Change Analysis of the Top Ten Percent of Global Photosynthesis as Captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the Time Period: 1998 to 2008 A Thesis by Moumita Dutta Gupta Advisor: Dr. S. Young 2010 Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Geo Information Science 1|Page Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta DEPARTMENT OF GEOGRAPHY, SALEM STATE COLLEGE, SALEM, MA Acknowledgement This thesis would not have been possible without the support of many people. I wish to express my gratitude to my advisor Prof. Dr. Stephen Young who was abundantly helpful and offered invaluable assistance, support and excellent guidance. Deepest gratitude is also due to the readers of the committee, Prof. Dr. Laurence Goss and Prof. Dr. Marcos Luna without whose knowledge and assistance this study would not have been successful. Special thanks also to all my friends for their support and understanding. Not forgetting my husband Thomas Clifton who always been there and helped me all throughout the thesis. I would also like to convey thanks to the Graduate School and Faculty for providing the financial means and laboratory facilities. Special thanks to Kym Pappathanasi and Marcie Talbot for their unconditional help and support at the DGL. I also wish to express my love and gratitude to my beloved families; for their understanding & endless love, through the duration of her studies. Contents Abstract: .................................................................................................................................................. 1 Introduction: ........................................................................................................................................... 1 Why is it important to study photosynthesis? .................................................................................... 4 Data and Methodology: .......................................................................................................................... 6 Base data:............................................................................................................................................ 6 Spot Vegetation (VGT) Facts: .............................................................................................................. 6 Data Quality ........................................................................................................................................ 8 Data Preparation ............................................................................................................................... 10 Results: .................................................................................................................................................. 13 Africa: ................................................................................................................................................ 14 Europe: .............................................................................................................................................. 14 North America:.................................................................................................................................. 15 Central America: ............................................................................................................................... 15 South America ................................................................................................................................... 15 North Asia: ........................................................................................................................................ 15 West Asia: ......................................................................................................................................... 15 South East Asia:................................................................................................................................. 15 Asia Islands:....................................................................................................................................... 16 Australasia:........................................................................................................................................ 16 Conclusion: ............................................................................................................................................ 17 References ..................................................................................................................................... 19 Appendix 1: ........................................................................................................................................... 21 Appendix 2: ........................................................................................................................................... 31 Temporal Profiles: ............................................................................................................................. 31 End Notes .............................................................................................................................................. 46 List of Figures: Figure 1: A conceptual model illustrating human effect on environment. ............................................ 2 Figure 2: Global CO₂ emissions and warming compared to pre-industrial times from 2000 to 2050.... 3 Figure 3: The electromagnetic spectrum ................................................................................................ 5 Figure 4: Map produced using AVHRR .................................................................................................... 6 Figure 5- Regions of Interest ................................................................................................................... 9 Figure 6: Flowchart of the Methodology .............................................................................................. 12 Figure 7: Global percentage change image for the 11-year period (1998-2008) ................................ 13 Figure 8: Africa ...................................................................................................................................... 21 Figure 9: Europe ................................................................................................................................... 22 Figure 10: North America...................................................................................................................... 23 Figure 11: Central America ................................................................................................................... 24 Figure 12: South America ...................................................................................................................... 25 Figure 13: North Asia ............................................................................................................................ 26 Figure 14: West Asia ............................................................................................................................. 27 Figure 15 South East Asia ...................................................................................................................... 28 Figure 16: Asia Islands ........................................................................................................................... 29 Figure 17 Australasia ............................................................................................................................. 30 Figure 18: Africa decrease..................................................................................................................... 31 Figure 19: Africa increase...................................................................................................................... 32 Figure 20: Madagascar Increase ........................................................................................................... 33 Figure 21: Madagascar decrease .......................................................................................................... 34 Figure 22: Brazil (South America).......................................................................................................... 35 Figure 23: Venezuela (Bolívar)- South America .................................................................................... 36 Figure 24: Paraguay - South America .................................................................................................... 37 Figure 25: Germany............................................................................................................................... 38 Figure 26: Ireland .................................................................................................................................. 39 Figure 27: Indonesia .............................................................................................................................. 40 Figure 28: Myanmar .............................................................................................................................. 41 Figure 29: Vietnam ................................................................................................................................ 