School of Public Affairs and Administration, Rutgers University-Newark Applied Statistics, Fall 2015 Saturdays 1:30-4:25pm, Classroom: Instructor: David Jancsics, PhD, Post-Doctoral Fellow INTRODUCTION This course introduces students to research and statistical methods with an emphasis on applications to public policy and public administration decision-making. Its aim is to train students to be comfortable in using quantitative research methods to answer policy, management and performance related questions by using different types of quantitative data such as official reports, organizational records or representative surveys. In the first part of the course, we discuss the basic terms of statistics including variables, measurement levels, operationalization and concepts of reliability and validity. We also learn how to use descriptive statistics to summarize certain features of statistical data sets. In the second part, we focus on inferential statistics for means and proportions and discuss topics such as sampling distribution, population parameters, standard error and hypothesis testing. In the third part, we introduce the concepts of regression analysis, multivariate models as well as data reduction and classification techniques. Finally, we discuss how to summarize and present results of statistical analyses and write a policy research report for a non-technical audience. We will primarily use Microsoft Excel and SPSS as statistical analysis package. Use of simple calculator with a square root key will be necessary for many parts of this course. REQUIRED TEXTBOOKS Essential Statistics for Public Managers and Policy Analysts, 3 edition, by Evan M. Berman and Xiaohu Wang, 2012. Thousand Oaks. Performance Analysis for Public and Nonprofit Organizations by Xiaohu Wang, 2010. Jones and Bartlett Publishers. CLASS ATTENDANCE This class builds steadily on materials learned in previous sessions. Therefore regular class attendance and keeping up with assignments are essential. If you miss two or more class sessions, you will be very likely to earn a course grade lower than “C+.” 1 HOMEWORK ASSIGNMENTS Your weekly homework assignments will include conceptual and data-based exercises. Assignments will be posted along with lecture slides on Blackboard each week. Homework is essential for understanding the material and doing well on the quizzes and your paper. QUIZZES (60%) In order to check your understanding of the concepts you have learned I will frequently give quizzes during the first 20-25 minutes of class. Quizzes will consist a mix of true/false, short answer, calculation, and interpretation questions. You will take six (6) quizzes over the semester. Each quiz is worth 10 points. I will drop your lowest quiz score. RESEARCH REPORT (40%) You are required to write a 8-10 page (double-spaced) policy research report to demonstrate how you can use statistical techniques to address real-world issues. This task will allow you to demonstrate that you have learned how to choose appropriate statistics to answer particular questions, how to interpret descriptive and inferential statistics, and how to write a report for diverse audience. I will provide you a suggested outline and organization of the research paper. PROFESSIONAL CONDUCT Please arrive at class on time. You will have to miss a quiz otherwise. Cell phones as well as other electronic communication devices must be off or silenced during class. Please do not use recording devices, audio and/or video in class. You will be held to the very highest standard of academic integrity in this course. Please read “Rutgers University Academic Integrity Policy” here: http://academicintegrity.rutgers.edu/files/documents/AI_Policy_9_01_2011.pdf GRADING POLICY Quizzes 60% Applied Essay 40% A 90 or above B+ 85-<90 B 80-<85 C+ 75-<80 C 70-<75 F below 70 2 SCHEDULE Week 1 2 Quiz 3 #1 4 5 #2 6 7 #3 8 9 Correlation analysis 10 11 #4 12 #5 13 14 Class topic Introduction to analytical methods Variable, measurement and data collection Descriptive Statistics Percentage, ratio, frequency distribution Descriptive Statistics Central tendency Descriptive Statistics Dispersion, Z Score Confidence interval, sampling and hypothesis testing Contingency table and Chi square test Compare Means T-test procedure ANOVA #6 Bivariate linear regression Multivariate linear regression Logistic regression and more regression topics Dummy variable Interaction effect Stepwise option etc. Data Reduction and Classification Factor Analysis Cluster Analysis Presenting results Report Presentation Data visualization Reading [ES]Ch1, [PA]Ch1 [ES] Ch2, 3-5[PA]Ch2 Handout, [ES] Ch7 [ES] Ch6, [PA]Ch3 [ES] Ch7, [PA]Ch5 Handout, [PA]Ch7, [ES] Ch2, [PA]Ch9 [ES] Ch8,10,[PA]Ch9 [ES] Ch12 ,13 [PA]Ch11-13 Handout, [PA]Ch9, [PA]Ch10 [ES] Ch14, [PA]Ch13 [ES]Ch15, [PA]Ch10 Handout, [ES]Ch16 Handout Handout, [PA]Ch14 Please note that this is a draft of the syllabus and it is subject to change as needed. 3