DETERMINING CORRELATION BETWEEN AIR TEMPERATURE AND SOLAR RADIATION AT WEST SHOA ZONE, GINDEBERET WOREDA, KACHISE METEOROLOGICAL STATION M.Sc. Graduate Project By LEMMA TUFA AMESSA October, 2015 HARAMYA UNIVERSITY DETERMINING CORRELATION BETWEEN AIR TEMPERATURE AND SOLAR RADIATION AT WEST SHOA ZONE, GINDEBERET WOREDA, KACHISE METEOROLOGICAL STATION A graduate project submitted to school of Post graduate program directorate (College of Natural and Computational Science, the Department of physics) HARAMAYA UNIVERSITY In partial Fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Physics (Environmental physics) By Lemma Tufa Amessa October, 2015 Haramaya University ii Post graduate program directorate HARAMAYA UNIVERSITY As a graduate project advisor, I certify that I have read and evaluated this graduate project prepared under my guidance, by Lemma Tufa, entitled “Determining correlation between Air temperature, and solar radiation at West Shoa Zone, Gindeberet Woreda, Kachise meteorological station’’ I recommend that it is submitted as fulfillment of the graduate project requirement. Dr Gelana Amente ___________ Advisor Signature __________ Date As members of the board of examiners, we certify that we have read, evaluated the Graduate project prepared by Lemma Tufa and examined the candidate. We recommend that the graduate project be accepted as fulfilling the requirement for the degree of Master of Science in Physics (Environmental Physics) ____________________ Name of chairperson ____________________ ___________ Signature __________ Date _________ _________ Name of Internal Examiner Signature Date _____________________ _________ Name of External Examiner _________ Signature Date_________________ iii DEDICATION This work is dedicated to my father Ato Tufa Amessa and my wife Belaynesh Gerasu whose love and support has made these all possible. iv STATEMENT OF THE AUTHOR First, I declare that this project is my own work that all sources of materials used for this graduate project have been duly acknowledged. This project has been submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement of M.Sc. degree at Haramaya University and is deposited at the University Library to be made available to borrowers under rules of the Library. All scholarly matter that is included in the paper has been given recognition through citation that I have cited and referenced all sources used in this paper. I solemnly declare that this Graduate project is not submitted to any other institution anywhere for the award of any academic degree, diploma, or certificate. Brief quotations from this project may be used without any special permission provided that accurate and complete acknowledgement of the source is made. Request for permission for extended quotation from or reproduction of this project in whole or part may be granted by the head of the school or department or the dean of the school of graduate studies when in his or her judgment the proposed use of the material is in the interest of scholarship. In all other instances, however, permission must be from the author of the project. Name Lemma Tufa Signature________________ School/Department: Physics Date of submission_________________ v BIBLIOGRAPHICAL SKETCH The author was born on July 24, 1979 in Kachise town, Gindeberet Woreda, West Shoa Zone, Oromia Regional State. He pursued his elementary and secondary school educations at Kachise primary and Gindeberet high schools, respectively. In 2000 he joined Jimma teachers college obtained diploma in physics in 2002. He joined summer in-service program at Haramaya University and graduated with BEd in physics in 2007. Finally in 2010 he joined the School of Graduate Studies of Haramaya University in 2010 in-summer program to pursue MSc in Physics (Environmental physics). vi ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Primarily, I would like to give glory to almighty God, who made me a person of I am today. Next, I would like to express my deepest gratitude to my advisor Dr Gelana Amente for his expert guidance, constructive comments, suggestions, and encouragement throughout my study period. I am also grateful to all my friends who supported me by giving comments and suggestions during preparation of this paper. I would like to extend my appreciation to Gindeberet Preparatory school teachers and principals for their positive supports during my study Last but not least, I would like to thank my wife Belaynesh Gerasu who stood by my side all the time. vii ACRONYMS IR Infrared Region IRSR Interim Reference Sunshine Recorder KWh Kilowatt hour L A.T Local Apparent Time PRT Platinum Resistance Thermometer PV Photovoltaic Qrat Downward radiation from the atmosphere Tmax Maximum air temperature Tmin Minimum air temperature Tave Average air temperature UV Ultraviolet viii TABLE OF CONTENTS STATEMENT OF THE AUTHOR V BIBLIOGRAPHICAL SKETCH VI ACKNOWLEDGMENT VII ACRONYMS VIII LIST OF TABLES XI LIST OF FIGURES XII LIST OF TABLES IN APPENDICES XIII ABSTRACT XIV 1. INTRODUCTION 1 2. REVIEW LITRATURE 4 2.1. Global Solar Radiation 4 2.1.1. Geometry of the earth and the sun 4 2.1.2. Declination angle 5 2. 1.3. Solar radiation on the earth’s surface 6 2. 1.4. The hour angle 8 2.2. Sunshine Duration 9 2.3. Solar Photovoltaic System 10 2.4. Temperature 13 3. MATERIALS AND METHODS 14 3.1. Site Description 14 3.2. Data Collection 14 3.3. Data Analysis 15 4. RESULTS AND DISSCUSSION 19 4.1. Air Temperature and Solar Radiation in Dry Season 19 4.1.1. Correlation between daily solar radiation and maximum air temperature 19 4.1. 2. Correlation between daily solar radiation and average air temperature 22 4.1.3. Correlation between air Temperature (Tmax-Tmin) and daily solar Radiation 24 4.2. Solar Radiation and Air Temperature in Wet Season 26 4.2.1. Correlation between daily solar radiation and maximum air temperature 26 4.2.2. Correlation between daily solar radiation and average air temperature 28 4.2.3. Correlation between air Temperature (Tmax-Tmin) and Solar Radiation 30 ix Table of contents (Continued...) 4.3. Correlation between Air Temperature and Estimated Hourly Solar Intensity in April 8-22/2014 34 4.4. Comparison between Actually Measured Intensity and Estimated Hourly Solar Radiation 36 5. SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS, AND RECOMMENDATIONS 39 5.1. Summary 39 5.2. Conclusion 39 5.3. Recommendations 40 6. REFERENCES 41 7. APPENDICES 45 x LIST OF TABLES Table Page 1. Correlation coefficients of daily solar radiation and maximum air temperature 33 2. The estimated hourly solar radiation and measured solar radiation i (w/m2) 36 xi LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page 1. Geometry of solar collector and location of sun relative to earth 5 2. Campbell-Stokes-Heliograph (Scharmer and Grief, 2000). 10 3. photovoltaic effect in a cell (Tamirat Bemrew, 2007). 12 4. circuit diagram for the module connected with a100 ο resistor and a voltmeter 14 5. solar module set for measuring PV voltage using multimeter 15 6. Solar radiation vs maximum air temperature in dry season 2010 and 2011 20 7. Solar radiation vs maximum air temperature in dry season 2012 and 2013 21 8. Solar radiation versus average air temperature in dry season 2010 and 2011 22 9. Solar radiation vs average air temperature in dry season 2012 and 2011 23 10. solar radiation versus air temperature (Tmax-Tmin) in dry season 2010 and 2011 24 11. Solar radiation versus temperature (Tmax-Tmin) in dry season 2012 and 2013 25 12. Solar radiation vs maximum air temperature in wet season 2010 and 2011 26 13. Solar radiation vs maximum air temperature in wet season 2012 and 2013 27 14. Solar radiation versus average air temperature inwet season 2010 and 2011 28 15. Solar radiation vs average air temperature in wet season 2012 and 2013 29 16. Solar radiation versus air temperature (Tmax-Tmin) in wet season 2010 and 2011 30 17. Solar radiation versus air temperature (Tmax-Tmin) in wet season 2011 and 2013 31 18. Air temperature vs solar radiation by average of the four years 32 19. Estimated hourly solar radiation versus air temperature April 8-22/2014) 34 20. Measured solar radiation versus air temperature (April 8-22/2014) 35 21. Estimated and measured solar intensity vs Date 37 xii LIST OF TABLES IN APPENDICES Table Page 1. Air temperature in (oc) and daily solar radiation H in (KWh/m2) dry season 46 2. Air temperature in (oc) and daily solar radiation H in (KWh/m2) wet season 62 3a. Measured intensity I(W/m2) and corresponding air temperature in (oc) 70 3b. Estimated daily mean solar radiation of April (8-22/ 2014) H (kwh/m2) 71 xiii ABSTRACT The effect of air temperature on solar radiation was studied at Kachise meteorological station of West Shoa zone Gindeberet Woreda. The study was carried out by estimating global solar radiation on horizontal surface using sunshine hour’s data as input to Angstrom-Prescott model and Hourly solar radiation using Collares-Pereira and Rabl in order to correlate with Tave , Tmax and Tmax-Tmin. The daily global solar radiation of the four years (2010-2013) showed best correlation with maximum air temperature (Tmax) by coefficient of determination R2 about 0.80 and the hourly solar radiation correlated with corresponding air temperature by coefficient of determination R2 =0.64 This indicates that there is an effect of air temperature on solar radiation. Photovoltaic voltage and air temperature was measured for two weeks in April. 