42 Figure 30: North East India ................................................................................................................... 43 Figure 31: Australia ............................................................................................................................... 44 Figure 32: Tasmania .............................................................................................................................. 45 List of Tables: Table 1: Characteristics of SPOT VGT ...................................................................................................... 7 Table 2: Channel Description .................................................................................................................. 7 Table 3: Product Description of SPOT VGT (source: www.vgt.vito.be) .................................................. 8 Table 4: Showing the 10 regions of interestused for the research. (source: www.vgt.vito.be) ............. 9 Table 5: Showing the value slice criteria............................................................................................... 11 Table 6: Africa-Table of Change ............................................................................................................ 21 Table 7: Europe-Table of Change ......................................................................................................... 22 Table 8: North America-Table of Change .............................................................................................. 23 Table 9: Central America-Table of Change ........................................................................................... 24 Table 10: South America-Table of Change ............................................................................................ 25 Table 11: North Asia-Table of Change .................................................................................................. 26 Table 12: West Asia-Table of Change ................................................................................................... 27 Table 13: South East Asia-Table of Change ........................................................................................... 28 Table 14: Asia Islands- Table of Change ................................................................................................ 29 Table 15: Australasia-Table of Change.................................................................................................. 30 List of Graphs: Graph 1: Temporal Profile-Africa decrease .......................................................................................... 31 Graph 2: Temporal Profile- Africa increase........................................................................................... 32 Graph 3: Temporal Profile- Madagascar increase ................................................................................ 33 Graph 4: Temporal Profile- Madagascar decrease ............................................................................... 34 Graph 5: Temporal Profile- Brazil.......................................................................................................... 35 Graph 6: Temporal Profile- Venezuela (Bolívar) ................................................................................... 36 Graph 7: Temporal Profile- South America (Paraguay) ........................................................................ 37 Graph 8: Temporal Profile-Germany .................................................................................................... 38 Graph 9: Temporal Profile-Ireland ........................................................................................................ 39 Graph 10: Temporal Profile-Indonesia.................................................................................................. 40 Graph 11: Temporal Profile-Myanmar.................................................................................................. 41 Graph 12: Temporal Profile-Vietnam.................................................................................................... 42 Graph 13: Temporal Profile-North East India ....................................................................................... 43 Graph 14: Temporal Profile-Australia ................................................................................................... 44 Graph 15: Temporal Profile-Tasmania .................................................................................................. 45 Change Analysis of the Top Ten Percent of Global Photosynthesis as Captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the Time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Salem State College Abstract: The primary objective of the research was to see how and where is the highest level of photosynthesis change between 1998 to 2008 for regions of the world. Global scale SPOT Vegetation NDVI data were used for the research. The question for this research was “how and where did the top 10% Global Photosynthesis change during the time period: 1998 to 2008?” A percentage change image for the 11-year period has been produced for the regions of the entire world. The areas of highest photosynthetic activities have been classified into 5 categories: decrease > 10%, decrease from 3% to 10%, little change (-3 to +3%), increase 3% to 10%, and increase > 10%. Temporal profiles for some of the areas with high photosynthetic activities have also been shown in this paper. The results show that there has been significant increase as well as decrease in certain parts of the world during this period of time. Keywords: Remote sensing, SPOT vegetation, CO², photosynthesis, global change Introduction: the ecosystem level thus is a crucial issue in studies of global change (Woodwell 1984). Vegetation, whether natural or humancontrolled, plays an important role in the global carbon cycle. The process of photosynthesis, respiration and litter decomposition in the terrestrial plant communities consume and/or produce large amounts of CO₂, the predominant greenhouse gas in global warming (Sabbe and Veroustrate 2000). The monitoring of carbon dynamics at Human alteration of Earth is substantial and growing (Imhoff et al., 2004). Between onethird and one-half of the land surface has been transformed by human action; the carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere has increased by nearly 30 percent since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution; more atmospheric nitrogen is 1|Page Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta fixed by humanity than by all natural terrestrial sources combined; more than half of all accessible surface fresh water is put to use by humanity; and about one-quarter of the bird species on Earth have been driven to extinction. By these and other standards, it is clear that we live on a human dominated planet (Vitousek et al., 1997). Various chemical compounds found in the Earth’s atmosphere act as "greenhouse gases" which mainly include the following gases:iv Carbon dioxide (CO₂) Methane (CH₄) Nitrous oxide (N₂O) the Industrial Gases Hydro fluorocarbons (HFCs) Perfluorocarbons (PFCs) Sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) When sunlight strikes the Earth’s surface, some of it is re-radiated back towards space as infrared radiation (heat). Greenhouse gases, especially CO₂, absorb this infrared radiation and traps its heat in the atmosphere. Figure 1: A conceptual model illustrating human effect on environment.i One of the major results of human activity changing the surface of the Earth is the alteration of our atmosphere and the earth’s energy balance. Changes in the atmospheric abundance of greenhouse gases and aerosols, in solar radiation and in land surface properties alter the energy balance of the climate system. These changes are expressed in terms of radiative forcing ii, which is used to compare how a range of human and natural factors drive warming or cooling influences on global climate (IPCC, 2007).iii Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations are expected to have significant impacts on the world’s climate on a timescale of decades to centuries. Evidence from long-term monitoring studies is now accumulating and suggests that the climate of the past few decades is anomalous compared with past climate variation, and that recent climatic and atmospheric trends are already affecting species physiology, distribution and phenology (Hugus 2000). Life on Earth is based on carbon, and the Carbon dioxide (CO₂) in the atmosphere is the primary resource for photosynthesis. Humanity adds CO₂ to the atmosphere by mining and burning fossil fuels, the residue of life from the distant past, and by converting forests and grasslands to agricultural and other low-biomass ecosystems. The net result of both activities is that organic carbon from rocks, organisms, and soils is released into the atmosphere as CO₂ (Vitousek et al., 1997). 