INTRODUCTION TO INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Vocabulary ....................................................................................................................................................... 2 Introduction Notes & Questions ......................................................................................................................... 3 Realism Article .................................................................................................................................................. 4 Realism Scenario .............................................................................................................................................. 5 Liberalism Article ............................................................................................................................................... 7 Liberalism VS Realism Venn Diagram ............................................................................................................... 9 Applying Theory to Policy Activity .................................................................................................................... 10 Constructivist Theory ...................................................................................................................................... 11 Constructivist Resolution ................................................................................................................................. 12 International Relations Theories Activity .......................................................................................................... 13 Actors & Interests ............................................................................................................................................ 14 Case Study: Iraq War ...................................................................................................................................... 16 Cooperation & Bargaining................................................................................................................................ 18 Cooperation or Bargaining Letter ..................................................................................................................... 21 Institutions Reading ......................................................................................................................................... 22 WTO Compliance ............................................................................................................................................ 25 1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS VOCABULARY 1. International Relations ___________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2. Realism _______________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3. Liberalism _____________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4. Constructivism _________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5. Actor __________________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________ 6. Cooperation ___________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________ 7. Bargaining ____________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________ 8. Collective Action Problem ________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________ 9. Game Theory __________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________ 10. National Power ________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________ 11. Prisoner’s Dilemma _____________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________ 12. Strategic Interaction _____________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 INTRODUCTION NOTES Cues Notes Questions Summary QUESTIONS 1. What is studied in international relations? 2. What is the purpose of international relations? 3. Video 1 – What topics are central to IR? 4. Video 2 – What is sovereignty? Why is it important to studying IR? 5. Video 3 – What is anarchy? How is this related to IR? 3 POLITICAL REALISM Realism is an approach to the study and practice of international politics. It emphasizes the role of the nation-state and makes a broad assumption that all nation-states are motivated by national interests, or, at best, national interests disguised as moral concerns. At its most fundamental level, the national interest is generic and easy to define: all states seek to preserve their political autonomy and their territorial integrity. Once these two interests have been secured, however, national interests may take different forms. Some states may have an interest in securing more resources or land; other states may wish to expand their own political or economic systems into other areas; some states may merely wish to be left alone. Generally speaking, however, the national interest must be defined in terms of power. National power has an absolute meaning since it can be defined in terms of military, economic, political, diplomatic, or even cultural resources. But, for a realist, power is primarily a relative term: does a state have the ability to defend itself against the power of another state? Does a state have the ability to coerce another state to change that state's policies? This emphasis on relative, and not absolute power, derives from the realist conception of the international system which is, for the realist, an anarchical environment. All states have to rely upon their own resources to secure their interests, enforce whatever agreements they may have entered into with other states, or to maintain a desirable domestic and international order. There is no authority over the nation-state, nor, for the realist, should there be. Realists see the international order as being anarchical and all states acting to serve their self-interests. The implications of this refusal to recognize greater authority are important to recognize. The political realist fears centralized authority, unless that authority is derived from the power of his or her own state. The decentralization of the international system permits greater diversity than would be the case with, say, an empire. Since, however, the natural tendency of states is to increase their power, the preservation of a decentralized system must be purchased with force. The use of force to preserve the decentralized system is regulated by a system called the balance of power. Such a system works only if the major powers agree, at least tacitly, that they agree that the preservation of state autonomy is an important objective. If the major powers do agree, wars will still occur within the system, but those wars will be constrained by the limited objectives of each major state. If one major power does not agree with the limited objectives, then wars will be much larger and more open-ended. For further information and detailed explanation, visit http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/realism-intl-relations/ MORGENTHAU’S SIX PRINCIPLES OF POLITICAL REALISM. 1. Politics, like society in general, is governed by objective laws that have their roots in human nature which is unchanging: therefore it is possible to develop a rational theory that reflects these objective laws. 2. The main signpost of political realism is the concept of interest defined in terms of power which infuses rational order into the subject matter of politics, and thus makes the theoretical understanding of politics possible. Political realism stresses the rational, objective and unemotional. 3. Realism assumes that interest defined as power is an objective category which is universally valid but not with a meaning that is fixed once and for all. Power is the control of man over man. 4 4. Political realism is aware of the moral significance of political action. It is also aware of the tension between moral command and the requirements of successful political action. FOUNDATIONS OF REALISM Human Nature: Pessimistic; humans are selfinterested & competitive 5. Political realism refuses to identify the moral aspirations of a particular nation with the moral laws that govern the universe. It is the concept of interest defined in terms of power that saves us from the moral excess and political folly. 