2014 three times per day at 9:00, 12:00, and 15:00 using a 14cm by 14cm and 12V solar module, also showed good correlation by R2=0.75 that shows the effect of air temperature on PV system The hourly solar radiation of April, 8-22/2014 was also estimated and correlated with PV power intensity. The result of correlation between estimated and measured values obtained revealed good correlation with Pearson’s correlation r = 0.93 and the error was 8.2%. Since it is less than 10% the measurement is valiade and coefficient of determination R2=0.75 indicates positive relationship between airtemperature and measured solar intensity. Keywords: Intensities, Photovoltaic Power, Pyrometers xiv 1. INTRODUCTION The sun is the largest energy source of our planet. It is the ultimate source of all energy except tidal and geothermal power. Even the energy from the fossil fuels indirectly comes from the sun. It radiates 174 trillion KWh of energy to the earth per hour. In other words, the earth receives 1.74x1017 watts of power from the sun (Gelma Boneya, 2011) Solar radiation in the form of electromagnetic wave emanates from the π π’π, s surface and propagates spherically in to the space. Some part of the radiation reaches the earth surface after atmospheric effect (reflection, refraction, absorption, scattering etc). Such radiation is called diffused radiation and some part of radiation that reaches the earth surface without atmospheric effect is called direct radiation (Duffie and Beckman; 1991; Patil, 1999; Aldo, 2005). Sunshine duration during a given periods is defined as the sum of those sub-periods for which the direct solar irradiance exceeds 120 Wm-2..That means the daily Sunshine hours is the integration of the hourly values of Sunshine durations from sun rise to sun set. Before installing a solar energy system, it is necessary to predict both the demand and the likely solar energy available, together with their variability. Knowing this and the projected pattern of energy usage from the device, it is possible to calculate the size of collector and storage. Ideally, the data required to predict the solar input are several years of measurements of irradiance on the proposed collector plane. These are very rarely available, so the required measures have to be statistically estimated from meteorological data available either (i) from the site, or (ii) (more likely) from some ‘nearby’ site having similar irradiance, or (iii) (most likely) from an official solar atlas or database. All such data have systematic error and uncertainty, and natural climatic variability (Twidel and Wier, 2006) . Air temperature is a parameter that may positively or negatively affect either both or one of sunshine duration and solar cell performance. It is measured in thermometer unit β, Kelvin (K) and sometimes β. In traditional and modern automatic weather stations the air temperature is measured inside shelters Stocouples mounted in the shelter. Thermometers record the minimum and maximum air temperature over a 24-hour period. 2 There are two convectional types of solar panels: Crystalline silicon and thin film. The most common solar cell material is crystalline silicon. But the newer materials making solar cells include thin film materials such as amorphous silicon. When solar panels are combined in series and combined with other components they become a solar electric system or solar array. PV cells work with direct and diffused light and generate electricity even during cloudy days, though with reduced production and conversion efficiency. Electricity production is roughly proportional to the solar irradiance, while efficiency is reduced only slowly as solar irradiance declines.Since energy is needed to produce electron excitation and to activate the PV process. We can also use this rated output to estimate the number of panels we need to meet some or all of our electricity needs. A photovoltaic panel is a flat plate, composed of photovoltaic cells that have the property of converting the energy from the sun into direct current electrical energy. When the temperature of a photovoltaic module is increased, the efficiency drops. This can typically result in an efficiency drop off of 0.5% per °C increase in the cell operating temperature. It means it is already known that there is a negative correlation between temperatures, photovoltaic power. The operating temperature is increased because a large part of the solar radiation is not converted to electricity but is absorbed by the panel as heat (Tamirat Bimrew, 2007). Ethiopia receives 4.55 to 6.5KWh/m2/day (annual averages) of solar intensity (Drake and Yacob Mulugeta, 1996 Breyer et al., 2009). This varies significantly during the year, ranging from a minimum of 4.55KWh/m2 in July to a maximum of 6.55KWh/m2 in February and March. In this study the correlation between solar radiation, photovoltaic power, and air temperature was determined based on meteorological data obtained from West Shoa Zone, Gindeberet Woreda, Kachise meteorological station General objective General objective of the project was to determine correlation between air temperature and solar radiation based on data of Kachise meteorological station and to verify the calculated result with actually measured values 3 Specific objectives (a) To study the effect of sunshine duration on air temperature. (b) To assess which of the air temperature parameters (average, maximum or T max-Tmin) is best correlated with sunshine duration. (c) To evaluate the correlation between estimated hourly solar radiation and measured photovoltaic power intensity. Rationale for the project Now day’s meteorological station may be found at some areas. However, it is not enough to estimate accurate solar radiation about that area since estimation instruments are not regularly maintained and its accuracy is not checked especially in remote areas. So there may be overestimation or underestimation of solar radiation. However, any measurement cannot be without errors, the project evaluated the correlatioin between air temperature with solar radiation and photovoltaic power. 4 2. REVIEW OF LITERATURE 2.1. Global Solar Radiation Solar energy is a form of electromagnetic waves, traveling with speed of light, c, which is related to its frequency, υ, and wavelength, λ, through the relation c =vλ. The solar spectrum lies almost wholly within the wavelength range 0.2 < λ < 4.0μm, with a peak at about 0.475μm. Compared to the total electromagnetic spectrum with a wavelength range 10 -14 < λ < 1016μm, it is clear that the solar radiation spectrum is only a very small component of electromagnetic waves. The visible range is even smaller, it has a wavelength range of about 0.4 < λ < 0.7μm. (Sharew Anteneh, 2007) The utilization of solar energy, like any other natural resources, requires detailed information on availability. The study of solar radiation should incorporate solar radiation level with weather condition. The global solar radiation potential will be milestone for designing and predicting the performance of solar energy equipment and solar energy potential. It is known that the higher the altitude the greater the solar radiation under the clear and intermediate sky conditions, but under the overcast days the solar radiation is very low in comparison with sunny days (Ammann, 2005) The solar radiation reaching the earth’s surface consists of two components: direct and diffuse solar radiation.The direct component of solar radiation is the part of the direct solar beam which reaches the earth surface directly from the sun without being scattered, reflected or dispersed in any form. The diffused component is that the part of the solar radiation which reaches the earth’s surface as a result of scattering, reflection, and dispersion of the solar beam. The sum of the direct and diffuse components of solar radiation gives the total (global) solar radiation (Al-Salaymeh, A. 2006) 2.1.1. Geometry of the earth and the sun As the earth rotates once in 24 hours about its own axis, it defines the point of north (N) and south (S) poles. The axis of the poles is normal to the earth’s equatorial plane. The earth’s surface is defined by its latitude and longitude. Latitude is defined positive for points north of the equator and negative for south of the equator so the solar radiation on a point of earth 5 surface can be determined by the daily insolation energy, H, is the total energy per unit area received in one day from the sun and can be expressed using equation (2.1) π‘=24β H=∫π‘=0 πΊππ‘ (2.1) Where, G is the insolation energy per hour per unit area and dt is time derivative. The daily insolation varies with latitude and season. The seasonal variation at high latitudes is most significant. Its seasonal variation arises from three main factors: variation in the length of the day that is the number of hours between sunrise and sunset, orientation of the receiving surface and variation in atmospheric absorption (Twidell and weir, 2006). For any solar based system design, the most important factors are the position of the sun in the sky, the slope and orientation of a collecting surface, and obstruction and reflection properties of neighboring structures. Figure 1, shows the geometry describing orientation of a collector and position of the sun in the sky. The angle between the collector surface and the horizontal is called slope, π½ (with 0 0 <π½<90 0 for a surface facing towards the equator; 90 0 <π½<180 0 for a surface facing away from the equator). Surface azimuth angle, πΎ is the angle between the normal to the surface and the local longitude meridian, projected on the horizontal plane. In either hemisphere, πΎ equals 0 0 for a surface facing due south, 180 0 due north, 0 0 to 180 0 forsurface facing westward, and 0 0 to - 180 0 eastward. For a horizontal surface, πΎ is always 0 0 (Twidell and weir, 2006). . Figure 1: Geometry of solar collector and location of sun relative to earth 2.1.2. Declination angle 6 The key calculation input for generating the solar geometry is the declination angle. The declination angle (δ) is the angle between the Equatorial Plane and the line joining the center of the Earth's sphere to the center of the solar disk. The axis of rotation of the Earth about the poles is set at an angle to the so called Plane of the Ecliptic. The angle of inclination is 23o 27'. The maximum declination angle of 23o27' in the Northern Hemisphere occurs at the Summer Solstice, on June 21st. The minimum declination angle of -23o 27' in the Northern Hemisphere occurs at the Winter Solstice on December 22nd. The declination of the sun is a continuously varying function of time, but the rate of change within a specific day is small enough to allow the use of a constant value for any Julian day. One parameter, the Julian day number, enables the solar declination to be established for any point in time with acceptable practical accuracy. For very high accuracy the Year Number, the Longitude of the site and the precise time of day have to be introduced into the methodology but this refinement is not usually necessary in most practical studies. Latitude enters in the subsequent geometric calculations (Scharmer and Greif, 2000). 2. 