2|Page Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta CO₂ plays a very important role in global climate change. According to an article published in Science Daily titled ‘Climate Change: Halving Carbon Dioxide Emissions By 2050 Could Stabilize Global Warming’ (May 4, 2009). “If CO2 emissions are halved by 2050 compared to 1990, global warming can be stabilized below two degrees. This is shown by two studies by a co-operation of German, Swiss and British researchers in the journal Nature.” very slowly. To not let the bathtub overflow, the inflow must thus be stopped early enough. It is wrong to believe that the temperature will remain constant with constant emissions.” Vegetation constitutes a major player in regulating the global climate through photosynthesis and respiration. It is a major contributor to the hydrological cycle and carbon exchanges between the Earth’s surface and the atmosphere (Young and Harris 2005). Photosynthesis is a process that converts carbon dioxide into organic compounds, especially sugars, using the energy from sunlight. Photosynthesis occurs in plants, algae, and many species of bacteria. In plants, algae and cyanobacteria photosynthesis uses carbon dioxide and water, releasing oxygen as a waste product (The Encyclopedia of Earth, 2007). Photosynthesis is vital for life on Earth. As well as maintaining the normal level of oxygen in the atmosphere, nearly all life either depends on it directly as a source of energy, or indirectly as the ultimate source of the energy in their food (Physorg.com). Figure 2: Global CO₂ emissions and warming compared to pre-industrial times for a scenario without climate policy (red) and a scenario in which the emissions are restricted to 1000 billion tones of CO₂ (blue) from 2000 to 2050. v Here, the behavior of CO₂ in the atmosphere has also been described as a Bath-tub. According to Reo Knutti, Plants convert light energy into chemical energy during photosynthesis and in the process extract relevant greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide (CO₂) from the atmosphere and return CO₂ through respiration. Biomass, the product of primary production, provides chemical energy for the beginning of food chains on Earth (Young and Harris 2005). professor at the Institute for Atmosphere and Climate at ETH Zurich “The inflow of the bathtub is large, but the drainage is small. The CO2 emissions are increasing every year, but the CO2 is only removed from the atmosphere 3|Page Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Why is it important to study photosynthesis? Without photosynthesis there would be no life on earth. Photosynthesis is the process where the green plants use the energy obtained from the Sun to convert carbon dioxide from the air and water from the soil into the sugars and starches which provide them with the energy to flourish. Another vital part of photosynthesis is that it produces oxygen as a byproduct and so we are able to breathe air. It is Nature's way of creating balance on earth: plants take in the carbon dioxide and release oxygen. Humans and animals breathe in the oxygen and release carbon dioxide. It is truly wondrous in how it ensures that all life is sustained, so it is an important topic to study. Photosynthesis is important in regulating atmospheric gases and providing food for life, it is critical to monitor changes in photosynthesis on Earth. Because of storage of carbon and the production of carbohydrates, these regions of photosynthesis are important to monitor. In addition, the lack of research in this area demands research for these regions. An important way to monitor photosynthesis is by understanding changes in land cover, and where it is occurring. Land cover change can have a tremendous impact on local communities and the global economy as well as influencing global levels of greenhouse gases. Modern techniques, such as remote sensing through satellites have made it more reliable and consistent to investigate and analyze the major trends in vegetation cover at the global scale. Remote sensing technology in combination with geographic information system (GIS) can render reliable information on vegetation cover. The analysis of the spatial extent and temporal change of vegetation cover using remotely sensed data is of critical importance to investigate our changing planet. Satellite remote sensing has been shown to be powerful tools for local (Band et al., 1991; Running et al., 1989), regional (Cihlar, Chen, and Li, 1997; Liu, Chen, Cihlar, and Chen, 2002; Veroustraete and Myneni, 1996), and global ecological applications (Hunt et al., 1996; Potter et al., 1993; Sellers et al., 1996). Previously, Landsat and SPOT images were often used for local applications, and only the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) images were available for regional and global applications. With the successful launches of new sensors, including VEGETATION (VGT) on board SPOT-4 platform, MODIS, MISR and ASTER of the Terra mission, and the short-lived POLDER as part of ADEOS, our ability in ecological monitoring and modeling has been greatly improved. In addition, several forthcoming high spectral resolution and hyperspectral sensors as well as POLDER II sensor will soon be available. Technical improvements have been made in all remote sensing domains including spectral, angular, spatial and temporal resolutions. Satellite remote sensing has enabled the acquisition of Land use/ land cover and vegetation information at different spatial and temporal scales. VGT instrument onboard Spot 4 satellite with four spectral bands blue (0.43-0.47mm), red (0.61-0.68mm), infrared (0.78-0.89mm) and short wave infrared (1.584|Page Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta 1.75mm) at a spatial resolution of 1 Km and temporal resolution of 1 day meets the requirement of vegetation mapping at a continental scale.¹⁹ Over the past two decades, data from Earth observation satellites have become important in mapping the Earth’s features and infrastructure, managing natural resources and studying environmental changes. Remote sensing and Geographic Information Systems (GIS) provide tools for advanced ecosystem management. The collection of remotely sensed data facilitates the synoptic analyses of earth-system function, patterning, and change at local, regional, and global scales over time. Coarse spatial resolution (1 km resolution), combined with high temporal resolution component would allow for the early production of an actual global forest/non forest status map. This effort could provide a primary data, which can be used in conjunction with other data sets available to define the extent of deforestation. Remote sensing is becoming an increasingly important tool for agriculturalists, ecologists, and land managers for the study of Earth’s agricultural and natural vegetation, and can be applied to further our understanding of key environmental issues, including climate change and ecosystem management. (Jones and Vaughan, 2010)²³. Scientists use satellites to collect information about the surface of the Earth and about the Earth’s atmosphere. The satellite information is used for weather studies (meteorology), biology, geology and many other areas of scientific study. All earthimaging satellites collect electromagnetic radiation. Figure 3: The electromagnetic spectrum vi Throughout the years, various studies have been conducted to study the continuously changing Earth, its vegetation and climate. A very commonly used sensor for the study of vegetation is the primary sensor on board the NOAA polar-orbiting satellites, the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR). The AVHRR sensor is also a useful tool for monitoring vegetation, land cover, and climate, and enables scientists to observe how these three elements interact. AVHRR data can be used to assess the quantity and vigor (photosynthesis activity) of vegetation through a measure of “greenness”, referred to as the vegetation index or the NormalizedDifference Vegetation Index (NDVI). Using AVHRR data, scientists can monitor the growing season of crops – which can change with variations in regional climates – and can provide potentially lifesaving information to developing countries that heavily rely on an abundant and reliable harvest. From AVHRR data it is relatively easy to identify green vegetation and non-vegetated features such as water, barren land, ice, snow, and clouds. 