet about him. His analyses are complex and difficult to categorize; and they have had none of Marx's impact on the world. Nonetheless, a very large proportion of non-Marxist intellectuals would nominate him as the greatest of sociologists; and his ideas are the single most important influence on "analytic" conflict theory.2 Like Marx, Weber saw people's activities as largely self-interested. However, he believed that in addition to such universal interests as the acquisition of wealth, a historian or sociologist must also recognize the importance of goals and values specific to a society. For example, he suggested that the Calvinists' desire to save their souls found expression in the unique goal of simply accumulating wealth. This was seen as evidence of God's favor, whereas actually enjoying its fruits would be sinful indulgences Weber analyzed the way people maneuver in pursuit of advantage in terms of both such particular values and circumstances and more general sociological categories. He formulated "ideal types" by abstracting from different historical contexts the essential elements of a concept.4 For example, in examining what gives one individual or group an advantage over others, Weber gives particular attention to authority-the claim that one has a legitimate right to be obeyed. He suggests that there are three main foundations for successful claims to authority-or three, "ideal types." Charismatic authority rests on a leader's personal qualities; traditional authority is also personal, but enjoyed because it has been handed down from the past; and rational-legal authority is derived from formal rules. Thus, modern bureaucrats are obeyed because and insofar as statutes empower them to do certain things; and because our societies accept statutory law as the ultimate source of authority. Weber's analysis of China provides a good example of his method. Weber wanted to explain why capitalism developed in the West and not in other societies such as China or India, which were in many ways equally or more advanced. Among the factors he identified in China was the system of "Prebends."5 This system ensured an income for the "dominant stratum" by giving them the right to collect taxes, of which they kept a portion for themselves. Consequently, they had no interest in changing the traditional economic system. By contrast, English (and other European) landlords had no such stake in the tax system; and so had a strong incentive to increase the income from their lands by methods such as enclosing the land and developing scientific farming. This tended to decrease the taxable rural population, but stimulated the growth of the cities.6 In addition, China had no centralized system of courts or of rationalized, formal law, which, in Europe, provided the security of property rights within which commercial capitalism and capitalist groups could 7 flourish. Nor did the Chinese commercial cities, unlike their European counterparts or the traditional Chinese village-based sibs or clans, have rights of self-government and corresponding political strength.8 Equally important, the Confucian literati' monopolized senior administrative positions, which were won on the basis of competitive examinations. Confucian education was essentially literary. Hence there was a powerful educational elite that disdained the scientific and logical thought characteristic of modern industrial societies, and whose existence induced Chinese families to concentrate above all on educating sons for the examinations.9 Thus, Weber argues, a balance of power developed that checked the move from administrative and economic traditionalism to "rationalization." As his emphasis on the role of the Chinese educational elite makes clear, Weber believed Marx to be wrong in identifying economic characteristics as the sole crucial determinant of both social structure and people's chances in life. Someone's religion, education, or political faction may, he argued, be as important a source of power and success. Instead of relying on Marx's category of class, Weber distinguished among classes, status groups, and parties, all of which could be more or less important for people's lives and serve as foci of group organization and conflict. 10 By a class, he meant people who shared the same position in economic life, whether this involved property, as in Marx's definition, or marketable skills. A party he defined as an association that exists to "secure power within a corporate group for its leaders in order to attain ideal or material advantages for its active members."" Examples include political parties seeking power in the modern state but also the factions that fought for control of Rome or the Italian city-states. Finally, "status groups, " as Weber's term stand is generally translated, are groups whose distinctiveness lies not in their shared economic position but in either their shared mode of lifeoften founded on a common education-or in the prestige attached to their birth and family, as in the case of a hereditary aristocracy.12 Weber's argument has had great influence on modern "analytic" theorists who, like him, believe that economic factors are not always the major determinants of people's lives and power. His influence is also apparent in these theorists' discussion of the relationship between ideas and power. It is important to emphasize that, unlike Marx, Weber believed ideas and values to have an important, independent effect on history (as in the case of Calvinism and Confucianism) and did not consider them to be simply reflections of underlying interests. At the same time, he was aware of the role they could play in strengthening the position of a social group or a given social order. He emphasized, in particular, the importance of "legitimacy," the belief that someone's position and the system incorporating it are right and proper. This concept recurs in and influences much of modern conflict analysis. Power, Position, and Legitimacy: Twentieth-Century Theorists Although the major elements of conflict theory were set out by Marx and Weber, a number of other theorists developed comparable ideas that have also had a significant impact on modern analysts. The most important are the European elite theorists; Thorstein Veblen; and Joseph SchumPeter. Elite Theory The most prominent elite theorists are Weber's contemporary, Vilfredo Pareto (1848-1923); Pareto's great rival, Gaetano Mosca (1858-1941); and Weber's friend, Robert Michels (1876-1936). Although in no sense did they form a school, they shared a number of important ideas. 13 Their central argument was that only a small number of people in any organization can hold authority and that their occupation of these positions automatically places them at odds with those sub ected to it. Moreover, these theorists contended, the elites who are in control generally share a common culture, and they are organized-not necessarily formally, but in the sense that they act together to defend their position, as well as using it to their own individual advantage. In other words, elite theory presents explicitly the argument that people's self-interest and the intrinsically unequal nature of power make conflict both inevitable and permanent. Michels' main concern was with the so-called "iron law of oligarchy," the proposition that small groups in authority come to run political parties essentially for their own ends. Mosca was primarily concerned with the conflict between holders of political power and those they dominate. Indeed, Mosca upended Marx, identifying political positions as the source of domination in all other spheres, including the economic. Pareto, on the other hand, recognized the existence of other nonpolitical elites; but he emphasized the "governing elites" who rule a society, and the existence of ruling and subject classes who face each other like alien nations. The modern analytic theorists, especially Dahrendorf, have been most influenced by the elite theorists' insistence on authority and the state as dominant sources of power. However, their general image of society as divided horizontally into an elite and a mass is also apparent in C. Wright Mills' social critique. Thorstein Veblen (1857-1929) Veblen's major importance for modern conflict theory lies in the fact that he was one of the very few early American sociologists to analyze the roots of power and conflict in a broad historical context. Early American sociologists were essentially empiricist and pragmatic in style; and only of America could it be said that here itsociology is practiced without socialism."14 Instead, they tended, like the highly influential Lester Ward, to be reformers, who approached "social problems" with a faith in government policies and gradualist reforms-15 Veblen, by contrast, analyzed society in terms of the conflicting interests of different social groups, and he also denounced passionately much of the existing order. Among modern theorists, C. Wright Mills both continued this tradition and drew directly on Veblen in his discussion of status struggles. Veblen, like Marx, believed that modern society is characterized by the conflict between opposing "economic" groups. In his case they are the "industrial" class, who actually make goods, and the "pecuniary" class, who are involved in finance and sales and whom he characterized as parasites living off the innovation and productiveness of the rest of the population.16 Veblen was also interested in the constants of human nature that underlie social behavior. He argued that people desire passionately the esteem of others and that esteem essentially a competitive affair, since for everyone to enjoy high status-is a contradiction in terms. A very large part of people's behavior, Veblen argued, especially including styles of consumption and leisure, can be explained by the struggle for high standing in the eyes of one's neighbors. Joseph Schumpeter (1883-1950) Of the generation that followed Weber, it was the Austrian Joseph Schumpeter who most clearly developed Weber's interest in how a group's success is rooted in its social position, and in the importance of legitimacy. He also developed Marx's ideas about changes in the distribution of power and with them the process of human history. Schumpeter argued that "classes"-a term he used loosely to describe more or less organized and distinctive social groups-achieve power because they command skills that are either new and innovative or that (because of changing circumstances) are far more important than they were in the past. 17 Their position can then be used to obtain further wealth and privilege, dispose of older groups, and protect themselves from competition. Ultimately, however, because they fail to continue providing valued services and because new innovatory groups rise up, powerful classes are replaced by others. The new classes attack the old successfully and deny the legitimacy of their position. Two of Schumpeter's most interesting examples are the rise of imperialist warrior groups and the decline of the capitalist bourgeoisie. He argues that the medieval feudal aristocracy developed from warrior groups. They attained power in a society where war was continual, where people consequently sought armed protection, and where fighting skill had to be acquired and maintained over a lifetime. 18 As this situation changed with the rise of the modern state, modern arms, and the conscript army, the aristocracy's position declined. At present, Schumpeter argues, the capitalist class, which ascended because of its economic achievements, is in decline in its turn. Technological innovation has become institutionalized, and independent entrepreneurs are less important. Meanwhile, a new class of intellectuals, with its own group attitudes and group interests, attacks the legitimacy of the old order and creates for itself a new power base in the increasingly important government bureaucracies.19 Schumpeter had no belief in a conflict-free Utopia, and he tended to regret the passing of capitalist society rather than use his work as a vehicle for criticism and advocacy'of chanlye. However, just as he acknowledged his great debt to Marx, so his own work has influenced "critical" modern theorists, as well as those who, like him, believe in an objective, analytic sociology. In particular, the influence of his ideas about capitalism's loss of legitimacy is apparent in the work of Jurgen Habermas, the most important active theorist in the tradition of the Frankfurt School. The Web of Conflict: Simmel and'the Chicago School In addition to the central tradition of conflict analysis, which we have just described, there exists a rather different approach to the study of conflict. It emphasizes the abstract qualities of a social order, rather than the origins and progress of actual conflicts, and is exemplified by the writings of Georg Simmel and the Chicago School. Georg Simmel (1858-1918) Among the great early sociologists, Simmel was the most interested in identifying universal patterns in human behavior. Whereas Marx and Weber wanted to understand what made a particular society operate, Simmel concentrated on developing what is almost a mathematics of society: a collection of statements about human relationships and social behavior that apply irrespective of the historical setting. He has influenced a whole range of modern theorists who are similarly interested in interpersonal relationships: some conflict theorists, but also symbolic interactionists, exchange theorists, and network analysts.20 Simmel's sensitivity to how human relationships form and change was related to his own background and his feelings of insecurity and rootlessness. He was born in Berlin, the youngest child of a Jewish businessman who had converted to Christianity. His father died when Simmel was still a child, and the boy was never close to his mother. He studied history and philosophy at the University of Berlin, and stayed on there as a "Privatdozent," an unpaid lecturer dependent on student fees. His lectures were enormously popular; he published widely; and among his friends were many of the foremost academics and writers of the time, including Weber. Yet although he applied constantly for senior positions in German universities, he was constantly turned down; p2irtly because of anti-Semitism, and partly because he refused, in his work, to stay within a single academic discipline. It was only in 1914, at the age of fifty-six, that he was appointed finally to a chair at the University of Strasbourg. The most important part of Simmel's analysis for later conflict theory is his insistence that association and conflict between individuals and social groups not only can exist side by side, but indeed are intimately related. One cannot divide people neatly into self-contained groups, with common interests which are different from tl-iose of people in ot'her, selfcontained,antagonistic groups. Marx's image is of a society divided horizontally into antagonistic blocks; Simmel's is of a society integrated by numerous crosscutting conflicts, in which those who stand together in one respect are opposed in another. Simmel's insistence that "social action always involves harmony and conflict, love and hatred"21 did more than reinforce the tendency of "analytic" conflict theorists to consider conflict a permanent condition. It also alerted them to the way that varying degrees of social contact and interdependence affect the nature of conflict. For example, Lewis Coser's discussion of how conflict can actually stabilize a society is based directly on Simmel's writing. Robert Park and the Chicago School An emphasis on conflict as a general and abstract principle of social life has been more typical of American than of European sociology. Robert Park (1864-1944), whose only formal training was in Simmel's courses in Berlin,,built up the "Chicago School of Sociology," which is renowned for research into the social life and culture of the City.22 He also developed a system of general concepts that described what were, for him, the central characteristics of social life. They consisted of competition, conflict, accommodation, and assimilation into a common culture.23 Park argued that competition, which is universal and continuous among individuals, determines their individual careers. Conflict arises rather over status, and over the way super-ordination--power--is allocated socially. Conflict may thus involve groups as well as individuals. Park and his colleagues were more interested in analyzing racial antagonisms and conflict among different ethnic groups than the class struggles stressed by Marx and other Europeans, whose own societies were much more racially and culturally homogeneous. Once again, the influence of this rather different tradition is especially apparent in the work of Lewis Coser, one of the most important of American conflict theorists. Summary The most important historical influences on modern conflict theory are the writings of Karl Marx and Max Weber, and modern theorists can be divided into two groups according to who is the dominant influence upon them. A number of other sociologists who share the same general conflict perspective have also influenced modern theory and American sociology. Material 2 part two CONFLICT THEORY AND ANALYTIC SOCIOLOGY Ralf Dahrendorf, Lewis Coser, and Randall Collins, the theorists discussed in this section, can be grouped as "analytic" conflict theorists because they share the belief that a conflict perspective is central to the development of an objective, or "scientific," sociology. However, they are different from critical theorists in three important respects. First, whereas critical theorists see social science as intrinsically a part of political action and deny that fact and value can or should be separated, analytic theorists consider such a separation to be essential. It may be difficult or impossible for analysts, particularly those concerned with human society, to frame their hypotheses independently of their own opinions and concerns, they argue: but those hypotheses have implications that can be observed and tested objectively with empirical measures. It follows that ideas are not automatically distortions of reality just because they are also the products of particular social circumstances or tend to favor the interests of a particular social group. Second, analytic conflict theorists do not analyze all societies as stratified along a single dimension, with a ruling group opposed to the masses. Analytic theorists would agree that some societies are of this type, but they believe that many others are far more complex in the way power and status are distributed; they have interlocking patterns of stratification, which do not line up neatly. This is true, they believe, because there are a number of different sources of power and position in society, and one particular set of institutions, such as that based on property, is not always paramount. Third, the analytic theorists do not contrast the present with a rational or conflict-free ideal for the simple reason that they do not believe in one. On the contrary, they emphasize that conflict and its roots are permanent, conflicts of interest inevitable. In all these respects, modern analytic theorists share Max Weber's approach,just as Marx was the primary influence on the critical approach. Weber believed in the vital importance of objective social science. As we saw earlier, he developed a typology of "class, status, and party" as important influences on people's lives, as opposed to Marx's emphasis on property classes alone. Furthermore, Weber considered that the conflicts these generate are permanent features of human society, and he saw modern society tending not towards a communist Utopia but towards a bureaucratic society inimical to human freedom. This is not to say, however, that either he or the analytic conflict theorists he influenced are indifferent to political action. In general, conflict theory appeals to sociologists who hold strong political views; and a number of modern analytic theorists have been very involved in politics and social policy, often in direct opposition to the ideas of critical and Marxist theory. RALF DAHRENDORF Ralf Dahrendorf (b. 1929) is one of the few living European sociologists who is widely known and respected in both Europe and North America. As a teenager in Nazi Germany, he was sent to a concentration camp for his membership in a high-school group opposing the state, and he has continued to be deeply involved in political affairs. He has been a Free Democratic member of the Baden-Wiirtemburg Landtag (Regional Parliament) and West German "Bundestag" (Parliament); and as a member of the Commission of the European Communities, he has been responsible for external relations and for education, science, and research. The bulk of his academic career has been spent in German universities, and in 1984 he became Professor of Sociology at the University of Constance. However, he has also worked in both Britain and America and was Director of the London School of Economics, one of the most prestigious British institutions of higher education. Dahrendorf's work on conflict reveals two major concerns. The first is with what he himself describes as "theories of society"; 158 that is, with setting out the general principles of social explanation. Here, Dahrendorf stresses the primacy of power and the consequent inevitability of conflict. Like Marx, his second concern is with the determinants of active conflict the ways social institutions systematically generate groups with conflicting interests and the circumstances in which such groups will become organized and active. Power, Conflict, and Social Explanation There is, Dahrendorf argues, an inherent tendency to conflict in society. Those groups with power will pursue their interests, and those without power will pursue theirs: and their interests are necessarily different. Sooner or later, he argues-and in some systems the powerful may be very thoroughly entrenched-the balance between power and opposition shifts, and society changes. Thus, conflict is "the great creative force of human history."159 Power. According to Dahrendorf's theory of society, the distribution of power is the crucial determinant of social structure. His definition of power is Weber's: "the probability that one actor within a social relationship will be in a position to carry out his own will despite resistance, regardless of the basis on which this probability rests."160 In this view, the essence of power is the control of sanctions, which enables those who possess power to give orders and obtain what they want from the powerless. However, people dislike submission. Therefore, Dahrendorf argues, there is inevitably a conflict of interest and an impetus for the powerless to conflict with the powerful, the former in pursuit of power, the latter in defense of it. Power is a "lasting source of friction."161 This essentially coercive view of power, which is co mon to most conflict theorists, is very different from that of functionalism.162 As we have seen, Parsons believes that power is embodied in political institutions that solve the "functional imperative" of goal attainment.163 The ability power bestows to get what one wants at others' expense he regards as a "secondary and derived" phenomenon. Dahrendorfs view is the opposite. Power is necessary if large organizations are to achieve their goals; and at times, such as in a defensive war, the powerful may carry out very clearly the common aims of a group. However, what Parsons considers the secondary aspect of power, Dahrendorf considers primary: the powerful are not granted power by the community to carry out some "common will," but grasp and use that power for their own ends. Dahrendorf does not see the struggle for power as the'sum of social life, however. Weber's (and Dahrendorf's) definition of power includes actors "within a social relationship": in situations where other people's actions matter. But there are also times when people are free to do what they like without other people mattering at all. In his recent lectures on the cu I rrent political situation in the West, Dahrendorf has discussed the factors that endow societies with more or less "liberty" in this sense-with what has been called "negative freedom."164 In America, for example, you are "at liberty" to move from one city to another without anyone's permission. In China you are not; and whether you get the requisite permission and papers largely depends on your own "power" and influence. Norms . Like other conflict theorists, Dahrendorf argues that societal norms do not define or emerge from social consensus. Conflict theory, he argues, perceives, unlike functionalism, that norms "are established and maintained ... by power, and their substance may well be explained in terms of the interests of the powerful."165 This may be seen from the fact that norms are backed by sanctions. Vivid examples of what Dahrendorf means can be found in Soviet Russia, where dissidents risk prison camp or a mental hospital, or in the pre-Civil Rights South, where "uppity" blacks or nonconforming whites could lose their livelihoods or even their lives. In turn, sanctions involve the control and use of power, particularly the power of law and punishment.166 "In the last analysis, established norms are nothing but ruling norms," he suggests. 167 Social Stratification. Dahrendorf clearly distinguishes between two facts: first, that positions and jobs are different and demand different skills, and second, that different jobs are treated as "superior" or "inferior" to one another. There are both "social differentiation of positions ... and social stratification based on reputation and wealth and expressed in a rank order of social status."168 Social stratification is what makes college presidents more generally respected than bus drivers, and lies behind claims that teachers "ought" to be paid more than maintenance men. Stratification, Dahrendorf argues, is caused by norms,: which categorize some things as desirable and others as not. In every group, norms defining how people should behave entail discrimination against those who do not comply. During the Vietnam War, for example, those who supported the war were ostracized on some campuses, those who opposed it on others. Moreover, every society has general norms, which define certain characteristics as good (such as being an aristocrat or having more education than average) and which therefore entail discrimination against those who do not or cannot conform. These norms, Dahrendorf argues, are the basis of social stratification, and they are themselves derived from and upheld by power. Once again, therefore, power is the central concept. This is a very different explanation from that of functionalists, who argue that social stratification derives from society's need to attract talented people into important positions. The two may not be as totally irreconcilable as Dahrendorf implies, however. Dahrendorf does not explain how a group becomes powerful in the first place, but this will surely often depend, at least in part, on its offering skills and a type of social order that people value. Not all successful ruling groups are military invaders! It is precisely the existence of a relationship between power and general social values that functionalism addresses. Similarly, economics' statement that income differentials are a result of the market value of skills l69 has given rise to theories of stratification linking success with the provision of scarce services.170 However, a group that gains a hold on power in this way will almost certainly strive to maintain and take advantage of its position, convince everyone of its legitimacy and importance, and prevent competition from groups with different potential power bases-and Dahrendorf's approach is far better suited than functionalism's to analyzing this process. Conflict Theory and Explanation. Dahrendorf believes that a "conflict" approach, which combines general hypotheses about the nature of power and inevitability of conflict with information about the positions and resources of particular historical groups, is the most fruitful one for sociology to adopt. However, he also argues that "it is clearly not very satisfactory if the roles of individuals have to be seen entirely, or even overwhelmingly, in terms of interests conflicting with those of others."171 Although most conflict theorists believe that the absence of conflict is a result of either effective coercion or "false consciousness," Dahrendorf believes that social relationships can be mutually beneficial. In a recent discussion of the need for greater industrial democracy, for example, he suggests that the sharing of information and decision-making may transform conflicts from "a zero-sum game in which the gains of one side are the losses of the other, into an intricate mixture of co-operative efforts to increase the cake, and conflicts about dividing it Up.172 The Determinants of Conflict: A Theory of Conflict Groups In his best-known work, Class and Class Conflict in Industrial Society, Dahrendorf addresses the question of when inequalities and conflicting interests will actually produce conflicts. His central argument is that social conflicts will take place, systematically, among groups that differ in the authority they enjoy over others. By authority, Dahrendorf (again following Weber) means the sort of power that is attached to a social role or position, that is legitimate in the sense of being defined and delimited by social norms, and that is backed by sanctions up to (and no further than) these limits. A university, for example, has the authority to charge you for your courses, board, and lodging, but not to take all your money. A mugger has the power to do just that-but no authority at all to do so. Dahrendorf's position is that the stable and recurrent patterns of institutional authority systematically give rise to social conflict between those who have some degree of authority and those who have none. In a departure from conventional "economic" usage, Dahrendorf labels these groups classes. He writes that "the term 'class' signifies conflict groups that are generated by the differential distribution of authority in imperatively coordinated associations:"173 that is, organizations in which orders are given and taken. Dahrendorf's theory thus implies that authority is dichotomous: you have it or you do not, and your interests are formed accordingly. Critics have suggested that whether you have more or less authority may be equally important and thus that conflict may form around other groupings. But Dahrendorf affirms, with Marx, that conflict involves only two sides. On the other hand, all "classes" do not engage in active conflicts all the time. Dahrendorf therefore attempts to explain when people will actually mobilize. 174 The Mobilization of Classes. The structural requirements for people to form active "interest groups" 175 are "technical," "political," and "social." Technically, Dahrendorf argues, a group requires a founder and a charter or ideology to become active. Politically, the more liberal the state, the more likely is mobilization for active conflict; the more totalitarian the state, the less likely. Finally, three social factors are important. Group formation is more likely first, if potential members are fairly well-concentrated geographically; second, if they can communicate easily (as modern communications technology makes it easier for them to do); and third, if people who stand in the same relation to authority are recruited in similar ways and come, for example, from the same type of families or educational organizations. The most important psychological requirements are, of course, that individuals identify with the interests associated with their position and that these interests seem important and "real" to them. Dahrendorf disagrees with Marx's argument that people's class positions (in either the "property" or the "authority" sense) determine the whole of their social life and behavior; but he does believe class interests will be more "real" to people who also share a culture. He also suggests that people are less likely to identify with their class's interests and to mobilize, the larger the number of associations to which they belong.176 Finally, the greater people's personal chances of leaving their class-in other words, the greater the degree of "intragenerational mobility"177-the less likely they are to identify actively with it. Dahrendorf s "structural" arguments are fairly convincing, although he pays surprisingly little attention to force. He tends to emphasize that if conflict is not to become explosive, there must be some degree of mobility and freedom to express opposition. But as tyrannies throughout history have shown, a sufficient degree of force can suppress conflict very effectively. His discussion of the "psychological" requirements for class action is less satisfactory. Especially in preindustrial societies, the poor have often shared a culture, led lives confined to the immediate community, had few opportunities for advancement, and yet accepted the existing order of things almost without question. Thus, Dahrendorf fails to explain satisfactorily how attitudes of opposition originate. The Violence and Intensity of Conflict. Dahrendorf also discusses at considerable length what affects the intensity and violence of class conflict when it occurs. Violence he defines as "a matter of the weapons that are chosen," intensity as the "energy expenditure and degree of involvement of conflicting parties."178 Dahrendorf argues that there is one preeminent factor affecting the degree of violence. This is how far conflict is institutionalized, w ith mutually accepted "rules of the game"; for "those who have agreed to carry on their disagreements by means of discussion do not usually engage in physical violence."179 For example, the days of extreme violence in strike-breaking and picketing in America predate the general acceptance of unions. Dahrendorf also identifies three important factors influencing the intensity of a conflict. Of these, the first (which he also considers to be the most importantly) is the degree to which those who are in positions of subjection in one association are in the same position in their other associations. The second and parallel factor is the degree to which authority in an organization is held by people who are also "on top" in other respects: in Dahrendorf's terms, whether positions are "pluralist" or "superimposed." Thus, if the managers of firms are also their owners and if they also use their wealth and position to control politics, one can expect particularly intense industrial conflicts. Dahrendorf's third argument is that the greater the mobility between positions, the less intense the conflict will be. This is true not only when individuals themselves can move, but also when their children are mobile. This is partly because mobility makes it less likely that a class will have a common culture and partly because people are less inclined to attack a class their children may one day join. On the other hand, if there is little or no mobility, the struggle becomes more intense. Dahrendorf's theory allows one to pinpoint potential areas of conflict within any given organization. As we have seen, however, it does not give enough attention to the role of brute force. Nor does it help us much in predicting which organizations (of the many in which people give or receive orders) are more likely to experience open conflict. One simple reason for the latter problem is that Dahrendorf does not discuss how important a given institution is to someone's life. In a society of "superimposed" positions, there is almost certain to be one major source of power and authority from which the others follow: when conflicts in totalitarian countries do break through, they center therefore on the party's power and control of the state. In Western societies, since both the state and one s place of work are very important institutions, they are both far more likely to generate active conflict than an athletic or church social club. Dahrendorf's own discussion does in fact pay most attention to industrial enterprises and the state. Conflict in Industry. During the last hundred years, there have been increasing numbers of 'Joint stock" companies, in which ownership by shareholders is divorced from management control. As we have s6len, modern Marxist sociologists generally argue that the change is not very important, since the firms still represent and are run in the interests of the owners. Other writers, such as Burnham,18' believe that it signifies a farreaching change in social structure and the roots of power. Dahrendorf argues that his approach demonstrates both what has really changed and what has not. He suggests that because nineteenthcentury managers and owners were generally the same people, Marx mistakenly ascribed to property differences a conflict that actually centered on authority, although it was intensified by the "superimposition" of industrial authority, wealth, and political influence.182 Today, he continues, industrial conflict will be less intense both because ownership and control are separate and because of industry's "institutional isolation" 183 (which means that one's position in industry has less to do with tb.e rest of one's life than before). At the same time, the split in authority and the conflicts of interest it generates remain. Arguments that the divide between workers and management has blurred are quite mistaken. The study most directly relevant to Dahrendorf's argument is probably The Affluent Worker. 184 This intensive survey of affluent British industrial workers was largely aimed at determining whether there had been a breakdown of the old social divisions between the "working" and the "middle" classes. The results cast doubt on the degree to which industry is, as Dahrendorf suggests, "institutionally isolated." The workers' family-centered social life, for example, remained quite separate from that of whitecollar families. However, although union organization was stronger in these plants than in many much less wealthy areas, these workers were only rarely committed to the "union movement" as a national "Working-class" force; instead they were extremely involved in union affairs at the level of the workplace. Only 8 percent attended union branch meetings often enough to vote regularly in branch elections, but 83 percent voted regularly for their shop stewards. In other words, they were closely involved in union organization at the level where they were given orders directly and where they grouped together, to face and face down the managers who gave them; but not in questions of union and economic policy or "class" politics at the national level. Conflict and the State. Dahrendorf argues that in the state, as in industry, the crucial lines of conflict are between those who give and those who receive orders. The state is the most powerful association,, in society, and the "ruling class" is, in a sense, the elite group that holds the positions at the top of the state hierarchy. But the ruling class is not composed solely of this group. The bureaucracy, too, belongs to a chain of command, and this command of authority makes it part of the ruling class, even though it does not define the concerns and objectives of a bureaucratic state. Dahrendorf's argument helps explain the enormous stability of such bureaucratic states as Byzantium and the Egypt of the Pharaohs. The larger the authority-bearing class, the larger the group that will Marshall against any threat to it from an organized conflict group of subordinates. His argument also implies that the state and bureaucracy are together a separate institution, not simply a reflection of other social groupings, and that other powerful social groups will necessarily oppose the state's authority and try to restrict its control o.ver them. In Dahrendorf's own recent analyses of British politics,187he argues that, "Clearly there is today a conflict between government and industry,"188 in which the trade unions are the most visible protagonists but which also involves the giant companies. A number of modern commentators echo Dahrendorf when they write, that growing government activity will have consequences for the range and intensity of political conflict. For example, Christopher DeMuth, a faculty member at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government who formerly worked for Conrail, discussed the behavior of the huge Greyhound bus company in the Wall Street Journal. He described how Greyhound lobbies vigorously against the federal subsidies given to passenger trains, with which the buses must compete; while it attempts with equal vigor to stop the Interstate Commerce Commission from allowing new bus companies to start competing with Greyhound and tries to prevent any general deregulation of bus transport. DeMuth argues, "There is no reason to expect Greyhound or any other company to compete in the economic marketplace while abstaining from the political marketplace... "(when government involvement) becomes ... sufficiently large, it alters fundamentally the nature of competition in the private part (of the economy)-increasing the relative importance of political as opposed to economic competition.189 Summary Dahrendorf provides an illuminating account of the close and permanent relationship between power, or authority, and conflict. He presents a concrete theory of conflict group formation, which provides a good starting point for explaining people's objectives and identifying potential confrontations. He describes a number of the important factors that either create mobilized conflict groups and intense conflicts or, correspondingly, tend to reduce social conflict. However, his theory of conflict group mobilization fails to explain what makes people aware of themselves as a group with common interests and common grievances. Neither does he specify precisely which institutions in a society will be the ones in which conflict will actually occur. This makes it difficult to "test" Dahrendorf's basic proposition about conflict formation. Nevertheless his general perspective has proven illuminating enough to suggest that the polarization which Dahrendorf identifies between those with and without authority is at least one important source of social conflict. LEWIS COSER Like many other conflict theorists, Lewis Coser (b. 1913) combines a distinguished academic career with a strong interest and involvement in social policy and politics. He was born in Berlin, and after the Second World War he taught at the University of Chicago and Brandeis University while obtaining a Ph.D. from Columbia. Most of his academic career was spent at Brandeis, where he moved from being a lecturer to a full professor; but since 1968 he has been Distinguished Professor of Sociology at the State University of New York at Stony Brook. In 1975 he was president of the American Sociological Association. Coser's writings have always displayed his concern with politics and the links between ideas and the nature of society. He is coauthor of a history of the American Communist Party dedicated to Milolovan Djilas,'90 and he has both edited Dissent and contributed frequently to such other serious nonspecialist journals as Partisan Review and Commentary. Some of his more recent work is about "greedy institutions" that demand total involvement from their members. Coser says that in the face of recent "indiscriminate" condemnations of the "differentiated, segmented and 'alienated' character of modern life,"191 he felt bound to point out the threat to human freedom inherent in total involvement. "I wish it to be clearly understood," he writes, "that I consider it essential that an open society be preserved above all."192 Of the modern theorists discussed in this chapter, Coser is the closest to Simmel. He is the most concerned with the "web of conflict," or the cross-cutting allegiances that can both bind a society together and generate struggles and confrontations. Indeed, Coser's major book on conflict theory, The Functions of Social Conflict, 193 is an exposition and development of Simmel's own rather fragmented insights. Coser emphasizes that conflict, although very important, is only one side of social life and no more "fundamental" than consensus. 194 Coser's contributions to conflict , theory are also distinctive in two other respects. First, he discusses social conflict as a result of factors other than opposing "group interests." Second, he is concerned with the consequences of conflict. As we have seen, Dahrendorf's major concern is with the origins of conflict, which, he argues, then creates social change. Coser has less to say about the institutional roots of conflict, but he distinguishes among its different possible consequences, which include greater social stability as well as change. His discussion of the conditions under which conflict is likely to be divisive or cohesive adds considerably to Dahrendorf's analysis of conflict's characteristics. The Origins of Social Conflict In his discussion of the origins of conflict, Coser pays far more attention than do most conflict theorists to the role played by people's emotions. 195 He agrees with Simmel that there are aggressive or hostile "impulses" in people, and he emphasizes that in close and intimate relationships, both love and hatred are present. Close proximity, he points out, means that there are also ample opportunities for resentment to develop; hence, conflict and disagreement are integral parts of people's relationships, not necessarily signs of instability and breakup. At the same time, Coser argues, the forms that hostility and conflict take and their relative frequency in different situations have to be explained in terms of social institutions and social roles. A good example of what Coser means is the differences among countries in how much children fight with their parents. This is the sort of "close" relationship in which some resentments are inevitable. However there are also intercultural variations in the father's authority; whether the children have financial independence; whether the steps by which children assume welldefined adult roles are clearly laid down; and whether other family members provide practical and emotional support outside the nuclear family. Coser's own work addresses the way such "structural" factors interact with people's underlying emotions. Coser defines two basic types of conflict, "realistic" and "nonrealistic." 196 In realistic conflict, people or groups are simply using conflict as the most effective way of getting what they want; if they could get what they wanted without a fight, they would give up the conflict immediately. Coser's inclination is to see most kinds of social conflict as essentially "realistic," or rational--explicable in institutional terms. Thus, in the Los Angeles Watts riot of August 1965, Coser saw something other than the "insensate rage of destruction" described by the official McCone report. The path of the riot, he pointed out, led straight to City Hall; the riot was a way of getting the authorities' attention. Similarly, the Luddite machine smashers of the early nineteenth century were highly selective in their targets; they were, he argues, engaging in "collective bargaining by riot" at a time when more organized union channels were outlawed. 197 Conflicts of this type are essentially the same as those that other conflict theorists analyze in terms of "self-interest." However, Coser argues, there are also "nonrealistic" conflicts, in which the conflict is the end in itself, whether or not this is admitted. Nonrealistic conflict serves as a way of releasing tension or affirming one's identity, and it embodies hostilities that actually derive from other sources. Blaming everything on a scapegoat is a classic example. Often, of course, a conflict contains both realistic and nonrealistic elements. The Consequences and Functions of Conflict In his analysis of the results of social conflict, Coser argues that conflict often leads to change. 198 It can stimulate innovation, 199 for example, or, especially in war, increase centralization.200 For the most part, however, Coser concentrates on conflict's role in maintaining group cohesion. This is, of course, the subject that most concerns functionalists. However, Coser is a "functionalist" only in the sense of sharing this interest. He does not imply that it is necessarily desirable for a group to survive and remain cohesive or that conflict occurs because it may be functional for the group; and he sees cohesion as only one of conflict's possible results. In this context, Coser distinguishes between conflicts that are external and conflicts that are internal to a group. Both types, he argues, can define a group, and establish its identity; and also maintain its stability and increase its cohesion. Extemal Conflict. In his most unqualified statement about the rela tionship between conflict and cohesion, Coser argues that external conflic is essential in establishing a group's identity. In this he is following not onli Simmel but also Marx, who felt that only conflict makes a class self-aware Coser states, with Simmel, that "conflict sets boundaries between groups within a social system by strengthening group consciousness and awareness of separateness, thus establishing the identity of groups within the system."201 However, he also distinguishes expressly between hostile senti ments and actual conflict; 202 and we would suggest that it is hostile senti ments, rather than actual conflict, that are essential to group formation. A religious group or utopian agricultural settlement of the type common in American history may coexist with other parts of society without overt conflict. Coser also argues that external conflict can often strengthen a groul It makes group members conscious of their identity by introducing strong "negative reference group" to which they contrast themselves; also increases their participation.203 Nonetheless, the process is not inevitable. If internal cohesion before the outbreak of conflict is very low, the conflict may simply hasten disintegration. Coser contrasts,,,(be disruptive effects of the Second World War on French society with its unifying effects ).204 in Britain, and a less dramatic but similar example is America during the Vietnam and Second World Wars. However, since Coser offers no way of telling in advance which development is likely, his arguments here are not very useful in explaining actual conflicts. Intemal Conflict . Coser follows Durkheim, Mead, and even Marx in arguing that a group's opposition to and conflict with "deviants" makes apparent to group members what they ought to do.205 In this sense, internal conflict is central to defining a group's identity, which is embodied in norms that define "correct" behavior. Coser also argues that internal conflict can increase a groiip's survival, cohesion, and stability. He again follows Simmel when he argues that internal conflict is a crucial safety valve under "conditions of stress ... preventing group dissolution through the withdrawal of hostile participants." 206 If opposition to one's associates were not possible, people would, in Simmel's words, "feel pushed to take desperate steps ... opposition gives us inner satisfaction, distraction, relief." 207 Indeed this is one of the few occasions when Coser falls into the trap of implying that because som ething is functional it will automatically happen, and that because safety valves are important all societies will provide them.208 Coser's argument here seems to confuse a group's survival or stability with its cohesion. He implies that whatever promotes survival also promotes cohesion. However, if it uses brute force and terror to support imbalances of power, a society can survive and even remain stable in the face of a great deal of internal hostility: witness "Papa Doc's " Haiti or Stalin's Russia. Although conflict may help maintain a society by providing a safety valve, this pattern is hardly a necessary or universal one. On the other hand, Coser is probably correct in emphasizing the close links between internal conflict and group cohesion. In rigid social structures with no channels for expressing hostility, when conflict occurs it is disruptive and violent. The controversial "Sonnenfeldt doctrine" illustrates this theory of conflict at work in America's foreign policy. In 1976, considerable furor resulted from leaks of a statement made by Helmut Sonnenfeldt, then a senior State Department official, in which he argued that the breakdown of Soviet control in Eastern Europe was undesirable because chaos would result when stored-up hostilities erupted. Although official spokesmen attempted to tone down the implications of this principle, they never clearly denied it; nor did the succeeding adminstration explicitly disown it. Finally, Coser argues that internal conflict can be important because "Stability within a loosely structured society ... can be viewed as partly a product of the continuous incidence of various conflicts crisscrossing it."209 When people belong to many different groups, each of which pursues its own interests and is consequently involved in its own conflicts, they are less likely to devote all their ener ies to a single conflict that could break the society apart. Thus, Coser suggests, "one reason for the relative:absence of class struggle' in this country is the fact that the American worker, far from restricting his allegiance to class-conflict groupings and associations, is a member of a number of associations and groupings ... (and) the lines of conflict between all these groups do not converge."210 In this context, Coser admires Max Gluckman's work on the importance of cross-cutting conflicts in African tribes. Gluckman notes that. "all over the world there are societies which have no governmental - institutions ... Yet these societies have well-established and well-known c odes of morals and law.... We know that some of them have existed over long periods with some kind of internal law and order, and have successfully defended themselves against attacks by others."211 These "feuding" societies rely on private vengeance instead of government. The process does not tear them apart, Gluckman argues, because they "are so organized into a series of groups and relationships that people who are friends on one basis are enemies on another. (For example) a man needs help in herding his cattle: therefore he must be friends with neighbors with whom he may well quarrel over other matters.... And through his wife he strikes up alliances with relatives-in-law which are inimical to a wholehearted one-sided attachment to his own brothers and fellow-members of his clan.... A man's blood-kin are not always his neighbours: the ties of kinship and locality conflict.... These allegiances ... create conflicts which inhibit the spread of dispute and fighting.212 Divisive Social Conflict In discussing conflict's role in defining a group and maintaining its cohesion, Coser makes the proviso that internal conflict has this role only if it is not about basic values and principles. This, in turn, depends on the rigidity of a society and, once again, the degree to which its members are interdependent. Coser argues, first, that an internal conflict is more likely to involve basic principles (and so be socially divisive) in a rigid society that allows little "expression of antagonistic claims. 11213We have already noted Coser's belief that some conflict is functional because it serves as a safety valve, without which social hostility would eventually erupt violently. Here, he suggests that when conflict emerges after having been suppressed for a long time, it will also split the group around basic issues and Values. Second, Coser returns to the theme of "cross-cutting" allegiances and argues that "Interdependence checks basic cleavages."214 Interdependence therefore makes divisive internal conflict much less likely and reduces the likelihood that external conflict will find a noncohesive group. As we have already discussed, the basic reason is that "interdependence" means that people with common interests in one respect are opposed in another, so that an overriding and polarizing issue is less likely. However, there is also a related psychological process involved. Conflicts are much more intense, Coser argues, when they involve exclusive groups; this further increases the likelihood that divisive conflicts will occur in societies that have non-overlapping groups. Such conflicts are intense because it is in close relationships that love and hate coexist. "The coexistence of union and opposition in such relations makes for the peculiar sharpness of the conflict," he argues.215The fewer the groups people belong to, the more likely they are to become intensely involved in the ones they have. An intense involvement affects the nature of conflicts both within the group itself and between it and others. Although Coser, a sociologist, makes this point formally, the leaders of sects and the founders of revolutionary parties have always been aware that the more a person's relationships all lie within the group, the more his loyalties and energies will be at its disposal. The mass suicides of Jonestown, when several hundred members of a religious sect drank poison at their leader's behest, almost certainly could not have occurred if the group had been living within a larger and long-settled community, rather than isolated in the jungles of Guyana.216 Coser's arguments about interdependence follow reasoning similar to James Madison's in The Federalist Papers. One of Madison's reasons for urging voters to adopt the American Constitution was that the resulting union of states would be one of considerable size and diversity. This would reduce the likelihood of one "faction" trampling over its fellow citizens and of oppression of a minority by the majority. He argued: The smaller the society, the fewer probably will be the distinct parties and interests composing it; the fewer the distinct parties and interests, the more frequently will a majority be found of the same party; and the smaller the number of individuals composing a majority ... the more easily will they concert and execute their plans of oppression. Extend the sphere, and you take in a greater variety of parties and interests; you make it less probable that a majority of the whole will have a common motive to invade th@ rights of other citizens.217 Finally, although Coser stresses the importance for divisive conflict of a society's rigidity and the degree of its members' interdependence, his arguments about the role of ideas in conflict are also relevant here. Coser suggests that conflicts will be more intense when those involved feel that they are fighting on behalf of the group and not just for themselves when, in consequence, they feel that what they are doing is morally legitimate. They also then feel strengthened by power derived from the collectivity with which they have identified and which they embody.218 This is why Coser argues that intellectuals increase the bitterness and the radicalism of conflicts between labor and management; in Mannheim's words, they transform "conflicts of interest into conflicts ideas"219 and provide just this moral impetus. Summary The major importance of Coser's conflict theory lies in its demonstration that conflict can often be neither socially divisive nor a source of change. This is especially clear in his comparison of societies with or without many independent and overlapping groups, and of the differing natures and consequences of conflict within them. However, Coser's account is not fully satisfactory. Complex and interdependent societies that are not particularly "rigid" may experience conflicts that are highly divisive; and rigid, hierarchical societies may survive for centuries without explosive conflict. The recent history of political strife in Central America and the breakdown of democracy in Chile and Argentina illustrate our first point, the thousand-year history of the Byzantine Empire our second. In addition, the abstract quality that Coser's work shares with Simmel's and the way it ignores the nature and bases of group resources mean that on its own, it explains very little about concrete social situations. Finally, Coser's emphasis on the functions of conflict, although a useful corrective, is onesided. At the very beginning of his work, he described social conflict as a struggle in which opponents attempt "to neutralize, injure or eliminate their rivals."220 Thereafter, one looks in vain for him to pay much attention to such behavior or to recognize the stability of many situations based on force and oppression. RANDALL COLLINS Randall Collins (b. 1941), the last of the conflict theorists we shalt discuss, is also the youngest, and his work exemplifies the growing interest among American sociologists in a conflict perspective. We noted earlier the renewed interest in Marxism and the discovery of the Frankfurt School by younger, left-wing sociologists, who see their sociology as inextricably entwined with their desire for social change. Many of their contemporaries, whose aim in their sociology is scientific explanation and not political action, also now believe that a conflict perspective is the most fruitful way to approach sociological analysis. 221 Collins' work is the most far-reaching theoretical synthesis based on this approach to date. Unlike Marx's or Dahrendorf's, Collins' work is not a conflict theory in the sense of describing when social conflict will actually occur. Indeed, in many of the situations he describes there is no overt conflict at all. Rather, he sets out to show that one can explain a wide range of social phenomena on the basis of a general assumption of conflicting interests and an analysis of the resources and actions available to people in particular social situations. Collins took a B.A. at Harvard, an M.A. at Stanford, and a Ph.D. at the University of California, Berkeley. While still a student working as a research assistant at the Institute of International Studies at Berkeley, he began publishing.222 He taught at the University of California, San Diego, and at the University of Virginia in Charlottesville; he is currently at the University of California, Riverside. Collins' work incorporates all the major elements of conflict theory: an emphasis on people's interests, a view of society as made up of competing groups whose relative resources give their members more or less power over each other, and an interest in ideas as a weapon of social confl'ct,and domination. As he acknowledges, Collins' major debts are to Marx, "the great originator of modern conflict theory,"223 and above all to Weber, 224 whose analytic framework, comparative historical approach, and non-Utopian outlook he adopts. In addition, of all the conflict theorists we have discussed, Collins draws most on Durkheim ' who is commonly seen as the father of functionalism. Collins has little good to say about functionalism, but he believes that Durkheim explains a great deal about the ways in which emotional bonds and loyalties are created among people. The most original aspect of Collins' work is the way he incorporates a theory of how social integration is achieved into a conflict approach. Unlike most conflict theorists, Collins also draws on the work of such theorists as Mead, Schutz, and Goffman, who are enerally associated with such "micro-sociological" perspectives as 9 symbolic interactionism and phenomenology. This is the result of his concern with exactly how individual loyalties and emotional bonds develop. The Nature of Conflict Sociology Collins' basic assumptions are that there are certain "goods," namely wealth, power, and prestige, that people will pursue in all societies,225 and that everyone dislikes being ordered around and will always do his or her best to avoid it.226 That is, he assumes that people have certain basic interests wherever they live and that they will act accordingly. From this it follows that there will always be social conflict. This is true even though not everybody is equally greedy, simply because power, in particular, is inherently unequal: if I have a great deal of power, other people must necessarily have less, and they must obey me. "Since power and prestige are inherently scarce commodities, and wealth is often contingent upon them, the ambition of even a small proportion of persons for more than equal shares of these goods sets up an implicit counter-struggle on the part of others to avoid subjection and disesteem," Collins concludes.227 Such social conflict can take many forms, but at the very heart of it, he believes, lies direct coercion. Force is something people can always turn to, and some people always fare better at it than others. "Above all else, there is conflict because violent coercion is always a potential resource, and it is a zero-sum sort.11228 As part of his analysis of the determinants of social structure and change, Collins provides a typology of the resources people bring to this struggle. First are material and technical resources, which include not only property, tools, and such skills as literacy but also-very importantlyweapons. Second, he stresses the role that strength and physical attractiveness play in personal relationships. Third, he mentions the sheer numbers and types of people with whom individuals have contact and with whom, therefore, they have the possibility of negotiating for material goods and status.229 Fourth, Collins emphasizes the resources people possess in their "store of cultural devices for invoking emotional solidarity. 