1.3. Solar radiation on the earth’s surface Solar radiation has to pass through the atmosphere before reaching the earth’s surface. The amount of radiation falling on the earth’s surface depends on several factors, the most important ones being the following: Earth-Sun distance, tilt of the Earth’s axis, the Earth’s atmosphere, and the ratio of reflected irradiance to incoming irradiance (surface albedo). The solar beam traverses the earth’s atmosphere. The earth receives less energy due to atmospheric constituents or atmospheric path. The average distance between the sun and the earth is about 1.5 × 108 km. The earth’s axis is tilted at 23.50 with respect to its orbit around the sun. This tilted position together with the earth’s daily rotation accounts for the distribution of solar radiation over the earth’s surface, the change in the length of day and night and the change of seasons. Only twice a year is the sun truly overhead. The radiation falling on a given location on the earth’s surface also depends on the sun’s angle, which is a function of the time of the day. The sun becomes truly overhead to the surface of the earth during summer and winter solstices (Almorox, and Almorox, 2000). The earth is surrounded by an atmosphere which contains various gaseous constituents, suspended dust, and other minute solid and liquid particles. The attenuation processes 7 involving such atmospheric matter are absorption, refraction, reflection, diffraction, and scattering. In the case of a clear atmosphere, attenuation of solar radiation occurs simultaneously by three distinct physical processes, namely:(1) selective absorption by water vapor, molecular oxygen, ozone and carbon dioxide; (2) Rayleigh scattering by particles of sizes smaller than or equal to 0.1λ where λ is the wavelength of radiation being scattered; and (3) Mie scattering by particles of size greater than or between 5λ and 25λ. For an atmosphere with particles of size between 0.1λ and 5λ attenuation also takes place by diffraction (Sharew Anteneh, 2007). One major consequence of Rayleigh scattering is that one half of the scattered radiation is sent back to space. The other half is forward scattered. The back scattering removes almost all the unabsorbed ultra-violet (UV) radiation and hence reducing greatly the dangerous effects of this radiation on the earth. Because the Rayleigh scattering coefficient varies with 1 π4, shorter wavelengths are scattered more than the longer wavelengths. For the case of Mie scattering, depletion in solar radiation occurs by true scattering, as well as by absorption by particles. Absorption in the UV region is mainly due to ozone, while water vapor absorbs strongly in the infrared (IR) region. Generally little absorption takes place in the visible region. In both the UV and IR absorption, the energy can be re-emitted at different wavelengths. As the size of particles become larger than 25λ, the process of reflection and diffraction become dominant in attenuation, and the laws of geometrical optics apply. Rain drops and clouds belong to this category of particles. Clouds reflect much of the radiation falling on them, while rain drops refract. Aerosol absorption results in higher attenuation of solar beam than scattering. The principle of the absorption process can be expressed as: I = I0exp(-αz) (2.2) Where Io = a beam of light with some original intensity, I = the incoming intensity of light that reaches the earth surface, α is the absorption coefficient and z is the length of the path traversed. Notice that absorption occurs all along the path of travel (Sharew Anteneh, 2007). The amount of absorption (or scattering) that occurs to the solar beam as it traverses the earth’s atmosphere depends on the atmospheric constituents, and on the solar altitude. The solar altitude determines the length of the path of the beam that has to travel before 8 reaching the earth’s surface. If the sun is along the zenith, (i.e. vertically above) it is overhead and the path length is shortest. On the other hand, if the sun is in a direction making an angle π with the zenith direction, the path length is longer. The path length of the solar beam in any direction is expressed as a ratio of actual path to that of the shortest path in the zenith direction, a quantity termed the ”air-mass”, m, and defined as: m = actual path length traversed in the direction of π per path length in the zenith direction By definition, m = 0 outside the atmosphere.In a cloudy atmosphere considerable depletion of the solar beam takes place. A major part of the solar radiation is reflected back to space, and other part is absorbed, while the rest of the radiation is transmitted downwards to the earth as diffuse radiation (Sharew Anteneh, 2007). 2. 1.4. The hour angle The time system used for computing the geometric position of the sun is based on the use of the Julian day, j, to describe the position of the day in the annual sequence of days and the use of the hour angle, ω, to describe the time of day as an angle measured from solar noon. The hour angle at solar noon is set as zero. The Earth rotates about its axis once in 24 hours, so the passage of one hour represents a 15 degree rotation. The hour angle is set as positive after solar noon and negative before solar noon. 09:00 Local Apparent Time( L.A.T.) yields an hour angle of -45oand 15:00 L.A.T. an hour angle of +45 2.1.5. Extraterrestrial radiation from the sun The mean irradiance normal to the solar beam outside the atmosphere of the Earth at mean solar distance is 1367 W/m2. This value is known as the Solar Constant, Io. However, since the earth revolves around the sun in an elliptical orbit, the earth is slightly closer to the sun in the Northern Hemisphere winter and slightly further away during the Northern Hemisphere summer. The time of closest approach is known as the Perihelion and occurs around January 2nd. The point of greatest distance is known as Aphelion. The distance between the earth and sun varies by + 1.7%. Following the inverse square law, the range of the irradiance varies + 3.3%. In addition, the value of Io varies within a period of 11.2 years by about 1 W/m2. This is caused by cyclical variations of solar activity (Scharmer and Greif, 2000). 9 2.2. Sunshine Duration The duration of solar radiation and its energy that reaches the ground are becoming important spatial data. The physical quantity of sunshine duration (n) is routinely observed at most weather stations. For climatologically purposes derived terms such as daily sunshine hours are used, as well as percentage quantities, such as relative daily sunshine duration, n/N, where N is astronomical daylength, may be related to the extraterrestrial or to the maximum sunshine duration. A sunshine recorder is used to indicate the amount of sunshine at a given location. According to World Meteorological Organization (WMO, 2003), sunshine duration during a given period is defined as the sum of those sub-periods for which the direct solar irradiance exceeds 120 W m-2. In order to homogenize the data of the worldwide network for sunshine duration, a special design of the Campbell-Stokes Sunshine Recorder, the so-called Interim Reference Sunshine Recorder (IRSR), was recommended as the reference (Adam, 2012). The requirements of sunshine recorders vary, depending on site and season, according to the dominant cloud formation. The latter can be mainly described by three ranges of relative daily sunshine duration n/N such as “cloudy sky” (0 ≤ n/N < 0.30), “scattered clouds” (0.30 ≤ n/N < 0.70) and “fair weather” (0.70 ≤ n/N ≤ 1.0) (WMO, 2006; Adam, 2012). The results are used to help provide information on the climate of an area, agriculture, and tourism. There are four main types of errors in sunshine duration registration with this type of instruments. (1) The over-burning of the registration paper during intermittent sunshine, which results in over estimation of sunshine duration, (2) The threshold sensitivity of the Campbell-Stokes Recorder of 120 W/m2, which results in under estimation of sunshine duration, (3) The analysis of the registration paper made by hand that may cause additional errors in either direction, and finally, (4) Deteriorations of the performance of the glass sphere caused by weather phenomena like rain or hoar frost and by insufficient maintenance which results in under estimation of sunshine duration (Scharmer and Grief, 2000). 10 Figure 2: Campbell-Stokes-Heliograph (Scharmer and Grief, 2000). Among the instruments measuring solar radiation quantities the pyrheliometer is used for recording direct solar radiation. The registration method is again based on temperature differences caused by heating of absorbing planes, but the instrument itself is constructed in a different way. It has to be oriented exactly in direction of the sun´s disk. To satisfy these condition new types of pyrheliometer mounted on automatic tracking supports must be used and this inflates the cost of the instrument. Figure 2 shows an example for a roof installed solar tracker. Unfortunately pyrheliometers are generally not used within routine observations because direct solar radiation can be easily derived from the difference between global and diffuse radiation. The routine measuring of all three radiation quantities would make the detection of errors within one quantity easier (Scharmer and Greif, 2000). The very first equation was given by Angstrom in 1924; and Angstrom’s regression coefficients ‘a’ and ‘b’ have important physical interpretations with respect to the total 11 insolation reaching the earth’s surface at any place. The coefficient ‘a’ is supposed to be related to the percentage of extra terrestrial insolation reaching the earth’s surface on a completely cloud covered day that is the diffuse radiation while ‘b’ is related to the percentage of extra terrestrial insolation absorbed by the clouds on such a day. The estimated daily global solar radiation( H ) is obtained for any station, therefore, depends on the accuracy with which these coefficients are determined which is neither a very accurate nor a very convenient way to calculate mean daily solar radiation and the exact evaluation of daily global radiation with a cloud free atmosphere is difficult. This obstacle is removed by Prescott (1940) by means of amending the equation and replacing daily global radiation with a cloud free atmosphere with daily total extra terrestrial solar radiation on a horizontal surface. Prescott (1940) replaced Ho (monthly average daily extraterrestrial solar radiation) with the daily total extra terrestrial solar radiation on a horizontal surface (Ho). The new regression had the form expressed by equation (3.5). ‘a’ and ‘b’ were the new regression parameters, established empirically for each location (Sharma, 2013) 2.3. Solar Photovoltaic System The photovoltaic effect converts solar energy directly into electricity. When sunlight strikes a photovoltaic cell, electrons in a semiconductor material are free from their atomic orbits and flow in a single direction. This creates direct current electricity, which can be used immediately converted to alternating current or stored in a battery. Whenever sunlight arrives at its surface, the cell generates electricity. PV cells normally