5|Page Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Data and Methodology: Base data: Figure 4: Map produced using AVHRR Numerous studies have been performed regionally, locally as well as globally using AVHRR data vegetation related studies. An improvement over the AVHRR sensor is the SPOT Vegetation (VGT) Sensor. Though SPOT VGT has some similarity compared with AVHRR, both sensors differ due to fundamental characteristics: Firstly, the acquisition is based on a push broom system which limits the off –nadir pixel-size increase Secondly, the presence of a Short Wave Infrared channel (SWIR) permits the study of vegetation water content Finally, the ground segment is organized to acquire process and archive all daily data over land surface at the full 1x1 km² resolution. ² Therefore, this thesis reports on how and where the highest level of photosynthesis are changing globally during the time period of 1998 to 2008. As mentioned earlier, because of storage of carbon and the production of carbohydrates, these regions of photosynthesis are important to monitor. In addition the lack of research in this area demands research for these regions. For the research reported in this thesis paper SPOT Vegetation datasets were used. SPOT 4 with the Vegetation sensor (VGT) was launched in 1998. It is dedicated to monitoring terrestrial vegetation at global and regional levels. It has a spatial resolution of 1km which is ideal for analysis at the global scale. Other satellite-borne imaging system such as LANDSAT ETM provides a spatial resolution of 30 meters multispectral and 15 m panchromatic is very beneficial for local scale analysis. In addition, SPOT Vegetation images the world everyday which minimizes the chances of obstacles such as cloud cover when the data are composited at decadal or monthly levels. Moreover, for the purpose of this research, it is more important to get a finer temporal resolution instead of a finer spatial resolution. Hence SPOT Vegetation datasets were used. Spot Vegetation (VGT) Facts: Spot Vegetation is a sensor on board of SPOT 4 satellite, operational since 24 March 1998. It is a joint project of European Commission, OSTC (Belgian Office of Scientific, Technical and Cultural affairs), CNES (Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales), SNSB (Swedish National Space Board) and ASI (Agenzia Spaziale Italiana). The vegetation instrument is dedicated to the daily observation of the terrestrial ecosystem and the biosphere, particularly to address global change and environmental issues. The principal characteristic of the sensor are optimized for global scale vegetation. ² SPOT Vegetation has daily global coverage and stable spatial resolution which makes it a 6|Page Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta very suitable sensor for global vegetation mapping. (de Badts, E.P.J, 2002). Table 1: Characteristics of SPOT VGT Spatial resolution 1 km Temporal resolution At least once a day Swath Width 2200 km Altitude 820-830 km Scan Method Push-broom Field of View 101° Orbital Inclination 98.72° Instantaneous Field of View (IFOV) Absolute pixel positioning Pixel geometric superposition 1.15 km at nadir, 1.3 km at 50° off nadir 350 m < 0.5 pixel The SPOT VGT sensor records electromagnetic energy in 4 channels that measure reflected energy from the earth. The spectral bands are B0 (Blue channel), B2 (Red channel), B3 (NIR channel) and MIR (SWIR channel) as given in the Table below. Table 2: Channel Description Channels of SPOT VGT sensor 1 B0 (Blue channel) 0.43-0.47 µm 2 B2 (Red 3 channel) 0.61-0.68 µm 3 B3 (Near Infrared channel) 0.78-0.89 µm 4 MIR (Short Wave Infrared channel) 1.58-1.75 µm The B2, B3 and SWIR bands are well adapted for the observation of plant and crop cover, while B0 is used for atmospheric correction. The data for this research were for the period of April 1998 to December 2008 and were in 10 – days maximum value composites which were further converted to monthly maximum value composites (MVC) for the purpose of the research. The datasets were in a Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) format and are from the Vegetation Sensor on board the SPOT satellite. SPOT Corporation provides free NDVI data for the entire world at a 1km resolution. The vegetation index NDVI is a very commonly used index to monitor vegetation presence and properties. An 8-bit scale is used to represent the NDVI pixel value in a range from 0 to 255 which is more convenient to be used on 8-bit gray tone display (Njomo, Donatien, 2008). It is a simple formula using two satellite channels. One band is in the visible region (VIS) and one is in the near infrared (NIR), then the NDVI is (NIR – VIS)/ (NIR + VIS). 𝐍𝐈𝐑 – 𝐕𝐈𝐒 NDVI = 𝐍𝐈𝐑 + 𝐕𝐈𝐒 The reason NDVI is related to vegetation is that healthy vegetation absorbs electromagnetic radiation (EMR) in the visible spectrum and reflects very well in the near infrared part of the spectrum (NOAA Coastal Service center, 2007). Green leaves have a reflectance of 20 percent or less in the 0.5 to 0.7 micron range (green to red) and about 60 percent in the 0.7 to 1.3 micron range (near infrared). The visible channel gives us some degree of atmospheric correction. The value is then normalized to the range -1<=NDVI<=1 to 7|Page Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta partially account for differences illumination and surface slope. in NDVI provides a crude estimate of vegetation health and a means of monitoring changes in vegetation over time. The possible range of values is between -1 and 1, but the typical range is between about -0.1 (NIR less than VIS for a not very green area) to 0.6 (for a very green area) (NOAA Coastal Service center, 2007). Plant leaves have a distinctive spectral profile because chlorophyll absorbs strongly in portions of visible light spectrum, central at about 0.45 µm and 0.67 µm while the structure of the leaves’ cell (particularly mesophyll) creates a high reflectance and scatters in the near-infrared light (Gates et al. 1965, Tucker 1979, Curran 1985). Reflectance measurement can therefore be used to detect the presence of growing vegetation. As NDVI is related to photosynthetic activity and plant respiration, relationships have been developed between annual variation in NDVI and variability in CO₂. However, it is very important to be cautious when using NDVI as a variable for the study of vegetation change as it is not only sensitive to vegetation characteristics but also to atmospheric variables, particularly the amount and variability of water vapor in the atmosphere and the presence of aerosols. Other objects affecting NDVI are sensor degradation, cloud cover, orbital drift, the anisotropic and transmissive radiation properties of plant canopies, soil moisture and soil contour (Bannari et al. 1995, Mennis 2001). Moreover, for some arid and semi arid regions, where bare soil reflectance accounts for a large percentage of the reflectance pixel, soil contour and conditions may cause large NDVI variations spatially (Harris ,2003).Here in this paper, changes in NDVI over time is used as an indicator of changes in Photosynthesis. Data Quality The global SPOT Vegetation data are broken into ten sub regions and come in a 10-day maximum value composite (MVC) with three images per month. Some of the regions of interest defined by vgt.vito.be overlap each other, so in certain areas the pixel counts are repeated due to the overlapped regions. Table 3: Product Description of SPOT VGT (source: www.vgt.vito.be) Products Description P S1 Physical products Maximum value composite image, with worldwide land cover with minimum cloud cover Daily synthesis product, consisting of the “calibrated ground reflectance values” S10 D10 Ten-daily synthesis product, consisting of the “calibrated ground reflectance values” Bi-directional composite synthesis S 8|Page Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Table 4: Showing the ten regions of interest used for the research. (Source: SPOT) Figure 5- Regions of Interest For this research, The S10 datasets were used. The ten-day synthesis (S10) is computed from all the passes on each location acquired during 10-day periods. The periods are defined according to the legal calendar: from 1st to 10th, from 11th to 20th, from 21st to the end of each month. The synthesis between different passes is performed selecting the best measurement of the period defined from the following criteria It does not correspond to a blind or interpolated pixel, It is not flagged as cloudy in the status map, It does correspond to the highest value of Top of Atmosphere NDVI. For all of the regions of interest of the World, all 10-day MVC images (from April 1998 to December 2008) were downloaded. The data delivered by VITO were in HDF format. For the classification they had to be imported into the Idrisi image processing software package. In Idrisi the 10-day MVCs were combined into monthly MVCs and then for each year the 12 monthly MVCs were added and then divided by 12 creating annual average images, or annual integrated images. To determine change the end dates were differenced. To reduce any extreme events such as drought, flood etc which may drastically influence the NDVI, the end images were averaged. So image 9899 was the 9|Page Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta averaged image of 1998 and 1999 {(1998 + 1999) ÷ 2)}. And 0708 was the averaged image of the years 2007 and 2008 {(2007 + 2008) ÷ 2)}. In addition, the annual averages reduce a variety of monthly external factors. First the data are in an NDVI format that has reduced a number of sun angle and atmospheric problems (Kidwell 1997). The MVC process for the base data of the annual averages also reduces atmospheric problems such as cloud cover. The MVC is created on a pixel by pixel basis where each pixel’s NDVI value is the highest value over the monthly period. Clouds have low NDVI values and so if there is one day without cloud cover, the NDVI from the vegetation will be the resulting NDVI in monthly value composite. MVCs are successful at removing cloud cover (Holben 1986). Cloud cover has been one of the major problems with satellite based studies on land cover. The NDVI maximum value composite imagery is highly related to green vegetation dynamics and is ideal for large area land cover research as the problems common to single data remote sensing studies, such as cloud cover, atmosphere problems and view and elimination geometry have been minimized. The data as an annual average composite captures the average vegetation status over the course of the entire year and thus reduces the problem of capturing vegetation