Hot Spots 4/02/2015 Contents ASIA Philippines Thailand MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA United Arab Emirates SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA Kenya Tanzania GOVERNMENT WARNINGS Kenya Hot Spots Report ASIA Philippines (Security threat level - 4): As of 0900 UTC on 2 April 2015, Typhoon Maysak was located 840 mi/1,350 km east of Manila and was headed in a northwesterly direction at approximately 8 mph/7 kt. At that time, the storm was registering sustained winds of 132 mph/115 kt and gusts of up to 160 mph/140 kt. According to meteorologists at Wilkens Weather Technologies, the storm has maintained its strength over the last several hours; however, it is expected to steadily weaken before making landfall in northeast Luzon Island on 5 April, at which point sustained winds and gusts are expected to be well below 100 mph/85 kt. The storm is unlikely to directly affect the Manila metropolitan area; however, heavy rains and strong winds are a possibility. Thailand (Security threat level - 3): On 1 April 2015, the military junta that has ruled Thailand since May 2014 lifted martial law for almost all of the country. However, Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha, the former head of the Royal Thai Army, took steps to replace martial law with a different set of rules aimed at preserving the military’s control of Thai politics. Gatherings of more than five people will still be banned, and the military will have the discretion to prosecute any person or group suspected of having taken any action that could “destroy peace and order, and national security.” Critics from human rights groups and the United Nations contend that the new rules do not constitute an improvement over martial law; instead, the restrictions they impose are even more severe. Prayuth and other military leaders lashed out against this criticism on 2 April, claiming that foreign entities are misjudging the lifting of martial law. MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA United Arab Emirates (Security threat level - 2): A sandstorm disrupted aviation operations in the United Arab Emirates on 2 April 2015. The extent of the disruptions is unclear. Some reports indicate that several flights to and from Dubai International Airport (OMDB/DXB), al-Maktoum International Airport (OMDW/DWC) and Abu Dhabi International Airport (OMAA/AUH) have been canceled, delayed or diverted due to the weather; however, other sources suggest that disruptions have been minimal overall. The weather conditions and poor visibility are forecast to persist in some areas of the UAE at least through 3 April and possibly through the weekend; therefore, transportation disruptions may continue in the coming days. SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA Kenya (Security threat level - 4): On 2 April 2015, al-Shabab gunmen attacked Garissa University College in northern Kenya at 0530 local time (0230 UTC). As of 1630 local time (1330 UTC) police officers and military personnel were still battling the gunmen, who have taken shelter in one of the university’s dormitories. Al-Shabab stated that the assailants released all Muslims and were holding an undisclosed number of non-Muslim hostages. The group further stated that the attack was in retaliation for Kenyan troops fighting al-Shabab in Somalia. The latest reports indicate that 20 people have been killed and 65 others have been hospitalized thus far. However, the Interior Ministry stated that 535 students are unaccounted for; therefore, the numbers are likely to change as additional information is released. According to reports, the government acquired intelligence last week that al-Shabab was planning to attack a major university, which prompted several universities in the capital city of Nairobi to warn their students about a possible attack. It is unknown whether Garissa University College or other universities in the country received the warning from the government. Garissa is located approximately 90 mi/150 km from the Somalia border and has been targeted by alShabab on a number of occasions in the past, prompting Western governments to advise against travel to the area. The U.S. and U.K. governments, for example, advise against travel to Garissa county. Tanzania (Security threat level - 3): According to reports on 1 April 2015, a fuel shortage has affected the semiautonomous archipelago of Zanzibar for the past five days. Motorists have been forced to wait in line for hours to fill their vehicles with gas, and some passenger buses have reportedly stopped operating, causing travel disruptions for commuters. A government official blamed the shortage on a delay of the delivery of fuel from Mombasa, Kenya. The official stated that a shipment of fuel was expected on 2 April. GOVERNMENT WARNINGS Kenya (Security threat level - 4): On 2 April 2015, the U.S. Embassy in Nairobi issued an Emergency Message, which reads in part as follows: “The U.S. Embassy in Nairobi has received reports of an ongoing attack at Moi University, Garissa Campus, in Garissa, Kenya. According to the reports, there have been explosions and heavy gunfire at the school; hostages have been taken and al-Shabaab has claimed responsibility for the attack. While the city and county of Garissa are currently restricted for travel of U.S. Government personnel, we urge private U.S. citizens to avoid any travel in the Garissa area. U.S. citizens throughout Kenya are encouraged to remain vigilant, review their own personal security measures, and stay tuned to local media reports for the latest information on the situation.”