RIVER MURRAY WEEKLY REPORT FOR THE WEEK ENDING WEDNESDAY, 3RD JUNE 2016 Trim Ref: D15/48961 Rainfall and Inflows Rain was recorded across much of the Murray-Darling Basin this week with the highest totals around the southeast ranges and across northern New South Wales (Map 1). Some of the highest rainfall totals occurred in north eastern Victoria including 84 mm at Rocky Valley, 58 mm at Mouth Buffalo and 54 mm at Mount Buller AWS. Other notable totals include 51 mm at Cabramurra AWS and 31 mm at Hume Reservoir in the southwest slopes of NSW and 32 mm at Tamworth Airport AWS, 27 mm at Coonabarabran AWS and 29 mm at Wanaaring in northern NSW. Map 1 – Murray-Darling Basin rainfall week ending 3rd June 2015 (Source: Bureau of Meteorology) This week’s rain prompted renewed, but modest stream flow rises in the upper Murray tributaries. On the Mitta Mitta River, the flow at Hinnomunjie Bridge reached 1,350 ML/day and averaged around 1,000 ML/day for the week. The Murray at Biggara reached a similar peak and averaged around 800 ML/day. On the Kiewa River, the flow at Mongans Bridge reached around 2,000 ML/day and averaged around 1,400 ML/day. On the Ovens River, the flow at Rocky Point reached around 1,500 ML/day and averaged 1,200 ML/day. May 2015 Summary Rainfall across the southern Basin was average to below average during May 2015, while the northern Basin experienced average to above-average rainfall (Map 2). Across the Basin as a whole, the Bureau GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 Web: www.mdba.gov.au ABN 13679821382 Page 1 of 9 of Meteorology (BoM) has reported the month as the 59th driest May in 116 years of records with an area-averaged total of 31.8 mm (25% below the long-term mean). During May, the mean daily maximum temperature across the Basin was close to the long-term May average. The mean daily minimum temperature was average to above average with the warming trend generally higher in northern NSW and southern Victoria. Map 2 - Murray Darling Basin rainfall deciles for May 2015 (Source: Bureau of Meteorology). River Murray System inflows for May (excluding Snowy Scheme, Darling River, IVT and managed environmental inflows) totalled around 240 GL. This volume was greater than May 2014 inflows (200 GL), however remained below the long-term average for May of about 440 GL. Estimated evaporation losses from MDBA storages for May 2015 are reported in Table 1. Evaporation is estimated by multiplying the surface area of the storage by the net evaporation (evaporation minus rainfall). As a result of rainfall exceeding evaporation during May, net evaporation at both Dartmouth and Hume Reservoirs was negative (i.e. there was a gain of water on the storage, not a loss). Table 1: Monthly evaporation figures for MDBA storages *Approximate (net) evaporative Storage loss in May 2015 (GL) Dartmouth -3 Hume -2 Lake Victoria 5 Menindee Lakes 4 Average storage volume in May 2015 (GL) 2,899 656 273 67 * Evaporative loss from storage = surface area of the storage x net evaporation. Net evaporation = measured evaporation (using a ‘pan’ instrument) - rainfall. GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 2 of 9 2014-15 MDBA Water Year Summary The beginning of June marks the transition to a new ‘water year’ for the River Murray system as the commencement of the winter-spring period is typically when tributary inflows increase and headwater storages begin to be replenished. The water year is used by the MDBA to manage and report on system inflows, demands and storage levels across a 12 month period in a way that best matches the system’s hydrological and demand cycle. River Murray System inflows during 2014-15 water year were around 4,400 GL putting 2014-15 in the driest 15% of years on record. By comparison, inflows in 2013-14 totalled 5,700 GL with 7,400 GL in 2012-13 and the long-term average is around 9,100 GL. The first significant rain event for 2014-15 