11230 By this he means their ability to create and maintain a shared view of how things are and should be, which also sustains the favored position of those promoting that view. We can see what Collins is talking about if we compare the position of a rural Indian "untouchable" with that of, say, a nineteenth-century Hindu maharajah. The untouchable has almost no skills he could market in a city, for he is barred by the caste system from all but certain "unclean"jobs, such as curing hides or cleaning latrines. For him to work with caste Hindus would pollute them. His social contacts are extremely limited, so he knows very little about whether he has any alternatives; he is dirty and undernourished; and his religion, dominated by the priestly caste of the Brahmins, teaches him that his lot is the inevitable result of his conduct in previous lives and must be accepted as such. By contrast, the maharajah has enormous resources and breadth of opportunities and social contacts. Being better fed, he is almost certainly bigger and more attractive physically. Moreover, although he has little or no control over the conduct of the Hindu religion and the influence of its priests, his cosmopolitan contacts may well have weakened the priests'influence over him. Obviously the maharajah is in a position of enormous power compared to the untouchable, and he is in a position to achieve a much wider range of objectives. If you compare two very dissimilar people in America, such as a mother on welfare and a company president, you will find that there are again big differences-but also that they are less extreme. This is because the two societies distribute their resources very differently. There are, Collins suggests, three main areas of life in which people obtain more or fewer resources and are more or less dominant or subjected. Together these create the patterns of "social stratification." They are first, people's occupations, where they can be grouped into different classes; second, the communities where people live, with their different status groups, including age, sex, ethnic, and educational groupings; and third, the political arena, where different parties seek political power.231 In every case, what is crucial for social behavior is the degree to which people are in a position to control others and so obtain wealth, status, and overt deference. Collins does not regard one aspect of stratification as primary: people's overall position is simply the sum of their resources and positions in a number of different areas. In other words, Collins prefers Weber's pluralist model to Marx's unicausal one, arguing that "different orders of stratification do not line up neatly. The major part of Collins' work sets out propositions about the concrete ways in which the distribution and use of resources result in different sorts of social behavior and institutions. He also discusses in detail what creates a shared culture and a "legitimate" social order. Social institutions and the Balance of Resources Some of Collins' most interesting arguments about the relationships among conflicting interests, the distribution of resources, and the nature of social institutions concern modern education, organizational theory, and the state. In each case, we shall find that his method is drawn from Weber: for the most part, he discusses general principles in terms of concrete historical settings and the balance of power within them, much as we described Weber doing in his Religion of China.233 Stratification by Education . Collins has always been interested in how educational qualifications have been used as a resource in the struggle for power, wealth, and prestige; and he has used a conflict perspective to carry out empirical research on the role of education in people's careers. He treats education as one important basis of status-group differences, a sort of "pseudo-ethnicity" that socializes people into a particular form of culture.234 The educational elite, which shares a given culture, will use it as a criterion for employment in elite positions, he argues, and it will also try to instill respect for its culture in the society as a whole.235 Modern industrial societies have longer periods of formal education, and require far higher educational credentials for jobs than preindustrial ones. The usual explanation given is that more jobs require more skills than in the past; but Collins argues that this is, at best, only a part of the truth. The evidence shows that education "is not associated with employee productivity on the individual level, and job skills are leart,,.i!ed mainly through opportunities to practice them",236 and not at school at all. Dif- ferences among industrial countries are very marked, but not obviously related to technological progress. For example, in the postwar period, American education has, on average, gone on far longer than that of the Japanese or West Germans.237 Moreover, Collins points out, engineers are the one professional group with real technical skills that industry needs. If the "technological" explanation of modern education were correct, one would expect the engineering schools to have the highest prestige on campus, and engineering training to dominate education. Nothing of the sort has occurred. Indeed, America, at the undergraduate level, has "the most massively nonvocational system of education in the modern world.11238 The best way to understand the enormous growth of the "credential system" is to see education as a way of setting up entry require ments for jobs (and so limiting competition); and creating exclusive occupational cultures which are defined as prerequisites for doing a 'ob. Thus, if you do not speak the same language (or jargon) as established workers, having learned it during "professional" training, then this provides evidence against your competence. This process can, quite quickly, create the sort of 44 credential inflation" which we have experienced in recent years. The highly educated set upjob requirements that favor them; people recognize the importance of education as a route to success and acquire ever more of it; employers raise entry requirements yet further to screen out the flood of applicants-and so on. Weber showed that the Chinese literati used education in just this way, and monopolized senior advisory positions on the basis of their "qualification" of a literary Confucian education.239 Collins identifies similar examples at work today. For example, the most "educated" executive group is found not in,the most rapidly developing high-technology companies, but in the " traditionalistic" financial and utilities firms.240 Collins' analysis is similar to the Marxist analysis of Bowles and Gintis 241 in its emphasis on the role of education in creating and preserving social position. However, Collins does not see this as a particularly or specifically capitalist process. Rather, education is always a potentially important resource; though societies will vary in the degree of suc'(:,Oss which educated groups achieve. The analysis also has echoes of Ivan Illich's famous diatribe against formal education, Deschooling Society. Illich argues that schools teach little. Their main purpose is to assign social rank. "School reserves instruction to those whose every step in learning fits previously approved measures of social control," he charges.242 Organizational Theoty Collins' general approach to organizations is to view them as "arenas for struggle" in which superiors try to control their subordinates. He argues that, in consequence, one can best understand the structure of an organization by looking at the sanctions available to those in charge. The three main types of sanction which can be used are c...oercion; material rewards given in return for appropriate activities and behavior; and normative control, which invokes people's loyalty to ideals. Each has distinctive consequences. People dislike and resist coercion, and subordinates in the organizations that rely on coercion resort to "dull compliance and passive resistance."243 Forced labor camps are extremely unproductive, and slaves consistently appear stupid and irresponsible to their masters. Material rewards, Collins suggests, are less alienating, but they produce organizations where there are continual fights over pay and piecerates, where informal groups control the work pace and prevent people from working "too hard," and where people tend to do th ngs only if and insofar as they are paid.244 Normative control is the most desirable for superiors, because if subordinates share superiors' goals, they will be far more motivated to cooperate, obey, and work hard.245 However, it too has costs attached. One of the most effective ways to create normative control is to spread authority, because the more people give orders in an organization's name, the more they identify with it. Superiors can, for example, "co-opt members into responsible positions; a related method is to offer them a chance to be promoted. 246 Both these approaches, however, tend to reduce the superiors' own centralized power. An alternative tactic is to recruit members who have a feeling of solidarity or friendship. Nepotism, the recruitment of family members, is a traditional way of creating organizational loyalty,247 and recruiting people with similar backgrounds also makes friendships and thus loyalty to the organization more likely.248Collins also argues that the more an organization emphasizes rituals, is isolated from the world, and feels itself to be in danger from outside,249 the more it will reinforce identification and loyalty. A good example of how isolation increases people's loyalty to an organization is the landslide majority that white South Africans gave to the. Nationalist Party, the architects of apartheid, in 1978, a time of strong public American pressure and criticism. However, Collins points out, people who like each other tend to form strong informal groups, which may disagree and conflict with their leaders. Organizations that rely on normative control can expect continual conflicts about policy, and factional fights about who is best able to implement the group's goals. "Astute organizational politicians, then, always attempt to mix normative incentives with material rewards and perhaps subtle coercive threats, since the latter can be administered much mor6 routinely and kept under more stable control. 11250 To transform the revolutionary Bolshevik party into the bureaucratic Communist party (which has controlled Russia without challenge for over fifty years), Stalin changed from the 4 t normative control" of shared ideals, with its intense ideological disputes, to control by the material rewards available to party members and the underlying fear of the secret police. The State . In using a conflict perspective to analyze the state,,, Collins again emphasizes that coercion is at the core of social life and social ' conflict. The state, he suggests, is a special sort of organization, because it is "the way in which violence is organized"251 and "Is, above all, the army and the police."252 To analyze political systems, Collins suggests, one must ask how violence is organized and which interest groups control and influence the state's policy. Collins argues that the resources enabling people to win control of the state include systems of belief, property, networks of communication, and military technology.253 Indeed, of all the theorists discussed in this chapter Collins is (after Schumpeter) the most sensitive to the effects of military technology and military organization on political and social life. A society in which a large proportion of the men fight with their own cheap weapons will be far more democratic, he argues, than one in which a sma group with expensive individual equipment, like the medieval knights, monopolizes warfare. Similarly, whether an army is supplied and paid from central stores, like the Roman army, or requisitions locally and takes conquered lands as its reward, is crucial in determining whether there is centralized state or a loose-knit feudal order. Unlike Collins' analysis of military force, his discussion of economic resources as a basis for political power is sketchy. Collins sees coercion and military power as primary, and in discussing the economic underpinnings of political systems, he essentially restates Lenski's rather Marxian typology, in which techniques of production are the major causal factor.254 Collins' discussion tends to neglect the effect of different forms of property and economic organization on political structure. He also ignores the different laws and systems of law in which these forms are rooted, although law is as essential a function of the state as is the use of force. Curiously enough, Weber, the greatest influence on Collins'work gave considerable emphasis to economic organization and its legal basis. For example, he pointed to the historical and political consequences of the ability of European townsmen to own their own labor and property and to govern their towns; and he showed the consequences of the way the Chinese were legally tied to the village-based sibs or clans, while their towns had no rights to self-government. Culture, Ideology, and Legitimation In discussing Collins' analysis of social structure, we have noted the importance he attaches to the creation of legitimacy. This emphasis on the role of ideas is, of course, common to conflict theory; but Collins' distinctive contribution is to provide detailed discussions of both the actual process by which common beliefs are generated and of the general relationships between people's outlook and the way they experience conflict situations. Collins is continually at pains to remind his readers that his subject is ultimately individual people. Writers in the tradition of "social phenomenology," such as Mead and Goffman, have, he believes, a great deal to tell us about social interaction, because they focus on individual experiences and recognize that these are not something given, fixed, and immutable.255 Instead, our experiences are in large part a result of our own perceptions and values, so that "men live in self-constructed subjective worlds."256 These worlds determine whether we see a photograph, for example, as harmless, as a way of stealing our souls, or as a transgression of God's commandment against graven images. They also affect whether we experience our societies as good and satisfactory or oppressive. Moreover, Collins argues, the sorts of perceptions we have are themselves subject to regular and identifiable influences. We can identify the sorts of individual experiences that make people view a social order as "real" and legitimate, and so alter the course of social conflict. The experiences Collins identifies are: first, and most important,257 the giving and taking of orders; and second, the sorts of communications people have with others.258 He argues that because of the nature of human psychology, those who gave orders will tend to identify with the ideals of the organization in which they hold power and in whose name they justify their orders; and because of their experiences, they will be self-assured and generally formal in manner. By contrast, the more people receive orders, the more alienated from organizational ideals they are likely to be, the more fatalistic, subservient, concerned with extrinsic rewards, and the more distrustful of others. Those in the middle of the authority hierarchy, who give and receive commands, tend to combine subservience with organizational identification, but they are little concerned with an organization's longterm objectives. Collins' basic premise is that people wish to maximize the degree to which they give rather than receive orders. Hence, he argues, a mid-'level official or bureaucrat "attempts to transform order-taking situations into orders that he passes on to others."259 This explains the proverbial inflexibility of mid-level bureaucrats compared to their superiors, who see rules as a means to more distant ends. On the other hand, Collins' general emphasis on the relationship between one's outlook and whether one gives or receives orders implies a world in which everyone works in large organizations. In fact, if you think about people's occupations, you will find that many people-such as farmers, insurance salesmen, and many housewives-are not much involved with "orders" on a day-to-day basis at all. The types of communication that people have with others are extremely important, Collins argues, because they may reinforce, or (and this is crucial for social control) offset the effects of people's experiences of command. They, above all, are what determine the degree to which people accept as "real" the ideas and norms around which their society is organized. They determine whether people see the social order as legitimate. He points out that human beings, like all animals, have automatic emotional reactions to certain gestures, sounds, and signals; and he suggests that social ties are fundamentally based on shared reactions, '@l,hich differ from those of animals because they involve symbols (such as flags or salutes) rather than genetically programmed sounds and gestures.260 The strength of these reactions depends on two aspects of people's communications with each other: the amount of time people spend together, or their 4 4 mutual surveillance," and the diversity of their contacts. These, Collins argues, correspond to what Durkheim called "social density" in his analyses of how "society" creates loyalty and identification among its members. 261 Social Density Collins argues that the greater the degree of mutual survel 'llance-the more people are in the physical presence of others-the more they accept the culture of the group and expect precise conformity in others.262 Conversely, the less they are around others, the more their attitudes are explicitly individualistic and self-centered.263 This is in large part because being physically together makes it more likely that "automatic, mutually reinforcing nonverbal sequences" will develop. These increase "emotional arousal"; and "The stronger the emotional arousal, the more real and unquestioned the meanings of the symbols people think about during that experience."264 The diversity or cosmopolitanism of people's contacts similarly affects the way they think. Collins'argues that the more different sorts of comrnunication people are involved in, the more likely they are to start thinking in abstract terms and in terms of long-range consequences. On the other hand, the less varied people's contacts, the more likely they are to think only about particular people and particular things: and to see the world outside their own familiar circle as alien and threatening. Thus, limited contact will tend to create shared, local views of reality, and a feeling of identification with familiar local people vis-A-vis the outside world.265 Ritual Collins believes that mutual surveillance and limited communications counteract the effects of being on the receiving end of orders. They create emotional ties that bind a group together and make the way it is organized unquestionably "real." Thus, they strengthen the position of the dominant members of a group. In addition, Collins argues, rituals or stereotyped sequences of gestures and sounds",266 can make people's emotional arousal more intense and so commit them more strongly to certain views of reality. Emotional arousal is also affected, he suggests, by the sheer number of people involved;267 and if we look at the ceremonies to which groups and societies attach great importance, we can see that they generally combine highly stereotyped rituals with large gatherings of people. Durkheim pointed this out in his discussion of aboriginal religious ceremonies and their role in "integrating" society;268 Hitler's Nuremberg rallies, graduation ceremonies, and the use of particular songs and symbols at civil rights or antiwar demonstrations are also good examples. Collins' arguments here complement Schumpeter's and Habermas' discussions of the declining legitimacy of the modern market economy.269 The "rational attitudes" of such a society mean that we tend to find ritual increasingly distasteful: compare a president holding barbeques at the White House with a pharaoh or a medieval king holding court. Using Weber's terminology, Collins observes, "Traditional authority ... uses highly stereotyped gestures and verbal formulas, with the result that the symbols of authority are highly reified and emotionally compelling.... (Under) rational-legal authority ... little attention is paid to the surrounding postures, with the result that symbols are regarded as human enactments with little emotional compulsion."270 The empirical evidence gives Collins' arguments considerable but far from total support. Politics, about which Collins says surprisingly little, provide useful confirmation, because party activists often occupy a position in the party that is quite different from their day-to-day occupations in breadth of communication and power-and as Collins' theory would indicate, this affects their outlook substantially. Parents who are manual workers and who are active in politics and unionism tend to have upwardly mobile children who become managers and professionals.271 The federal Office of Equal Opportunity was founded in the 1960s on just these assumptions; for one of its objectives was to create, by involving poor people in "community action," a new set of attitudes towards the "authorities" and a new ability to deal with them. Again, Melvin Kohn's surveys of attitudes and values showed that middle-class parents ... are more likely to emphasize children's self-direction, and working-class parents to emphasize their conformity to external authority."272 Kohn argued that this can be explained for the most part by differences in whether the fathers' occupations allow self-direction or require them to receive and obey directions from others.273 On the other hand, evidence on working-class union mil ',6ncy and the development of revolutionary ideologies suggests that Collins' analysis is too simple. His account of how "ritual communities" are created would lead one to expect that militancy, revolutionary doctrines, and a commitment to "working-class solidarity" are most likely to develop among isolated, homogeneous groups of workers with their own tight-knit communities. For a number of years, sociologists have argued that this is indeed the case, citing the study by Kerr and Siegel, which argued that "isolated masses" of workers are more militant and strike-prone.274 More recently, however, this view has been challenged by a new research group interested in strikes and political violence, and, in particular, by the work of Shorter and Tilly.275 Their study of France during the period 1830-1968 shows that militancy was a characteristic of the metropolis, not the isolated enclave-and of the relatively cosmopolitan skilled worker at that. It is similarly true, we might add, that tight-knit, fanatical, revolutionary political parties of the right and left have been born in heterogeneous cities, not in small, cohesive communities. This suggests a serious imbalance in Collins' treatment of ideas. In his emphasis on the way ideas can be used to support the ruling order, he neglects the origins of ideas and beliefs that oppose it. Indeed, his arguments sometimes leave one wondering why all ruling groups have not been able to assure themselves of permanent legitimacy by manipulating ritual! Tribal societies seem almost never to generate ideas of "revolution" (changing the entire order) as opposed to "rebellion" against individual leaders,276 but in Europe and America, such ideas have been a part of social life for many centuries, and they are held with quite as much passion and conviction of their "reality" as the beliefs of a tribal "ritual community." A full account of the origins of beliefs and world views needs to explain this process, too; and indeed, "conflict sociology" in general, needs to take more account of the origin and force of ideas as tools of opposition as well as domination. Summary Collins provides an excellent exposition of the basic assumptions of analytic" conflict theory. His work is also important because it provides a large number of concrete propositions that relate institutional structure to the resources available to different groups. Further, it incorporates the insights of "micro-sociological" perspectives, especially in its account of how social experiences affect people's outlooks and so affect the nature of social behavior, conflict, and change. Not surprisingly, Collins' major weaknesses are the weaknesses of conflict theory as a whole. The most important are, we would suggest, an overemphasis on the "zero-sum" aspects of social interaction; too mechanistic a view of ideas as an offshoot of the existing social structure; and an inadequate account of the nature of the state. It is to these general weaknesses of conflict theory, as well as its major strengths, that we now turn briefly in conclusion. CONCLUSION Conflict theory's major strength lies in the way it relates social and organi- zational structure to group interests and the balance of resources. This analytical framework is often very productive. Moreover, whereas functionalism never really identifies a mechanism of change, conflict t.heory does, when it points to shifts in resource distribution and power. Conflict theory insists fruitfully that values and ideas must be related to their social environment and not treated as autonomous. Finally, it avoids "explaining" things simply in terms of their results. By tracing social behavior back to individuals' interests and the purposive way they pursue them, it shows how changes may actually occur. However, conflict theory also has important weaknesses. Its insistence that power is people's main, objective and the primary feature of social relationships is too limited. One can hardly account for the behavior of the Pilgrim Fathers in terms of "self-interest" or the search for power, as conflict theory commonly uses those terms. Moreover, the way in which they define and discuss power leads many conflict theorists to imply that the whole of social life is essentially "zero-sum": that is, that one man's gain is by definition made up from others' equal JOSS.277 In fact, this is not necessarily the case. Suppose that we take a hypothetical self-interested ruler who wishes to get as much money out of his subjects as possible. He can either seize whatever he can find by brute force; or he can set up a well-defined tax system in which people know in advance exactly how much they will oweand that nothing more will be demanded. In the latter case, it is still ultimately the ruler's ability to coerce which ensures that his subjects pay up. However, they will also find it far more worthwhile to work hard, save, invest, and create economic growth than they will if anything they produce is liable to arbitrary confiscation. For that reason, the ruler may well, ultimately, do better for himself by choosing the less arbitrary course. Certainly, his subjects will fare much better if he does.278 Of course, no ruler ever has a completely free hand to choose one alternative or the other. However, societies can and do vary systematically in how far they provide the sort of environment which gives people security, encourages economic growth, or creates some degree of the "positive-sum" in their affairs. Contemporary conflict theory279 tends to ignore such important differences in how state power is exercised, and in how far it provides people with a secure and predictable framework for their actions. Consequently, it also tends to produce an inadequate theory of the state, and to treat laws-the product of the state-oversimpl istically, as though they were merely a reflection of group interest rather than systems with their own dynamic and influence.280 The same oversimplification is apparent in conflict theory's treatment of values and ideas. It is important to analyze the degree to which ideas are rooted in a social order and the ways laws and "ideologies" reflect people's interests; but it is also important to be aware-as functionalism is-that they have a degree of autonomy. Conflict theorists tend to treat ideas as though they were simply a reflection of the interests of the powerful; but narrow self-interest is often not a full explanation of events. Self-interest would have suggested the total extermination of the American Indians. That this did not happen was largely the result of notions of justice and morality which, however compromised, were universal in their application. Similarly, conflict theory tends to emphasize how ideas maintain stability,281 when in fact the ideas in a given society often criticize and undermine the current order. Christianity, for example, produced figures like St. Francis and Luther, whose teachings created massive social upheavals; and the Kremlin suppresses the Russian dissidents brutally because it fears their ideas so much. Finally, although conflict theory specifies a mechanism of change, it does not provide an entirely satisfactory account of it. This is because conflict theory is far better at explaining how a group maintains power than it is at showing how it acquired it in the first place. Collins, for example, argues that educational qualifications are an important source of privilege without saying very much about why they are now a more important resource than they were in the past. Yet groups do not acquire resources and power at random, and we had occasion to suggest earlier in the chapter that the origins of a group's power can often be explained by the services they provided. Educational qualifications may be used to protect and strengthen an elite group's position; but they are a more effective weapon now than in the past because education is also necessary to provide the technical skills on which modern wealth depends. The way social life involves the exchange of such goods and services, as well as values and coercive power, is emphasized by exchange theory. Material 3 Constructive Confrontation Theoretical Framework By Guy Burgess, Ph.D. and Heidi Burgess, Ph.D. -- Co-Directors, Conflict Research Consortium Copyright 1996 © by Guy Burgess and Heidi Burgess Introduction Mediation and Intractable Conflict The greatly expanded use of mediation and other alternative dispute resolution techniques has been one of the great success stories of recent years. It has been immensely effective (and widely accepted) in an number of arenas—such as family and labor-management conflicts. Unfortunately, mediation has been much less effective in resolving intractable conflicts involving deep-rooted value differences (abortion, homosexual rights, or deep ecology), very high-stakes distributional problems (the setting of the Federal budget, health care reform, or social program reform), or "pecking-order" conflicts (sibling rivalry or gang warfare). These kinds of conflicts commonly resist even the best- designed conflict resolution processes. Although individual dispute episodes (over what abortion procedures are allowed when, or whether federal funds can be used to provide or counsel about abortions) may be temporarily decided, the underlying conflict over abortion continues. Similarly, budgets are set and money is spent, but the conflict between the rich and the poor, the young and the old, conservatives and liberals, Republicans and Democrats, remains. Siblings, too, resolve their immediate disputes over toys, privileges, and parental attention. But the underlying tension persists, only to erupt again at a later time. When mediation is applied to intractable conflicts in an attempt to resolve them, it often "fails." Therefore, mediation becomes a recipe for disappointment and disillusionment. People conclude that mediation is not all that it is cracked up to be—they see it as a time sink, a money sink, a sell-out, or a cooptive trick that does not yield the promised winwin resolution. This failure to work as advertised, we believe, underlies much of the skepticism and resistance that mediation and the conflict resolution field as a whole are encountering. Constructive Confrontation To better deal with intractable conflicts, we have been developing an approach which we call constructive confrontation. This approach is based on the assumption that intense, long-term confrontations over important and difficult issues are inevitable. What is not inevitable, however, is the destructiveness commonly associated with these conflicts. (Consider, for example, the deaths in Bosnia and the Middle East, the economic losses of the U.S. Government shutdowns, or the racial tension resulting from misunderstood and poorly-applied affirmative-action programs.) To limit such destructiveness, we suggest that the parties and intermediaries involved in intractable conflicts should move away from the unrealistic goal of resolution, and focus, instead, on how these conflicts can be conducted more constructively. In order to find out how this might be done, the Consortium's Intractable Conflict Project began by sponsoring a series of conferences and seminars in which we asked more than 125 conflict scholars, intermediaries, and advocates two questions: 1) From your perspective, how can people deal with intractable conflicts more constructively? 2) What do you mean by "constructive?" Topics addressed included interpersonal conflicts; public policy conflicts over race, ethnicity, abortion, homosexual rights, and environmental protection; and international conflicts in the Middle East, Bosnia, Rwanda, and elsewhere. Although the answers differed somewhat from one person (or one context) to another, there was a remarkable degree of similarity between the responses we received. By combining the answers to these questions with theoretical ideas from others working in the field, we have been able to develop a theory of intractable conflict, as well as a series of practical steps that parties and intermediaries can take to make their participation in these conflicts more productive. The Medical Model The constructive confrontation approach follows a medical model in which destructive conflict processes are likened to diseases—pathological processes that adversely affect people, organizations, and societies as a whole. Sometimes these "diseases" can be completely cured; at other times, we can only limit the most troublesome symptoms. As in medicine, some pathological processes seem to resist all mitigation efforts so far developed, though further research might yield effective remedies. We must be clear that conflict processes are not, of themselves, pathological. Constructive conflict plays an essential role in social evolution and human betterment. Our goal is simply to control the destructive conflict dynamics which can overwhelm these benefits. Also like medicine, constructive confrontation takes an incremental approach. Rather than looking at conflict as a single entity and asking how can it be completely "resolved," constructive confrontation looks at each aspect of the conflict process and asks whether or not that part is effective and constructive, and if not, how it might be improved. While constructive confrontation differs considerably from current mediation practice, it builds upon the field's considerable skills by applying these skills in different settings. As such, we see constructive confrontation as a way of extending the field's contributions to situations where the resolution or problem-solving model has not been as effective as we would all like. Constructive Confrontation Steps As in medicine, the first step in constructive confrontation is diagnosis. This process begins with preparation of a conflict map. Such a map should include the identification of active and potential adversary groups and intermediaries, along with their interests and positions. It should also place the immediate dispute into the context of the longterm, underlying conflict. The next part of the diagnosis involves differentiating the core aspects of the conflict from what we call conflict overlays. Overlays are problems in the conflict process that get "laid over" the core, making the core issues harder to see and address. Examples (which are shown in Figure 1 and discussed in detail below) include escalation and polarization, misunderstandings, fact-finding problems, procedural problems, and framing problems. After diagnosing overlay problems, problems in the core confrontation process must also be identified. These include the inadequate identification of power options, the inadequate assessment of the costs and benefits of various options, overlooking ripe moments, and reliance on bitter end power struggles. (These too are shown in Figure 1 and discussed in detail below.) Identification, Selection, and Implementation of Treatment Options After destructive conflict dynamics are diagnosed, the next step in constructive confrontation is the identification and implementation of realistic, incremental steps for reducing as many of the overlay problems as possible. In some cases these remedies involve easy "don't do its"—pitfalls which are easy to avoid once you see them. (For example, gratuitous insults which promote unnecessary hostility.) Other steps require either the acquisition of new skills (e.g., active listening), outside assistance from conflict professionals (facilitation, transformative mediation, or structured dialogues, perhaps), or the making of hard choices for which there are no clear answers (deciding whether to pursue a short-term victory even though it is likely to provoke a damaging, long-term backlash, for example.) While some remedies can be implemented unilaterally, others require the joint efforts of adversaries, intermediaries, or both. Once specific options are selected and implemented, results should be monitored and adjustments made when needed as the conflict continues and changes over time. The sections that follow offer a number of examples of conflict pathologies and possible treatments. This is, by no means, an exhaustive list of the things that could go wrong. It does, however, illustrate what one looks for when using the constructive confrontation approach. Once one starts to look at confrontations in this way, a great many other opportunities for transforming conflicts in constructive ways appear. Overlay Identification and Treatment Overlay problems tend to fall into one of five categories: 1) framing problems, 2) misunder standings, 3) procedural problems, 4) fact-finding problems, and 5) escalation and polarization. Framing Problems The framing of an intractable conflict by the parties is a complex and often muddled process in which vague but intense feelings of frustration are transformed into passionate crusades for particular positions. If done well, the conflict is framed in ways which accurately reflect the core issues and lead to clear and sensible strategic choices. Often however, errors are made and muddled framing processes leave people pursuing positions that do not really advance their interests. People can, for example, simply get so angry that they fall victim to the primal scream syndrome in which they simply vent their frustrations without seriously considering what it would really take to achieve their goals. Here ADR techniques which help people think more clearly about interests can be very helpful, even though a win-win solution may be impossible. In other cases, the parties may pursue "into the sea" framing with the objective of making an opponent figuratively or literally disappear from the face of the earth. This unrealistic and immoral goal leaves adversaries with no choice but all-out confrontation. The solution requires the parties to frame the conflict in ways which would at least provide their opponent with a livable outcome. There is also the danger of unnecessary zero-sum framing in which the parties incorrectly assume that a conflict (or sub-conflict) has an irreducible win-lose character when it does not. This problem, which can be addressed through standard mediation techniques, is capable of making a tractable conflict seem quite intractable. The worldview problem arises when disputants assume that their opponents see the world the same way that they do. Because disputants then see their opponents as taking an utterly unconscionable position, the only possible explanation is that they are fundamentally evil. In reality opponents' perceptions of the world are usually dramatically different and this different worldview gives them a reasonable, though certainly different, reason for reaching the conclusions that they do. In these situations a joint clarification of the parties' assumptions, beliefs, concerns, and fears--along with their interests and positions--can be very helpful in clarifying why people feel the way they do. Misunderstandings The reality of intractable confrontation is bad enough. When contending parties miscommunicate, the situation can get much worse, especially when one considers the common, worst-case bias that people tend to have toward their opponents. In addition to a lack of basic communication skills, the parties can fall victim to a number of pathologies that contribute to misunderstandings. These misunderstandings not only lead to misinformed decisions, they also contribute to the even more destructive processes of escalation and polarization (which are discussed below). Few people communicate effectively when they are angry. They say things they don't mean, or things they would regret if they had been thinking carefully before they spoke. At the same time, they tend to misinterpret—usually for the worse—things their opponents say. Put together, these tendencies cause people to overreact and assume their opponents are far more sinister than they really are. These problems are exacerbated by the recreational complaint syndrome—the common practice of gossiping with one's friends and allies about how one's opponents are the source of all evil, while one's own group, of course, is the source of all virtue. The ability of many radio talk shows to exploit this phenomenon underlies both their success and the highly inaccurate images of the world that they often give to their listeners. Another problem, the extremist bias, results from the fact that moderate, reasonable people are dull. More interesting, and what the media tends to focus upon, are extreme people and events. This often leads readers and listeners to conclude that these extreme events fairly characterize the opposition and that extreme responses are therefore justified. People also commonly suffer from the "I already know" syndrome. This problem discourages them from re-evaluating an issue, changing their mind, or even listening to opponents once they have decided what they believe. As a result they are likely to cling to unrealistic stereotypes and not be alert for changes in their opponents' positions or behavior. Finally, communication crises arise when people are overtaken by events and simply run out of time to talk and listen. These are all problems which can be limited by the systematic application of many communication-improvement techniques which are now in wide use by mediators and other conflict resolution professionals. These include active-listening skills, facilitated dialogues and meetings, rumor control teams, enhanced public writing and speaking skills, and the use of telecommunications technologies to facilitate rapid, accurate, and widespread communication. Slowing down the pace of events can also be beneficial since it provides time for the parties to collect all relevant information and plan a constructive response, rather than reacting to rumors or other misinformation without the time to think things through. Procedural Problems Before the parties can constructively address the core substantive issues they must limit the distracting effects of procedural disputes. While people do not always expect to be victorious, they do expect to be treated fairly. Violation of generally-accepted principles of fairness can easily divert attention from the core, substantive issues and become the central focus of a controversy. This may also broaden the scope of the conflict considerably as others, who feel their procedural rights threatened, are drawn into the fray. Some procedural problems stem from the missing stakeholder syndrome which arises through a failure to identify all stakeholders or to provide a mechanism though which their concerns can be heard and their legitimate interests protected. It is important to include both active stakeholders and potentially-affected groups who are likely to become active as the conflict progresses. Other procedural problems involve issues of power and the charge that ADR is just another way to co-opt the powerless and sugarcoat injustice. Similarly, lengthy and elaborate grievance-review processes, which may be intended to be fair, can also be seen as delaying tactics designed to avoid dealing with injustice under the guise of careful and fair deliberation. (Process complaints can, of course, also arise as part of a process diversion designed to draw attention away from the core issue by those with weak substantive arguments.) Regardless of their source, process complaints must be limited before the core conflict can be constructively addressed. This can be done by implementing a series of common sense treatment measures—have clear rules of procedure, make sure the rules are well publicized, and then follow them. Don't skip steps, don't hide things, don't do things that even appear improper. It doesn't look good, even if the reason seems good at the time. Treat everyone fairly, and be aware of the impact of power differentials. The process must be chosen carefully to be fair to all groups and be predictable, at least in terms of process, if not outcome. Fact-Finding Problems In today's technically complex society it is impossible for people to effectively advance their interests without a good understanding of applicable facts. Without this understanding, long-fought- for "solutions" are likely to have unintended and often adverse consequences. Typical fact-finding problems include the bidding war syndrome where people contending for leadership positions try to "one-up" each other by claiming to be more concerned about public safety or some other issue than their opponent. Eventually, this process makes it impossible for leaders to decide that a particular safety measure is not worth the expense. Irreducible uncertainties also provide a golden opportunity for those wishing to avoid addressing the tough, but important, issues. They can simply force the process into analysis-paralysis with calls for yet another study. Equally problematic is the use of junk science to support self-serving positions. Decision makers and the public are usually not scientists and are, therefore, unable to distinguish good science from bad. When one side gets an "expert" to support its view, the opposition is likely to do the same, leaving decision makers and the public with no way to tell who to believe. Often, the potential benefits of formal fact-finding are lost altogether. Potential solutions to such fact-finding problems include blue-ribbon oversight committees, fact- finding teams, data mediation, technical primers to help lay people understand complex issues, and no-strings-attached funding which citizen groups can use to hire independent experts to verify (or refute) claims made by other parties to a conflict. Escalation and Polarization Perhaps the most destructive conflict dynamic is escalation. Its explosive cycle of provocation and counter-provocation eventually results in the replacement of substantive debate with increasingly hateful and sometimes violent confrontations directed more at hurting opponents than advancing interests. This process plays a crucial role in the long slide toward war and the crossing of taboo lines which normally restrain our most inhuman impulses. It can also lead people to take ever more extreme and unjustifiable positions. Escalation alone is sufficiently powerful to transform what should be a tractable dispute into one that is virtually impossible to resolve. Despite the dangers of escalation, advocates frequently escalate a conflict intention ally—thinking that they can harness to power of escalation to mobilize support for their side. While this riding the tiger strategy may appear to work, it is also likely to build support for the opposition. The common result is the intensification of the conflict, not victory. Escalation can also contribute to polarization—a process which greatly expands the scope of the conflict by forcing people to choose sides in an attempt to build the strongest coalitions possible. Although traditional settlement-oriented mediation is usually inappropriate to use in intractable conflicts, many of the standard de-escalation strategies used by mediators and facilitators can be adapted and applied in these cases. These include restructuring communication so that it ceases to be hostile and reframing escalated discourse in a nonescalated way. Other useful approaches include GRIT (the Graduated and Reciprocated Initiatives in Tension-reduction);(1) dialogue processes which create "islands of unescalated discourse" within the context of heated confrontations;(2) independent observers who observe and report to the larger community any violations of peacekeeping arrangements; cooling-off periods; and disarming behaviors such as Anwar al-Sadat's trip to Jerusalem. There are also "mistakes were made" amnesties in which past errors are acknowledged without assigning blame or punishing the offender. Identification and Treatment of Core Conflict Problems The core issues involved in intractable conflicts usually have at least one of two key characteristics. First, they tend to contain an irreducible win-lose element. Sometimes these are deep-rooted moral differences that cannot be negotiated; sometimes they are domination contests where only one party can be on top. In either circumstance, winwin solutions are structurally impossible. Second, the stakes are usually very high. If the stakes are low, parties will settle. It isn't worth it to continue to fight. But if the stakes are one's identity; one's security; one's way of life; one's life chances or the life chances of one's children--then the stakes are high enough that parties will not accept defeat until they have tried all of the powers available to them in an effort to prevail. Power, therefore, plays a central role in intractable conflicts. In addition to identifying the conflict overlays, diagnosis also needs to include an analysis of the power strategies being used to confront the core conflict. Several pathologies occur frequently in the core conflict confrontation process, making the confrontation more costly and less effective than it might otherwise be. These include the inadequate identification of options, the inadequate assessment of the costs and benefits of options, overlooking ripe moments, and fighting until the bitter end. Each of these is discussed below. Inadequate Identification of Strategic Options One of the most common causes of destructive confrontation strategies is the inadequate identification of options. Often this is due to the parties' limited skills. Most often, parties only consider options they are familiar with and good at. Lawyers tend to litigate, mediators tend to mediate, warriors tend to wage war. While this rule is violated on occasion, people usually stick with the approaches that they are most comfortable with and experienced in using. Unfortunately, at least in the U.S., there seem to be many more people who are skilled in force-based approaches to conflict than there are with skills in transformative, constructive alternatives. This results in an excessive reliance on force-based strategies involving interpersonal threat, hard-ball politics, no-holdsbarred litigation, and, all too often, violence. Not until many more people are exposed to and trained in unconventional and more constructive power options--such as effective persuasion, nonviolent action, coalition-building, and constructive political activism-will force-based strategies recede from their current dominance in intractable conflict confrontations. While force-based strategies have problems, over reliance on softer strategies also can cause problems. For instance, mediators and negotiators often overlook what we call the "EATNA" effect. EATNA stands for "Estimated Alternatives To A Negotiated Agreement" (a take-off on Fisher and Ury's "BATNA"). The term "EATNA limit" refers to the problem that parties will not negotiate a settlement to a conflict that is highly important--as intractable conflicts usually are--if they believe that they have an alternative that will yield a better outcome than the negotiated settlement. The EATNA limit is a fundamental principle that can only be changed through conversion--by getting parties to come to believe that they were wrong--at least in part-and that their opponents were right. This occurs fairly often during effective mediation, as the parties recognize the legitimate concerns or claims of the other party. However, if the parties at the table are just representatives of a larger constituency group, as is often the case in public policy conflicts, the conversion process is very difficult to "scale up." While the immediate negotiators may be willing to accept a settlement that is weaker than their EATNA, because their view of their opponent has been converted, the constituents still have their original preconceptions. As a result, these constituents are likely to want to reject the settlement and pursue their "better" alternatives. Thus the EATNA effect and the scale up problem lead to what we call the mirage effect-settlements often vanish just as they appear to be within reach, as constituency groups won't ratify or uphold the agreement the negotiators reached. There are no easy solutions to this problem either. The challenge, however, is to develop better ways of extending conversion processes to large constituency groups. Most often overlooked in choosing strategic options is the power of persuasion. Although seldom considered a power strategy, it is a very effective one if used well--the strongest, according to Kenneth Boulding, in Three Faces of Power. Boulding's three faces (or forms of power) are threat (we call it force) which takes the form "you do something I want, or I will do something you don't want;(3) exchange (we call it negotiation) which takes the form "you do something I want and I'll do something you want;(4) and love, which takes the form "you do something for me because you love me.(5) If "love" seems to strong a word, Boulding suggests, one can substitute "respect." Love does seem too strong a word in the context of intractable conflicts, but certainly, parties can, indeed, come to respect each other through effective persuasion techniques. To be successful, persuasion cannot be based upon narrow, selfish attempts by one group to secure an unfair advantage at another group's expense. Instead, it must be based upon clearly articulated principles or values that serve the interests of all citizens. While different political systems and religions have widely differing views about morality, fairness, and justice, there are often important areas of common ground that can serve as a basis for persuasive appeals. For example, Martin Luther King's strategy was based upon an appeal for America to "live out the true meaning of its creed." Since all citizens (black and white) have a stake in the principles of equality and justice, King's appeal was able to deliver white support in ways that a simple black revolt against the evils of white society could not. King's strategy was actually a combination of force, exchange, and persuasion. He moved from one to the other quickly, and often used two or three at once in an effort to win improved rights for blacks. Several of our respondents suggested similar approaches. Paul Wehr urges the development of what he calls a power strategy mix--a combination of persuasion, negotiation, and force, with just enough of the latter to force the issue, and enough of the first two to keep the opponents negotiating in good faith.(6) Using a power mix also avoids the one-size-fits all problem in which the only confrontation strategies that parties use are those designed to deal with their most threatening and incorrigible opponents. While there is a place for forceful strategies for dealing with hardliners, it is usually a serious mistake to treat all opponents as if they were incorrigible extremists. More reasonable opponents could easily become so enraged by such a strategy that their opposition does, in fact, become extreme and the conflict escalates out of control. We suggest dividing opponents into at least four groups: persuadables, reluctant persuadables, and incorrigibles. Advocacy groups then need to develop different strategies for dealing with each of these groups. Persuadables should receive a large dose of persuasion. For reluctant persuadables the strategy should be modified to include a modest amount of forcing power to prevent them from avoiding the issue. For incorrigibles the level of force must be increased substantially while still retaining the persuasive efforts needed to legitimate that force and minimize the backlash effect. Misjudgment of the Costs and Benefits of Alternative Strategies A second common confrontation error is over-estimating the likely effectiveness of a chosen strategy and/or underestimating its cost. This happens often among advocates of force. While force- based strategies can be very effective over the short term, they entail substantial risks which are often overlooked. One is the risk of inaccurately assessing the balance of power. Sometimes, for instance, disputants fall prey to the picnic illusion-the assumption that they are in such a powerful position that the impending confrontation will be a "picnic." If this assumption is inaccurate (and it often is) the conflict is likely to be much more costly than anticipated and may even result in defeat. Often the result is protracted and costly power struggles which might have been avoided had both sides more accurately assessed the power of the other and chosen a course of action that better reflected the real power balance. Another cost of force, even when it is quickly successful, is the threat of backlash. People hate to be forced to do things against their will, especially, when important issues are involved. While they may, at least initially, submit to such force, they will resent it and are likely to try very hard to build their power base with the goal of launching a counter-attack at the earliest possible opportunity. Therefore, force is likely to encourage backlash, escalation, and continued confrontation. The 1995- 96 Republican response to years of liberal social and environmental policies is one current example of such a backlash. Similar errors can be made with negotiation-based or persuasion based strategies. People favoring negotiation, for example, often overlook the EATNA limit and the conversion scale-up problem, and assume that negotiation can be used as an alternative to force. While the costs of such an approach are not as high as those of force-based strategies, the benefits may also not reach expectations. Among traditional low-power groups, there is also the danger of the illusion of powerlessness. Pessimists (and especially disempowered pessimists) often assume the costs of confrontation are much higher and the potential benefits are much lower than they actually are. This usually results in withdrawal or conflict avoidance. While this is appropriate in some cases, it can also result in the perpetuation of serious injustice. A solution to this problem is some sort of advocacy advisor who can apply their knowledge of conflict processes to the task of empowering the disempowered. Overlooking Ripe Moments and Fighting to the Bitter End Expectations are key in another way as well. If parties can agree on the likely outcome of available power contests, then they have an incentive to negotiate an agreement that closely parallels the expected outcome, but reduces transaction costs and allows finetuning of the outcome. When this occurs we say that the dispute (not the underlying conflict) is ripe for resolution. In a few cases the dispute may not be ripe until destructive power contests have been pursued to the bitter end. In this case negotiations only clarify the terms of surrender. However, the relative power balance is often clear far before the end, or can be made so by using one of many "short-cut" power-balance tests. For example, mock trials give the parties a prediction of the probable outcome of litigation which they can then use as a basis for negotiation. Similarly, opinion polls or straw votes can be used to forecast the outcome of an electoral power contest. A strong display of police or military power can demonstrate the potency of a force-based BATNA, which can then remain unused as nonviolent negotiation and persuasion efforts are pursued. If these short cut processes are used to measure the power balance, they can save the costs of a bitter end power contest, yet yield the same result. This is better, even for the loser, as they will have more resources left to regroup and come back again later for a more effective challenge of the status quo. This is a hard choice to make, however, when the stakes are high. Often parties fall prey to the down in flames syndrome in which people who are losing a dispute episode stubbornly pursue the power contest to the bitter end, hoping that somehow they might eventually prevail. Along with the overuse of force and miscalculating the power balance, the down in flames syndrome is one of the most destructive conflict pathologies. It is also important not to pursue resolution for sake of resolution. Resolution of the immediate dispute should not be the ultimate goal. While such a resolution may be a laudable intermediate goal, the ultimate goal should still be the building of constructive relationships and the making of fair and wise decisions over both the short and long term. Constructive Confrontation The Constructive Confrontation Cycle Traditional problem-solving mediation is linear. It goes through a predetermined series of steps, in a prescribed order. Although different mediators list different steps, most correspond rather closely to those set out by Moore.(7) First, the parties are contacted, background information is collected, a strategy is developed, and the parties' agreement to participate is obtained. Then the mediation session commences--opening statements are made, issues are defined, interests are elicited, options for settlement are developed and assessed, and agreement is reached. A settlement document is drawn up and signed, the mediation is over, and the parties go home. Constructive confrontation is very different. There is no established beginning point, and usually no end. Rather, parties begin when and where they want to, usually when they have decided (or recognized) that the conflict they are involved in is more destructive than constructive, and they need to develop a more effective way of managing it. To do this, they do begin with a diagnosis process (this is necessary), but then they can choose any of many different approach to treating the pathologies they discover. They can try to tackle all the problems at once, or they can take them one at a time. They can deal with misunderstandings first, and then procedural difficulties, or they can go the other way around. They can start down one path, and reverse to another path as the need develops. Constructive confrontation is very flexible and adaptable to the problem at hand. Constructive confrontation is also cyclical. After treatments are undertaken, results are monitored, and strategies adjusted if the treatments did not work. It is expected that the underlying conflict will continue, so in order to keep that conflict productive, parties must continue to monitor the changes in core issues and development of overlay problems over time. Things that were "fixed" a few months or years ago may spring up again and need further attention. So constructive confrontation is an ongoing process, not a one-time event plopped in the middle (or at the end) of a protracted conflict. Constructive Confrontation One goal of constructive confrontation is to help disputants develop a clear understanding of the dimensions of the problem—both from their own perspective and from their opponents.' A second goal of constructive confrontation is to enable people to separate the core conflict from what we call the conflict overlay—the unnecessary and confounding aspects of the conflict that divert attention from the core issues. The final goal of constructive confrontation is the development of a conflict strategy (which may or may not be a resolution strategy) that will best serve the party's interests. Unlike principled negotiation, which calls for the parties to consider all sides' interests simultaneously and to develop win-win solutions, constructive confrontation recognizes that this is often not a realistic request. Therefore, we ask people not to consider the interests and needs of the other parties, but to design their confrontation strategy primarily with their own interests and needs in mind. This works best if it can be accompanied by a recognition of commonly accepted principles of fairness and justice. Since it is almost always in the interest of both parties to act in a way which limits destructive outcomes (e.g., violence, escalating hatred, and distrust) this strategy seldom makes a conflict worse, and it usually encourages constructive results—improved relationships, better understanding of the issues from all points of view, and a better understanding of the confrontation and resolution options and the likely results of both. Thus, these strategies usually work to the advantages of both sides. They are unlikely, however, to go far enough to resolve the conflict. Constructive, Though Still Conflictual, Relationships The ultimate goal of constructive confrontation is the constructive transformation of conflictual relationships. Such a transformation allows individuals, organizations, and the society as a whole to realize the benefits of conflict. It helps people, organizations, and societies to learn, grow, and change. It helps people identify problems and challenges and develop ways to meet those challenges and become stronger in the process. Without successful transformation, destructive conflicts just drag people down. They consume resources, time, energy, and morale—all to no avail. They destroy relationships, undermine productivity, and often lead to violations of basic human rights. It is, therefore, essential that better techniques be developed to transform destructive intractable conflicts into constructive, though often still conflictual, relationships. This is just a beginning. Much more effort is needed to test these ideas and to develop better approaches for transforming destructive conflicts in constructive ways. Material 4 Paul Wehr Self-limiting Conflict:The Gandhian Style I have mentioned two basic categories of conflict regulation scholarship. In the preceding section we concerned ourselves with the first, specialists engaged in third-party intervention research and experimentationintermediaries, negotiation, conciliation, communication control and modification. The second involves the study of ways of waging conflict that tend both to keep it within bounds and to limit its intensity or at least the possibility of violence-nonviolent social movements, nonviolent resistance on the part of individuals and groups, nonviolent alternative national defense strategies. Let us look at conflict processes that are self-regulating in nature, i.e., that have built-in devices to keep the conflict within acceptable bounds and to inhibit violent extremism and unbridled escalation. Socialization is an important determinant of the style and effectiveness of conflict regulation in any society. If Tolley (1973) is correct in placing the formative period for attitudinal and behavioral patterns concerning peace/war issues and conflict regulation styles at ages 4-12, then learning creative approaches to conflict regulation through family, school, mass media, and other primary learning environments is essential. There are a few sources dealing with this problem (Nesbitt, 1973; Abrams and Schmidt, 1972). There are societies and groups within societies that socialize their members in effective conflict regulation. Bourdieu (1962) describes Berber Kabyles of North Africa as a society held together by a process of balanced and strictly controlled conflicto 56 Self-Limiting Confllict in which members are socialized to avoid violence. Elise Boulding (1974) observes that there are certain types of family environments and childrearing practices that tend to produce persons with nonviolent proclivities and creative response patterns to conflict. Ultimately the socialization process, political socialization in particular, is probably the most important conflict regulation device. We should soon learn some interesting things about the impact of a decade of involvement in an unpopular war on the attitudinal and behavioral patterns of America's youth. Etzioni's self-encapsulation concept is very useful here. It is a process in which certain conflicts are increasingly limited by their own nature and by the nature of the host system, so that the "range of expression of the conflict is curbed." Certain modes of conflict and weapons are excluded by mutual, sometimes tacit, consent, and the conflict becomes ritualized-the game is played by the rules, so to speak. Dahrendorf's analysis of the institutionalization of labor/management conflict over the past half century is an excellent illustration of selfencapsulation. In the United States, encapsulation occurred as a consequence of third-party intervention, when the federal government decided to protect labor's right to strike. It was also self-propelled encapsulation to some degree, as both labor and management decided that it was rational to place strict limits on their conflict-in other words, to maximize gains and minimize losses all around. The Gandhian Model of Self-Limiting Conflict Self-encapsulation can also occur through both ideological restraints and tactical approach. If at least one of the parties to the conflict develops an ideology that by its very nature limits the weaponry and violence used in the conflict, it is in an important sense self-encapsulating. Mahatma Gandhi's satyagraha (a word taken from Sanskrit, meaning "insistence on truth") movement in the first half of this century used such techniques, and other movements for social justice and selfdetermination have developed variations on this theme of nonviolent direct action. The Martin Luther King, Jr., and Cesar Chavez movements are the best examples in recent North American history, though there are interesting Latin American nonviolent movements as well. The satyagraha movement was a series of direct action campaigns aimed at calling into question the validity and moral legitimacy of the dominancedependence relationships existing in India and South Africa. The movement challenged white rule in South Africa, British rule in the Asian subcontinent, and the caste structure of Indian society itself. As do all ma'or social movements, Gandhi's had a discrete ideology, well defined roles, a strong leadership, and clear goals. It challenged a set of social structures with highly inequitable distribution of privilege, access to authority, and life chances. The movement's primary objective was to refine a technique for making latent conflict manifest and waging it without violent means or consequences. Specific political goals included the winning of political independence of the subcontinent from Britain, the liberation of oppressed minorities such as the outcastes, and the creation of a new and appropriate model for Indian economic, political, and social development. There were philosophical objectives as well. The search for social and spiritual truth gave form and direction to Gandhi's strategic and tactical approaches. The concepts of ethnic, religious, and social community were also central to the movement's ideology. The Gandhian Conflict Style We will focus on the Gandhian techniques of waging conflict that served to limit the hostility-to inhibit the "runaway processes" within conflict dynamics, as Coleman (1957) terms them. How was Gandhi able to successfully propel yet control a movement that had such great potential for massive violence and reactive repression? In large measure the answer lies in both the strategy and tactics of confrontation that Gandhi developed and in the movement's ideological bases. Step-wise Strategy. Perhaps the most obvious self-limiting aspect of Gandhi's confrontation style was its step-wise rather than spiralling escalation. Each satyagraha campaign involved a series of steps, each more challenging to the opponent than the preceding one. It would begin with negotiation and arbitration. This would be an extremely elaborate and lengthy stage including (1) on-site accumulation and analysis of facts, with opponent participation; (2) identification of interests in common with opponents; (3) formulation of a limited action goal acceptable to all parties and mutual discussion of same; and (4) a search for compromise without ceding on essentials (Naess, 1958). Gandhi did much to avoid further escalation; at this preliminary stage he established the close, cooperative, personal relationships with opponents that would later limit the antagonism normally generated by the escalation process. If the conflict was not resolved at that initial level, the satyagrahis would prepare for direct action, then move on to agitation, ultimatum, economic boycott and strikes, noncooperation, civil disobedience, usurpation of governmental functions, and the creation of parallel government (Bondurant, 1965:40). If in any of these stages, the conflict was resolved, those subsequent would be unnecessary. After each new step, however, there was a built-in period of withdrawal, reflection, and analysis of one's own and one's opponents' positions and tactics. Missing was the escalation of normal conflict, in which a hostile response evokes an even more hostile response in an unbroken upward spiral. This strategy maximized the role of rational and conciliatory action on the part of all concerned, while providing for an intensification of the confrontation as needed to achieve the goals of the movement. The step-wise approach and the interaction of reflection and action allowed the movement leadership and rank-and-file participants to control, channel, and direct the dynamics of the conflict situations they had created. One might say that the movement's peculiar "self-consciousness" served to gauge the impact of each step in a campaign, to continually reassess its effectiveness and nonhostile intent, and thereby to maximize its selflimiting capacity. The step-wise approach suggests that Gandhi's model of the conflict process is phasic rather than cyclical, with a confrontation proceeding through a series of escalatory steps. In the Gandhian perspective, the conflict should lead the parties to a new level of truth, not back to the point where they began. Ideological Self-Limitation. An essential concept in the Gandhian model of self-limiting conflict was ahimsa or nonviolence. Each satyagrahi had to give unqualified commitment to nonviolent action and was resocialized for this by movement leadership. Although the nonviolent ethic in Hinduism, Jainism, and Buddhism did reinforce satyagraha's nonviolent belief system, satyagrahis from these and other religioethnic sects who were accustomed to battling each other violently had to be resocialized into new forms of confrontation. The internalization of this ideological commitment gave satyagraha a unique form of self-control. No tight commandand-control system existed within the satyagraha movement. The leader and participant roles, individual and collective behavior, the influence of norms and peer expectation were all rooted in individual and group self-control. It was primarily because of this personalized self-control that such a massive movement developed with surprisingly little violence. Resocialization was essential to this self -controlwhere it was incomplete, violence would often erupt and Gandhi would halt a campaign. Nonviolence is by its very nature an ideology that moderates the intensity of a conflict. An inherent theoretical assumption is that a nonviolent act will elicit a similar response from an opponent and will thereby increase the chances for conciliation. In practice, however, the dynamic is much more complex. In his analysis of nonviolent action as a form of interpersonal behavior, Hare (1968), using Homans' exchange theory and Bales' interactional analysis, shows how nonviolent protestors may evoke violent responses from police and bystanders. The nonviolent actors usually intend to take downward (submissive), backward (advocating social change), and positive roles in their confrontation with others, especially those in authority. When they can maintain this role they seem to be able to "pull" a dominant- positive response which may lead to social change. However, if they become negative, or appear to be negative, then they pull a hostile response. (Hare, 1968:12) Small group experiments (Shure et al., 1965; Bartos, 1974) have also suggested the potential risk that pacifist or conciliatory responses may increase the aggressiveness of an opponent. The point to be made here is that the training and discipline of nonviolent actors and their understanding of the interpersonal dynamics of nonviolence are important. Socialization into and internalization of the role of nonviolent actor is critical for the self-limiting capacity of nonviolent action. Controlling the Dynamics of Escalation. Social scientists are now aware of certain growth dynamics of conflict-dynamics that in most conflict situations are unobserved and uncontrolled. Perhaps the most thorough analysis of the dynamics of intensification is that of J. S. Coleman (1957). 