information at different times of the phenological cycle. In addition an annual average as opposed to a growing season average is important because some part of the earth have agriculture throughout the year as well as capturing winterS productivity from evergreen trees. However it must be noted that all possible non-signal effects (atmospheric scatter, orbital drift, changing, illumination etc) have not been completely removed from that data set and some of the conclusion below are most likely influenced by them as well as actual changes in vegetation. Data Preparation After the data were downloaded and processed the annual average images were geo-referenced. A mask with the highest level of global photosynthesis (top 10%), created by research done by Dr. S. Young, was reformatted with the existing geo-referenced images. This mask will be referred to as the 10% mask. The 10% mask was used to mask out all areas except the top 10% of global photosynthesis. It is this area (top levels of photosynthesis) which this research focused on. As noted above, the annual average images of 1998 and 1999 for each of the 10 sub regions are added together and are divided by two creating a 1998 – 1999 average image (9899 image). The same was done for the 2007 and 2008 years (0708 image). This reduces any extreme events in the end years of the eleven-year period. The 1998-99 image is then subtracted from the 2007-08 image and then the resulting image is divided by the 1998-99 image. The resulting image is the percent change image for the 11 year period. The next task was to multiply the averaged end images (9899 and 0708) with the reclassed 10 percent mask image, leaving an image of only the highest levels of NDVI (10%0708 and 10%9899). 10 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Now the percentage change calculated by using this formula: image is 𝟏𝟎%𝟎𝟕𝟎𝟖 − 𝟏𝟎%𝟗𝟖𝟗𝟗 𝟏𝟎%𝟗𝟖𝟗𝟗 2007/08 for the regions of the Earth with top 10% of photosynthesis. The percentage change image was further re-classed, or value sliced, into 9 and 5 classes. The resulting image is an image showing the percent change from year 1998/99 to The 9 classes represent: Classes Description The 5 classes represent: Classes Description 1 decreased > 20 % 1 decrease > 10% 2 decreased 10 to 20 % 2 Decrease 3 to 10% 3 decreased 5 to 10% 3 No change (-3 to +3% change) 4 decreased 3 to 5% 4 Increase 3 to 10% 5 No change (-3 to +3% change) 5 Increase > 10% 6 increase 3 to 5% 7 increase 5 % to 10% 8 increase 10% to 20 % 9 increase > 20 % Table 5: Showing the value slice criteria Areas with high level of change were digitized and temporal profiles were created and temporal patterns of change were graphed. Areas include both 10% increasing and decreasing NDVI. These Temporal profiles show how the vegetation has changed throughout the time period of 1998 to 2008. These temporal profiles are analyzed to understand how the top 10% of photosynthesis is changing on earth. Temporal Profiles or Time series analysis are the study over time and space to see the trend of change. They are very essential to examine change over time. For temporal profiling, pixels of change are digitized, and then their mean NDVI annual average values for each year are then graphed. The temporal and spatial vegetation dynamics is highly dependent on many different environmental and biophysical factors. Among these, climate is one of the most important factors that influence the growth and condition of vegetation (Propastin et al., 2006). The complexity of the relationships between vegetation and climate; climate and oceanic dynamics; and the impacts of the combination of ocean-atmosphere interaction on vegetation result in a huge challenge in monitoring drought patterns and its temporal and spatial effects on vegetation. 11 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta The analysis of time series of vegetation index data is potentially a powerful tool for discriminating between vegetation types and classifying the plant cover according to their phenological character (Justice et al. 1985, Viovy et al.1988). Figure 6: Flowchart of the Methodology 12 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Results: The results clearly show patterns of both increase and decrease in photosynthesis over certain parts of the world. As noted in method section, I have analyzed areas of top 10% of global photosynthesis Certain areas like Brazil, Venezuela, Ireland, Tasmania, Germany, north east India etc. show a tremendous increase in photosynthesis. Areas like Myanmar, Vietnam, Australia, Paraguay, etc show decreases in photosynthetic activities. Certain areas such as parts of Africa including Madagascar, South America show both increasing and decreasing NDVI, throughout the time frame of 1998 and 2008. Figure 7 is the global percent change image of areas with the highest level of increasing and decreasing photosynthesis. The image has been value sliced into 5 categories: decrease more than 10%, decrease between 3 to 10%, area with little change i.e. negative 3 to positive 3 %, increase between 3 to 10% and increase more than 10% of the highest level of change in photosynthesis of the entire world. As mentioned in the methodology section, parts of the regions of interest analyzed overlap each other. The following discussion is bases on the predefined regions of interest as defined by SPOT. Figure 7: Global percentage change image for the 11-year period (1998-2008) 13 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Africa: Figure 8 (Appendix 1) shows changes in regions of Africa with the highest level of photosynthesis. Table 6 (a) and 6 (b) lists change for Africa with 9 and 5 class intervals respectively. These Tables show the approximate number of pixels in each category according to the value slicing performed. The data in these Tables are derived from the histogram of the region. Here we see that approximately 6.62% of the pixels show decreasing NDVI, whereas, approximately 24.45% of the total pixels are increasing NDVI. Figure 18 (Appendix 2) is the percentage change of Africa with decreasing NDVI overlaid with Google Earth®. Graph 1 is the temporal profile of three regions in Mozambique with decreasing NDVI. Samples 1, 2 and 3 refer to areas with decreasing NDVI which have been digitized for creating the temporal profiles. In other words, to find out the trend of change, pixels were collected from the areas of increasing as well as decreasing values separately. After digitizing these sample areas, temporal profiles for the time period of 1998 to 2008 were graphed. The graph displayed in Graph 1 is a three year running average graph which shows the smooth pattern of change. Here we see that during the year 2000, photosynthetic activity seems to be and then declines. The graphs gradually drop down in value of NDVI towards the recent years which is 2008 in our case. Figure 19 (Appendix 2) shows the region of Africa with increasing NDVI overlaid with Google Earth®. Graph 2, which is the temporal profile of the increasing level of photosynthesis in Africa (parts of Gabon and Congo) shows a gradual increase in photosynthesis which has also been graphed to display the changing trend. Three samples were collected and digitized. Temporal profiles were created with those sample pixels with high NDVI. This three year running average of the temporal profiles, shows a gradual increase of vegetation in these areas. From 1998 to 2000, the vegetation was decreasing but since 2001 the graph shows a positive trend of increase. Figure 20 and figure 21 (Appendix 2) show the area of Madagascar with increasing and decreasing NDVI respectively, overlaid with Google Earth®. Graph 3 shows the temporal profile of Madagascar with increasing photosynthesis which is somewhat uneven but reflects a gradual increase since the year 2002. Graph 4, which is the temporal profile for Madagascar, shows a steep decrease from 1999 to 2002, but there is a small period of increase until 2005, which is again followed by gradual decrease in the level of NDVI. Europe: Figure 9 (Appendix 1) shows percent change in NDVI for the areas of Europe with the highest level of photosynthesis. Table 7(a) and 7(b) are the Table of change for Europe with 9 and 5 class intervals respectively. The data in these Tables are derived from the histogram of the region. These Tables show the approximate number of pixels in each category according to the value slicing performed. According to Table 7(b), the maximum number of pixel change is in the Increase 3 to 10%. These areas show significant amounts of increase in their photosynthetic activity. Figure 25 shows the Germany and its surrounding area with increasing levels of photosynthesis. A temporal profile created with three sample 14 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta areas collected from this area reflects a gradual graph (Graph 8). We can see a significant rise in the graph from 1998 to 2008 which reflects increasing levels of photosynthesis. Most of the changes occurred between 1999 and 2003. Figure 26 (Appendix 2), shows Ireland with increasing levels of photosynthesis. A temporal profile for Ireland (Graph 9) shows a smooth and consistent rise in vegetation occurring throughout most of the time period. North America: The region of North America with increasing level of photosynthesis is shown