BOOK REVIEW March 17, 2011 Climate Cover-Up: The Crusade to Deny Global Warming Greystone Books (Vancouver, 2009) William LeFeuvre, University at Buffalo Law School September 24, 2010 Brief Summary “Talk of global warming is nearly inescapable these days — but there are some who believe the concept of climate change is an elaborate hoax. Despite the input of the world’s leading climate scientists, the urgings of politicians, and the outcry of many grassroots activists, many Americans continue to ignore the warning signs of severe climate shifts. How did this happen? Climate Cover-up seeks to answer this question, describing the pollsters and public faces who have crafted careful language to refute the findings of environmental scientists. Exploring the PR techniques, phony “think tanks,” and funding used to pervert scientific fact, this book serves as a wake-up call to those who still wish to deny the inconvenient truth.” What the publisher aptly summarizes in this quote is a fact of which most Americans are unaware – there is evidence of a sophisticated plot to undermine the public’s understanding of climate change science, much like the campaign to cover-up the misdeeds of the tobacco industry. Climate Cover-Up documents the trail of deception and the think tanks and funding behind it. Author James Hoggan, co-founder of DeSmogBlog, president of awardwinning PR firm Hoggan & Associates, and leading authority on public perceptions of environmental issues, details the campaign to discredit the scientific consensus on climate change – the history of climate change science, the pinnacle of scientific consensus, and the people behind the shift in public perception from believers to deniers. Facts and Findings "Climate change skeptics regularly denounce me as a disgrace to journalism for declining to accept their dogma, which is mostly received wisdom from sources that I'd trust to evaluate the published science about as much as I'd trust a plumber to perform open heart surgery. Nothing against plumbers, mind you. They're just not heart surgeons. And the economists, statisticians and agenda-driven politicians routinely cited by the skeptics aren't glaciologists, botanists, biologists, oceanographers, atmospheric physicists or computer modelling specialists." This colorful quote by the author sums up neatly the premise of this book. Most of the global warming deniers on the circuit out, often quoted by media and politicians, are not climate scientists at all and are not published in credible scientific journals. These “junk scientists” are mostly paid for by think tanks funded by the fossil fuel industry. Hoggan begins in the second chapter – The Inconvenient Truth – by detailing the scientific consensus and what went wrong. He states that by 1988, “[t]he great scientific bodies of the world were concerned, and the foremost political leaders were engaged. So what happened between now and then?” (p. 20). He explains that “with each new experiment, with each new report of the IPCC, with each new article published in legitimate peer-reviewed scientific journals, the scientific community became more certain that they were on the right track” (p. 20). Naomi Oreskes, a professor of history and science studies at the University of California, confirmed that statement in the journal Science in 2005. Professor Oreskes searched the ISI Web of Knowledge for refereed scientific journal articles on global climate change “on the basis of whether they supported, contradicted, or took no position on the consensus that the human release of greenhouse gases was causing climate change. She found 928 articles –– and not a single one took exception with the consensus position” (p.20). What was happening in the media during the same time, however, shows a different picture. In 2003, Jules and Max Boykoff answered that question in the peer-reviewed Journal of Environmental Change, in the article titled “Balance as Bias: Global Warming and the U.S. Prestige Press.” The brothers searched the libraries of the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, and the Los Angeles Times, and analyzed their coverage of climate change between 1998 and 2002. “They found that while the scientific press was coming down 928 to zero in accepting or, at the very least, not denying climate change, in 53 percent of their stories these four newspapers quoted a scientist on ‘one side’ of the issue and a spokesperson on the other” (p. 21). 2|Page Hoggan explains that media, in order to protect themselves, “frequently fall back on the notion of balance: they interview one person on one side of an issue and one person on the other” (p. 21). He suggests that this is legitimate when the subject matter is political, economic or even moral. When it comes to science, however, “there are legitimate subject experts, people whose knowledge is weighed and measured by their scientific peers. This is the process people use to decide, for example, on a new surgical method or on the structural strength or a new metal alloy. If a doctor recommended that you undergo an innovative new surgical procedure, you might get a second opinion, but you’d probably ask another surgeon. You wouldn’t check with your local carpenter, and you certainly wouldn’t ask a representative of the drug company whose product would be rendered irrelevant if you had the operation” (p. 22). “That’s not what’s been happening in the public conversation about global warming,” says Hoggan. “For most of the last two decades, while scientists were growing more convinced about the proof and more concerned about the risks of climate change, members of the general public were drifting into confusion, led there by conflicting stories that minimized the state of the problem and exaggerated the cost of