1 will describe a number of these dynamics and suggest how Gandhian conflict techniques tended to control them-particularly the "runaway responses" to which Coleman refers. In community conflict situations certain changes normally occur as the conflict develops: 1. Movement from specific to more general issues and from original to new issues. This shift sets the stage for a wider and more intensive conflict as it alerts more potential parties to the controversy, uncovers fundamental cleavages and differences in the community, and clouds the basic issues. All of this, for obvious reasons, makes conflict resolution more difficult. Where a social movement like satyagraha is involved, such an issues diversification dynamic increases its opponents and inhibits its focus and sense of achievement. The Gandhian tactic for controlling this dynamic was to tie each campaign to a single issue and a sharply limited arena. The limited issue in each campaign, however, was subtly and cleverly tied into larger questions like the end of colonial rule. The effect was to limit the potential allies of the opponent, to retain as much issue clarity and simplicity as possible, and to insure moderate and continuous success feedback in limited increments. With each limited success, the nonviolent action device gained credibility both with its adherents and its opponents. This tended to encourage both increased commitment to nonviolence and more conciliatory attitudes on the part of opponents. 2. Movement from disagreement to antagonism as the conflict develops. Issue-based conflict is transformed into ad persona hostility-the conflict is personalized. Attacks are no longer on opposing positions but on those who hold them. This naturally heightens the conflict parties' sense of perceived threat and intensifies the conflict; it increases the "life-stakes" involved, so to speak. The Gandhian model of conflict-waging inhibits the conflict personalization process. It reduces threat by stressing the maintenance of good personal relations with opponents while pressing the issues. An exemplary case was the Ahmedabad Satyagraha during which Gandhi maintained close friendly relations with several millowners while persuading them (and finally coercing them through fasting) to make concessions. Gandhi, by personalizing his relationships with his opponents, often accomplished individual "conversions" to his position. By this process of separating the person from the issue, he was able to shake the loyalty of opponents to their respective groups (e.g. millowners, members of the Brahmin caste), to sufficiently break down group identification and increase opponents' propensities toward conciliation. This technique was often employed to limit antagonism in satyagraha campaigns.2 The Gandhian model recognizes both the necessity and danger of polarization. Without it the issues cannot be clarified. The challenging movement needs it to survive and grow. Yet, in Gandhian conflict theory, confrontation is not a zerosum or even a positive-sum ame as much as it is a 'oint process of truth seeking, with the settlement emerging from that process. Gandhian conflict simultaneously provides for confrontation and maximizes the potential for conciliation. Gandhi developed a delicate mix of polarizing and conciliatory tactics that both produced and moderated confrontation. His view of conflict as the joint pursuit of truth rejected absolute ideological and tactical positions, thereby restraining the polarization process. 3. Distortion of information. As the conflict grows, according to Coleman, informal communication modes supplement and may even replace formal media as a result of an increased demand for information by more people who are alerted and involved. Rumor, slander, innuendo, and inaccurate data tend to aggravate the conflict. The sense of threat is heightened between the parties as they become more secretive. What is the other side planning? The worst is imagined. Information that contradicts threatening images of opponents is filtered out. Gandhi's conflict style, countering this dynamic, maximized the flow of information between the movement and its opponents. His techniques and tactics were openly discussed. Steps in the campaign were made known to opponents beforehand. He used the mass media to acquaint everyone with movement plans. Misinformation and secrecy were eliminated, reducing perceived threat among opponents and lessening public fear and ignorance. 4. Mutual reinforcement of response. Coleman emphasizes the process of reciprocal causation, the stuff of which conflict escalation is made. Cycles of hostile response develop and feed the polarization process. Negative images of the other party are continually confirmed. Hostile acts call forth hostile responses that in turn evoke more hostility and so on. Conflict resolution is largely the discovery of a means to break into escalatory reciprocal causation and reverse its direction. Oberschall (1973:266) notes that reciprocity is also the basis for dispute settlement. The "ethic of symmetry" requires that each give as well as take, and refrain from taking unreasonable and extreme positions. The Gandhian conflict style uses positive reciprocal causation. Nonviolent action theoretically calls forth a nonhostile response from one's opponent. As I noted earlier, this principle may not always operate-where nonviolent actors are poorly trained, for example. Even when the nonviolent actors are disciplined, the initial trauma of an unexpected nonviolent act contravening established custom and threatening privileged status may anger and frustrate opponents and encourage them to respond violently, as was often the case in the early months of the sit-in movement in the South (Wehr, 1968). The theory of nonviolent action asserts that while an opponent's initial response may be hostile, nonviolent response to that hostility will increasingly modify and ultimately transform it. The experience of the Gandhian and similar movements tends to len . d supportive evidence t'o this proposition, although, as Bondurant observes, police excesses were common in official response to satyagraha. An American journalist, Webb Miller, reported that after one raid on a salt depot he counted, in a hospital, 320 injured, many still insensible with fractured skulls, others writhing in agony from kicks in the testicles and stomach. (Bondurant, 1965:97) 5. Emergence of extremist leadership. To curb the operation of Gresham's Law of Conflict (Coleman, 1957:14), by which extremist leaders increasingly replace moderate ones as the conflict heats up, Gandhi selected his first- and second-level leadership carefully, and, as Sharp (1973:470) notes, they were disciplined and trained thoroughly in preparatory periods before each campaign. Wherever possible, Gandhi would lea d a campaign personally, with his stature as a leader permitting him to control access to leadership positions. His pledge of nonviolence acted as a brake on extremist elements. The Gandhian principle of self-reliance also helped the movement to stay clear of alliances with other political forces that did not share its commitment to nonviolence. The emphasis on cooperative, constructive programs in each satyagraha campaign reinforced the positive, creative aspects of the conflict technique. One was not challenging established norms and structures without exemplifying alternatives. The habits of cooperation in improving sanitation, nutrition, and education were essential dimensions of the satyagrahi's role. Other Limiting Aspects. The principle of self-realization in satyagraha was a conflict-limiting device in two respects. (1) Any conflict was viewed as a selfrealization process for all parties involved. Such a view sees the opponent as one to be persuaded or one to be persuaded by, not as one to be elimi- nated, humiliated, or bested. (2) For the satyagrahi, the conflict was an empowerment process. Satyagraha as a technique gave the hitherto powerless a strength, a unique identity and status vis-@-vis their opponents. This identity-producing dynamic encouraged a symmetry in the conflict that reinforced its selflimiting qualities. Violence is often a product of desperation and asymmetry in a power relationship. Satyagraha provided both a power balance that facilitated eventual conciliation with minimal violence and a concern for the opponent as someone with an identity deserving of respect. Coleman identifies a number of factors working for moderation of conflict in communities-cooptation of the opposition, resort to normal techniques of handling problems, the existence of preconflict relationships that crosspressure participants, identification with and investment in community institutions. Though Gandhi exploited these factors wherever possible, he was primarily concerned with institutionalizing new conflict processes, creating new rules by which conflict might be waged-encapsulating the conflict, to refer again to Etzioni's concept. We find, then, in Gandhi's model of conflict built-in inhibitors of violence, rancorous escalation, and extreme polarization-three processes that facilitate destructive consequences in normal conflict waging. The specific self-limiting aspects discussed above are rooted in a conception of conflict as a truthseeking process in which the objective is not to win, but to achieve a fresh level of social truth and a healthier relationship between antagonists. This is what Bondurant called the Gandhian dialectic. In every case of satyagraha the conflict is to be understood in dialectical terms. The immediate objective is a restructuring of the opposing elements to achieve a situation which is satisfactory to both the original opposing antagonists but in such a way as to present an entirely new total circumstance [emphasis mine]. (Bondurant, 1965:195) This rather innovative view of struggle, then, insured that the techniques of waging it would be self-limiting. The conception of struggle as truth seeking produces in Gandhian conflict an escalating dynamic somewhat different from the normal one, which Kriesberg has described: Having expressed hostility and coercive action against another party, the alleged reason for it assumes importance commensurate with the action taken. The cause is endowed with additional significance and there is increasing commitment to it. In addition, as the other side reciprocates with coercion the threats and injuries suffered also induce feelings of loyalty and commitment [that justify] increased effort toward their attainment and the willingness to absorb, without yielding, the coercive efforts of adversaries. (Kriesberg, 1973:155) In the dynamics of Gandhian escalation, to the contrary, persuasion in theory replaces coercion, though, as Klitgaard (1971) notes, this did not always occur. The escalating commitment is not to "winning" but to the discovery of the truth of social justice, a commitment that admitted the possibility of the opponent's truth. Gandhian philosophy does not exclude compromise as a device for the accommodation of differing positions at a point where conflict has not become explicit and basic principles have not been challenged. But once conflict materializes the Gandhian technique proceeds in a manner qualitatively different from compromise. What results from the dialectical process of conflict of opposite positions as acted upon by satyagraha, is a synthesis, not a compromise. The satyagrahi is never prepared to yield any position which he holds to be the truth. He is, however, prepared-and this is essential-to be persuaded by his opponent that the opponent's is the true, or the more nearly true, position. In the working out of the Gandhian dialectical approach, each side may, of course, yield through dissuasion any part of its position. But this is not compromise. When persuasion has been effected, what was once the opponent's position is now the position of both antagonist and protagonist. There is no sacrificing of position, no concession to the opponent with the idea of buying him over. Non-violent resistance I 'I persuasion has carried the conflict into must continue until mutually agreeable adjustment. Such adjustment will be a synthesis of the two positions and will be an adj'ustriient satisfactory to both parties in the conflict. There is no victory in the sense of triumph of one side over the other. Yet, there is no compromise, in the sense in which each side would concede parts of its previous position solely to effect a settlement. There is no "lowering" of demands, but an aiming at a "higher" level of adjustment which creates a new, mutually satisfactory, resolution. (Bondurant, 1965:197) What unfolded in the Gandhian dialectic was a process similar in many ways to the consensus formation traditionally used by Quaker bodies and in certain traditional political systems (Bourdieu, 1962). No one wins or loses. Antagonists arrive at a "meeting of the minds," so to speak. Gandhi was ostensibly one of the opponents in the satyagraha campaigns, but his style and commitment to the process made him, in a sense, a third party to the conflict. Kakasaheb Kalelkar, one of Gandhi's satyagraha leaders, has called him a a "master in the art of synthesis. " This skill at facilitating a convergence of positions among antagonists is, unfortunately, impossible to analyze in any but a superficial way here. Applicability of the Model Is the Gandhian model as a conflict regulation device transferable, in part or whole, to other conflict arenas? In fact, it has been adopted and adapted for use in other social movements-e.g., the Martin Luther King, Jr. (1961) and Cesar Chavez (Matthieson, 1970) movements for equal rights in the United States and the Danilo Dolci movement in Sicily (Mangione, 1972). Its tactics were borrowed by wartime resistance movements in Norway and Denmark and by the movement in Czechoslovakia in 1968, to cite the most prominent cases. It has been used effectively by groups and individuals not ideologically committed to nonviolence but who have recognized its practical value. Gandhian self-limiting conflict may provide future tactical possibilities for both liberation movements and civilian defense programs. Of equal interest is the potential applicability of parts of the model for conflict regulation in marital conflict, community disputes, and international peacemaking. Its transferability will be greatest where conflict involves the total identity of the opponents, where a restructuring rather than a mere reallocation of values is called for. Yet in most conflict situations the information maximization tactic would tend to reduce threat and encourage conciliation. Training people who are likely to be involved in intergroup conflict how to break into an escalating spiral with a nonhostile response would help to regulate conflict. Training people to distinguish between antagonist and issue in their conflict waging is a third Gandhian tactic that would help limit conflict. One final conflict-limiting mechanism in the satyagraha a pproach that mi ht be used effectively in conflict regulation training is that of timing. Conflict is rarely, if ever, waged "on schedule." Gandhian confrontation was self-limiting partly because it was well timed. Runaway processes were precluded by careful, self-conscious weighing of each action and the opponent's likely response to it. Even in conflicts where maximization of gains is the primary objective for each party, training both parties and third-party intermediaries in timing and scheduling could increase the potential for conciliation. Satyagraha has several prominent weaknesses, however. For one thing, it is quite culture-rooted, with concepts like selfsuffering and nonviolence difficult to transplant. Yet the Gandhian method of creative confrontation is not as culturebound as is popularly believed. The research of Sharp (1970) and others suggests that many of the techniques of satyagraha were borrowed from Chinese, Russian, and Irish nonviolent resistance movements. While a major part of its genius lay in the way it was skillfully shaped out of Indian tradition, as a means of struggle it has had substantial cross-cultural transferability. The Gandhian movement was fueled by the charismatic leadership of one man, though it produced other men of somewhat lesser stature like Ghaf fir Khan and Vinoba Bhave. When that leadership was withdrawn, the movement declined rapi idly. Whether nonviolent movements are any more susceptible to such a dynamic than other movements is a debatable point, but with Gandhi and King, movement dependence on their leadership was both strength and weakness. A third possible weakness concerns the vulnerability of satyagraha to cooptation by opponents. The confrontation/ conciliation mix is an extremely delicate one and the movement may take much less than it could get from opponents in order to maintain the balance. Most revolutionaries would argue that compromise has no place in a struggle movementthat it is only diversion. Finally, Gandhi's methods did not always work for even Gandhi himself. A number of satyagraha campaigns were abortive or produced violent confrontations. It will be interesting to see how successful the current resurgence of the satyagraha movement in India will be. It has had some major successes in confronting corrupt governments in Gujarat and Bihar and the Desai government is committed to Gandhian principles, but it is too early to measure lasting impact. Material 5 Social Conflict Escalation, Stalemate,and Settlement Dean G. Pruitt State University of New York at Buffalo Jeffrey Z. Rubin Tufts University RANDOM HOUSE NEW YORK CHAPTER 6 Processes That Produce Escalation Chapter 5 described the transformations that occur during escalation and proposed sets of conditions under which conflict is most and least likely to escalate. In this and the next chapter, we look at the processes of escalationthe chains of events that produce and maintain these transformations when conflict occurs under conditions favorable to escalation. To put it another way, when the situation is unstable and the parties fall into conflict, what actually happens that pushes them in the direction of escalation? The present chapter focuses mainly on the production of escalation: the processes that encourage the use of heavier tactics, cause issues to proliferate, and produce increasing absorption in the struggle. Chapter 7 examines the persistence of escalation once it has occurred: the processes that encourage the continued use of heavy tactics and a consistently deep absorption in the struggle. We now introduce a second example of escalating conflict to supplement the case study of a campus crisis presented in the last chapter. This is the sequence of events that took place during the development of the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union. The fact that both of these cases involve conflict between collectives (groups, organizations, or nations) does not imply that escalation is found only in such relationships. Much of our theory also applies to the escalation of interpersonal conflict, such as conflict between spouses, neighbors, business associates, and the like. I DEVELOPMENT OF THE COLD WAR The development of the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union immediately after 1945 is a prime example of conflict escalation. These two major nations were allies during the Second World War, which ended with high hopes for continued cooperation. But the Soviets emerged from the war with deep suspicions of the West. This led them to adopt a goal of controlling the nations adjoining their territory, making it difficult to maintain EastWest cooperation. They built a communist satellite system in Eastern Europe, supported communist guerrillas in Greece, and put political pressure on Tur key. In 1947 the United States responded to these actions in three ways: lt gave military aid to Greece and Turkey. It created the Marshall Plan, which was designed to revitalize the economy of Western Europe and weaken communist parties in Western European countries. And (in conjunction with Britain and later with France) it began the slow process of unifying West Germany and rebuilding its economy, as a further bulwark against Soviet expansion. The latter move was viewed with considerable alarm by the Soviet Union, which had been at war twice with Germany in the prior 30 years. The Soviets responded at first with protests. Then, in 1948, they tried sporadically interrupting communications between Berlin (which was under joint control but was an enclave surrounded by the Russian-controlled portion of Germany) and .West Germany. Finally, after the West introduced a currency reform in West Germany, they installed a full blockade of Berlin, claiming that they were repairing the routes to the city. The United States and its allies responded by launching a successful airlift between Berlin and West Germany and by beginning negotiations that led to the formation of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), a military alliance involving the United States and most of the Western European nations. This latter development led eventually to the rearmament of West Germany, which caused considerable further alarm in the Soviet Union. The story of this conflict continues to the present day, but we stop it at this point because we have said enough to give a massive and extremely significant example of conflict escalation. This escalation illustrates most of the transformations described in the last chapter: tactics went from light (protests) to heavy (blockading a city, forming a military alliance); issues proliferated; the parties became increasingly absorbed in the struggle; more and more elements of the relationship between the superpowers were affected; and goals changed from self-advancement to subverting the adversary. We look now at the processes that encourage such transformations, especially those that foster the use of increasingly heavy tactics, a key transformation in most escalative episodes. THREE CONFLICT MODELS Most theories of escalation can be classified under one of three broad conflict models (Pruitt & Gahagan, 1974): the aggressor-defender model, the conflict spiral model, and the structural change model. Though all three models have some value (they all account well for some episodes of escalation), the first model has generally been overemphasized and the last underemphasized. The Aggressor-Defender Model The aggressor-defender model draws a distinction between the two parties.One party, the "aggressor," is viewed as having a goal or set of goals that places it in conflict with the other, the "defender. " The aggressor ordinarily starts with mild contentious tactics because of the costs involved in escalation. But if these do not work, he or she moves on to heavier tactics, continuing to escalate until the goals are attained or a point is reached at which the value of goal attainment is outweighed by the anticipated cost of continued escalation. The defender merely reacts, escalating his or her efforts in response to the aggressor's escalation. Escalation persists until the aggressor either wins or gives up trying. The terms "aggressor" and "defender" in this model are not intended to be evaluative. In other words, they do not imply that one side is wrong and the other right in the controversy. The aggressor is simply a party who sees an opportunity to change things in the direction of his or her interests; the defender, a party who tries to resist this change. The aggressor-defender model helps to explain one of the stages in the development of the Cold War. This is the point at which the Soviet Union adopted the goal of blocking the unification of West Germany. At first the Soviets employed the mild tactic of protest. When this did not work, they moved to a heavier tactic of sporadically interrupting communications between Berlin and West Germany. When this was unsuccessful, and the West introduced a currency reform that contributed further to German unification, they employed an extremely heavy tactic, a full blockade of the city. This explanation is cogent, but despite its popularity, the aggressor-defender model is incapable of interpreting many other stages in the development of the Cold War-and indeed in most conflict escalation. In other words, this model provides a useful but incomplete account of the processes underlying escalation. The Conflict Spiral Model The conflict spiral model of escalation is found in the writings of many theorists (North, Brody & Holsti, 1964; Osgood, 1962, 1966; Richardson, 1967). This model holds that escalation results from a vicious circle of action and reaction. Party's contentious tactics encourage a contentious response from Other, which contributes to further contentious behavior from Party, completing the circle and starting it on its next iteration. Two broad classes of conflict spirals can be distinguished. In a retaliatory spiral, each party punishes the other for actions that it finds aversive. An example is an argument followed by a shouting match followed by a fist fight. In a defensive spiral, each party reacts so as to protect itself from a threat it finds in the other's self-protective actions. An example is an arms race. In a defensive spiral, each party can be thought of as alternately the aggressor and the defender. Conflict spirals produce escalation of tactics when, as is often the case, each reaction is ' more severe and intense than the action it follows. They also contribute to the perpetuation of tactical escalation-that is, to the fact that heavy tactics continue to be used on both sides once they are first employed. If I hit you, you will often hit me back, which leads me to hit you once again, and so on. In addition to explaining the escalation of tactics, the conflict spiral model helps us understand the growing size of an escalating Conflicts the proliferation of issues, and increased attention to the conflict. The point is that each retaliatory or defensive action in the spiral provides a new issue-a new grievance for the target of this action, producing a growing sense of crisis in the mind of this party. The conflict spiral model provides further insight into the dynamics of Cold War escalation. In response to Soviet moves in Eastern Europe and in Greece and Turkey, the United States and its allies began to establish a West German state. In response to this action, the Soviet Union instituted a blockade of Berlin. In response to this blockade and all that had come before, the United States and its allies formed NATO and began to arm West Germany. And so on. The sequence of actions in the UB campus crisis, which started with stones thrown at the president's window and ended with an ugly confrontation between a mob of students and a number of city police officers, also illustrates such a spiral. The aggressor-defender and conflict spiral models are compared diagramatically in Figure 6. 1. In the aggressor-defender analysis, causation flows in only one direction; the aggressor acts and the defender reacts. In the conflict spiral analysis, causation flows in both directions; each party reacts to the other party's actions. The conflict spiral diagram involves an oversimplification (which is necessary to help us distinguish the forest from the trees) in that it pictures each party's action as a response to the other's immediately preceding action. In reality, each action is a "result of the cumulative impression from all the previous actions by the other side" (White, 1984, p. 95), though more recent actions are usually given greater weight than earlier actions. The conflict spiral model.should not be seen as an improved version of, or replacement for, the aggressor-defender model of escalation. The latter is useful whenever one party develops a goal that places it at odds with another party and pursues this goal through an escalating sequence of actions. Many cases of escalation exhibit this form. However, even in controversies where an aggressor-defender analysis is useful, the conflict spiral model frequently provides additional insights. Quite often the goal that impels the aggressor is, at least in part, a reaction to the defender's prior actions. This point is often missed by participants in conflict, who attribute the cause of the conflict exclusively to their adversary'.s aggression. It is also often missed by involved observers, who assign the cause of the confict to actions ofthe side with which they have weaker relations or the side that has employed the heavier, less defensible tactics. But a careful analysis usually reveals that causation has flowed in both directions. A case in point is the Soviet effort to prevent the unification and ascendancy of West Germany, which took the form of an escalating series of protest actions that were progressively resisted by the West. Even though these actions are properly labeled "aggression" (in the nonevaluative sense of the term used here), they can also be seen as a reaction to Western efforts to strengthen Germany. Hence they are also part of a larger conflict spiral. Likewise, German efforts to conquer Europe in the 1940s, which were surely aggression by any definition of the term, can also be seen in part as reactions to the humiliation of Germany after the First World War-and thus as part of a conflict spiral lasting many years. The Structural Change Model Our picture of the forces producing escalation is rounded out by a third model, which is implied by the writings of Burton (1962), Coleman (1957), and Schumpeter (1955, first published in 1919), among others. This structural change model argues that conflict, and the tactics used to pursue it, produce residues in the form of changes in the parties and the communities to which the parties belong. These residues then encourage further contentious behavior, at an equal or still more escalated level, and diminish efforts at conflict resolutions Thus escalated conflict is both antecedent and consequent of structural changes. Three kinds of structural changes can be distinguished: psychological changes, changes in groups and other collectives, and changes in the community surrounding the parties. Psychological changes are many and diverse. As conflict escalates, negative attitudes and negative perceptions of the adversary typically develop. The adversary is blamed for the growing controversy and comes to be distrusted in the sense of being seen as indifferent or even hostile to our welfare. Negative traits are attributed to the adversary, such as being self-centered, morally unfit, or (in extreme cases) a diabolical enemy. The adversary is dehumanized and deindividuated. Anger, fear, and wounded pride become the dominant emotions. Zero-sum thinking develops-it's either victory for them or victory for us. New goals come to the fore: to look better than, punish, discredit, defeat, or even destroy the adversary. The capacity for empathy with the adversary is eroded. There are also changes in the approach taken to joint decision making: Positions become rigid, there is little room for compromise, and there is a dearth of imagination and creativity. Emphasis is placed on proving how tough and unyielding one is, so as to persuade the adversary that one cannot be pushed around. Coupled with this is an exaggerated fear of small losses, which are seen as diminishing one's status vis-a-vis the other and possibly encouraging the other to take advantage of one. There is also a tendency to break contact with the adversary-to be unwilling to communicate with him or her. All of these changes typically occur on both sides of the dispute. These psychological changes occur in all escalated conflicts, whether the actors are individuals or collectives. When collectives (groups, organizations, or nations) are involved in a controversy, structural changes also occur at the collective level. The psychological reactions just described are accentuated by collective discussion and tend to become collective norms. Collective goals of defeating the enemy tend to develop, and subgroups are set up to implement these goals. Increased cohesiveness, resulting from having an outside enemy, contributes to the force of these norms and to the dedication of individuals in the collective to the newly found goals and the means of implementing them. New, more militant leadership often emerges, contributing further to the collective orientation toward struggle. In other words, doves are replaced by hawks. If one of the parties is an unorganized set of individuals, conflict sometimes encourages the development of a struggle group-precipitated out of the mix of strong individual emotions-which then takes up the cudgel against the adversary. Structural changes may also take the form of polarization in the broader community of which the antagonists are a part. Third parties join one or the other antagonist, forsaking the constructive neutral role they might otherwise play. The important point about all of these changes is that they contribute to the cycle of escalation: They result from the use of escalated tactics and encourage further escalation. This contribution takes three forms: One is that psychological and collective changes are the mechanisms at work in conflict spirals. As can be seen in the top part of Figure 6.2 (model 1), heavy tactics used by Party tend to produce structural changes in Other, which motivate similar heavy tactics from Other, provoking structural changes in Party, which start the spiral around once more. For example, Party's yelling at Other (a contentious tactic) causes Other to think of Party as an unpleasant person (structural change), making it easier for Other to yell back (more contentious tactics), encouraging Party to develop the goal of punishing Other (another structural change), motivating Party to make a fist (still more contentious tactics), and so on. Any or all of the changes described earlier, except community polarization, can be written into the boxes marked "structural changes" in this figure. The second way in which structural changes contribute to the cycle of escalation is illustrated in the bottom part of Figure 6.2 (model 11). These changes often result from Party's own use of heavy tactics and contribute to further use of these tactics. For example, by a dissonance theory (Festinger, 1957) analysis of attitude change, the very fact of defending one's nation against another nation is likely to create more negative attitudes toward the adversary, encouraging further defensive efforts. The third impact of structural changes is to erode some of the safeguards against escalating conflict that were describe in the last chapter: positive attitudes, respect, friendship, perceived similarity, common group membership, and future dependence. Crosscutting relationships also tend to disappear as communities polarize, and the effectiveness of conflict-limiting institutions in the broader community (such as legislatures and courts) may be adversely affected. The result is not only to encourage further escalation in the current situation but also to make escalation more likely in future conflicts involving the same parties. Thus escalated conflict often weakens a community's capacity to deal effectively with further conflict. In addition to reinforcing escalation, those changes involving the development of hostile goals actually increase the divergence of interest between the parties. New issues come to the fore, resulting from the desire each party has to defeat the other. Such developments confirm each party's distrust of the other. Distrust of this kind involves no misunderstanding; as a result of the development of hostile goals, each party has become an actual eneiny of the other. The short, diagonal arrows at the top left of the diagrams in Figure 6.2 are meant to suggest that the initial impulse for these circular processes has its impact on behavior rather than on structural change. We believe that this is the way such circles ordinarily arise. In response to a perceived divergence of interest (or in response to some stimulus entirely outside the relationship between the two parties), one of the parties engages in contentious behavior. This produces structural changes tha't start the system on the road to escalation. However, it is possible for escalation to start with a structural change. A conversation with a third party may turn me against my neighbor and kick off an escalative process. A radical leader may urge a crowd of students to stage a sit-in, producing a cohesive struggle group that is capable of mounting a concerted campaign against the university administration. (This was the sequence of events in the 1968 Columbia University student crisis.) Structural changes help to account for the escalation that led to the Cold War and for the flinty persistence of this escalation. Such psychological changes as anger, hostility, profound distrust, blackened images, and an inability to empathize took root in the United States during the early period of the Cold War and persist today. Zero-sum thinking ("What is good for them is bad for us, and vice versa") set in and is still noteworthy in the modern era. Considerations of national pride and face-saving gripped every American president from Truman onward-none wanted to be in office when another country fell to communism. Most Americans became unable to empathize with the genuine Soviet security needs that underlay a large proportion of their actions. For a period of time in the late 1940s and early 1950s, most communication with the Soviet Union was broken off, and today it is at an uncomfortably low level again. Collective changes also took place. At the depth of the Cold War, hostile norms were so strong that people who had a good word for the Soviet Union were made to feel uncomfortable and were sometimes hauled up before congressional committees. The country even flirted for a time in the 1950s with highly militant leadership, in the person of Senator Joseph McCarthy, a virulent anti-communist with a large political following. Fortunately, some of these collective excesses were overcome by the 1960s. But the establishment of a semi-autonomous military machine, with political support from technological sectors dependent on it, provides constant input into. the stillfestering controversy. We have described these changes as we have seen them in the United States, because we know our own society better than that of the Soviet Union. However, there is good reason to believe that comparable changes have taken place and have been perpetuated in the Soviet Union (see White, 1984). In addition to these psychological and collective changes, there has also been some polarization in'the international 'community, with many other nations choosing up sides between the two giants. This trend has abated somewhat in recent years. In summary, we have described three models of conflict escalation that are commonly found in the literature: the aggressor-defender, conflict spiral, and structural change models. These models are not mutually exclusive. Rather, each helps us understand certain aspects of escalation. The most complicated model, by far, is the structural change model, because there are so many possible residues of escalation that keep escalation going. We shall devote most of the rest of the chapter to a further elaboration of this model, examining in more detail selected psychological, collective, and community changes. The concluding comment looks at the impact on escalation of the models that the parties themselves use in analyzing their conflict. PSYCHOLOGICAL CHANGES This section deals only with psychological changes that have been subject to careful research: the desire to punish (aggress against) the other, negative attitudes and perceptions, and deindividuation. The Desire to Punish (Aggress Against) the Other A great deal of research has been conducted on the sources of "aggression" (see Baron, 1977; Berkowitz, 1962; Zillmann, 1979). Because aggression is defined in this research as intentionally hurting another person, this research sheds light on the antecedents of the desire to punish the other party. Research on this topic indicates that aggression arises mainly from aversive (unpleasant) experiences: deprivation, failure to achieve aspirations, inequitable treatment, pain and suffering, and the like. Such experiences are, of course, quite frequent when Other is engaged in contentious behavior. Hence the desire'to punish Other can be seen as one link between Other's contentious behavior and Party's subsequent contentious behavior. Blaming Other. Aggression is more likely when the perceived source of an aversive experience can be blamed for his or her actions-that is, when these actions seem to be Other's fault. Blame has a number of sources. For example, Other is more likely to be blamed for actions that seem voluntary than those that seem involuntary (Schneider, Hastorf & Ellsworth, 1979). Actions that seem freely taken are more likely to evoke blame than those apparently resulting from heavy environmental pressures, unless Other is clearly responsible for resisting such pressures. Actions that appear contrary to the norms of society are also especially enraging (Mallick & McCandless, 1966). The implication of these points is that conflict is especially likely to escalate when the parties see each other's contentious behavior as arbitrary and not attributable to extenuating circumstances, because under these conditions the parties are especially likely to develop a desire to punish one another. To forgive Other because of extenuating circumstances requires a high level of cognitive activity. Party must analyze Other's circumstances and motivation and hold them up to standards of reasonable conduct. It is clear that this is socially learned behavior. Small children do not behave this way, being much more likely than adults to hold people responsible for their actions regardless of why these actions were taken (Shaw& Sulzer, 1964). Furthermore, Party pays less attention to extenuating circumstances when he or she is autonomically aroused, as might be expected with any complex cognitive behavior (Zillmann, Bryant, Cantor & Day, 1975). The Role of Anger. Theorists differ on the role of anger in aggression, but it seems reasonable to assume that anger is often at work when aversive experiences lead to aggression. Like other emotions, anger can be interpreted as resulting from cognitive labeling of an undifferentiated state of autonomic arousal. According to Scbachter (1964), the first stage in emotional experience is arousal-activation of the autonomic nervous system. The second stage is interpretation of this arousal. To make this interpretation, people employ whatever information is available. Not all interpretations lead to emotion; for example, if they have recently taken a new medicine or exercised, people may assume that this is the cause. But there are certain standard interpretations that produce emotion. If people see danger, they are likely to interpret their arousal as fear and feel fear; if they are aware of a recent aversive experience, their reaction is likely to be anger. When such interpretations are made, greater arousal leads to stronger emotion and more extreme emotional behavior.' It follows that people become particularly emotional when they are aroused by other stimuli in addition to those that produce the emotional interpretation. Such an effect has been found in the case of anger leading to aggression. For example, Zillmann (1979) has shown in a controlled experiment that people who exercise and then have an aversive experience aggress more vigorously against the source of the aversive experience than they do if they have not exercised. This result is particularly apparent when the exercise comes somewhat earlier than the aversive experience so that people lose track of why they are aroused and attribute it entirely to the aversive experience. In addition, it has been shown that emotion can be destroyed by encouraging people to attribute their arousal to a neutral experience such as taking a pill. This misattribution" effect is also found with anger (Loftis, 1974). The ideas just presented imply that heavily contentious behavior and hence escalation are most likely to occur when people approach conflict in an aroused state. The arousal can be due to any source, including physical exercise (folklore to the contrary, a fast game of basketball is more likely to exacerbate controversies than to cure them) and listening to loud or complex music 'Schachter's theory has recently come under attack because some of his earliest research could not be replicated (Marshall & Zimbardo, 1979; Maslach, 1979). However' it still provides the best available theoretical account of the body of research results cited in this section. 98 Social Conflict (Konecni, 1975). The chances of escalation are diminished when people's emotions are subdued-for example, as a result of listening to soft, sweet music (Konecni, 1975)-or when they believe their state of arousal originates outside the controversy, in concern about health, tensions at home, or the like. Inhibition of Aggression. The desire to punish another person is by no means always expressed in actual behavior. Indeed, aggressive impulses are usually inhibited. Inhibition may be due to a number of sources, including social condemnation of aggression, conscience, ability to empathize with the target's potential suffering, fear of punishment by the target, and ties with the target. If social condemnation of aggression contributes to its inhibition, social endorsement should be disinhibiting. Thus, if Party is angry against Other and a third party acts aggressively, this should make it easier for Party to actually aggress. There is ample research support for this conclusion. The model for Party's aggression can be a fellow group mem ' ber (Wheeler & Caggiula, 1966), a character in a movie (Berkowitz & Geen, 1966), or even a football player in a game Party is watching (Goldstein & Arms, 1971). It follows that, to help avoid escalation in a difficult controversy, the disputants should shun aggressively tinged entertainment and that people who are in contact with them should try to behave peacefully. People who have difficulty projecting ahead are especially likely to act aggressively when they are tempted to do so. This is because they are not deterred by fear of punishment from the target or third parties. For this reason, people who are under the influence of high emotion (Zillmann, 1979) or alcohol (Mulvihill & Tumin, 1969) are particularly likely to get involved in escalating controversies. Displacement. The preferred target for the expression of aggression is the party who is blamed for the aversive experience. However, it is not always possible to indulge this preference. The source of annoyance may be well protected, or there may be extenuating circumstances that reduce his or her culpability, or it may be impossible to identify the source, Under these circumstances, the desire to punish is sometimes displaced onto another target. If one cannot hit an offending boss, one can yell at one's spouse or kick the cat. Evidence of displacement can be seen in a historical study by Hovland and Sears (1940), who found an inverse correlation between the price of cotton in the South and the number of blacks lynched over a 49-year period. The lower the price of cotton, the more lynchings. What presumably happened is that white farmers were frustrated by the decline in the cotton market but could not legitimately aggress against the cotton merchants who were paying less. Hence, they took it out on a handy displacement object, the black man. More recently, Berkowitz, Cochran, and Embree (1981) has shown that subjects who are forced to hold their hand in very cold water (another aversive experience) are more aggressive toward fellow subjects than are those who hold their hand in moderately cold water, another demonstration of displacement. The phenomenon of displacement suggests that people who have had earlier aversive experiences in settings that do not permit aggressive behavior are especially likely to choose escalated tactics in the current conflict. Negative Attitudes and Perceptions An attitude is a positive or negative feeling toward some person or object. A perception is a belief about, or way of viewing, that person or object. Like all structural changes, negative attitudes and perceptions are both cause and effect of the use of contentious tactics. Accordingly, they are way stations in the escalation of conflict. Attitudes and perceptions tend to be consistent in valence in the sense that, if I have negative (positive) feelings toward somebody, I tend also to have predominantly negative (positive) perceptions of that person. However, they are not 100 percent consistent. I may dislike a man and generally think ill of him but nevertheless trust him, because I have had a positive experience whenever I have relied on him. Hence, we must, to some extent, deal separately with these two psychological elements. The following kinds of perceptions are particularly characteristic of escalated conflict. Adversaries tend to be seen as deficient in moral virtue-as dishonest, unfriendly, or warlike a They also tend to be distrusted; we believe them to be hostile to our welfare. In addition, they are sometimes seen as lacking in ability or achievement (Blake & Mouton, 1962), though this kind of perceptual distortion is less likely because of the greater availability of sound evidence about these characteristics (Brewer, 1979). By contrast, one's own side is seen often as more moral and sometimes as more able (White, 1984). When groups are in conflict, a variant of these perceptions is sometimes found, which White (1984) has called the "evil-ruler enemy image." This is the perception that ordinary members of the other group feel neutral of even positive toward us but that their leaders are hideous monsters. In this view, aggressive actions taken by ordinary members of the other group are attributed to the fact that they are misled by their leaders, rather than to their moral degeneracy. Such images can be seen in American views of the Soviet Union and in Soviet views of America. They were also found in. the UB campus crisis described in the last chapter. In the midst of the crisis, the university president went on the air to denounce a small group of "vicious vandals" who were misleading the larger body of normally reasonable students. The evil-ruler enemy image appears to permit a decidedly negative view of the opponent while realistically acknowledging that not all members of any group can be evil. Attitudes and the perceptions that accompany them tend to be similar on both sides of a controversy. This is the so-called "mirror image" hypothesis (Bronfenbrenner, 1961; Frank, 1982). For example, the profound distrust felt by most Americans toward the Soviet Union is mirrored in Soviet attitudes toward the United States. Unfortunately, the existence of a mirror image is often not recognized by parties involved in a conflict, who tend to distrust the adversary without realizing that the adversary also distrusts them. This lack of insight can contribute to the conflict spiral in the following way: If Other is behaving in a contentious fashion and we do not recognize that Other fears us, we assume that Other's behavior is aggressively motivated and therefore feel the need to escalate our response further. Effects on Behavior. Negative attitudes and perceptions encourage escalation and discourage the settlement of conflict in at least seven ways. The first is by encouraging a tendency to blame the object of the attitude for one's unpleasant experiences. People who have aversive experiences commonly seek a culprit to blame. However, the evidence about who is to blame is often ambiguous. Even when another party is clearly the source of the aversive experience, there may be extenuating circumstances. When evidence is ambiguous, attitudes tend to structure perceptions. This means that disliked parties are blamed and that liked parties are given the benefit of the doubt. A finding by Blumenthal, et al. (1972) illustrates the impact of at ' titudes and perceptions on blame. During a period of political turmoil in the United States, in the summer of 1969, people were found to blame the conflict on groups whose views they did not like. Liberals blamed the police, whereas conservatives blamed the demonstrators. Both tended to use the term cc violence" to describe the behavior of groups they disliked and the term "justified force" to describe the behavior of groups whose views they favored. People were also more sympathetic to the use of force against the groups they blamed. A second, and related, mechanism leading to escalation is that parties who are distrusted tend to be seen as threatening when their actions are ambiguous (Pruitt, 1965). They are given little benefit of the doubt or credit for good intentions. This produces an escalation of defensive and deterrent moves, and it often creates new issues for conflict. Examples of this process are seen regularly in relations between the United States and the Soviet Union. Take, for example, American interpretations of the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. This invasion is commonly seen as a sign of expansionist intent-as evidence that the Soviet Union is ready to invade other Middle Eastern countries such as Saudi Arabia. The United States has invested billions of dollars in additional armaments as a result of this perceived threat. Yet the evidence of this threat is ambiguous in the sense that there are other highly plausible interpretations of the Soviet invasion. Most notable is the view that the Soviet Union was simply trying to protect a beleaguered communist government from disintegrating and being reabsorbed into the Western community of nations. Under the latter interpretation, the Soviet invasion probably would still be labeled "aggression. " But it would not be evidence of a major threat to the West, because Soviet intentions would be seen as strictly limited (White, 1984). The point of all this is that American distrust of the Soviet Union has led many Americans to choose, from the various possible interpretations of the Soviet invasion, the one that forbodes the greatest future danger. In a strictly parallel fashion, recent increases in the Ai-nerican arms budget have apparently been misunderstood in the Soviet Union as evidence of increased military threat. As in the case of the United States, distrust serves to shape Soviet perceptions of this inherently ambiguous evidence. A third way in which negative attitudes and perceptions encourage escalation is by diminishing inhibitions against aggression among people who have been provoked. People are reluctant to aggress against parties they like and respect, even when these parties can clearly be blamed for unpleasant experiences, but they are quite willing to aggress against parties they do not like or respect. The finding that southern white students (many of whom can be assumed to have been prejudiced) retaliated more vigorously when insulted by a black than by a white (Rogers & Prentice-Dunn, 1981) supports these generalizations. When negative attitudes lead to name-calling, inhibitions against aggression are particularly likely to fall away. Name-calling strengthens the impression that the other is morally inadequate and dissimilar to oneself Some names (such as the epithet "pig," which was hurled at policemen by student demonstrators in the 1960s) even make the other seem subhuman. Hence they tend to erode normal inhibitions against aggression. A fourth way in which negative attitudes and perceptions encourage escalation is by interfering with communication. People tend to avoid those toward whom they are hostile. The point is well put by Coleman (1957): "As controversy develops, associations . . . wither between persons on opposing sides" (p. 11). This contributes to misunderstandings and hence to the proliferation of conflict issues. It also makes it difficult to reach a peaceful settlement of the controversy. The reasons for this common development are not altogether clear. Why stop meeting and talking when one becomes hostile toward another party? Conceivably, people view association as implying friendship and endorsement. If so, contact with an opponent might send out false signals that one accepts the opponent's position. This is part of the reason for mutual nonrecognition between Israel and the Palestine Liberation Organization. Or, conceivably, the phenomenon has deeper emotional roots. According to balance theory (Heider, 1958). negative attitudes toward any object psychologically imply a negative relationship with that object-and a desire to put psychological distance between oneself and that object. A fifth mechanism is that negative attitudes and perceptions tend to make it difficult to empathize with the adversary (White, 1984). Adversaries seem so different from us that it is hard to put ourselves in their shoes. Furthermore, there is an easy explanation for all of their actions which makes empathy seem unnecessary: these actions stem from evil motives. Absence of empathy is like absence of communication in that it fosters misunderstandings. It also encourages escalation by blocking insight into the conflict spiral. Awareness that the adversary's hostile behavior is a reaction to our own hostile behavior causes us to limit our escalation as a matter of self-protection. 