Steve Griffith September 13, 2013 Intro to GIS – Assignment #1 Topic #1: Energy Generation in ISO-New England Summary My thesis topic (in its present state) is an examination of New England’s significant and increasing energy dependence on natural gas as a bridge fuel from oil to renewable sources. In concept, gas offers an economical, low-emission alternative to oil, and its versatility and dependability make it an adequate pairing with renewable generation. Aside from the environmental debate surrounding shale gas extraction, a foremost concern is that cheap natural gas may actually undermine the growth of renewable sources by removing political and economic incentives in the long run for solar, wind, biomass, biogas, and hydro. The focus of my thesis will be on ISO-New England, the region’s independent energy operation network. The aim is to explore the issue and analyze policy mechanisms to effectively manage the ongoing shift toward natural gas without compromising the growth capacity of renewables. This thesis topic would be substantially supported by a geographic analysis of the region’s current and historical energy generation facilities and infrastructure, existing state policy initiatives (eg: renewable portfolio standards), and regional potential for renewable generation. Questions 1. How has the primary fuel of energy generation facilities in ISO New England changed over the past 50 years? In particular, a series of maps highlighting the region’s ‘dash to gas’ would provide a valuable visual component to my thesis. 2. What statewide, or regional, policy efforts have been made to incentivize renewable resources? How have these policies affected natural gas generation? It will be important to understand how clean energy policy affects the natural gas “bridge.” 3. What is the potential for renewable resources in New England? This analysis would highlight the extent to which solar, wind, biomass, biogas, and hydro can fulfill the energy demands of the region. This will also inform any policy recommendations made, including effective sources, siting regulations, and feasibility. References Harris, R. (2012, February). Could Cheap Gas Slow Growth of Renewable Energy? National Public Radio. Retrieved from http://www.npr.org/2012/02/02/146297284/couldcheap-gas-slow-growth-of-renewable-energy. This article provides a concise summary of the potential for natural gas dependency to undermine the future of renewable resources. Several prominent academic and industry leaders are quoted to emphasize the issue. This was the first article I read that really made me question the “bridge” theory, and see how cheap gas may not complement but impede renewables. MIT Energy Initiative (2011). The Future of Natural Gas: An Interdisciplinary MIT Study. Retrieved from http://mitei.mit.edu/publications/reports-studies/future-naturalgas. This is a substantial report that provides an immense amount of information on the past, present, and future role of natural gas. Aside from important data points, it keyed me into the changing landscape of the transportation sector as a major factor in the future of natural gas. Stephenson, E., Doukas, A., & Shaw, K. Greenwashing gas: Might a ‘transition fuel’ label legitimize carbon-intensive natural gas development? Energy Policy, 46, 452-459. http://www.sciencedirect.com.ezproxy.library.tufts.edu/science/article/pii/S0301 421512003102. This article made me think about the lobbying power of gas companies to convince the political, scientific, and everyday world of the benefits of natural gas. The article critiques the “low-emission” tag often assigned to natural gas. Data Sources National Renewable Energy Laboratory. U.S. Energy Information Administration. Hopefully ISO-New England will have some GIS data for use, although it does not appear to be online. Alternatively, data may be derived from each state individually. Topic #2: A Build-Out Analysis of Boston’s Seaport District Summary South Boston’s waterfront (also: “the Seaport”) has undergone incredible changes over recent years. Although once a desolate land created by landfill, the Seaport has since become a beacon of economic innovation and modern development for the city of Boston. The transformation began in the early 1990s, when the Moakley Courthouse was moved to the Seaport from Boston’s downtown. The spurred further development and infrastructural improvements in the area. The Big Dig project removed the spatial barrier between downtown and the waterfront with the destruction of the elevated highway, and the construction of new roadways and public transit for improved accessibility. In the early 2000s, the Institute of Contemporary Art and Boston Convention Center were built on the waterfront, followed by the construction of several of modern luxury hotels and high-end restaurants. Mayor Thomas Menino has declared the Seaport the “Innovation District,” and creative entrepreneurs and high-technology companies are beginning to populate the area. The Seaport’s Fort Point neighborhood has seen the development of several luxury high-rise apartment buildings, and is today among Boston’s most expensive places to live. With a relatively new identity and rapid growth, the area is chaotic with development. For this reason, a build-out analysis will provide a forward-looking evaluation of the district to fully understand how this place has been and will be transformed. Questions 1. How has the land use of Boston’s Seaport district changed over time? What is the existing land use? Given the area’s dramatic transformation, it would be important to see not only what the existing uses are, but what they used to be as well. 2. Based on current zoning and land status (developed or undeveloped; developable, further developable, or not developable), what would be the physical nature of the Seaport if fully built out? The rapid development is exciting and economical, but is zoning effectively catalyzing the desired outcome? The build-out analysis will allow for the comparison of the city’s vision against the future reality given existing regulations. 3. What factors must be considered now in order to foster the future Seaport district we desire? Is the current zoning adequate, or must it be updated for social, economic, or environmental reasons? The build-out analysis may display important factors not previously considered. References Son, J. Residential Build-Out Analysis Based on Zoning: Meeting infrastructure demand using GIS. Esri: ArcUser Online. Retrieved from http://www.esri.com/news/arcuser/0109/buildout.html. After reading this piece, I am intrigued by the infrastructural demands of the Seaport’s ongoing development. This topic would be more focused, and provide crucial municipal information as to the area’s infrastructural capacity. This article, while an exemplary model, seems to focus on residential development and would need to be reformed for the mixed-use intentions of South Boston. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. How To Do A Build-Out Analysis. Green Communities. Retrieved from http://www.epa.gov/greenkit/build_out.htm. This webpage displays basic, but essential information on conducting a build-out analysis. The page describes the purpose of such an analysis, details the analytic process in two phases, and provides examples. It provided me with a framework from which to understand the value of a build-out analysis and how that would be beneficial for Boston’s Seaport. Vogel, C., Doyle, P., Baker, M.R. (2012, July). The Rise of the Seaport. Boston Magazine. Retrieved from http://www.bostonmagazine.com/2012/07/rise-seaport-district-boston/. This piece taught me about the transformation of the Seaport, from landfill to its current state as a budding innovation hub. Although not an academic piece, it cogently displays just how chaotic and rapid the changes have been. Data Sources Boston Redevelopment Authority. Not sure!