in Figure 10 (Appendix 1). According to Table 8, approximately 19.31 % of pixels have decreasing NDVI and approximately 32.71% of pixels have increasing NDVI. This region doesn’t show much change. Central America: Figure 11(Appendix 1) shows the percent change image of Central America. Changed photosynthesis along with their pixel counts are shown in Table 9. This Table shows that there is more increase in photosynthesis than decrease in this region of the world. Approximately 44.38% of were increasing with 39.88% in the category of high increase (i.e. 3 to 10%). Only 6.38% decreased during this time period. South America Figure 12 (Appendix 1) is the percent change image of South America. Here we see that the maximum number of pixels that show change is in the category of increase 3 to 10% (34.85% approximately) (Table 10). Brazil shows a significant increase in photosynthesis according to the analysis made in this research. Figure 22 (Appendix 2) is the region of Brazil where we can see a lot of yellow and green colored pixels which reflect increase in vegetation according to the legend created for this research. The temporal profile for Brazil (Graph 5) reflects a smooth increase in the level of photosynthesis from 1998 to 2008, the highest being the year 2005. Figure 23 (Appendix 2) is the image of Bolívar, Venezuela which shows significant increase in areas with the highest level of photosynthesis as well. The temporal profile for this region which is shown in graph 6 reflects a smooth and gradual increase in vegetation. Similar to Brazil, this area also has its highest level of NDVI in the 2005. Paraguay on the other hand shows a significant decrease in photosynthesis (Figure 24, Appendix 2). The temporal profile of this region shows a significant decrease in vegetation (graph 7) which is almost consistently decreasing from 1998 to 2008. North Asia: Figure 13 (Appendix 1) shows the region of north Asia and Table of change for this region is shown in Table 11. This region has hardly any pixels of high levels of photosynthesis and hardly had any change according to the parameter used for this research to define top 10% change in photosynthesis. West Asia: Figure 14 (Appendix 1) shows the region of West Asia. Table 12 is the Table of change of the same. According to Table 12, increase 3 to 10% category has approximate 41.16 % of the entire number of pixels of the region. South East Asia: The region of South East Asia is shown in Figure 15 (Appendix 1). Table 13 shows the 15 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta table of change of the same. According to the table, approximately 4.85% of pixels have decreasing NDVI and approximately 62.89% of pixels have increasing levels of NDVI. One of the areas here with decreasing NDVI is in the Myanmar region (Figure 28, Appendix 2). Two samples were collected from the area with decreasing NDVI and the temporal profile for the same was created (Graph 11) to analyze the trend of change in this area. This area showed a constant level of photosynthesis from 1998 to 2006 but from 2006 to 2008 it drops drastically. For later research on this, a closer look at this region and its activity from the year period of 2006 to 2008 should be considered. There should a explanation for this sudden and drastic drop in the level of photosynthesis in the region of Myanmar. Another significant area which reflects decrease is Vietnam (Figure 29, Appendix 2). A look at its temporal profile which is graph 12 reveals the same patterns as Myanmar where we see a sudden decrease in the level of photosynthesis in the end years. The North East region of the Indian subcontinent shows significant and gradual increase in the level of photosynthesis. The temporal profile for this region is shown in graph 13 where we can clearly see the gradual increase in vegetation. Asia Islands: Figure 16 (Appendix 1) is the percent change image of region of Asia Islands which primarily includes parts of Thailand, Malaysia, Sumatra and Indonesia. According to the table of change of Asia Islands (Table 14), approximately 44.80% of the pixels show increase between 3 to 10%. Figure 27 (Appendix 2) is the percent change image of Indonesia we see a noticeable amount of increase in NDVI. A temporal profiling for this area shows a gradual and constant increase in its vegetation (Graph 10). Australasia: The area of Australasia includes parts of Asia, Australia and its surrounding. Figure 17 (Appendix 1) is the percent change image of Australasia and Table 15 is the table of change for the same. According to Table 15, which is the Table of change of Australasia, 35.52% of the pixels are increasing between 3 to 10%. But this mainly covers parts of Asia Islands. Australia shows a tremendous decrease in the level of photosynthesis. Figure 31 (Appendix 2) is the percent change image of Australia overlaid with Google Earth®. A temporal profile for this region shows a constant decreasing NDVI pattern. The lines are smoother from the year 1998 to 2003 where we see a gradual pattern. But from 2004 to 2006 has a sudden increase which drops significantly from 2006 to 2008. Figure 32 (Appendix 2) shows the region of Tasmania which shows both increase as well as decrease. Three samples have been collected from the area with increasing NDVI and a temporal profile has been graphed (Graph 15). This area shows a constant and consistent increase in the level of photosynthesis. 16 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Conclusion: SPOT Vegetation data with its high temporal resolution has potential for use with regional as well as global land cover mapping and the high frequency of coverage enhances the likelihood for cloud free observations and makes it possible to monitor change in land cover conditions over short periods, such as a growing season as well as long time periods. These datasets are useful for monitoring land cover transformations at a wider scale. The role of photosynthesis plays a very important role in controlling the environment. An important and controversial issue today is regarding how photosynthesis in temperate and tropical forests and in the sea affects the quantity of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Photosynthesis by plants removes carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and replaces it with oxygen. Thus, it would tend to better the effects of carbon dioxide released by the burning of fossil fuels. However, the question is complicated by the fact that plants themselves react to the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere which makes it more important to monitor the photosynthesis activities on earth. Some plants, appear to grow more rapidly in an atmosphere rich in carbon dioxide, but this may not be true of all species. To better understanding the effect of greenhouse gases requires a much better knowledge of the interaction of the plant kingdom with carbon dioxide than we have today. Satellite Earth observation data are now available for sufficiently long time periods to allow analysis of environmental change over the whole planet. With suitable processing, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index has been found by many scientists to be a robust indicator of vegetation photosynthesis, especially for large areas and yearly time periods. The main purpose of this paper was to explore change in the areas of the globe with the highest level of photosynthesis (top 10 % 90th percentile). The next phase of this research would be to look into regions with greater details to find out the reasons behind the changing levels of photosynthesis. Here we have seen that the photosynthetic activity on the earth has shown both increase as well as decrease. As this research was basically targeted to highlight the areas of high photosynthesis activities, the findings in this research would help further detailed research into the regions which are in the threshold of top 10 % change (increase and decrease). A more detailed (regional as well as local) study along with ground truthing would be helpful in understanding the factors which impact these changing patterns of Photosynthesis. With the help of the results found in this research, the areas of importance in regards to changing photosynthesis can be obtained. This thesis also illustrates the importance of photosynthesis as a natural process and the impact that it has on all of our lives. Research into the nature of photosynthesis is crucial because only by understanding and monitoring the changing trends of photosynthesis on earth, can we control it, and harness its principles for the betterment of mankind. Science has only recently developed the basic tools and techniques 17 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta such as Geographic Information Systems and remote sensing, needed to investigate the intricate details of global photosynthesis. It is now time to apply these tools and techniques to the problem, and to begin to reap the benefits of this research. 18 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta References Agrawal, Shefali., P.K. Joshi, Yogita Shukla, P.S. Roy.