Final Project Population Biology Wagner Magalhães Age-Structured Populations with clonal reproduction The structure of population by age class is very common and useful for investigating future demographics. The first age class is made up of newborns and as time progresses, these individuals either move up into subsequent age classes or perish. Several species reproduce age-dependently, periodical cicadas spend many years in the nymphal stage and reproduce once in their life time; humans and other mammals do not reproduce during their first years and then their reproductive success is age-dependent. Leslie (1945) introduced matrix models that have discrete age classes with synchronous reproduction and this model has been explained in detail in text books. However, the classical methods of demography presented in basic ecology texts were developed for use on organisms without clonal reproduction, the presence of which in a life cycle creates complications for traditional demographic analysis (see discussion in Caswell, 1985). Thus, this project aims to improve the material covered in class about age-structured models by providing information about models suitable for clonal organisms. The problem of clonal reproduction can be explained in three different depictions of life cycles: i) ramets classifiable by age; ii) ramets classifiable by size; and iii) genets. This problem will be approached herein by using life-cycle graphs. Ramets classifiable by age Characteristic equation: Eigenvectors: π1 = 1 − π1π2πΉπ−(α+β) π2ππ−β 1= − π − π3 π − π3 π2ππ−π½ π1π2πΉπ−(πΌ+π½) = , π1 = π1 π − π3 π − π3 π2 = π1π−πΌ π3 = π1π2π−(πΌ+π½−1) π−π3 π2 = π2πΉπ−π½ π−π3 πΉ π3 = π−π3 In this life cycle, sexual and clonal reproduction appear as two distinct modes of reproduction. α time units are required to go from n1 to n2, and β units to go from n2 to n3. A good example is the marine polychaete Raphidrilus hawaiiensis that reproduces both by internal gestation and by fragmentation (Magalhães et al. 2011). Adult worms break off into several fragments; each fragment regenerates a head end and tail end. If the embryos require 4 weeks to develop to maturity and the fragments require 2 weeks, the mature individuals produced by the two pathways can be lumped into a single class; therefore, for this species α = 4 and β = 2. The survival probabilities from n1 to n2 and from n2 to n3 are P1 and P2, respectively. Ramets classifiable by size Characteristic equation: πΊ1πΊ2πΉ3π−α+1 πΊ1πΊ2πΉ4π−α+1 πΊ2π3 1= − − (π − π1)(π − π2)(π − π3) (π − π1) … (π − π4) (π − π2)(π − π3) πΊ2πΊ3π4 − (π − π2) … (π − π4) Eigenvectors: π1 = 1 − πΊ2π3 πΊ2πΊ3π4 − , π1 = π1 (π − π2)(π − π3) (π − π2) … (π − π4) πΊ1π−α+1 πΊ2π3 πΊ2πΊ3π4 = [ − ] (π − π1) (π − π2)(π − π3) (π − π2) … (π − π4) π2 = πΊ1π−α+1 (π−π2) πΊ1πΊ2π−α+1 π3 = (π−π2)(π−π3) πΊ2πΉ3 πΊ2πΊ3πΉ4 π2 = (π−π2)(π−π3) + (π−π2)…(π−π4) πΉ πΊ3πΉ4 π3 = (π−π3) + (π−π3)(π−π4) πΊ1πΊ2πΊ3π−α+1 πΉ4 π4 = (π−π2)…(π−π4) π4 = (π−π4) The stages in this life cycle represent size classes and not age classes. An individual of size i may grow to size i + 1 with probability Gi or may retain in size class i with probability Pi. A good example is the soft coral Alcynium sp., which reproduces asexually by binary fission, typically producing two (occasionally three) daughter colonies of approximately equal size (fission occurs throughout the year), and sexually with internal fertilization on a yearly cycle (McFadden, 1991). Therefore, during each year, a colony could undergo different types of transitions: it could 1) grow into a larger size class; 2) shrink to a smaller size class; 3) remain in the same size class; 4) undergo fission or 5) die. The author observed that sexual reproduction occurred at very low frequencies and the population dynamics were dominated by the births and deaths of asexual ramets. Genets Characteristic equation: πΊ1πΉ2 πΊ1πΊ2πΉ3 1= − −β― (π − π1)(π − π2) (π − π1)(π − π2)(π − π3) Eigenvectors: π1 = 1 π1 = 1 πΊ1 π2 = (π−π2) πΉ2 πΊ2πΉ3 πΉ3 πΊ3πΉ4 π2 = (π−π2) + (π−π2)(π−π3) + πΊ1πΊ2 π3 = (π−π2)(π−π3) πΊπ₯ ππ₯ + 1 = ((π−ππ₯+1)) ππ₯ πΊ2πΊ3πΉ4 (π−π2)(π−π3)(π−π4) +β― π3 = (π−π3) + (π−π3)(π−π4) + β― πΉπ₯ πΊπ₯ ππ₯ = (π−ππ₯) + (π−ππ₯) ππ₯ + 1 Genets are classified by their size (i.e. the number of ramets they have accumulated) and what is termed as ‘clonal reproduction’ is not actually reproduction, but growth. The transition of individual from one size to another is made by the addition of new ramets. Gi and Pi are the size-specific probabilities of growth and of remaining in the same size class, respectively. Regeneration in the columnar cactus Stenocereus eruca seems to occur mainly through clonal propagation. The life cycle diagram and the projection matrix model of this cactus species is shown below (extracted from Clark-Tapia et al., 2005). Size classes are: Seedling, non-reproductive, reproductive I-V. The elements inside the matrix A have the following regions: fecundity (F, in the first row); stasis (S, in the main diagonal); retrogression in size or clonal propagation (R and C, respectively in the upper diagonal); and finally growth to later stages (G, in the sub diagonals). Literature Cited Caswell, H. 1985. The evolutionary demography of clonal reproduction. pp. 187-224. In: J. B. C. Jackson, L. W. Buss and R. E. Cook (eds.) Population Biology and Evolution of Clonal Organisms. Yale Univ. Press. Clark-Tapia, R., Mandujano, M.C., Valverde, T., Mendonza, A. & Molina-Freaner, F. 2005. How importante is clonal recruitment for population maintenance in rare plant species?: The case of the narrow endemic cactus, Stenocereus eruca, in Baja California, Mexico. Biological Conservation, 124, 123-132. Leslie, P.H. 1945. On the Use of Matrices in Certain Population Mathematics. Biometrika, 33, 183-212. Magalhães, W.F., Bailey-Brock, J.H. & Davenport, J.S. 2011. On the genus Raphidrilus Monticelli, 1910 (Polychaeta: Ctenodrilidae) with description of two new species. Zootaxa, 2804, 1-14. McFadden, C.S. 1991. A comparative demographic analysis of clonal reproduction in a temperate soft coral. Ecology, 72(5), 1849-1866.