6. The political realist maintains the autonomy of the political sphere. He asks "How does this policy affect the power of the nation?" Political realism is based on a pluralistic conception of human nature. A man who was nothing but "political man" would be a beast, for he would be completely lacking in moral restraints. But, in order to develop an autonomous theory of political behavior, "political man" must be abstracted from other aspects of human nature. Core Concepts: Power & Conflict Conflict in System: Central & inevitable International System: Anarchical Main Cause of Conflict: States pursuing conflicting self-interests Path to Peace: Achieve balance of power Key Organizations: States Policy Prescriptions: Pursue self-interest; expand/preserve power HOW WOULD THE REALIST VIEW THIS SCENARIO? U.S. drone strikes kill al Qaeda militants, Yemen officials say By Hakim Almasmari, CNN Sanaa, Yemen (CNN) -- U.S. drone strikes killed at least nine suspected members of al Qaeda in Yemen, where clashes intensified Tuesday between the terrorist group and Shia Houthi rebels, local security officials said. The three airstrikes in Yemen's Al Baitha province, near Radaa district, targeted al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula vehicles on their way to fight Houthis, the three security officials said. The air component came amid fighting on the ground in the province that, according to the officials, killed at least 36 fighters from both sides. Over the years, the Yemeni military, aided by American drone strikes, has failed to beat back AQAP. Yet the Houthis, a militant group that follows the Zaidi sect of Islam, have managed to defeat al Qaeda on numerous fronts, last week sweeping its militants from a stronghold in Al Baitha province. This push spurred AQAP to threaten to kill Houthi followers wherever they are spotted. More than 400 people have been killed from both sides over the past month in ongoing clashes in Al Baitha and Ibb provinces. While Houthis have been critical of U.S. drone strikes in the past, they have not objected to their use in the last month. The Houthis swept to power in Yemen after signing a ceasefire deal with the government in September, ending a political crisis that had halted life in Sanaa and left more than 300 dead in a month. Soldiers killed Since 2012, Houthis have exploited Yemen's political vacuum to assert their own regional pull over the country's highlands while expanding their political traction by establishing Ansar Allah, their new political group. On Saturday, the Interior Ministry confirmed that al Qaeda attacked a government military facility and killed 19 soldiers in the port province 5 of Hodeida. One day later, Houthis sent dozens of fighters there and forced al Qaeda to retreat. Al Qaeda claimed responsibility for eight attacks against Houthis across Yemen in the past three weeks through its official Twitter account. Guerrilla tactics After taking control of Sanaa, hundreds of Houthi fighters created checkpoints inside and surrounding the Yemeni capital. They have also expanded their reach into most northern Yemeni provinces. But Houthis are finding it more difficult to crush al Qaeda in Al Baitha, considered one of the network's main strongholds in central Yemen."Houthis are used to military clashes, while al Qaeda uses guerrilla tactics against its enemies. They hit and run unexpectedly," said AbdulSalam Mohammed, president of the Sanaa-based Abaad Strategic Center. “Rules of war are different when fighting al Qaeda," he said. The Houthis have long complained that they have been marginalized and persecuted by Yemen's Sunni majority, and have been involved in a series of rebellions since 2004, justifying their actions by claiming self-defense. They are organized under the leadership of Abdel Malek al Houthi. Adding to an increasingly volatile situation, a secessionist movement in the south of Yemen, al Hirak, has stepped up protests in Aden, Yemen's chief port and the largest city in the south. Analyze the motives of the United States in Yemen from a realist perspective. Use the following terms in your analysis: power, conflict, anarchy, self-interest, & morals. 6 POLITICAL LIBERALISM Liberalism contends that people and the countries that represent them are capable of finding mutual interests and cooperating to achieve them, at least in party by working through international organizations and according to international law. Liberals reject the realists’ contention that politics is inherently and exclusively a struggle for power. Liberals do not dismiss power as a factor, but they add morality, ideology, emotions, habits of cooperation, and even altruism as factors that influence the behavior of national leaders and the course of world politics. Liberalism also holds that international politics can be a non-zero-sum game - FOUNDATIONS OF LIBERALISM that it is possible to have win-win situations in which gains of one or more Human Nature: Optimistic; humans countries do not have to come at the expense of others. [Realists believe in capable of enlightened cooperation zero-sum, in which gain for one state is inevitably a loss for another state]. Liberals are also prone to think that all humans have a common bond that they can draw on to identify themselves beyond the narrow boundaries of Core Concepts: Cooperation & interdependence their country or group and to identify and forge ties with people around the Conflict in System: Central but not world. inevitable Like realism, liberalism is not a new approach to world politics. Indeed, part of International System: Anarchical, but modern liberalism is resurrected idealism although that label fell into disuse. growing order Whatever its label, the approach includes such ideas as the notion that justice is a basic human right, which dares at least to Mesopotamia around 2500BCE. A sense of universalism has also long prompted efforts to organize Main Cause of Conflict: Lack of central processes to regulate competition internationally for peace. For one, French Official Pierre Dubois proposed in Path to Peace: Increase The Recovery of the Holy Land (1306) that the Christian kingdoms ‘create a interdependence, cooperation, and league of universal peace’ to settle their disputes. Such views have persisted, adherence to international law with the idealism of President Woodrow Wilson and his drive to found the Key Organizations: States & IGOs League of Nations as a more recent example. Also like realism, the reemergence of liberalism was a reflection of the times. Policy Prescriptions: Cooperate to achieve mutual interests Realism had gained strength among scholars during the alarming period between the outbreak of WWII and the depths of the Cold War in the 1950s and 1960s. In the 1970s, however, the Cold War began to thaw, the international landscape looked very different, and liberalism resurged. Reflecting the times, liberals made a number of claims. One was that, especially in a nuclear age, the assumptions of realism trapped the world into a mind-set of conflict that could literally destroy civilization. This concern prompted some scholars to pursue a disciplined inquiry into the ways that values like peace and justice can be realized in global politics. Liberalism stressed the spread of democracy and the work being done on democratic peace theory. This idea contradicts the core realist assumption that all countries, democratic or not, would struggle with one another. Liberals also noted the expanding role of the UN, growth of the European Union, and many other examples of global cooperation and charged that realism could not explain such changes. Emphasis on Cooperation Unlike realists, liberals do not believe that acquiring, preserving, and applying power must be or even always is the essence of international relations. Instead, liberals argue that foreign policy should be and sometimes is formulated according to the standards of cooperation and even altruism. This does not mean that liberals 7 are never willing to use military force or other forms of coercion. Almost all liberals are willing to do so in self-defense or in response to overt international aggression. Many liberals would also use force, especially if authorized by the UN, to prevent or halt genocide and other gross violations of human rights. Beyond such cases though, liberals differ. Some favor assertive liberalism, an approach that led Woodrow Wilson to send American troops to Europe in an effort to make the world safe for Democracy and led George W Bush to invade Iraq in part to foster democracy there. Proponents of more passive liberalism argue that using force is often counterproductive and that it also often leads to imperial domination, even if the initial intentions were lofty. Liberals also dismiss the realists’ warning that pursuing ethical policy often work