(2003). Spot-Vegetation multi temporal data for classifying vegetation in South Central Asia Band, L. E., Peterson, D. L., Running, S. W., Dungan, J., Lathrop, R.,Coughlan, J., Lammers, R., and Pierce, L. L. Band, L. E. (1991). Forest ecosystem processes at the watershed scale: basis for distributed simulation. Ecological Modelling , 56, 171– 196. Bicheron, P., and Leroy, M. (1999). A method of biophysical parameter retrieval at global scale by inversion of a vegetation reflectance model. Remote Sensing of Environment, 67, 251–266. Bre´on, F. M., Vanderbilt, V., Leroy, M., Bicheron, P., Walthall, C. L., and Kalshoven, J. E. (1997). Evidence of hot spot directional signature from airborne POLDER measurements. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 35, 479– 484. Chen, J. M., and Cihlar, J. (1996). Retrieving leaf area index for boreal conifer forests using Landsat TM images. Remote Sensing of Environment, 55, 153– 162. Chen, Jing M. , Jane Liu, Sylvain G. Leblance, Roselyne Lacaze, Jean-Louis Roujean. 2003. Multiangular optical remote sensing for assessing vegetation structure and carbon absorption. Remote sensing of Environment. 84(2003) 516-525 Cihlar, J., Chen, J. M., and Li, Z. (1997). Seasonal AVHRR multichannel data sets and products for studies of surface–atmosphere interactions. Journal of Geophysical Research, 102, 29625– 29640 Climate Change: Halving Carbon Dioxide Emissions By 2050 Could Stabilize Global Warming’ Science Daily (May 4,2009) De Badts, E.P.J. 2002. Global Land Cover 2000: Evaluation of the SPOT Vegetation sensor for land use mapping. Wageningen, Alterra,Green World Research Hughes, Lesley. (2000). Biological consequences of global warming: is the signal already apparent. TREE, Vol. 15, no.2. Hunt, E. R., Piper, S. C., Nemani, R., Keeling, C. D., Otto, R. D., and Running, S. W. (1996). Global net carbon exchange and intra-annual atmospheric CO2 concentrations predicted by an ecosystem simulation model and three-dimensional atmospheric transport model. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 10, 431– 456. Imhoff, M.L., Bounoua, L., Ricketts, T., Loucks, C., Harriss, R. and Lawrence, W.T. Global patterns in human consumption of net primary production. Nature 429 870-873 (2004). Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Climate Change, (IPCC) 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 2007). 19 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Jones ,Hamlyn G. and Robin A. Vaughan (2010). Remote Sensing of Vegetation Principles, Techniques, and Applications. First Edition Malingreau, J.P.(1991). Remote Sensing for Tropical Forest Monitoring: An Overview. Remote sensing and Geographical Information Systems for Resource Management in Developing Countries, 253-278. National Atlas of the United States. www.nationalatlas.gov National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). www.noaa.gov ( accessed April 2010) Njomo, Donatien. 2008. Mapping Deforestation in the Congo Basin Forest using MultiTemporal SPOT-VGT Imagery from 2000 to 2004. EARSeL eProceedings 7, 1/2008 Propastin, P. A., Muratova, N. R., Kappas, M. (2006):Reducing uncertainty in analysis of relationship between vegetation patterns and precipitation. In:Caetano, M and Painho, M. (Eds.). Proceedings of the 7th International Symposium on Spatial Accuracy Assessment in Natural Resources and Environmental Science. 3-6 July, Lisbon. P. 459468. Running, S. W., Nemani, R. R., Peterson, D. L., Band, L. E., Potts, D. F.,Pierce, L. L., and Spanner, M. A. (1989). Mapping regional forest evapotranspiration and photosynthesis by coupling satellite data with ecosystem simulation. Ecology, 70, 1090–1101. Sabbe, H. ,F Veroustrate. 2000. Demonstration of a standard Net Primary Productivity product for SPOT 4 – VEGETATION instrument. VITO 2000/TAP/062 Tadesse,Tsegaye., Brian D. Wardlow, and Jae H. Ryu. Identifying TIME-LAG Relationships between vegetation condition and climate tp produce vegetation outlook maps and monitor drought. US Energy Information Administration. http://www.eia.doe.gov/ (accessed August 12, 2009) Visousek, Peter M., Harold A. Mooney, Jane Lubchenco, Jerry M. Melillo. 1997. Human Domination of Earth’s Ecosystems. Science 277 (July). Young, S.S., and Harris, R. (2003) Changing patterns of global-scale vegetation photosynthesis, 1982-1999. International Journal of Remote Sensing. 26 4537-4563. 20 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Appendix 1: The 10 sub –regions with their respective Table of change with 9 and 5 classes: Figure 8: Africa Table 6: Africa-Table of Change (a) Class Interval 9 Pixel % of total pixels (b) Class Interval 5 602 0.02 decrease > 10% 9117 0.33 Decrease 3 to 10% decreased 5 to 10% 61124 2.20 Little change (-3 to +3% change) decreased 3 to 5% 113349 4.08 Increase 3 to 10% 1916746 68.92 Increase > 10% increase 3 to 5% 463458 16.66 Total increase 5 % to 10% 201048 7.23 increase 10% to 20 % 15348 0.55 254 0.01 2781046 100.00 decreased > 20 % decreased 10 to 20 % Little change (-3 to +3% change) increase > 20 % Total Pixel % of total pixels 9719 0.35 174473 6.27 1916746 68.92 664506 23.89 15602 0.56 2781046 100.00 21 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 9: Europe Table 7: Europe-Table of change Pixel % of total pixels (b) Class Interval 5 Pixel % of total pixels decreased > 20 % 181 0.03 decrease > 10% 945 0.17 decreased 10 to 20 % 764 0.14 Decrease 3 to 10% 9183 1.70 decreased 5 to 10% 3537 0.65 Little change (-3 to +3% change) 155592 28.74 decreased 3 to 5% 5646 1.04 Increase 3 to 10% 350427 64.74 Little change (-3 to +3% change) 155592 28.74 Increase > 10% 25170 4.65 increase 3 to 5% 132698 24.51 Total 541317 100.00 increase 5 % to 10% 217729 40.22 increase 10% to 20 % 24990 4.62 increase > 20 % 180 0.03 Total 541317 100.00 (a) Class Interval 9 22 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 10: North America Table 8 : North America-Table of Change (a) Class Interval 9 Pixel % of total pixels (b) Class Interval 5 Pixel % of total pixels decreased > 20 % 1234 0.37 decrease > 10% 9258 2.77 decreased 10 to 20 % 8024 2.40 Decrease 3 to 10% 55259 16.54 decreased 5 to 10% 26380 7.90 No change (-3 to +3% change) 160246 47.98 decreased 3 to 5% 28879 8.65 Increase 3 to 10% 91288 27.33 No change (-3 to +3% change) 160246 47.98 Increase > 10% 17960 5.38 increase 3 to 5% 40913 12.25 Total 334011 100.00 increase 5 % to 10% 50375 15.08 increase 10% to 20 % 17440 5.22 increase > 20 % 520 0.16 Total 334011 100.00 23 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 11: Central America Table 9: Central America-Table of Change (a) Class Interval 9 Pixel % of total pixels decreased > 20 % 1194 0.03 decreased 10 to 20 % 12239 decreased 5 to 10% (b) Class Interval 9 Pixel % of total pixels decrease > 10% 13433 0.35 0.32 Decrease 3 to 10% 232622 6.01 85368 2.21 No change (-3 to +3% change) 1906220 49.26 decreased 3 to 5% 147254 3.81 Increase 3 to 10% 1543426 39.88 No change (-3 to +3% change) 1906220 49.26 Increase > 10% 174181 4.50 increase 3 to 5% 748191 19.33 Total 3869882 100.00 increase 5 % to 10% 795235 20.55 increase 10% to 20 % 169567 4.38 increase > 20 % 4614 0.12 Total 3869882 100.00 24 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 12: South America Table 10: South America-Table of Change (a) Class Interval 9 Pixel % of total pixels (b) Class Interval 5 Pixel % of total pixels decreased > 20 % 12164 0.13 decrease > 10% 129947 1.38 decreased 10 to 20 % 117783 1.25 Decrease 3 to 10% 906224 9.62 decreased 5 to 10% 403137 4.28 No change (-3 to +3% change) 4867946 51.66 decreased 3 to 5% 503087 5.34 Increase 3 to 10% 3284208 34.85 No change (-3 to +3% change) 4867946 51.66 Increase > 10% 234700 2.49 increase 3 to 5% 1739180 18.46 Total 9423025 100.00 increase 5 % to 10% 1545028 16.40 increase 10% to 20 % 228218 2.42 increase > 20 % 6482 0.07 Total 9423025 100.00 25 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 13: North Asia Table 11: North Asia-Table of Change (a) Class Interval 9 Pixel % of total pixels (b) Class Interval 5 Pixel % of total pixels decreased > 20 % 0 0.00 decrease > 10% 3 0.09 decreased 10 to 20 % 3 0.09 Decrease 3 to 10% 48 1.49 decreased 5 to 10% 21 0.65 No change (-3 to +3% change) 555 17.20 decreased 3 to 5% 27 0.84 Increase 3 to 10% 2237 69.34 No change (-3 to +3% change) 555 17.20 Increase > 10% 383 11.87 increase 3 to 5% 596 18.47 Total 3226 100.00 increase 5 % to 10% 1641 50.87 increase 10% to 20 % 383 11.87 increase > 20 % 0 0.00 Total 3226 100.00 26 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 14: West Asia Table 12: West Asia-Table of Change (a) Class Interval 9 Pixel % of total pixels (b) Class Interval 5 Pixel % of total pixels decreased > 20 % 299 0.05 decrease > 10% 5587 0.86 decreased 10 to 20 % 5288 0.82 Decrease 3 to 10% 40425 6.25 decreased 5 to 10% 17692 2.73 No change (-3 to +3% change) 277725 42.92 decreased 3 to 5% 22733 3.51 Increase 3 to 10% 266308 41.16 No change (-3 to +3% change) 277725 42.92 Increase > 10% 56983 8.81 increase 3 to 5% 103556 16.00 Total 647028 100.00 increase 5 % to 10% 162752 25.15 increase 10% to 20 % 55311 8.55 increase > 20 % 1672 0.26 Total 647028 100.00 27 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 15 South East Asia Table 13: South East Asia-Table of Change (a) Class Interval 9 Pixel % of total pixels (b) Class Interval 5 Pixel % of total pixels decreased > 20 % 1101 0.06 decrease > 10% 10620 0.58 decreased 10 to 20 % 9519 0.52 Decrease 3 to 10% 77739 4.27 decreased 5 to 10% 33896 1.86 No change (-3 to +3% change) 586873 32.26 decreased 3 to 5% 43843 