have a lifespan of at least 20-25 years. They usually last longer if frequent overheating temperatures in excess of 70ºC (158ºF) is prevented (Robertson and Athienitis, 2007). To understand the operation of a PV cell, both the nature of the material and the nature of sunlight need to be considered. Solar cells (see Fig 3) consist of two types of materials, often p-type silicon, and n-type silicon. Light of certain wavelength is able to ionize the atoms in the silicon and the internal field produced by the junction separates some of the positive charge (“holes”) from the negative charge (electrons) within the photovoltaic device. The holes are swept into the positive or p-layer and the electron are swept into the negative or n-layer. Although these opposite charges are attracted to each other, most of them can only recombined by passing through an external circuit outside the material because of the internal potential energy barrier. An advantage of photovoltaic panels is that 12 they are able to collect both direct and diffuse radiations, so the technology can work even on cloudy days. Approximately 25 percent of the incident radiation is captured when the sun is high in the sky, depending on the amount of dust and haze in the atmosphere (Yinghao, 2011). Power can be produced from the cell under illumination, since the free electrons have to pass through the load to recombine with the positive holes. The amount of power available from a PV device is determined by; the type and area of the PV material, the intensity of the sunlight and the wavelength of the sun light (Tamirat Bemrew, 2007). Figure3: photovoltaic effect in a cell (Tamirat Bemrew, 2007). 13 2.4. Temperature A platinum resistance thermometer (PRT) is used for the measurement of air temperature at all synoptic stations and all supplementary stations that employ an automatic system (NMLAF, 2010). Cloud cover acts to suppress differences in surface and free air temperature by reducing otherwise enhanced surface heating during day and enhanced surface cooling during night. Thus day-time positive values of βT (Ts> Ta) (Ta = free air temperature and Ts = surface temperature) and βT is the difference between Ta and Ts, are reduced under increased cloudiness, while night-time negative values are minimized. Low clouds are more influential than high clouds at night since low clouds are warmer and consequently emit more thermal radiation toward the surface. Moisture, in the form of specific humidity, controls latent heat transfer. In a dry atmosphere where evaporation is limited, free air temperatures are likely to be relatively cold in comparison with the mountain surface. Where βT = the difference between surface temperature and free air temperature this means, βT will be negative (Ta> Ts) for warm advection and positive for cold advecion (Ta< Ts). Advection is closely related to the direction of the large-scale wind and is of particular importance in mid latitudes where air mass contrasts are great. The systematic investigation of this phenomenon has not been fully studied (Pepin, 2005). The atmosphere emittance is a complex function of air temperature and moisture content. A simple relationship, which ignores the vapor pressure of the atmosphere, could be used to estimate the apparent sky-temperature (Wong and Chow, 2001).The correlation between solar radiation and temperature in winter season is strong positive and truly opposite with the summer season. There are several manifestations of inconsistency between variables at an individual station. Significant trends in maximum and minimum temperature with opposite sign and simultaneous significant increases in the numbers both of cold and hot days. The basic manifestation of consistency among several variables can be deduced from a tendency for all temperature variables and sunshine duration to attain one sign, and for relative humidity and cloudiness to attain the opposite sign. A more detailed insight can be gained from correlation matrices the variables can be considered as mutually consistent if their trends are correlated with each other or appear in the same trend complex (Pokorna and Radan, 2005). 14 3. MATERIALS AND METHODS 3.1. Site Description The study focuses on West Shoa Zone Gindeberet Woreda, Kachise meteorological station, which is located at 192 km west of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, at an altitude of 2558 meters with latitude of between 9° 20′ 51" πππ 9° 56′ 4"°N and longitude of 37°51′ °E. The place has a mean maximum temperature of 21. 4 β and mean minimum temperature of 10.3 β. It is a temperate area with average annual rainfall of about 845 mm (meteorological document). 3.2. Data Collection Photovoltaic power intensities were obtained by installing a solar module of 14cm x 14cm Optimum voltage 12V to measure voltage for two weeks, three times per day on days April 8 to 22/2014. Materials used were: 100αΏΌ resistor, multimeter, and thermometer. Sun V R=100 ο Figure 4: circuit diagram for the module connected with a1 00 ο resistor and a voltmeter 15 Figure5: solar module set for measuring PV voltage using multimeter 3.3. Data Analysis The location latitude ( ο¦ ), time of the year, and time of the day (hour angle, ω), Solar declination angle (δ) is the angle between the earth’s equatorial plane and the earth sun line. Solar hour angle, ω, is the angle earth has rotated since solar noon. The relations between these angles are given below (Duffie and Beckman, 1991) δ=23.45sin(360 284+ππ 365 ) (3.1) Where δ=solar declination angle ππ =day number of the year starting from January 1st as 1 ω= (12-π‘πΏ )150 it is hour angle (°) (3.2) Where π‘πΏ =local solar time in hours sin πΌπ =sin( π) sin( πΏ) + cos(πΏ )cos( π) cos(π) πΌπ = Solar altitude (°) ο¦ = latitude (°) (3.3) 16 By integrating the soar constant over the day-length gives us the daily solar radiation on the horizontal surface (Medugu and Yakubu, 2011) Ho = 24×3600×πΌπ π Π (1+0.033× cos( 2Πππ 365 π ) × (cos π cos πΏ sin ππ + Π 180π sin π sin πΏ) (3.4) The daily mean global solar radiation values have been estimated using Angstrom model, and months were taken of dry seasons and rainy seasons of four years. In order to find the solar radiation intensity obtained every hours of the day, the mean daily global solar radiation (H) were evaluated using Angstrom model equation (3.5). Oncethe solar radiations of all hours of the day were computed, thus the estimated hourly power intensity (Ip )of solar radiation can be calculated as (Collares-Pereira and Rabl, 1979): π H=Ho (a+bπ) (3.5) Where: H= daily average radiation on horizontal surface (KWh/m2), Ho=average daily extraterrestrial radiation on a horizontal surface (KWh /m2), n= average daily number of hours of bright sunshine, a and b are coefficients given as (Medugu and Yakubu, 2011): π a=-0.110+0.235cos(π) +0.323(π) π b=1.449-0.553cos( π)-0.694π (3.6) (3.7) The maximum possible daily sunshine hours in a day time from Sun rise to Sun set is given by an equation: 2 N = 15 ππ (3.8) πs= cos−1 ( −tan( πΏ) tan( ο¦ )) (3.9) The daily mean global solar radiation values have been estimated using Angstrom model, and months were taken from dry seasons and rainy seasons of four years. The hourly solar radiation intensities were correlated with their corresponding air temperatures using mat lab General linear curve fitting. 17 Graphical correlation between air temperature values, daily mean solar radiation, and hourly solar intensity, tables of analyzed data and coefficient values that are used to test the effect air temperature on solar radiation based on meteorological data of four years were taken from Kachise meteorological station. The daily mean solar radiation was estimated from sunshine hour using Angstrom-Prescott model for each year (2010-2013) to be correlated with daily extremes of air temperature From daily mean solar radiation the hourly power intensity (Ip ) have been calculated to be correlated with corresponding air temperature values on April 8-22/2014 in order to compare with measured solar radiation at Kachise meteorological station. The estimated half hourly power intensity (Ip,est ) of solar radiation can be calculated as (Collares-Pereira and Rabl, 1979): Ip=rtxH (3.10) Where: rt is the ratio of hourly total to daily total global radiation and is expressed as rt = π cosω − cosωs (x + y ∗ cos ω) π 24 sinωs − 180 ∗ ωs ∗ cosωs (3.11) π x = 0.409 + 0.5016sin (ωs − ) 3 (3.12) π y = 0.6609 − 0.4767sin (ωs − ) 3 (3.13) Where x and y are site dependent constants (Scharmer and Grief, 2000). The rt for all half hours gives approximately one. Hence, multiplying rt for a specific time with estimated mean daily global solar radiation (H) gives estimated hourly intensity of solar radiation. The estimated hourly intensities of solar radiation of specific hours of a day 9:00, 12:00, and 3:00 were correlated with the air temperature of corresponding hours of the day. The hourly solar radiation intensities were correlated graphically with their corresponding air temperature. Similarly the solar power intensities were estimated from the measured voltages as:- 18 V2 P= R measured intensity = P A (3.14) (3.15) Where: P, V, R and A are power of solar radiation, voltage of solar radiation, resistor and area of the solar module respectively. These measured values were then compared with the corresponding values of the estimated hourly power intensity of solar radiation and the error calculated using the following equation: % Error = (Estimated value−measured value) x 100 measured value (3.16) 19 4. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION . In Ethiopia there are two common known seasons:-The months of wet season are: June, July, August and September and months of dry season:- October, November, December, January, February, March, April, and May. Solar radiation of each year was correlated with air temperature seasonally in this project work. The effect of air temperature on hourly solar radiation and on PV system also has been tested. 4.1. Air Temperature and Solar Radiation in Dry Season 4.1.1. Correlation between daily solar radiation and maximum air temperature In absence of direct measurements, solar radiation is usually estimated by means of different methodologies. Thus Sunshine duration, maximum and minimum air temperature, and relative humidity may be used however; sunshine duration is widely used and recognized (Michele, 2014). In this project the daily solar radiation was estimated using Angstrom-Prescott model since the aim of this study was to determine the effect of air temperature on solar radiation using meteorological data. The solar module which was used to measure the solar radiation at any time rather than predicting the solar radiation in a given time using sunshine duration the hourly or half hourly solar radiation is estimated by applying Collares-Pereira and Rabl’s model.. 