102 Social Conflict But if we lack empathy into'the adversary's motives, we are unaware of our own role in encouraging the other to aggress and are likely to escalate unthinkingly. A sixth point is that negative attitudes and perceptions foster "zero-sum thinking"--the belief that what is good for you is bad for me, and vice versa. This happens partly because of distrust. If I believe you are hostile toward my interests, I will tend to doubt that you can endorse any alternative that helps me. Zero-sum thinking also arises from negative feelings toward the other party. Why should I help you if I don't like or respect you? An example of this phenomenon can be seen in the results of a study by Sillars (1981), in which it was found that students who blamed their roommates for past conflict tended not to take a problem-solving approach in dealing with their roommates. Syna (1984) has found a similar effect with married couples. Zero-sum thinking is the antithesis of perceived integrative potential (PIP), a concept introduced in Chapter 2. Hence it tends to diminish perceived common ground (PCG), which makes problem solving an unlikely alternative. To resolve the controversy, Party must either yield or contend, and the latter is the more common approach because there so often are constraints against yielding. Thus zero-sum thinking often leads to conflict escalation. The seventh and final point is that, when negative attitudes and perceptions grow severe, the adversary comes to be viewed as a "diabolical enemy" (White, 1984) and the conflict is seen as a war between light (our side) and darkness (their side). We are the chosen people; they are the "evil empire" (to quote President Reagan's statement about the Soviet Union). In such circumstances, we are ready to blame them for all that goes wrong, communication often takes a nose dive, empathy is especially weak, and problem solving is extraordinarily hard to sustain. Heavy tactics tend to become the rule and new controversies develop regularly, confirming our view of them and theirs of us. Sources of Negative Attitudes and Perceptions. Like all structural changes, negative attitudes and perceptions result from escalation as well as contributing further to it. More precisely, they are affected both by Other's escalated actions and by Party's own escalated actions. Aversive behavior that is blamed on.Other tends to produce an initial angry reaction characterized by a state of autonomic arousal. This is often followed by a cooler, longer-lasting residue, which serves to goad people toward aggression and hence toward escalation. The latter state is sometimes an active goal to punish Other, leading directl' to escalation. But more often it is simply a negative attitude toward Other, which acts in the seven ways we have described. An alternative reaction to Other's contentious behavior is sometimes found. Instead of blaming Other, one might instead blame oneself as the source of behavior to which Other is reacting or blame both parties equally on the assumption that a conflict spiral is at work. However, this is less likely to happen, especially if there are multiple conflicts between oneself and Other (Syna, 1984). There are two reasons for the tendency to blame Other for controversy. One is ego-defensive: Finding fault with oneself is,more painful than finding fault with another person. The other is perceptual: We are much more aware of other peoples' contributions to controversy than of our own, because their contribution is more apparent to the senses. In Heider's (1958) terminology, their contribution "engulfs the field." For these reasons we tend to see Other as more causally central to the controversy. The perceptions of other people or groups that have the greatest effect on our conflict behavior are the inferences we draw about their stable dispositionstheir basic traits and motives and their attitudes toward us. If these dispositions seem negative, we are more likely to escalate our tactics; if they seem positive, we are less likely to do so. To understand the origins of such perceptions, we turn to two principles of attribution theory: the discounting principle and the augmentation principle (Kelley, 1973; Schneider, Hastorf& Ellsworth, 1979). According to the discounting principle, Other's actions are more likely to be attributed to an underlying disposition when alternative causes can be confidently ruled out. Thus role-related behavior is less likely to be seen as due to underlying attitudes or personality traits than is behavior that departs from Other's role (Jones & Davis, 1965). For example, a bank employee who forecloses on our loan is less likely to be viewed as morally destitute than is a friend who takes the same action, because the bank employee can be seen as simply doing his or her job. According to the augmentation principle, Other's actions are viewed as expressing an underlying disposition to the extent that he or she incurs risks or costs in enacting them. This implies that a person who jeopardizes his or her job to harm our interests is especially likely to be seen as having negative dispositions. If a porter should refuse to carry our bags for no apparent reason,, we are likely to view him or her in particularly negative terms, because his or her behavior can only be explained by assuming hostility toward us or toward people in our category. It is no surprise to learn that Other's behavior affects Party's attitudes toward Other. But many people are astonished to learn that there is evidence (Bem, 1972; Festinger, 1957) that Party's own behavior toward Other also affects these attitudes and perceptions. Through a process of rationalization, people's feelings and beliefs tend to become consistent with their behavior. There is no inconsistency between regarding behavior as a source of attitudes and regarding attitudes as a source of behavior. When people can choose among several courses of action, attitudes often influence their choice. But when environmental pressures push them in a particular direction, attitudes tend to fall in line. We can conclude from these generalizations that Party's hostile behavior toward Other causes Party to dislike Other and see him or her in a negative light, whereas friendly behavior tends to erode such attitudes and images. (Evidence favoring the latter point can be seen in the experimental finding that people tend to trust others to whom they have directed promises of cooperation [Loomis, 1959].) This implies, in turn, another mechanism that can generate conflict escalation: Party takes contentious action toward Other, which encourages negative feelings and perceptions about Other, motivating heavier contentious tactics in the next time period. Behavior affects attitudes only when the actor believes that it was freely taken and was not due to external pressures. If I call a policeman a pig and believe I did so of my own free will, I shall probably develop a negative attitude toward that policeman or all policemen. But if I believe that I was coerced into taking this action or (and this is rare) acknowledge that I was trying to impress somebody, my attitude will not be affected. The issue is not whether the behavior is actually freely taken (the authors of this volume take no stand on the question of whether people ultimately have free will) but whether the actor believes his or her behavior was freely taken. Because people usually believe that their actions are freely taken, behavior usually has a considerable impact on attitudes. Deindividuation Another person is deindividuated when he or she is perceived as a member of a category or group rather than as an individual. This perception has no valence and hence cannot be viewed as a negative attitude or perception. But it nevertheless encourages contentious behavior, apparently by eroding in'hibitions against acting aggressively. What may happen is that people who are deindividuated seem less human than those who are individuated, and hence seem less protected by social norms against aggression. Deindividuation was probably at work in an experiment by Milgram (1974) in which subjects in the role of "teacher" gave especially severe shocks to others in the role of "learner" when the latter were at a distance or out of sight. Deindividuation of the enemy may be what makes it easier for fliers to drop bombs on people they cannot see than for foot soldiers to shoot those they can see. Deindividuation is countered by receipt of information about others that makes them seem unique. Hence, guards in Nazi prison camps are said to have treated prisoners more leniently when they knew their names (Zimbardo, 1970). Another way to discover that outgroup members are individuals is to have friendly relations with them over a period of time. It follows that residential settings that foster interracial friendships should lead to a reduction of white prejudice against blacks, an effect that has been demonstrated in two survey studies (Deutsch & Collins, 1951; Hamilton & Bishop, 1976). It is said that, before he led a protest demonstration, Gandhi would ask for hospitality from the local English governor and thus make friends with him. This was presumably a way of individuating himself-and his movement by association with him-in the eyes of the authorities, thereby reducing the aggressiveness of tactics used against his followers. Similar reasoning suggests that aggressive or discriminatory impulses should lead to deindividuation of the prospective target, In this way, people prediction emerges from a study by Worchel and Andreoli (1978). It was found that subjects who were angry with, or were expected to shock, another person were especially likely to forget individuating information about that person (such as his or her name) and to remember deindividuating information (such as his or her race). Name-calling during conflict may in part reflect this effect. An epithet such as "nigger or pig" reduces the individuality of the other, making it easier to aggress. This finding implies that deindividuation is another way station in the circle of conflict escalation. Each participant deindividuates the other in order to rationalize his or her initial contentious moves. This state of mind then makes it easier to take more severe measures against the other. In addition to viewing others as deindividuated, it is possible to see oneself in this way-in other words, to lose awareness of one's own distinct identity. This also facilitates aggression. Among the sources of self-deindividuation are acting in concert with others, wearing nondistinctive clothing, emotional arousal, and lack of sleep. In a study of the effect of clothing on aggression, Zimbardo (1970) found that college women playing the role of punitive teachers were especially likely to give shocks when they were wearing a hood. Such apparel reduces one's distinctiveness and, presumably, one's inhibitions. Military and police uniforms probably have a similar effect. CHANGES IN COLLECTIVES When groups, organizations, or nations become involved in contentious conflict, these collectives tend to change in at least six ways that contribute to escalation of the conflict. In describing these changes, we shall speak only of groups, because groups have been mainly studied in this context. But there is good reason to believe that these changes are found in all collectives. First, group discussions often cause individual group members to become more extreme in their hostile attitudes and perceptions. This is due to the group polarization mechanism (Moscovici & Zavalloni, 1969). When group members share any view and discuss it with one another, this view tends to become stronger. Two main mechanisms apparently account for this phenomenon (Lamm & Myers, 1978). One is that the group members hear one another's views and the arguments underlying them. Finding that others agree with them, they feel their views are validated and also learn new arguments favoring them. The other is that a sort of competition develops among the group members, in which each strives to hold an opinion that is at least as extreme in the direction favored by the group as that advocated by the average group member. As a result, at least half of the members shift in the direction favored by the group. In the context of social conflict, this means that psychological changes such as hostility and distrust are magnified when groups are involved. We see this phenomenon most clearly in mob action; a group of people who are upset about some incident gather and, through discussion, strengthen one another's sentiments to the point of angry action. But the phenomenon is not limited to 106 mobs. It can occur in perfectly stable and respected groups and organizations, including the United States Senate and the Soviet Politburo. A second kind of change is the development of runaway nornm supporting a contentious approach to the controversy (Raven & Rubin, 1983). A norm is any attitude,' perception, goal, or behavior pattern that is shared by the dominant segment of a collective. Norms come to be seen as "right thinking" by most members of the group and are taught to new members and imposed on old members who appear to question them. Most of the psychological changes mentioned earlier in this chapter-including negative attitudes, distrust, zero sum thinking, and a reluctance to communicate with the other party ans become the subject of norms. When this happens, they gain more strength and stability than they would have if they belonged to a single individual or to a set of individuals who did not share a common group membership. Hence, escalation becomes more likely. The development of contentious group goals is a third common outcome of conflict. Such goals include defeating or even destroying the adversary. Goals such as these arise from the conflict experience and fuel it. In addition, groups are capable of acting on their goals in ways that are not available to individuals. The activities of a number of individuals can be coordinated. Furthermore, a division of labor is possible, permitting highly complicated contentious routines, such as the recruitment and outfitting of an army. Hence groups are particularly efficient at conflict escalation if their members are so inclined. A fourth kind of change that can contribute to escalation is the development of group cohesiveness or "solidarity," as it is commonly called. Groups are cohesive to the extent that their members find them attractive. Cohesiveness affects group behavior in three important ways. It encourages conformity to group norms (Festinger, Schachter & Back, 1950). This conformity is due in part to enhanced communication within the group (Back, 1951), in part to member fear of being ostracized (Festinger, 1950), and in part to social pressure, which is especially strong in cohesive groups (Schachter, 1951). Cohesive groups are also capable of especially vigorous action in pursuit of their goals. And there is reason to believe that members of cohesive groups are particularly convinced of the rightness of their cause and the effectiveness of their intended actions (Janis, 1972; Kriesberg, 1982). For all of these reasons, we can expect group cohesiveness to augment or multiply the effect of the psychological states discussed earlier in this chapter. If the attitudes toward an outgroup are generally negative, they should be particularly strong in a cohesive group. If the other group is distrusted or seen as a threat, cohesiveness should strengthen these perceptions. If a goal of defeating the adversary is adopted and contentious tactics for achieving this goal are developed, a cohesive group mounts a particularly vigorous campaign against the adversary. In making these points, we do not intend to say that cohesiveness per se encourages antagonism or escalation. Research evidence (Dion, 1973) does not support such a position. The point is simply that cohesive groups are likely to be particularly militant in contentious conflict. Contentious conflict has been repeatedly shown to enhance group cohesiveness (Dion, 1979; Harvey, 1956; Ryen & Kahn, 1975; Worchell & Norvell, 1980).' It follows that enhanced cohesiveness is still another mechanism that results from and encourages conflict escalation. The fifth type of change that often occurs in groups engaged in heavy conflict is that they take on militant leadership (Sherif, et al., 1961). Every group has its leaders. Some are formally designated as such; others can be called leaders because group members are influenced by what they say. Groups ordinarily choose as their leaders people who resonate with the dominant sentiments of the members and are good at the activities to which the group is dedicated (Hollander, 1978). This is as true of groups in conflict as of groups engaged in any other kind of activity. If conflict involves negotiation, people with bargaining skills are likely to gain status. If it involves heavy contentious activity, leadership is more likely to fall into the hands of militants, who can mirror the anger of the membership and build a fighting force. Such leaders have particularly strong negative attitudes and perceptions of the adversary and are especially rigid in the demands they make. Accordingly, they tend to reinforce and augment the group's commitment to extreme tactics. Leadership changes of this kind occurred on both sides in the UB campus crisis. The heaviest part of the controversy began when the campus police clubbed several demonstrators in the Student Union. At first, officers of the Student Government tried to exercise leadership over the campus, promising to negotiate with the university administration. But the students were so angry at the administration that they shunted these officers aside in favor of a group of radicals who had not previously exerted much influence. Similar changes occurred in the university administration. A vice-president who wanted to mediate the controversy was excluded from decision making, while other officers who advocated sterner measures came to the fore. In addition to devising tactics for dealing with the opponent, leaders of groups that are in conflict often try to strengthen their members' dedication to the struggle, for example, by blackening the image of the adversary (Bowers & Ochs, 1971). The sixth and last type of collective change that often occurs in escalating conflict is the development of new and more militant groupings. Sometimes this involves the organization of a new subgroup in a well established collective a committee or department to deal with the emerging struggle. At other times, it involves the development of an entirely new struggle group. The latter phenomenon will be discussed in some detail. When a party in a conflict is an unorganized collection of people, a struggle group is sometimes born, which takes responsibility for defending that party's interests. The development of such a group is particularly likely to encourage further escalation, because, in addition to having all the other attributes of a group in conflict, a struggle group exists for the primary purpose of prevailing over the adversary. Such a development is often a turning point in the conflict. Many community conflicts have developed in this way (Coleman, 1957), including the UB campus controversy, in which student radicals organized a Strike Committee that kept the campus in turmoil for the next six weeks. What happens is that people who have not previously communicated with each other gradually become aware of their common interests and collective identity. A sense of ingroup and outgroup begins to develop, often in conjunction with growing pride about (Apfelbaum, 1979), and favoritism toward, the ingroup. Radical spokespeople now emerge, whose pronouncements help crystalize the developing consciousness. An organized group is then formed, at first in miniature but often growing to a sizable membership with a large following of sympathetic nonmembers. This group has the dual function of defeating the opponent and fostering its own further growth. At the end of the controversy, most struggle groups simply wither away. A few, however, go on to assume a permanent, legitimate place in the community as advocates of the interests of the people who gave them their origin. Several American social movements have followed such a line of development, most notably the labor movement. COMMUNITY POLARIZATION When two groups come into heavy conflict with each other, it is often hard for other community members to remain neutral. One reason is that the participants in the controversy frequently seek support from others and demand that they decide whether they are "with us or agin' us." Another is that the use of escalated tactics is often annoying or frightening to the broader community. It is hard to remain indifferent when people are yelling at each other, hurting each other, or damaging each other's property. There is a tendency to cast blame in such circumstances, causing many third parties to join the side of the party to which they were initially closer or which seems to have escalated less and hence to be more properly considered the defender. This is the process of community polarization. When communities polarize, their conflicts tend to escalate further. This is because of the destruction of crosscutting group memberships and the disappearance of neutral third parties who would otherwise urge moderation and mediate the controversy. CONCLUSIONS: CONFLICT MODELS EMPLOYED BY THE PARTICIPANTS The three conflict models (aggressor-defender, conflict spiral, and structural change) were presented earlier as aids to a scholarly analysis of conflict. But they can also be seen as models of participant thought--oncepts that describe the way the parties in an escalating conflict understand what is happening to them. Each model has implications with respect to action, so we can sometimes make predictions about the direction taken by a conflict if we know what models the participants in the conflict subscribe to. A firm belief in the aggressor-defender interpretation often serves to exacerbate the conflict spiral. This is because parties who interpret their conflict in this way usually see themselves as the defender and the adversary as the aggressor. If surrender is out of the question, they must redouble their efforts at deterrence and defense to prove to their adversary that aggression does not pay. Seeing this, the other is likely to redouble its efforts as well, spawning@ a new round of contentious activity. The result is a conflict spiral. Thus the pace of the current arms race between the United States and the Soviet Union is bound to be accelerated by President Reagan's belief that "There is no arms race; they are racing and we are just trying to catch up." On the other hand, belief that one is in a conflict spiral can serve to dampen this spiral. Parties who make such an analysis of their conflict are likely to avoid overly contentious actions in order not to antagonize the other, and to be conciliatory on the grounds that the other party will probably reciprocate (Tetlock, 1983). These are the "doves," by contrast to the "hawks" who make an aggressor-defender analysis. If the doves are right about the nature of the conflict (as they often are), this stance can contribute to de-escalation. For example, in 1977 President Sadat of Egypt, concluding that his country was involved in a conflict spiral with Israel, made a gesture of good will in the form of a personal journey to Jerusalem. This started a de-escalatory spiral in relations between these countries that resulted in the eventual resumption of diplomatic relations. If the doves are wrong (as they sometimes are), a soft conciliatory stance may simply encourage the adversary to redouble his or her efforts to force them to yield. For instance, after surrounding Indian outposts in 1961, Chinese forces withdrew in an effort to signal a desire to be conciliatory. Unfortunately, Indian leaders "interpreted the Chinese withdrawal as a sign of timidity [and] became even bolder in their efforts to occupy as much of the disputed territory, east and west, as was possible" (Lebow, Jervis & Stein, 1984). A structural change analysis of the conflict one is experiencing implies a number of possible tactics. 'Some of these are similar to the implications of conflict spiral analysis. For instance, people are likely to mitigate harsh words and heavy tactics when they believe such actions will encourage negative perceptions and the emergence of hawkish leaders on the other side. Other tactics are peculiar to structural change analysis. For example, one may try to avoid structural changes in one's own party that will contribute to further escalation of a controversy. Thus a leader who suspects that a permanent defense establishment will become a strong advocate for hawkish policies may insist that only temporary agencies be formed to meet a current threat. In addition, structural change analysis implies the importance of timing in reversing any actions one has taken that are resented by the other party (Pruitt & Gahagan, 1974). For example, it seems reasonable to assume that 110 Social Conflict the UB campus crisis would have dissipated quickly if the administration had publicly apologized for the initial violence by the campus police, made restitution to the students who were assaulted, and arranged to drop the charges against those initially arrested. Such actions would probably have prevented the formation of the Strike.Committee. But once this committee had developed and numerous students had taken important positions in it, the campus was consigned to an extended period of heavy conflict. The next chapter continues our discussion of escalation, focusing mainly on the question of how a conflict stays escalated once it has moved along this path. Material 6 (From William Ury, Getting Past No , Bantam, 1993) OVERVIEW: BREAKING BARRIERS TO COOPERATION Diplomacy is the art of letting someone else have your way. -Daniele Vare, Italian diplomat We all negotiate every day. Much of our time is spent trying to reach agreement with others. We may try to negotiate in a cooperative spirit but frequently we fin d ourselves frustrated. We want to get to yes, but often the answer we get back is NO. Think of a typical day: Over breakfast you may get into an argument with your spouse about buying a new car. You think it's time, but your spouse says, "Don't be ridiculous! You know we can't afford it right now." You arrive at work for a morning meeting with your boss. You present a carefully prepared proposal for a new project', but your boss interrupts you after a minute and says: "We already tried that and it didn't work. Next item." During your lunch hour you try to return a defective toaster-oven, but the salesperson refuses to refund your money because you don't have the sales slip: "It's store policy." In the afternoon you bring an already-agreed-upon contract to a client for his signature. You have trumpeted the. deal to your associates and made the necessary arrangements with manufacturing. But your client tells you: "I'm sorry. My boss refuses to okay the purchase unless you give us a fifteen percent discount." In the evening you need to return some phone calls, but the line is tied up by your thirteen-year-old. Exasperated, you say, "Get off the phone." The teenager shouts down the hall, "Why don't you get me my own phone line? All my friends have them!" Each of us faces tough negotiations with an irritable spouse, a domineering boss, a rigid salesperson, a tricky customer, or an impossible teenager. Under stress, even nice, reasonable people can turn into angry, intractable opponents. Negotiations can bog down or break down, consuming our time, keeping us awake at night, and giving us ulcers. Broadly defined, negotiation is the process of back-andforth communication aimed at reaching agreement with others when some of your interests are shared and some are opposed. Negotiation is not limited to the activity of formally sitting across a table discussing a contentious issue; it is the informal activity you engage in whenever you try to get something you want from another person. Think for a moment about how you make important decisions in your life--the decisions that have the greatest impact on your performance at work and your satisfaction at home. How many of those decisions can you make .unilaterally and how many do you have to reach with others-through negotiation? Most people I ask this question answer: "I have to negotiate almost all of them." Negotiation is the pre-eminent form of decisionmaking in personal and professional life. It is also increasingly the most important means of making decisions in the public arena. Even if we aren't pers onally sitting at the table, our lives are affected by the outcome of negotiations. When talks between the school board and teachers' union break down and the teachers go on strike, our children end up staying home from school. When negotiations between our business and a potential purchaser fall through and the business goes bankrupt, we may lose ourjobs. When discussions between our government and its adversaries come- to naught, the result may be war. In sum, negotiations shape our lives. Joint Problem-Solving We may all be negotiators, yet many of us don't like to negotiate. We see negotiation as stressful confrontation. We see ourselves faced with an unpleasant choice. If we are soft" in order to preserve the relationship, we end up giving up our position. If we are "hard" in order to win our position, we strain the relationship or perhaps lose it altogether. There is an alternative: joint problem-solving. It is neither exclusively'soft nor hard, but a combination of each. It is soft on the people, hard on the problem. Instead of attacking each other, youjointly attack the problem. Instead of glowering across the table, you sit next to each other facing your common problem. In short, you turn face-to-face 6 OVERVIEW confrontation into side-by-side problem-solving. This is the kind of negotiation Roger Fisher and I described more than- a decade ago in our book Getting to Yes. Joint problem-solving revolves around interests instead of positions. You begin by identifying each side's interests-the concerns, needs, fears, and desires that underlie and. motivate your opposing positions. You then explore different options for meeting those interests. Your goal is to reach a mutually satisfactory agreement in an efficient and amicable fashion. If you are looking for a promotion and raise, for example, and your boss says there's no money in the budget, the negotiation doesn't stop there. It becomes an exercise in joint problem-solving. Your boss inquires about your interests, which may be to pay your children's tuition and to grow in your job. You brainstorm together about how to satisfy these interests while staying within the budget. You may end up agreeing on a new set of responsibilities, a tuition loan from the company, and the promise of a raise next year to pay back the loan. Your basic interests are satisfied; so are your employer's. Joint problem-solving can generate better results for both sides. It saves time and energy by cutting out the posturing. And it usually leads to better working relationships and to mutual benefit in the future. Five Barriers to Cooperation Skeptics are quick to point out that all this is easy to say, but hard to do. The principles of joint problem-solving, they say, are like marriage vows of mutual support-and fidelity: They no doubt produce more satisfying relationships, but they are hard to apply in the real world of stresses and strains, temptations and tempests. At the start, You may try to get your opponent to tackle the problem jointly, but instead you may find yourselves in a face-to-face confrontation. It is all too easy to get drawn into a ferocious emotional battle, to fall back into the familiar routine of adopting rigid positions, or to let the other side take advantage of you. There are real-world barriers that get in the way of cooperation. The five most common ones are: Your reaction. The first barrier lies within you. Human beings are reaction machines. When you're under stress, or when you encounter a NO, or feel you are being attacked, you naturally feel like striking back. Usually this just perpetuates the action-reaction cycle t hat leaves both sides losers. Or, alternatively, you may react by impulsively giving in just to end the negotiation and preserve the relationship. You lose and, having demonstrated your weakness, you expose yourself to exploitation by others. The problem you thus face in negotiation is not only the other side's difficult behavior but your own reaction, which can easily perpetuate that behavior. Their emotion. The next barrier is the other side's negative emotions. Behind their attacks may lie anger and hostility. Behind their rigid positions may lie fear and distrust. Convinced they are right and you are wrong, they may refuse to listen. Seeing the world as eat-or-be-eaten, they may feel justified in using nasty tactics. Their position. In joint problem-solving, you face the problem and attack it together. The barrier in the way is the other side's positional behavior: their habit of digging-into a position and trying to get you to give in. Often they know no other way to negotiate. They are merely using the conventional negotiating tactics they first learned in the sandbox. In their eyes, the only alternative is for them to give in-and they certainly don't want to do that. Their dissatisfaction. Your goal may be to reach a mutually satisfactory agreement, but you may finoithe other side not at all:intereste . d in such an outcome. They may not see how it will benefit thein. Even if you can satisfy their interests, they may fear losing face if they have to back down. And if it is your idea,: they may reject it for, that reason alone. Their power. Finally, if the other side sees the negotiation as a win-lose proposition, they will be determined to beat you. They may be guided by the precept "What's mine is mine. What's yours is negotiable." If they can get what they want by power plays, why should they cooperate with you? Getting past no requires breaking through each of these five barriers to cooperation: your reaction, their emotion, their position, their dissatisfaction, and their power. It is easy to believe that stonewalling, attacks, and tricks are just part of the other side's basic nature, and that there is little you can do to change such difficult behavior. But you can affect this behavior if you can deal successfully with its underlying motivations. The Breakthrough Strategy This book lays out a five-step strategy for breaking through each of these five barriers-the strategy of breakthrough negotiation. An analogy from sailing will help explain this strategy. In -sailing, you rarely if ever get to your destination by heading straight for it. In between you and your goal are strong winds and tides, reefs and shoals, not to speak of storips and squalls. To get where you want to go, you need to tack-to zigzag your way toward"your destination. The same is true in the world of negotiation. -Your desired destination is a mutually satisfactory agreement. The direct route-focusing first on interests and then developing options that satisfy those interests-seems straightforward and easy. But in the real world of strong reactions and emotions, rigid positions, powerful dissatisfactions and aggressions, you often cannot get to a mutually satisfactory agreement by the direct route. Instead, you need to navigate past no by tacking-taking an indirect route. The essence of the breakthrough strategy is indirect action. It requires you to do the opposite of what you naturally feel like doing in difficult situations. When the other side stonewalls or attacks, you may feel like responding in kind. Confronted with hostility, you may argue. Confronted-with unreasonable positions, you may reject. Confronted with intransigence, you may push.. Confronted with aggression, you may escalate. But this just leaves you frustrated, playing the other side's game by their rules. Your single greatest opportunity as a negotiator is to change the game. Instead of playing their way, let them have your way-the way of joint problem-solving. The great home-run hitter Sadahara Oh, the Japanese equivalent of Babe Ruth, once explained his batting secret. Oh said that he looked on the opposing pitcher as his partner, who with every pitch was serving up an opportunity for him to hit a home run. Breakthrough negotiators do the same: They treat their opponents as negotiating partners who are presenting an opportunity to reach a mutually satisfactory agreement. As in the Japanese martial arts of judo, jujitsu, and aikido, you need to avoid pitting you strength directly against your opponent's. Since efforts to break down the other side's resistance usually only increase it, you try to go around their resistance. That is the way to break through. Breakthrough negotiation is the opposite of imposing your position on the other side. Rather than pounding in a new idea from the outside, you encourage them to reach for it from within. Rather than telling them@what to do, you let them figure it out. Rather than pressuring them to change their mind, you create an environment in which they can learn. Only they can break through their own resistance; your job is to help them. Their resistance to joint problem-solving stems from the five barriers described above. Your job as a breakthrough negotiator is to clear away the barriers that lie between their NO and the YES of a mutually satisfactory agreement. For each of the five barriers, there is a corresponding step in the strategy: Step One. Since the first barrier is your natural reaction, the, first step involves suspending that reaction. To engage in joint problemsolving, you need to regain your mental balance and stay focused on achieving what you want. A useful image for getting perspective on the situation is to imagine yourself standing on a balcony looking down on your negotiation. The first step in the breakthrough strategy is to Go to the Balcony. Step Two. The next barrier for you to overcome is the other side's negative emotions-their defensiveness, fear, suspicion, and hostility. It is all too easy to get drawn into an argument, but you need to resist this temptation. just asother side regain theirs. To create the right climate forjoint problem-solving, you need to defuse their negative emotions. To do this, you need to do the opposite of what they expect. They expect you to behave like an adversary. Instead, you should take their side by listening to them, acknowledgi ng their points and their feelings,; agreeing with them, and showing them respect. If you want to sit side by side facing the problem, you will need to Step to Their Side. Step Three. Now you want to tackle the problem together. This is hard to do, however, when the other side digs into their position and tries to get you to give in. It's natural to feel like rejecting their position, but this will only lead them to dig in further. So do the opposite,, Accept whatever they say and reframe it as an attempt to deal with the problem. For example, take their position and probe behind it: "Tell me more. Help me understand why you want that." Act as if they were your partners genuinely interested in solving the problem. The third step in the breakthrough strategy is to Reframe. Step Four. While you may now I have engaged the other side in joint problem-solving, you may still be far from reaching a mutually satisfactory agreement. The other side may be dissatisfied, unconvinced-of the benefits of agreement. You may feel like pushing them, but this will only make them more resistant. So do the opposite. In the words of the Chinese sage, "'build a golden bridge" from their position to a mutually satisfactory solution. You need to bridge the gap between their interests and yours. You need to help them save face and make the outcome look like a victory for them. The fourth step is to Build Them a Golden Bridge. Step Five. Despite your best efforts, the other side may still refuse to cooperate, believing they can beat you at the power game. You may be tempted at this point to escalate. Threats and coercion often. backfire, however, and lead to costly and futile battles. The alternative is to- use power not to escalate but to educate. Enhance your negotiating power and use it.to bring them back to the table. Show them that they cannot win by themselves but only together with you. The fifth step is to Use Power to Educate. The sequence of the steps is important. You cannot defuse the other side's negative emotions unless, you have controlled your own. It.is hard to build them a golden bridge unless you have changed the game tojoint problem.solving. This does not mean that once you have taken one step, you have completed it. On the contrary, you need to keep going to the balcony throughout, the negotiation. As the other side's anger and frustration resurface, you need to keep stepping to their side. The process is like a symphony in which the different instruments join in sequentially and then play their parts throughout. Breakthrough negotiation can be used with anyone--an irascible boss, a temperamental teenager, a hostile co-worker, or an impossible customer. It can be used by dipl6mats trying to stave off a war, lawyers trying to avoid a costly court battle, or spouses trying to keep a marriage together. Because every person and every situation is different, you will need to marry the five breakthrough principles with your own knowledge of theparticulars in order to create a strategy that works for you. There is no magic recipe that will guarantee your success in every negotiation. But with patience, persistence, and the breakthrough strategy, you can maximize your chances of getting what you want in even the most difficult negotiations. The chapters that follow explain the five breakthrough steps and present specific techniques for carrying them out, illustrating their application with concrete examples. First, however, you will find a prologue about the key to effective negotiation: preparation. Material 7 (From: Roger Fisher and William Ury, Getting to Yes , Houghton Mifflin, 1981) THE METHOD 2. Separate the People from the Problem 3. Focus on Interests Not Positions 4. Invent Options for Mutual Gain 5. Insist on Objective Criteria Separate the People from the Problem Everyone knows how hard it is to deal with a problem without people misunderstanding each other, getting angry or upset, and taking things personally. A union leader says to his men, "All right, who called the walkout?" Jones steps forward. "I did. It was that bum foreman Campbell again. That was the fifth time in two weeks he sent me out of our group as a replacement. He's got it in for me, and I'm tired of it. Why should I get all the dirty work?" Later the union leader confronts Campbell. "Why do you keep picking on Jones? He says you've put him on replacement detail five times in two weeks. What's going on?" Campbell replies, "I pick Jones because he's the best. I know I can trust him to keep things from fouling up in a group without its point man. I send him on replacement only when it's a key man missing, otherwise I send Smith or someone else. It's ust that with the flu going around there've been a lot of point men out. I never knew Jones objected. I thought he liked the responsibility." In another real-life situation, an insurance company lawyer says to the state insurance commissioner: "I appreciate your time, Commissioner Thompson. What I'd like to talk to you about is some of the problems we've been having with the presumption clause of the strict-liability regulations. Basically, we think the way the clause was written causes it to have an unfair impact on those insurers whose existing policies contain rate adjustment limitations, and we would like to consider ways it might be revised -------." The Commissioner, interrupting: "Mr. Johnson, your company had ample opportunity to voice any objection it had during the hearings my department held on those regulations before they were issued. I ran those hearings,, Mr. Johnson. I listened to every word of testimony, and I wrote the final version of the strict-liability provisions personally. Are you saying I made a mistake?" "No. but............" "Are you saying I'm unfair?" "Certainly not, sir, but I think this provision has had consequences none of us foresaw, and ..........." "Listen, Johnson, I promised the public when I campaigned. for this position that I would put an end to killer hair dryers and $5000 bombs disguised as cars. And these regulations have done that. "Your company made a $50 million profit on its strictliability policies last year. What kind of fool do you think you can play me for, coming in here talking about 'unfair' regulations and 'unforeseen consequences"? I don't want to hear another word of that. Good day, Mr. Johnson." Now what? Does the insurance company lawyer press the Commissioner on this point, making him angry and probably not gettin'g anywhere? His company does a lot of business in this state. A good relationship with the Commissioner is important. Should he let the matter rest, then, even though he is convinced that this regulation really is unfair, that its longterm effects are likely to be against the public interest, and that not even the experts foresaw this problem at the time of the original hearings? What is going on in these cases? Negotiators are people first A basic fact about negotiation, easy to forget in corporate and international transactions, is that you are dealincr not with abstract representatives of the "other side," but with human beings. They have emotions, deeply held values, and different backgrounds and viewpoints; and they are unpredictable. So are you. This human aspect of negotiation can be either helpful or disastrous. The process of working out an agreement may produce a psychological commitment to a mutually satisfactory outcome. A working relationship where trust, understanding, respect, and friendship are built up over time can make each new negotiation smoother and more efficient '. And people's desire to feel good about themselves, and their concem for what others will think of them, can often make them more sensitive to another negotiator's interests. On the other hand, people get angry, depressed, fearful, hostile, frustrated, and offended. They have egos that are easily threatened. They see the world from their own personal vantage point, and they frequently confuse their perceptions with reality. Routinely, they fail to interpret what you say in the way you intend and do not mean what you understand them to say. Misunderstanding can reinforce prejudice and lead to reactions that produce counterreactions in a vicious circle; rational exploration of possible solutions becomes impossible and a negotiation fails. The purpose of the game becomes scoring points, confirming negative impressions, and apportioning blame at the expense of the substantive interests of both parties. Failing to deal with others sensitively as human beings prone to human reactions can be disastrous for a negotiation. Whatever else you are doing at any point during a negotiation, from preparation to follow-up, it is worth asking yourself, "Am I paying enough attention to the people problem?" Every negotiator has two kinds of interests: in the sub stance and in, the relationship. Every negotiator wants to reach an agreement that satisfies his substantive interests. That is why one negotiates.. Beyond that, a negotiator also has an interest in his relationship with the other. side. 'An antiques dealer wants both to make a profit on the sale and to turn the customer into a regular one. At- a minimum, a negotiator wants to maintain a working relationship good enough to produce an acceptable agreement if one is possible given each side's interests. Usually, more is at stake. Most negotiations take place in the context of an ongoing relationship where it is important to carry on each negotiation in a way that will help rather than hinder future relations and future negotiations. In fact, with many long-term clients, business partners, family members, fellow professionals, government officials, or foreign nations, the ongoing relationship is far more important than the outcome of any particular negotiation, The relationship tends to become entangled with the problem. A major consequence of the "people problem!' in negotiation is that the parties' relationship tends to become entangled with their discussions of substance. On both the giving and receiving end, we are likely to treat people and problem, as one. Within the family, a statement such as "The kitchen' is a mess" or "Our bank account is low" may be intended simply to identify a problem, but it is likely to be heard as a personal attack. Anger over a situation may lead you to express anger toward some human being associated with it in your mind. Egos tend to become involved in substantive positions. Another reason that substantive issues become entangled with psychological ones is that people draw from comments on substance unfounded inferences which they then treat as facts -about:that person's intentions and attitudes toward them. Unless we are careful, this process is almost automatic; we are seldom aware that other explanations may be equally valid. Thus in the union example, Jones figured that Campbell, the foreman, had it in for him, while Campbell thought he was complimenting Jones and doing him a favor by giving him responsible assignments. Positional bargaining puts relationship and substance in conflict. Framing a negotiation as a contest of will over positions aggravates the entangling process. I see your position as a statement of how you would like the negotiation to end; from my point of view it demonstrates how little you care about our relationship. If I take a firm position that you consider unreasonable, you assume that I also think of it as an extreme position; it is easy to conclude that I do not value our relationship -or, you -- very highly. Posit ional bargaining deals with a negotiator's interests both in substance and in a good relationship by trading one off against the other. If what counts in the long run for your company is its relationship with the insurance commissioner, then you will probably let this matter drop. Or, if you care more about a favorable solution than being respected or liked by the other side, you can try to trade relationship for substance. "If you won't go along with me on this point, then so much for you. This will be the last time we meet." Yet giving in on a substantive point may buy no friendship; it may do nothing more than convince the other side that you can be taken for a ride. Separate the relationship from the substance; deal directly with the people problem Dealing with a substantive problem and maintaining a good working relationship need not be conflicting goals if the parties are committed and psychologically prepared to treat each separately on its own legitimate merits. Base the relationship on accurate perceptions, clear communication, appropriate emotions, and a forward-looking, purposive outlook. Deal with people problems directly; don't try to solve them with substantive concessions. To deal with psychological problems, use, psychological techniques. Where perceptions are inaccurate, you can look for ways to educate. If emotions -run high, you can find ways for each person involved to let off stead, Where misunderstanding exists, you can work to improve communication. To find your way through the jungle of people problems, it is useful to think in terms of hree basic categories: perception, emotion, and communication. The various people problems all fall into one of these three baskets. In negotiating it is easy to forget that you must deal not only with their people problems, but also with your own. Your anger and frustration may obstruct an agreement beneficial , you. Your perceptions are likely to be one-sided, and you may not be listening or communicating adequately. The tech niques which follow apply equally well to your people problems as to those of the other side. Perception Understanding the other side's thinking is not simply a useful activity that will help you solve your problem. Their thinking is the problem.. Whether you are making a deal or settling a dispute, differences are defined by the difference between your thinking and theirs. When two people quarrel, they usually quarrel over an object both may claim a watch - or over an event - each may contend that the other was at fault in causing an automobile accident. The same goes for nations. Morocco and Algeria quarrel over a section of the Western Sahara; India and Pakistan quarrel over each other's development of nuclear bombs. In such circumstances people tend to assume that what they need to know more about is the object or the event. They study the watch or they measure the skid marks at the scene of the accident. They study the Western Sahara or the detailed history of nuclear weapons development in India and Pakistan. Ultimately, however, conflict lies not in objective reality, but in people's heads. Truth is simply one more argument --perhaps a good one, perhaps not - for dealing with the difference. The difference itself exists because it exists in their thinking. Fears, even if ill-founded, are real fears and need to be dealt with. Hopes, even if unrealistic, may cause a war. Facts, even if established, may do nothing to solve the probfem. Both parties may agree that one lost the watch and the other found it, but still disagree over who should get it. It may finally be established that the auto accident was caused by the blowout of a tire which had been driven 31,402 miles, but the parties may dispute who should pay for the damage. The detailed history and geography of the Western Sahara, :no matter how carefully studied and documented, is not the stuff with which one puts to rest that kind of territorial dispute. No study of who developed what nuclear devices when will put to rest the conflict between India and Pakistan. As useful as looking for objective reality can be, it is ultimately the reality as each side sees it that constitutes the problem in a negotiation- and opens the way to a solution. Put yourself in their shoes. How you see the world depends on where you sit. People tend to see what they want to see. Out of a mass of detailed information, they tend to pick out and focus on those facts that confirm their prior perceptions and to disregard or misinterpret those that call their perceptions into question. Each side in a negotiation may see only the merits of its case, and only the faults of the other side's. The ability to see the situation as the other side sees it, as difficult as it may be, is one of the most important skills a negotiator can possess. It is not enough to know that they see things differently. If you want to influence them, you also need to understand empathetically the power of their point of view and to feel the emotional force with which they believe in it. It is not enough to study them like beetles under a microscope; you need to know what it feels like to be a beetle. To accomplish this task you should be prepared to withhold judgment for a while as you "try on" their views. They may well bereve that their views are "right' as strongly as you believe yours are. You may see on the table a glass half full of cool water. Your spouse may see a dirty, half-empty glass about to cause a ring on the mahogany finish. Consider the contrasting perceptions of a tenant and a landlady negotiating the renewal of a lease: TENANT'S PERCEPTIONS LANDLADYS PERCEPTIONS The rent is already too high, been increased I The rent has not for a long time. With other costs going up, I can't going up I afford to pay more for housing. income With other costs need more rental The apartment needs painting. apartment heavy tear. He has given that wear and I know people who pay less for more a comparable apartment. apartment. I know people who pay for a comparable Young people like me can't afYoung people like him tend to ford to pay high rents. make noise and to be hard on an apartment, The rent ought to be low because We landlords should raise rents the neighborhood is rundown. in order to improve the quality of neighborhood. I am a desirable tenant with no me crazy. dogs or cats. His hi-fi drives I always pay the rent whenever rent until I she asks for it, He never pays the ask for it. She is cold and distant; she never I am a considerate person who asks me how things are. never intrudes on a tenant!s privacy. Understanding their point of view is not the same as agree. ing with it. It is true that a better understanding of their thinking may lead you to revise your own views about the merits of a situation. But that is not a cost of understanding their point of view, it is a benefit. It allows you to reduce the area of conflict, and it also helps you advance your newly enlightened self-interest. Don't deduce their intentions from your fears. People tend to assume that whatever they fear, the other side intends to do. Consider this story from the New York Times of December 25, 1980: "They met in a bar, where he offered her a ride home. He took her down unfamiliar streets. He said it was a shortcut. He got her home so fast she caught the 10 o'clock news." Why is the ending so surprising? We made an assumption based on our fears. It is all too easy to fall into the habit of putting the worst interpretation on what the other side says or does.. A suspicious interpretation often follows naturally from one's existing, perceptions. Moreover, it seems the "safe" thing to do, and it shows spectators how bad the other side really is. But the cost of interpreting whatever they say or do in its most dismal light is that fresh,ideas in the direction of agreement are spurned, and subtle changes of position are ignored or rejected. Don't blame them for your problem. It is tempting to hold the other side responsible for your problem. "Your company is totally unreliable. Every time you service our rotary gene ator here at the factory, you do a lousy job and it breaks down again." Blaming is an easy mode to fall into, particu larly when you feel that the other side is indeed responsible. But even if blaming is justified, it is usually counterrproductive. Under attack, the other side will become defensive and will resist what you have to say. They will cease to listen, or they will strike back with an attack of their own. Assessing blame firmly entangles the people with the problem. When you talk about the problem, separate the symptoms from the person with whom you are talking. "Our rotary geneiator that you service has broken down again. That is three times in the last month. The first time it was the out of order for an entire week. This factory needs a functioning generator. I want your advice on how we can minimize our risk of generator breakdown. Should we change service companies or what? 19 Discuss each other's perceptions. One way to deal with differing perceptions is to make them explicit and discuss them wlih'the other side. As long as you do this in a frank, honest manner without either side blaming the other for the problem as each sees it, such a discussion may provide the understand-: ing they need to take what you say seriously, and vice-versa. It is common in a negotiation to treat as "unimportant those concerns of the other side perceived as not standing in the way of an agreement. To the contrary, communicating loudly and convincingly things you are willing to say that they would like to hear can be one of the best investments you as a negotiator can make, . Consider the negotiation over the transfer of technology which arose at the Law of the Sea Conference. From 1974 to 1981 some 150 nations gathered together in New York and Geneva to formulate rules to govern uses of the ocean from fishing rights to mining manganese in the deep seabed. At one point, representatives of the developing countries expressed keen interest in an exchange of technology; their countries wanted to be able to acquire from the highly industriahzed nations advanced technical knowledge and equipment for deep-seabed mining. The United States and other developed countries saw no difficulty in satisfying that desire - and therefore saw the issue of technology transfer as unimportant. In one sense it was unimportant to them, but it was a great mistake for them to treat the subject as unimportant. By devoting substantial time to working out the practical arrangements for transferring technology, they might have made their offer far more credible and far more attractive to the developing countries. By dismissing the issue as a matter of lesser importance to be dealt with later, the industrialized states gave up a low-cost opportunity to provide the developing countries with an impressive achievement and a real incentive to reach agreement on other issues. Look for opportunities to act inconsistently with their per= ceptions. Perhaps the best way to change their perceptions is to send them a message different from what they expect. The, visit of Egypt's President Sadat to Jerusalem in November ,,.1977 provides an outstanding example of such an action. They saw Egypt and Sadat as their enemy, the man and a country that launched a surprise attack on them four years before. To alter that perception, to help persuade the Israelis that he too desired peace, Sadat flew to the capital of his enemies, a disputed capital which not even the United States, Israel's best friend, had recognized. Instead of acting as an enemy, Sadat acted as a partner. Without this dramatic move, it is hard to imagine the signing of an Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty, Give them a stake in the outcome by making sure they parm ticlipate in the process. If they are not involved in the process, they are hardly likely to approve the product. It is that simple. If you go to the state insurance commissioner prepared for battle after a long investigation, it is not surprising that he is going to feel threatened and resist your conclusions. If -you fail to ask an employee whether he wants an assignment with responsibility, don't be surprised to find out that he resents it. If you want the other side to accept a disagreeable conclusion, it is crucial that you involve them in the process of reaching that conclusion. This is precisely what people tend not to do. When you have a difficult issue to handle, your instinct is to leave the hard part until last. "Let's be sure we have the whole thing worked out before we approach the Commissioner." The Commissioner, however, is much more likely to agree to a revision of the regulations if he feels that he has had a part in drafting it. This way the revision becomes just one more small step in the long drafting process that produced his original regulation rather than someone's attempt to butcher his completed product. In South Africa, white moderates were trying at one point to abolish the discriminatory pass laws. How? By meeting in an all-white parliamentary committee to discuss proposals. .Yet, however meritorious those proposals might prove, they uld be insufficient, not necessarily because of their'subm stance, but because they would be the product of a process in which no blacks were included. The blacks would "We superior whites are going to figure out how to solve your problems." It would be the "white man's burden!' all over again, which was the problem to start with. Even if the terms of an agreement seem favorable, the other side may reject them simply out of a suspicion bom of their exclusion from the drafting process. Agreement becomes much easier if both parties feel ownership of the ideas-. The whole process of negotiation becomes stronger as each side puts their imprimatur bit by bit on a developing solution. Each criticism of the terms and consequent change, each concession, is a personal mark that the negotiator leaves on a proposal. A proposal evolves that bears enough of the suggestions of both sides for each to feel it is theirs. To involve the other side, get them involved early. Ask their advice. Giving credit generously for ideas wherever possible will give them a personal stake in defending those ideas to others. It may be hard to resist the temptation to take credit for yourself, but forbearance pays off handsomely. Apart from the substantive merits, the feeling of participation in the process is perhaps the single most important factor in determining whether a negotiator accepts a proposal. In a sense, the process is the product, Face-saving: Make your proposals consistent with their values. In the English language, "face-saving" carries a derogatory flavor. People say, "We are doing that just to let them save face," implying that a little pretense has been created to allow someone to go along without feeling badly. The tone implies ridicule. This is a grave misunderstanding of the role and importance of face-saving. Face-saving reflects a person's need to reconcile the stand'he takes in a negotiation or an agreement with his principles and with his past words and deeds. The judicial process concerns itself with the same subject. 'When a judge writes an opinion on a court ruling, he is saving face, not only for himself and for the judicial system, but for the parties. Instead of just telling one party, "You win," and telling the other, "You lose," he explains how his decision is consistent with principle, law, and precedent, He wants to appear not as arbitrary, but as behaving in a proper fashion. A negotiator is no different. Often in a negotiation people will continue to hold out not because the proposal on the table is inherently unacceptable, but simply because they want to avoid the feeling or the appearance of backing down to the other side. If the substance can be phrased or conceptualized differently so that it seems a fair outcome, they will then accept it. Terms negotiated between a major city and its Hispanic community on municipal jobs were unacceptable to the mayor - until the agreement was withdrawn and the mayor was allowed to announce the same terms as his own decision, carrying out a campaign promise. Face-saving involves reconciling an agreement with principle and with the self-image of the negotiators. Its importance should not be underestimated. Emotion In a negotiation, particularly in a bitter dispute, feelings may be more important than talk. The parties may be more ready for battle than for cooperatively working out a solution to a common problem. People often come to a negotiation realizing that the stakes are high and feeling threatened. Emotions on one side will generate emotions on the other. Fear may breed anger, and anger, fear. Emotions may quickly bring a negotiation to an impasse or an end. First recognize and understand emotions, theirs and yours, Look at yourself during the negotiation. Are you feeling nervous? Is your stomach upset? Are you angry at the other side? Listen to them and get a sense of what their emotions -are. You may find it useful to write down what you feel - perhaps fearful, worried, angry - and then how you might like to feel - confident, relaxed. Do the same for them. In dealing with negotiators who represent their organizations, it is easy to treat them as mere mouthpieces without emotions. It is important to remember that they too, Eke you, have personal feelings, fears, hopes, and dreams. Their careers may be at stake. There may be issues on which they are particularly sensitive and others on which they are particularly proud. Nor are the problems of emotion limited to the negotiators, Constituents have emotions too, A constituent may have an even more simplistic and adversarial view of the situation. Ask yourself what is producing the emotions. Why are you angry? Why are they angry? Are they responding to past grievances and looking for revenge? Are emotions spilling over from one issue to another? Are personal problems at home interfering with business? In the Middle East negotiation, Israelis and Palestinians alike feel a threat to their existence as peoples and have developed powerful emotions that now permeate even the most concrete practical issue, like distribution of water in the West Bank, so that it becomes almost impossible to discuss and resolve. Because in the larger picture both peoples feej that their own survival is at stake, they see every other issue in terms ' of survival. Make emotions explicit and acknowledge them as legitimate. Talk with the people on the other side about their emotions. Talk'-about your own. It does not hurt to say, "You know, the people on our side feel we have been mistreated and are very upset. We're afraid an agreement will not be kept even if one is reached. Rational or not, that is our concern. Personally, I think we may be wrong in fearing this, but that's a feeling others have. Do the people on your side feel the same way?" Making your feelings or theirs an explicit focus of discussion will not only underscore the seriousness of the problem, it will also make the negotiations less reactive and more "pro-active." Freed from the burden of unexpressed emotions, people will become more likely to work on the problem. Allow the other side to let off steam. Often, one effective way to deal with people's anger, frustration, and other negative emotions is to help them release those feelings. People obtain psychological release through the simple process of recounting their grievances. If you come home wanting to tell your husband about everything that went wrong at the office, you will become even more frustrated if he says, "Don't bother telling me; I'm sure you had a hard day. Let's skip it." The same is true for negotiators. Letting off steam may make it easier to talk rationally later. Moreover, if a negotiator makes an angry speech and thereby shows his constituency that he is not being "soft," they may give him a freer hand in the negotiation. He can then rely on a reputation for toughness to protect him from criticism later if he eventually enters into an agreement, Hence, instead of interrupting polemical speeches or walking out on the other party, you may decide to control yourself, sit there, and allow them to pour out their grievances at you. When constituents are listening, such occasions may release their frustration as well as the negotiator' . Perhaps the best strategy to adopt while the other side lets off steam is to listen quietly without responding to their attacks, and occasionally to ask the speaker to continue until he has spoken his last word. In this way, you offer little support to the inflamatory substance, give the speaker every encouragement to speak himself out, and leave little or no residue to fester. Don't react to emotional outbursts. Releasing emotions can prove risky if it leads to an emotional reaction. If not controlled, it can result in a violent quarrel. One unusual and effective technique to contain the impact of emotions was used in the 1950s by the Human Relations Committee. A labor-management group set up in the steel industry to handle emerging conflicts before they became serious problems. The members of the committee adopted the rule that only one person could get angry at a time. This made it legitimate for. others not to respond stormily to an angry outburst. It also made letting off emotional steam easier by making an out burst itself more legitimate: "That's OK. It's his turn." The rule has the further advantage of helping people control their emotions. Breaking the rule implies that you have lost selfcontrol, so you lose some face. Use symbolic gestures. Any lover knows that to end a quarrel the simple gesture of bringing a red rose goes a long way. Acts that would produce a construcuve emotional impact on one side often involve little or no cost to the other, A note of sympathy., a statement of regret, a visit to a cemetery, delivering a small present for a grandchild., shaking hands or embracing, eating together - all may be priceless opportunities to improve a hostile emotional situation at small cost. On many occasions an apology can defuse emotions effectively, even when you do not acknowledge personal responsibility for the action or admit an intention to harm. An apology may be one-of the least costly and most rewarding investments you, can make. Communication Without communication there is no negotiation. Negotiation is a process of communicating back and forth for the purpose of reaching a joint decision. Communication is never an easy thing, even between people who have an enormous background of shared values and experience. Couples who have lived with each other for thirty years still have misunstandings every day. It is not surprising, then, to find poor .communication between people who do not know each other well and who may feel hostile and suspicious of one another. Whatever you say, you should expect that the other side will almost always hear something different. There are three big problems in communication. First, negotiators may not be talking to each other, or at least not in such a way as to be understood. Frequently each side has given up on the other and is no longer attempting any serious communication with it. Instead they talk merely to impress third parties or their own constituency. Rather than trying to dance with their negotiating partner toward a mutually agreeable outcome,, they try to trip him up. Rather than trying to talk their partner into a more constructive step, they try to talk the spectators into taking sides. Effective communication between the parties is all but impossible if each plays to the gallery. Even if you are talking directly and clearly to them, they may not be hearing,,,.you, This constitutes the second problem' in communication. Note how often people don7t seem to -pay enough attention to what you say. Probably equally often, you would be unable to repeat what they had said. In a negotiation, you may be so busy thinking about what you are going to say next, how you are going to respond to that last point or how you are going to frame your next argument, that you forget to listen to what the other side is saying now. Or you may be listening more attentively to your constituency than than the other side, Your constituents, after all, are the ones to whom you will have to account for the results of the negot,iation. They are the ones you are trying to satisfy. It is not surprising that you should want to pay close attention to them. But if you are not hearing what the other side is saying, there is no communication. The third communication problem is misunderstanding. What one says, the other may misinterpret. Even when negotiators are in the same room, communication from on to the: other can seem like sending smoke signals in a high. de Where the parties speak different languages the chance for misinterpretation is compounded. For example, in Persian, the word 44 compromise" apparently lacks the positive meaning it has in English of "'a midway solution both sides can live with," but has only a negative meaning as in "her virtue was compromised" or our integrity was compromised." Similarly, the word "mediator" in Persian suggests "meddler," someone who is barging in uninvited. In early 1980 U.N. Secretary General Waldheim flew to Iran to deal with the hostage question. His efforts were seriously set back when Iranian national radio and television broadcast in Persian a remark he reportedly made on his arrival in Tehran: "I have come as a mediator to work out a compromise." Within an hour of the broadcast, his car was being stoned by angry What can be done about these three problems of communication? Listen actively and acknowledge what is being said. The need for listening is obvious, yet it is difficult to listen well, especially under the stress of an ongoing negotiation. Listening enables you to understand their perceptions, feel their emotions, and hear what they are trying to say. Active listening improves not only what you hear, but also what they say. If you pay attention and interrupt occasionally to say, "Did I understand correctly that you are saying that ... ?" the other side will realize that they are not just killing time, not just going through a routine. They will also feel the satisfaction of being heard and understood. It has been said that the cheapest concession you can make to the other side is to let them know they have been heard. Standard techniques of good listening are to pay close attention to what is said, to ask the other party to spell out carefully and clearly exactly what they mean, and to request at ideas be repeated if there is any ambiguity or uncertainty. ',Make it your task while listening not to phrase a response, ,,but to understand them as they see themselves. Take in their perceptions, their needs, and their constraints. Many consider it a good tactic not to give the other side's case too much attention, and not to admit any legitimacy in their point of view. A good negotiator does just the reverse. Unless you acknowledge what they are saying and demonstrate that you understand them, they may believe you have not heard them. When you then try to explain a different point of view, they will suppose that you still have not grasped what they mean. They will say to themselves, "I told him my view, but now he's saying something different, so he must not have understood it." Then instead of listening to your point, they will be considering how to make their argument in a new way so that this time maybe you will fathom it. So show that you understand them. "Let me see whether I follow what you are telling me. From your point of view, the situation looks like this. . . ." As you repeat what you understood them- to have said, phrase it positively from their point of view, making the strength of their case clear. You might say, "You have a strong case. Let me see if I can explain it. Heres the way it strikes me. . Understanding is not agreeing. One can at the same time understand perfectly and disagree completely with what the other side is saying. But unless you can convmce them that you do grasp how they see it, you may be unable to explain your viewpoint to them. Once you have made their case for them, then come back with the problems you find in their proposal. If you can put their case better than they can, and then refute it, you maximize the chance of initiating a constructive dialogue on the merits and minimize the chance of their believing you have misunderstood them. Speak to be understood. Talk to the other side. It is easy to forget sometimes that a negotiation is not a debate. Nor is it a trial. You are not trying to persuade some third party. The person you are trying to persuade is seated at the table with you. If a negotiation is to be compared with a legal proceeding, the situation resembles that of two judges trying to reach agreement on how to decide a case. Try putting yourself in that role, treating your opposite number as a fellow judge with whom you are attempting to work out a joint opinion. In this context it is clearly unpersuasive to blame the other party for the problem, to engage in name-calling, or to raise your voice. On the contrary, it will help to recognize explicitly that they see the situation differently and to try to go forward as people with a joint problem. To reduce the dominating and distracting effect that the press, home audiences, and third parties may have, it is -useful to establish private and confidential means of cmmunicating with the other side. You can also improve communication by limiting the size of the group meeting. In the negotiations over the city of Trieste in 1954, for example, little progress was made in the talks among Yugoslavia, Britain, and the United States until the three principal negotiators abandoned their large delegations and started meeting alone and informally in a private house. A good case can be made for changing Woodrow Wilson's appealing slogan "Open covenants openly arrived at" to "Open covenants privately arrived at." No matter how many people are involved in a negotiation, important decisions are typically made when no more than two people are in the room. Speak about yourself, not about them. In many negotiations, each side explains and condemns at great length the motivations and intentions of the other side. It is more persuasive, however, to describe a problem in terms of its impact on you than in terms of what they did or why: "I feel let down" instead of "You broke your word." "We feel discrimim nated against" rather than "You're a racist." If you make a ,statement about them that they believe is untrue, they wifl you or get angry; they will not focus on your concern. But a statement about how you feel is difficult to challenge. You convey the same information without provoking a defensive reaction that will prevent them from taking it in. Speak for a purpose. Sometimes the problem is not too little communication, but too much. When anger and misperm ception are high, some thoughts are best left unsaid. At other times,, full disclosure of how flexible you are may make it harder to reach agreement rather than easier. If you let me know that you would be willing to sell a house for $40,000, after I have said that I would be willing to pay as much as $45,000, we may have more trouble striking a deal than if you had just kept quiet. The moral is: Before making a significant statement, know what you want to communicate or find out, and know what purpose this information will serve. Prevention works best The techniques just described for dealing with problems of perception, emotion, and communication usually work wen. However, the best time for handling people problems is before they become people problems. This means building a personal and organizational relationship with the other side that can cushion the people on each side against the knocks of negotiation. It also means structuring the negotiating game in ways that separate the substantive problem from the relationship and protect people's egos from getting involved in substantive discussions. Build a working relationship. Knowinia the other side personally really does help. It is much easier to attribute diabolical intentions to an unknown abstraction called the "other side" than to someone you know personally. Dealing with a classmate, a colleague, a friend, or even a friend of a friend is quite different from dealing with a stranger. The more quickly you can turn a stranger into someone you know. the easier a negotiation is likely to become. You have less difficulty understanding where they are coming from. You a foundation of trust to build upon in a difficult negotiation. You have smooth " familiar communication routines. It is easier to defuse tension with a joke or an informal aside. The time to develop such a relationship is before -the. negoti.ation begins. Get to know them and find out about their likes and dislikes. Find ways to meet them informally. Try arriving early to chat before the negotiation is scheduled to start, and linger after it ends. Benjamin Franklin's favorite technique was to ask an adversary if he could borrow a certain book. This would flatter the person and give him the comfortable feeling of knowing that Franklin owed him a favor. Face the problem, not the people. If negotiators view themselves as adversaries in a personal face-to-face confrontation, it is difficult to separate their relationship from the substantive problem. In that context, anything one negotiator says about the problem seems to be directed personally at the other and is received that way. Each side tends to become defensive and reactive and to ignore the other side's legitimate interests altogether. A more effective way for the parties to think of themselves is as partners in a hardheaded, side-by-side search for a fair agreement advantageous to each. Like two shipwrecked sailors in a lifeboat at sea quarreling over limited rations and supplies, negotiators may begin by seeing each other as adversaries. Each may view the other as a hindrance. To survive, however, those two sailors will want to disentangle the objective problems from the people. They will want to identify the needs of each, whether for shade, medicine, water, or food. They will want to go further and treat the meeting of those needs as a shared problem, along with other shared problems like keeping watch, catching rainwater, and getting the lifeboat to shore. Seeing themselves as engaged in side-by-side efforts to solve a mutual problem, the sailors will become better able to reconcile their conflicting .,,interests as well as to advance their shared interests. Similarly "-,,with two negotiators. However difficult personal relations may be between us, you and I become better able to reach an amicable reconciliation of our various interests when we accept that task as a shared problem and face it jointly. To help the other side change from a face-to-face orient - ation to side-by-side, you might raise the issue with them explicitly. "Look, we're both lawyers [diplomats, businessmen, family, etc.]