Dhiren Chatlani HLTH 841: Global Health Policy Effects of Global Warming on Health May 2, 2013 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction……………………………………………………………………2 Global Warming & Health Effects…………………………………………5 Water Wars…………………………………………………………….……….8 Impact of Global Warming on Sustainable Development………………10 Other Health effects due to Global Warming………………………………12 The United States and their Impact on Global Warming………………… 12 What to do with global warming. …………………………………………….15 2 Introduction Global Warming is an issue that not only affects the planets climate, but also leads to issues such as an increase of health issues, higher costs of these, a shortage of water leading to water wars, and the extreme flooding of certain regions. The effects of Global Warming on this planet and our health are broad and are not taken into consideration by a large part of the population. Also known as Climate Change, Global Warming is an issue that has been a constant worry in our society for the past few years and we have seen how it has been affecting our planet. The high levels of pollution, due to certain industries, the high rate of manufacturing and a lack of innovation in clean and sustainable energy. This along with the high dependence on fossil fuels and the lack of education of a large part of the earth’s population can be considered the most deteriorating effects this planet is going through which lead to global warming. In order for these factors to be considered, we must understand that in the past we have had a much lower dependency on these fossil fuels, but after the industrial revolution we have increased mass production which was led to higher levels of Water Vapor, CO2, methane, and nitrous oxide amount other greenhouse gasses. This can also be considered the greenhouse effect, which is based on the having the earths lower 3 atmosphere absorb the infrared radiation gasses which leads to the earth´s higher temperature levels. This idea of such an effect was first researched in 1896, and has been very present in our society, and has also been the biggest inconvenient truth ever. When comparing the earths levels of CO2 in history to our present times we can estimate that the levels of methane and CO2 have increased from approximately 36% to 148% since 1750, but there is high evidence that in the last 20 years fossil fuels have been part of the increase in CO2 in the atmosphere, along with the changes on the earths terrain and mainly deforestation. (EPA, 2007) In the charts above we can see what industries have led the higher levels of greenhouse gas emissions around the globe. As mentioned before since the industrial revolution levels have increased 4 dramatically, but it is not only higher manufacturing processes and deforestation that have led to this. A growing population, the commoditization of certain services such as electricity and heat, and the overproduction of food supply in many areas of the world has led to this. The lack of proper distribution of the plants services around the world, having mainly developed countries being the cause of these high levels, and the abuse of these needs has led to what might be one of the biggest problems this earth has faced in history. In over 400,000 years we have never seen such a rise in temperature as we have in the last 60 years, and that is due also to a higher rate of transportation, and mainly globalization without control. Living in a fast paced world, which only cares about economies of scale, the lack of value and understanding for the earth’s resources such as water and nature, and the inability to change these processes until it’s too late. The increase of the earth’s temperatures does not only lead to higher levels of C02 in the atmosphere, but it also affects the way nature behaves. As there is a rise in temperatures, many bacteria and viruses appear, and many fade away, altering the process of evolution. This can lead to an increase in mosquitos and ticks, or even genetic mutations in bacteria. These effects can lead to huge health catastrophes, especially in developing countries as first due to the lack of certain infrastructure and inadequate access to the plants resources (MedIndia). 5 Global Warming & Health effects As mentioned before, the process of evolution is changing by regions, dry regions get dryer, water is harder to access, and there is a spread of diseases and bacteria. But as the name mentions, Global Warming, better known as Climate Change, relates to extreme heat. The fewer greenhouse gases given out by our planet, the lower the heat in the atmosphere and hence lower the temperature. But as we lack the knowledge of such facts in this 21st century, we must take a look at past events in order to educate ourselves. In 1995 there was a killer heat wave in Chicago, in which approximately 750 people died. In 2003 a heat wave struck Europe and over 70,000 people died. One may think that the extreme heat was the cause of all these deaths, but there are other related problems such as higher levels of respiratory allergies, airway diseases and asthma. Higher levels of CO2 in the air lead to an alteration in the timing