20 Daily solar radiation vs Tmax in dry season 2010 7 y = 0.58*x - 8.6 R2=0.80 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 3 2 1 16 18 20 22 24 Daily Tmax in degree celsius 26 (a) Daily solar radiation vs Tmax in dry season 2011 7 y = 0.4*x - 3.8 2 R =0.72 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 3 2 16 18 20 22 Daily Tmax in degree celsius 24 26 (b) Figure 6: Solar radiation vs maximum air temperature in dry season 2010 and 2011 The graphical correlation between maximum air temperature and daily mean solar radiation for dry season of the year 2010 shown in figure 6(a) that indicated strong correlation with coefficient of determination R2 = 0.80 is observed. Figure 6(b) shows the result obtained was good correlation with coefficient of determination R2 = 0.72 for dry season in 2011. 21 Daily solar radiation vs Tmax in dry season 2012 7 y = 0.29*x - 0.74 R2=0.69 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 3 2 17 18 19 20 : 21 22 23 24 Daily Tmax in degree c elsius 25 26 (a) Daily solar radiation vs Tmax in dry season 2013 7 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 y = 0.32*x - 1.4 2 R =0.61 3 2 16 18 20 22 24 Daily Tmax in degree celsius 26 (b) Figure 7: Solar radiation vs maximum air temperature indry season 2012 and 2013 The relationship between daily solar radiation and maximum air temperature in dry season has also been tested for the years 2012 and 2013. The results obtained showed positive correlation between the estimated daily solar radiation and daily maximum air temperature that coefficients of determination R2 =0.69 and 0.61 respectively as figure 7(a) and 7(b) showed. 22 4.1. 2. Correlation between daily solar radiation and average air temperature Temperature is high during the day and is considerably reduced at night causing the daily range of temperature to be large. But in the case of monthly averages, variation is minimal and the annual range of temperature is small. This holds true in both the highlands and lowlands. Slight seasonal variations in the angle of the sun's rays and the length of the day are primary controls on temperature, resulting in a yearly temperature range is less than the daily range that we consider the daily average to be more significant (Nata Tadesse, 2006). Daily solar radiation vs Tave in dry season 2010 7 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 y = 0.39*x - 0.84 2 R =0.26 3 2 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Daily Tave in degree c elsius 18 19 (a) Daily solar radiation vs Tave in dry season 2011 7 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 y = 0.23*x + 2.1 R2=0.26 3 2 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Daily Tave in degree c elsius 18 19 20 (b) Figure 8: Solar radiation vs average air temperature in dry season 2010 and 2011 23 The average of daily maximum air temperatures and daily minimum air temperatures of dry sesons in the four years was calculated to be correlated with daily mean solar radiation for dry season of the selected years. The results obtained in figure 8(a) and (b) are the correlation results of 2010 and 2011 their relationship said to be positive considering R2 value 0.26 for both years. Effect of average air temperature on daily solar radiation was investigated. The results show that average air temperature has a positive correlation with solar radiation that the coefficient of determination (R2) is averagely 0.40 for both 2012 and 2013 as figure 9 (a) and (b) indicated. The correlation is not strong due to the fact that in clear sky day time, the average air temperature dominates at about 9am to 12am and beyond up to 3Pm, yet the maximum solar radiation intensity occurs at noon. Daily solar radiation vs Tave in dry season 2012 7 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 y = 0.29*x + 1.2 2 R =0.44 3 2 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Daily Tave in degree c elsius 18 19 20 (a) Daily solar radiation vs Tave in dry season 2013 7 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 y = 0.32*x + 0.52 R2=0.41 3 2 13 14 15 16 17 18 Daily Tave in degree c elsius 19 20 (b) Figure 9: Solar radiation vs average air temperature in dry season 2012 and 2013 24 4.1.3. Correlation between air Temperature (Tmax-Tmin) and daily solar Radiation As solar radiation versus air temperature of the suggested season shows as air temperature increases intensity of solar radiation also increases during day time however, air temperature slightly decreases but, solar radiation intensity extremely decreases to zero to night (at sunset) the graphical value below revealed (Tmax-Tmin) air temperature shows correlation with daily solar radiation. Daily solar radiation vs Tmax-Tmin in dry season 2010 7 y = 0.22*x + 2 2 R =0.31 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 3 2 8 10 12 14 16 18 Daily Tmax-Tmin in degree c elsius 20 22 (a) Daily solar radiation vs Tmax-Tmin in dry season 2011 7 y = 0.065*x + 4.9 R2=0.10 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 3 2 -5 0 5 10 15 Daily Tmax-Tmin in degree c elsius 20 25 (b) Figure 10:Solar radiation vs temperature (T max -T min ) in dry season 2010 and 2011 25 The difference of the two air temperature extremes maximum and minimum air temperature effect also tested. Unlike the correlation between daily solar radiation and daily maximum air temperature the result obtained by correlating daily solar radiation with Tmax-Tmin shows weak correlation for the years 2010 and 2011 that correlation coefficient used to determine degree of correlation are R2 =0.3 and 0.1 respectively that figure 10(a) and (b) expressed by linear regression. This is becouse of there is no relatioship between solar radiation of the day time and minimum air temperature of the night time. Daily solar radiation vs Tmax-Tmin in dry season 2012 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 7 6 5 y = 0.17*x + 3.9 R2=0.30 4 3 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Daily Tmax-Tmin in degree c elsius 18 20 (a) Daily solar radiation vs Tmax-Tmin in dry season 2013 7 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 y = 0.16*x + 4 R2=0.22 3 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Daily Tmax-Tmin in degree c elsius 16 18 (b) Figure 11: Solar radiation vs temperature in dry season (T max -T min ) 2012 and 2013 26 The results obtained from correlation of air temperature and daily solar radiation in figure 11 shows relatively weak correlation between estimated daily solar radiation and the difference of extreme air temperature values with average R 2 =0.25 as figure 11(a) and (b) above shows for the years 2012 and 2013 respe ctively 4.2. Solar Radiation and Air Temperature in Wet Season 4.2.1. Correlation between daily solar radiation and maximum air temperature Regarding air temperature, Ethiopia has a cold summer and mild winter. Fog is infrequent and usually confined in summer in early mornings, but there are long periods in the mountainous areas. Visibility is generally very good; however, during the summer season the sky is not much clear. The low irradiance values are in the rain season is associated with least sunshine hours. (Sharew Anteneh, 2007). : Daily solar radiation vs Tmax in wet season 2010 7 y = 0.73* x - 11 R2=0.62 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 3 2 1 17 18 19 20 Daily Tmax. 21 22 23 in degree c elsius 24 25 (a) : Daily solar radiation vs Tmax in wet season 2011 7 y = 0.74* x - 10 R2=0.58 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 3 2 1 15 16 17 18 19 20 Daily Tmax in degree celsius 21 22 23 (b) Figure 12: Solar radiation vs maximum air temperature in wet season 2010 and 2011 27 The wet season is rainy and cloudy sky that low irradiance and also low air temperature values have been recorded as it is observed from the meteorological data of the area. The correlation was tested between daily maximum air temperature and daily mean solar radiation for wet season of 2010 and 2011 and the results of correlation for these years showed positive relationship that R2 is about 0.60 for both years expressed on figure 12(a) and (b) above. Daily solar radiation vs Tmax in wet season 2012 6.5 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5.5 5 4.5 4 y = 0.27*x - 0.61 3.5 2 R =0.14 3 2.5 2 1.5 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Daily Tmax in degree celsius 23 24 (a) Daily solar radiation vs Tmax in wet season 2013 7 y = 0.41* x - 3.5 R2=0.50 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5 4 3 2 14 16 18 20 22 Daily Tmax in degree celsius 24 26 (b) Figure 13: Solar radiation vs maximum air temperature in wet season2012 and 2013 In the figure 13(a) and (b) above significantly there was positive correlation between maximum air temperature and daily mean solar radiation since the correlation coefficient R2 is 0.50 for 2013 but R2 is 0.14 for 2012 indicates positive relationship between air 28 temperature and solar radiation for the year but this doesnot weak correlation. However, the values of correlation coefficient in case of correlation using linear correlation 4.2.2. Correlation between daily solar radiation and average air temperature The estimated daily solar radiation values indicated relatively strong correlation in wet season with the average air temperature.The values were expressed graphically by linear regrresion well as determination coefficient R2 indicate the relationship between average air temperature an daily solar radiation. Daily solar r adiation vs Tave in dr y season 2010 6.5 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 y = 1* x - 12 R2=0.45 5.5 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 13 13.5 14 14.5 15 15.5 16 Daily Tave in degr ee c elsius 16.5 17 17.5 (a) Daily solar radiation vs Tave in wet season 2011 9 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 8 y = 0.91* x - 9.6 R2=0.38 7 6 5 4 3 2 13 14 15 16 17 18 Daily Tave in degree celsius 19 20 (b) Figure 14: Daily solar radiation versus average air temperature in wet season 2010 and 2011 In case of both wet and dry season’s average air temperature correlated positively next to maximum air temperature. Figure 14(a) and (b) showed relatively positive correlation for 29 2010 and 2011 that the degree of fitness can be determined by R2 =0.45 and 0.38 respectively. Daily solar radiation vs Tave in wet season 2012 6.5 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5.5 5 4.5 4 y = 0.39*x - 1.1 2 R =0.10 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 13 14 15 16 Daily Tave in degree celsius 17 18 (a) Daily solar radiation vs Tave in wet season 2013 6.5 y = 0.39*x - 0.72 6 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 2 R =0.51 5.5 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 8 10 12 14 16 Daily Tave in degree celsius 18 (b) Figure 15: Daily solar radiation vs average air temperature in wet season 2012 and 2013 30 In the year 2012 any extreme values of air temperature correlated weakly with daily solar radiation relative to the correlations have been done for the other years there may be erroneous value recorded in the data of the year. While the result obtained for 2013 is good correlation as in figure 15(b) indicated. 