against the national interest. The wisest course, liberals contend, is for countries to recognize that their national interests and the common interests of the world are inextricably tied. For liberals, this means that improving global economic conditions, human rights, and democracy are very much in the national interest of the United States and other economically developed and democratic countries. This was the argument President Bush made in 2005 when he told Americans, “In the long term, the peace we seek will only be achieved by eliminating the conditions that feed radicalism and ideologies of murder. If whole regions of the world remain in despair and grow in hatred, they will be the recruiting grounds for terror, and that terror will stalk America and other free nations for decades.” Obviously, the realist camp saw Bush’s actions in the Middle East very differently. Cooperative Future Liberals believe that humanity is struggling toward a more orderly and peaceful international system and can and must succeed in that goal. All theories recognize the importance of the state in world politics, but whereas realists focus almost exclusively on the state, liberals put a great deal of emphasis on the UN and other IGOS as both evidence and promoters of greater cooperation. Liberals are divided, however, over how far cooperation can and should go. Classic liberals believe that just as humans learned to form cooperative societies without giving up their individuality, so too can states learn to cooperate without surrendering their independence. These liberals believe that the growth of international economic interdependence and the spread of global culture will create much greater spirit of cooperation among the world countries. Neoliberals are more dubious about a world in which countries retain full sovereignty. These analysts believe that countries will have to surrender some of their sovereignty to international organizations in order to promote greater cooperation and enforce good behavior. As for the future, liberals are encouraged by some recent trends. One of these is the willingness of countries to surrender some of their sovereignty and improve themselves. The EU, for instance, now exercises considerable economic and political authority over its member countries; member countries were not forced into the EU, rather, they joined it freely. Liberals are further buoyed by the spread of democracy and economic interdependence. They believe that both tend to lessen the chances of conflict among states, and research shows that there is validity to this notion/ liberals also condemn the practice of realpolitik. They charge that power politics leads to an unending cycle of conflict and misery in which safety is temporary at best. 8 Realism Liberalism 9 APPLYING THEORY TO POLICY Although national leaders seldom talk in terms of international relations theory, they do apply it. This was clear in late 2006 when a committee of former top US officials headed by James Baker and Lee Hamilton sent President Bush a report that began, “The situation in Iraq is grave and deteriorating,” and recommended a series of pragmatic steps designed to, “enable the United States to begin to move its combat forces out of Iraq responsibly.” The Washington Post termed the report “The Realist Manifesto.” Similarly, Time greeted the report and the replacement of Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld by Robert Gates with a column entitled ”The Return of the Realists.” The columnist Walter Isaacson linked the neo-conservatism of Rumsfeld and others in the administration to the idealism of Woodrow Wilson waging WWI to make the safe world for democracy, and characterized the invasions of Iraq in 2003 as a neo-Wilsonian mission of spreading democracy. Describing realism and liberalism ads competing strands of American foreign policy, Isaacson characterized realism as a hard-nosed focus on clearly defined national interests, pursued with a pragmatic calculation of commitments and resources, and idealism as emphasizing moral values and ideals in formulating US foreign policy. As for the argument some make that US pragmatic interests and moral values are synonymous, Isaacson dismissed that conjecture as not always true in a messy world. Which standard should Americans follow? Isaacson hedged, writing that while, “welcoming the return of some realism, let’s not forget that America’s strength comes from its values.” To help determine whether you would write the future policy script with a realist or liberal theme, or perhaps both, or neither, consider the following scenarios .assume that you are US president, and that for each scenario your maximum cost will be 5,000 US troops killed and $500 billion. Then decide for each scenario whether you are willing to order US forces into action and pay the price. 1. Retaking the US territory of Guam after it has been seized by another country 2. Stopping a genocidal slaughter that has already killed 200,000 people in a distant country 3. Preventing a clearly hostile country from acquiring nuclear arms and long-range missiles 4. Ousting a dictator who has ended democracy in a distant country and is ruling by terror 5. Toppling a government that is supplying a terrorist group that is threatening you 6. Liberating a country of no strategic importance that has been invaded by a neighbor 7. Defeating a country that dominates the Middle East and has cut off US oil supplies 8. Forcing a country harboring war criminals to surrender them to the International Criminal Court 10 CONSTRUCTIVIST THEORY As the realists and liberals battled it out intellectually, other scholars rejected all or parts of both theories and sought new ways of thinking. Among other influences, the views of postmodernist, feminist, and other scholars on the subjectivity of much of what we assume is real led in the mid-1980s to the formulation of constructivist theory. Constructivism views the course of international relations as an interactive process in which the ideas of and communications among agents (actors, individuals, groups, social structures, states) serve to create structures (treaties, laws, international organizations, etc.). These structures, in turn, influence the ideas and communications of the agents. This definition, like constructivist theory itself, is difficult to understand because it takes most readers into unfamiliar worlds. FOUNDATIONS OF CONSTRUCTIVISM Nature of Politics The view begins with a rejection of what they claim is the assumption by realists and liberals that most actors of world Human Nature: Neutral/no assumptions politics, such as states, and structures, such as the anarchistic Core Concepts: Ideas, communication, & international system, are a stable given. Constructivists read all such language ‘knowledge’ as much more fluid than do realists and liberals. It is not that Conflict in System: Central but not inevitable constructivists do not recognize that countries exist; it is that constructivists see them as primarily structures that are fluidly based on International System: Anarchical because it’s the willingness of agents (citizens) to define themselves politically in terms assumed to be of the state (national political identity) and behave in ways (fighting for it, Main Cause of Conflict: Assumptions of conflict and hostility paying taxes) that support it. Such political identities are mental pictures of who we are and both they and the political structures that rest on them are more ethereal than you might assume. For example, in 1991 there was no Path to Peace: Communicate to find common doubt that the Soviet Union existed. It was the world’s largest country with goals & ways to achieve them a complex governmental structure and a vast military inventory. Indeed, Key Organizations: States, NGOs, & IGOs the Soviet Union was one of the world’s two superpowers. Yet as the Policy Prescriptions: Shape ideas and language to promote preferred reality clock struck midnight on December 26, 1991, the Soviet Union disappeared. Why? That will be debated for a long time, but constructivists would argue that the Soviet Union had been constructed in part in the minds of those within its borders. When they shifted their political identities to being Russians, Ukrainians, and Kazaks, rather than Soviets, these people ‘constructed’ new sovereign states and ‘deconstructed’ the Soviet Union, which was then disbanded by Russia and its other constituent republics. Constructivists also differ from liberals and realists in what