D-Lab I Final Report: Adapting a Solar Microgrid to Provide Lighting in Rural Nigeria Jon Cook, Laleh Rastegarzadeh, and Daniel Sheeter Prepared for D-Lab, UC Davis Feb. 14, 2011 1 Introduction For most remote, off-grid communities in the Niger Delta, candles and kerosene lamps are the primary sources of light for households after the sun goes down. In addition to being relatively expensive, these lighting sources provide poor light and contribute to respiratory problems when used in poorly ventilated indoor environments. As advanced lighting technologies have continued to become more efficient and inexpensive, the goal of replacing fuel-based lighting with electric light powered by small-scale renewable sources is becoming increasingly possible. 1.1 Problem Statement In this paper we address the feasibility of adapting an existing solar microgrid in India for use in the small village of Aduku, Nigeria. The purpose of the paper is to analyze the technical modifications of an existing microgrid in India that would be needed to set up a similar grid in Aduku and also outline sets of equipment that could be used to create a functional pilot microgrid in the community. 1.2 Description of Aduku Aduku is a village in Niger Delta and similar to many other parts of Nigeria is not connected to the national grid. Aduku is located in the state of Bayelsa (highlighted in Figure 1), which is a coastal state in the heart of the Niger River delta. Bayelsa state is one of the newest states in Nigeria, having been formed from neighboring Rivers state in 1996. It is the least populated of the delta states (~ 1.1 million people), but is a major oil and gas producing area due to its large crude oil deposits. The state government estimates that Bayelsa state currently accounts for about 30% of Nigeria’s oil production. The intensity of oil exploration and production has brought with it many conflicts between multinational oil companies, the Nigerian government and local communities. Figure 1 - Location of Bayelsa State Source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Nigeria_Bayelsa_State_map.png Despite the vast amount of resources in the delta, quality of life remains poor. The region’s human development index (HDI) score, a measure of well being encompassing the longevity of life, knowledge and a decent standard of living, remains at a low value of 0.564 (with 1 being the highest score). Bayelsa state is slightly worse off than the rest of the delta with an HDI score of 0.499 (UNDP 2006). Rural areas typically have a lower HDI than urban areas, so we can reasonably expect that the HDI for the area immediately around Aduku is even lower than that. As a whole, the region has little working infrastructure, low access to safe drinking water and high child mortality rates. In Aduku, several attempts have been made to install solar water pumps (by the World Bank and Niger Delta Development Commission), but as of yet none have been successful and the community is still without good access to water. Our partner organization, the Niger Delta Wetlands Center (NDWC), has had success in building solar water pumps in other communities in the delta and is reportedly making plans to install one in Aduku. In terms of environment, the Niger delta is made up of a vast network of rivers and creeks that are surrounded by swamps, marshland and tropical rain forest (Figure 2). The area is almost entirely below sea level and contains around 12,000 sq. km of mangrove forests, the largest such forest in the world. Due to this difficult topography, 94% of the delta’s estimated 30 million people live in settlements of fewer than 5,000 people that offer very little in the way of economic opportunities (UNDP 2006). Aduku is no exception: it is a small village of about 86 households on the bank of a large river where the primary activities are subsistence fishing, farming (goats and cassava), palm oil production and logging. Figure 2 - Satellite view of the Niger Delta Source: http://www.imagekind.com/Niger-Delta-(Nigeria)-:-Satellite-Image-art?IMID=6c54ca41-9a46-4da4-bf778f82936144cc One unique aspect of Aduku is its layout (Figure 3). The village is linear, with almost all of the residences and businesses being located off of a main road/path that stretches from one end of the community to the other. This road runs parallel to the River Aduku (a tributary of the large River Forcados) and the area between the two is the primary land used for farming. Houses are made of mud walls and have either a thatched roof or one made of zinc. In terms of density, the majority of houses in Aduku (about 70 of 86) are located west of the north-south road that connects Aduku to more populated parts of the delta. Landowners typically live directly across the River Forcados in the Noari Community and not in Aduku proper. The linear nature of Aduku is one of the most important features to consider when