occurred in late June, and was followed by further significant rain in mid-July. These rainfall events generated good inflows into the River Murray System with inflows during July increasing to around the long term average (See plot on page 9). However inflows were mainly captured in storages and downstream flows only briefly reached a peak of around 24,000 ML/day downstream of Yarrawonga and Euston in July and August respectively. Inflow to the River Murray System took a sharp decline in August with rainfall across the southern Basin very much below average. Low rainfall continued through September and October, resulting in very low inflows during the three-month period when historically inflows would have been highest. Coupled with the poor rainfall, temperatures throughout this period were extremely warm. Despite a return to more average rainfall in the southern Basin during November and December and wetter than average conditions in January, River Murray system inflows remained well below the longterm average for each of these months and for the remainder of the water year. As was experienced in 2013-14, inflows to the Menindee Lakes system over the last 12 months have continued to be very low and are approaching the extended dry periods experienced during the Millennium drought. Winter 2014 began with MDBA active storage around the long-term average. Water in storage increased throughout the winter, however high demands during the spring, summer and into autumn have subsequently drawn the storage volume down to around 3/4 of the long-term average (Figure 1). Due to very low storage levels, no water was available to the MDBA in Menindee Lakes during 2014-15. There was hot weather — similar to the previous year — during spring and early summer, contributing to high demands and high system losses along the River Murray. Although January and April were wetter than average, high demands and system losses continued well into autumn. Without access to water in Menindee Lakes this year, high demands required flow through the choke to remain close to channel capacity from late September to late April. Also, large volumes of water were transferred around the choke via Murray Irrigation Limited and Goulburn–Murray Water supply networks and record volumes of inter-valley trade were delivered from the Goulburn and Murrumbidgee Valleys. Water storage in Hume Reservoir was drawn down to meet demand with the volume dropping to 20% capacity by mid-April. This is despite transferring around 1,000 GL from Dartmouth Reservoir. Barrage releases continued throughout the year when weather conditions permitted, however continued sand accumulation at the Murray Mouth did require the re-commencement of dredging operations at the beginning of January 2015. In late May the Bureau of Meteorology announced that El Niño thresholds had been exceeded and El Niño was likely to continue into spring. Whilst this does not automatically mean dry conditions, the likelihood of suppressed rainfall in South East Australia and particularly for the upper Darling catchments in the coming winter-spring is increased. GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 3 of 9 MDBA Active Storage : June 2000 to present Long-term Average Active Storage 10000 Active Storage Maximum Active Storage (at full supply level) 9000 End of Month Storage (GL) 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 Jun 2015 Jun 2014 Jun 2013 Jun 2012 Jun 2011 Jun 2010 Jun 2009 Jun 2008 Jun 2007 Jun 2006 Jun 2005 Jun 2004 Jun 2003 Jun 2002 Jun 2001 Jun 2000 0 Figure 1 – MDBA active storage, June 2000 to June 2015. River Operations Lake Mulwala level continues to fall Mildura weir removed and maintenance works are underway Over the past week MDBA storage has increased by 73 GL, with the active storage currently 3,799 GL or 45% capacity. At Dartmouth Reservoir, the storage volume reduced by 20 GL to 2,868 GL (74% capacity). Releases