of distribution of certain things like pollen. As temperature rises, there is a higher level of pollen in the atmosphere which leads to higher rates of allergies and respiratory problems. The high temperatures and the ozone lead to: -Lung injury -Premature mortality -Worsening of asthma and obstructive pulmonary disease 6 -Cardiac dysrhythmias -COPD These are just a few of the problems related to airway diseases and respiratory problems(CDC) Hurricanes Rita and Katrina hit the USA in 2005, and affected more than 1.5 million people, and led to over 800,000 people to have to relocate. The intensity of these disasters increases due to higher temperatures, and it is predicted that many other disastrous events with worse effects will occur in the coming years. The increase in sea level, extreme weather, the lack of resources will make millions of people have to leave their homes and move to different regions. Studies show that over 200million people worldwide will have to change locations by 2050 due to these natural events. Individuals with lower levels of income will be the first ones due to the high costs of rebuilding areas and will start to suffer from a phenomenon named Solastalgia. This term refers to the stress of losing connection with one’s local environment, or having to move involuntarily to another region. This is said to lead also to mental health problems, as many people relate to their home climates, and moving large populations around different areas may create an issue that will affect millions of people. Forced migration would also lead to higher levels of depression, and stress (CDC). 7 So why is Global Warming ignored by a large part of the population? Why is this concept in need of strengthening its presence in society? Global warming will affect coastlines around the pacific and Indian Ocean areas and the sub-Saharan Africa regions first. These developing areas which are not capacitated to handle their own current problems will have to deal with new problems, and the worsening of current problems due to the lack of capital and economic development. Diseases such as malaria, diarrhea or malnutrition which are easy to combat in developed countries will worsen in these areas due to the lack of clean and accessible water. Desserts will get drier, and coastal regions will tend to flood easier. This is a critical problem, but what a large portion of the world´s population does not understand is that global warming will have an important impact on the developing countries. These countries have fewer resources, and are very unstable; these countries do not participate highly in the CO2 production which harms the ozone layer, but the developing countries that do suffer less of an impact than these areas, and with the high levels of technology, forecasting and preparing for these natural disasters allows developed countries to reduce deaths and injuries. The World Health Organization (WHO) along with researches from the University of Wisconsin-Madison research and studied some of the effects that climate change would have on the planet in the next one hundred years. 8 - The diseases related to climate change will more than double by 2030 if nothing is done to change the situation of the planet. - Floods will affect over 200 million people in coastal regions by 2080. - Dangerous pollution days in the eastern region of the US could increase by 60% by 2050. - California’s heat waves that kill hundreds would double by 2100. These are just some of the effects of global warming in the upcoming years, without taking into consideration other global impacts and dangers such as damages to biodiversity, shortage of water…(About) Water Wars “Whisky is for drinking; water is for fighting over.” M.Twain Water is one of the most abundant resources in this planet, and it is starting to be scarce. To be more specific, drinking water is becoming scarce. Due to global warming, there is starting to be a shortage of water that according to the US Director of National Intelligence. It is said that the demand for water is going to grow and outstrip current supplies by 40% in 20 years. Water is the most important resource to any human being, and still there are around 780 million people that lack access to clean drinking water according to the United Nations. When looking at the scarcity of water we have to also take into account that the world’s population is growing and this will also lead to a higher demand. 