designing a microgrid due to the impact it will have on wiring costs, battery size and placement of solar panels. Figure 3 - Linear layout of Aduku Source: NDWC In terms of lighting, the status quo in Aduku (like most of rural Nigeria) involves the use of candles, kerosene lamps and gasoline generators. Roughly one in three households in Aduku have generators (~1 kW), but these devices are used primarily to power larger appliances. This leaves the bulk of the ambient lighting load to be picked up by candles and kerosene lamps. The current prices of gasoline, diesel and kerosene are about US $1.80, $3.60 and $1.50 per liter, respectively, but the price of candles is still unknown as is the typical household’s monthly expenditure on lighting. As of the writing of this paper, our group has not learned of any lighting projects or studies that have been conducted in Aduku or the immediate surrounding area. Politically, little is known about Aduku other than the fact that the governing body is a village council headed by a chief. The exact size, powers and scope of the council are pieces of information that will be particularly useful when designing a pilot grid in Aduku. Considering the geographic location of Nigeria and the annual solar radiation to the country, solar energy is one of the most attractive energy options to be promoted to improve the living standards of Nigerian especially in rural area (Adurodija 1998). India is one of the countries that has been very successful in implementing solar off-grid energy systems in the last decade. Mera Gao Mirogrid Power (MGP) is a successful lighting company launching micro-grid solar energy to provide rural lighting in India. The framework of MGP service is being used to design the lighting service for Aduku community in Niger Delta. The primary objective of this paper is to evaluate the feasibility of adapting the existing MGP solar microgrid lighting framework for Aduku. 2 Methodology To examine the feasibility of adapting the Indian solar microgrid lighting model in Aduku we had to address the main questions as follow: 1- Is solar energy a potential energy source in Aduku, Niger Delta? 2- What are the technical aspects of Indian solar microgrid lighting model? 3- What technical modifications need to be considered to adapt the Indian model in Aduku? 4- What social factors in the community will affect the success of the project? 2.1 Solar potential Aduku, our partner village, is located at N 5° 15' 58'' E 6° 17' 26'', 361 miles north of the equator ("Aduku, Nigeria"). Given its close proximity to the equator, the community is in a perfect location to take advantage of solar energy. The annual global horizontal solar radiation for the Niger Delta is 4.5-5.0 kWh/m2/day ("MapSearch"). This measures the total amount of shortwave radiation received from above by a surface horizontal to the ground. It is the combination of direct normal (radiation that comes in a straight line from the sun) and diffuse horizontal (radiation that does not arrive on a direct path from the sun) solar radiation. Most solar radiation received on a clear day will be direct normal, while on a cloudy day most will be diffuse horizontal. The annual direct normal solar radiation for the Niger Delta is less than 2 kWh/m2/day ("MapSearch"). This suggests that much of the radiation hitting the Niger Delta is not coming in a straight line directly from the sun but instead passes through clouds or haze. Table 1 - Solar Data for Yenagoa (Tukiainen) Site-specific solar radiation data only existed for the city of Yenagoa, 23 miles south of Aduku (Error! Reference source not found.). Its annual global horizontal radiation is 4.61 kWh/m2/day (averaged over 22 years). Monthly data reveals that radiation peaks at 5.69 kWh/m2/day in February and is lowest in July at 3.49 kWh/m2/day. This corresponds with the region’s dry and rainy seasons. Average temperature for Yenagoa remains fairly constant throughout the year, ranging from 75.85 to 79.05 °F. The clearness index for Yenagoa ranges from 0.35 to 0.60. The index is the fraction of insolation at the top of the atmosphere that reaches the surface of the earth (0 = very overcast and 1 = sunny). The range of daylight throughout the year in Yenagoa is 11-13 hours (Tukiainen). 