2.41 Increase 3 to 10% 954590 52.47 No change (-3 to +3% change) 586873 32.26 Increase > 10% 189600 10.42 increase 3 to 5% 364868 20.05 Total 1819422 100.00 increase 5 % to 10% 589722 32.41 increase 10% to 20 % 177750 9.77 increase > 20 % 11850 0.65 Total 1819422 100.00 28 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 16: Asia Islands Table 14: Asia Islands- Table of Change Pixel % of total pixels decrease > 10% 27076 0.73 0.63 Decrease 3 to 10% 208463 5.58 86344 2.31 No change (-3 to +3% change) 1532687 41.05 decreased 3 to 5% 122119 3.27 Increase 3 to 10% 1672848 44.80 No change (-3 to +3% change) 1532687 41.05 Increase > 10% 292898 7.84 increase 3 to 5% 708719 18.98 Total 3733972 100.00 increase 5 % to 10% 964129 25.82 increase 10% to 20 % 257224 6.89 increase > 20 % 35674 0.96 Total 3733972 100.00 (a) Class Interval 9 Pixel % of total pixels decreased > 20 % 3492 0.09 decreased 10 to 20 % 23584 decreased 5 to 10% (b) Class Interval 5 29 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 17 Australasia Table 15: Australasia-Table of Change (a) Class Interval 9 Pixel % of total pixels (b) Class Interval 5 Pixel % of total pixels decreased > 20 % 11961 0.38 decrease > 10% 59450 1.91 decreased 10 to 20 % 47489 1.53 Decrease 3 to 10% 306101 9.85 decreased 5 to 10% 144293 4.64 No change (-3 to +3% change) 1409786 45.36 decreased 3 to 5% 161808 5.21 Increase 3 to 10% 1104166 35.52 No change (-3 to +3% change) 1409786 45.36 Increase > 10% 228757 7.36 increase 3 to 5% 489603 15.75 Total 3108260 100.00 increase 5 % to 10% 614563 19.77 increase 10% to 20 % 184808 5.95 increase > 20 % 43949 1.41 Total 11961 0.38 30 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Appendix 2: Temporal Profiles: Figure 18: Africa decrease 220 Scaled NDVI 215 210 205 200 195 190 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 200.83 204.99 206.45 206.40 204.52 203.71 205.42 201.17 200.63 197.65 194.27 Sample 2 212.11 212.30 212.71 209.76 208.54 208.73 211.81 209.17 204.50 199.92 195.27 Sample 3 214.90 216.89 217.47 215.01 212.27 211.41 212.59 211.84 208.27 207.76 203.06 Graph 1: Temporal Profile-Africa decrease 31 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 19: Africa increase 220 215 Scaled NDVI 210 205 200 195 190 185 180 175 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 191.38 187.69 185.06 189.70 198.87 209.84 209.68 208.90 208.29 211.90 210.45 Sample 2 184.43 184.50 187.09 193.13 199.37 203.77 206.92 209.80 205.81 207.11 203.46 Sample 3 189.93 187.41 187.71 188.09 194.38 199.92 207.39 208.44 208.10 208.05 207.20 Graph 2: Temporal Profile- Africa increase . 32 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 20: Madagascar Increase 230 Scaled NDVI 225 220 215 210 205 200 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 215.06 208.47 202.56 203.00 208.85 220.85 223.88 226.94 224.98 224.75 220.22 Sample 2 203.36 204.47 203.78 206.48 209.63 217.15 219.74 223.00 218.66 219.99 215.50 Sample 3 211.84 213.91 210.91 210.75 209.34 214.67 218.02 221.71 221.19 222.51 221.74 Graph 3: Temporal Profile- Madagascar increase 33 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 21: Madagascar decrease 235 Scaled NDVI 230 225 220 215 210 205 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 227.60 227.24 224.99 220.94 216.99 217.09 218.34 218.08 216.02 213.02 212.35 Sample 2 223.66 223.07 220.48 216.65 212.91 214.05 215.79 216.18 213.94 211.00 208.46 Sample 3 230.10 229.70 225.86 221.75 217.62 220.45 222.80 224.78 223.60 221.62 219.99 Graph 4: Temporal Profile- Madagascar decrease 34 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 22: Brazil (South America) 230 Scaled NDVI 225 220 215 210 205 200 195 190 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 201.74 203.47 205.70 209.11 211.88 215.22 219.18 221.93 222.03 220.67 221.64 Sample 2 199.25 202.02 204.24 208.57 211.16 216.46 220.50 223.45 222.48 220.48 220.90 Sample 3 191.98 196.19 201.17 206.46 210.50 213.56 218.90 221.85 221.60 219.96 220.46 Graph 5: Temporal Profile- Brazil 35 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 23: Venezuela (Bolívar)- South America 235 Scaled NDVI 230 225 220 215 210 205 200 195 190 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 197.65 201.00 201.67 205.51 207.25 214.36 220.62 224.31 223.60 222.28 223.93 Sample 2 195.17 197.33 198.50 203.50 205.22 212.47 218.36 224.04 222.26 220.13 219.04 Sample 3 202.39 204.55 208.12 213.98 218.70 222.53 225.79 228.19 226.88 224.63 223.62 Graph 6: Temporal Profile- Venezuela (Bolívar) 36 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 24: Paraguay - South America 240 Scaled NDVI 230 220 210 200 190 180 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 220.71 213.64 212.59 206.17 200.40 194.97 197.62 202.52 207.34 201.35 201.64 Sample 2 232.46 226.67 223.71 217.44 214.52 215.37 216.74 216.80 214.49 208.51 207.17 Sample 3 236.37 230.90 227.90 221.89 219.93 220.35 221.25 219.92 217.53 211.82 209.38 Graph 7: Temporal Profile- South America (Paraguay) 37 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 25: Germany 215 Scaled NDVI 210 205 200 195 190 185 180 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 185.40 186.62 190.83 196.43 202.15 203.58 205.48 205.97 203.98 204.88 204.28 Sample 2 187.49 187.40 189.32 194.79 199.58 205.10 205.98 208.73 206.19 207.36 207.64 Sample 3 196.36 192.78 198.16 201.00 208.03 205.08 204.59 201.20 196.64 203.15 207.54 Graph 8: Temporal Profile-Germany 38 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 26: Ireland 225 Scaled NDVI 220 215 210 205 200 195 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 198.23 198.88 201.21 202.90 203.91 205.54 209.32 212.72 214.19 215.44 214.23 Sample 2 198.14 198.81 200.47 201.88 202.74 204.69 208.96 213.11 214.54 215.64 214.17 Sample 3 204.83 205.15 207.01 208.74 209.46 211.10 214.28 219.58 221.01 221.97 219.62 Graph 9: Temporal Profile-Ireland 39 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 27: Indonesia 230 220 Scaled NDVI 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 160.12 178.97 188.53 205.48 210.35 215.65 219.60 223.40 221.96 221.68 222.09 Sample 2 158.38 174.45 182.76 197.57 202.98 208.83 214.13 218.68 217.75 216.85 215.28 Sample 3 185.87 191.54 196.18 202.97 203.42 208.33 214.73 223.39 218.49 217.10 215.92 Graph 10: Temporal Profile-Indonesia 40 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 28: Myanmar 230 Scaled NDVI 225 220 215 210 205 200 195 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 225.03 223.74 225.81 221.15 219.00 218.68 223.99 225.39 223.50 205.16 199.52 Sample 2 224.84 223.43 225.11 222.67 220.17 219.14 221.33 221.17 220.09 204.63 199.43 Graph 11: Temporal Profile-Myanmar 41 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 29: Vietnam 230 Scaled NDVI 225 220 215 210 205 200 195 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 223.37 219.53 216.33 214.85 217.58 223.73 226.09 223.21 220.37 212.95 206.10 Sample 2 219.00 217.27 215.52 215.90 217.31 220.81 223.16 221.39 220.31 215.67 207.58 Sample 3 223.08 219.23 216.64 214.19 215.42 217.36 219.90 217.77 219.33 215.57 209.28 Graph 12: Temporal Profile-Vietnam 42 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 30: North East India 230 Scaled NDVI 220 210 200 190 180 170 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 181.30 190.04 193.82 201.70 203.52 206.99 207.63 209.33 210.99 214.87 217.37 Sample 2 179.44 190.40 194.60 204.03 205.81 211.01 214.34 217.43 217.07 217.81 217.56 Graph 13: Temporal Profile-North East India 43 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 31: Australia 240 235 Scaled NDVI 230 225 220 215 210 205 200 195 190 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 231.75 233.04 232.21 227.96 219.98 212.23 209.38 214.69 218.13 207.45 202.34 Sample 2 233.56 233.66 233.51 230.26 225.12 219.37 218.60 222.44 224.87 209.15 201.54 Sample 3 223.88 228.42 229.30 226.96 221.72 214.33 215.38 218.55 221.22 204.81 199.30 Graph 14: Temporal Profile-Australia 44 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta Figure 32: Tasmania Scaled NDVI 250 240 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 Year 1998 Year 1999 Year 2000 Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005 Year 2006 Year 2007 Year 2008 Sample 1 202.60 200.64 204.83 205.40 207.88 211.80 215.88 223.38 226.70 233.65 234.40 Sample 2 191.90 197.91 209.49 216.96 216.33 212.86 212.57 219.50 219.50 223.92 224.89 Sample 3 161.94 172.64 192.73 212.13 219.14 214.97 212.03 218.21 219.89 224.37 224.22 Graph 15: Temporal Profile-Tasmania 45 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta End Notes i Visousek, Peter M., Harold A. Mooney, Jane Lubchenco, Jerry M. Melillo. 1997. Human Domination of Earth’s Ecosystems. Science 277 (July). ii Radiative forcing is a measure of the influence that a factor has in altering the balance of incoming and outgoing energy in the Earth-atmosphere system iii Intergovernmental Panel on Climatic Change Derived from US Energy Information Administration, 2009 v This image has been derived from Science Daily, May 4, 2009 vi Derived from NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (http://imagine.gsfc.nasa.gov/docs/science/know_l1/emspectrum.html) iv 46 | P a g e Change Analysis of the top 10 percent of Global Photosynthesis as captured by the SPOT VEGETATION (VGT) Sensor for the time period: 1998 to 2008 Moumita DuttaGupta