. Unless we try to satisfy your interests, we are hardly likely to reach an agreement that satisfies mine, and vice versa. Let's look together at the problem of how to satisfy our collective interests." Alternatively, you could start treating the negotiation as a side-by-side process and by your actions make it desirable for them to join in. It helps to sit literally on the same side of a table and to have in front of you the contract, the map, the blank pad of paper, or whatever else depicts the problem. If you have estabm lished a basis for mutual trust, so much the better. But however precarious your relationship may be, try to structure the negotiation as a side-by-side activity in which the two of you - with your differing interests and perceptions, and your emotional involvement - jointly face a common task. Separatingthe,people from the problem is not something you can do once and, forget about; you have to keep working at it. The basic approach is to deal with the people as human beings and with the problem on its merits. How to do the latter is the subject of the next three chapters. Focus on Interests, Not Posit'ions Consider the story of two men quarreling in a library. One wants the window open and the other wants it closed. They bicker back and forth about how much to leave it open: a cract, halfway, three quarters of the way. No solution satisfies them both. Enter the librarian. She asks one why he wants the window open: "To get some fresh air." She asks the other why he wants it closed: "To avoid the draft." After thinking a minute, she opens wide a window in the next room, bringing in fresh air without a draft. For a wise solution reconcile interests, not positions This story is typical of many negotiations. Since the parties' problem appears to be a conflict of positions, and since their goal is to agree on a position, they naturally tend to think and talk about positions - and in the process often reach an impasse. The librarian could not have invented the solution she did if she had focused only on the two men's stated positions of wanting the window open or closed. Instead she looked to their underlying interests of fresh air and no draft. This difference between positions and interests is crucial. Interests define the problem. The basic problem in a negotiation lies not in conflicting positions, but in the conflict between each side's needs, desires, concerns, and fears. The parties may say: "I am trying to get him to stop that real estate development next door." Or "We disagree. He wants $50,000 for the house. I won 9t pay a penny more than $47,500." But on a more basic level the problem is: "He needs the cash; I want peace and quiet."' Or "He needs at least $50,000 to settle with his ex-wife. told my family that I wouldn7t pay more than $47,500 for a house." Such desires and concerns are interests. Interests,motivate people; they are the silent movers behind the hubbub of position. 'Your position is something you have decided upon. Your interests are what caused you to so decide. The Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty blocked out at Camp David in 1978 demonstrates the usefulness of looking" positions, Israel had occupied the Egyptian Sinai P uli since the Six Day War of 1967. When Egypt and Israel -s at down together in 1978 to negotiate a peace, their positions were incompatible. Israel insisted on keeping some of the Sinai. Egypt, on the other, hand, insisted that every inch of the Sinai be returned to Egyptian sovereignty. Time and again, people drew maps showing possible boundary lines that would divide the Sinai between Egypt and Israel. Compromising in this way was wholly unacceptable to Egypt. To go back to the situation as it was in 1967 was equally unacceptable to Israel. Looking to their interests instead of their positions made it possible to develop a solution. Israel9s interest lay in security; they did not want Egyptian I tanks poised on their border ready to roll across at any time. Egypt's interest lay in sovereignty; the Sinai had been part of Egypt since the time of the Pharaohs, After centuries of domination by Greeks, Romans, Turks, French, and British, Egypt had only recently regained full sovereignty and was not about to cede territory to another foreign conqueror. At Camp David, President Sadat of Egypt and Prime Minister Begin of Israel agreed to a plan that would return the Sinai to complete Egyptian sovereignty and, by demilitarizing large areas, would still assure Israeli security. The Egyptian flag would fly everywhere, but Egyptian tanks would be nowhere near Israel. Reconciling interests, rather than positions works for two reasons. First, for every interest there usually exist several possible positions that could satisfy it. All too often people simply adopt the most obvious position, as Israel did, for example, in announcing that they intended to keep part of the Sinai. When you do look behind opposed positions for the motivating interests, you can often find an alternative position which meets not only your interests but theirs as well. In the Sinai, demilitarization was one such alternative. Reconciling interests rather than compromising between positions also works because behind opposed positions He many more interests than conflicting ones. Behind opposed positions lie shared and compatible interests, as well as conflicting ones. We tend to assume that because the other side's positions are opposed to ours, their interests must also be opposed. If we have an interest in defending ourselves, then they must want to attack us. If we have an interest in minimizing the rent, then their interest must be to maximize it. In many negotiations, however, a close examination of the underlying interests will reveal the existence of many more interests that are shared or compatible than ones that are opposed. For example, look at the interests a tenant shares with a prospective landlord: 1. Both want stability. The landlord wants a stable tenant; the tenant wants a permanent address. 2. Both would like to see the apartment well maintained. The tenant is going to live there; the landlord wants to increase the value of the apartment as well as the reputation of the building. 3. Both are interested in a good relationship with each other. The landlord wants a tenant who pays the rent regularly; the tenant wants a responsive landlord who will carry out the necessary repairs. differ. They may have interests that do not conflict but simply For example: 1. The tenant may not want to deal with fresh paint to which he is allergic. The landlord will not want to pay the costs of repainting all the other apartments. 2. The landlord would like the security of a down payment of the first month's rent, and he may want tomorrow. The tenant, knowing that this is a good apartment, may be indifferent on the question of paying tomorrow or later. When weighed against these shared and divergent interests, the opposed interests in minimizing the rent and maximizing the return seem more manageable. The shared interests will likely result in a long lease, an agreement to share the cost of improving the apartment, and efforts by both parties to accommodate each other in the interest of a good relationship. The divergent interests may perhaps be reconciled by a down payment tomorrow and an agreement by the landlord to paint the apartment provided the tenant buys the paint. The precise amount of the rent is all that remains to be settled, and the market for rental apartments may define that fairly well. Agreement is often made possible precisely because interests differ. You and a shoe seller may both like money and shoes. Relatively, his interest in the thirty dollars exceeds his interest in the shoes. For you, the situation is reversed: you like the shoes better than the thirty dollars. Hence the deal. Shared interests and differing but complementary interests can both serve as the building blocks for a wise agreement. How do you identify interests? The benefit of looking behind positions for interests is clear. How to go about it is less clear. A position is likely to be concrete and explicit; the interests underlying it may well be unexpressed, intangible, and perhaps inconsistent, How do you go about understanding the interests involved in a negotiation, remembering that figuring out their interests will be at least as important as figuring out yours? Ask "Why?" One basic technique is to put yourself in their shoes. Examine each position they take, and ask yourself "Why?" Why, for instance, does your landlord prefer to fix the rent - in a five-year lease - year by year? The answer ..,you may come up with, to be protected against increasing costs, is probably one of his interests. You can also ask the landlord himself why he takes a particular position. If you do, make clear that you are asking not for justification of this position, but for an understanding of the needs, hopes, fears., or desires that it serves. "What's your basic concern, Mr. Jones, in wanting the lease to run for no more than three years?" Ask "Why not?" Think about their choice. One of the most useful ways to uncover interests is first to identify the basic decision that those on the other side probably see you asking them for, and then to ask yourself why they have not made that decision. What interests of theirs stand in the way? If you are trying to change their minds, the starting point is to figure out where their minds are now. In constructing the other side's presently perceived choice the first question to ask is "Whose decision do I want to affect?" The second question is what decision people on the other side now see you asking them to make. If you have no idea what they think they are being called on to do, they may not either. That alone may explain why they are not deciding as you would like. Now analyze the consequences, as the other side would probably see them, of agreeing or refusing to make the decision you are asking for. You may find a checklist of consequences such as the following helpful in this task: Impact on my interests Will I lose or gain political support? Will colleagues criticize or praise me? Impact on the group's interests What will be the short-term consequences? The long-term consequences? What will be the economic consequences (political, legal, psychological, military, etc.)? * What will be the effect on outside supporters and public opmion? Will the precedent be good or bad? Will making this decision prevent doing something better? Is the action consistent with our principles? Is it "right"? Can I do it later if I want? In this entire process it would be a mistake to try for great precision. Only rarely will you deal with a decision-maker who writes down and weighs the pros and cons. You are trying to understand a very human choice, not making a mathematical calculation. Realize that each side has multiple interests. In almost every negotiation each side will have many interests, not just one. As a tenant negotiating a lease, for example, you may want to obtain a favorable rental agreement, to reach it quickly with little effort, and to maintain a good working relationship with your landlord. You will have not only a strong interest in affecting any agreement you reach, but also one in effecting an agreement. You will be simultaneously pursuing both your independent and your shared interests. A common error in diagnosing a negotiating situation is toassume that each person on the other side has the same interests. This is almost never the case. During the Vietnam War President Johnson was in the habit of lumping together all le different members of the government of North Vietnam, the Vietcong in the south, and their Soviet and Chinese advisers and calling them collectively "he." "The enemy has to learn that he can't cross the United States with impunity. He is going to have to learn that aggression doesn't pay." It win be difficult to influence any such "him" (or even "them") to agree to anything if you fail to appreciate the differing inm terests of the various people and factions involved. Thinking of negotiation as a two-person, two-sided affair can be illuminating, but it should not blind you to the usual presence of other persons, other sides, and other influences. In one baseball salary negotiation the general manager kept insisting that $200,000 was simply too much for a particular player, although other teams were paying at least that much to similarly talented players. In fact the manager felt his positioil was unjustifiable, but he had strict instructions from the owners to hold firm without explaining why., because were in financial difficulties that they did not want the public to hear about. Whether it is his employer, his client, his employees, his colleagues, his family, or his wife, every negotiator has a constituency to whose interests he is sensitive. To understand that negotiators interests means to understand the variety of somewhat differing interests that he needs to take into account, The most powerftd interests are basic human needs. In searching for the basic interests behind a declared position., look particularly for those bedrock concerns which motivate all people. If you can take care of such basic needs, you increase the chance both of reaching agreement and, if an agreem ment is reached, of the other side's keeping to it. Basic human needs include: security economic well-being a sense of belonging recognition control over one's life As fundamental as they are, basic human needs are easy to overlook. In many negotiations, we tend to think that the only interest involved is money. Yet even in a negotiation over a monetary figure, such as the amount of alimony to be specified in a separation agreement, much more can be involved. What does a wife really want in asking for $500 a week in alimony? Certainly she is interested in her economic wellbeing, but what else? Possibly she wants the money in order to feel psychologically secure. She may also want it for recognition: to feel that she is treated fairly and as an equal. Perhaps the husband can ill afford to pay $500 a week, and perhaps his wife does not need that much, yet she will likely accept less only if her needs for security and recognition are met in other ways. What is true for individuals remains equally true for groups and nations. Negotiations are not likely to make much progress as long as one side believes that the fulfillment of their basic human needs is being threatened by the other. In negotiations between the United States and Mexico, the U.S. wanted a low price for Mexican natural gas. Assuming that this was a negotiation over money, the U.S. Secretary of Energy refused to approve a price increase negotiated with the Mexicans by a U.S. oil consortium. Since the Mexicans had no other potential buyer at the time, he assumed that they would then lower their asking price. But the Mexicans had a strong interest not only in getting a good price for their gas but also in being treated with respect and a sense of equality. The U.S. action seemed like one more attempt to bully Mexico; it produced enormous anger., Rather than sell their gas, the Mexican government began to bum it off, and any chance of agreement on a lower price became politically impossible. To take another example, in the negotiations over the future of Northern Ireland, Protestant leaders tend to ignore the Catholics' need for both belonging and recognition, for being accepted and treated as equals. In turn, Catholic leaders often appear to give too little weight to the Protestants' need to feel secure. Treating Protestant fears as "their problem" rather than as a legitimate concern needing attention makes it even more difficult to negotiate a solution. Make a list. To sort out the various interests of each side, it helps to write them down as they occur to you. This will not only help you remember them; it will also enable you to improve the quality of your assessment as you learn new information and to place interests in their estimated order of importance. Furthermore, it may stimulate ideas for how to meet these interests. Talking about interests The purpose of negotiating is to serve your interests. The chance of that happening increases when you communicate them. The other side may not know what your interests are, and, you may not know theirs. One or both of you may be focusing on past grievances instead of on future concerns. Or you may not even be listening to each other. How do you discuss interests constructivel without getting locked into rigid positions? If you want the other side to take your interests into account, explain to them what those interests are. A member of a concerned citizens' group complaining about a construction project in the neighborhood should talk explicitly about such issues as ensuring children's safety and getting a good night's sleep. An author who wants to be able to give a great many of his books away should discuss the matter with his publisher. The publisher has a shared interest in promotion and may be willing to offer the author a low price. Make your interests come alive. If you go with a raging ulcer to see a doctor, you should not hope for much relief if you describe it as a mild stomachache. It is your job to have the other side understand exactly how important and legitimate your interests are. One guideline is be specific. Concrete details not only make your description credible, they add impact. For example: "Three times in the last week, a child was almost run over by one of your trucks. About eight-thirty Tuesday morning that huge red gravel truck of yours, going north at almost forty miles an hour, had to swerve and barely missed hitting seven-year-old Loretta Johnson." As long as you do not seem to imply that the other side!s interests are unimportant or illegitimate, you can afford to take a strong stance in setting forth the seriousness of your concerns. Inviting the other side to "correct me ff rm wrong" shows your openness, and if they do not correct you, it im.plies that they accept your description of the situation. Part of the task of impressing the other side with your interests lies in establishing the legitimacy of those interests. You want them to feel not that you are attacking them personally, but rather that the problem you face legitimately demands attention. You need to convince them that they might well feel the same way if they were in your shoes. "Do you have children? How would you feel if trucks were hurtling at forty miles per hour down the street where you live?" Acknowledge their interests as part of the problem. Each of us tends to be so concerned with his or her own interests that we pay too little heed to the interests of others. People listen better if they feel that you have understood them. They tend to think that those who understand them are intelligent and sympathetic people whose own opinions may be worth listening to. So if you want the other, side to appreciate your interests, begin by demonstrating that,.you appreciate theirs. "As I understand it, your interests as a construction company are basically to get the job done quickly at minimum cost, and to preserve your reputation for safety and responsibility in the city. Have I understood you correctly? Do you have other important interests?" In addition to demonstrating that you have understood their interests it helps to acknowledge that thejr interests-,are part ot ;he overall,, problem you are. trying to solve. This is especiary easy to do if you have shared interests: "It would be terrible for all of us if one of your trucks hit a child." Put the problem before your answer. In talking to someone who represents a construction company, you might say, "We believe you should build a fence around the project within forty-eight hours and beginning immediately should restrict the speed of your trucks on Oak Street to fifteen miles an hour. Now let me tell you why...." If you do, you can be quite certain that he will not be listening to the reasons. He has heard your position and is no doubt busy preparing arguments'. against it. He was probably disturbed by your tone or by the, suggestion itself. As a result, your justification will slip by him altogether. If you want someone to listen and understand your reasoning,, give your interests and reasoning first and your conclu sions or proposals later. Tell the company first about the dangers they are creating for young children and about your sleepless nights. Then they will be listening carefully., if only to try to figure out where you will end up on this question. And when you tell them, they will understand why. Look forward, not back. It is surprising how often we simply react to what someone else has said or done. Two people will often fall into a pattern of discourse that resembles a negotiation, but really has no such purpose whatsoever. They disagree with each other over some issue, and the talk goes back and forth as though they were seeking agreement. In fact, the argument is being carried on as a ritual, or simply a pastime. Each is engaged in scoring points against the other or in gathering evidence to confirm views about the other that have long been held and are not about to be changed. Neither party is seeking agreement or is even trying to influence the other. If you ask two people why they are arguing, the answer will typically identify a cause, not a purpose. Caught up in a quaffel, whether between husband and wife, between company and union, or between two businesses, people are more likely to respond to what the other side has said or done than to act in pursuit of their own long-term interests. "They can't treat me like that. If they think they're going to get away with that, they will have to think again. I'll show them." The question "Why?" has two quite different meanings. One looks backward for a cause and treats our behavior as determined by prior events. The other looks forward for a purpose and treats our behavior as subject to our free will. We need not enter into a philosophical debate between free will and determinism in order to decide how to act. Either we have free will or it is determined that we behave as if we do. In either case, we make choices. We can choose to look back or to look forward. You will satisfy your interests better if you talk about where you would like to go rather than about where you have come from. Instead of arguing with the other side about the past about last'quarter's costs (which were too high), last week's action (taken without adequate authority), or yesterday's performance (which was less than expected) - talk about what you want to have happen in the future. Instead of asking them to justify what they did yesterday, ask,, "Who should do what tomorrow?" Be concrete but flexible. In a negotiation you want to know where you are going and yet be open to fresh ideas. To avoid having to make a difficult decision on what to settle for, people will often go into a negotiation with no other plan than to sit down with the other side and see what they offer or demand. How can you move from identifying interests to developing specific options and still remain flexible with regard to those options? To convert your interests into concrete options, ask yourself, "If tomoffow the other side agrees to go along with me, what do I now think I would like them to go along with?" To keep your flexibility, treat each option you formulate as simply illustrative. Think in terms of more than one option that meets your interests. "Illustrative specificity" is the key concept. Much of what positional bargainers hope to achieve with an opening position can be accomplished equally well with an illustrative suggestion that generously takes care of your interest. For example, in a baseball contract negotiation, an Agent might say that "$250,000 a year would be the kind of ure that should satisfy Cortez's interest in receiving the salary he feels he is worth. Something on the order of a five-year contract should meet his need for job security." Having thought about your interests, you should go into a meeting not only with one or more specific options that would meet your legitimate interests but also with an open mind. An open mind is not an empty one. Be hard on the problem, soft on the people. You can be just as hard in talking about your interests as any negotiator can be in talking about his position. Having thought about your interests, you should go into a meeting not only with one or more specific options that would meet your legitimate interests but also with an open mind. An open mind is not an empty one. You can be just as hard in talking about your interests as any negotiator can be in talking about his position. In fact, it is usually advisable to be hard. It may not be wise to commit yourself to your position, but it is wise to, commit yourself to your interests. This is the place . in a negotiation to spend your aggressive energies., The other. side,. being concerned with their own, interests, will tend to have overly optimistic' expectations of the range of possible agreements. Often the wisest solutions, those that produce the maximum gain for you at, the minimum cost to the other side, are produced only by strongly advocating your interests. Two negotiators,, each pushing hard for their interests, will often stimulate each other"s creativity in thinking up mutually advantageous solutions, The construction company, concerned with inflation, may place a high value on its interest in keeping costs down and in getting the job done on time, You may have to shake them up. Some honest emotion,may help restore a better balance between profits and children's lives. Do not let your desire to be conciliatory stop you from doing justice to your problem. "Surely you're not saying that my son's life is worth less than the price of a fence. You wouldn't say that about your son. I don't believe you're an insensitive person, Mr. jenkins.'Let's figure out how to solve this problem." If they feel personally threatened by an attack on the problem, they may grow defensive -and may cease to listen. This is why it is important to separate the people from the problem. Attack the problem without blaming the people. Go even further and be personally supportive: Listen to them with respect, show them courtesy, express your appreciation for their time and effort, emphasize your concern with meeting their basic eeds, and so on. Show them that you are attacking the problem, not them. One useful rule of thumb is to give positive support to the human beings on the other side equal in strength to the vigor with which you emphasize the problem. This combination of support and attack may seem inconsistent. Psychologically, it is; the inconsistency helps'make-it work. A well-known theory of psychology,, the theory of cognitive dissonance, holds that people dislike inconsistency and will act to eliminate it. By attacking a problem,-such as speeding trucks on a neighborhood-street, and at the same time giving the company representative positive sup-port, you create cognitive dissonance for him. To overcome this dissonance, he will be tempted to dissociate himself from the problem in order to join you in doing something about it. Fighting hard on the substantive issues increases the pressure. for an;effective solution; giving support to the human beings on the other side tends to improve your relationship' and to increase ne likelihood of reaching agreement. It is the combination of support and attack which works; either alone is likely to be in sufficient. Negotiating hard for your interests does not mean being closed to the other side's point of view. Quite the contrary. You can hardly expect the other side to listen to your interests and discuss the options you -suggest if you don't take their interests ' into account and show yourself to be open to their suggestions. Successful negotiation requires being both firm and open. Material 8 Wallace and Wolf CONFLICT THEORY AND THE CRITIQUE OF SOCIETY This section covers the conflict theory of Marx and modern Marxist sociologists,of the Frankfurt School analysts-particularly Horkheimer, Adorno, Fromm, Marcuse, and Habermas-and of C. Wright Mills. All the writers in this group are distinguished by their view of social science; their image of society as divided hierarchically into exclusive groups; and their belief in the possibility of an ideal social order. In general, we refer to them as "critical" theorists because they all use social science to criticize society, and in particular the "ruling class," the "power elite," or what is often the "establishment." However, "critical theory" is also used more narrowly to refer to the work of the Frankfurt School. "Critical" conflict theorists believe that social analysts should not separate their work from their moral commitments, and they see their theories as a force for change and progress. They also believe that objectivity is more or less impossible. For them social science is inextricably bound up with the particular views of a writer, which are in turn a function of his or her society, and fact is consequently inextricable from value. In other words, they reject the usual scientific view that, whatever writers' own values, or motives in writing, may be, their theories stand or fall by whether independent factual evidence supports them. At the same time, "critical" conflict theorists feel sure that their own values and standards are the right ones, and therefore a justified basis for social critique. The particular focus of their critique is the way wealth, status, and power are distributed in society. Theorists of this type generally see society as divided rather clearly between a small group of powerful and privileged people and an exploited or manipulated mass. They are also inclined to use a "unicausal" theory of social structure, and to see people's circumstances as primarily determined by one set of institutions, most often property. At the same time, they do not believe that society need be highly segmented and unequal. They contrast the societies they analyze with a better order of things and often compare the "irrational" present, in which human development is stunted, with an ideal and "rational" state of affairs, in which human potential will be fulfilled. This vision of'a society based on values which they presume to be absolutely valid, as well as their concept of "real" human nature, are the starting points for their criticisms of actual societies. 74 Conflict Theory In all of this, Marx is the dominant influence. The argument that ideas are a product of social circumstances and for that reason not objectively correct is his. Moreover, although he believed that his own theory was not open to the charge of being an "ideology" but was, on the contrary, objectively true, he also regarded his work as a form of political and moral action-an expression of the ideas that would guide the proletariat to inevitable victory. Marxists use the term praxis to describe actions informed in this way by theoretical considerations and, more precisely, revolutionary consciousness. In addition, Marx presented a two-class model of society; divided between oppressors and oppressed on the basis of property, and looked forward to the communist utopia in which mankind would realize its essential nature. For the most part, conflict theory of this type has developed in Europe, particularly western Europe. In communist countries, Marxism or Marxism-Leninism is essentially a state religion and not open to critical analysis and development. Philosophers, sociologists, and political theorists, such as Leszek Kolakowski, who engage in such analysis, are likely to be forced into exile.24 On the other hand, in western Europe intellectuals have continued to be greatly influenced by Marx. Although the organized Communist parties have themselves produced some important Marxist theorists, such as Antonio Gramsci in Italy, they too insist on doctrinal orthodoxy; and the major source of modern critical conflict theory is Marxist intellectuals outside the party hierarchies. In America there was a strong Marxist and Communist element in intellectual life during the 1930s and 1940s. Nevertheless, although a number of sociologists and economists (such as Norman Birnbaum and Paul Sweezy) continued to use Marxist categories, Marxist analysis had little direct impact on American sociology in the twenty years immediately after the Second World War. During this period, the only widely known and influential "critical" sociologist was C. Wright Mills, who was heavily influenced by Marx but not in any clear sense a Marxist. During the Vietnam period, however, many younger American sociologists were involved with the New Left and heavily influenced by various radical writers, but quite specifically by Marx. Consequently, both the "critical sociology" of the Frankfurt tradition and other Marxist and neo-Marxist writings are becoming increasingly known and influential in American SoCiology.25 Marxian journals have been founded specifically devoted to this approach. KARL MARX AND MODERN MARXIST SOCIOLOGY Karl Marx was born in 1818 in Trier, Germany. His parents were Jews who had converted to Protestantism to avoid discrimination and loss of civil rights and, in particular, to protect his father's law practice. Marx also began to study law. However, at the University of Berlin, he became fascinated by the philosophy of Hegel, who interpreted the whole of history as the process by which "Spirit" (and consequently humanity) progressed towards complete self-knowledge and a "rational" and "free" society. Marx became a Young Hegelian, one of a group of young philosophers who questioned many parts of the master's teachings while remaining beholden to his approach. Indeed, in later years, Marx came to see his own writings as upending Hegel's, replacing Hegel's emphasis on mind as the crucial determinant of history with his own "materialist" philosophy, which demonstrated that material factors determined events. He also became an antireligious radical, and after completing his thesis, worked as a writer and publicist in Paris and Belgium. During this period he wrote The Communist Manifesto, which sets out a program for a revolutionary government and outlines his theory of social structures and social change. When the revolution of 1848 broke out in Germany, he returned to edit a radical newspaper. After the revolution failed, he went into exile again and settled in London, his home for the rest of his life. During much of this period, Marx and his family were extremely poor; help from his friend, Friedrich Engels, a socialist textile manufacturer, was vital. Nonetheless, his theories became increasingly well-known and influential, especially outside England. He was consulted more and more frequently by Russian and German radicals and revolutionaries; and since his death, "Communist" parties have developed all over the world.26 Their dogma is the analyses of Marx and Lenin, who led the first "Communist" 27 We shall describe briefly Marx's discussion of the economic revolution basis of social organization; the classes and class conflict that arise around economic interests; and the importance of ideology in both maintaining and undermining a social order. We shall also consider his comprehensive theory of social evolution and his prophecy of the ideal ctxtssless and stateless society to come.28 The Economic Basis of Society The distinguishing mark of Marxist analysis is that it identifies economic factors as the fundamental determinant of social structure and change. Other spheres of social life and the ideas and values that people hold are seen as shaped by and dependent on the nature of economic production. In Schumpeter's analogy, they play the role of "transmission belts," through which the social forces and group interests created by economic arrangements emerge into social life.29 Marx distinguished between three aspects of social organization. They are, first, the "material forces of production," or the'l,actual methods by which people produce their livings; second, the "relations of production" that arise out of them and that include property relations and rights; and third, the "legal and political" superstructures and the ideas, or "forms of social consciousness," that correspond to the first two. He argued that in production, "men enter into definite . . . relations of production which correspond to a definite stage of development of their material productive forces. The sum total of these relations of production constitutes the economic structure of society, the real foundation.... The mode of production of material life conditions the social, political, and intellectual lifeprocess in general." 30 In other words, in Marx's view, the actual mode of production is the basic causal factor that ultimately determines how societies are organized. In this sense his is a "materialist" theory of history, whereby "in changing their mode of production ... (men) change all their social relations. The hand-mill gives you society with the feudal lord; the steam-mill society with the industrial capitalists' At the same time, however, both the mode and the relations of production-the technology and the form of economic organization-are the "substructure" that defines both the nature of a particular society and its "superstructure" of law, government, and ideas. In practice, both Marx and later Marxist writers tend to pay more attention to the effects of economic organization than of the mode of production alone. Indeed, this is a far more plausible approach. There was little difference in technology between, for example, the Roman Empire and medieval Europe; yet their social structures were very different. These differences were, moreover, often clearly related to differences in economic organization, such as Rome's use of numerous slaves and feudalism's system of serfdom.32 However, if one admits that economic organization, rather than technology, is the primary determinant of social structure, one also undermines, to a considerable degree, Marx's claim that a single principle "unlocks" the workings of society. If different forms of economicorganization can coexist with a given technology, then these forms must result, at least partly, from other, noneconomic factors --the ideas and legal principles that Marxism relegates to the "superstructure," for example, or the principles of military organization, which Marxists generally ignore. Thus, many historians would argue that the different forms of economic organization in Rome and feudal Europe (and the wide-ranging differences in their social structure) can themselves only be understood in terms of their different legal codes and systems and their different military organization. A society with a centralized standing army is obviously different from one in which fighting is the task of feudal lords who owe service to the king but who are "paid" with grants of land-of which they are virtually independent rulers. And in that case, Marx's "economic theory of history" becomes, as its critics would argue, an insight of genius into the role of economic factors but not an all-embracing explanation. Class and the Economic Base of Conflict Marx argued that all forms of economic organization that had exist at the time he wrote inevitably generated conflict between social class which were defined by their common economic position. The Communist Manifesto opens with a now-famous declaration: "The history of all hithe existing society is the history of class struggles. 1133This statement embod three important but separate propositions. The first is that people whose economic position, or "class," is the same also tend to act together a group. The second is that economic classes are the most important group to be found in society: their history is the history of human society. Third is that these classes are mutually antagonistic, and the outcome their conflicts defines how society develops. Marx's theory of class is thus not simpIy a theory of social structure: it is also a theory of change. Property and Class Although we have been ascribing the Marxist concept of class as "economic," Marx actually used a more specific and restrictive definition. A class is made up of people who are alike in their relationship to property: they have none, or they have the same type. 34 Ultimately, the sort of work people do is not what matters. Thus, manual workers, clerks, technicians, and engineers belong to the same class because they own and are paid for their labor. They belong to a different class from capitalists and landlords, who own the instruments of production; from serfs, who only partly own their own labor because they are bound to a given lord and cannot go to work for someone else; and from slaves, who own no property at all. If you look around a university campus, you will find that the only "factor of production" most people there own is their labor. In Marxist terms they therefore belong to the same class: the, proletariat. This will certainly be true of most of the students and also of a good number of the faculty, who work for a salary and who, although they probably own their homes, do not own any "means of production." On the other hand, some faculty and some students probably own a fair number of shares of stock; some mature students may also be running businesses; and, especially if the campus is M.I.T., some of the faculty are likely to be founders and owners of high-technology industries, which are offshoots of their work. Because they own property of this type, all the people in the second group belong to another, different class of "capitalists." Marx, we should note, does not differentiate between shareholders, who simply provide capital, and entrepreneurs. 35 Marxist theory argues that different classes inevitably have incompatible interests, because under systems of property-ownership, if one class makes economic gains, it must be at the expense of another. According to Marx, each of the major economic systems that existed in the past strengthened one particular class, which could then exploit others. He wrote that "Freeman and slave, patrician and plebeian, lord and serf' ' guild-master and journeyman, in a word, oppressor and oppressed, stood in constant opposition to one another, carried on an uninterrupted, now hidden, now open fight," and that "An oppressed class is the vital condition for every society founded on the antagonism of classes."37 In bourgeois society, capitalists are the oppressors and the proletariat the oppressed. In explaining what Marx meant by this, we must reiterate that Marx's general theory is the work of an analytical economist. His theory of exploitation is based on an economic theory of value,38 and it is important to note that in its essentials, his was the value theory of the "classical" economist Ricardo. Nowadays, the "labor theory of value" is seen as a distinguishing aspect of Marxism, because it is only Marxist economists who continue to hold it. However, in Marx's own time it was standard theory, and not what he himself would have seen as his major idea. Marx states that the value of a commodity is equal to the quantity of labor that went directly into making it. In a market economy, workers selling their labor will get for it the price of the labor that went into "making" them: that is, the cost of rearing, feeding, clothing, and housing them. However, what each of them produces at work will very likely amount to considerably more than this; and this "surplus value" will go not to them but to the capitalist. In Marx's theory, any surplus value appropriated by someone other than the worker is by definition exploitation, because only labor produces value. All systems of property therefore involve a basic conflict of interest because one group expropriates the product of another's labor.39 Modern Marxist and Marxian sociologists retain Marx's emphasis on property relationships. Norman Birnbaum, for example, uses Marxist categories to analyze the United States. He attacks the argument that property ownership is no longer a crucial determinant of power and opportunity, and that a meritocratic education system decides people's success. Birnbaum argues that educational success and "access to some of the more privileged educational institutions" are a function of family background. The "technocratic 61ite" is thus far from being a new group with interests and objectives quite separate from those of "capitalists.1140 Rather, Birnbaum contends, it operates modern organizations in the interests of property" and is backed by government, with which it has a symbiotic relationship. Class Conflict Marx argued that at any one time, it is class struggle that defines the essential character of a society. It is the product of, on theone hand, the irreconcilable differences in interest between classes; and, on the other, the fact that a class's common interests are so strong that they will encourage its members to group together for common action. However, at any given time, the degree to which members of a class recognize their interests will depend on their level of class consciousness. The dominant ideas of an era may stand in the way of their recognizing their class identity; but so too may the circumstances of their lives. The French peasants of the nineteenth century, for example, did not "form a class" in the active sense, according to Marx, because "there is merely a local interconnection among these small-holding peasants, and the identity of their interests begets no community, no national bond, and no political organization among them."41 It is the task of the Marxist to encourage people-and specifically the members of the exploited proletariat-to recognize and act upon their interests: to encourage and accelerate change and revolution, as well as understand its roots. Thus, one of the foremost young American Marxistsociologists recently argued that "Class interests in capitalist society are ... potential objectives." They are "hypotheses about the objectives of struggles which would occur if the actors in the struggle had a scientifically correct understanding of their situations."42 What Marx provides here is a powerful theory of how groups form in society. However, critics have queried the degree to which members of a property class do always have common interests or tend to act in unison. For example, innovations are favored by those who introduce them, and feared by all those involved with established firms, whether as owners, employees, or union officials. Government policy often benefits one part of an industry at another's expense, for example, by limiting imports of cheap foreign coal or oil, and so increasing energy costs. In America, Northern businessmen wishing to relocate to small Southern towns are often opposed by local employers, who fear the impact of higher wages and benefits, and welcomed by prospective workers for the same reasons. Again, Marxists tend to see any change in an industry'sjob structure which increases the numbers of differentjobs, productivity bonuses, etc., as a conscious effort to undermine solidarity and conceal workers' "fundamental" interests (in organized struggle) behind their "immediate," individual interests.43 It is certainly true that a more diverse job structure in which pay is linked to individual effort is likely to create a less unified, or uniformly militant work force; as seems to be happening, for just these reasons, with the British miners. Non-Marxist conflict theorists, however, would not tend to discriminate between real and immediate interests. They would rather be inclined to say that individuals' situations have changed; and so, therefore, has the action which they perceive to be in their best interests. In consequence, the sorts of groups likely to takejoint action have also altered. Culture, Ideology, and Alienation Marx emphasized that feelings and opinions about people in power are of major importance: especially whether their position is viewed as right, or whether people feel exploited and oppressed. He thesis identified one of the major topics of conflict theory.44 Marx's own discussion of the role of ideas in establishing control follows from his argument that the legal, political, and cultural "superstructure" is ultimately a reflection of underlying economic relationships. He argued that people in a class society believe a large number of things that are not correct but which are rather a form of "ideology" whose main purpose and effect is to legitimize the position of those currently in control. Such ideology stands in the way of other people realizing what their "real" interests are, so that, Marxists argue, they suffer from false consciousness. To Marx, religion was an excellent example of this process, an "opium of the masses" that muted discontent by focusing attention on a supposedly better world to come. It is this part of Marx's thought which inspired his and his followers' criticisms of "objective" social reporting and analysis, as, in fact, imbued with the authors' prejudices. However, Marx did not--unlike. later theorists such as the symbolic interactionists-reject the possibility of quantitative research as such, since he was sure that his own viewpoint was scientifically correct. Thus, in order to obtain adequate information on working class conditions, he drew up a long questionnaire which was distributed through workers' societies and groups in France. Questions ranged from "Is your work done by hand or with the aid of machinery?" to "Do you know any instances in which the Government has intervened to protect the workers against the exactions of the employers and their illegal combinations?" This questionnaire,45 devised at the very end of Marx's working life, is concerned entirely with the "outward" conditions of work. However, Marx also believed that class society was evil because, besides fostering exploitation and false consciousness, the whole nature of its economic life created alienation. Marx felt that man has an essential nature, which he believed to be realized through creative work. (This notion is, we may note, quite different from Durkheim's, who felt that mankind needed limits and fixed norms. Durkheim was also concerned at the consequences of modern industrial society for human development; but his concept of anomie, or normlessness, appeals greatly to functionalists.46 For Marx, the division of labor, the institution of private property, and the whole "cash nexus" of commercial relationships alienate man not only from what he produces and the act of producing it, but also from both himself and his fellows. He views them in terms of the narrow standards of the workplace, rather than as full "species-beings."47 Consequently the abolition of property, and its attendant class relationships, would also end this alienation. This part of Marx's thought has been given increasing attention in recent decades; and its influence is apparent far beyond strictly "Marxist" writings. Criticisms of the soullessness of modern work, or the actions of people opting for a self-supporting and/or communal life, all belong to the same broad strand of thought as Marx's early writing on alienation. It should be emphasized, however, that Marx did not share the romantic view that the country was inherently superior to the town, and the Industrial Revolution a catastrophe. On the contrary-capitalism and the wealth it produced were the necessary preconditions for the Communist utopia. Evolution and the Classless Society Marx's social theory is essentially a theory of change and evolution, which looks back over the whole of history, forward to the future, and claims to explain and understand both. A given economic system has within it, Marx argued, the seeds of change: its own logic and the way it works necessarily produce its successor. Marxists describe this process in terms of a given order's "contradictions," which develop over time until the whole system becomes unworkable, and there is a violent, revolutionary shift to another order altogether, the "negation" of the previous one. This view of development and change as a pattern of inner conflict is known as dialectical.48 Like many other elements in his theory, including alienation, Marx's idea of the dialectic is a reworking of a Hegelian concept. However, Hegel was interested in the development of self-awareness and "Spirit." Marx's concern was the evolution of human society through economic stages. Marx identified four major types of class society, each with its "primary classes"-Asiatic, ancient, feudal, and bourgeois. The Asiatic mode is based on state-controlled irrigation and a system of royal despotism and ownership of all land; but Marx treats only the last three in detail as part of Western history. In each case, change involves the appearance of new classes. The barbarian military chieftains who overran the Roman empire replaced ancient society with a society of feudal overlords and serfs; in turn they were replaced by the capitalist bourgeoisie, the adversaries of the proletariat. The next stage, however, would be different, Marx prophesied: for the contradictions inherent in capitalism would usher in an ideal communist society, in which property and classes were abolished and alienation replaced by self-realization. In dialectical terms, communist society would "emerge phoenix-like from the ashes of capitalist society."49 The End of Capitalism Marx argued that over time many smaller capitalists, along with the other distinctive groups of previous eras-small shopkeepers, peasants, handicraftsmen-would be swallowed up into the proletariat, their skills obsolete or their capital too small for them to compete. Only two ever more strongly differentiated classes would remain. At the same time, capitalists would produce more and more, on the backs of the exploited work force, without the market expanding correspondingly. Competition would then force the capitalists to cut prices and wages, and the rate of profit would decline towards zero. The outcome would be misery for the masses-but also revolt and the end of capitalism. Thus, Marx argues, "along with the constantly diminishing number of the magnates of capital, who usurp and monopolize ... grows the mass of misery, oppression, slavery, degradation, exploitation; but with this too grows the revolt of the working-class, a class always increasing in numbers, and disciplined, united, organized ... The knell of capitalist private property sounds. The expropriators are expropriated."50 Marx's forecasts clearly have not been borne out. There has been neither increasing misery in the West nor a steady decline in the rate of profit. Moreover, although production is more "concentrated," ownership is not, and shareholders are more and more often trade unions ot pension funds. Marxist analysts, however, have been at pains to show that the survival of capitalism is temporary.Lenin's theory of imperialism is the most influential such argument. In his great work, Capital, Marx remarks that capitalist countries use their colonies as providers of raw materials, captive markets for their products, and treasure-grounds to loot.52 From these remarks, Lenin developed a Marxist theory of imperialism. He argued that advanced capitalism's need for ever-expanding markets and profitable investment opportunities would dictate a foreign policy of imperialism and of destructive wars among individual rivals for colonial possessions.53 Imperialism would, temporarily, stave off the time when profits vanished and capitalism disappeared. These ideas are pervasive in the arguments both of Third World politicians and intellectuals, who argue that the West exploited and exploits their countries, and of Western critics of their own governments. A good example is the work of Regis Debray, a young French Marxist, who spent a period with the South American guerillas led by Castro's friend and associate, Che Guevara, and who hit world headlines when he was arrested and imprisoned. Debray argues that the regimes of South America are an arm of the ruling class and that under them there is taking place the "polarization of exploited and exploiters." Meanwhile, North American imperialism "has increased its forces in the field" under the guise of assistance-missionaries, Peace Corps volunteers, technical projects, sociological research, and the like. "In a word, all these close-knit networks of control strengthen the national machinery of domination."54 Critics argue, however, that although governments often have acted in pursuit of the economic interests of home investors, the Marxist theory of imperialism is inadequate and frequently wrong. They charge that it fails to account for the frequently "imperialist" policies of noncapitalist countries; for the fact that imperialism was characteristic of the early days of capitalism, before falling profits should have threatened; and for the fact that capitalist countries often do not act according to economic interest. Britain, for example, staged a complete military withdrawal from the oil-producing Persian Gulf states on which her industry depended. Closely related to these ideas about imperialism is "dependency theory," which has developed a view of the world as divided into "core" and "periphery.55 These ideas have been developed furthest by Immanuel Wallerstein in his work on the "Modern World-System." He argues that the 4 6 core" countries of Western Europe built up economic domination of the world during the sixteenth century via geographical expansion. The "periphery" supplies raw materials for the core's enterprises, and there are parallel differences in how labor is "controlled." According to Wallerstein, "Free labor is the form of labor control used for skilled work in core countries whereas coerced labor is used for less skilled work in peripheral areas. The combination thereof is the essence of capitalism."56 However, critics query whether underdeveloped countries were or are exploited in the sense of being impoverished by capitalist production. They point out that nineteenth-century America, for example, was a major recipient of foreign investments, as are today's fastest-growing countries, 57 and that some of the richest countries of the "core"-such as Australiaare predominantly exporters of raw materials. More generally, Wallerstein's work has been criticized for "economic determinism," or underemphasizing the importance of political organization and other noneconomic factors. Capitalism in America American Marxists are, not surprisingly, especially interested in the survival of capitalism; for class-based groupings are less evident in the United States than in any other Western industrial country, and the advent of socialism does not seem very likely in the near future. In their analyses, they place particular emphasis on the role of education. This is partly, no doubt, because so many of them developed their views during the campus activism of the 1960s, when educational institutions seemed so important, but also because of the increasing emphasis among modern Marxist thinkers on ideology and the importance of the superstructure." One of the best-known of recent American analyses is very clearly a product of the 1960s. Bowles and Gintis' Schooling in Capitalist America is a call to arms as well as an academic publication; and one which sees students as a revolutionary vanguard. The authors contend that American education has always reflected the underlying economic structure-and specifically the capitalist nature-of American society. "A proper organization of educational and economic.,,4fe, we believe, can unleash a people's creative powers without recreating the oppressive poles of domination and subordinacy, self-esteem and selfhatred, affluence and deprivation ... (This) will occur only as a result of a prolonged struggle... waged by those social classes and groups who stand to benefit from the new era. This book is intended to be a step in that long march."58 Few sociologists would argue with the proposition that schooling must essentially reflect the wider society-even though it contradicts the traditional liberal view of education as a potential solution to the problems of American life. What Bowles and Gintis argue, however, is that this part of the "superstructure" reflects not the demands of industrial society generally, but rather of a "potentially explosive" process by capitalists expropriate "surplus value," that is, profit.59 Capitalist education, they argue, serves not only to impart skills which make workers more productive, but, even more crucially, creates attitudes which increase productivity, and defuses class conflict by legitimating inequality. Specifically, it "legitimates economic inequality by providing an ... ostensibly meritocratic mechanism for assigning individuals to unequal economic positions."60 It also prepares them for work by reproducing, within the school, the hierarchical division of labor of the capitalist workplace. Students obey teachers, who in turn obey administrators. School work, like adult employment, is fragmented; and it is alienating, because students have so little control over their education. Bowles and Gintis cite some interesting empirical studies in support of their argument. At work, they note, "the lowest levels ... emphasize rulefollowing, middle levels, dependability, and the capacity to operate without direct and constant supervision, while the higher levels stress the internalization of the norms of the enterprise."61 Correspondingly, work by Jeanne Binstock suggests that the way particular educational establishments operate reflects their students' future destination.62 According to Binstock, institutions that enroll working-class students, and are geared to staffing lower-level jobs, emphasize external compliance-behaving like a "follower." More elite schools emphasize leadership, task-orientation and innovation, and internalization of norms. This shows in, for example, how far the schools enforce regulations about personal conduct, or control extracurricular activities, as well as in the looseness of academic structure. In arguing that these aspects of education are essentially capitalist, Bowles and Gintis devote considerable attention to the "origins of mass public education," and argue that it was essentially a response to the growth of the factory system and the employers' fears of labor unrest. By 1840 roughly three-quarters of the adult population could already read and write. "Intellectual skills were not required for most workers on the job . . . we doubt that any employer familiar with the daily workings of their textile mills or other similar factories would seriously entertain the notion that the curriculum taught in the schools of the day had much connection to the productive capacities of the workers."63 Some educational reformers of the nineteenth century, like the great Horace Mann, clearly wished to create a school system which "knows no distinction of rich and poor, of bond and free."64 Others, however, were quite openly instrumental in their motives, and in exactly the ways Bowles and Gintis would expect. The Boston School Committee introduced sewing into the schools because of the "industrious habits which (it) tends to form"; and the Springfield School Committee wanted teachers to form habits for life which included "order and neatness ... punctuality."65 Bowles and Gintis demonstrate convincingly the value of looking at American educational history in terms of conflict as well as (if not necessarily instead of) integration and skill learning. The question is how far they demonstrate that "capitalism" is the crucial explanation of events; that the fundamental conflict will always be between groups defined by their relationship to property. The work of the great French sociologist Emile Durkheim provides a useful comparison 66 for he too was highly occupied with education-but as a way of integrating a politically divided country. ,The France of his day was a country heavily divided, still, by the issues of the French Revolution. Its Republican politicians regarded public education as a way of capturing the minds of French children and creating a shared secular patriotism.67 French teachers of the nineteenth century were encouraged to regard themselves as missionaries for the Republic, ranged against the "reactionary" forces of the Church and its allies-the rural landowners, but also the Catholic peasantry.68 One may also query whether the history of American education is always best analyzed in terms of property-related interests.Randall Collins,one of whose own major interests is in education as a source of privilege, has argued that education becomes really important for control in situations involving alien ethnic or cultural groups, rather than classes.69 As Bowles and Gintis themselves report, in Massachusetts it was the relative size of the new immigrant Irish community in a town, along with the degree of overcrowding, which was most closely associated with school board attempts to lengthen time in school. Although Bowles and Gintis' view of the historic role of education is that it preserved capitalism, they also believe (like all Marxists) that capitalism will eventually fall victim to its internal contradictions. Writing in the aftermath of the 1960s, they argue that "The student movement and the continuing radicalization of young people's values is an expression of ... the increasingly obvious conflicts between the imperatives of profit and the requirements of human welfare and progress.1170 More recently, Marxists have come to emphasize the results of the "non-elite" destination of many students instead of the revolutionary role of students as a whole. Theorists like Erik Olin Wright believe that there is a constant tendency, under capitalism, to "deskill"jobs-that is, reduce them to routine, which makes it easier to supervise and control workers. "Thus, capitalists look for innovations which tend to reduce skill levels and reduce the autonomy of workers on the job."71 The combination of overeducated workers and deskilled . obs is seen as a potentially potent route to class consciousness. It will make workers who have traditionally seen themselves as "middle-class" realize that their interests lie with the organization of the whole "working class." A recent article by Olin Wright and Singelmann72 uses census data to argue that the Marxist view is more accurate than the opposite and very common argument: that the labor force has become less "proletarianized," more skilled, and autonomous. Their case is that, within given industrial sectors, there is a clear recent increase in the proportion of jobs which are definitely "working-class"-in their formulation, jobs in which workers have little freedom to decide how to do them. At the same time, the sectors which expanded most in terms of overall numbers of jobs were those with relatively more "semiautonomous"jobs, and relatively fewer "proletarian" ones. For the economy as a whole, these two shifts tended to cancel each other out. Nonetheless, the authors argue, "within given economic sectors, there was a systematic tendency for those positions with relatively little control over their labor processes to expand during the 1960's and for those positions with high levels of autonomy to decline."73 Moreover, they predict, "the rest of the century is likely to be characterized by a continuing and perhaps intensifying process of proletarianization."74 This analysis provides an interesting alternative to the general view that industrial countries' populations are increasingly "middleclass." However, even if Wright and Singelmann turn out to be correct in their predictions, it is not obvious that increased "class consciousness" is the probable result. It depends very much on what people's expectations really are, and how quickly they adjust them; and on how far the population at large shares Marx's view of creative work as central to self-fulfillment. A recent survey by Val Burris produced no evidence that people who were "overeducated" for their jobs move to left-wing positions, or become generally alienated from politics. The only discernible effect was a slight decrease in job satisfaction among the most highly overeducated. Class, Society, and the State Marx's belief in classless society rested on his argument that property is the essential determinant of class interest. This implies that if everyone has exactly the same relationship to property, there can be no class divisions. If no one owns land or capital and there are no rents and profits or returns to capital to be paid, labor will get all of its "surplus value," and exploitation will end. In other words, abolishing property will end social conflict. Orthodox Communists share this view; and other Marxists and socialists also believe that the abolition of private property will remove many of the systematic conflicts they perceive in social life. However, not only non-Marxists but also many Marxian analysts, who share Marx's belief in the primary importance of economic factors, question whether the abolition of property necessarily abolishes systematic differences of interest among social groups. Their reason for doing so is the existence of state power. State Power Marx described the state as an instrument of class rule, and he saw political domination as a reflection and expression of conflict between classes. He therefore argued that, with the establishment of a classless society, the state too would be abolished; and instead of a coercive structure, there would remain only routine and uncontroversial administrative tasks.76 It is not at all obvious, however, that this is likely, as we can see from Marx's own description of the state apparatus. When Marx discussed the role of the state, with its legal authority, bureaucracies, law enforcement agents, and armed forces he actually advanced two propositions-although he nowhere recognized them as different. The first was that the state made class exploitation possible by providing stability, under which one group was able to remain dominant.77 The other was that the state was actually an instrument of class rule (in the sense of being an arm of the exploiting class), and its purpose was to advance the exploiting class's interests.78 These views imply very different interpretations of the role of government officials; for the first, unlike the second, implies that they may be seen as a separate group with independent interests, and not merely as part of the ruling class. In that case, it is a good deal less plausible to suppose that a coercive state apparatus, the distinction between state and society, and the potential for conflict over state control will disappear. Marx envisaged communist society as one in which scarcity had vanished-as a result of the achievements of bourgeois capitalism, which in this respect he greatly admired. He also talked as though the abolition of property would also cause all important differences between people to disappear. Consequently, there would be a single social will; economic production would proceed on the basis of universal consent; and a separate, coercive state apparatus would no longer be required. His critics argue that a society without scarcity is nowhere apparent; and that even if it were obtainable there is no reason to suppose that people would always agree on where factories should be sited for example, or whether and for how long school should be compulsory. Moreover, if scarcity did remain, and production was no longer the responsibility of private individuals, state power would be far more, not less, important. There would be fierce conflicts over who controlled the powers of the state.79 The result (critics contend) would be more like Marx's "Asiatic mode" than his communist vision. An essentially Marxist analysis of the self-interested use of power in socialist societies is offered by Milovan Djilas in The New Class. 