they see as the goals of the agents. Liberals and realists hold different views no how to best achieve goals, but they tend to see them in relatively concrete terms such as physical safety and material-wellbeing. By contrast, constructivists believe that an important role is played by nonmaterial factors such as ideology, morality, and other cultural outlooks and values. This stress on societal values makes constructivists place considerable emphasis on the internal political processes of countries and how those dynamics shape a country’s perceptions of the world and interactions with it. Historians of American foreign policy, for example, have found a religious component in American culture that disposes it to see the ‘American way’ as god-given, which promotes a missionary zeal to carry its blessing to others. This messianic tendency in American culture helps explain from a constructivist point of 11 view the determination to spread democracy to the Middle East and elsewhere. Factoring in values also helps understand policy choices. Course of World Politics Because constructivism contends that to a great degree, the world is what we make of it, most of its adherents do not share the pessimism of realists about the possibilities of escaping global competition and conflict. Even more broadly, the future rests on the ways in which we communicate and think about the world and our place in it. They believe that language calls things into existence. For then, choosing one label over another (foreigner vs. fellow human), then attaching certain values to that label is profoundly important politically because we act on the basis of what things meant o us. Constructivists believe we should reject traditional meanings because they have led to division and conflict. They do not believe that the anarchical condition of the international system forces states to take certain actions like being armed. Instead, they think that how we conceive of the lack of central authority is what determines interactions. From this point of view, conflict is not the result of structural power politics, rather it stems from the discordant worldviews and the inability of people to communicate in ways that would construct a mutually beneficial vision and create structures to accomplish that visions. If values and perceptions change, then so too can relations, structural realities, and other aspects of the international system. Resolve the dispute over immigration from Latin America to the United States using Constructivist Theory. 12 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS THEORIES ACTIVITY Categorizing – Determine if the statement refers to Realist, Liberal, or Constructivist theory; write an R, L, or C on the line to indicate your answer. 1. _____ Sovereign states exist in anarchy, incapable of order 2. _____ National characteristics of states influence their actions 3. _____ States act solely based on their self-interest 4. _____ States, NGOs, and IGOs all play a role in international relations 5. _____ Language is a determinant of conflict 6. _____ States are configurations of individual and group interests 7. _____ Ideology, morality, and values of individual states have a critical role in international relations 8. _____ The goal of states is to expand or sustain their power 9. _____ Cooperation & interdependence will achieve peace Multiple Perspectives – Read the scenario, then answer the questions from realist, liberal, and constructivist views. Nation X and Nation Y have had a long history of conflict, but are now trying to come to terms with one another. In the 1950s, Nation X’s government helped overthrow the democratically elected leader of Nation Y – an obvious start to a complicated relationship. A few decades later, Nation Y forced the leader supported by Nation X from the country and installed a leader whose religious background matched with that of the nation, but was different from the religion prominent in Nation X. Things were further complicated only a few years later when hostages were held from Nation X in Nation Y for over a year, and several lost their lives. By this time, it is clear to both sides that Nation X and Nation Y are not on good terms, perhaps even enemies. Despite this, Nation X secretly shipped weapons to Nation Y, allegedly in exchange for help in freeing Nation X hostages held in another country nearby, causing great controversy within Nation X. Shortly thereafter, a passenger airplane of Nation Y was shot down by Nation X military; the relationship was quite hostile for the next decade. In the mid-1990s, a new leader in Nation Y suggested starting conversations with Nation X, but this was not accomplished and indeed shut down in the 2000s when the leader of Nation X suggested that Nation Y was part of a larger, “evil” alliance, which clearly outraged Nation Y. Since then, sanctions were imposed on Nation Y to prevent the state from further developing nuclear weapons – weapons commonly held by Nation X. Although leaders butted heads throughout the 2000s, their current rulers did engage in discussion over the nuclear issue in 2013, marking the first time Nation X and Nation Y’s heads of state conversed in 30 years. 10. Why have Nation X and Nation Y had such a poor relationship over the past 60 years? R– L– C– 11. Why would Nation X and Nation Y begin discussion over the nuclear issue now? R– L– C– 13 ACTORS IN INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Actors are those that make binding decisions in international relations. The two primary categories are states and nonstate actors. Realism focuses solely on states as actors, whereas liberalism and constructivism acknowledge the influence of international intergovernmental organizations and international non-governmental organizations. Interests are what actors want to achieve through political action. For example, we often assume that states have an interest in security, specifically in preventing attacks. This interest prompts states to take steps to suppress potential enemies and protect allies whose security is linked to their own. More precisely, interests are the preferences of actors over the possible outcomes that might result from their political choices. Interests determine how actors rank the desirability of different outcomes, from most to least preferred. An actor motivated by an interest in money prefers outcomes in which it receives more money to those in which it receives less. A state interested in security prefers outcomes that strengthen it and weaken its adversaries over outcomes that have the opposite effect. In identifying the interests of an actor, analysts draw on prior theories of human nature or behavior, statements or actions of the actors themselves, and sometimes assume that actors have particular interests. At the most general level, analysts group interests into three categories: power or security, economic or material welfare, and ideological goals. These categories somewhat align with realism, liberalism, and constructivism, but all theories can be applied to analyzing the interests and actions of actors. Nation-States Nations are communities who think they are different from others in terms of history, ethnicity, language, or religion. State refers to either the present condition of a system or entity, or to a governed entity (country) or sub-entity (province). Nation-state scan be largely defined as autonomous geopolitical entities inhabited by citizens sharing the same language, history, and ethnicity. Nation-states have several characteristics, notably a geographically-defined territory, sovereignty, government, nationalism, and obedience and loyalty of a population. In international relations, nation-states make political, economic, social, and cultural decisions that impact both domestic and international spheres. Weak states tend to be former colonial holdings that never made the transition to viable nationstates, such as Somalia, Lebanon, Congo, and Afghanistan. Modernizing states, encompassing about 80% of the world’s population, remain entrenched in the classic state system; this includes Brazil, India, Russia, and China. Developed or post-industrial states have moved beyond the absolutist model of state sovereignty found among modernizing states, like member states of the European Union. Non-State Actors Non-state actors are non-sovereign entities that exercise significant economic, political, and social power. They have influence at a national or international level. There is no consensus on the members of