increased during the week to 6,000 ML/day (measured at Colemans gauge) as bulk transfers to Hume Reservoir continued, in preparation for supplying system demands next season. The flow at Colemans is currently 5,500 ML/day and will be gradually reduced toward 1,700 ML/day by the last week in June. Hume Reservoir’s storage volume increased by 60 GL this week to 785 GL (26% capacity). The current release from Hume remains at the minimum of 600 ML/day. At Yarrawonga Weir, the pool level continues to be reduced and is currently 121.39 m AHD, which is 3.31 m below the normal operating level. The pool level is expected to reach the target of around 121.2 m AHD early in the coming week. Depending on the volume of water flowing in from the Ovens and Kiewa rivers, it is expected that the pool level will be refilled to the normal operating level in the second half of July. The downstream release at Yarrawonga Weir has been decreased this week and is currently 5,100 ML/day. Further reductions will be made in the coming days. On the Edward River System, inflows via the Edward River and Gulpa Creek offtakes have reduced in response to falling River Murray levels at Picnic Point. The current total inflow has reduced to 1,200 ML/day and is expected to continue decreasing slowly during the coming week. On the Goulburn River, the flow at McCoys Bridge has been steady at around 940 ML/day. This flow is expected to continue until mid-June, after which higher flows are possible. More information will be provided in future Weekly Reports. GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 4 of 9 At Torrumbarry Weir, around 250 ML/day is being diverted at National Channel in order to maintain a winter base flow in Gunbower Creek for the benefit of native fish. The flow downstream of Torrumbarry Weir receded this week (currently 6,500 ML/day) and will continue to fall away over the coming week. At Euston Weir, the pool was re-filled to the Full Supply Level (FSL) of 47.60 m AHD. The pool will be raised by a further 20cm to 47.80 m AHD next week whilst inflows are relatively high. The flow downstream of Euston peaked at 11,300 ML/day and is expected to remain above 9,000 ML/day for the coming week. At Mildura, removal of the weir structure is complete and works are underway. The pool level is now more than 3 metres below FSL. Whilst the pool level is low, the Mallee CMA in association with other agencies has taken the opportunity to flush salt from Psyche Lagoon (Photo 1). The salt has accumulated from saline groundwater intrusion into the lagoon and from the reduction in natural flood events. Changed management practices including improved irrigation practices provide the opportunity to return the lagoon to good health by removing some of the stored salt. Commonwealth and Victorian environmental water holders have provided environmental water for the discharge of water from the Lagoon. The discharged water is being managed to ensure that salinity levels in the River Murray remain low and do not impact on downstream water users. Current river flows of around 11,000 ML/day have allowed higher releases while keeping in-river salinity concentrations below 250 EC downstream of Mildura. The release of saline water is expected to cease in the coming week. Photo 1 – Releases have lowered the water level in Psyche Lagoon by about 50cm (Source: Jane White, Mallee CMA) The volume stored in the Menindee Lakes increased by another 2 GL due to the continued arrival of a small pulse of inflows originating from upstream tributaries in early April. The Menindee Lakes currently store 74 GL (4% capacity) and there remains no release from Weir 32. The flow at Wentworth is currently 10,600 ML/day and the salinity is around 180 EC. The flow is expected to remain in excess of 10,000 ML/day over the coming week. GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 5 of 9 On Mullaroo Creek, adjacent to Lock 7 Weir