Capstone Exercise: Advanced Assignment “Influenza Sentinel Surveillance in the Country of Tranquilidad” PARTICIPANT GUIDE Objectives Recognize the different types of measures used in statistical reporting of laboratory data for influenza surveillance Collect and report key influenza measures Present weekly data on key measures in graphical form Instructions In this activity you will practice the concepts covered during the classroom, including data analysis, consolidation, visualization and presentation. The activity is composed of two parts: 1. In Part 1, you will analyze and summarize weekly and annual data for all of the country of Tranquilidad. 2. In Part 2, you will have to present national influenza trends orally and in writing. Complete this section at home and submit it by e-mail. To complete this activity, you will need the following: Successful completion of the Capstone Exercise covering the Highlands Region data. Activity Student Guide (this document) o A document with activity instructions and questions to complete. Appendix I: Description of Tranquilidad’s Influenza-Like Illness Sentinel Surveillance System: Tranquilidad Highlands Database II: “InfluenzaLabData_AllTranquilidad.xls” o Laboratory surveillance data from the national laboratory, including data for all four regions of Tranquilidad. This database contains data for the entire epidemiologic year. This database has several tabs containing region-specific data as well as aggregated national data. INSTRUCTOR NOTE: You will find additional tabs in each database containing the calculations for most figures and tables. These are identified by the word “Figures” in the worksheet name. Appendix II: Microsoft Excel Database Codebook o A list of all the variables, potential responses and manner of coding for both the “InfluenzaLabData_Highlands” database as well as the “InfluenzaLabData_AllTranquilidad” database. Microsoft Excel Guide: “Capstone_MicrosoftExcelGuide.doc” o A guide to using Microsoft Excel 2007 or Excel 2003 for data analysis and Advanced Capstone Exercise Epidemiologic Analyses of Influenza Laboratory Data Page 1 presentation. PowerPoint Template Slides: “Capstone_Part2AlternateActivity_PptTemplate.ppt” o Power Point slide templates to be used as part of an alternate activity for Part 2 of the Capstone activity. Time allotted: Part I: 3 hours Part II: 1 hour Advanced Capstone Exercise Epidemiologic Analyses of Influenza Laboratory Data Page 2 Part 1: Aggregate Influenza-Like Illness Sentinel Surveillance in Tranquilidad A promotion to the national influenza laboratory You have recently been transferred to the national influenza laboratory in Tranquilidad. Tranquilidad has four regions in total and it is the responsibility of the national laboratory to aggregate and analyze data from all four regions. Just as in your position in the Highlands regional office, your responsibilities in the national office include submitting weekly reports. Your first assignment is to aggregate influenza-like illness surveillance data and use these data to prepare a weekly report to submit to the national epidemiology office. Directions: For the following questions, please refer to the Excel spreadsheet “InfluenzaLabData_AllTranquilidad.xls”. You may also refer to the Microsoft Excel Guide to provide further instructions on any commands or functions used in analyses. NOTE: Because some patients may have been infected by more than one pathogen, the total number of respiratory pathogens can exceed the total number of specimens per region. 1. How many cases meet the case definition for ILI, based on the required time between date of symptom onset and sampling date? NOTE: the variable “Days” contains this time period. 2. You are curious to know if the distribution of respiratory pathogens was similar between districts for epidemiologic week 52. Complete the table below. Table 6. ______________________________________________________ Total number of positive tests District Influenza A N (%) Influenza B N (%) Parainfluenza N (%) Adenovirus N (%) RSV N (%) 1: Highlands 2: South 3: Central 4: North All districts Source: Advanced Capstone Exercise Epidemiologic Analyses of Influenza Laboratory Data Page 3 3. Using the values you just entered into Table 6, create a stacked bar chart showing the number of cases for each type of respiratory virus - by region - for epidemiologic week 52 in the entire country of Tranquilidad. NOTE: You may use Microsoft Excel to generate this image, or may create the graph by hand using count data from the Microsoft Excel spreadsheet. Provide appropriate labels for your axes and a descriptive title. If you create the graph by hand, a blank template is provided below to complete. Figure 2. _________________________________________________ 4. Is the distribution of ILI-causing viruses similar across the different geographic regions for this particular epidemiologic week? 5. Preliminary reports suggest that males and females may have different ILI-incidence. To see if this trend is true in your data, fill-in the table below with counts of males and females for each type of virus. You should use the COUNTIFS function in Microsoft Excel to generate the necessary data. Advanced Capstone Exercise Epidemiologic Analyses of Influenza Laboratory Data Page 4 Table 7. _________________________________________________________ Males Females Total number of positive tests Influenza A Influenza B Parainfluenza Adenovirus RSV Source: 6. Using the data you complied in Table 7, create a 100% stacked bar chart. Each bar will represent a different pathogen with the percents of males and females adding up to 100% for each. NOTE: You may use Microsoft Excel to generate this image, or may create the graph by hand using count data from the Microsoft Excel spreadsheet. Provide appropriate labels for your axes and a descriptive title. If you create the graph by hand, a blank template is provided below to complete. What do you think about the distribution by sex? Figure 3. Advanced Capstone Exercise Epidemiologic Analyses of Influenza Laboratory Data Page 5 7. You would now like to summarize ILI surveillance data for the entire epidemiologic year. Create a table summarizing the counts and proportions of ILI-associated respiratory pathogens. NOTE: You may use the “AllRegions_Subtotals” tab to obtain the count necessary for this table. You may also use COUNTIFS to generate the counts necessary for this table, in either the “AllRegions_Subtotals” tab or the “AllRegions” tab. Table 8. ____________________________________________________ Number Characteristic Percent of Specimens Percent of positive tests Total number of specimens tested Total number of positive specimens Total number of negative specimens Total number of viruses detected Influenza A Influenza B Parainfluenza Adenovirus RSV Source: 8. Compare the proportional distributions between the table you created in the previous question (Table 7) with the one you created in Part 1 for the Highlands region alone (Table 3). Do they show different distributions of ILI-associated respiratory pathogens? Advanced Capstone Exercise Epidemiologic Analyses of Influenza Laboratory Data Page 6 The addition of an event-based surveillance system in Tranquilidad Tranquilidad has also implemented an event-based surveillance system within the past few months. Although it is a relatively new addition to influenza surveillance in Tranquilidad, members in the national epidemiology office have been very busy collecting and analyzing data. Epidemiologists working with the event-based surveillance system have decided to validate their system to ensure that it is functioning properly as an early warning system for influenza. Officials in the national epidemiology office have found a high amount of absenteeism and medical care utilization among those stationed at a military camp beginning about 12 weeks, or three months ago (e.g. beginning during weeks epidemiologic week 30). They believe this may have been associated with an outbreak. You would like to validate this claim using your national laboratory data. There is a military base located in the southern geographical region (Region 2). 9. Name one benefit of an event-based surveillance system. What advantages does it have over a syndromic surveillance system? 10. In the spreadsheet “InfluenzaLabData_AllTranquilidad.xlsx” look for the sheet called “Region 2-South Subtotals.” Create a stacked bar chart to show the number of cases for each infection in this region of Tranquilidad over the year. Label this graph as “Figure 3”. Be sure to provide appropriate axes, labels, a descriptive title and a legend. HINT: Follow the same procedure you used in Part 1, Question 13 to create this chart. It may be easier to create this graph in the tab with Region 2 data separated. Use the subtotal function in this tab. NOTE: Refer to the Microsoft Excel guide for instructions on how to create graphs and charts. Advanced Capstone Exercise Epidemiologic Analyses of Influenza Laboratory Data Page 7 11. Do you think there was an influenza outbreak as suspected from the event-based surveillance system? If so, which type of influenza appears to be implicated? Cite observations from your graph in your answer. 12. Complete the table below showing the number of influenza A cases among the total population, military personnel, and civilians, between epidemiologic weeks 30 and 36. Does it appear to be an outbreak strictly among military personnel, or among the Southern (Region 2) population as a whole? NOTE: You may calculate the counts necessary to complete this table manually, or you may use COUNTIFS statements. Subtotals are not necessary to calculate the counts necessary for this table. Table 9. Epidemiologic Week Week 30 Total ILI cases Total number positive for influenza A Total number positive for influenza A, military Total number positive for influenza A, civilian Week 31 Week 32 Week 33 Week 34 Week 35 Week 36 Total Source: Advanced Capstone Exercise Epidemiologic Analyses of Influenza Laboratory Data Page 8 13. Is there a particular influenza subtype that the alleged outbreak appears to be associated with, during weeks 30-36? Complete the table below and interpret the results. Table 10. __ Number Positive (%) Positive for influenza A/H1N1 Positive for influenza A/H3N2 Total specimens tested, weeks 30-36 Source: Advanced Capstone Exercise Epidemiologic Analyses of Influenza Laboratory Data Page 9 Part 2: Presenting Results at the National Influenza Congress in Tranquilidad Background Because of your excellent work and your vast experience as an influenza laboratorian in Tranquilidad, your superiors suggest that you speak on behalf of the National Reference Laboratory for Influenza in an upcoming influenza congress, a meeting which has both scientific and community-based audiences in attendance. You are asked to give an oral presentation on this year’s trends in laboratoryconfirmed influenza-like illness. In addition, you are asked to create a written summary of this year’s surveillance findings, which will be provided to all conference attendees. This report should take on the form of a “Results” section of a scientific publication. . Directions: Follow the guidelines below to develop your oral presentation and scientific written summary at the National Influenza Congress. Be sure to include all sections mentioned below. Oral Presentation Guidelines: Your oral Power Point presentation should include the following sections: Oral Presentation Section Contents 1. Title Slide A brief, descriptive title of your presentation 2. Overview The major topics discussed in your presentation 3. Content This section will vary by presentation, but should be between 2-5 slides. Your content slides should include the following: Background on ILI including public health importance Brief description of the ILI sentinel surveillance system in Tranquilidad* Surveillance case definition* Analysis methods Annual laboratory surveillance results Time trends or seasonality Outbreaks or clusters of disease Advanced Capstone Exercise Epidemiologic Analyses of Influenza Laboratory Data Page 10 4. Conclusions Summary of major surveillance findings Brief mention of public health implications of findings, and areas of further surveillance research 5. References (optional) Include references of any outside sources you utilized for your presentation 6. Acknowledgements Include any persons you may wish to thank in (optional) your presentation * Please see appendix I for more information on this topic. NOTE: For each slide created, you should also generate slide text to accompany your slides. Slide text should be in complete sentence format. Written Summary: The written summary of surveillance findings should be written in the form of a “Results” section of a scientific publication. This written summary should include the following: Laboratory results in reference to person, place and time Time trends or seasonality Outbreaks or clusters of disease Please include any tables and graphs to support the results mentioned. 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