4.2.3. Correlation between air Temperature (Tmax-Tmin) and Solar Radiation In this study months of wet seasons Jun, July August and September were considered. Correlation between solar radiation and air temperature was done, and the determination correlation coefficient shows positive relationship between daily solar radiation and (TmaxTmin) air temperature in (β) and daily solar radiation in (Kwh/m2). : Daily solar radiation vs Tmax-Tmin in wet season 2010 6.5 y = 0.45*x - 1.3 R2=0.4 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 5.5 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 8 10 12 14 Daily Tmax-Tmin in degree c elsius 16 18 (a) Daily solar radiation vs Tmax-Tmin in wet season 2011 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 6 y = 0.6* x - 0.96 R2=0.42 5 4 3 2 1 0 2 4 6 8 Daily Tmax-Tmin in degree c elsius 10 12 (b) Figure16 : Solar radiation versus air temperature (T max -T min ) in wet season 2010 and 2011 31 The difference of maximum and minimum air temperature in wet season of 2010 and 22011 showed positive regression than dry season that for both years coefficient of determination R2 is about 0.40 as showed in figure 16(a) and (b) above but it is not strong correlation. Daily solar radiation vs Tmax-Tmin in wet season 2012 6.5 6 y = 0.26*x + 2.2 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 2 R =0.13 5.5 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 4 6 8 10 Daily Tmax-Tmin in degree celsius 12 14 (a) Daily solar radiation vs Tmax-Tmin in wet season 2013 6.5 6 y = 0.35*x + 2 2 Daily solar radiation (KWh/m) 2 R =0.48 5.5 5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 2 4 6 8 10 Daily Tmax-Tmin in degree c elsius 12 (b) Figure17 : Solar radiation versus air temperature (T max -T min ) in wetseason 2012 and 2013 The results obtained in all the four years by correlating air temperatures Tmax , Tav and TmaxTmin with daily mean solar radiation all showed positive relationship. There are slight differences between the values of correlation coefficient of determination in case of wet 32 season. Figure 17(a) showed good correlation by R2 = 0.50 in this year the difference of maximum and minimum air temperature has positive relationship with daily solar radiation. Air temperature (oc) 30 y = 1.9432x + 12.465 R² = 0.6456 25 20 y = 1.5259x + 7.7537 R² = 0.388 y = 0.6675x + 10.441 R² = 0.035 15 10 5 T(max) Av 0 (Tmax-Tmin) Av 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 (Tav) Av Air temperature in( 0c) Dry seasons solar radiation (KWh/m^2) 30.00 25.00 y = 1.3173x + 14.153 R² = 0.6414 y = 0.9535x + 10.369 R² = 0.5673 y = 1.3052x + 3.5804 R² = 0.5897 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 0.0000 2.0000 4.0000 6.0000 8.0000 (Tmax) AV (Tmax-Tmin)Av TAv. Av Wet seasons solar radiation in ( KWh/m^2) Figure 18: Air temperature vs solar radiation by average of the four years Figure 18 shows that incase of both dry and wet seasons daily solar radiation correlated more with maximum air temperature (Tmax) and less with (Tmax-Tmin) air temperature and average of maximum and minimum in dry season but in wet season the coefficient of determination values revealed that, there is very good correlation between the daily mean solar radiation and all types of air temperature. 33 In 2010 and 2011 the correlation result of maximum air temperature with daily solar radiation was strong for both dry and wet seasons that the coefficient of determination R2 are 0.80 and 0.72 for dry , and 0.60 and 0.58 for wet respectively. Similar results obtained in dry season of 2012 and 2013 that maximum air temperature was correlated with daily solar radiation by R2 0.69 and 0.61 respectively. In this project work a linear model on matlab curve fitting equation has been used for the four suggested years. The regression of the fitting equation is:Y=ax+b The regression constants, a and b with correlation coefficient R2 of each season were used to express degrees of correlations. The results demonstrated that most of estimated daily solar radiation from Sunshine hour’s data has good correlation with the maximum air temperature. Table 1: Correlation coefficients of daily solar radiation and maximum air temperature Year Wet season Dry season a b R2 a b R2 2010 0.730 -11.00 0.60 0.58 -8.6 0.8 2011 0.740 -10.00 0.58 0.4 -3.8 0.72 2012 0.270 -0.60 0.14 0.3 -0.7 0.69 2013 0.410 -3.60 0.50 0.3 1.4 0.61 Av 0.54 -6.30 0.46 0.40 -2.94 0.71 The coefficients of determination of correlation between estimated daily solar radiation and maximum air temperature of the four years are summarized by classifing in to dry and wet seasons in order to formulate the linear equation by which daily mean solar radiation correlated with the maximum air temperature using average values expressed in Table 1. The values are high for dry season than wet season . 34 Daily solar radiation and maximum air temperature are correlated by regression equations obtained from average values in table 1 with the corresponding correlation coefficient of detrmination R2 for each season of the four years are: Y=0.54x-6.3 R2 =0.46 for wet season and Y=0.4x-2.9 R2=0.71 for dry season. Where, Y represents estimated daily solar radiation and X represents values of daily maximum air temperature. From the results above it can be inferred that the values of correlation coefficient R2 indicates strong relationship between solar radiation and maximum air temperature 4.3. Correlation between Air Temperature and Estimated Hourly Solar Intensity in April 8-22/2014 Incident solar radiation per unit area on a surface found by integration of irradiance over a specified time, usually an hour or a day. Insolation is a term applying specifically to solar energy irradiation. The symbol H is used for insolation for a day. The symbol I is used for insolation for an hour (or other period if specified) (Agarwal, 2012). Estimmated solar intensity vs air temp. April 8-22/2014 y = 3.5*x - 24 2 Estimated solar intensity (W/m) 60 55 2 R =0.64 50 45 40 35 30 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 o Air temperature (c ) Figure 19: Estimated hourly solar radiation versus air temperature April 8-22/2014) 35 Measured solar intensity versus c orresponding air temperature y = 3.8*x - 35 2 R =0.75 2 Photovoltaic power intensity in (w/m) 55 50 45 40 35 30 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 o Air temperature in (C ) Figure 20: Measured solar radiation versus air temperature (April 8 -22/2014) Estimated hourly solar radiation of two weeks of April 2014 was correlated with air temperature of corresponding time the regression of the values showed positive correlation as it can be observed from figure 19 its correlation coefficient of determination R2 =0.64. Correlation between measured solar power intensity and air temperature on April 8-22/2014 is also deduced from figure 20 that the power output performance of the photovoltaic system and air temperature are correlated. The regression equations obtained with the corresponding correlation coefficients are R2 is 0.75, r is 0.86, the sum of square error(SSE) is 1216, and root mean square error(RMSE) is 5.318, that indicates positive relationship. This project work results of correlation between extremes of air temperature : maximum air temperature, difference of daily maximum and minimum air temperatures and average of daily maximum and minimum air temperatures with daily mean solar radiation the coefficient of determination R2 are lowest for daily average air temperature and for Tmax-Tmin, which are 0.2, 0.3 0.7 respectively. Since there is air temperature bias difference between maximum and minimum air temperature but highest values of correlation coefficients obtained by correlating maximum air temperature with daily mean solar radiation as dessicused above from table 1. The air temperature and solar intensity that has been measured at the same time of hours at 9am, 12am and 3pm indicated strong correlation in figure 20 by R2 = 0.75. Whatever, there will be slight difference between estimated and measured values of solar intensities. From 36 this one can generalize that there is positive relationship between air temperature, sunshine hours, and photovoltaic system at the study area. 4.4. Comparison between Actually Measured Intensity and Estimated Hourly Solar Radiation The solar module was used to measure the solar radiation at any time rather than predicting the solar radiation in a given time using sunshine duration. The result of this study indicated a fairly good agreement between estimation of hourly solar radiation and measured solar radiation at proposed time. Table 2: The estimated hourly solar radiation and measured solar radiation I (w/m 2 ) Estimated Measured date at 9 am at 12am at 3 pm at 9am at 12am at 3pm 8 39.8 62.1 39.8 35.6 57.3 36.0 9 39.4 61.4 39.4 36.0 56.4 34.3 10 39.7 54.1 39.7 33.5 54.1 34.3 11 39.3 41.3 39.3 35.1 52.0 36.0 12 28.7 44.6 28.7 32.7 53.1 27.6 13 40.2 62.4 40.2 37.8 57.3 31.8 14 39.8 61.6 39.8 31.0 56.0 36.0 15 37.9 58.6 37.9 29.5 55.4 36.9 16 40 61.7 40 27.9 57.3 38.9 17 39.2 60.6 39.2 34.3 56.3 39.4 18 40.7 62.8 40.7 34.3 57.9 32.7 19 41.8 64.4 41.8 36.9 57.5 34.3 20 41.9 64.5 41.9 37.7 57.0 36.0 21 40.5 62.3 40.5 37.9 57.8 36.9 22 39.4 60.5 39.4 36.0 57.7 35.2 Ave. 39.22 58.86 39.22 34.4 56.2 35.1 37 Solar module temperature is in turn influenced by ambient temperature, cloud patterns, and wind speed. When the wind blew with a high speed and when the sky was covered with clouds as well as difference of incidence and air mass also affect solar module or an array’s power and production (del-Cueto, 2007; Myers, 2009; King et al, 1997).a humid air blew at the moment of recording the data. This showed the influences of the atmospheric parameters on the performance of the solar module. PVs have inherent problem of not accurately estimating solar radiation since they are temperature dependent and have also low efficiency of only 10% (Rao and Parulekar, 2009) The result in table 2 showed that the differences between the measured and estimated value is calculated by: % Error = (Estimated value−measured value) x 100 measured value That is about 3.9 w/m2 while taking the voltage measurements the error calculated is approximately 8.2% we conclude that sunshine duration can give good estimation of solar intensity and actual solar radiation intensity measurement has been made with PV high Solar radiation in(w/m^2) accuracy (> 90%) is obtained. 