2.2 Modification of Indian Solar lighting Model for Aduku The Indian microgrid model of our focus was designed and implemented by Mera Gao Micro Grid power company (MGP). The main components of the Indian model are one PV panel, two valve regulated lead acid (VRLA) batteries in series, one charge controller and circuit breaker at each distribution line. This model provides enough electricity for 40 homes, which powers 2-4 LEDs per home for 9 hours a day (Figure 4). Figure 4 – Lay out and technical specification of Indian solar lighting components The distribution line in Indian model uses 1.5 mm2 copper wires. The optimal length and load of each distribution line in respect to distribution power loss or voltage drop is 100 m and 10 houses. The voltage drop of Indian model was calculated to be 5.7% (“Voltage Drop Calculator”). The model in Aduku is suggested to start with 2 LED per house. The power per day is same as Indian model, 9 hours per day. Table 2 shows the main specifications of Indian and Aduku model. Table 2 – Main characteristics of Indian model and Aduku model Indian Model PV panel Batteries Copper wire LED per house Daily power Voltage drop Houses to cover Aduku Model Specification Quantity Specification Quantity 136 W 12 V, 72 Ah 1 2 200 W 12 V, 72 Ah 1 variable 1.5 mm2 100 m per distribution line 4 9 hours Per distribution line 40 variable variable 1W light 5.7% Linear 2 9 hours Per distribution line 86 1W light 5.7% cluster The linear settlement of houses in Aduku limits the grid coverage to two distribution line extending in opposite directions leaving the battery (Figure 5). Indian voltage drop of 5.7% per distribution line was considered to be the fixed value in designing the microgrid model in Aduku. To extend the grid coverage and yet comply with the optimal voltage drop the wire thickness needs to be increased. These modifications were used as inputs in HOMER, a microgrid power system analyzer, to optimize potential pilot microgrids in Aduku. 2.3 Community acceptability of the project The Indian microgrid lighting model in rural area of India is structured as a profit-driven business model. It is a well developed model and communities have become familiar with the service since it was implemented. However, communities in the Niger Delta have not been exposed to solar microgrid lighting. This project is one of the first attempts to introduce solar lighting to rural communities in the Niger Delta. Also, the solar microgrid in Aduku is supposed to be implemented as a social initiative and not a business model. Per our conversation with Brian Shaad, the main reason of failure of the other development projects in Niger Delta was because of lack of community ownership in operations and maintenance. To increase the likelihood of a successful microgrid lighting project we suggest first introducing a pilot model for the lighting service in the community. The level of acceptance in the community and their willingness to own the solar lighting could be used as a guideline to develop the social and technical aspects of a full-scale microgrid covering the entire village. For instance, the number and location of the people who are willing to operate and maintain the system could indicate the location and lay out of the microgrid model. 3 Results The required wire size to comply with a voltage drop of about 5.7% for different distribution lengths was calculated using an online voltage drop calculator (“Voltage Drop Calculator”). The assumptions for this calculation are as follows: Seventy homes are equally distributed along the 2 km road passing through Aduku. The homes are connected to 24 V battery through the distribution line in parallel Each home has 2 LED fixtures with total power of 2 W The load current of each house is 1/12 A The values input in the voltage drop calculator and the calculated wire size are shown in Table 3. Table 3 – Wire size for different length of distribution line to maintain the voltage drop about Wire Length (m) # Homes Load current (A) Wire size (mm2) voltage drop 1000 35 2.9 85 4.9 % 500 17.5 1.5 21.4 5.4% 250 8.75 0.7 5.26 5.1% 100 10 0.8 2.08 5.6% The price of copper wire is linearly proportional with the cross section of the wire. The cost of distribution wiring for providing light for 70 households in a 2 km long segment of Aduku is about 40 times the wiring cost in the Indian model. 3.1 Solar lighting pilot models The components of pilot plans proposed in this section are similar to what is used in the Indian model. Layout 1 covers 200m and provides light for about 16 homes (Figure 5). Layout 2 is designed to cover a longer distance of 400 m and 24 homes. To use the same wire size as Indian model with a single PV panel, 2 more batteries were added to the model (Figure 6). The choice of the layouts is based on the number of the homes which is planned to be included in the pilot model. Figure 5 – Lay out 1 covers average of 16 houses in 200 m. Figure 6 - Lay out 2 covers average of 28 houses in 400 m. 3.2 HOMER cost analysis of pilots The cost values of the components of the pilot models are in Table 4 Table 4. HOMER analysis showed Layout 2 is 73% more expensive than Layout 1 for covering twice homes than Layout 1. Another important outcome of HOMER analysis was the percent capacity shortage or failure rate (Table 5). The capacity shortage of layout 2 is 30% meaning this layout does not meet 30% of the load. Table 4 – Cost of the components of the pilot model Components Specification Unit cost PV panel Battery LED module Charge controller