80 Djilas, who was a friend of Tito's and vice-president of Yugoslavia, was expelled from the Yugoslav Communist Party in 1954 and has served long prison sentences for his views. In The New Class, Djilas argues (following Marx) that classes are essentially based on the property they control. Abolishing private property, however, has not meant the abolition of classes. Instead, he contends, in communist countries it has created a new class, the political bureaucracy, which controls all property (since all property is the state's) and uses it to appropriate to itself power and privilege at the expense of the rest of the population: As in other owning classes, the proof that (the political bureaucracy) is a special class lies in its ownership and its special relations to other classes. In the same way, the class to which a member belongs is indicated by the material and other privileges which ownership brings to him. As defined by Roman law, property constitutes the use, enjoyment, and disposition of material goods. The.Communist political bureaucracy uses, enjoys, and disposes of nationalized property.... In practice, the ownership privilege of the new class manifests itself as an exclusive right, as a party monopoly, for the political bureaucracy to distribute the national income, to set wages, direct economic development, and dispose of nationalized and other property. This is the way it appears to the ordinary man who considers the Communist functionary as being very rich and as a man who does not have to work.81 A more recent Marxian analysis, which develops Djilas'assessment further, is that of Ivan Szelenyi, a Hungarian sociologist who was forced to emigrate when he would not renounce his views. He argues that, with the development of state-socialist economies in the post-Stalin era, a new dominating class has developed.82 This is rather broader than the political bureaucracy described by Djilas. It is the intelligentsia as a whole which has grasped class power. In Eastern Europe, Szelenyi points out, people move constantly between important "bureaucratic" and "intellectual" positions. Thus: The present director of one of the comedy theaters in Budapest is a former high-ranking officer of the political police. His former boss in the Hungarian equivalent of the KGB is today the manager of a big salaini factory. Today one may be an officer in the political police, but tomorrow one might be the only person licensed to produce politicaljokes, or one might supervise salami production or sociological research, as a manager or an academic. The line between intellectuals and bureaucrats is a very shaky one in terms of personal career patterns.... (It) is practically impossible to distinguish between the technobureaucracy and the intelligentsia. Their living standards are practically identical. It is the level of power which stratifies them.83 Szelenyi argues that state-socialism shows that Marx was wrong to believe that property ownership was the major determinant of power. He believes, at the same time, that a "historical materialist" perspective in the Marxian tradition remains valid. Marx, he argues, defined his classes on the basis of ownership relations beca use in a capitalist market economy it was the private ownership of the means of production which legitimated expropriation.84 In socialist countries, by contrast, it is not property ownership and the market which define income and the distribution of "the surplus"defined by Marxists as the difference between what labor produces and what is,,.needed to keep it alive. Instead, the state expropriates and allocates the surplus. "Contemporary state socialism might be characterized by the antagonism between redistributors and direct producers.1185 These "redistributors" use Marxist ideals to legitimate their seizure of power as creators of a "scientifically" planned economy. Szelenyi (and, by implication, Djilas) are contrasting socialist countries 'with Western ones, where they see classes with different relationships to private property as still the major groupings. By contrast, conflict theorists in the Weberian tradition would tend to see their analyses as strengthening the case for discussing power and conflict in terms of several different categories-class being one, political power another. Thus, Djilas' major point can be applied generally to argue that government employees should be viewed as a distinctive group with their own interests and power base86 and that there are conflicts of interest between those who do and do not benefit from increased government spending and activity.87 In this context, Erik Olin Wright's work is of special interest. It attempts to show, empirically, that analyzing American society in terms of classes (in Marx's sense) is indeed the most fruitful approach to take. In his Class Structure and Income Determination, Wright used detailed survey data88 to examine how well Marxist categories "explain" (that is, can be used to predict) income, compared to such common occupational categories as "upper white collar," "lower white collar," "lower blue collar," "farmers,"or "service workers." Wright defines classes in terms of their members'control over money and physical capital, and others' labor. This produces the classic Marxist categories of the "bourgeoisie," who control capital and direct labor; and the "proletariat," who do neither. However, when he applies these categories to the modern workforce, only about I to 2 percent of workers can be classified as "bourgeoisie"; and almost half are seen as falling into "contradictory" class locations-that is, not quite one thing or another. The latter are 1. 2. 3. managers and supervisors (30-35 percent of the workforce) semiautonomous employees small employers (with "minimal" control over labor) With so few bourgeoisie, by his definition, in existence, the survey data did not actually provide Wright with enough cases for analysis.89 In practice, therefore, he looked at five "classes"-small employers, managers, supervisors, workers, and petty bourgeoisie (self-employed with no employees). that basis he found that class did affect income: On People occupying different class positions but with the same level of education and occupational status, the same age and seniority on the job, the same general social background, and working the same number of hours per year, will still differ substantially in their expected incomes. And people in different class positions can expect to receive different amounts of additional income per increment in educational credentials, even if they do not differ in a variety of other characteristics.90 Figure 3-1 summarizes, for Wright, what these findings imply about the workings of American society.91 However, class position actually accounts for only 20 percent of the variation in people's incomes-no worse, but also no better, than the standard (though more complicated) census-based occupational codes. This figure; the need to put so many people into "contradictory" categories (which are not clear Marxist classes at all); and the fact that the importance of the bourgeoisie is simply assumed (since it does not appear in the data), mean that critics of Marxist analysis are no more convinced than before that "class" (used in this sense) is the primary factor in the analysis of society. Wright, they would argue, merely shows what we already knowthat your position in the labor market affects your income! Marxist Analysis: An Assessment Marx's most important contributions to social analysis in general derive from two sources: his emphasis on the way that people in the same economic position tend to group together for common action and his explanation of why and how societies differ in terms of the characteristics of the groups that are generated by their economic life. As Kolokowski has noted, "No reasonable person would deny that the doctrine of historical materialism has been a valuable addition to our intellectual equipment ... (I)f it has become a commonplace, this is largely thanks to Marx's originality."92 However, this insistence on the primacy of economics means that Marxist analysts have a tendency to use a "Catch-22" approach. They assume in advance that economic and business interests lie behind things, proceed to find them, and then offer their explanation as "proof " of the original proposition. But the fact that on any particular occasion, one can generally find businessmen and others seeking to advance their economic interests means neither that this is the "real" explanation of what is going on nor that those involved are necessarily acting in the interests of their class as a whole. The American South offers a good example of both the strengths and the weaknesses of Marxist analysis. Because of its focus on property relationships, Marxism identifies the pre-Civil War slave-owning South as a distinctive social order based on the ownership of human beings. A great part of the written history of the South and the Civil War has tended to interpret the South as essentially agrarian and so threatened by industrialization-or as itself merely a variant of capitalism, based on the plantation.s. As Eugene Genovese, the leading Marxist historian of the South, argues, neither approach explains the antagonism between North and South or the Civil War. An agrarian hinterland can grow prosperous as a market for manufactured goods and a supplier of food; and competition between farmer and industrialist is hardly a common cause of war. Or if Lhe South was basically capitalist, why could the two sides not reach an accommodations? However, once we see slavery as the essence of Southern society and not just one of its characteristics among many, however morally repugnant, it is apparent that the South was fighting to preserve a distinctive world. Much about the politics of the South also becomes comprehensible when we see it as a defense of this slavery-based social structure against not only the blacks who suffered under it but also other potential social groups whose interests it did not serve. Thomas Sowell, for example, points out that forced labor is always extremely inefficient economically.94 A Southern slave's labor was potentially worth much more to him than to his owner, ;ince he would work far harder and more productively for himself than forced and driven for someone else. Even without adding in the price he would pay just to be free, "Selling a slave to the highest bidder would mean selling him to himself"95-a practice that was very common among slaveowning profit-maximizing Romans. However, although this might profit individual slave-owners and the slaves themselves, it would certainly have undermined a society whose defining core was plantation slavery and whose ethic was fundamentally anticapitalist. Thus, very severe legal restrictions developed on the freeing of slaves. However, Marxist theory does not explain adequately why the white population of the South supported this order so wholeheartedly, even through the terrible rigors of the Civil War.96 Most whites were not slaveowning, and the poorly functioning Southern economy did not serve their economic interests any more than it did those of nascent industrialists facing a meager home market. Their support, we would argue, can only be explained fully by the fact that the racial character of Southern society gave every white an automatic claim to superior status, so that "The notion that all men were created equal contradicted the facts of daily experience for most Southerners. "97 Class interests are an even less adequate explanation of the system of racial segregation that succeeded slavery, under which the old classes of slaves and slave-owners no longer existed. The system of segregation was clearly against the interests of industrialists, for it denied skills to a large section of their potential work force; and under segregation, white and black "proletarians" conspicuously failed to group together to further shared class interests. The system did, however, offer benefits to whites as a whole-and benefits that were real, not a matter of "false consciousness." Their race alone gave them substantial advantages in power and opportunities-better education, for example, and less chance of being treated unjustly by the courts and police. Moreover, when change did come, it could also hardly be explained in terms of class conflict. Rather, it was the outcome of a civil rights movement, in which blacks of all classes and the power of the federal government were the essential agents of change. THE FRANKFURT SCHOOL AND CRITICAL THEORY The work of the controversial group of theorists known as the "Frankfurt School" is currently very much in vogue among younger, left-wing sociologists. Their analysis of society owes a great deal to Marx, and like him, they emphasize the importance of conflicts of interest based on property relationships. However, they are by no means orthodox Marxists, and many of them bitterly attacked a Russian regime they saw as oppressive and dictatorial. They owe a major debt to Hegel, and they draw on Marx's early and more "Hegelian" work, such as his writings on alienation, more than on his later, more economic analyses.98 In addition, they are very interested in uniting psychoanalysis and Marxism: an effort towards which orthodox Marxism (or Marxism-Leninism) is highly unsympathetic. These different influences are apparent in the aspects of their "critical theory" described later: their view of social science, their critique of mass culture and its place in the "administered society," and Habermas' recasting of Marx's evolutionary theory. The Frankfurt School is so called because of its association with a single institution, the Institute of Social Research at the University of Frankfurt in Germany. The Institute was founded in 1923 with funds from one of its members, Felix Weil, and his wealthy father; and its most important members were Max Horkheimer (1895-1973), Theodor Adorno (1903-1969), Herbert Marcuse (1898-1979), and Erich Fromm (1900-1980). All of them came from comfortable, middle-class Jewish homes, and all had fled Germany for America by the mid-1930s because their political views made the continuation of the Institute impossible. Marcuse remained in the United States and worked for the American State Department until the Korean War, when he returned to academic life. He taught at Columbia, Harvard, Brandeis, and the University of California, San Diego. Fromm, who broke with the Institute soon after his arrival in America, practiced psychoanalysis in New York and became a founder and trustee of the William Alanson White Institute of Psychiatry, Psychoanalysis, and Psychology. In 1949 he moved to Mexico because of his wife's health. There he started the Department of Psychoanalysis at the National Autonomous University of Mexico, and founded and directed the Mexican Psychoanalytic Institute, while still commuting regularly to the United States and academic appointments in New York and Michigan. Adorno and Horkheimer were persuaded by the city and University of Frankfurt to return to Germany, where the Institute was reestablished in 1949.99 During the postwar period, they became estranged from Marcuse. Horkheimer's attitudes toward liberal capitalism changed; he came to regard it as a form of society to be protected against the encroachment of totalitarian administration."100 Marcuse regarded this position as a betrayal of the group's beliefs.101 The most important younger member of the Frankfurt School is Jurgen Habermas, who was born in Dusseldorf in 1929. In 1961, at an unusually young age for a German academic, he became professor of philosophy and sociology at Heidelberg, and in 1964 he was awarded the Chair at Frankfurt and made Co-Director of the Philosophical Seminary. He left Frankfurt in 1971 to become Director of Munich's Max Planck Institute for the Study of Life in Technical and Scientific Society, but has since returned to the city. Although the foremost members of the Frankfurt School were not themselves actively involved in politics, their work has been very influential among German student radicals in recent years; furtherihore, as we mentioned above, Marcuse was a writer of great importance ,to the American New Left. Consequently, they are highly controversial and were, for example, accused by the Minister President of one Wes( German state of being directly responsible for the wave of urban terrorism in Germany. Nevertheless, there was considerable disagreement between the German student radicals and the Frankfurt School theorists. Habermas, who became generally known at this period, emphasized repeatedly his solidarity with the movement as a whole, but he also denounced the views of some of its extremist leaders as "left-fascism," defended the importance of democratic institutions and the rule of law, and attacked the use of violence. Adorno had his classes broken up by students who considered him inadequately revolutionary. Critical Theory and the Nature of Social Science At the core of the Frankfurt School's approach to social analysis are two propositions. The first is that people's ideas are a product of the society in which they live. Because our thought is socially formed, they argue, it is impossible for us to reach objective knowledge and conclusions, free of the influence of our particular era and its conceptual patterns. The second proposition is that intellectuals should not try to be objective and to separate fact from value judgment in their work. What they should adopt instead is a critical attitude to the society they are examining; an attitude that makes people aware of what they should do and has as its aim social change. Equally, intellectuals should - maintain a critical attitude toward their work; they should examine and make explicit its relationship to the current state of society and socially created "knowledge." It does not follow, however, that critical theorists cogsider one critical attitude to be as good as another. Unlike Marx, they admit that since they too are products of a particular society, their own work is subject to its influences and is not uniquely objective. Nevertheless, they also believe that there are such things as truth and knowledge and that their normative approach brings them closer to these than does mainstream, or "positivist," social science, 102 with its attempts to separate value judgments from analysis. In their critique the Frankfurt analysts adopt the dialectical method of Marx and Hegel, emphasize the importance of a society's economic organization, and argue that "the class-related form of ... work puts its mark on all human patterns of reaction."103 Critical theory, Horkheimer argues, "does not ... fall victim to the illusion that property and profit no longer play a key role, an illusion carefully fostered in' the social sciences."104 By contrast, "traditional" theory is itself part of the production process, and so it is "in the service of an existing reality."105 The modern economy, Horkheimer argues, "after an enormous extension of human control over nature, finally hinders further development and drives humanity into a new barbarism."106 Critical theory incorporates this insight and is "the unfolding of a single existentialjudgment."107 The ideal standard by which critical theory judges the present is closer to the concept of reason as it is used by Hegel and other German philosophers than it is to Marx. Horkheimer, for example, argues that "the free development of individuals depends on the rational constitution of society"108 and that in a rational society, there will cease to be a conflict between mankind's potentialities and the organization of society around work. However, what a "rational" society would be like remains almost totally unclear; and the Frankfurt analysts share none of Marx's confidence that it will one day be realized. In reply, defenders of traditional social science argue that whether or not a writer can avoid incorporating his own values into his work, his theory, like a bridge built according to "twentieth-century science," stands or falls by the accuracy of the theory's factual predictions-and that these can be judged objectively. They also question whether critical theory has any reason to claim that it is less context-bound than other approaches. Jurgen Habermas has attempted to deal with this latter question and so "legitimate" critical theory through the concept of an "ideal-speech situation."109 In such a situation, everyone would have an equal chance to argue and question; since they are more rational, true positions would prevail. Habermas believes that a "radical critique of knowledge" can go beyond the systematically distorted communication that marks human society, and that utterances can be "rationally" reconstructed in universal terms-an idea he discusses under the label of "universal pragmatics" In this context he criticizes sociologists (such as some symbolic interactionists) who confine themselves to individuals' own subjective understanding. These should, rather, be integrated with a critique of underlying ideologies that are related to social, political, and economic conditions, and can conceal and distort experience and communication. This seems to amount to saying that in the right circumstances arguments can be judged objectively after all, and that in an "ideal-speech situation," critical theory and its values and judgments would appear as objectively correct because they are based on less distorted communication than other approaches. Many critics dispute this claim, arguing that although facts can be observed objectively in the ordinary way of things, there are genuine and irreconcilable differences of judgment concerning values and what is good or best. They also question whether Habermas has really improved on his predecessors' definition of reason-or rather their lack of it, since he has not actually specified the norms which would be defined. I 10 Culture, Personality, and the Administered Society The Frankfurt analysts consider themselves "materialists" because of their emphasis on the importance of economic organization. During the 1930s, for example, they argued consistently that fascism was rooted in capitalism. For the most part, however, their studies are concerned with aspects of personality, culture, and thought, and not with social institutions. Horkheimer, Adorno, and their colleagues have always affirmed that thought and personality are rooted in the economic system; but unlike more orthodox Marxists they also argue that culture and ideology can play an independent role in society and that pure economic determinism is simplistic. Personality and Social Structure Much of the most important work in critical theory was carried out at a time when psychoanalysis was first becoming widely known and influential. The Frankfurt analysts were very interested in analyzing personality and behavior in terms of the interaction between the "socioeconomic substructure" and basic psychic drives. Their analyses are highly normative, emphasizing the way the economic system distorts or cripples the personality. Erich Fromm shows the greatest interest in psychoanalysis. During the 1930s, when he was a central member of the group, Fromm was interested in the way a particular "libidinal" structure, formed and passed on in the family, could act as a social cement. At this period he argued that, for example, the "capitalist spirit" of rationality, possessiveness, and puritanism was linked to anal repression and orderliness. III Later, his analyses centered around the idea of "alienation," which he uses rather differently from Marx, to describe an individual's psychological experiences of the world. Fromm argues that alienation is the "central issue ... (in discussing) the effects of capitalism on personality."' 12 Under capitalism, workers and managers alike are alienated because they are denied such "basic needs" as creativity and identity. Their work is entirely impersonal; their consumption is also alienated, for they acquire possessions whether or not they use or appreciate them; they are motivated by self-interest, not love, in their relationships with others; and they see themselves as "doctors" or "clerks," not people.113 The Frankfurt analysts indict modern society similarly in their massive study of the "authoritarian personality." This is the most famous of the series on prejudice and anti-Semitism that Adorno, Horkheimer, and their colleagues conducted in America, and presented clearly Adorno's views on the connections between personality and social structure.114 The Authoritarian Personality concluded that the most prejudiced and anti-democratic individuals had distinctive personalities and came, on the whole, from homes where relationships between parent and child were characterized by dominance and submission and where family members were very intolerant of a lack of conformity. In other words, the factors that precipitate prejudice were clearly seen as psychological. At the same time, however, Adorno argued that the whole sample showed marked similarities in important degrees. The most prejudiced individuals simply demonstrated more clearly the overall and potentially fascistic cultural pattern produced by the social structure. The prejudiced person "must largely be considered the outcome of our civilization. The increasing disproportion of the various psychological 'agencies' within the total personality is undoubtedly being reinforced by such tendencies in our culture as division of labor, the increased importance of monopolies and institutions, and the dominance of the idea of exchange and of success and., competition." 115 The Critique of Mass Culture Critical theory's discussion of culture displays the same deep pessimism as does its analysis of personality. Horkheimer argues that culture and ideology are not a simple reflection of the economic substructure, but a semiautonomous realm. They are crucial in maintaining and strengthening the existing order: "the obsolete social order is quickly patched up ... (and) the antiquated cultural apparatus, in the form of the mental state of society's members as well as the network of concrete institutions, gains new force."' 16 To the members of the Frankfurt School, popular culture is a means of manipulating the inhabitants of a totally "administered" society. Thus, Adorno attacked jazz and popular music for its standardization, for distracting people and making them passive, and therefore for strengthening the current social order. jazz, he argued, increases alienation. 117 He similarly despised astrology and the "attraction to the occult," which he called "a symptom of the retrogression of consciousness."118 People turn to astrology, he argues, in an attempt to lure meaning out of a "frozen" world where humanity's "domination over nature, by turning into domination over man, surpasses all the horrors that man ever had to fear from nature."' I" Its practitioners exploit their clients, and by providing psychological reassurance they help sustain the current social structure. In his examination of the Los Angeles Times astrology column,120 Adorno notes that the column's implication that work and pleasure are to be kept strictly apart befits a society in which people's functions as producers are rigidly divided from their consumption. He argues that The columnist is very well aware of the drudgery of most subordinate functions in a hierarchical and bureaucratic setup . . .-(People) are encouraged to fulfill little and insignificant set tasks in a machinery. Thus, the admonition to work and not to allow oneself to be distracted by any instinctual interference has frequently the form that one should attend to one's "chores." Dismal early A.M., forgotten by plunging into routine chores. (November 21, 1952, Leo) Keeping plugging at chores... (December 19, 1952, Sagittarius) Stick to attending chores... (December 27, 1952, Sagittarius)121 In America, the best-known "critical analysis" of mass culture remains Herbert Marcuse's. In One-Dimensional Man he paints a bleak picture of modern industrial societies in both the West and the Communist world. 122 Marcuse is more of a technological determinist than his former colleagues: he states that technical progress has made possible a "whole system of domination and coordination" that defeats all protests. Social control in the interests of the status quo, including conditioning by the mass media, is so powerful that even thought provides no source of criticism: it too is subordinated. Affluence assimilates into the existing order all those who once dissented, and in return for material goods, people give up liberty. In doing so, they surrender to "false needs," which are "superimposed upon the individual by particular social interests in his repression."123 Culture has been flattened in what Marcuse views as a totalitarian social order which has succeeded the previous liberal one and which has become "onedimensional" because it has eliminated alternative ideas. Marcuse's distaste for modern culture has struck a responsive chord, for very many of us have at some time been nauseated by yet more T.V. advertising, or by the thought of life lived in "little boxes all the same." However, he has also aroused numerous critics. It is frequently pointed out, for example, that Marcuse's own work refutes his claim that all criticism has been suppressed, and that his writings generally advance little empirical evidence in support of his claims. Critics also disagree with his assertion that all industrial societies are essentially and similarly totalitarian; and they question his and other critical theorists' conviction that they, unlike the mass of people, know what people's "real needs" are. Evolution and Crisis Unlike Marxism, which is essentially a theory of evolution, the analyses of the older Frankfurt analysts focus on contemporary developments. Recently, however, Jurgen Habermas, the most important active analyst in the Frankfurt tradition, has recast Marx's theory. He pays particular attention to the developments of the last century and the force of change apparent in modern society. 124 Habermas divides "social formations" into the categories shown in Figure 3-2. "Primitive" societies are comparable to Marx's tribal ones; "traditional" societies would include both "ancient" and "feudal" ones; "liberal capitalist" describes the nineteenth-century capitalism Marx knew; and our own Western societies are examples of "organized" capitalism. Habermas classifies "state-socialist" societies as "post-capitalist" class societies "in view of their political-elitist disposition of the means of production."125 Habermas' mode of analysis is similar to Marx's in that he sees social evolution as a result of crises or "contradictions" inherent in a given system. These create "steering problems," which eventually make the system untenable. However, like other critical theorists, Habermas emphasizes the role played by people's ideas and consciousness. Underlying structural changes and contradictions manifest themselves in the breakdown of shared values or "normative structures"; and the old social system disintegrates because such changes threaten people's feeling of social identity (and therefore social integration).126 In discussing such breakdowns, Habermas focuses very much on the political organization of societies. "Legitimacy means a political order's worthiness to be recognized," he has argued; and "problems of legitimacy are not a speciality of modern times.... In traditional societies, legitimation conflicts typically take the form of prophetic and messianic movements that turn against the official version of religious doctrine."127 This is because it is here that the contradiction between the privileges of the dominant ruling class and the normative system of ideas which is supposed to legitimize them becomes apparent. Examples are the Hebrew prophets or the heretical movements of the Middle Ages. This does not, however, make legitimation crises in the state something separate from class conflicts. On the contrary; it is through the development of the state that societies moved away from production by and for families to a situation in which a dominating class appropriated wealth. Habermas' focus on ideas as the mechanism of change makes his treatment very different from that of Marx, who treats the development of modern industry as a deus ex machina that catapulted mankind from feudal. into capitalist society. Instead, it displays interesting parallels both with Schumpeter's approach, where the way capitalism destroys its own legitimacy was discussed as the central force behind its inevitable demise; and with that of some leading nonradical economic historians, who also focus on the role of the state, and of "ideology," in determining how wealth is distributed. 128 According to Habermas, the distinctive characteristic of liberal capitalism is the "depoliticization of the class relationship."129 Before, control of the state by a small group was of central importance; whereas under liberal capitalism there is self-regulated market commerce, and the state's role is simply to maintain the general conditions of capitalistic production, especially civil law. Like Weber or Marcuse, Habermas notes the cumulative process of "rationalization" under capitalism and the corresponding disintegration of both traditional habits and the justification of practices by an appeal to tradition. Moreover, like Talcott Parsons (to whom he acknowledges an intellectual debt),130 he notes the general expansion of the secular domain and a shift from "tribal particularism to universalistic and at the same time individualistic orientations."131 However, in analyzing the probable development of modern society,, Habermas believes that the trend from myth, through religion, to philosophy and ideology is of prime importance.132 It means that "normative validity claims" (that is, arguments that something ought to be so) must be justified more and more explicitly. Instead of relying on appeals to tradition and authority, capitalism has based its claim to legitimacy on the notion that market exchange between equals is just. However, in a society where legitimacy rests on the workings of the market, economic fluctuations are direct threats to social integration. Such fluctuations make it apparent to both the workers and the owners of the means of production that their market ideology is incorrect, that the market is not, in fact, a meetingplace of equals, but a form of institutionalized power. 133 In his discussion of contemporary "organized capitalism," Habermas is concerned above all with whether it has resolved this "fundamental contradiction." His answer is that it has not. There are serious "crisis tendencies" in modern Western societies, the most important of which undermine its legitimacy. Habermas believes that the transition from liberal to organized capitalism involves two changes. The first is the rise of huge, oligopolistic firms and the disappearance of competitive capitalism. The second is the reemergence of the state, which increasingly replaces and intervenes in the market (thus signaling the end of liberal capitalism). In large part, the state's reemergence is a response to economic fluctuations and "steering problems." The state attempts to regulate the economic cycle and.maintain growth and full employment; spends on education and research; provides the infrastructure of roads and utilities; and reduces the "social and material costs resulting from private production" through unemployment benefits, welfare, and the like. 134 The profit motive and the "continued private appropriation ... of surplus value" remain cruc ial, however. 135 The "recoupling" of the state and the economic system creates, Habermas argues, an increased need for legitimation; and in a rationalistic age, the legitimation must be formal and explicit. Since the old bourgeois ideology of fair exchange has broken down, the alternative is a system of "formal democracy."136 Genuine participation in decision-making would, he argues, make people aware of the contradictions in a society where production is the state's concern, but "surplus value" is individually appropriated. This system is fragile, however. Habermas, following Marx, believes that the economic system itself is threatened by a falling rate ot profit. Moreover, there is likely to be insufficient loyalty to the political system and a consequent "legitimation crisis." In its early days, capitalism had the remnants of tradition to maintain it. Now its own rationality has undermined traditions, and previously unquestioned norms and loyalties are publicly discussed and thereby weakened. Related changes within the family further destroy the residues of tradition and the casts of mind that upheld the capitalist order.137 While prebourgeois, authoritarian patterns of upbringing survived, people accepted rule by an elite rather than demanding participation; 138 but these patterns are vanishing, helped on their way by a self-conscious analysis of the ways we socialize children. Such an analysis further reduces the effectiveness of traditional child-rearing because the latter's force depended on people not questioning it. Finally, the ideology of achievement is also disappearing. The welfare state makes hard work less important, and in a modern economy it is increasingly difficult to reward people for individual effort and hold them personally accountable. Habermas looks forward to a time when "the 'pursuit of happiness' might. . . mean something different-for example, not accumulating material objects of which one disposes privately, but bringing about social relations in which ... satisfaction does not mean the triumpli of one over the repressed needs of the other."139 Nonetheless, he is by no means confident of the arrival of a "rational" society; and his critics, including fellow-sociologists of the left, have questioned some of the essential parts of his argument. Habermas' analysis treats as basically self-evident the claim that a society must have one consistent legitimating set of norms, accepted by its inhabitants-a very Parsonian view. However, as van den Berg has pointed out, he does not actually provide any proof of this. It is thus quite possible to argue that "different value orientations can and do exist within the same system without any disastrous effects on its stability"140-that contradictions do not, necessarily, produce systemic change. At the same time, the values and opinions people have-in the West, but also and notably in state socialist" countries such as Russia-call into question Habermas' belief that, in modern society, explicit, "rational" legitimation is necessary. In fact, many Russians seem to hold extremely traditional values, including passive acceptance of an autocratic state, 141 implying that a "modern" state may still be able to maintain its legitimacy on "old-fashioned" foundations. Summary Critical theorists' analyses of the role of ideas and culture in social stability and change, and their discussions of the evolution of modern society away from nineteenth-century capitalism are their most important contributions to social theory. However, many commentators have attacked their view of social science in general and Marcuse's views of modern culture in particular. As we shall see in the next section, many theoristsincluding other conflict theorists-also disagree with critical theory's continuing emphasis on the role of private property and profit, which both Habermas and the older Frankfurt theorists derive from Marx. C. WRIGHT MILLS Among American sociologists, C. Wright Mills (1916-1962) is the best known modern theorist whose work combines a conflict perspective with a strong critique of the social order. Mills was born and raised in Texas; he never left the state until he was in his twenties, when he won a research fellowship to the University of Wisconsin. Most of his academic career was spent at Columbia, where he was a professor until he died of a heart condition while still in his mid-forties. Mills was subjected to a barrage of criticism, especially in his later years when,his writing became increasingly accusatory and polemical. He also had many admirers and was never quite the "lone wolf " he considered himself; but he was increasingly agonized and pessimistic about the immediate future. He believed that immorality was built into the American system; and he never voted because he considered political parties to be manipulative and "irrational" organizations. He also bitterly attacked his fellow-intellectuals for abdicating their social responsibilities and for putting themselves at the service of men of power while they hid behind a mask of "value-free" analysis. Mills thought that it was possible to create a "good society" on the basis of knowledge and that men of knowledge must take responsibility for its absence.142 He believed in a libertarian socialism, and he supported the Cuban revolution (and attacked the United States'reaction to it) because he hoped that it would combine revolutionary socialism and freedom. 143 In his sociology, his major themes were the relationship between bureaucracy and alienation and the centralization of power in a "power elite." Both these subjects were aspects of his attack on modern American society. Alienation and Bureaucracy Mills argues that the material hardships of the workers of the past have been replaced today by a psychological malaise, which is rooted in workers' alienation from what they make.144 He sees white-collar workers as apathetic, frightened, and molded by mass culture. In modern society, he argues, "those who hold power have often come to exercise it in hidden ways: they have moved and are moving from authority to manipulation .... The rational systems hide their power so that no one sees their sources of authority or understands their calculation. For the bureaucracy . . . the world is an object to be manipulated."145 In a world of big business and big government, the everincreasing group of white-collar people lives not by making things, but by helping to turn what someone else has made into profits for yet another person. Fewer and fewer people own their own productive property and control their own working lives. Stable communities and traditional values, which "fixed" people into society, have disappeared, and their disappearance throws the whole system of prestige or status into flux. Like Veblen, Mills believes that status and self-esteem are closely linked; and the loss of traditional values, he argues, undermines people's self-esteem and embroits them in a status "panic." 146 In fact, Mills' concerns here are curiously like those of Durkheim and the functionalists, who see modern society as threatened by normlessness, or "anomie." His critics argue that he ignores the freedom that the breakup of old and restrictive communities can offer. Unlike Marx, Mills does not believe that work is necessarily the crucial expression of oneself but he does condemn modern bureaucratic capitalism for alienating people from both the process and product of work. This is particularly clear, Mills argues, with white-collar workers like salespeople, whose personalities become commodities to be sold and for whom friendliness and courtesy are part of the "impersonal means of livelihood." 147Thus, he claims, "in all work involving the personality market, . . . one's personality and personal traits become part of the means of production ... (which) has carried self and social alienation to explicit extremes." 148 Mills' emphasis on alienation derives from his concern with the relationship between character and social structure. Salesmanship, he argues, estranges people from themselves and others because they view all relationships as manipulative. 149 Alienation from work makes people turn frenziedly to leisure; but the entertainment industry.,,,,,produces synthetic excitement, which offers no real release and establishes no deep common values.150 Other aspects of social structure strengthen psychological tendencies that make modern societies liable to fascist or revolutionary totalitarian success.151 People's fragmented working environments give them little understanding of how society works, and they believe that the interventionist government is responsible for insecurity and misfortune. An increasingly centralized structure with no remaining traditional beliefs and with permanently anxious people is, Mills argues, highly vulnerable. The Power Elite Mills argues consistently that the growth of large structures has been accompanied by a centralization of power and that the men who head government, corporations, the armed forces, and the unions are very closely linked. He carries this part of his analysis the furthest in his discussion of the "power elite."152 Mills argues that America is ruled by a "power elite" made up of people who hold the dominant positions in political, military, and economic institutions. "Within the American society," he writes, "major national power now resides in the economic, the political and the military domains ... Within each of the big three, the typical institutional unit has become enlarged, has become administrative, and, in the power of its decisions, has become centralized ... (The) means of power at the disposal of centralized decision-making units have increased enormously."153 Mills argues, moreover, that the three domains are interlocked, so that "the leading men in each of the three domains of power-the warlords, the corporate chieftains, the political directorate-tend to come together to form the power elite of America: ... The military capitalism of private corporations exists in a weakened and formal democratic system containing an already quite politicized military order."154 Mills believed that power can be based on factors other than property. However, the unity of the elite's institutional interests brings them together and maintains a war economy. Mills' analysis coincided with and reinforced an attitude toward American society that was apparent in Eisenhower's denunciation of the "military-industrial complex." Many nonradical sociologists agree that econonomic life is increasingly intertwined with the activities of the government. However, they argue that it is not simply military expenditures that are important, but rather the increased involvement of government in all spheres of economic life. Those of us who live in Washington notice how, month by month, more and more industrial, trade, and labor associations set up headquarters in the city's burgeoning office blocks, close to the federal government and its power. Moreover, critics frequently disagree with Mills' perception of a single "power elite" pursuing its united interest and excluding others from influence,155 The argue that powerful interests may-and frequently do conflict with each other. "Business," for example, undoubtedly has power. It gets some of the measures it wants, and some firms and industries acquire a protected, semimonopolistic position from government regulators. For others, however, plans are delayed or demolished by decisions about environmental quality, prices are set at levels they oppose, or costs are raised by taxes, government paperwork, pollution requirements, and the like. In general, Mills shares with Marxist sociology and the "elite theorists" a tendency to see society as divided rather sharply and horizontally between the powerful and the powerless. He also shares Marxist and neoMarxist theorists' concerns about alienation, the effects of social structure on the personality, and the "manipulation" of people by the mass media. At the same time, however, Mills clearly belongs to a distinctively American populist tradition, which does not regard property as such as the main source of evil in society. To Mills, small-scale property ownership and the class of independent entrepreneurs are the major safeguards of freedom and security, and he regrets the waning of the old American society of independent farmers and businessmen.156 Summary Of all contemporary sociological theories, those which combine a conflict perspective with social critique are the most clearly associated with arguments current outside academic life, especially among the politically involved. The political importance of these theorists is consequently greater than that of any other group we describe. This is especially evident outside the United States; but it is also true within it, as we can see from the following excerpt from the Port Huron Statement of Students for a Democratic Society, a central document of the student New Left of the 1960s. We find echoes of Marx's economic analysis, Mills'condemnation of the power elite, critical theory's view that society is "administered" and manipulated, and the concern of all these theories with people's alienation in its statement: We regard men as infinitely precious and possessed of unfulfilled capacities for reason, freedom, and love.... We oppose the depersonalization that reduces human beings to the status of things.... We oppose, too, the doctrine of human incompetence because it rests essentially on the modern fact that men have been "competently" manipulated into incompetence.... The American political system ... frustrates democracy by confusing the individual citizen ... and consolidating the irresponsible power of military and business interests. We would replace power rooted in possession, privilege or circumstances by power and uniqueness rooted in love, reflectiveness, reason and creativity. As a social system we seek the establishment of a democracy of individual participation.... The economic sphere would have (among its) principles: that work should involve incentives worthier than money or survival... that the economic experience is so personally decisive that the individual must share in its full determination. Major social institutions should be generally organized with the well being and dignity of men as the essential measure of success.157 As we shall see in the next section, analytic conflict theory shares many of the general orientations of the "critical" conflict perspectives. The belief in an ideal society and the combination of analysis and moral outrage that the Port Huron Statement embodies are, however, as foreign to it as they are central to the work of the "critical" theorists we have just discussed. Material 9 J.P. Lederach, DISCOVERY 1995) (From Preparing for Peace , Syracuse, So to Whom Do You Turn? Discovery and Creation of Mediation Models I have described in some detail the philosophical roots and goals of an elicitive approach to training, but the question still remains of how exactly yqu accomplish these ideals. A familiar saying in Spanish suggests that "Between what is said and what is done there runs a deep chasm." In other words, in real life it is never easy to fully accomplish the ideals and goals we set for ourselves. Specific to our concerns here, the elicitive format suggests that it should be possible to build a model of mediation through a training experience. In the next two chapters, I will present several approaches and exercises within an elicitive perspective aimed specifically at model building in mediation. First, I outline a training process that builds from people's natural understanding of providing help. In the following chapter, I suggest how role-play can be used as a tool for developing mediation models. Seeking Help: An Elicitive Exercise In many introductory workshops in North American mediation, training begins with an overview and description of the process. The format is often a short descriptive lecture about the purpose,, structure,, rules,. expectations, and roles that comprise the mediation process. Implicit in the opening description are the cultural assumptions of how the process is accomplished and the naming of the process and its components. In settings where I work with groups from cultural and linguistic contexts other than my own, I have used a different opening exercise, one that takes several steps back from presenting a process or naming it. It is built around three key questions. It can be used as a shorter introductory piece or can easily provide the material for a longer, more exploratory effort. The exercise follows these steps for setup and implementation. 1. Open the exercise with a statement like this: "I want everyone to think back to a time when you found yourself experiencing problems with someone else. You know things are not right. This can be a problem in your family, among friends, at work, or in your neighborhood. Now, I want you to think through this question. If things got difficult and you felt you needed help with this problem, who would you go to for help? Get the image of this person or persons in your mind. Then work on and share the following with your small group: Why did you choose this person? What characteristics does he or she have? What do you expect from this person?" 2. Invite participants to think on their own for a short while and then to join a small group. These groups discuss their various answers and compile a list of ideas to report back to the large group. 3. Record the responses on a blackboard, on newsprint, or on index cards. Index cards are most useful if a longer exploratory process is desired. In the process of reporting, people are encouraged to talk about examples of what they mean or why they chose a certain concept or characteristic. As the responses come out, ideas that are repeated are marked or noted. 4. The final step moves toward a summary and conclusion, the detail of which varies with the time and purpose of the exercise. For example, if time is limited and the exercise is proposed as an initial step leading to more exploration of real life cases, summarize the emerging major themes by building from the key and repeated ideas. On the other hand, if time permits, it can be a very useful exercise to ask the participants to create their own interpretation and even the beginnings of a model. In this case, we might follow the storyboarding process. Storyboarding in Model Creation Walt Disney developed the process of storyboarding in outlining and producing cartoons. It has made its way into conflict resolution as a useful process for identifying problems and possible solutions. I have been using a variation of storyboarding in training as a tool for facilitating the discovery and creation of mediation models that may be implicit in the culture. In essence, the storyboarding process involves working with index cards. A single idea, word, or image is written on each card related to a given theme. A story is then created by linking and grouping these cards together by commonality or sequence. To create a mediation model, I have used the process in the following format: 1. First, the most significant and key ideas identified in the plenary sharing related to the three questions on seeking help are written, one per index card. 2. A complete set of these index cards is given back to each small working group. 3. Each group then works with the cards, almost as if they formed a puzzle, reflecting on questions such as: How do these ideas fit together? Is there a sequence? Are some ideas describing a particular aspect of providing help? What would we call this set of ideas or this aspect? 4. Each group then reports back on how it has arranged the cards and ideas and is asked, among other things, to name the key commonalities, or steps, or overall arrangements that have been identified. At each step in this process, we can push out the purpose of the exercise as it relates to the objectives of an elicitive approach. First, rather than describing a predefined process, participants are invited to move back into their own experiences and identifying the elements that are relevant in seeking and providing help. Second, as trainers, we move away from the temptation of naming the process or elements. The exercise tries to keep names generic and general, such as "help" rather than "mediation." Participants are the ones who provide concepts or categories that describe this help. Third, the direction a training may go is never predictable. Many people will begin their reflection by saying, "it depends": "It depends whether I have an economic problem, or a family problem, or problem with my boss." On the surface, this may seem to be distracting. From the ehcitive viewpoint, however, this is precisely the implicit knowledge that leads to explicit identification and appropriate model building. For example, in Uganda, one participant noted that if there were a problem with my brother we would go to my father or an uncle, but if the problem is with a neighbor, then we may need to seek out an elder. What begins to emerge are the ways people think about conflict, the resources and traditions they are intuitively aware of, why those are appropriate, and why they may no longer exist or are not used. Fourth, working from a small group back to a larger group enhances the richness and the realism of what is discussed. This undergirds the proposition that people from the setting are not only the best resource for coming up with ideas about how things work; but they are also the best resource for providing a realistic check about whether an idea is valid. Finally, especially if the longer process is followed, people can begin to push out key characteristics and ideas about how help is provided in their setting. Further steps often involve identifying obstacles, what things have been lost (for example, through modernization or immigration), what things hold promise that need to be worked on, and probably most importantly, what we call this process or processes. For example, in Panama among the Embere and Wounaan Indians, this early exercise resulted in the suggestion that providing help was a lot like guiding someone through the riverways of the dense jungle. For the remainder of our time we referred to third parties as guides. An Example: Help in Central America Because these descriptions and ideas appear somewhat abstract in the written form, let me describe several cases in Central America where time permitted us to look more carefully at the ideas. I have found that the questions-Who do you turn to? Why that person? What do you expect from them?