solutions” (p. 22). Throughout the book, Hoggan documents the trail of evidence that leads to back to the smoking guns – that is, think tanks and junk scientists funded by fossil fuel companies. He uncovers certain memos and documents that detail the plan to inundate newspapers with letters and articles from “scientific” skeptics – a campaign devised by some of the very people that worked for the tobacco industry and directed similar campaign of misinformation and deceit. He also reveals the truth about several anti-climate change petitions compiled by the Heartland Institute and friends that claim the signatures of thousands of scientists from around the world. Among the names on these petitions: dead scientists, scientists with no peer-reviewed climate research, and in some cases, well-respected climate scientists whose names were attached without their consent. 3|Page The Heartland Institute (Notable Anti-Global Warming Think Tank) In one shocking story, Hoggan details the manipulation of renowned climate scientist Roger Reville into “coauthoring” a climate paper and his subsequent lawsuit against the graduate student who deceived him. Recommendations and Implications Much like Noam Chomsky in “Manufacturing Consent,” James Hoggan describes the practice of “Manufacturing Doubt.” Hoggan reveals, what he believes to be, the true nature of the so-called debate: an attack campaign against science, in an effort to sow doubt where none existed, funded by the fossil fuel industry, and carried out by think tanks and junk scientists. His recommendation is to always ask yourself three questions: 1. Does this ‘expert’ have relevant credentials? For example, have they trained in an area of science that is at the very least connected to climatology or atmospheric physics? 2. If an ‘expert’ is talking about science, are they still practicing science? Are they still conducting research and publishing in legitimate peer-reviewed journals? Or are all of their ’scientific’ pronouncements appearing on newspaper opinion pages, edited by people who think it’s just great to provoke debate? 3. Is this ‘expert’ taking money from vested interests or is he or she associated with ideological think tanks – the people who rely for their employment on promoting the agenda of their major funders? For Hoggan, these questions have uncovered many inconsistencies. (p. 231) 4|Page Analysis / Critique This book has many strengths. It is well-researched and well-sourced. What Hoggan uncovers is revelatory. Perhaps Hoggan’s biggest oversight, however, was not addressing the flip side of his arguments. Many climate change deniers make the same argument about climate science. They say: “follow the money.” Skeptical politicians and public alike often point to the millions of dollars funding climate science research. They also point to the millions of dollars “green” industries stand to lose if climate deniers are right. A recent Washington Post article (June 4, 2010) is worth quoting at length: If even half the sins exposed in "Climate Cover-Up" are true (and I suspect more than half are), the contrarian camp has some serious penance to deal with. However, the authors imply that such conditions (like Big Energy funding, shaky credentials and Orwellian language games) make the contrarian position a weak one. Note, though, such arguments go both ways. Volumes have been written wedding the same faults to the "consensus" position. But some of these foibles, as identified by "Climategate" for instance, are actually defended or mitigated by "Climate Cover-Up" and DeSmogBlog. And, what about funding? Because "Climate Cover-Up" looks at Big Energy as something akin to inherent evil, Big Energy's money is dirty. However, its contributions to its causes are quite small by comparison with that of say "Big Government" largesse, which "Climate Cover-Up" seems to favor, at least when it comes to IPCC research and forcing people to cut their carbon emissions. Regarding the IPCC, note that its role is "to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the scientific, technical and socioeconomic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation." Thus, as Mr. Gore has referenced Upton Sinclair's quote, so do his disciples in "Climate Cover-Up," proclaiming "It's difficult to get a man to understand something when his job depends on him not understanding it." All this aside, I believe the authors would agree that it's the truth that matters, not the fallible evangelists of it. Here is where the authors, neither of whom has even an undergraduate degree in science, have to take the science of human-caused climate change on faith. They believe their faith is well grounded, since it is in "incredibly intelligent people who are doing 5|Page a Nobel-prize winning job." And, there is some reliance, for example, on climate-science training by Nobel laureate Al Gore. Such training apparently trumps an education and subsequent career in a science field either in, or closely related to, climatology. Nevertheless, it should take only a little education in science and perhaps a lot of common sense to see through the billowing incense when anyone or any group, no matter how intelligent, saintly and sincere, assures you it sufficiently deciphered the mysteries of climate to be able to confidently foretell global conditions 10, 20, and even 100 years from now. Anthony J. Sadar is a certified consulting meteorologist and primary author of "Environmental Risk Communication: Principles and Practices for Industry" (CRC Press/Lewis Publishers, 2000). ____________________________________________________________ Partnership for the Public Good www.ppgbuffalo.org 237 Main St., Suite 1200, Buffalo NY 14203 ____________________________________________________________ 6|Page