9 When studying the scarcity of water we must understand that 97% of the water on earth is salt water, while the other 3% is fresh water. Out of this 3% only one percent is drinkable. For this reason water is essential to us, and the low amount that is available now, and considering that each person needs around 1,000 cubic meters of this element a year. Now water is not the only essential thing that is needed, and that is being affected by global warming. Water though, is the cause of many things such as food production. With a scarcity of water researches predict there may be food riots in the future due to scarce foods. If governments don’t start investing in clean and sustainable energy to improve water consumption and reduce its waste we may suffer from many problems. In the past we have seen certain water wars, some such as the war between Senegal and Mauritania during 1989. These two countries fought over the rights to access the water on the River Senegal. There have been other wars such as the one between Is Israel and Syria involving the territory of Golan heights to have control of a large area of water. Syria and Iraq have also gone into combat in regard of who may access the Euphrates river. According to research done by the United Nations, by 2025 there will be at least thirty nations that will be suffering from water scarcity. These will be around the Middle East and North Africa. As we know global warming is a critical issue that correlates with water scarcity, but 10 what can the lack of water do apart from creating confrontations between different nations? Studies show that over 750,000 jobs would be lost due to water shortages, reducing the income by over 25% in the developing Arab countries which could lead to a higher level of poverty along with no water(Arsenault) Impact of Global Warming on Sustainable Development The impact of global warming affects the development of countries, and affects the health of millions of citizens but also affects the development of countries affecting job creation, which can lead to high rates of depression and affect the mental health of a large population. Countries must commit to promoting equitable, sustainable development and trade practices in order to become leaders of innovation in today’s globalized world. In addition, reducing harmful emissions and creating and adhering to a standard of reduction of costs associated with manufacturing and the consumption of natural resources will lead to an improved economic climate with a declining rate of unemployment. Specifically, climate change leads to a decreasing amount of rainfall which is potentially harmful to people’s ability to access safe and clean water sources and also reduces crop yields and reduces the number of sites in which sustainable crops can be grown (European Commission of 11 Agriculture and Rural Development). In addition, water conservation practices also promote energy conservation, which reduces the high costs and energy use associated with the inefficient practices of transporting water (Going Green). The implementation of certain standards could mean that countries could be measured at the same level and be penalized if they went over a certain quota. An example of a type of standard would be Global Reporting Initiative, which creates sustainability standards for corporations to adhere to in terms of pollution and emission regulations, which would allow Spain to develop a method of measurement that includes tax incentives or penalties based on how each company upholds or disregards these sustainability standards (Global Reporting Initiative). Moreover, if climate change is not addressed, the world will suffer an estimated $2 - 4 billion of excess healthcare costs by 2030, an irreparable blow to the world economy (World Health Organization). This will also reduce the number of workers in the health field, create more diseases and create a high demand for healthcare needs, and a low supply of personal. As mentioned before, the developed nations will be able to adapt easier to changes in climate, natural disasters and spread of disease. Although this may be good, it also reduces the amount of action these countries take for the future. The developing countries will be swamped 12 by natural disasters, diseases and levels of poverty will increase extremely (Climatehotmap) Other Health effects due to Global Warming As carbon pollution increases we see the increase in hurricanes and tropical storms. These disasters have been common throughout history but their presence is increasing drastically, and the speeds of the winds and storms are much higher, leading to more disasters. Infrastructure destruction, along with the contamination of clean water are some of the problems that arise from these disasters along with the death of hundreds of people. The increase of refugees will also increase, creating a new type of refugee: The environmental refugees. Due to the rise of sea levels and extreme flooding in coastal areas, some regions might become uninhabitable, which could lead to 50 million environmental refugees in just 7 years from now. This not only has to do with flooding and sea levels rising but also with areas in extreme drought, especially desserts, and African regions (NRDC) The United States and their Impact on Global Warming 13 The United States of America is one of the largest countries in the world but it only constitutes 4% of the world’s population. In the chart above we can see that the United States is responsible for one quarter of the world´s greenhouse gas emissions. When analyzing this data in depth we must take into consideration that the US did not start heavy manufacturing till later on in comparison to the UK, Germany & other countries. What we can perceive from this pie chart is that the US is the biggest responsible for Global Warming in the world, and it is one of