-posed to different groups often identified a number of common words and themes. In a couple of cases, each of the words that came out more frequently in response to these questions was written on a card. People in smaller groups were then asked to take this set of cards-usually numbering between twenty and thirty-and arrange them accordingly to commonality, sequence, or whatever made most sense to them. On a number of occasions, the following kind of arrangement or conversation would emerge. For the benefit of the reader, I have placed quotation marks around words that emerged with frequency in the initial exercise. First, key to why certain people are chosen were the ideas of "trustworthiness," that "we know them," that "they know us" and can "keep our confidences." These terms often came together in a single overarching concept: confianza, a profoundly cultural term that is inadequately translated as trust or confidence. In several groups, confianza became a key to understanding how they work at conflict and how they think about resolution and healing. Confianza points to relationship building over time, to a sense of "sincerity" a person has and a feeling of "security" the person "inspires" in us that we will "not be betrayed." Confianza is a key for "entry" into the problem and into the person with whom we have the problem. From the eyes of everyday experience in Central America, when I have a problem with someone I do not look for an outside professional. Rather I look for someone I trust who also knows the other person and is trusted by them. This kind of person can give "orientation" and "advice." Through this person, entry is accomplished. Second, a number of terms often emerged around the idea of " support, " "talk," and "listening." These almost always involved a popular term for an informal chat, platicar. This is more than simply "talking." It involves cultural understanding of communicative mechanisms for "sharing," "exchanging" and "checking things out." Platicar is fundamentally a way of being with another, of reaffirming the relationship, and in many more delicate situations of preparing the way for "dialogue" that may involve confrontation. Through the platica people feel "supported," "heard," "understood," and "accompanied." Third, people want "help," "advice,"' and "direction." From others we seek "paths" that can lead us " out of the problem." Often, in working with the these words and concepts,, two ideas stood out. First, was the concept of looking for or giving consejo, or advice. At a popular level, conflict resolution thinking is advice driven and sought. But it is not in the sense of giving advice that North American helping professions may advise against. Seeking and giving advice often has more to do with participation in seeking solution-in other words, brainstorming-than in narrowing to choose action or impose solution. Looking for advice is seeking the pool of collective wisdom, seeking support and understanding. Thus, in the course of a conversation, much advice may be batted around, providing the seeker with a sense of solidarity and ideas. Additionally, people often talked about the idea of ubicarse, which literally is to "locate oneself," or in our vernacular, "figuring out where I am." Getting advice, "identifying the problems," providing "orientation" are all part of figuring out what's going on, where I am, and where I should go. Finally, a number of terms emerge around the concern of how I "get out" of this mess. People look for "solutions" most often understood as an arreglo, an "arrangement." This term combines a number of ideas, from "fixing things" and "putting things back together," to "getting an agreement" or "understanding." Key to an arreglo is a way of thinking that is holistic in nature, that is, seeing oneself and the problem in the context of a network rather than as isolated from it. Thus, an "arrangement" creates a salida, a common term meaning a way out, but a way out that maintains the network and relationship and fosters dignity. In other words, it saves face. Pulling these ideas together, one group in Costa Rica outlined their understanding of how we get in and out of conflict and provide "help" by building on their terms as guidelines (see figure 10). It is worth noting that this overall outline resonates with important metaphors and images common to the way people think about conflict in a Central American setting. The language of conflict describes a journey involving the tasks of getting in, figuring out where we are, and getting out. In fact, this set of concepts helps reinforce key cultural premises: a focus on relationship, trustbuilding, restoration of community, and use of people in the network. It focuses on being with others as a mode of restoration rather than applying technique as a mode of resolving problems. In terms of model building, we are now in a position to take a further step. Each of these words-such as confianza or arreglar has rich cultural and practical meaning and represents important organizing categories for model building. These common, everyday terms describing the action of working on the restoration of relationship and the resolution of conflict, renamed, become empowering tools. The model-building exercise rooted these words and processes within the culture and encouraged participants to name them, providing categories for further discovery, for exploration, and for use as the building blocks of a more explicit model. Important questions can now guide the next steps in understanding more fully the applicability and implementation of the model: What are the approaches to building confianza? How does one pursue la platica? What are constructive elements for getting situated and arranging a way out? Point of Convergence The prescriptive-elicitive spectrum helps bring to the surface the question of cultural universality of conflict resolution and mediation practices. This question was posed in a sharper manner in a series of training workshops I conducted with the Northern Ireland Mediation Network. Having received early training in the North American mediation model, over the past years, community mediators in Northern Ireland have sought to "Irishize" the approach-creating a dilemma. In the Northern Ireland context, the early and current mediation training provided a vehicle of enrichment, a new way to look at and deal with conflict, which clearly created a sense of empowerment. Yet, the application of the training in real-life cases did not seem to bear the level of fruit expected in getting people into the process or carrying it to a successful mediated conclusion. People would come to trainings to learn models and skills, but the Irish people would not bring conflicts to be mediated along the lines proposed by the model. "How is it," I remember one participant asking, "that we can feel enlightened by learning the model and simultaneously uncomfortable that it does not quite fit?" The question provided a rich and useful device for further exploration. In my analysis, it helped sharpen the underlying conviction that a convergence of universal and particular with prescriptive and elicitive was both possible and necessary. At a theoretical level, a heuristic framework was necessary, and at a training level a new tool was needed. These came together in what I consider to be one of the most basic of all sociological premises, that form follows function. I would suggest we can bring the conflict functionalism of Coser (1956) together with a social constructionist view of Schutz (1967) and Blumer (1969). This is one way of looking at the seminal work of Gulliver (1979), who attempted broad case and cultural comparison in dispute resolution in order to establish the basic parameters of negotiation functions while recognizing the multiplicity of cultural forms. This approach was the general orientation of my early investigation into the cultural assumptions of the North American mediation model (1985), where I suggested mediation had a set of basic components that needed to be,met, but that varied significantly in terms of the specific mechanisms for meeting them. Moving from function to form is like moving down a spectrum from universal to particular. As I outlined in chapter 5, the transfer modality in training rarely distinguishes analytically between these two. Most conflict-resolution and mediation training concentrates on "skills transfer," which are the more particular forms, as if the form was universal, when in fact the form tends to be more particular to the context and culture. With this broad intuition in mind, over the course of the past year, I have devised and explored a training tool that suggests a convergence (figure 11). First developed in Spanish and shared in the Basque Country, and subsequently in Northern Ireland in early 1994, it remains in an experimental and rough form. It is built on four categories. Facets refers to basic aspects and components necessary for the work of any third-party process intervening in a social conflict. The functions respond to a set of key questions related to accomplishing the facets. The forms begin to answer the questions in terms of broader strategies and approaches, which are more culturally constructed for a given setting. The formulas are then seen as the specific tactics, skills, and mechanisms, or the technique, by which the forms are implemented. The facet-function aspects suggest a series of things that will likely be dealt with in any mediated process. Based on earlier work and experience, I would outline these briefly as a circular, interactive process, although for purposes of analysis these appear as phases in figure 11. Entry deals with the question of who will emerge as an acceptable third party and how the process and forum for dealing with the conflict will be constructed. In general, in one way or another, what is sought is a mechanism to bring to the surface and seek remedy for the problem. The third party, in this sense, provides a way to seek help. Involved is not only an initial negotiation of the proper place to lodge the conflict, but also a definition of the expectations for the roles and process that will be followed. Gathering Perspectives, or what is often referred to as storytelling, responds to the question of "what happened?" In other words, it opens a space for looking at the past, providing opportunity for people to express and air their grievances and concems. Important and widely shared needs in social conflict include the process of legitimation of concern through acknowledgement of pain and feelings, past wrongs and grievances, truth, and responsibflities. Perhaps most crucial is the element of legitimating a recognition and acknowledgment of the person or groups involved, in other words, being heard and taken seriously. Locating the Conflict grapples with the question "where are we?" often metaphorically referred to by people in conflict who are trying to figure out where they are in relationship to others and problems experienced. It is the process of attaching meaning to events and people's action and situating what the conflict is about in order to know how to deal with it. This is the fundamental need to create an understanding of the conflict and a common framework that permits people to move forward. Arrange and Negotiate answer the dilemma of "how do we get out?" Here the focus is on dealing with the nature of the relationship and the issues posed by the conflict. "Arranging" points toward a broader process of how the relationship is understood by the those in conflict. Negotiate deals with the narrower focus of how issues will be resolved, at times referred to as problemsolving. In the end, the process will help create paths leading toward resolution of some aspects of the conflict and redefinition of the relationship. Way Out and Agreement deal with the questions of "who will do what, when?" Agreement tends to be more specific in terms of concrete expected action and implementation. The way out, on the other hand, points toward the broader mechanism that acknowledges ongoing ebb and flow of conflict in the context of relationship. In other words, it points, metaphorically, toward conflict as part of relational journey, where paths may cross, broaden together, or part their ways. The form-formula columns outline the increasingly more specific ways that the facets and functions are met in particular settings and situations. For the purposes of demonstrating the application of the tool, I have suggested in figure 11 two broad comparisons of form and formula emerging from radically different settings. The first is the approach that might commonly be used in community mediation in the United States; the second outlines some aspects of how conflicts have been handled in elders conferences in the Somali context. In brief narrative, and not assuming any attempt here to be comprehensive in either process, we could suggest the following: In the community mediation approach, the general form for entry involves a formal mediator role, often a person who is trained as a volunteer, or in some instances views himself or herself as a professional. By formalization, I refer to the explicit, often written understanding of the role and expectations. The process is more often than not oriented toward providing faceto-face encounters between the disputants and facilitated by the mediator. The entries under formula are more specific. Disputants contact a center. They are brought into a process aimed at gaining acceptance for meeting in a facilitated session. The session itself is governed by ground rules and takes place at a neutral location, often the mediation center itself. Sessions are conceived as blocks of time-usually two hours or less-and may be carried out in multiple meetings over several weeks to several months depending on the complexity of the case. A key in the development of the mediator role and early process are the mechanisms for creating trust and a safe atmosphere for the disputants. Drawing from personal experience and the research of Dr. A. Y. Farah (1993) on Somali peace conferences in Northwest Somalia, currently declared Somaliland, we can describe some characteristics for dealing with inter-clan conflict. Generally, serious inter-clan conflict will call for the movement toward creating a guurti or a supreme council of elders. This involves a collective coordination over a considerable period of time, where elders are recognized as having traditional power for facilitating and arbitrating the process and events and monitoring the outcomes. In the severely divided, war-torn context, the formula for entry involved among other things the use of delegations of women, who, by marriage, were now connected to one clan " but who could also safely travel back to their clans of origin to pass on communication and encourage the initiation of cross-clan dialogue. The same may be true of a delegation of recognized elders that travels to meet another subclan's elders, referred to traditionally as an ergada. These early contacts make way for a space where fighting is stopped while consultations emerge. An open, multiple, and cross-clan peace conference is preceded often by a combination of intra-sub-subclan deliberations about grievances, issues and representation and then a series of iterant,, cross-subclan deliberations and consultations. Iteration refers to a process whereby no one meeting or consultation is seen as conclusive, but remains open and ongoing over time. This consultative process is where perspectives are gathered, procedural steps are negotiated, and the basic parameters are set for moving toward a more explicit forum guided by the guurti. The preparatory phase may appear like a traveling (literally as in itinerate) set of inconclusive consultations. In fact,, setting parameters., negotiating agenda,, and establishing the beginnings of a reconciliation process are being conducted. What is described here meets the facets of entry,. perspective gathering, and locating and arranging in a circular, iterative process. The process itself builds from smaller collectives toward a larger collective and forum-a bottom-up approach to peace building. The actual forum or peace conference can take the form of large,, usually public meetings,, marked by lengthy oratory speeches and the extensive use of poetry People present have a basic felt right to speak. As a Somali proverb puts it, "You can deny a Somali his food but not his word." Poetry remains a revered art form and can move people toward war or toward reconciliation. As -a formula of conflict resolution it helps locate and situate grievances and meaning and justifies views and demands of different groups. It is a traditional mechanism that has modern parallel in the mass media's effect on public opinion and conflict analysis in terms of locating the conflict by arguing for causes, rights, and responsibilities. Given these components, the preparation and the conduct of a peace conference can easily last four to six months. Throughout, the elders help prepare, moderate, listen, and, in a number of cases, arbitrate procedural problems, as well as helping formulate an eventual consensus of the dans on the substance and relationship. While the open meeting provides one forum, simultaneously', a variety of inter and subdan deliberations continue on the side, at times involving lengthy, late-night qu'at sessions. (Quat is a leaf traditionally chewed and used for facilitating talks.) In the community mediation model, disputants are expected to reveal their concerns and feelings. The mediator's tasks are to provide an atmosphere for hearing and identifying the issues and to work on the relationship. This is accomplished, for example, by paraphrasing and posing open questions to get more information and by helping to identify a common agenda or list of issues to negotiate as the process moves toward problem solving. In the movement toward negotiation and arranging, mediation has a series of common techniques. For example, mediators will ask disputants to focus on one issue at a time, to separate their proposed solutions from their underlying interests, and to brainstorm a variety of options before they evaluate and move toward a solution. Generally, the focus of mediation is to discover mutually beneficial solutions and outcomes. As these come together in pieces or packages, the community mediation process recommends formulating them in a final agreement that is written, concise, and clear. It usually outlines specific detail around expected actions. Mediators serve as a reality check in terms of whether the proposed agreements can be accomphshed. Often, some form of follow-up contact with the mediators is included in the final agreement as a mechanism for monitoring or assuring the implementation. In the Somali context, the agreements initially achieved in an oral format have taken written form in the recent peace conferences (1992-94). They may involve specific and traditional mechanisms for dealing with cross-clan conflicts and restitution, for example, the payment of female camels as compensation. Past grievances and restoration of relationship have also traditionally been accomplished by the exchange of women for marriage between two warring clans as both a symbolic compensation for the loss of life and a bond of blood connection between the groups (Farah 1993). In many instances, the elders and the elders councils continue to function as monitors and guarantors of the peace agreements. Although brief and incomplete, the comparison provides an example of convergence in terms of universal/particular and prescriptive/elicitive. What I am suggesting is that training on third party roles and mediation can help participants recognize key needs and functions the process may serve. On the other hand, the training process must also recognize the limitations of given forms and formulas and seek to work with those that are more culturally rooted and adapted to the nature of the problem and the context within which it moves. Facet/Function suggest the usefulness of prescriptive and universal perspectives. There are shared, common, and, in that way., transferable ideas and approaches that can be helpful and can cross-fertilize. Form/Formulas suggest the usefulness of elicitive and more particular cultural discovery work. There is a need to innovate, adapt, and work in appropriate ways in each and every setting. In the end, as trainers, we must be flexible to pull from both resources what is needed at a given time and for a given purpose in the training. Conclusion In this chapter, I have attempted to demonstrate the possibility of approaching training as the challenge of working together with a group to discover and develop a model of mediation. In a number of the examples, especially the Central American- and U.S.-based community mediation, it is important to note the difference between a more professional, formalized process and the informal, traditional mechanisms. The prescriptive and elicitive approaches are in part the distinction and comparison between the transfer of a formal, more professional model in one society, in this case the North American, and the more informal, folk model of another, as was described in the Central American model in figure 10. The question then arises of whether a similar folk model would emerge if an eficitive approach were to be applied in the North American setting. And whether, therefore, we are comparing apples and oranges. In other words, we may not be dealing exclusively with cultural differences between countries and societies, but rather with cultural differences between educational levels and economic classes within the same society. This concern is not new to the research in some regards. In fact, the empirical work by Merry and Silbey (1984) suggested that the models of community mediation tested in the Northeastern United States, having developed in formal training under the heavy influence of what they regard as Western academic concern for rational analysis and problem solving, did not fit the modalities of more working-class constituencies, who were looking for different approaches in seeking remedy. What I am proposing here is not that the one intervention model is better than another. Rather, I am pushing for the expansion of how we approach the training methodology to include the process of discovery of how people actually think and go about seeking remedy and solution and how that knowledge can be tapped as a resource and foundation for developing models that fit clearly in a given setting. In sum, an elicitive orientation suggests that we consider what is present in a cultural setting the basis for identifying key categories and concepts to use as foundational building blocks for a conflict resolution model. It assumes that the culture is a resource and that participants are capable of identifying and naming their own realities and tools. Practically, this means they dig into the mines of their own knowledge and setting. Rather than learning the language of a new model (for example, the North American mediation language about information gathering, assessment, and problem solving), and then needing to ferret out the implicit assumptions from that model for a particular cultural context,, the elicitive approach initiates learning with the implicit but constructive images and assumptions present in the culture and builds toward an explicit model. It is therefore necessary for us to have available a pure elicitive approach in contrast with a pure prescriptive approach, in order to find the ways that these provide orientation, options, and convergence in terms of training methodology. Material 10 Journal of Peace Research, vol. 28, no. 1, 1991 pp. 85-98 Mediating Conflict in Central America PAUL WEHR Department of Sociology, University of Colorado JOHN PAUL LEDERACH Department of Sociology, Eastern Mennonite College The Esquipulas peace process in Central America is examined as process, structure and context. It is found to be an innovative effort in regional conflict resolution. The study focuses on how mediation has been used in conflict management within Nicaragua. Trust- or confianza-based mediation has assumed special importance in the Nicaraguan case. The emphasis on the confianza relationship in Central American societies produces a type of mediator known as the insider-partial, who emerges from within the conflict situation itself. It differs markedly from the outsider-neutral third party common to post-industrial society. Its legitimacy and effectiveness come from the continuing personal connection of the mediator with the conflict parties before, during and after the intervention. The conflict between the Sandinista government and Atlantic Coast Indian leaders is analyzed to illustrate the use of confianza-based mediation and its effectiveness when combined with intervention by outsider-neutrals. The authors recommend a broadening of the concept of mediation to include intervention by insider-partials. Their continuity within and knowledge of the conflict situation effectively complement the outsider-neutrals' objectivity and lack of connection with conflictants. Mediator teams should be carefully selected to include both types, particularly for interventions in the developing world. It is recommended, additionally, that mediators attend more to modifying the mediation context to render it more supportive of their interventions. The authors conclude that Esquipulas represents a rich store of mediation experience for conflict research. 1. Analytical Approach A regional process of conflict resolution has recently evolved in Central America the principal framework for which has been the Esquipulas II agreement of 1987. In this paper we analyze mediation within Esquipulas, first from a region-wide perspective, then as it has been used to moderate and resolve conflicts within Nicaragua. How mediation has been applied in this historical case may have implications for how students and practitioners of third party intervention conceive of the role of mediator. We begin with a discussion of mediation as a theoretical concept and how our analysis of the Esquipulas case and our personal involvement in Nicaraguan mediation has influenced our conceptualization of the role of intermediary. We develop the concept of the Insider-Partial as a mediator type. We then proceed to discuss the development of mediation within Esquipulas as an historical process that moves through time, and produces, responds to and transforms events. Process implies action and in mediation third parties act to move conflict toward settlement. Since mediators create this process, who they are and what they do is necessarily of concern to this paper. Oscar Arias Sanchez, for example, has been a key mediator-negotiator in Esquipulas. We go on to examine the Esquipulas mediation in terms of the structure it has created for conflict resolution the rules, agenda, principles, timelines and organizations fashioned to move conflictants toward settlement. The principle of simultaneity of implementation (Hopmann, 1988) and the commissions for carrying it out illustrate the structure of Esquipulas mediation. We next discuss the Esquipulas mediation as context, the larger environment influencing third party efforts. Conflict research has addressed the importance of the immediate mediation setting for inducing settlement. Just as important is@the wider context or environment influencing the conflict toward or away from resolution. In the case of Esquipulas, that context appears to have been of special import. The change of US presidential administrations and the presence of international volunteers and nongovernmental organizations are noteworthy examples of contextual determinants of mediation success in Nicaragua. Our paper concludes with a discussion of some theoretical and practical implications of the outsider neutral and insider-partial mediator roles illustrated by Esquipulas mediation. Our major recommendations are for a more inclusive set of mediator types and more systematic selection of mediators to reflect that range. Mediators, we conclude, must become more aware of the influence of context on mediation outcomes and how it can be made more supportive of mediation efforts. 2. Concepts of Mediation Our concept of mediation has been very much influenced by our on-site involvement as observer and practitioner in Central American conflict resolution. One of us spent a year as mediator of one of the two major conflicts in the Nicaraguan civil war. The role of mediator has been characterized in numerous ways in the mediation literature, reflecting the various levels at which mediators work and the quite different personalities, skills, attributes and positions they bring to their work. Our experience in Central America leads us to add to those characterizations a model of mediation we see as having particular relevance for third party intervention in developing nations. We will first discuss some of those roles and definitions of mediation, then how our concept relates to them and how it could expand the concept of mediation. 2.1 The Outsider-Neutral One common conceptualization of mediation roots the mediator's effectiveness in externality (coming from outside the conflict situation) and neutrality (having no connection or commitment to either side in the conflict). In the North American field of intergroup and interpersonal conflict management, for example, mediation is commonly defined as a rather narrow, formal activity in which an impartial, neutral third party facilitates direct negotiation. Mediator neutrality is reinforced by their coming from outside the conflict, facilitating settlement, then leaving. In North America this distance of mediator from disputants is heavily emphasized. Mediators are referred to as 'third party neutrals'. Ethics codes bind mediators to that principle. Mediators' neutrality protects the legitimacy and authority that are created primarily through their professional role, position and function - a rational-legal type of authority as Weber (1922/1957) described it. This neutrality-based intervener is what we call the OutsiderNeutral. The outsider-neutrals maintain distance from the disputants (see Fig. 1). They are chosen because they have no connection with either side that will affect the outcome and are thereby judged to be unbiased. Outsider-neutrals are connected to disputants through the conflict alone, relating to them only during the mediation process in ways relevant to the function of mediation. Only small parts of the lives of conflict parties and interveners intersect: those related to the conflict. According to this view, the assurance of neutrality in mediation creates the necessary perception of mediator legitimacy, professionalism and fairness. The mediator works to present a neutral self, to perform credibly in a way that defines the situation in which the mediation/negotiation performance takes place as neutral and impartial (Goffman, 1959). Neutrality and impartiality are defined negatively, in terms of what the mediator is not. The third party is not connected to either disputant, is not biased toward either side, has no investment in any outcome except settlement and does not expect any special reward from either side (Moore, 1986, pp. 15-16). 2.2 The International Mediator International mediation is conceived with much greater breadth and diversity than is the North American view of intergroup and interpersonal mediation. The complexity of international and intercultural disputes calls forth perhaps a greater variety of mediator roles. And so we find the mediator-broker (Touval, 1982) and the mediator-conciliator (Yarrow, 1978) among many others. Each conceptualization emphasizes a different role played or function performed by international third parties. Touval's able discussion of the different mediator roles and conceptualizations suggests that the concept of international mediator remains somewhat open. There are other terms that from our review of the third party literature appear similarly imprecise. Neutrality, for example, is on occasion to be translated as evenhandedness, or even balance, as in Yarrow's characterization of Quaker conciliation as 'balanced partiality'. Theorists generally do not see mediator neutrality and impartiality as requisites for successful international mediation. In fact in some cases mediator connectedness and bias prove to facilitate settlement. We do find in the theory, however, a strong assumption of the importance of externality for mediation success. The successful mediator must intervene from outside the conflict situation. 2.3 The Insider-Partial We suggest an additional mediator role (one that may be particular to more traditional societies) whose effectiveness depends neither on externality nor neutrality but on quite the opposite attributes internality and partiality. We further suggest, from our observations of Central American mediation, that the insider-partial mediator complements quite usefully those interveners who bring neutrality from outside the conflict situation. The insider-partial is the 'mediator from within the conflict', whose acceptability to the conflictants is rooted not in distance from the conflict or objectivity regarding the issues, - but rather in connectedness and trusted relationships with the conflict parties. The trust comes partly from the fact that the mediators do not leave the postnegotiation situation. They are part of it and must live with the consequences of their work. They must continue to relate to conflictants who have trusted their commitment to a just and durable settlement. Such a mediator is more likely to develop out of more traditional cultural settings where primary, face-to-face relations continue to characterize political, economic and social exchange, and where tradition has been less eroded by modernity. In a recent ethnographic study, Lederach (1988) found that neutrality is not what Central Americans seek for help in resolving conflict. They look primarily for trust, confianza. In the confianza model (see Fig. 2), authority to mediate is vested in the third party through a personal relationship with the disputant(s), rather than by a secondary role such as external intervener. This is what Weber (1922/1957) called traditional authority. Trust-based mediation assumes accumulated, sometimes intimate knowledge shared by helper and helped. One who can 'deposit confianza' in another knows that person well. They are connected in many ways, not just through a limited service performed. As Simmel wrote, 'the more we have in common with another as whole persons, the more easily will our totality be involved in every single relation to him [sic]' (1950, p. 44). In just that sense, the insider partial does not relate with the conflictants simply through an intervention. Their trust relationship permits them to resolve the conflict together. With respect to trust, the insider-partial is not the polar opposite of other models. Personal trust is always a concern in selecting any mediator. But with insider-partials it is the primary criterion for selection. They. are recognized above all as having the trust of all sides. Unlike the outsider-neutral chosen for the absence of connection with disputants, the insider-partial is selected precisely for positive connections and attributes, for what they are and do: they are close to, known by, with and for each side. This confianza ensures sincerity, openness and revelation and is a channel through which negotiation is initiated and pursued. We propose, then, to add the insider-partial to the taxonomy of types and roles of international mediators. Its potential for useful combination with outsider-neutrals and other types will, we trust, become apparent as we show how several of them were combined in Esquipulas mediation. 3. The Esquipulas Process Esquipulas is the most recent of a series of historical efforts to resolve interstate conflict and promote regional integration in Central America: the Central American Confederation, 1823-38; the Central American Court of Justice, 1907-17; a regional federation all but ratified in 1923; the Central American Common Market from 1960 onward. There have been counterforces as well: border conflicts such as the 1969 so-called Soccer War between El Salvador and Honduras; the Filibuster Wars of the nineteenth century; military governments that have favored national over regional identity. When the Sandinista movement overthrew the Somoza regime in 1979, such counterforces were holding in check the region's long-standing desire for self-determination. The Sandinista revolution radically altered social and political conflict throughout Central America, most of all within Nicaragua itself. There it moderated though did not eliminate class conflict, but it created two new conflicts. First, the Sandinistas' effort to integrate by force the Atlantic Coast peoples into a revolutionary state stimulated armed resistance in the East. Second, the Sandinistas' Marxist ideological approach to governance and nation-building encouraged defections from their own ranks. Many of these dissidents became, along with Somozista elements, the raw material for a US-organized Contra insurgency after 1982. The more conservative elements in Nicaraguan society, led by the Catholic hierarchy and those of the upper class who had remained, came to oppose Sandinista policies and to give some support to the Contra movement. The Nicaraguan revolution became increasingly militarized with the aid and involvement of the USSR and Cuba. The USsponsored military buildups in El Salvador and Honduras completed the prospect of a region headed toward the abyss. As the Contra activity expanded into Honduras and Costa Rica it inevitably drew those nations into the Nicaraguan conflict. This transformation of national conflicts into a regional superpower confrontation moved neighboring states such as Mexico to initiate formal peace-making efforts. 3.1 Contadora Contadora, begun in January 1983 by Panama, Mexico, Venezuela and Colombia, was an experiment in collective mediation. Its goal was to detach Central American conflicts from larger US-Soviet competition and to shift them from military to political and diplomatic levels. The Contadora Group, consulting with a Central American Group (presidents of Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Honduras) and a Contadora Support Group (Peru, Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay) had produced a draft treaty by 1986. The draft was a blueprint for demilitarizing Central American conflicts and resolving them through negotiation. Contadora reached an impasse in mid1986. Honduras, under pressure from the Reagan Administration with its growing military presence there, declined to sign the treaty (Buvollen, 1989a). The USA had alternately ignored and criticized Contadora while pursuing its military options throughout the region. The USA was, therefore, simultaneously subverting the Contadora process diplomatically (Bagley, 1987) and intensifying the conflicts Contadora sought to moderate. While Contadora fell short of its objectives, viewed within the larger peace process it was considerably more productive than would appear. Contadora created bases on which Esquipulas could build. It provided a consultative history and framework, and a comprehensive and accurate diagnosis of the region's conflicts. Most important, perhaps, it was an example of Central American regional independence. Contadora happened not only without but in spite of US policy. Actually, we find much of Contadora in Esquipulas. Eight Contadora documents are acknowledged as precedents in the Esquipulas treaty (Gomariz, 1988, p. 355). Contadora states have subsequently participated in both the International Verification and Support Commission and the UN Observer Group-Central America peace-keeping force. It appears to us, then, that Esquipulas was not a break with Contadora, as some (Robinson, 1988) may see it, but a continuation of it within an exclusively Central American framework. While Esquipulas built upon Contadora, it was also motivated by the latter's failures. One such stimulus was the refusal of Honduras to sign the Contadora Act, a failure whiich led to Congressional resumption of military aid to the Contra insurgents. That alarming development motivated Oscar Arias Sanchez, newly elected president of Costa Rica to make a new initiative. Arias had been involved in the final Contadora consultations. With a four-year term before him in the region's most stable political system, he had many of the resources needed by an international intermediary (Young, 1967). Arias set to work simplifying negotiation objectives. Contadora's preoccupation with security issues had produced proposals too complex to work. Arias set aside security as a temporarily insoluble problem. He circulated a simple draft agreement among his fellow presidents, Ortega excepted. His success at simplification is suggested by the comparative lengths of the 'Acta de Contadora' (22 pp.) and the Esquipulas agreement (6 pp.). 3.2 The Time Path By February 1987, Arias was receiving encouragement from his presidential counterparts. That was met over subsequent months with increasing opposition from the Reagan Administration. Its release of the 'Wright-Reagan Plan' two days before the August Central American Group summit meeting was perceived by the group as an attempt to undercut the peace process. Hopmann (1988) credits that perception with motivating the five presidents to sign the agreement. They were also urged to sign by certain members of the US Congress. With the signing of 'Procedimiento para Establecer la Paz Firme y Duradera en Centroamerica' (Gomariz, 1988, pp. 355-361), a framework was created for mediated negotiation both among the signatory governments and between them and their respective insurgent opponents. The agreement set objectives and prescribed specific measures: demilitarization of conflict through ceasefires, refusal of support for and use of territory by insurgents; national reconciliation through negotiated settlements, amnesty for insurgents, repatriation of refugees; democratization of political systems through free and open elections, ending states of emergency, protection of human rights; continuing regional consultation through periodic summits and a parliament. Subsequent summits assessed interim progress, adjusted timetables, invited third party participation and renegotiated agreements. The San Jose meeting (1988), for example, led to a Sandinista ceasefire and negotiations with the Contras. The San Salvador summit (1989) produced agreement on Nicaraguan elections and Contra demobilization and repatriation. The Tela agreement (1989) firmed up the demobilization schedule and its supervision by the International Commission for Verification and Support. The Montelimar summit (1990) ratified and reinforced the new Nicaraguan transition and Contra demobilization agreements that guided both the transfer of power from the Sandinistas and Contra disarmament. By April 1990, Nicaragua, Guatemala and El Salvador all had national reconciliation commissions in place and operating. In Nicaragua, the peace process had produced some striking precedents: an internationally supervised election and a peaceful transfer of power, the transformation of a revolutionary government into a reasonably loyal opposition; a procedure for disarming and reintegrating insurgents into civilian life. In Nicaragua, the Esquipulas process had been faithful to the intentions if not the implementation timetable of the agreement. Elsewhere in Central America, however, Esquipulas had produced no real peace. 3.3 Leaders in the Process Three of the Esquipulas participants were responsible for getting it to work: Oscar Arias of Costa Rica through his orchestration and mediation; Vinicio Cerezo of Guatemala through his organizing and hosting of the initial summit, his insistence that Nicaragua be included as a full participant, and his subsequent role as its reliable supporter within the group; and Daniel Ortega of Nicaragua through his negotiating flexibility and important concessions at key points. Arias was a central figure as a mediator-negotiator. Since Costa Rica was already in compliance with 'Procedimiento', he had a special status in the group. He appeared to combine the erogenous and endogenous approaches to conflict management (Bercovitch, 1984). Arias's secure tenure in Costa Rica and his status as Nobel Laureate were resources to be drawn on. He used a number of obvious intermediary tactics (Robinson,1988): early private confrontation of Ortega on the need for Nicaraguan flexibility; building momentum toward agreement to enlist a reluctant Honduras; using deadlines and timing of meetings to preclude US subversion all to produce the Esquipulas II agreement. 4. The Esquipulas Structure Three principles determined the structure for implementing the agreement (Hopmann, 1988): simultaneity (eliminating the 'who goes first' problem - a thorny one with respect to Contra demobilization and elections); calendarization ('who does what by which dates'); and transparency ('how we know that they are doing it'). Commissions were created to apply those principles: a region-wide Commission for Verification and Support; a National Commission of Reconciliation in each nation; subnational Conciliation Commissions where necessary (see Fig. 3). Commission members were selected for their moral leadership, for useful connections they had with the conflicting parties, and for their experience as interme- diaries. They illustrated the connected, trusted insider-partial third party. These commissions came to use outsider-neutral mediators as well and were in turn used by them. We next examine how the Esquipulas structure was used rather successfully in Nicaragua. 4.1 TheNationalReconciliation Commission Because of its international and military impacts, the Contra-Sandinista conflict was the major concern of Esquipulas. Cardinal Obando y Bravo was chosen to head the NRC. He was not selected for his neutrality. His hostility toward the Sandinistas was well known. But his status as spiritual leader, his close connections with resistance elements, and his visibility as a national symbol all suggested his usefulness as intermediary. The two sides met under Obando's auspices early in 1988. Several months of negotiations produced the Sapoa agreement and a subsequent government ceasefire, though direct talks were then broken off by the Contras and not resumed for over a year. Obando's mediation became more instrumental as the 1990 national elections and Contra demobilization approached. Several sets of delicate negotiations were necessary, involving at various points the Contra commanders, the verification and support commission, the Sandinista government, the UN, the OAS, the UNO opposition and, after 25 April 1990, the Chamorro government. Throughout the difficult period between the March elections and the April transfer of power, Cardinal Obando was the most visible intermediary. It is not clear how active or directive his mediation was but each time he intervened - Sapoa, Toncontin, transition negotiations - a major, durable agreement issued from the negotiation. 4.2 The Conciliation Commission The second mediation effort involved the Sandinista government and the Atlantic Coast resistance. The Indians and Creoles had historically been isolated from the Hispanicized Pacific Coast. British and US manipulation of ethnic divisions had encouraged that isolation (Brooks, 1989; Hale, 1988). The costenos, therefore, had been relatively unengaged in the anti-Somoza rebellion and hardly welcomed a revolutionary Nicaragua. Sandinista attempts to integrate the East Coast were met first with suspicion, then with resistance. The situation swiftly degenerated into armed conflict that sent 30,000 refugees into Honduras and Costa Rica and caused much destruction particularly in the Miskito northeast. By 1984, realizing its past errors, the Sandinista government began a twotrack conciliation strategy. The first track initiated talks with Atlantic Coast leaders. These would subsequently result in a National Autonomy Commission (1984), local ceasefires, elected Peace and Autonomy Commissions (1986), the drafting of a National Autonomy Law, and its ratification by a Multi-Ethnic Assembly (1987) (Buvollen, 1989b; Sollis, 1989). This lengthy consultative process reflected the Atlantic Coast's complex ethnicity, with six groups speaking four languages. Though these groups num- bered only 300,000, a tenth of Nicaragua's population, their region represented well over a third of its land area and much of its natural resource base. Essential in this autonomy-building process were certain well-regarded persons from the East who were sympathetic to the revolution , thus trusted by both the Sandinistas and the indigenous leaders (Freeland, 1989, p. 178). Such intermediaries as Myra Cunningham and Humberto Campbell sustained the dialogue to ultimate agreement. They are further examples of those insider-partials whose reservoir of trust and mutually recognized stature among conflictants, and crosscutting affiliations with both sides, are so substantial as to permit a mediating function. The second track involved Sandinista negotiations with the leaders of the armed resistance who were in exile and who had joined to form YATAMA in 1987. Their objectives were the restoration of historical Indian traditions and territorial rights, not the multi-ethnic regional independence made possible by the Autonomy Law. Esquipulas provided a new mediating structure for the Sandinista-YATAMA conflict. Whereas the Catholic Church had an important mediating role in the Sandinista-Contra conflict, here the intermediary was the Moravian Church. It is the primary church on the Atlantic Coast just as Catholicism is dominant in the West. Rooted within the Miskitos, Ramas, Sumos and Creoles, it had the trust of the various resistance leaders and was the logical intermediary. In the early 1980s the Moravian Church, seen as antirevolutionary by the Sandinistas, had suffered greatly, losing pastors, churches, schools and hospitals in the SandinistaIndian war. From 1983 on, however, the Moravian Provincial Board and the Sandinista government had worked to improve relations. Church leaders had facilitated ceasefires and autonomy consultations. Board members had been schoolmates of key resistance leaders and had maintained those ties. It was not surprising, therefore, that YATAMA asked Moravian leaders to mediate Sandinista-YATAMA negotiations. The government, too, accepted the Moravians in this role, while acknowledging that they were neither neutral nor impartial. As Interior Minister Tomas Borge put it, 'They are more there than here'. With some balance provided by appointees from the West, the team began mediating direct talks in January 1988. The Moravian Provincial Board, Gustavo Parajon of CEPAD (a Protestant relief organization) and member of the National Reconciliation Commission, and John Paul Lederach of the Mennonite Central Committee (another relief and development agency) were named members of this Conciliation Commission. Throughout 1988 the Commission mediated under serious constraints. The North/CIA Contra operatives were doing all possible to inhibit a Sandinista-Indian agreement, since that would preclude a united Nicaraguan resistance. The mediators were kept on the move by CIA-funded kidnap ping threats and assassination attempts against them as they went about their work. Competition among YATAMA leaders and Sandinista indecision also slowed progress, but by late 1988 agreement had been reached on 60% of the issues. Not until September 1989, however, was full agreement publicly acknowledged with the added intervention of former US president Jimmy Carter. The Conciliation Commission mediation reflected the confianza-inspired, insider-partial model discussed earlier. Its success depended not on neutrality or externality but on continuing relationships of trust its members had with the conflictants. During face-to-face negotiation phases, Commission members lived side by side with YATAMA leaders. They ate and relaxed with both sides together. Their knowledge and connections were used by each side to explain its views and objectives to the other. The Commission, therefore, was much more connected to disputants than in neutrality-based mediation. Its functions were broad rather than narrow. Its range of tasks stretched from arranging travel and daily schedules for disputants and resolving their family problems to negotiating a ceasefire in a war involving several national governments. Such a diverse mix is not beyond the scope of international third party intervention (Pruitt & Rubin, 1986), but it suggests the multidimensional role of the insider-partial rather than the narrower specialized one of the outsider-neutral. The commissioners' legitimacy as mediators came not from their distance from the conflict but from their personal connections that inspired the disputants' trust. That trust relationship with the conflict parties created safe negotiating space. The Commission's legitimacy as third party also issued from the duration and depth of their functions., The outsider-neutral usually leaves a conflict soon after settlement. The insider-partial, the confianza model of mediation, implies a continuing mediator-disputant connection. The Moravians and CEPAD have continued to work with both sides in peace development ever since the 1988 ceasefire. The Commission's multiple functions were carried out at different levels of the conflict. They worked on Peace and Autonomy Commissions, thus connecting with that process at the local level. They accompanied exiled leaders to their home villages as part of the reconciliation process. At the national level, the Commission mediated the SandinistaYATAMA negotiation. Internationally, it worked with Nicaraguan refugees in Honduras and Costa Rica and brought East Coast exiles together from three nations to form the YATAMA negotiating team. Given these multiple and continuing conciliation functions at several levels, Commission mediators were generalists rather than specialists. Their effectiveness depended equally on who they were in relation to the conflictants (not who they were not) and what they did (not what they did not do). Insider-partial mediation had produced a tentative settlement. But final and public agreement was facilitated by an outsiderneutral, Jimmy Carter who, as chair of the Council of Freely Elected Heads of State, had come to Nicaragua to monitor the 1990 elections for fairness and legitimacy. He offered to mediate any remaining Sandinista-YATAMA differences, maintaining that Indian leaders had to be free to return to participate in the electoral campaign. Carter asked that YATAMA be offered the same conditions for political reintegration extended to the Contras - renounce armed struggle, participate in the political system, encourage demobilization of all armed insurgents. The sides agreed publicly to conditions earlier arrived at and within a week of the Carter-Borge meeting, Brooklyn Rivera and other leaders were returning to Nicaragua. Carter made good use of his leverage - the Sandinistas very much wanted his certification of the elections. Timing was also working for him. The pressures of the impending election and its high visibility in the world produced disputant flexibility that was absent a year earlier. Carter went on to serve other useful third party functions, as a monitor and conciliator during the elections themselves, and in the difficult post-election transition period. In the resolution of the Sandinista-YATAMA conflict we have seen how insider-partial and outsider-neutral intermediaries were used at different times and in different settings. The autonomy conciliation relied heavily upon those intermediaries who were trusted by both sides because they belonged to both. Within Esquipulas, the Conciliation Commission pursued the Sandinista-YATAMA conflict with considerable success as 'mediators from within' who had the trust of both sides. Finally, the Carter intervention broke the impasse, permitting YATAMA leaders to return, thus further ing the democratization and demilitarization goals of Esquipulas. These disparate approaches to mediation were mutually complementary. All of them required considerable trust in the mediators. The evenhanded external mediator combined with the trusted intermediaries engaged in long-term peacemaking within Nicaragua to moderate that conflict. All may well continue to intervene, for intercoastal, interethnic and interpersonal conflict in Nicaragua has no end in sight. There is a second set of outsider-neutrals that we should mention here. These were the mediating agencies structured into the conflict through the International Commission of Verification and Support, provided for in the Esquipulas agreement but not actually created until the Tela summit of August 1989. This Commission carried out the repatriation, disarming and resettlement of Contra troops. Represented on the ICVS were the Organization of American States, the Contadora groups and the UN Observer Group-Central America with its contingent of 800 Spanish and Venezuelan peace-keeping troops. Structured into Esquipulas to validate and monitor its achievements, then, were three international governmental organizations with a major concern for the plan's success - the UN, the OAS and the Contadora Group. By June of 1990, the commission had disarmed 11,000 of 15,000 insurgents and guaranteed a peaceful Sandinista-to-opposition transfer of power, surely one of history's most successful peace-keeping operations. 5. The Esquipulas Context We have presented Esquipulas mediation both as a process over time and in terms of the intermediary structures developed to implement it. A third perspective for understanding it is through its broader conflict environment. That context was created largely by actors not directly involved in the mediation. Certainly Reagan's Contra option rapidly lost momentum in the waning of his second term. Civil wars in Central America quickly lost their East-West cast as the Reagan-Gorbachev friendship began to thaw the Cold War. Decisions in Washington and Moscow to end military aid to the Nicaraguan conflictants did much to reinforce the efforts of Esquipulas mediators. When Reagan left office in 1989, his Central America policy team went with him. That group had labored mightily to sink Esquipulas and discredit Oscar Arias. Arias mistrusted Assistant Secretary of State Elliott Abrams. It was reported by a key Costa Rican official that he had postponed an Esquipulas summit meeting until Abrams had left office. The US Congress influenced the mediation context both in its encouragement of Contadora through Jim Wright, Christopher Dodd and others, and by opening space for the Arias initiatives through its Iran-Contra investigations in the summer of 1986. Precisely when Contadora had stalled, those revelations exposed the deep divisions in congressional opinion over Reagan Central America policies divisions which renewed the regional search for alternatives. It also permitted a progressive decoupling of the Sandinista-YATAMA conflict from the Contra war, a separation which made both easier to resolve. Senator Kennedy, at the request of Indian rights organizations, pressured the Sandinistas to be more flexible on the rights of the indigenous peoples. The American Indian Movement's involvement was influential though ambiguous in its consequences for settling the Sandinista-Atlantic Coast conflict. Arias's Nobel Peace Prize gave Esquipulas new legitimacy. It heartened the mediators, renewed support in the US Congress for negotiated settlement, and further engaged European governments and publics in the peace process. The award punctuated the substantial support for both Nicaraguan development and Esquipulas that was already coming from Europe. The United Nations came to influence the Esquipulas context more and more toward negotiated settlement. The General Assembly resolution of 27 June 1989 stimulated agreement at the Tela summit on a 'Joint Plan for the Voluntary Demobilization, Repatriation and Relocation of the Nicaraguan Resistance'. Subsequent UN funding and staffing of the UNOG-Central America and its peace-keeping contingent proved invaluable in disarming and reintegrating Nicaraguan insurgents. Its third party presence must be given much credit for the peaceful transfer of power in Nicaragua in 1990. Citizen volunteers from North America and Europe were important shapers of the mediation context. They worked from both ends of the problem, at home and in the field. In the USA, peace activists influenced government policy directly toward political and diplomatic settlement and away from military confrontation. The Central America peace lobby in the US, through such groups as Friendship Cities, Witness for Peace, Sanctuary, Pledge of Resistance and CISPES helped build public and congressional support for Esquipulas. In Central America, such peace movement organizations provided a sympathetic third party' presence that worked to moderate conflict. Thousands of people visited and lived in Nicaragua, El Salvador and Guatemala as volunteer generalists, technical experts, human rights escorts and representatives of municipal governments and labor unions. This citizen third party presence moderated conflict, producing a more supportive mediation environment. It encouraged flexibility of Central American governments, who wished to appear reasonable and non-violent. It reduced violence through its on-site reportinglaof military and paramilitary action. It represented to Central Americans a larger citizen movement in North America and Europe that was pressing for policy changes and sending direct assistance to alleviate suffering. The reaction to the Contra killing of US volunteer Benjamin Linder in 1987 suggested the importance of such a presence for restraining militarization. Many of these persons were working.in Nicaragua under the auspices of nongovernmental organizations. These NGOs had a longstanding presence in the region, responding to conflict in the usual ways of lobbying for policy changes and providing civilian war relief. But we saw emerging in the Esquipulas context a broader, more active NGO role in peace-making, notably mediation by Protestant and Catholic representatives, and secular organizations like the Carter Center in Atlanta. The Moravian Church, CEPAD and the Mennonite Central Committee provided mediators and sites. They channeled resources for the negotiation from a mediation support network including the World Council of Churches. The Moravian Church in Nicaragua has been still more broadly engaged in conflict transformation (Lederach, 1990) - the continuous involvement of sympathetic third parties to move a conflict from latent to overt and negotiation stages. That is a long-term effort involving empowerment of weaker parties, trust-building, conflict skills development and other requisites for transforming a conflict situation into sustainable peace. 6. Theoretical Considerations and Practical Implications By mid-1990, Esquipulas had been only partially successful in moving the region toward stable peace. In El Salvador and Guatemala, civil conflict and state repression continued to undermine economies and kill thousands, though there were preliminary insurgentgovernment negotiations underway in both cases. Critics of Esquipulas will point out that Nicaragua has been the focus for change. Conflict-producing conditions in other participating states have received little attention at Esquipulas meetings. The principle of simultaneity has not been applied in that respect. The Nicaraguan conflicts, on the other hand, appeared to be well on their way toward successful management. An end to military confrontation, disarming and reintegration of insurgents, the end of conscription and major reductions in military forces, a classic pluralist election and peaceful transfer of power, an autonomy process for integrating Atlantic and Pacific regions. All of those achievements were reached within or with the help of Esquipulas. It may be that a conflict management model had to be developed in Nicaragua before other Esquipulas states with more deeply rooted problems with social conflict and state violence, could open to the process. Time and events will tell. Our study of Esquipulas raises some theoretical and practical issues. Should the conceptualization of mediator roles be broadened to embrace developing world variants such as the Insider-Partial? Should identification and selection of mediators be more systematically done, with greater care for drawing upon and creatively mixing the external and internal conflict moderation resources available? Should more attention be given by international mediators to modifying the wider context to be more supportive of their intervention? 6.1 Expanding the Mediator Concept Our study suggests that the field would do well to agree on a simple, inclusive definition of mediation, differentiating the mediator roles as research and practice reveal them. We prefer to define mediation simply as third-party-facilitated negotiation, and the mediator as one(s) 'who attempts to help the principals reach a voluntary agreement' (Pruitt & Rubin, 1986, p. 166). Within such a simple, inclusive definition a hundred flowers can bloom, so to speak. Esquipulas has produced some variations on the basic mediation theme that we have not found in the literature. We have suggested the concept of the insider-partial to reflect a type very visible in Nicaraguan mediation. We distinguished that from the outsider-neutral concept characterizing mediation in North America, and from international mediator roles which generally assume that third parties must come from outside the conflict situation. We have shown how the I-P and O-N polar opposites interacted synergistically in Nicaraguan mediation. It may be, however, that externality and neutrality are dimensions, or continua, along which every mediator falls. Those dimensions may be independent of one another, rather than interdependent as the types we suggest imply. If the O-N and I-P types are valid, however, each bringing different strengths to the same conflict, as did Jimmy Carter and the Conciliation Commission, what practical consequences might issue from teaming them up as counterparts in a mediation? They might not work together physically, but would consult, divide up functions, coordinate interventions and, the like. If these are distinct types, each of which performs different but equally important functions in mediated negotiation, that would influence the mediator selection process. In any event, it would seem useful to explore the I-P concept further. Though we have presented it here as a region-specific, culture-determined model, it might have equally useful functions in the postindustrial.societies of the world. Esquipulas suggests other additions to the range of mediator roles. We noted the way Oscar Arias appeared to act as both mediator and negotiator. He, too, was internal to the conflict situation, had the trust of all parties, yet had a status apart. The mediator-negotiator of Esquipulas appears to have some precedents in the Kissinger of the Yom Kippur War negotiation (Rubin, 1981) and the Walesa (1987) of Polish Solidarity, both of whom seem to have played such a dual role. If it is not a new genre, should it at least be included in the range of mediator types? Would there be a place as well for the mediator-legitimizer characterized by Obando y Bravo, whose role went much beyond providing good offices. The full weight of the Church's moral authority in his person appears to have legitimated such negotiation and guaranteed the implementation of its outcomes. One question raised by such a discussion is whether mediator selection in such cases should not be more conscious and deliberate than it normally is, according to mediator functions required and persons and agencies available? If, for example, the Carter and Conciliation Commission interventions had been coordinated, each performing different, complementary functions, a year of time might have been saved. We are suggesting that the selection of mediators could and should be a more systematic and informed process. 6.2 Modifying the Mediation Context Our study has suggested the importance of the mediation context - the events, persons and attitudes influencing the mediation from a distance. Time and again in Esquipulas negotiation was transported out of impasse by a context transformed. A striking example was the agreement of August 1989 between the Sandinista government and the United National Opposition for free and open elections. It was reached in a televised marathon negotiation reminiscent of that which legitimized Polish Solidarity in 1980 (Wehr, 1985). The Sandinista-UNO accord triggered the breakthrough three days later for the Tela agreement on. Contra demobilization. The context had been transformed to permit this. Both supportive and obstructive forces in the mediation context, while not controllable by mediators, are amenable to their influence. If the larger environment were seen as more integral to mediation success, third party interveners could map that context to identify key influentials, a preliminary step to creating more support for negotiated settlement. Could mediators have a more direct influence on mass communicators, for example, who frame the issues, characterize the actors, present the options and largely determine whether a context encourages or discourages mediated settlement? The mass media were exceptionally influential in the context of Nicaraguan mediation (Chomsky, 1987). Should a mediation team include someone with exclusive responsibility for mapping the context for ways to render it more supportive of the intervention? An important mediation-supportive element in the Esquipulas context was the presence of conflict moderators, the 'sympathetic third parties' described earlier. Conflict moderation is the third party's most important function. It is a more realistic goal than permanent resolution, which is rarely possi'ble (Touval, 1982). Does the Esquipulas experience show the conflict moderating sympathetic third parties to be so useful in the mediation context that a conscious effort should be made to include them as a desirable component of international third party interventions? 