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 April (8-22) /2014 I estimated I measured 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 Temperature estimated intensity measured intensity 0.0 Figure 21: Estimated and measured solar intensity vs Date (April 8-22/2014) 38 In general comparisons have been made between hourly power intensity of estimated and measured value of solar radiation at Kachise meteorological station. The result obtained shows that most of the measured values were consistent with the estimated ones throughout the days as shown in the figure above. In each result of correlation between extremes of air temperature with daily and hourly solar radiation the coefficient of determination R2 are lowest for daily average air temperature and for Tmax-Tmin, incase of both respectively. However, the maximum air temperature is more related to daily solar radiation.The air temperature and solar intensity that has been measured at the same time of hour in this project work indicated strong correlation for both estimated and measured solar intensities that were expressed in figure 20 by R2 =0.64 for estimated and R2 =0.75 for measured solar intensity. Whatever, there will be slight difference between estimated and measured values of solar intensities. 39 5. SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS, AND RECOMMENDATIONS 5.1. Summary The daily mean global solar radiation was estimated using Angstrom-Prescott model. Since the aim of this study was to determine the effect of air temperature on solar radiation using meteorological data of Kachise station. Correlations have been made between estimated daily solar radiation air temperature extremes Tave, Tmax, and (Tmax.-Tmin) for four years (2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013. High value of correlation coefficient R2 =0.8 obtained in dry season of 2010 that shows strong relationship between maximum air temperature and lower correlation values in general were observed in wet season with R2 about 0.5 regarding maximum temperature. However, correlation with the other air temperature extremes showed positive result. All results obtained by correlating extremes of air temperature with daily mean solar radiation and hourly solar intensities showed that there is strong relationship between air temperature and global solar radiation. The hourly solar radiation of April 8-22/2014 also estimated and correlated with corresponding air temperature the result seen from the correlation was positive that R2 is 0.64 and the correlation between air temperature and measured solar intensity was more strong that R2 is 0.75 this indicates positive relationship between PV system and air temperature about room temperature values. The comparison between estimated hourly solar radiation and measured solar intensity shows good relationship between the measured values and estimated hourly solar radiation that the calculated error is 8.2%. The study done under this project would help us to estimate the solar potential energy around Kachise meteorological station and to test effect of air temperature on solar radiation day to day. 5.2. Conclusion Effect of air temperature on daily mean solar radiation and hourly solar intensity was investigated. The results show that there is a direct proportionality between the air temperatures of the locality and solar radiation. Thus, the application of photovoltaic 40 technology in the conversion of solar energy to electricity is favorable during high air temperature values. The value of daily and hourly solar radiations is essential in assessing the climatologically potential solar energy utilization for the region and in estimating the averages or expected values of the output of solar collectors. The coefficient of determination of correlation between solar radiation and air temperature is high. The result obtained in general indicated that there is direct relationship between solar radiation and air temperature and also air temperature affects performance of PV power intensity. Sunshine duration data of the meteorological station give good estimation of solar intensity compared with actual measurement of solar radiation intensity measurement made is high accuracy (> 90%) that was obtained by this work. 5.3. Recommendations This study is not enough to clarify the effect of air temperature on solar radiation in case of time scale, namely hourly, daily, monthly, seasonal, and annual. Therefore, more investigation is necessary based on Kachise meteorological data. This project estimated the average solar potential of the study area. Hence it is possible to recommend any concerned body that the area has great promise/potential for hot water generation, application of solar cookers, and effectiveness of solar collector’s application at that area due to the fact that solar energy is the most renewable energy that should be harnessed. 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APPENDICES 46 Appendex.Table 1: Air temperature in ( o c) and daily solar radiation H (KWh/m 2 ) January Date TMAX TMIN D/c Av 2010 2010 2010 2010 1 24.1 9.0 15.1 16.6 2 24.3 6.5 17.8 15.4 3 24.8 4.0 20.8 14.4 4 24.0 7.6 16.4 15.8 5 24.0 7.2 16.8 15.6 6 24.9 7.2 17.7 16.1 7 24.0 5.0 19.0 14.5 8 24.3 7.0 17.3 15.7 9 24.0 2.6 21.4 13.3 10 24.4 2.9 21.5 13.7 11 24.5 6.0 18.5 15.3 12 24.3 7.0 17.3 15.7 13 24.4 7.7 16.7 16.1 14 24.5 6.5 18.0 15.5 15 24.3 7.5 16.8 15.9 16 24.0 5.8 18.2 14.9 17 24.2 10.0 14.2 17.1 18 24.5 8.0 16.5 16.3 19 24.7 9.0 15.7 16.9 20 24.6 8.5 16.1 16.6 21 24.4 3.2 21.2 13.8 22 22.0 4.2 17.8 13.1 23 25.0 2.5 22.5 13.8 24 25.3 4.0 21.3 14.7 25 25.4 5.0 20.4 15.2 26 17.4 4.5 12.9 11.0 27 25.8 4.0 21.8 14.9 28 26.0 6.0 20.0 16.0 29 26.1 6.5 19.6 16.3 30 26.0 7.8 18.2 16.9 H10 5.6 5.6 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.8 5.2 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.9 5.8 5.9 5.5 5.4 5.8 5.6 5.9 5.7 4.1 5.9 6.0 6.0 1.1 6.1 6.0 6.1 6.1 TMAX TMIN 2011 2011 20.7 3.0 20.0 3.2 18.5 3.4 19.5 2.8 22.3 2.0 22.5 3.2 22.4 2.6 23.6 3.4 23.8 3.5 23.4 3.1 22.5 3.6 23.5 3.2 23.0 2.5 23.8 1.5 23.7 4.4 24.7 3.5 24.8 2.0 24.3 2.2 24.7 3.4 20.1 1.1 24.0 2.6 24.9 4.0 24.8 1.6 24.4 2.6 25.0 4.0 24.8 4.2 24.5 5.2 25.0 3.5 24.8 1.0 24.7 2.5 d/c 2011 17.7 16.8 15.1 16.7 20.3 19.3 19.8 20.2 20.3 20.3 18.9 20.3 20.5 22.3 19.3 21.2 22.8 22.1 21.3 19.0 21.4 20.9 23.2 21.8 21.0 20.6 19.3 21.5 23.8 22.2 Av 2011 11.9 11.6 11.0 11.2 12.2 12.9 12.5 13.5 13.7 13.3 13.1 13.4 12.8 12.6 14.1 14.1 13.4 13.3 14.1 10.6 13.3 14.5 13.2 13.5 14.5 14.5 14.9 14.3 12.9 13.6 H11 3.5 3.3 2.8 3.6 4.7 4.4 5.1 4.9 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 5.1 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.6 2.8 5.7 6.0 6.0 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 47 JANUARY Date 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 TMAX TMIN 2012 2012 22.0 9.2 24.0 9.9 24.6 9.6 24.0 10.4 24.5 10.0 23.5 11.7 22.8 11.6 22.7 9.9 22.6 9.8 22.8 9.5 24.2 10.6 23.0 10.7 24.4 10.5 24.0 11.0 24.3 9.2 23.0 10.0 24.5 10.5 24.5 9.4 24.2 10.9 24.5 10.9 23.9 10.3 23.5 11.0 23.5 10.5 23.8 10.2 24.2 11.2 24.2 10.4 24.0 10.6 24.6 11.5 24.2 10.2 25.2 10.5 d/c Av 2012 2012 12.8 15.6 14.1 17.0 15.0 17.1 13.6 17.2 14.5 17.3 11.8 17.6 11.2 17.2 12.8 16.3 12.8 16.2 13.3 16.2 13.6 17.4 12.3 16.9 13.9 17.5 13.0 17.5 15.1 16.8 13.0 16.5 14.0 17.5 15.1 17.0 13.3 17.6 13.6 17.7 13.6 17.1 12.5 17.3 13.0 17.0 13.6 17.0 13.0 17.7 13.8 17.3 13.4 17.3 13.1 18.1 14.0 17.2 14.7 17.9 H12 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 TMAX TMIN d/c Av 2013 2013 2013 2013 19.6 9.2 10.4 14.4 22.5 9.5 13.0 16.0 23.4 7.7 15.7 15.6 22.5 8.0 14.5 15.3 22.5 8.8 13.7 15.7 23.6 11.5 12.1 17.6 19.4 11.7 7.7 15.6 19.6 11.5 8.1 15.6 19.9 10.5 9.4 15.2 22.4 10.7 11.7 16.6 21.6 10.3 11.3 16.0 22.0 11.0 11.0 16.5 23.9 10.0 13.9 17.0 22.8 9.7 13.1 16.3 22.9 11.0 11.9 17.0 23.5 12.7 10.8 18.1 23.2 10.4 12.8 16.8 23.8 10.9 12.9 17.4 24.0 10.6 13.4 17.3 24.0 11.0 13.0 17.5 23.5 10.2 13.3 16.9 24.0 11.5 12.5 17.8 22.5 10.5 12.0 16.5 23.5 10.5 13.0 17.0 23.5 11.2 12.3 17.4 24.5 12.4 12.1 18.5 25.0 11.6 13.4 18.3 25.0 12.2 12.8 18.6 25.0 10.6 14.4 17.8 24.0 10.6 13.4 17.3 H13 4.4 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.7 4.0 4.4 4.8 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.9 48 February Date 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 TMAX 2010 25.9 25.5 25.8 25.7 25.4 19.5 25.0 22.0 20.0 17.2 17.0 24.0 23.0 25.0 26.0 26.0 20.1 24.5 21.7 25.2 25.6 24.0 25.0 24.2 24.1 19.0 22.6 19.5 TMIN 2010 10.0 9.0 10.7 10.0 11.0 11.0 9.0 11.0 10.0 10.3 8.6 9.2 8.5 9.2 8.2 8.5 9.0 7.2 7.5 10.6 12.0 11.2 10.0 12.2 9.5 11.0 9.8 9.0 D/c 2010 15.9 16.5 15.1 15.7 14.4 8.5 16.0 11.0 10.0 6.9 8.4 14.8 14.5 15.8 17.8 17.5 11.1 17.3 14.2 14.6 13.6 12.8 15.0 12.0 14.6 8.0 12.8 10.5 Av 2010 18.0 17.3 18.3 17.9 18.2 15.3 17.0 16.5 15.0 13.8 12.8 16.6 15.8 17.1 17.1 17.3 14.6 15.9 14.6 17.9 18.8 17.6 17.5 18.2 16.8 15.0 16.2 14.3 H10 6.0 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 3.0 5.5 3.9 3.3 1.5 1.6 5.4 4.9 5.9 6.3 6.1 2.0 5.1 3.6 6.2 6.5 5.7 6.5 5.6 6.2 2.6 4.5 2.5 TMAX 2011 24.8 24.9 25.2 25.2 24.9 25.2 26.0 24.9 25.3 25.4 25.0 25.4 24.2 24.5 25.6 24.6 24.5 25.4 24.7 25.0 25.5 25.0 25.5 25.6 26.0 26.8 25.5 25.4 TMIN 2011 1.5 1.7 2.6 4.1 4.5 3.9 3.1 3.8 2.5 2.0 2.9 3.0 4.0 4.2 3.8 3.9 4.9 4.1 5.0 4.0 3.5 5.8 4.4 4.2 3.6 3.8 3.5 3.6 d/c Av 2011 2011 23.3 13.2 23.2 13.3 22.6 13.9 21.1 14.7 20.4 14.7 21.3 14.6 22.9 14.6 21.1 14.4 22.8 13.9 23.4 13.7 22.1 14.0 22.4 14.2 20.2 14.1 20.3 14.4 21.8 14.7 20.7 14.3 19.6 14.7 21.3 14.8 19.7 14.9 21.0 14.5 22.0 14.5 19.2 15.4 21.1 15.0 21.4 14.9 22.4 14.8 23.0 15.3 22.0 14.5 21.8 14.5 H11 6.1 6.0 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.5 49 February Date TMAX TMIN d/c 2012 2012 2012 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 24.5 26.0 25.0 24.0 24.5 24.5 25.2 24.5 25.7 25.7 24.7 24.1 25.5 26.5 24.6 25.0 25.0 25.5 25.6 25.5 25.5 26.0 26.0 24.0 25.5 26.0 26.0 26.0 9.9 9.8 10.0 10.9 11.2 10.3 10.6 13.0 11.5 8.9 11.7 11.5 11.0 11.0 11.0 12.2 11.0 10.4 12.2 11.6 11.2 12.5 12.3 12.0 13.4 13.2 13.5 10.5 14.6 16.2 15.0 13.1 13.3 