this category, and some definitions include trade unions, community organizations, religious institutions, ethnic groups, and even universities. The impact of non-state actors is context-dependent, meaning the roles they play and influence they exert depends upon political, economic, and social context. International Intergovernmental Organizations These voluntary associations of sovereign states are created by treaties and negotiations to pursue the objectives of states. Nongovernmental Organizations NGOs are private, self-governing, voluntary, non-profit and task-oriented advocacy organizations. Within these parameters, there is a high degree of diversity in terms of unifying principles; independence from the government, big business, and outside influences; operating procedures; sources of funding; 14 international reach; and size. They can implement projects, provide services, promote causes, or seek to influence policy. The most common advocacy NGOs today work transnational issues like the environment, public health, migration and displacement, and other social issues. Multinational Corporations These enterprises manage production or deliver services in at least two countries. The traditional multinational is a private company headquartered in one country with subsidiaries in others, all operating in accordance with a coordinated global strategy to win market share and achieve cost efficiencies. Today, a growing number of multinationals are based in emerging market countries – particularly China, India, Russia, Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey. This has been instrumental in shifting corporate power away from the OECD countries. For example, the bulk of the world’s gas and oil reserves is now controlled by emerging market-based multinationals owned by or in alignment with their home governments. Actor Commonly Ascribed Interests States Security, power, wealth, & ideology Politicians Reelection, ideology, & political Examples United States, United Kingdom, Iran, Iraq President Obama, David Cameron goals Industries or Wealth & profit General Motors, pharmaceutical industry Business Associations Bureaucracies Budget maximization, influence, policy preferences International Composites of states = reflect Organizations interests of member states NGOs Normative, ideological, or policy goals; human rights, environment Dept of Defense, National Security Council, Ministry of Foreign Affairs United Nations, IMF, Organization for Economic Cooperation & Development Red Cross, Amnesty International , Greenpeace, Catholic Church 15 INTERACTIONS: WHY CAN’T AN ACTOR ALWAYS GET WHAT IT WANTS? Actors make choices in order to further their interests, yet political outcomes depend not just on the choices of one actor, but on the choices of others as well. Interests are essential in analyzing any event in international relations because they represent how actors rank alternative outcomes. But to account for outcomes, we must examine the choices of all the relevant actors and how their choices interact to produce a particular result. When outcomes re the product of an interaction, actors have to anticipate the likely choices of others and take those choices into account when making their own decisions. Strategic interactions earn their name as each actor’s strategy, or plan of action, depends on the anticipated strategy of others. We make two assumptions in studying interactions. First, we assume that actors are purposive, that they behave with the intention of producing a desired result. That is, actors are assumed to choose among available options with due regard for their consequences and with the aim of bringing about outcomes they prefer. Second, in cases of strategic interaction, we assume that actors adopt strategies to obtain desired outcomes given what they believe to be the interests and likely actions of others. That is, actors develop strategies that they believe are a best response to the anticipated strategies of others. A best response strategy is the actor’s plan to do as well as possible, in light of the interests and likely strategies of other actors. Together, these assumptions link interests to choices and, through the interactions of choices, to outcomes. Formulating a strategy as a best response, of course, does not guarantee that the actor will obtain its most preferred or even a positively valued outcome. Sometimes, the choices made by others leave actors facing a highly undesirable outcome, one that may leave them far worse off than the status quo. If one state choose to initiate a war, for instance, the other state must respond by either capitulating to its demands or fighting back, and both options may leave the second state less well off than before the attack. A strategy is a plan to do as well as possible given one’s expectations about the interests and actions of others; it is not a guarantee that one will obtain the most preferred result. CASE STUDY: IRAQ WAR Interests One primary interest of the United States is security. In the showdown with Iraq, such an interest might explain the US government’s desire to remove a regime that threatened American allies in the region and was suspected of developing weapons of mass destruction and to install a friendly regime in a part of the world that harbors great hostility toward the West. Given the US’s general interest in security, it might prefer a democratic Iraq that is friendly toward American allies and encourages the democratization of other states in the Middle East. If this best outcome were to prove impossible, the United States’ second-best result might be a pro-Western dictator in Iraq. This would be preferable to an anti-American Islamist government, which, in turn, would be preferable to widespread instability and chaos in Iraq and the region more generally. Furthermore, the Iraq War tapped into a longstanding debate in the US over whether foreign policy should be narrowly defined to meet security threats or should also seek to undermine repressive regimes and promote the spread of democracy. Interactions In March 2003, Saddam Hussein’s interests in his personal wellbeing might have led to the following order of possible outcomes: 1) stay in power and continue present policies; 2) go into exile in some friendly state; 3) fight and lose a war with the United States. Hussein’s only chance at getting his best possible outcome required that he resist US demands to step down, but this risked bringing about his worst possible outcome: war. Whether resisting would lead 16 to his best or worst outcome depended on what the United States would do in response. Would Bush carry out his threat to attack, or would he back down? Whether it made sense for Hussein to resist or step down depended crucially on the answer to this question. If he expected Bush to back down, then resisting US demands would get him his bets outcome; if Hussein expected Bush to carry out his threat, then resistance would lead to his worst outcome, and it would have been better to step down. Hence, in making his choice, Hussein had to consider not only what he himself wanted but also what he expected Bush to do. In this case, there is evidence suggesting that Hussein expected opposition on the part of other states, especially Russia and France, to prevent Bush from carrying out his threat – an erroneous expectation that led him to resist. When combined with Bush’s determination to invade, this choice ensured a war. Had Hussein been certain that Bush would act as he did, bringing about his eventual execution, he might have chosen differently even though his underlying interests would have been the same. We call such situations strategic interactions because each actor’s strategy, of plan of action, depends on the anticipated strategy of others. 1. List the actors evident in this scenario. 2. Identify the interests explained in the Iraq War case. 3. Use this example to explain how interests and actors are involved in international relations. 4. Use this example to explain strategic interactions. 5. What is the relationship in this case between national sovereignty and global interests, such as promoting democracy or security? 