Wiring 136 W 12 V, 72 Ah 12 V, 1 W NA Copper 1.5 mm2 $500 $180 $3 $100 $30/100 m Fixed capital cost Timer, circuit breaker, mounting track. Unexpected costs $900 Table 5 – HOMER analysis for pilot plans, Layout 1 and Layout 2 Lay-out PV (W) Battery capacity (Ah) Capital cost ($) M&O ($/yr) COE ($/kWh) 5 yr 5 yr Capacity shortage 1 136 72 1760 24 2.245 0% 2 136 72 2400 -12 2.34 30 % 3.2.1 Sensitivity analysis Sensitivity analysis was conducted for both layouts. Battery rating, PV panel power, and system lifetime were considered as variable values to do the sensitivity (Table 7 and Table 7). We assumed the cost of other rating of batteries and PV panels are linearly proportional with their costs in Table 4 Table 4. Table 6 – sensitivity analysis for pilot system, Layout 1 PV (W) Battery capacity (Ah) 100 100 100 136 136 136 40 60 72 40 60 72 Capital cost ($) 1,448 1,568 1628 1580 1700 1760 M&O($/yr) COE ($/kWh) 5 yr 57 19 24 41 21 24 5 yr 2.21 3.62 3.63 2.13 2.15 2.25 10 yr 57 49 60 59 51 24 10 yr 2.21 2.24 2.31 3.5 3.52 3.58 Capacity shortage 13 % 13 % 8% 3% 2% 0% Table 7 – Sensitivity analysis for Layout 2 4 PV (W) Battery capacity (Ah) Capital cost ($) 272 272 136 40 60 72 2540 2780 2400 M&O($/yr) 5 yr 27 -19 -12 10 yr 58 41 60 COE($/kWh) 5 yr 2.598 2.618 2.34 10 yr 1.53 1.556 2.043 Capacity shortage 3% 2% % 30 Discussion 4.1 HOMER The HOMER model used to obtain these results is a modified version of the model developed by the D-Lab group working on the optimization of the India grid. Major adjustments to their final model included changing the solar resource data to the sun conditions in Aduku, reducing the load of the system, and performing sensitivity analyses around battery size, panel size and maximum acceptable capacity shortage (failure rate). Inputs such as the load profile, number of LED fixtures per house, and battery specifications (other than size) were not changed. The main result from the HOMER model is that compared to the current microgrid in India, a microgrid designed for Aduku should be able to use smaller panels, smaller batteries, or both, due to smaller loads that result from the linearity of the community. Whether or not both components can be downsized depends on the maximum allowable failure rate that is specified. The output from our HOMER model provides several important pieces of information to think about when designing a microgrid for Aduku. First, because of the linear nature of Aduku, only two distribution lines will be coming off of each battery group. The implication of this is that a grid in Aduku can use a smaller battery than the 75 Ah batteries being used in India. We found that running the HOMER model with a 40 Ah battery from the same company as the 75 Ah battery resulted in lower capital and levelized costs of both microgrid layouts without increasing the failure rate of the grid. Another area where the Aduku may be able to be downsized compared to the India grid is the solar panel size. We specified three different sizes of panels in our model (with 272 W being the largest of the three) and allowed HOMER to choose the panel that resulted in the lowest cost while still meeting the performance level specified by the maximum allowable capacity shortage. For the lowest failure rate of 5%, the microgrid requires one 136 W panel (same size as the India grid). When the failure rate is relaxed to 15% or 25%, however, a 100 W panel can be used instead (a more detailed sensitivity analysis showed the switching point to be around 12.5%). None of the models that we ran required the use of a 272 W panel. When considering pilot layouts, the sensitivity analysis conducted in HOMER provides useful information with regard to the size of components needed and capacity shortage rate. The optimal pilot layout will depend on the number of houses that would need to be covered. For a small number of houses, Layout 1 can be used with both a smaller panel and smaller battery, depending on the desired failure rate. If the number of houses to be covered is closer to 30, then it would likely be more economical to use Layout 2 with a larger panel instead of two systems of Layout 1. 4.2 Security concerns The implementation of solar-powered lighting utility in Aduku will affect the kerosene market in the area. If people shift away from kerosene, the people whose livelihoods depend on supplying and distributing the fuel may feel threatened by the micro-grid. Steps will have to be taken to ensure the microgrid components are protected from vandalization. This will be especially important, as the PV array will likely be installed on a community building or structure. 