pool, construction of a new regulator and a fishway is progressing well. Flow to Mullaroo Creek is now being managed using the new regulator (Photo 1) and is currently targeting around 600 ML/day. Prior to construction of the new regulator, flow into Mullaroo Creek was dependent on the level of Lock 7 weir pool. Construction of the new regulator will allow the weir pool level to be raised to deliver environmental water to the upper Lindsay River system or lowered to provide drying of fringing wetlands while maintaining appropriate flows in the Mullaroo creek and lower Lindsay River. Photo 2 – The newly constructed Mullaroo regulator and fishway entrance (Source: Peter Vardy, IPMG) The storage in Lake Victoria increased by 30 GL to 340 GL (50% capacity). The flow to South Australia averaged 4,000 ML/day this week and is expected to be around 3,700 ML/day over the coming week. At the Lower Lakes, the 5 day average water level in Lake Alexandrina was steady at 0.64 m AHD. Release through the barrages have continued when conditions have allowed. For media inquiries contact the Media Officer on 02 6279 0141 DAVID DREVERMAN Executive Director, River Management GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 6 of 9 Water in Storage Week ending Wednesday 03 Jun 2015 Full Supply Level MDBA Storages Dartmouth Reservoir Hume Reservoir Lake Victoria Menindee Lakes Total Total Active MDBA Storage Current Storage Level Full Supply Volume (m AHD) 486.00 192.00 27.00 (GL) 3 856 3 005 677 1 731* 9 269 Major State Storages Burrinjuck Reservoir Blowering Reservoir Eildon Reservoir Current Storage (GL) 2 868 785 340 74 4 067 % 74% 26% 50% 4% 44% 434 426 1 910 42% 26% 57% (m AHD) 469.55 176.73 23.96 1 026 1 631 3 334 Dead Storage Active Storage (GL) 71 23 100 (- -) # -- (GL) 2 797 762 240 0 3 799 45% ^ 3 24 100 431 402 1 810 Change in Total Storage for the Week (GL) -20 +60 +30 +2 +73 +4 +2 +8 * Menindee surcharge capacity – 2050 GL ** All Data is rounded to nearest GL ** # NSW takes control of Menindee Lakes when storage falls below 480 GL, and control reverts to MDBA when storage next reaches 640 GL ^ % of total active MDBA storage Snowy Mountains Scheme Storage Lake Eucumbene - Total Snowy-Murray Component Target Storage Snowy diversions for week ending 02 Jun 2015 Active Storage (GL) 2 160 1 072 1 240 Weekly Change (GL) n/a n/a Diversion (GL) From 1 May 2015 39 21 18 63 This Week Snowy-Murray Tooma-Tumut Net Diversion Murray 1 Release +13 +6 7 +15 Major Diversions from Murray and Lower Darling (GL) * New South Wales This Week Murray Irrig. Ltd (Net) Wakool Sys Allowance Western Murray Irrigation Licensed Pumps Lower Darling TOTAL -0.3 2.1 0.1 0.8 0.1 2.8 From 1 July 2014 842 87 24 281 61 1295 Victoria This Week Yarrawonga Main Channel (net) Torrumbarry System + Nyah (net) Sunraysia Pumped Districts Licensed pumps - GMW (Nyah+u/s) Licensed pumps - LMW TOTAL 0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.5 3 From 1 July 2014 301 613 105 75 296 1390 * Figures derived from estimates and monthly data. Please note that not all data may have been available at the time of creating this report. ** All data above is rounded to nearest 100 ML for weekly data and nearest GL for cumulative data** Flow to South Australia (GL) * Flow to SA will be greater than normal entitlement for this month due to the delivery of additional environmental water. Salinity (EC) Entitlement this month Flow this week Flow so far this month Flow last month 90.0 * 27.7 11.5 138.1 (4 000 ML/day) (microSiemens/cm at 25o C) Current Swan Hill Euston Red Cliffs Merbein Burtundy (Darling) Lock 9 Lake Victoria Berri Waikerie Morgan Mannum Murray Bridge Milang (Lake Alex.) Poltalloch (Lake Alex.) Meningie (Lake Alb.) Goolwa Barrages Average over the last week 70 70 190 180 930 140 170 260 300 290 310 360 720 670 2 240 2 650 GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Average since 1 August 2014 70 70 180 170 920 