17 COOPERATION & BARGAINING Interactions can take various forms, but most can be grouped into two broad categories: cooperation and bargaining. Political interactions usually involve both in varying degrees. CASE STUDY: IRAQ WAR Cooperation: A number of states in the Interactions are cooperative when actors have a shared international community loathed or feared interest in achieving an outcome and must work together to do so. Saddam Hussein’s regime, and they may Cooperation occurs when two or more actors adopt policies that make at have seen his removal as preferable to the least one actor better off than it would otherwise be. Opportunities for status quo. Some of these – United States cooperation arise all the time in social and political life. A group of friends and Great Britain – chose to cooperate in a Cooperation may want to throw a party, but none of them can spare the time or money to do so alone. If they all contribute a little, then they can all enjoy the benefits of the party. The members of a community would all benefit if there were good roads to drive on and clean water to drink, but again, no individual may be able to provide these on her own. If they all agree to pay taxes to some central agency that will provide roads and water, military effort to oust Hussein’s regime. Both contributed significant military forces and other resources in the expectation that joint action would make them better off relative to either maintaining the status quo or acting then they can all be better off. In the international system, states may alone. have opportunities to cooperate to defend one another from attack, to Bargaining: The US and Iraq were not further a shared interest in free trade or stable monetary relations, to protect the global environment, or to uphold human rights. Cooperation is defined from the perspectives of the two or more actors who are interacting. Even though their cooperation may make those actors better off, it may hurt other parties. The friends throwing a party may disrupt neighbors. Indeed, cooperation is not always an unmitigated good; its benefits exist only for those who become better off by adjusting cooperating, but bargaining over the latter’s WMD programs and ultimately its regime. Both: Even as the US, Britain, and other states had interests in cooperating to defeat Iraq, they bargained over how much each would contribute to the effort. their policies to bring about an outcome they prefer. Bargaining Whereas cooperative interactions involve the potential for mutual gain, bargaining describes an interaction in which actors must choose outcomes that make one better off at the expense of another. For example, two states may want the same piece of territory. Bargaining describes the process by which they come to divide the territory. They may negotiate, impose sanctions on one another, or fight. All these tactics are different forms of bargaining. Given the nature of the situation, the more territory one side gets, the less the other gets. When actors bargain, the improvement in one actor’s welfare comes at the expense of the other actor’s welfare. For this reason, bargaining is sometimes called a zero-sum game because the gains for one side perfectly match the losses of the other. Bargaining is purely redistributive; that is, rather than creating additional value, as in the case of cooperation, it only allocates a fixed sum of value between two actors. Typically, war is a bargaining interaction. A Mix Most interactions in international relations combine elements of both cooperation and bargaining. In many interactions, actors cooperate and bargain simultaneously, and the outcomes of both interactions are linked. Successful 18 cooperation generates gains worth bargaining over. And if actors cannot reach a bargain over the division of gains, they may end up failing to cooperate. Success & Failure of Cooperation Cooperation and bargaining can succeed or fail for many reasons. Just because actors might benefit from cooperation does not mean they will actually change their policies to realize the possible gains. And even though bargaining might seem doomed to fail – after all, why would one actor agree to reduce its welfare? – actors often do succeed in redistributing valuable goods between themselves. The most important factor lies in each actor’s interests. Even when actors have a collective interest in cooperating, there are situations in which their individual interests lead them to defect – to adopt an uncooperative strategy that undermines the collective goal. Consider the easiest kind of cooperative interaction – a problem of coordination. This kind of situation arises when actors simply must coordinate their actions with one another, and once their actions are coordinated, there is no potential benefit from defecting. In short, there is no incentive to defect from the coordinated arrangement. In the international economy, firms, industries, and governments face coordination problems all the time. There are many ways to encode information on a CD, for example, but all firms producing CD-based products are better off coordinating on a single format so their products are interchangeable. In coordination situations, cooperation is self-sustaining because once coordination is achieved, no one can benefit by unilaterally defecting. A more serious barrier to cooperation arises if the actors have an individual incentive to defect. These are called problems of collaboration; this is the kind of problem often illustrated by the Prisoner’s Dilemma. Imagine that two criminals have robbed a bank and stashed the loot in a secret location. The two are caught by police, but the DA does not have enough evidence to convict them. She puts the prisoners in separate rooms and presents them with the following offer: “If you provide evidence against your accomplice, I will let you go and put him in jail for 10 years; however, I am making the same offer to your accomplice, and if he provides evidence against you, you will be the one behind bars. If you both squeal, then you’ll both end up in prison.” Collectively, the prisoners would do best by cooperating with each other and staying silent. In that case, the DA has to release them and they get to split the loot. Unfortunately, each prisoner has an incentive to rat out his accomplice. Each prisoner reasons as follows: “If my partner stays quiet, I can likewise and we will split the loot, or I can provide evidence against him, in which case he goes to prison, and I get to enjoy the loot myself.” Assuming the prisoner cares only about money, then defection is the best response in the event that the accomplice Curious about the Prisoner’s Dilemma? See the episode on Game Theory 101 [YouTube] stays quiet. Defection is also the best response if the accomplice defects, since the worst outcome is to go to prison while one’s accomplice goes free and gets the loot. Since both prisoners will reason the same way, both will end up providing evidence against the other. Both will go to jail, and they will split the loot when they get out. This outcome, of course, is worse for both of them than the outcome they could have gotten by cooperating with each other. The dilemma is that each individual’s incentive to defect undermines their collective interest in cooperation. 19 Additional Factors Efforts to produce public goods are bedeviled by collective action problems; each aims to benefit from the contributions of others without bearing the costs itself Institutions can provide incentives to alter actors’ interests to line up with collective interests It is easier for a smaller number of actors to cooperate Cooperation is more likely to occur when actors have opportunities to cooperate over time and across issues. Iteration refers to repeated interactions with the same partners, usually through trade or other agreements. Related to iteration is linkage, which ties cooperation on one policy dimension to cooperation on other dimensions. Availability of information affects the likelihood of cooperation. Cooperation may fail due to uncertainty and misperception. Winners & Losers in Bargaining While cooperation has the opportunity to make actors collectively better off, bargaining creates winners and losers. It is impossible for all actors to get their best possible outcome at the same time. To understand why a bargain would ever be successful, we must understand power. Power is the ability of one actor to get another to do something it would otherwise not do. Bargaining power belongs to those actors most satisfied with, or most willing to endure, the reversion outcome (outcome that occurs when no bargain is reached. Because bargaining outcomes are largely determined by how each actor evaluates the reversion outcome, power derives from the ability to make the reversion outcome better for oneself and worse for the other side. The most obvious strategy