4.3 Construction Most of the houses in Aduku are rentals and have thatched roofs that must be replaced every 2-3 seasons. Landlords do not install more durable tin roofs because they want their tenants to feel like they are in temporary housing. The tin roofs make the residence seem more permanent to the tenants. The thatched roofs mean that a permanent array of PV panels cannot be installed on homes in the village. The roof will not be strong enough to support the weight of the panels. We are examining alternative structures that may be suitable for a PV array. There are a number of structures constructed to shelter workspaces from the elements. According to our partners, these structures are generally located in central locations surrounded by a dense cluster of homes. However, in their current state, they are not rugged enough to support an array. One option is to rebuild them so the structure supporting the PV panels also provides a benefit to the village as a shelter. Before a structure is built, it must be determined where panels should be located to maximize exposure to the sun throughout the year. A site obstacle survey can provide the data necessary to place the panels in area large enough to support the array with a clear field of view of the sun’s path across the sky. 5 NEXT STEPS 5.1 ViPOR The ViPOR (Village Power Optimization Model for Renewables) software suite is an optimization model for designing village electrification systems. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) developed ViPOR in conjunction with HOMER. While HOMER evaluates the economic and technical feasibility of a large number of technology options, ViPOR uses spatial data to optimize the physical layout of the electrical distribution grid. Given a detailed map of the village, ViPOR will determine which houses should be powered by isolated power systems (like Smart Lights) and which should be included in a centralized distribution grid. It does require the cost of generating electricity, which is modeled in a hybrid system design tool like HOMER beforehand. The output displays a map of the optimal configuration based on the spatial and economic data inputted in advance. The recommended configuration will avoid difficult terrain, which adds to transmission costs. We attempted to model Aduku within ViPOR but could not do it accurately because we lacked a detailed map of the village. If the pilot phase is successful, obtaining precise spatial information and modeling Aduku in ViPOR will determine which areas of the village are most feasible for a centralized distribution grid and where isolated power systems should be used. 5.2 Charging Station Charging the 12V batteries at large, centrally located PV array is an option if suitable structures near the densely populated areas of the village cannot be found. Once the batteries are charged, they would be carried to the midpoint of the micro-grid and plugged into the grid to power the lights overnight. The next morning, the batteries would be brought back to array to be recharged. It could also be implemented if the security of the panels is a problem. It would be much easier to secure one large array than three or four small arrays. This type of system is theoretically possible, but has not been modeled. Potential issues with this configuration include managing the one or two people required to move the batteries back and forth between the grid and array. Furthermore, the batteries and their connections would need to be very robust to stand up to the repeated transport and disconnection/reconnection to the grid and panels. 5.3 Cell Phone and Light Charging If there is an interest in a cell phone charging service, a centrally located charging station can be added to the grid. This station can also provide a place for residents of the village who live outside the range of the grid to charge battery-powered lanterns and flashlights. 5.4 Hybrid Grid Solar was the only electrical grid technology modeled with HOMER. An analysis of a diesel or gasoline generator used in conjunction with a PV array could be conducted to determine if costs can be reduced with a hybrid system. Gasoline and diesel are readily available in the oilrich Niger Delta. A small generator could reduce the number of batteries required by providing extra capacity during peak hours or periods when the panels cannot fully recharge the batteries. 5.5 Detachable Lighting Currently, the LED lights designated for use in the project are hardwired into the grid. Research could be conducted to investigate the technical feasibility of a detachable LED light. The light can be plugged into the grid to provide light within the home and charge its own internal battery. If the customer ventures somewhere at night without lighting, they can detach the light and use it as a flashlight. Furthermore, the internal battery would provide a backup for a period of time if the grid were to fail. 6 Conclusion Starting from a solar microgrid framework developed for a rural village in India, we analyzed the technical modifications that would be required to implement a similar grid in Aduku, Nigeria. 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