110 150 260 290 290 310 340 710 570 2 230 2 690 Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au 80 100 120 120 820 130 210 220 290 280 320 350 750 640 2 420 1 550 Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 7 of 9 River Levels and Flows Week ending Wednesday 03 Jun 2015 7.3 - 1.92 2.78 1.42 1.70 0.85 0.72 0.98 1.66 2.16 1.46 3.62 2.04 3.09 2.95 0.59 208.44 219.67 155.05 150.17 148.29 126.74 116.02 105.50 80.71 64.38 52.74 43.88 31.16 27.85 19.88 - (ML/day) 4 800 5 920 5 890 600 2 300 1 950 5 090 6 020 6 510 7 820 10 600 11 330 10 700 10 570 3 360 3 530 F R F S R F F F F F F R F R F F (ML/day) 2 970 4 490 4 990 600 2 180 2 270 5 720 6 550 7 650 8 420 10 760 10 840 10 000 9 810 3 530 3 650 Average Flow last Week (ML/day) 3 810 5 400 3 670 600 2 190 2 410 9 040 9 360 8 810 8 260 9 330 9 090 11 150 11 290 3 540 4 000 2.8 11.9 9.0 5.5 5.0 6.1 9.0 - 1.84 8.30 1.49 1.68 2.62 1.53 0.76 3.38 4.09 1.08 155.07 145.98 92.91 81.45 58.00 55.02 56.72 - 1 780 1 330 950 1 550 2 060 680 410 480 330 0 R S R F F F R S F F 1 600 1 240 930 1 780 2 160 670 350 520 470 0 1 590 1 230 980 1 850 1 820 490 350 750 480 0 5 540 5 000 Minor Flood Stage River Murray Khancoban Jingellic Tallandoon ( Mitta Mitta River ) Heywoods Doctors Point Albury Corowa Yarrawonga Weir (d/s) Tocumwal Torrumbarry Weir (d/s) Swan Hill Wakool Junction Euston Weir (d/s) Mildura Weir (d/s) Wentworth Weir (d/s) Rufus Junction Blanchetown (Lock 1 d/s) (m) Tributaries Kiewa at Bandiana Ovens at Wangaratta Goulburn at McCoys Bridge Edward at Stevens Weir (d/s) Edward at Liewah Wakool at Stoney Crossing Murrumbidgee at Balranald Barwon at Mungindi Darling at Bourke Darling at Burtundy Rocks Gauge local (m) 4.0 4.2 5.5 5.5 4.3 4.6 6.4 6.4 7.3 4.5 8.8 9.1 Height (m AHD) Flow Trend Average Flow this Week Natural Inflow to Hume (i.e. Pre Dartmouth & Snowy Mountains scheme) Weirs and Locks Pool levels above or below Full Supply Level (FSL) Murray Yarrawonga No. 26 Torrumbarry No. 15 Euston No. 11 Mildura No. 10 Wentworth No. 9 Kulnine No. 8 Wangumma Lower Lakes FSL (m AHD) 124.90 86.05 47.60 34.40 30.80 27.40 24.60 u/s -3.51 +0.00 +0.00 -3.24 +0.08 +0.01 -0.19 d/s +0.36 +0.45 -0.19 +0.09 FSL (m AHD) 22.10 19.25 16.30 13.20 9.80 6.10 3.20 No. 7 Rufus River No. 6 Murtho No. 5 Renmark No. 4 Bookpurnong No. 3 Overland Corner No. 2 Waikerie No. 1 Blanchetown u/s +0.05 -0.00 -0.01 +0.02 +0.19 +0.01 -0.09 d/s +0.64 -0.06 +0.11 +0.44 +0.12 +0.04 -0.16 FSL = 0.75 m AHD Lake Alexandrina average level for the past 5 days (m AHD) Barrages 0.64 Fishways at Barrages Openings Level (m AHD) No. Open Goolwa 128 openings 0.67 1 Mundoo 26 openings 0.66 All closed Boundary Creek 6 openings 0.1 Ewe Island 111 gates All closed Tauwitchere 322 gates 0.68 3 AHD = Level relative to Australian Height Datum, i.e. height above sea level GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Rock Ramp Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Web: www.mdba.gov.au Open Vertical Slot Open Open Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 ABN 13679821382 Page 8 of 9 Week ending Wednesday 03 Jun 2015 State Allocations (as at 03 Jun 2015) NSW - Murray Valley High security General security Victorian - Murray Valley 97% 61% NSW – Murrumbidgee Valley High security General security 95% 53% 100% 0% Victorian - Goulburn Valley High reliability Low reliability 100% 0% South Australia – Murray Valley NSW - Lower Darling High security General security High reliability Low reliability 100% 100% High security 100% NSW : http://www.water.nsw.gov.au/Water-management/Water-availability/Waterallocations/Water-allocations-summary/water-allocations-summary/default.aspx VIC : SA : http://www.nvrm.net.au/allocations/current.aspx http://www.environment.sa.gov.au/managing-natural-resources/river-murray GPO Box 1801 Canberra ACT 2601 Email: engagement@mdba.gov.au Telephone: 02 6279 0100 Facsimile: 02 6248 8053 Web: www.mdba.gov.au ABN 13679821382 Page 9 of 9