for exercising power is coercion. Coercion is the threat or imposition of costs on others to reduce the value of the reversion outcome and thus change their behavior. Thus, states can use their ability to impose costs on others to demand more favorable bargain than they would otherwise receive. Means of international coercion include military force and economic sanctions. The balance of such capabilities among states is a strong predictor of who wins and who loses. Other factors can be sources of power in coercive bargaining. Since the use of force is costly and risky, an actor’s willingness to absorb costs and take risks can also generate an advantage. Thomas Schelling famously described international crises as competitions in risk-taking likely to be ‘won’ by the side that blinks second; this helps explain why weak states can at times defeat great powers. Actors also get a better deal when they have attractive outside options, or alternatives to reaching a bargain with a particular partner that are more attractive than the status quo. This actor can walk away from the bargaining table more easily than the actor without such an option. Actors might gain leverage in bargaining through agenda-setting power. Whereas an outside option is exercised in the event bargaining fails, agenda-setting involves actions taken prior to or during bargaining that make the reversion outcome more favorable for one party. A party that can act first to set the agenda transforms the choices available to others. In the Iraq War, the US used its agenda setting power by bringing the inspections issue before the UNSC and y unilaterally initiating a war against Iraq, to which other countries were then forced to respond. 20 Even though bargaining creates winners and losers, bargains can be made as long as they give all parties more than they can expect to get in the reversion outcome. In other words, actors consent to painful concessions when the consequences of not agreeing are even more painful. There are a host of problems that can prevent actors from finding or agreeing to mutually beneficial deals. For example, uncertainty about how each side evaluates its prospects in a war can make ti hard to know which bargains are preferable to war. There may also be situations in which states cannot credibly promise to abide by an agreement that has already been made. Bargaining may also be complicated if the good being bargained over is hard to divide. Write a letter explaining whether cooperation or bargaining works best in world politics. 21 INSTITUTIONS Institutions play a major role in social and political life, domestically and internationally. We typically define institutions as sets of rules, known and shared by the relevant community, that structure political interactions in specific ways. Many institutions are embodied in laws or organizations. The US Congress has rules that determine who gets elected to it and how it passes laws. Further rules determine how Congress deals with other American political institutions, such as the presidency and courts. The United Nations is an institution in which states make collective decisions about military actions or economic sanctions; the UN has rules that determine which states have a say over these matters and how their votes are counted. International economic institutions include the International Monetary Fund, the World Trade Organization, and the World Bank. Other institutions are more informal and exist only as shared understandings of principles and norms. These institutions, like the widespread international norm against slavery, can be very important. Institutions generally serve to facilitate cooperation among their members. Even when actors have common interests, there may be factors that make cooperation more difficult. Cooperation can flounder if the problems identified – incentives to defect, large numbers of actors, non-repeated interactions, and imperfect information – are not successfully resolved. Institutions can provide solutions to these problems. It is precisely to facilitate cooperation that actors first create and subsequently comply with the rules embodied in institutions. Affecting Cooperation The primary way that institutions promote cooperation is through enforcement, or the imposing of punishments on actors that fail to cooperate. Imagine, for example, that the prisoners in the Prisoner’s Dilemma game were both members of an organized crime group, and it was understood that members who rat each other out will find themselves at the bottom of a river wearing cement shoes. In that case, the prisoners no longer have an individual incentive to defect on each other; the external enforcement by the organization changes the way they rank-order the possible outcomes, and cooperation between them now makes sense both individually and collectively. Similarly, governments provide public goods by compelling individuals to pay for them via taxes; the threat of fines or jail time for failing to pay weakens the incentive to free ride on the contributions of others. Cooperation among private actors within a country may also be enforced by institutions. A sales contract between a customer and a firm can be enforced by courts, whose rulings are backed by the police powers of the state. In short, when institutions have means of imposing punishments for defection, they can effectively enforce cooperation. Institutions at the international level generally lack the capacity to impose punishments on states. The international system is characterized by anarchy, a term that in this context refers to the absence of formal government. Whereas most countries are governed by states, there is no such central authority at the international level. Some people think the UN is a world government, but this is not the case. Even poor, weak states have more enforcement power over their citizens than the UN has over actors in the global system. It cannot tax, raise its own military, or field its own police force. The condition of anarchy means that international institutions do not generally enforce cooperation among members. Cooperation has to be self-enforcing: that is, the members have to police themselves and assume responsibility for punishing defectors. The fact that countries are largely dependent on self-help does not mean that international institutions are useless, but it does shape our understanding of the role they play. They facilitate cooperation by making self-enforcement easier in at least four ways: by setting standards of behavior, verifying compliance, reducing the costs of joint decision-making, and resolving disputes. 22 Setting Standards of Behavior Clear standards of behavior reduce ambiguity and enhance cooperation. International institutions set standards of behavior in similar ways. The North American Free Trade Agreement among the US< Mexico, and Canada contains 22 chapters and 7 annexes of detailed rules governing trade and investment, as well as exceptions to general rules for particular practices and industries. Clear standards of behavior allow others to determine whether or not an actor is violating an agreement. The aggrieved parties can call violators to account; and if violations are not correct, such parties can withdraw from cooperation entirely or impose sanctions. Clear standards are especially important for international agreements, which must be enforced by participants. Although disputes occur, clear standards help support cooperation by identifying violations and allowing enforcement procedures to function. Verifying Compliance Institutions provide ways to acquire information on compliance. In many international institutions, self-reporting is common practice: countries are required to submit reports verifying their compliance. It allows other parties to the agreement to inspect the self-reporting of others, assess those reports against their private knowledge of others’ compliance, and publicize and criticize any inconsistencies. Discrepancies between selfreports and verified accounts open the country to further disrepute and possible sanctions. For example, in the fall of 2002, the United States asked the UNSC to demand of Iraq a detailed accounting of its WMD programs, and the US highlighted inconsistencies within the hundreds of thousands of pages of documents, between the documents and past inspection reports, and between the documents and its own intelligence estimates. Reducing Costs of Joint Decision-Making Institutions make it easier for actors to make decisions collectively. In