Background on Iran Nuclear Deal February 8, 2016 Background: The United States and its international partners, known as the P5+1 are negotiating with Iran over its nuclear program. The agreement will guard against Iran’s ability to quickly or covertly build a nuclear bomb. In exchange, the P5+1 will, over time, grant relief from sanctions that have crippled its economy. Timeline – Nov. 2013 to the present In November 2013, Iran and the P5+1 (i.e., the permanent five members of the UN Security Council: U.S., UK, Russia, China, France PLUS Germany) announced a Joint Plan of Action (JPoA), or a framework agreement that ultimately seeks to ensure that Iran does not build a nuclear weapon. The clock on the negotiations for a final deal officially began in January 2014. The parties are on track to conclude a comprehensive agreement by the end of March 2015 (a purely political deadline) with full details of the agreement likely taking until the end of June (negotiated deadline). Since July 2014, the sides have extended the JPOA in order to bridge gaps to reach a final agreement. Monthly IAEA reports state that Iran is complying with the JPOA. As part of the JPOA, the United States has suspended some sanctions, though billions of dollars in Iranian oil revenue is still tied up in foreign banks. Background on the Joint Plan of Action (JPOA) The JPOA required a) Iran to limit its ability to produce a nuclear weapon and b) international powers to provide Iran with minor sanctions relief and peaceful nuclear energy cooperation. Because of the JOPA, Iran’s paths to a bomb – through uranium enrichment and production of plutonium – have been frozen in place and are being monitored by international inspectors. In other words, Iran’s program is currently ‘locked in a box with a camera on it.’ Congressional action As mentioned above, the comprehensive agreement will require the P5+1 to phase out multilateral sanctions. It will also require the U.S. Congress to eventually pass legislation that unwinds nuclear-related sanctions tied to other nations’ affairs with Iran. However, in the short term, the President can use his waiver authority to lift sanctions in return for continued Iranian compliance with a final deal. New sanctions at this time, or any Congressional intervention, could blow up the negotiations because the Iranians would believe that the United States cannot follow through on its promises. Women’s Action for New Directions (WAND) & Women Legislators’ Lobby (WiLL) Washington, DC Office | 322 4th Street NE | Washington, DC 20002 |202-544-5055 National Office | 691 Massachusetts Avenue | Arlington, MA 02476 | 781-643-6740 www.wand.org Page 1 Talking Points: Iran Nuclear Deal February 8, 2016 Talking Points Diplomacy is the Only Way to Prevent War Iran and the international community are not negotiating because they are friends; they are doing so because they realize that it is in everyone’s interest to avoid war. Iran will benefit from sanction relief and the international community will be assured that Iran is not crossing the threshold to becoming a nuclear-armed nation. Without diplomacy, Iran could continue to grow its nuclear program and becoming closer to building a bomb if it chooses. At that point, the US would have to make a determination to strike Iran’s facilities, causing an even more extreme crisis than currently exists in the Middle East. Conversely, with diplomacy Iran is farther away from building a nuclear weapon than it was a year ago. Congress Shouldn’t Meddle If Congress passes any new legislation that leads to the end of negotiations, it will be held responsible for the failure of diplomacy – and perhaps another war. Some Members of Congress are threatening to blow up the negotiations by (1) enacting new sanctions on Iran, a violation of the interim agreement (Joint Plan of Action) or (2) enacting a bill that would require an approval of a deal after it is concluded. The Iranians and our allies and negotiating partners, including Russia and China, would blame the United States if the talks fail after Congress passes deal-killing legislation. Contrary to the assertion of most proponents of sanctions that it would yield a better end deal, the truth is quite different: o Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR): “The end of these negotiations isn’t an unintended consequence of congressional action. It is very much an intended consequence, a feature, not a bug, so to speak.” [01/13/15] If diplomacy fails, Iraq-style regime change is the only option left to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. If diplomacy fails: Iran’s nuclear program would be unfrozen and daily monitoring would cease. Iran would be closer to building a nuclear weapon. We get boots on the ground, instead of inspectors on the ground. Women’s Action for New Directions (WAND) & Women Legislators’ Lobby (WiLL) Washington, DC Office | 322 4th Street NE | Washington, DC 20002 |202-544-5055 National Office | 691 Massachusetts Avenue | Arlington, MA 02476 | 781-643-6740 www.wand.org Page 1