the countries that is least affected by it, when being compared to developing countries. The large size of this country and the small population make it unbelievably hard to understand this data. When looking at this data in a per capita basis, each US citizen gives out 40,000 14 pounds of CO2 a year, which is more than adding up China, India and Japan together. The CO2 is not the worry some part, it is the amount of material that is used every year. More than 850 million trees are used every year for paper, There are over 200 million cars and trucks on US roads, and over 200 million gallons of oil are used to pump these vehicles every day. This along with the economic factor makes it hard for the US to transition into green and sustainable cars that are hybrid of electric. This is 16 % of the world’s oil usage in a year in cars, when looking at the industry and machinery, the US is in charge of 25% of the world’s oil consumption. Just 4% of the world’s population and 25% of the world’s oil is used here(ABCGo) Oil consumption is absurd but the amount of oil that has been spilled in US waters, along with the damage that it has done to the ecosystem is much greater. More than 1.5 million gallons of oil were spilled in the US during year 2000, and between 1976 and 1989, the US suffered from 16 major oil spills, three times more than France, and the UK. The capitalist society which the US is formed on leads it to use ad waste more resources than any other country, and on average the average American uses 864kg of municipal waste a year, and when comparing this to most European countries it is three times more (Commondreams). 15 Overall the US consumption is the largest in the world and the countries carbon footprint averages that have several countries combined. The health problems keep on arising and the natural disaster this country faces keep on multiplying. Some ways to reduce this abuse of waste and carbon dioxide could be to implement a standard for all homes and companies to be measured at and fined if they pass a certain limit of waste. This would create a movement of conscious individuals, and could reduce the damage to the world greatly. An example would be something similar to that of the Global Reporting Initiative that exists in the US but it only directs itself to large corporations. If households could be measured at the same level, and individuals to, this would benefit the US, save it large sums of money and also help reduce the amount of health problems the world faces now. What to do with Global Warming As mentioned before, global warming is the inconvenient truth our society faces. The increase of greenhouse gases, the lack of education in many countries, especially the US about the importance of tackling this problem and the damages that it can have on human health should be a reason to start working towards a cleaner and greener planet. Promoting things like the Triple bottom Line, where People, planet and profit are the main factors, and insisting in ideas such as the 3 R´s (Reuse, Recycle, & Reduce). Educating the citizens of developing countries on how they are a cause of an increment of poverty, giving them examples 16 of how African nations production of food is reducing due to the lack of water, and the moisture of the soil may help. Waste, water scarcity, the damage to ecosystems and the increase of poverty are some of the main issues are generation must focus on in order to fight global warming. As time goes by the number of CO2 in the air increases, and the harder it is to go back and fix many issues that affect our civilization. As time goes by we have come to see record high, and record low temperatures in different regions of the world causing many people to get ill or have to relocate. The increase in natural disasters, and the lack of water on some areas is leading to the death of thousands of people each year, and it is all caused because of the commoditization of certain services. The health of this planet is at stake, an increase in air pollution, leading to people having to wear face masks in order to not get some diseases is where we are at. The world is at a tipping point, and if nothing is done, we are going to enter the biggest crisis this planet has ever faced, and many are going to have to lose their lives due to the ignorance of others. The fight against global warming must be done by everyone, especially those in developed countries. 17 WORKS CITED Arsenault, C.. N.p.. Web. 30 April 2013. <http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2011/06/20116 22193147231653.html>. "Climate Health Facts." . N.p.. Web. 2 May 2013.<http://www.climatehotmap.org/globalwarming- effects/health.html/> EPA (2007). "Recent Climate Change: Atmosphere Changes". Climate Change Science Program. United States Environmental Protection Agency. Retrieved 21 April 2009. . N.p.. Web. 1 May 2013. <http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/technology/2012/07/whosmost- to-blame-for-global-warming/>. West, L.. N.p.. Web. 2 May 2013. <http://environment.about.com/od/globalwarmingandheal th/a/gw_deaths.htm>. . N.p.. 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