6.3 Mediation from within the Conflict Esquipulas has revealed to us how rich may be the indigenous resources for conflict moderation and negotiated settlement in developing areas of the world. The insiderpartial, the mediator-negotiator, the mediator-legitimizer, the sympathetic third party are conflict management roles that are probably useful beyond Central America as well. The effective combining of such local resources with external third parties in Esquipulas can be seen as a contribution to the theory and practice of international third party intervention. We suspect that international mediation would be more effective were the various external and internal mediators and the moderators within the context tobe systematically identified and enlisted: a deliberate citizen volunteer presence, a mixed team of outsider-neutrals and insider-partials, a resident conflict transformation group working on a deep-seated conflict situation. It remains to be seen whether the Esquipulas innovation in conflict management will produce positive results in other Central American states as it has in Nicaragua. Continuing involvement of the UN and other international interveners will help determine those results. Thus far, however, Esquipulas represents a major step forward in regional conflict management, a model well worth the attention of scholars and practitioners alike. Material 11 (From M. Deutsch, The Resolution of Conflict , 1973) FACTORS INFLUENCING THE RESOLUTION OF CONFLICT INTRODUCTION The purpose of this chapter is to summarize the typical features of destructive and constructive conflicts. The emphasis will be on the contrast between competitive and cooperative processes of conflict resolution. In this connection, we shall also discuss the processes of perception and commitment that tend to reinforce and augment whichever mode of conflict resolution has been initiated. Next, we shall consider the factors that determine which mode of conflict resolution will be dominant. Underlying this discussion is the assumption that conflict between parties with cooperative rather than competitive relations is likely to be less destructive. Yet, it is obvious that the relations between conflicting parties may be incorrigibly competitive. Under such circumstances, the regulation of conflict to limit its destructiveness becomes an objective. In this context, we shall discuss the circumstances affecting the likelihood of effective conflict regulation. Finally, we shall consider some of the special issues relating to conflicts between the weak and the strong. THE COURSE OF DESTRUCTIVE CONFLICT Destructive conflict is characterized by a tendency to expand and escalate. As a result, such conflict often becomes independent of its initiating causes and is likely to continue after these have become irrelevant or have been forgotten. Expansion occurs along the various dimensions of conflict: the size and number of the immediate issues involved; the number of motives and participants implicated on each side of the issue; the size and number of the principles and precedents that are perceived to be at stake- the costs that the participantsare willing to bear in relation to the conflict; the number of norms of moral conduct from which behavior toward the other side is exempted; and the intensity of negative attitudes toward the other side. The processes involved in the intensification of conflict may be said, as Coleman (1957, p. 14) has expressed it, "to create a 'Gresham's Law of Conflict: the harmful and dangerous elements drive out those which would keep the conflict within bounds." Paralleling the expansion of the scope of conflict, there is an increasing reliance upon a strategy of power and upon the tactics of threat, coercion, and deception. Correspondingly, there is a shift away from a strategy of persuasion and from the tactics of conciliation, minimization of differences,, and enhancement of mutual understanding and goodwill. Within each of the conflicting parties, there is increasing pressure for uniformity of opinion and a tendency for leadership and control to be taken over by those elements that are militantly organized for waging conflict through combat and taken away from those that are more conciliatory. The tendency to escalate conflict results from the conjunction of three interrelated processes: (1) competitive processes involved in the attempt to win the conflict; (2) processes of misperception and biased perception; and (3) processes of commitment arising out of pressures for cognitive and social consistency. These processes give rise to a mutually reinforcing cycle of relations that generate actions and reactions that intensify conflict. Other factors, of course, may serve to limit and encapsulate conflict so that a spiraling intensification does not develop. Here, we refer to such factors as: the number and strength of the existing cooperative bonds, cross-cutting identifications, common allegiances and memberships among the conflicting parties; the existence of values, institutions, procedures, and groups that are organized to help limit and regulate conflict; and the salience and significance of the costs of intensifying conflict. If these conflict-limiting factors are weak, it may be difficult to prevent a competitive conflict from expanding in scope. Even if they are strong, misjudgment and the pressures arising out of tendencies to be rigidly self-consistent may make it difficult to keep a competitive conflict encapsulated. Competitive effects. In chapter 2, I characterized the essential distinctions between a cooperative and competitive process and described their social psychological features in some detail. Here, I shall only highlight some of the main features of the competitive process, those that tend to perpetuate and escalate conflict. Typically, a competitive process tends to produce the following effects: 1. Communication between the conflicting parties is unreliable and impoverished. The available communication channels and opportunities are not utilized, or they are used in an attempt to mislead or intimidate the other. Little confidence is placed in information that is obtained directly from the other; espionage and other circuitous means of obtaining information are relied upon. The poor communi- cation enhances the possibility of error and misinformation of the sort that is likely to reinforce the preexisting orientations and expectations toward the other. Thus the ability to notice and respond to the other's shifts away from a win-lose orientation becomes impaired. 2. It stimulates the view that the solution of the conflict can only be imposed by one side or the other by means of superior force, deception, or cleverness. The enhancement of one's own power and the complementary minimization of the other's power become objectives. The attempt by each of the conflicting parties to create or maintain a power difference favorable to his own side tends to expand the scope of the conflict from a focus on the immediate issue in dispute to a conflict over the power to impose one's preference upon the other. 3. It leads to a suspicious, hostile attitude that increases the sensitivity to differences and threats while minimizing the awareness of similarities. This, in turn, makes the usually accepted norms of conduct and morality that govern one's behavior toward others who are similar to oneself less applicable. Hence, it permits behavior toward the other that would be considered outrageous if directed toward someone like oneself. Since neither side is likely to grant moral superiority to the other, the conflict is likely to escalate as one side or the other engages in behavior that is morally outrageous to the other. Misjudgment and misperception. In our preceding discussion of the effects of competition, it was evident that impoverished communication, hostile attitudes, and oversensitivity to differences could lead to distorted views of the other that could intensify and perpetuate conflict. In addition to the distortions that are natural to the competitive process, there are other distortions that commonly occur in the course of interaction. Elsewhere (Deutsch 1962, 1965), 1 have described some of the common sources of misperception in interactional situations. Many of these misperceptions function to transform a conflict into a competitive struggle-even if the conflict did not emerge from a competitive relationship. Let me illustrate with the implications of a simple psychological principle: the perception of any act is determined both by our perception of the act itself and by our perception of the context within which the act occurs. The contexts of social acts are often not immediately given through perception, and often they are not obvious. When the context is not obvious, we tend to assume a familiar contextone that seems likely in terms of our own past experience. Since both the present situations and the past experiences of the actor and perceiver may be rather different, it is not surprising that the two individuals will interpret the same act quite differently. Misunderstandings of this sort are very likely, of course, when the actor and the perceiver come from different cultural backgrounds and are not fully informed about these differences. A period of rapid social change also makes such misunderstandings widespread as the gap between the past and the present widens. Given the fact that the ability to place oneself in the other's shoes is notoriously underemployed and underdeveloped in most people, and also given that this ability is impaired by stress and inadequate information, it is to be expected that certain typical biases will emerge in the perceptions of actions during conflict. Thus since most people are strongly motivated to maintain a favorable view of themselves but are less strongly motivated to hold such a view of others, it is not surprising that there is a bias toward perceiving one's own behavior toward the other as being more benevolent and more legitimate than the other's behavior toward oneself. This is a simple restatement of a welldemonstrated psychological truth: namely, that the evaluation of an act is affected by the evaluation of its sourceand the source is part of the context of behavior. For example, research has shown that American students are likely to rate more favorably an action of the United States directed toward the Soviet Union than the same action directed by the Soviet Union toward the United States. We are likely to view American espionage activities in the Soviet Union as more benevolent than similar activities by Soviet agents in the United States. If each side in a conflict tends to perceive its own motives and behavior as more benevolent and legitimate than those of the other side, it is evident that the conflict will spiral upward in intensity. If Acme perceives its actions as a benevolent and legitimate way of interfering with actions that Bolt has no right to engage in, Acme will be surprised by the intensity of Bolt's hostile response and will have to escalate its counteraction to negate Bolt's response. But how else is Bolt likely to act if he perceives his own actions as wellmotivated? And how unlikely is he not to respond to Acme's escalation with counterescalation if he is capable of doing so? To the extent that there is a biased perception of benevolence and legitimacy, one could also expect that there will be a parallel bias in what is considered to be an equitable agreement for resolving conflict: should not differential legitimacy be differentially rewarded? The biased perception of what is a fair compromise makes agreement more difficult and thus extends conflict. Another consequence of the biased perception of benevolence and legitimacy is reflected in the asymmetries between trust and suspicion and between cooperation and competition. Trust, when violated, is more likely to turn into suspicion than negated suspicion is to turn into trust. Similarly, it is easier to move from cooperation to competition than in the other direction. There are, of course, other types of processes leading to misperceptions and misjudgments. In addition to the distortions arising from the pressures for self-consistency and social conformity (which are discussed below), the intensification of conflict may induce stress and tension beyond a moderate optimal level and this overactivation, in turn, may lead to an impairment of perceptual and cognitive processes in several ways. It may reduce the range of perceived alternatives; it may reduce the time perspective in such a way as to cause a focus on the immediate rather than the overall consequences of the perceived alternatives; it may polarize thought so that percepts will tend to take on a simplistic cast of being black or white, for or against, good or evil; it may lead to stereotyped responses; it may increase the susceptibility to fear- or hope-inciting rumors; it may increase defensiveness; it may increase the pressures for social conformity. In effect, excessive tension reduces the intellectual resources available for discovering new ways of coping with a problem or new ideas for resolving a conflict. Intensification of conflict is the likely result as simplistic thinking and the polarization of thought push the participants to view their alternatives as being limited to victory or defeat. Paradoxically, it should also be noted that the availability of intellectual and other resources that can be used for waging conflict may make it difficult, at the onset of conflict, to forecast the outcome of an attempt to impose one's preference upon the other. Less inventive species than man can pretty well predict the outcome of a contest by force through aggressive gesturing and other displays of combat potential; thus they rarely have to engage in combat to settle "who shall get what, when." However, the versatility of man's techniques for achieving domination over other men makes it likely that combat will arise because the combatants have discordant judgments of the potential outcomes. Unlike his hairy ancestors, the "naked ape" cannot agree in advance who will win. Misjudgment of the other side's willingness and capability with respect to fighting has sometimes turned controversy into combat as increased tension has narrowed the perceived outcomes of conflict to victory or defeat. Process of commitment. It has long been recognized that people tend to act in accord with their beliefs; more recently, Festinger has emphasized in his theory of cognitive dissonance that the converse is also often true: people tend to make their beliefs and attitudes accord with their actions (see chapter 3 for a further discussion). This pressure for self-consistency may lead to an unwitting involvement in and intensification of conflict because one's actions have to be justified to oneself and to others. The tragic course of American involvement in the civil war in Vietnam provides an illustration. In an unpublished paper presented a number of years ago (Deutsch 1966b), I wrote: How did we get involved in this ridiculous and tragic situation: a situation in which American lives and resources are being expended in defense of a people who are being more grievously injured and who are becoming more bitterly antagonistic to us the more deeply we become involved in their internal conflict? How is it that we have become so obsessed with the war in South Vietnam that we are willing to jettison our plans for achieving a Great Society at home, neglect the more important problems in South America and India, and risk destroying our leadership abroad? The most direct statement of the reason for our continued involvement is the fact that we are involved: our continued involvement justifies our past involvement. Once involved it is exceedingly difficult to disengage and to admit, thereby, how purposeless and unwitting our past involvement has been. I am stating, in other words, that we are not involved because of any large strategic or moral purpose and that any such purposes we now impute to our involvement are ex post facto rationalizations. As a nation, we stumbled into the conflict in South Vietnam. At every step of increasing involvement, we were led to believe that with some small additional help (economic aid, then military advisers, then the use of American heliocopters, then the combat use of American soldiers, then massive air intervention by American planes, then bombing of the North, then massive intervention of American troops, and so on) we would not risk a major conflict but yet would help to build an independent, stable country that could stand on its own feet. We have over and over again acted on the tempting assumption that with just a little more investment we would prevent the whole thing from going down the drain. This type of assumption. is one with which we are familiar in connection with the psychology of gambling. We all know of the losing gambler getting deeper and deeper into a hole, who keeps on betting with the hope that by so doing he will recover his initial losses. Not all losing gamblers submit to the gambler's temptation, of course. But those whose sense of omnipotence is at stake, those who are too proud to recognize that they cannot overcome the odds against them are vulnerable to this type of disastrous temptation. In addition to the gambler's temptation, I shall describe briefly three other processes of gradual and unwitting commitment. One is the previously discussed process of dissonance-reduction. As Festinger (1961) has pointed out: "Rats and people come to love the things for which they have suffered." Presumably they do so in order to reduce the dissonance induced by the suffering, and their method of dissonance-reduction is to enhance the attractiveness of the choice which led to their suffering: only if what one chose was really worthwhile would all of the associated suffering be tolerable. Did we not increase what we perceived to be at stake in the Vietnam conflict as it has become more and more costly for us? Were we not told that our national honor, our influence as a world leader, and our national security were in the balance in the conflict over this tragic little land? Silvan Tomkins (Tomkins and Izard 1965) has described a process of circular, incremental magnification which also helps to explain the widening of involvement and the monopolization of thought. He suggests that it occurs if there is a sequence of events of this type: threat, successful defense, breakdown of defense and re-emergence of threat; second successful defense, second breakdown of defense and re-emergence of threat, and so on until an expectation is generated that no matter how successful a defense against a dreaded contingency may seem, it will prove unavailing and require yet another defense. This process is circular and incremental since each new threat requires a more desperate defense, and the successful breakdown of each newly improved defense generates a magnification of the nature of the threat and the concurrent effect which it evokes. The increasing and obsessive preoccupation of American officials with Vietnam may, in part, reflect just such a process: time and time again, they assumed that a new and more powerful defense or assault against the Vietcong would do the trick only to find that a new and more powerful military commitment was required. Let me, finally, turn to an everyday process of unwitting involvement: situational entrapment. The characteristic of this process is that behavior is typically initiated under the assumption that the environment is compliant rather than reactive-that it responds as a tool for one's purposes rather than as a self-maintaining system. Well-intentioned actions sometimes produce effects opposite to those intended because the actions do not take into account the characteristics of the setting in which they take place. By now, we are all aware that an unintended consequence of some public health measures in Latin America was the population explosion. Only now are we beginning to recognize that some consequences of the types of aid we have given to underdeveloped countries are to hinder their economic development and to foster a need for ever-increasing aid. Similarly, one may propose that the nature of the American intervention in Vietnam served to weaken the opposition to the Vietcong, demoralize those in Vietnam who were able and willing to rely on the Vietnamese to solve their problems without foreign control, increase the strength and resolution of the Vietcong, and otherwise produce the responses which required an increasing involvement and commitment of American resources and men just to prevent an immediate overturn of the situation. A destructive conflict such as the one in Vietnam can be brought to a conclusion because the costs of continuing the conflict become so large in relation to any values that might be obtained through its continuance to one or both sides that its senselessness becomes compellingly apparent. The senselessness is likely to be most apparent to those who have not been the decision makers, and thus have little need to justify the conflict, and to those who bear the costs most strongly. Destructive conflict can also be aborted before running its full course if there is a strong enough community or strong third parties who can compel the conflicting parties to end their violence. We in the United States are in the unfortunate position that, relative to our prestige and power, there is neither a disinterested third party nor an international community that is powerful enough to motivate us to accept a compromise when we think our own interests may be enhanced by the outcome of a competitive struggle. Peace in Vietnam might have occurred much earlier if the United Nations, or even our friends, could have influenced us. THE COURSE OF PRODUCTIVE CONFLICT The question I wish to consider now is whether there are any distinguishing features in the process of resolving conflict that lead to constructive outcomes. Do lively, productive controversies have common patterns that are distinctive from those characterizing deadly quarrels? I had expected to find in the social science literature more help in answering these questions than I have found so far. For example, the writings on personality development unfortunately have little to say about productive conflict; the focus is on pathological conflict. Yet, each of us knows from his own personal experiences as well as from the biographies of such men as Freud, Darwin, and St. Augustine that intense inner conflict is often (but not necessarily) the prelude to major emotional and intellectual growth. Similarly, the voluminous literature on social conflict neglects productive conflict between groups. It is true that the long standing negative view of social conflict has yielded to an outlook that stresses the social functions of conflict. Nevertheless, apart from the writings of people connected with the nonviolence movement, little attempt has been made to distinguish between conflicts that achieve social change through a process that is mutually rewarding to the parties involved in the conflict and one that is not. Yet, change can take place either through a process of confrontation, which is costly to the conflicting groups, or it can take place through a process of problem solving, which is mutually rewarding to the conflicting groups. My own predilections have led me to the hunch that the major features of productive conflict resolution would be similar, at the social level, to the processes involved in creative thinking. Let me first turn to the processes involved in creative thinking. For an incisive, critical survey of the existing literature, see Stein (1968). Creative Thinking. The creative process has been described as consisting of several overlapping phases. Although various authors differ slightly in characterizing the phases they all suggest some sequence such as (1) an initial period that leads to the experiencing and recognition of a problem that is sufficiently arousing to motivate efforts to solve it; (2) a period of concentrated effort to solve the problem ,"through routine, readily available, or habitual actions; (3) an experience of frustration, tension, and discomfort that follows the failure of customary processes to solve the problem and leads to a temporary withdrawal from the problem; (4) the perception of the problem from a different perspective and its reformulation in a way that permits -new orientations to a solution to emerge; (5) the appearance of a tentative solution in a moment of insight, often accompanied by a sense of exhilaration; (6) the elaboration of the solution and the testing of it against reality; and finally, (7) the communication of the solution to relevant audiences. There are three key psychological elements in this process: (1) the arousal of an appropriate level of motivation to solve the problem; (2) the development of the conditions that permit the reformulation of the problem once an impasse has been reached; and (3) the concurrent availability of diverse ideas that can be flexibly combined into novel and varied patterns. Each of these key elements is subject to influence from social conditions and the personalities of the problem solvers. Thus consider the arousal of an optimal level of motivation, a level sufficient to sustain problem-solving efforts despite frustrations and impasses and yet not so intense that it overwhelms or prevents distancing from the problem. Neither undue smugness, satisfaction with things as they are, a sense of helplessness, terror, nor rage is likely to lead to an optimal motivation to recognize and face a problem or conflict. Nor will a passive readiness to acquiesce to the demands of the environment, nor even the willingness to fit oneself into the environment no matter how poorly it fits oneself. Optimal motivation presupposes an alert readiness to be dissatisfied with things as they are and a freedom to confront one's environment without excessive fear combined with a confidence in one's capacities to persist in the face of obstacles. The intensity of motivation that is optimal will vary with the effectiveness with which it can be controlled: the more effective the controls, the more intense the motivation can be without having disruptive consequences. Thus one of the creative functions of conflict resides in its ability to arouse motivation to solve a problem that might otherwise go unattended. A scholar who exposes his theories and research to the scrutiny of his peers may be stimulated to a deeper analysis when he is confronted with conflicting data and theoretical analysis by a colleague. Similarly, individuals and groups who have authority and power and who are satisfied with the status quo may be aroused to recognize problems and be motivated to work on them as opposition from the dissatisfied makes the customary relations and arrangements unworkable and unrewarding and/or as they are helped to perceive the possibilities of more satisfying relations and arrangements. Acceptance of the necessity for a change in the status quo, rather than a rigid, defensive adherence to previously existing positions, is most likely, however, when the circumstances arousing new motivations suggest courses of action that contain minimal threat to the social or self-esteem of those who must change. Thus although acute dissatisfaction with things as they are and the motivation to recognize and work at problems are necessary for creative solutions, these things are not sufficient. The circumstances conducive to the creative breaking-through of impasses are varied, but they have in common that "they provide the individual with an environment in which he does not feel threatened and in which he does not feel under pressure. He is relaxed but alert" (Stein 1968). Threat induces defensiveness and reduces both the tolerance of ambiguity and the openness to the new and unfamiliar; excessive tension leads to a primitivization and a stereotyping of thought processes. As Rokeach has pointed out, threat and excessive tension lead to the closed rather than open mind. To entertain novel ideas that may at first seem wild and implausible, to question initial assumptions of the framework within which the problem or conflict occurs, the individual needs the freedom or courage to express himself without fear of censure. In addition, he needs to become sufficiently detached from his original viewpoints to be able to see the conflict from new perspectives. Although an unpressured and unthreatening environment facilitates the restructuring of a problem or conflict and, by so doing, makes it more amenable to solution, the ability to reformulate a problem and develop solutions is, in turn, dependent upon the availability of cognitive resources. Ideas are important to the creative resolution of conflict, and any factors that broaden the range of ideas and alternatives cognitively available to the participants in a conflict will be useful. Intelligence, the exposure to diverse experiences, an interest in ideas, a preference for the novel and complex, a receptivity to metaphors and analogies, the capacity to make remote associations, an independence of judgment, and the ability to play with ideas are some of the per@onal factors that characterize creative problem solvers. The availability of ideas is also dependent upon such social conditions as the opportunity to communicate with and be exposed to other people who may have relevant and unfamiliar ideas (i.e., experts, impartial outsiders, people facing similar or analogous situations), a social atmosphere that values innovation and originality and encourages the exchange of ideas, a social tradition that fosters the optimistic view that, with effort and time, constructive solutions can be discovered or invented to problems that initially seem intractable. The application of full cognitive resources to the discovery and invention of constructive solutions to conflict is relatively rare. Many more resources are available for the waging of conflict. The research and development expenditures on techniques of conflict waging or conflict suppression, as well as the actual expenditures on conflict waging, dwarf the expenditures for peace building. This is obviously true at the national level, where military expenditures dominate our national budget. I would contend that this is also true at the interpersonal and intergroup levels. At the interpersonal level, most of us receive considerable training in waging or suppressing conflict, and we have elaborate institutions for dealing with adversary relations and for custodial care of the psychological casualties of interpersonal conflict. In contrast, there is little formal training in the techniques of constructive conflict resolution, and the institutional resources for helping people to resolve conflicts are meager indeed. Cooperative problem solving. In a cooperative context, a conflict can be viewed as a common problem in which the conflicting parties have the joint interest of reaching a mutually satisfactory solution. As I have stressed throughout this work, there is nothing inherent in most conflicts that makes it impossible for the resolution of conflict to take place through a cooperative process. It is, of course, true that the occurrence of cooperative conflict resolution is less likely in certain circumstances and in certain types of conflict than in others. We shall consider some of the predisposing circumstances in a later section. As our discussion of cooperation in chapter 2 indicated, there was a number of reasons why a cooperative process is likely to lead to productive conflict resolution: 1. It aids open and honest communication of relevant information between the participants. The freedom to share information enables the parties to go beneath the manifest to the underlying issues involved in the conflict and, thereby, to facilitate the meaningful and accurate definition of the problems they are confronting together. It also enables each party to benefit from the knowledge possessed by the other and thus to face the joint problem with greater intellectual resources. In addition, open and honest communication reduces the likelihood of the development of misunderstandings that can lead to confusion and mistrust. 2. It encourages the recognition of the legitimacy of the other's interests and of the necessity to search for a solution that is responsive to the needs of each side. It tends to limit rather than expand the scope of conflicting interests and thus minimizes the need for defensiveness. It enables the participants to approach the mutually acknowledged problem in a way that utilizes their special talents and enables them to substitute for one another in their joint work so that duplication of effort is reduced. Attempts at influence tend to be limited to processes of persuasion. The enhancement of mutual resources and mutual power becomes the objective. 3. It leads to a trusting, friendly attitude, which increases sensitivity to similarities and common interests, while minimizing the salience of differences. It stimulates a convergence of beliefs and values. It can be seen that a cooperative process produces many of the characteristics that are conducive to creative problem solvingopenness, lack of defensiveness, and full utilization of available resources. However, in itself, cooperation does not insure that problemsolving efforts will be successful. Such other factors as the imaginativeness, experience, and flexibility of the parties involved are also determinative. Nevertheless, if the cooperative relationship is one to which both parties are strongly committed, it can withstand failure and temporarily deactivate or postpone an apparently irreconcilable conflict. Or, if the conflict cannot be delayed, cooperative relations will help to contain it so that the contest for supremacy can occur under agreed upon rules. Benevolent misperception. Just as competitive processes tend to produce characteristic forms of misperception and misjudgment, so, too, with cooperative processes. Cooperation tends to minimize differences and enhance the perception of the other's benevolence. These typical distortions often have the effect of dampening conflict and making escalation unlikely. The consequence of benevolent misperceptions is to limit the frequency and intensity of experienced opposition. It is thus not surprising that research has shown that more happily married as compared with less happily married couples are more often characterized by benevolent misperceptions of their mates rather than by an accurate view of the doubts and hostilities entertained by their spouses. It is also not surprising that other research (Keiffer 1968) has suggested that people with mutually cooperative expectations and orientations may engage in premature cooperation." They may not explore their differences sufficiently or confront the issues between them with enough depth to enable them to come to a well-grounded, stable agreement. "Premature cooperation" may lead to a superficial, unsatisfying, and unstable agreement before the underlying issues in the conflict have been worked through. Cooperative commitment. Earlier, I discussed several processes of unwitting involvement and commitment to a course of competitive action: dissonance reduction, the gambler's fallacy, circular, incremental magnification, and situational entrapment. These processes, similarly, can seduce one into being more deeply involved in a cooperative relationship even when the relationship is having little fruitful consequence. Past investments, already established facilities, procedures, and institutions, obligations to third parties, and situational pressures may operate to bind one to a cooperative relationship. This is so even when the emotional attachments to the other and the perceived utility of the relationship do not by themselves warrant its continuation. The bonds of a cooperative relationship may be cemented in loyalty, obligation, conformity, guilt, or convenience as well as in personal attachment and personal gain. The existence of bonds other than those based on utility and personal attitude provides a basis for continuity and stability in the face of fluctuations in personal attitude and personal gains. FACTORS AFFECTING THE COURSE OF CONFLICT In the preceding sections, I have described the typical features of constructive and destructive conflicts. Now I turn to a consideration of the factors that influence the course that a conflict takes. There are, inevitably, endless specific matters that may affect whether or not a conflict takes a constructive or a destructive direction. It is useful to have some simplifying idea that emphasizes central determinants and permits a proliferation of specific detail as this becomes necessary. In reviewing the work presented thus far in this volume-my earlier theoretical analysis of the effects of cooperation and competition upon group process and my subsequent work on factors influencing whether a cooperative or a competitive relationship would develop (which has been described under such labels as "trust and suspicion," "bargaining," and "conflict resolution")-a major simplifying idea has occurred to me which I shall label Deutsch's crude law of social relations. It is that the characteristic processes and effects elicited by a given type of social relationship (cooperative or competitive) tend also to elicit that type of social relationship. Thus the strategy of power and the tactics of coercion, threat, and deception result from, and also result in, a competitive relationship. Similarly, the strategy of mutual problem solving and the tactics of persuasion, openness, and mutual enhancement elicit, and also are elicited by, a cooperative orientation. Table 13.1 presents in condensed, outline form some of the basic ideas involved in my analysis of the effect of cooperation and competition that was presented in chapter 2. In review, the theory states that the effects of one person's actions upon another will be a function of the nature of their interdependence and the nature of the action that takes place. Skillfully executed actions of an antagonist will elicit rather different responses than skillful actions from an ally, but a bumbling collaborator may evoke as much negative reaction as an adroit opponent. The theory links type of interdependence and type of action with three basic social-psychological processes-which I have labeled substitutability, cathexis, and inducibility-and it then proliferates a variety of socialpsychological consequences from these processes as they are affected by the variables with which the theory is concerned. Here, I wish to focus attention on the consequences. The point is that if you take a situation in which there is a mixture of cooperative and competitive elements (most bargaining and conflict situations are of this nature), you can move it in one direction or the other by creating as initial states the typical consequences of effective cooperation and competition. All this may be summarized by saying that "cooperation breeds cooperation, while competition breeds competition." However, such a summary is much too condensed; there are other factors determining the course of conflict resolution in addition to the type of social process involved. Below is an outline of factors affecting conflict resolution that highlights crucial determinants. Process In table 13.1, the last column presents, in summary form, some of the key consequences of effective actions in a cooperative and a competitive relationship. Above, we have indicated that these characteristic effects tend, as initiating conditions, to elicit the same processes that have given rise to them. Thus a conflict orientation that highlights mutual interests, seeks the enhancement of mutual power, and defines the conflict as a mutual problem is more likely to take a constructive course than an orientation that emphasizes antagonistic interests, seeks to maximize power differences, and defines the conflict in winlose terms. Similarly, a trusting, friendly orientation to the other, with a positive interest in the other's welfare and a readiness to respond helpfully to the other's needs and requests, is less likely to lead to a destructive conflict then a suspicious, hostile attitude, with a readiness to exploit the other's needs and weaknesses and a negative responsiveness to the other's requests. A perceived similarity in beliefs and values, a sense of common bonds and interests between oneself and the other, is more likely to produce a constructive conflict than a sense of opposed beliefs and values. Full, open, honest communication free of malevolent distortion, which is persuasive rather than coercive in form and intent, is less likely to lead to destructive conflict than blocked, misleading, or autistic communication. Prior Relationship The stronger and more salient the existing cooperative as compared with the competitive bonds linking the conflicting parties, the more likely it is that a conflict will be resolved cooperatively. The total strength of the cooperative bonds is a function of their importance as well as their number. There are obviously many different types of bonds: superordinate goals, mutually facilitating interests, common allegiances and values, linkages to a common community, and the like. These bonds are important to the extent that they serve significant needs successfully. Thus experiences of successful prior cooperative relationships between two individuals or groups enhance the likelihood of present cooperation; experiences of failure and disillusionment in attempts to cooperate make such cooperation unlikely. On the other hand, the past experience of costly competitive conflict does not necessarily enhance the probability of cooperation, although this is a possible result. The Nature of the Conflict There are several fundamental dimensions of conflict that I would like to spotlight here: the size of the conflict, the centrality of the issues involved, the rigidity of the issues, the number of issues involved and their interconnectedness, the consensus on issue importance, and the degree to which the conflict is acknowledged. Conflict size. We have seen earlier that one of the characteristics of destructive conflicts is that they tend to grow in size. In a corresponding way, the research reported in chapter 11 and the theoretical discussion of intrapsychic and intergroup conflict strongly indicate that larger conflicts are more likely to take a destructive course than smaller ones. I have suggested in chapter 11 that conflict size might ,be defined as being equal to the expected difference in the value of the outcomes that a person would receive if he wins, compared with the values that he would receive if the other wins the conflict. An implication of this definition is that the more concordant the views and interests of the conflicting parties are, the smaller will be the size of their conflict. A conflict may be big because the participants perceive themselves to have important interests that are in opposition to one another, or it may be large, despite the congruence of their interests, because they have opposing views of how to pursue their important mutual interests-each thinking that his own proposed course would be favorable and the other's would be disastrous to their common interests. Thus to reduce the size of conflict, one may focus on diminishing the perceived opposition in values and interests of the conflicting partiesor on decreasing the perceived opposition in their beliefs and policies about achieving their common values and interests as well as on shrinking the perceived importance of what is at stake in the conflict. There are various techniques that can be employed to diminish perceived opposition in interests or beliefs; these include controlled communication (Burton 1969), role reversal (Cohen 1950; Rapoport 1960), and encounter group exercises (Schutz 1967). These techniques essentially assume that perceived opposition can be reduced if the conflicting parties can be led to see how much they have in common, if their differences can be seen in the context of their similarities and agreements. They also commonly assume that if misunderstandings are eliminated through improved, open, full, direct communication between the parties, their perceived differences will decrease. While this is often the case, removal of misunderstanding sometimes sharpens the awareness of conflicting interests or beliefs, an awareness that had been beclouded by benevolent misunderstandings (Johnson 1967). It is somewhat surprising that, in the literature dealing with the therapeutic management of conflict, there has been relatively little focus on what Fisher (1964) has labeled issue control. Controlling the importance of what is perceived to be at stake in a conflict may be one of the most effective ways of preventing the conflict from taking a destructive course. Many conflicts may be defined in a way that either magnifies or minimizes the size of the disputed issues. In general, "here-now-this" conflicts, which are localized in terms of a given time and place and specified in terms of particular, delimited actions and their consequences, are much easier to resolve constructively than conflicts that are defined in terms of principles, precedents, rights, etc., so that the issues transcend time and space and are generalized beyond the specific action to personalities, groups, races, or other large social units or categories. Thus when a quarrel starts to center on personalities or group membership rather than specific actions, it usually takes a nonproductive turn. Similarly, when a discussion focuses on rights or principles rather than on what is specifically taking place at a given time and locale, it is not likely to be fruitful. There is, however, an asymmetry about conflict size that should be noted. Insofar as a conflict involves a change in the status quo, keeping the conflict small may favor lack of change. This is particularly likely to be the case when there is a social inertia or bias in favor of the status quo. In such an instance, those who wish to bring about change may have to enlarge the conflict sufficiently to motivate those who see no reason to be interested in altering things as they are. Thus those endeavoring to preserve the status quo may seek to minimize conflict so that it seems not worth bothering about, while those attempting to bring about a change may try to enhance it so that it can become a focus of concerned attention. Issue rigidity. The perceived lack of satisfactory alternatives or substitutes for the methods of achieving the outcomes or for the actual outcomes initially at stake in the conflict makes for issue rigidity. If an academician wants a salary increase and will not accept a promotion as a substitute, he and his financially pressed university may find themselves embroiled in an irreconcilable conflict, a conflict that would be readily resolved if a promotion were an acceptable alternative. Sometimes, motivational and intellectual limitations may lead the parties to perceive issues more rigidly than reality dictates-as when an insecure child stubbornly insists that he cannot make "duty" except in his own potty. However, it is also evident that a harsh reality may very much limit the possibility of finding acceptable substitutes and narrowly restrict the possibilities open to the conflicting parties. If there is insufficient food, shelter, clothing, medicine, or anything else required for physical and psychological survival, conflict over such necessities will often take on a desperate quality. Issue rigidity is not only determined by the psychological and environmental resources available to the conflicting parties but also by the nature of the issue. Certain issues are less conducive to conflict resolution than others. "Greater power over the other," "victory over the other," "having more status than the other" are rigid definitions of conflict, since it is impossible on any given issue for each party in conflict to have outcomes that are superior to the other's. Centrality of the issues. Any issue that infringes upon something considered to be vital to a person's physical well-being, socio-economic position, self-esteem, or defense against anxiety is central. The more central an issue is considered to be, the more likely it is to be viewed as an important or large issue and the more apt it is to be defined as a rigid one. Thus conflicts over issues that are considered to be central by both sides are often the most irreconcilable ones. The centrality of an issue is determined not only by the substantive significance of the issue, or by what values are perceived to be at stake, but also by the perceived vulnerability of the person. The more vulnerable a person considers himself to be in a given area, the more likely it is that he will view an issue bearing upon that area as a central one. There are, of course, immense differences among people in how wide a margin of security they require in order not to feel vulnerable. Those who require a large margin will generally seek to avoid conflict over central issues and, if cornered into such a conflict, will often experience it as a life-and-death struggle with no holds barred. Thus to avoid provoking the other to engage in a desperate struggle, one should avoid challenging him in his vulnerable, central regions. The number and interdependence of the issues. A conflict in which the winner takes all and the loser gets nothing is likely to be more bitterly contested than one in which there are victories for both sides. If victories are possible for both, there is no longer one winner and one loser; rather there is a winner for each issue in the conflict. Thus it seems evident that, if a "single" conflict can be broken down into a number of separate issues so that it is no longer an all-or-nothing matter, the conflict is less likely to take a destructive course. It would, of course, do little good if all the separate issues were so interconnected that a loss on one inevitably implied a loss on all the others. Consensus on the importance of different issues. Just as breaking down a large bundle of issues into its separate components may favor the sense of multiple victors, so may a lack of consensus on the significance of the issues. If one side considers issue A to be important and B to be insignificant while the other thinks that A is of little importand B is crucial, it is apparent that their disagreement in valuing the issues will facilitate the resolution of a conflict between them over the two issues. Consciousness of the issues. In chapter 3, we pointed out that unacknowledged or unconscious conflict is considered harder to resolve than conflict that is recognized by the parties involved. Similarly, conflict between parties who do not recognize the existence and legitimacy of one another is more likely to be destructive than if they do. There are two major forms of unacknowledged conflict: displaced conflict and latent or repressed conflict. In displaced conflict, the conflict is shifted from the issue of primary concern to another associated issue. (See chapter 1 for a further discussion of the types of conflict.) Thus a man and wife who have an unacknowledged conflict about affection may displace their conflict into the sexual arena. They may anticipate that it would be less painful to argue about the frequency and timing of sexual relations than to discuss their needs for affectionate regard from one another. The fashionable assumption in social science writing, except among behavior therapists, is that it is unproductive to deal with the manifest conflict unless the underlying conflict is also surfaced and faced. However, there are enough recorded instances of successful experiences in dealing with manifest conflict and thus paving the way to a productive confrontation of unacknowledged conflicts to question whether this assumption is universally valid. Successful management of the manifest conflict may give the conflicting parties the courage to face the more fundamental conflict, which was previously too anxiety-arousing to recognize. Nevertheless, it seems reasonable to expect that, unless the underlying conflict is ultimately faced, it will remain a breeding ground for various new manifest conflicts. Repressed, latent conflict occurs when one of the conflicting parties is sufficiently dominant to make the weaker party forego any overt, conflicting behavior in pursuit of its objectives. The common result of such repression is the build-up of a malaise in the subordinate party, which takes such various forms as depression, listlessness, passive aggressiveness, and psychosomatic ailments-all accompanied by an underlying pent-up rage. Repressed conflict has malconsequences not only for the suppressed party but also for the dominant one. In addition to the passive resistance and the continuous threat of a violent outbreak of the pent-up rage from the repressed, it creates attitudes of ,superiority in the dominant that interfere with a cooperative confrontation of the issues in dispute once the conflict has surfaced. The Characteristics of the Parties in Conflict The ideologies, personalities, social positions, and personal resources of the conflicting parties all play a role in determining whether a given conflict will take a cooperative or a competitive course. They do so in two primary ways. First, they may lead directly to a more favorable evaluation of one process or the other. Thus the strategy and tactics associated with competitive struggle may seem more manly or intriguing than those associated with cooperation. Consider the contrasting popular images of the soldier and the diplomat. Or, one's image of self as tough, invincible, and unbeatable may lead one to expect that there is more to gain from competition than from cooperation. Second, they may evoke an interaction process that may result in misunderstanding and negative feelings and may, in turn, stimulate a competitive orientation to the conflict. Alternately, the characteristics of the parties may create a social process that will engender a sense of mutual understanding and compatibility which, in turn, may give rise to a cooperative orientation. That is, certain types of people will rub one another the wrong way and as a result be negative in their orientation, while other pairings of people will find one another very congenial, and, as a consequence, they will be cooperatively oriented. There has, as yet, been only a small amount of systematic research on the personal determinants of conflict behavior. Terhune (1970 a, b) has provided an excellent recent survey of this research. My discussion, which follows below, is indebted to Terhune's summary but is not confined to it. First of all, it is important to note that the magnitude of the effect of personality variables is very much influenced by the situation. The more competitive or threatening the situation (as determined by such factors as the available outcomes and the behavior of the other side), the smaller is the difference in behavior among different personality types. In such situations, people of various personality types all tend to be pushed toward competitive behavior. On the other hand, a cooperative situation permits the various personality types to display different behavior (see Kelley and Stahelski 1970, for related research). Second, the personal characteristics of one side cannot fruitfully be considered apart from those of the other side. Thus, if both sides have high aspirations, so that each wants the major share of the available outcome, then a cooperative process is less likely than if their aspirations permit both to be satisfied. The latter would be the case if both had low aspirations or if one had low and the other had high aspirations. It is evident that some personality characteristics lead to cornp'atibility when each member of an interacting pair displays the characteristic; with other characteristics, compatibility is fostered by dissimilarity. Similarities in beliefs, attitudes, and values-i.e., in basic perspectives-are usually conducive to compatibility and, hence, to cooperative resolutions of conflict. Exceptions to this generalization occur in relation to competitive (dog-eat-dog) conceptions of the world and also in relation to ideologies and doctrines, which, although similar in conception, claim priority or preeminence for their adherents. Dissimilarity in outlook often leads to antagonistic relations because it is experienced as a fundamental threat to one's conception of reality and thus to one's security. On the other hand, similarity between members of a dyad in the need to dominate, to lead, to have high status, or to possess a given person or object exclusively may foster competition, whereas dissimilarity may evoke cooperation. Clinical research on married couples (Dicks 1967) suggests that married couples are likely to deal with conflicts most productively when they have similar beliefs, attitudes, and values but a complementary dissimilarity in overt and covert needs, so that, for example, the husband's overt independence and covert dependence are complemented by the wife's overt dependence and covert independence. Presumably, each spouse obtains vicarious release of his own covert strivings from the other's overt behavior; he also obtains direct satisfaction in their reciprocal overt and covert roles. It is reasonable to hypothesize that certain personality traits are compatible with a wide range of personalities, while other traits will be congenial to only a few. Thus Terhune (1970) reports that such personality characteristics as aggressiveness, authoritarianism, need for dominance, suspiciousness, dogmatism, tendency to derogate others, exploitativeness, and Machiavellianism tend to produce costly conflict and that cooperation is more likely to result from personalities that are egalitarian, trusting, open-minded, tolerant of ambiguity, high in need for achievement, favorable in their view of human nature. In other words, a bossy person or a suspicious person is likely to rub more people the wrong way and apt to have a narrower range of cooperative relations than a person who is egalitarian or trusting. The former types are, as a consequence of their experiences, less likely to expect others to be cooperative and are thus more apt to have pessimistic views about the possibilities of initiating a successful cooperative process. Internal conflict and dissension within the respective parties to conflict is another characteristic that may affect the course of conflict between them. Internal conflict may result in increased external belligerence as a tactic to increase internal cohesiveness, or it may lead to external weakness and possibly tempt the other side to obtain a competitive advantage. Internal instability also interferes with cooperative conflict resolution by making it difficult to work out a durable, dependable agreement. Estimations of Success Many conflicts have an unplanned, expressive character in which the course of action taken is an expression of both the quality of the relationship between the participants and the characteristics of the individual participants. Other conflicts are guided by an instrumental orientation in which courses of action are consciously evaluated and chosen in terms of how likely they are to lead to satisfying outcomes. Many factors influencing the estimations of success of the different processes of conflict resolution could be listed. Those who perceive themselves to have a clear superiority in power are likely to favor an unregulated competitive process; those who perceive themselves as having a legal superiority in "rights" are likely to favor adversary relations that are regulated by legal institutions; those who are concerned with the long-range relationships, with the ability to work together in the future, are more likely to favor a cooperative process. Similarly, those who have'been excluded from the cooperative process and expect the regulations to be stacked against them may think of the competitive process as the only one offering any potential of satisfaction. Third Parties The attitudes, strength, and resources of interested third parties are often crucial determinants of the course of conflict. Conflict between the conflicting principals may be instigated or aggravated by a third party wittingly or unwittingly-as, for example, when a child struggling with his own oedipal feelings attempts to provoke a quarrel between his parents. As the phrase tertium gaudens suggests, third parties can often obtain power-by playing two potential rivals off each other. The conditions under which this can be done successfully are not well understood. Research by Geis (1964) suggests, however, that those who are high rather than low in Machiavellianism are apt to be more successful in doing it. The intervention of third parties is often constructive (see chapter 8, experiment IV). The mere intervention of an outsider in the conflict may serve to unify the conflicting parties against the outsider: both the conflicting parties may agree that it is their private conflict and both may fear or resent the intrusion of an outsider into their private affairs. It is not unusual for a violently quarreling couple to turn aggressively against someone who tries to intervene in their slugfest. Here, the third party inadvertently, by his intervention, activates and makes more salient the cohesive bonds between the conflicting parties. Third parties who are prestigeful, powerful and skillful may deliberately facilitate a constructive resolution of a conflict by using their prestige and power to encourage such a resolution and by helping provide the problem-solving resources (institutions, facilities, personnel, social norms, and procedures) to expedite discovery of a mutually satisfactory solution. The next section considers in greater detail the role of third parties in the regulation of conflict. THE REGULATION OF CONFLICT It is evident that conflict can be limited and controlled by institutional forms .(e.g., collective bargaining, the judicial system), social roles (mediators, conciliators, referees, judges, policemen), social norms (fairness, justice, equality, nonviolence, integrity of communication, etc.), rules for conducting negotiations (when to initiate and terminate negotiations, how to set an agenda, how to present demands, etc.), and specific procedures (hinting versus explicit communication, public versus private sessions, etc.). These societal forms may be aimed at regulating how force may be employed, as in the code of a duel of honor or in certain rules of warfare; or it may be an attempt to ascertain the basic power. relations of the disputants without resort to a power struggle, as is often the case in the negotiations of collective bargaining and international relations; or it may be oriented toward removing power as the basis for determining the outcome of conflict, as is often the case in judicial processes. With regard to regulated conflict, it is pertinent to ask three central questions: (1) What are the conditions necessary for the institutionalization and regulation of conflict? (2) What are the conditions that make it likely that the regulations will be adhered to by the parties in conflict? and (3) What are the conditions under which the institutions and procedures will be used to wage conflict competitively or to resolve it cooperatively? Why would adversaries engage in a duel of honor rather than attempt to kill one another without regard to any rules? In a duel, when would a duelist prefer to die rather than to cheat? Under what conditions will the duelists use the rules to attempt to kill one another, and under what conditions will they use the same rules to restore mutual honor and esteem? The Development of Conflict Regulation For conflict regulation to develop, several preconditions seem required. First of all, the conflicting parties must themselves be organized. As Dahrendorf (1959, p. 226) has pointed out: "So long as conflicting forces are diffuse, incoherent aggregates, regulation is virtually impossible." Unless each party is sufficiently internally coherent and stable to act as an organized unit so that the actions of its components are controlled and unified in relation to the conflict, it is evident that regulation cannot be effectively developed or maintained. Thus one is not likely to engage in a duel of honor with an opponent who is so unstable and impulsive that his actions are uncontrollable-and it cannot be predicted with confidence that he will follow the rules. Second, each party to a conflict must be willing to recognize the legitimacy of the other party and be committed to accepting the outcome of the regulated conflict, even if it is considered to be unfavorable to his interest. For example, an employer who is confronted with demands from a number of his workers may feel that those demands do not represent the wants of the majority of his employees and may refuse to recognize them. Under such conditions, it is unlikely that the conflict between the employer and his workers will be limited and regulated by rules and procedures that are acceptable to both sides. Also, if either an employer or a union makes clear its intention to refuse to accept the outcome of a regulated conflict if it believes the outcome is undesirable, there is little incentive for the other side to submit to being regulated. Similarly, it is hard to have a duel of honor if your opponent is not willing to accept your right to challenge him. Nor are you likely to participate in such a duel if you know that your opponent will attempt to have you injured in some underhanded way if he is defeated fairly by you. Third, it should be noted that the conflicts that are regulated are not likely to be the unprecedented ones. A conflict that is recurrent provides a base of experience for developing the procedures, institutions, facilities, and social roles for limiting its destructiveness, It would be reassuring to be able to report some evidence that demonstrates that repeated experience with-a given type of conflict leads to its more productive management. Unfortunately, I could find no significant research bearing upon this issue. Finally, and perhaps most importantly, the regulation of conflict is most likely to develop when both sides to a conflict are part of a common community. This is so for several reasons. The community may be adversely affected by an unrestrained conflict and may, hence, exert pressures on the conflicting parties to regulate and limit their conflict and to follow the rules once they have been agreed upon. In addition, as members of a common community having similar values, traditions, and language, it may be easier for the conflicting parties to agree on rules and procedures for regulating the conflict than if they do not have this correspondence of background. Also, a common community is likely to help provide the knowledge, resources, and facilities that can expedite the development of methods of regulating a conflict. Prior experience with similar conflicts may have led the cornmunity to develop institutions and procedures for dealing with the type of conflict in which the parties are engaged. A duel of honor presupposes that the duelists have a common code of honor, a code to which all members of a given community will adhere if they want to be esteemed within that community. It also presupposes a set of social roles and procedures that have been carefully articulated within the community and that help to limit and specify the actions that may be taken by the adversaries. Adherence to the Rules A full examination of the conditions that influence whether rules (norms, agreements, contracts, laws, and the like) are adhered to or violated would lead to a discussion of the different forms of rule violation and social deviance, their genesis and control. Such an undertaking is beyond the scope of this work. However, it seems reasonable to assert that adherence to the rules is more likely when: 1. The rules are known. How accessible is the information about the rules? How much publicity have they been given and through what media of communication? How motivated and able is the individual to acquire and absorb knowledge of the rules? 2. The rules are clear, unambiguous, and consistent. How easy is it to understand the rules, and how clear are their implications? If one conforms to one rule, does this lead to a violation of other rules becausethe rules are not internally consistent? 3. The rules are not perceived to be biased against one's own interests.How fair are the rules? Do they give the adversary an advantagehe would not otherwise have? 4. The other adheres to the rules. With how much confidence can one predict that the other side will also follow the rules if one abides by them? If the other violates the rules, will it be out of ignorance or mischief? 5. Violations are quickly known by significant others. If violations of the rules occur, how quickly will they be identified? How much advantage will the violator gain before the violation is detected? Who will know of the violations, and how influential are they? 6. 6.There is significant social approval for adherence and significantsocial disapproval for violations. How strong are the internalized values of conscience in the conflicting parties? Do important people and groups in the community care about whether the rules are supported or violated? Are esteem and other social benefits granted for adherence to the rules, and are there significant negative sanctions for those who violate them? 7. Adherence to the rules has been rewarding in the past. Have the prior experiences with the rules been rewarding or frustrating? Is there a legacy of trust or suspicion with regard to the rules and the way they have been administered in the past? 8. One would like to be able to employ the rules in the future. Do the adversaries envision a future that will be better because they have worked toward the preservation of the current system of rules, or is the outcome of the specific conflict more important to them than the preservation of the system? Is the system of conflict regulation held in such disrepute that the conflict participant is more concerned with detroying the system than with resolving the specific conflict?