the absence of some agreed-upon rules of collective decision-making, the costs of any policy initiative would be enormous. These might be so large, in fact, that no policy would ever generate sufficient benefits to offset the costs of enacting that policy. Nothing would ever get done. As a result, societies create political institutions –rules of the game- that define how joint political decisions will be made. An example of this is the United Nations. It was formed as a permanent forum in which countries could come together to deliberate and attempt to resolve disagreements. Since its founding, the UN and its associated agencies have undertaken 61 peace-keeping operations, fought the Korean War, authorized the 1991 Persian Gulf War, rewritten the law of the sea, managed refugee problems worldwide, fed people displaced by conflict or famine, helped eliminate smallpox, and undertaken a host of other activities. There is a relatively clear set of rules on which issues get referred to the General Assembly and which to the Security Council, as well as specific voting rules for each body. These rules reduce the costs of joint decision-making among member states just as they do in other social settings. Resolving Disputes International institutions provide mechanisms for resolving disputes. When parties disagree about whether one or more of them have violated an agreement or how to interpret the terms fo an agreement, it can be helpful to have prior agreement on how to handle such differences. Domestically, disputes are routinely referred to courts for authoritative resolution; in fact, courts are the default forum for dispute resolution unless the parties to an agreement specifically agreed to other provisions, such as arbitration. Most international agreements, however, do not contain explicit dispute resolution procedures, and each party may seek to interpret the agreement according to its own interests and be limited only by its desire for a reputation as a ‘good partner.’ By creating mechanisms to resolve disputes, actors increase their expectations that others will uphold their commitments, prevent retaliation from escalating out of control, resolve ambiguities in their agreements, and allow mutually beneficial cooperation to occur. This does not hinge on the dispute resolution body itself enforcing the rules by punishing violators. 23 Rather, by interpreting the rules when they are ambiguous or subject to conflicting interpretations, dispute settlement bodies help identify violator and victim, permit actors to employ self-help sanctions more efficiently, and potentially keep disputes from escalating. Benefits of Institutions Institutions may help states cooperate, and in that sense they can make all their members better off. But institutions rarely benefit everyone equally. Institutions are themselves a product of the cooperation and bargaining that brought them into being. They reflect past political bargains, with the winners getting to write the rules, or having a disproportionate say over the rules. As a result, the rules are never neutral; instead, they embody the bargaining strength of the actors at the time the rules were written or amended. Thus, all institutions contain a policy bias. International institutions differ widely in their rules and in their policy bias. Many, including the General Assembly of the UN, have a one country – one vote rule, with China having the same official weight as Tuvalu, despite vast differences in population. The UNSC, by contrast has voting rules that privilege five particular states, the US, Great Britain, France, Russia, and China, by giving them a veto over any action the UNSC might take. This means that even fi a majority of states on the UNSC, or around the world, want the UN to enact a particular policy, it can nevertheless be blocked by any of these states. Why these states? They were the five major victors of WWII, and hence were in a position to write the rules when the UN was created in the aftermath of the war. The privileged position of these states helps explain why French and Russian opposition to the US-led invasion of Iraq was so consequential – without their support, the UNSC could not authorize the use of force. Other institutions have weighted voting rules, which give the largest contributors the most influence; the IMF is an example with this, as the US contributes 17% and gets 17% of the votes consequentially, more than any other share of an individual country. Because institutions matter and bias policy in consequential ways, states struggle over their rules. Institutions are both the shapers of politics and the products of political action. Why Comply? Why do actors follow the rules? If they have incentives to defect, why do they not always do so? Actors comply with institutions for two reasons. First, since many problems in international relations combine both cooperation and bargaining, actors may agree to comply with the rules for the cooperation they facilitate even though the outcome of the rules is biased against them. In these situations, the value of cooperation outweighs the costs of a relatively disadvantageous bargain. For examples, states observe the rules of the WTO not just because other countries could punish them for violations, but because the system of free trade the WTO supports is of great benefit to them. Second, actors comply with institutions because they are already in place and cheaper to use, even if biased, than are the costs of creating a brand new institution that might more fully reflect their interests. In the case of an existing institution, the cost of creating that set of rules have already been paid, but the costs of any new institution would have to be paid anew. 24 COSTA RICAN UNDERWEAR: A TALE OF WTO COMPLIANCE On December 22, 1995, Costa Rica bought a suit against the United States brought he World Trade Organization’s dispute settlement process. Six months earlier, the US had imposed restrictions on the import of cotton and synthetic fiber underwear from Costa Rica and several other countries. The US government claimed that these import restrictions were needed to prevent serious damage to its domestic underwear industry. Costa Rica claimed that these restrictions violated the rules of the WTO because the US had actually unilaterally and without proof determined that its domestic industry was actually in danger. In bringing the case before the WTO, Costa Rica became the first small developing country to initiate a dispute settlement action against the United States, the world’s largest trader and military power. The following year, the panel that was appointed to adjudicate the case ruled in Costa Rica’s favor. The US appealed the decision, but on February 10, 1997, the WTO’s appellate body confirmed the ruling. The US subsequently allowed its import restrictions to expire, bringing its trade policy into compliance with the ruling. Why would the US comply in a case like this? After all, the WTO cannot punish a country for noncompliance. Instead, enforcement is left to the aggrieved states. But it is implausible that Costa Rica - with a far smaller economy and no military to speak of – could force the US to comply. So why would the US government override the demands of its domestic underwear producers and lift their protections from imports? States have incentives to comply with institutional rules, even if inconvenient, if they value the benefits from the institution as a whole. The short-term incentive to disobey the rules can be outweighed by the long-term benefits provided by the institution. In this case, the WTO benefits the US by helping to open other countries’ markets to US exports, and the US is a frequent user of the dispute settlement mechanism. As of November 2007, the US had been the complaining party in 84 cases brought before the WTO. It prevailed in 55 of these cases and lost only 4; the remaining cases were in progress or had been dropped. Even though Costa Rica could not punish the US for noncompliance, the incentive for the US to not comply in this one instance was tempered by the long-term advantages of having a system of rules that is generally respected. Protecting US underwear manufacturers was not worth the risk that noncompliance would jeopardize those rules and benefits they bring. 1. Why did Costa Rica bring a suit against the US to the WTO? 2. Why could the US have not complied with the WTO ruling? 3. Why did the US comply? 4. If you were in charge, would you have complied with the ruling? Why? 25