14.2 14.6 11.5 14.2 16.8 13.0 12.6 14.5 15.5 13.6 12.8 14.0 15.1 13.4 13.9 14.3 13.5 13.7 12.0 12.1 12.8 12.5 15.5 Av 2012 H12 17.2 17.9 17.5 17.5 17.9 17.4 17.9 18.8 18.6 17.3 18.2 17.8 18.3 18.8 17.8 18.6 18.0 18.0 18.9 18.6 18.4 19.3 19.2 18.0 19.5 19.6 19.8 18.3 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.0 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.6 TMAX TMIN 2013 2013 25.0 25.0 24.0 25.0 25.1 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.5 25.4 25.0 25.0 25.7 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.8 25.2 26.0 25.0 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 11.5 14.5 d/c 2013 14.4 14.4 13.4 14.4 14.5 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.9 14.8 14.4 14.4 15.1 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 14.4 15.2 14.6 14.5 10.5 Av 2013 H13 17.8 17.8 17.3 17.8 17.9 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 18.1 18.0 17.8 17.8 18.2 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 18.2 17.9 18.8 19.8 6.0 6.2 5.5 6.0 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.1 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.4 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.6 6.6 50 March Date TMAX TMIN D/c Av TMAX TMIN d/c Av 2010 2010 2010 2010 H10 2011 2011 2011 2011 H11 1 17.2 10.0 7.2 13.6 1.4 25.5 5.0 20.5 15.3 6.6 2 24.4 10.0 14.4 17.2 5.6 25.7 3.1 22.6 14.4 6.6 3 22.0 10.6 11.4 16.3 4.8 24.9 2.4 22.5 13.7 6.6 4 22.3 9.5 12.8 15.9 4.0 25.0 4.4 20.6 14.7 6.5 5 21.2 10.0 11.2 15.6 3.3 25.0 3.4 21.6 14.2 6.5 6 24.0 8.6 15.4 16.3 5.2 23.2 3.6 19.6 13.4 5.9 7 25.7 6.8 18.9 16.3 6.3 25.0 2.6 22.4 13.8 6.2 8 25.5 6.0 19.5 15.8 6.5 23.8 2.5 21.3 13.2 5.0 9 25.5 3.5 22.0 14.5 6.5 25.4 2.5 22.9 14.0 6.5 10 25.0 4.5 20.5 14.8 6.0 25.3 9.2 25.3 12.7 6.0 11 26.4 4.6 21.8 15.5 6.7 25.3 9.0 16.3 17.2 6.5 12 26.5 5.0 21.5 15.8 6.8 25.7 9.8 15.9 17.8 6.0 13 26.5 9.4 17.1 18.0 6.8 22.0 8.5 13.5 15.3 4.7 14 25.5 8.4 17.1 17.0 6.8 19.8 8.8 11.0 14.3 3.6 15 25.4 10.8 14.6 18.1 6.8 25.0 11.0 14.0 18.0 6.1 16 25.7 11.2 14.5 18.5 6.5 17.0 10.2 6.8 13.6 1.2 17 25.8 9.0 16.8 17.4 6.5 19.0 8.5 10.5 13.8 2.3 18 25.3 9.5 15.8 17.4 6.2 20.0 12.9 7.1 16.5 3.0 19 23.8 10.0 13.8 16.9 4.4 20.4 12.5 7.9 16.5 3.6 20 23.0 10.6 12.4 16.8 3.3 22.4 11.5 10.9 17.0 5.2 21 24.6 10.6 14.0 17.6 5.7 23.6 11.2 12.4 17.4 5.6 22 26.0 11.6 14.4 18.8 6.4 22.1 11.6 10.5 16.9 5.1 23 26.6 10.0 16.6 18.3 6.9 25.0 12.5 12.5 18.8 6.6 24 26.5 10.0 16.5 18.3 6.9 25.6 12.0 13.6 18.8 6.8 25 25.6 11.5 14.1 18.6 6.7 25.7 12.5 13.2 19.1 6.9 26 25.7 10.0 15.7 17.9 6.5 25.8 12.5 13.3 19.2 6.9 27 24.0 9.0 15.0 16.5 5.9 26.0 12.2 13.8 19.1 6.9 28 22.0 10.5 11.5 16.3 2.3 26.0 12.0 14.0 19.0 6.9 29 22.0 8.5 13.5 15.3 2.7 25.8 11.5 14.3 18.7 6.8 30 19.6 7.5 12.1 13.6 1.8 25.6 12.4 13.2 19.0 6.7 51 March Date 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 TMAX TMIN d/c Av TMAX TMIN d/c Av 2012 2012 2012 2012 H12 2013 2013 2013 2013 H13 26.0 10.0 16.0 18.0 6.6 26.0 13.8 12.2 19.9 6.6 26.0 13.0 13.0 19.5 6.6 27.0 12.8 14.2 19.9 6.6 25.4 10.6 14.8 18.0 6.4 27.0 13.3 13.7 20.2 6.1 25.2 10.8 14.4 18.0 6.2 24.0 13.5 10.5 18.8 6.5 24.0 10.2 13.8 17.1 5.9 24.0 14.0 10.0 19.0 6.6 25.5 10.0 15.5 17.8 6.4 23.6 14.5 9.1 19.1 6.6 25.8 11.8 14.0 18.8 6.6 22.5 11.4 11.1 17.0 6.7 26.2 11.4 14.8 18.8 6.7 23.0 11.2 11.8 17.1 6.4 25.0 12.0 13.0 18.5 6.7 23.3 12.3 11.0 17.8 5.7 26.0 12.5 13.5 19.3 6.6 24.2 11.3 12.9 17.8 5.9 25.7 11.3 14.4 18.5 6.7 24.0 11.7 12.3 17.9 6.2 26.5 12.0 14.5 19.3 6.7 25.8 11.3 14.5 18.6 5.0 26.0 12.4 13.6 19.2 6.7 25.0 12.2 12.8 18.6 5.5 26.6 14.0 12.6 20.3 6.8 25.0 12.0 13.0 18.5 5.9 26.0 13.6 12.4 19.8 6.8 25.5 12.6 12.9 19.1 6.8 26.0 13.5 12.5 19.8 6.8 25.5 12.1 13.4 18.8 6.8 26.0 11.1 14.9 18.6 6.8 25.5 12.0 13.5 18.8 6.7 25.8 10.2 15.6 18.0 6.8 24.0 12.2 11.8 18.1 6.2 25.9 10.4 15.5 18.2 6.8 24.4 12.3 12.1 18.4 6.5 24.8 11.0 13.8 17.9 6.8 25.5 13.5 12.0 19.5 6.8 24.7 9.2 15.5 17.0 6.7 25.5 12.2 13.3 18.9 6.8 25.0 12.2 12.8 18.6 6.7 25.5 12.4 13.1 19.0 6.8 25.4 13.5 11.9 19.5 6.6 20.5 11.9 8.6 16.2 4.3 23.9 13.5 10.4 18.7 5.8 21.0 11.6 9.4 16.3 5.4 25.5 10.5 15.0 18.0 6.1 25.4 12.0 13.4 18.7 6.9 25.0 11.0 14.0 18.0 5.0 25.3 12.0 13.3 18.7 6.8 25.0 10.4 14.6 17.7 6.6 25.1 12.5 12.6 18.8 6.9 25.0 10.5 14.5 17.8 6.9 25.6 12.4 13.2 19.0 6.9 24.8 11.2 13.6 18.0 6.3 25.7 11.0 14.7 18.4 6.9 25.0 11.4 13.6 18.2 6.1 25.5 11.1 14.4 18.3 6.9 21.0 11.2 9.8 16.1 5.3 26.2 12.5 13.7 19.4 6.9 52 April TMAX TMIN d/c Date TMAX TMIN D/c Av Av 2010 2010 2010 2010 H10 2011 2011 2011 2011 H11 1 25.8 7.5 18.3 16.7 4.7 25.8 13.2 12.6 19.5 6.9 2 22.5 8.0 14.5 15.3 3.6 25.7 12.3 13.4 19.0 6.9 3 23.7 9.5 14.2 16.6 4.9 24.5 11.4 13.1 18.0 6.9 4 25.5 8.5 17.0 17.0 6.7 25.0 10.7 14.3 17.9 6.9 5 26.5 8.0 18.5 17.3 6.5 24.2 10.8 13.4 17.5 6.7 6 26.5 10.0 16.5 18.3 6.4 26.5 13.8 12.7 20.2 6.3 7 26.0 8.8 17.2 17.4 6.7 26.5 12.9 13.6 19.7 6.6 8 26.0 11.5 14.5 18.8 6.9 24.8 13.1 11.7 19.0 5.9 9 24.0 10.8 13.2 17.4 6.9 25.2 12.6 12.6 18.9 6.0 10 26.3 10.0 16.3 18.2 7.0 26.0 12.5 13.5 19.3 7.0 11 26.1 10.4 15.7 18.3 6.9 26.0 13.3 12.7 19.7 7.0 12 24.8 11.0 13.8 17.9 6.8 25.7 12.5 13.2 19.1 6.9 13 23.0 8.6 14.4 15.8 4.2 17.5 12.4 5.1 15.0 1.3 14 24.5 9.5 15.0 17.0 4.7 25.5 12.3 13.2 18.9 6.0 15 23.2 9.6 13.6 16.4 5.8 25.7 12.9 12.8 19.3 6.9 16 22.0 10.5 11.5 16.3 2.0 22.2 11.2 11.0 16.7 5.8 17 25.5 9.0 16.5 17.3 5.6 25.0 11.6 13.4 18.3 6.3 18 25.5 10.6 14.9 18.1 6.5 25.0 11.2 13.8 18.1 6.4 19 24.5 11.5 13.0 18.0 4.3 25.8 9.8 16.0 17.8 7.0 20 25.0 11.2 13.8 18.1 6.3 23.0 11.0 12.0 17.0 5.4 21 24.0 10.5 13.5 17.3 6.2 25.7 13.0 12.7 19.4 7.0 22 23.0 11.5 11.5 17.3 5.1 23.7 11.7 12.0 17.7 4.6 23 24.5 12.4 12.1 18.5 5.4 25.0 13.4 11.6 19.2 4.7 24 25.7 12.8 12.9 19.3 4.7 26.0 14.0 12.0 20.0 7.0 25 24.2 12.2 12.0 18.2 4.2 26.0 12.8 13.2 19.4 7.0 26 27.0 9.0 18.0 18.0 6.6 25.8 11.8 14.0 18.8 7.0 27 25.7 9.5 16.2 17.6 3.9 26.0 13.0 13.0 19.5 7.0 28 24.0 8.8 15.2 16.4 4.9 26.0 11.5 14.5 18.8 6.8 29 24.3 10.2 14.1 17.3 5.7 25.3 12.1 13.2 18.7 6.6 30 23.0 10.5 12.5 16.8 2.7 24.0 11.8 12.2 17.9 5.6 53 April TMAX TMIN d/c Date TMAX TMIN d/c Av Av 2012 2012 2012 2012 H12 2013 2013 2013 2013 H13 1 19.0 11.6 7.4 15.3 5.0 26.4 13.0 13.4 19.7 6.9 2 20.0 11.2 8.8 15.6 5.6 25.5 14.0 11.5 19.8 6.9 3 25.0 11.4 13.6 18.2 6.7 26.0 11.9 14.1 19.0 7.0 4 25.0 12.5 12.5 18.8 6.9 26.0 12.5 13.5 19.3 7.0 5 25.2 13.5 11.7 19.4 6.9 26.0 12.6 13.4 19.3 7.0 6 26.0 13.5 12.5 19.8 7.0 26.0 13.0 13.0 19.5 7.0 7 24.0 13.0 11.0 18.5 5.9 26.0 12.5 13.5 19.3 6.9 8 24.5 14.2 10.3 19.4 6.7 25.7 12.5 13.2 19.1 6.9 9 25.0 12.8 12.2 18.9 6.9 25.5 11.5 14.0 18.5 6.8 10 26.0 11.6 14.4 18.8 7.0 26.0 12.0 14.0 19.0 7.0 11 25.5 13.2 12.3 19.4 7.0 25.5 13.8 11.7 19.7 7.0 12 25.5 12.0 13.5 18.8 6.3 26.0 12.5 13.5 19.3 7.0 13 25.6 13.8 11.8 19.7 6.7 26.3 14.4 11.9 20.4 6.9 14 26.1 12.2 13.9 19.2 6.8 25.0 14.0 11.0 19.5 6.6 15 26.4 14.3 12.1 20.4 6.3 24.5 13.2 11.3 18.9 6.2 16 25.7 11.5 14.2 18.6 6.9 25.5 11.2 14.3 18.4 6.4 17 25.8 11.7 14.1 18.8 6.8 26.5 12.0 14.5 19.3 7.0 18 26.0 11.0 15.0 18.5 7.0 25.6 13.8 11.8 19.7 7.0 19 25.5 10.9 14.6 18.2 7.0 24.5 12.1 12.4 18.3 5.9 20 25.5 9.3 16.2 17.4 7.0 24.0 10.8 13.2 17.4 6.7 21 25.0 13.0 12.0 19.0 7.0 26.0 12.0 14.0 19.0 6.4 22 24.0 11.5 12.5 17.8 6.9 26.0 14.0 12.0 20.0 6.7 23 19.0 10.5 8.5 14.8 4.9 26.0 12.5 13.5 19.3 6.9 24 24.0 11.6 12.4 17.8 6.3 26.0 10.9 15.1 18.5 7.0 25 24.0 13.4 10.6 18.7 6.9 26.0 14.2 11.8 20.1 6.8 26 25.8 13.2 12.6 19.5 7.0 26.0 13.4 12.6 19.7 5.0 27 25.0 14.4 10.6 19.7 6.9 26.0 12.5 13.5 19.3 7.0 28 25.7 14.8 10.9 20.3 6.7 24.6 14.0 10.6 19.3 6.6 29 26.0 12.5 13.5 19.3 6.4 25.5 12.0 13.5 18.8 7.0 30 25.2 12.6 12.6 18.9 6.8 24.5 12.5 12.0 18.5 6.3 54 May TMAX TMIN d/c Date TMAX TMIN D/c Av Av 2010 2010 2010 2010 H10 2011 2011 2011 2011 H11 1 25.3 9.4 15.9 17.4 6.4 24.7 12.9 11.8 18.8 6.6 2 25.3 9.0 16.3 17.2 6.5 25.1 14.0 11.1 19.6 5.9 3 26.4 11.8 14.6 19.1 6.9 25.2 13.6 11.6 19.4 6.5 4 25.0 11.0 14.0 18.0 6.1 25.7 12.9 12.8 19.3 6.9 5 21.6 7.5 14.1 14.6 4.0 25.5 12.7 12.8 19.1 6.9 6 25.4 8.0 17.4 16.7 6.3 25.8 13.2 12.6 19.5 6.7 7 25.3 9.5 15.8 17.4 6.3 25.8 12.0 13.8 18.9 6.5 8 21.0 10.8 10.2 15.9 4.0 25.9 13.6 12.3 19.8 6.8 9 22.0 10.0 12.0 16.0 4.4 25.0 13.2 11.8 19.1 6.0 10 21.0 11.0 10.0 16.0 3.1 25.4 12.2 13.2 18.8 6.4 11 24.0 7.5 16.5 15.8 5.1 25.4 13.0 12.4 19.2 5.9 12 22.0 11.0 11.0 16.5 3.9 24.0 12.0 12.0 18.0 6.7 13 24.8 10.5 14.3 17.7 5.7 25.8 10.0 15.8 17.9 6.9 14 21.0 11.4 9.6 16.2 3.3 25.7 11.0 14.7 18.4 6.9 15 21.2 12.5 8.7 16.9 3.4 25.0 11.0 14.0 18.0 6.8 16 26.0 11.0 15.0 18.5 6.3 25.4 10.9 14.5 18.2 6.9 17 23.7 9.0 14.7 16.4 4.6 25.7 11.0 14.7 18.4 6.3 18 25.2 9.5 15.7 17.4 5.8 25.7 12.5 13.2 19.1 6.3 19 25.0 10.5 14.5 17.8 6.9 20.0 10.4 9.6 15.2 4.5 20 24.0 9.2 14.8 16.6 5.4 26.0 10.4 15.6 18.2 6.0 21 25.8 10.6 15.2 18.2 6.0 25.8 11.0 14.8 18.4 6.6 22 26.0 9.5 16.5 17.8 6.8 26.0 11.0 15.0 18.5 6.9 23 26.5 9.0 17.5 17.8 6.5 20.6 11.5 9.1 16.1 3.9 24 24.5 9.6 14.9 17.1 5.2 20.5 10.5 10.0 15.5 4.9 25 23.0 8.7 14.3 15.9 4.5 20.2 10.0 10.2 15.1 4.8 26 23.0 10.5 12.5 16.8 4.4 20.5 11.5 9.0 16.0 4.4 27 24.5 10.0 14.5 17.3 5.3 15.5 21.8 -6.3 18.7 4.3 28 25.7 10.0 15.7 17.9 6.6 25.0 11.4 13.6 18.2 6.2 29 25.8 8.0 17.8 16.9 6.8 25.1 11.2 13.9 18.2 5.9 30 24.8 6.5 18.3 15.7 5.6 21.0 10.6 10.4 15.8 4.0 31 23.5 11.0 12.5 17.3 4.6 21.0 12.2 8.8 16.6 5.5 55 May TMAX TMIN d/c Date TMAX TMIN d/c Av Av 2012 2012 2012 2012 H12 2013 2013 2013 2013 H13 1 24.9 12.4 12.5 18.7 6.1 25.0 10.0 15.0 17.5 6.8 2 24.8 12.4 12.4 18.6 6.7 25.5 11.8 13.7 18.7 7.0 3 25.2 11.0 14.2 18.1 6.9 24.5 11.4 13.1 18.0 6.8 4 25.0 11.0 14.0 18.0 7.0 21.0 11.4 9.6 16.2 5.2 5 24.0 11.3 12.7 17.7 6.9 22.0 12.5 9.5 17.3 5.3 6 24.8 12.2 12.6 18.5 6.9 21.0 14.0 7.0 17.5 5.0 7 24.0 11.6 12.4 17.8 6.3 23.0 13.9 9.1 18.5 6.0 8 24.2 10.0 14.2 17.1 6.6 23.5 12.2 11.3 17.9 6.4 9 17.0 13.5 3.5 15.3 2.2 25.0 11.8 13.2 18.4 6.9 10 20.0 12.5 7.5 16.3 5.0 23.2 12.1 11.1 17.7 6.0 11 17.0 12.7 4.3 14.9 1.3 22.0 11.6 10.4 16.8 5.3 12 23.7 13.0 10.7 18.4 6.7 25.0 10.9 14.1 18.0 6.8 13 25.5 11.7 13.8 18.6 6.5 23.0 10.9 12.1 17.0 6.1 14 25.0 13.6 11.4 19.3 6.9 24.0 12.0 12.0 18.0 6.8 15 20.0 13.2 6.8 16.6 5.3 23.0 12.5 10.5 17.8 6.1 16 25.6 12.2 13.4 18.9 6.9 24.0 13.0 11.0 18.5 6.5 17 23.5 13.3 10.2 18.4 5.8 25.0 11.0 14.0 18.0 6.9 18 26.0 14.6 11.4 20.3 6.8 25.0 11.0 14.0 18.0 6.9 19 20.0 12.8 7.2 16.4 4.8 24.5 11.0 13.5 17.8 6.8 20 25.9 12.5 13.4 19.2 6.8 24.0 11.7 12.3 17.9 6.8 21 25.0 13.4 11.6 19.2 6.7 25.0 11.8 13.2 18.4 6.9 22 25.0 12.2 12.8 18.6 6.5 24.3 11.5 12.8 17.9 6.7 23 26.2 11.5 14.7 18.9 6.9 24.5 10.4 14.1 17.5 6.9 24 25.0 11.2 13.8 18.1 6.8 23.0 11.0 12.0 17.0 6.7 25 25.0 11.8 13.2 18.4 6.9 23.4 11.0 12.4 17.2 6.6 26 25.5 12.0 13.5 18.8 6.5 21.5 12.1 9.4 16.8 5.3 27 20.0 10.0 10.0 15.0 5.4 19.0 12.9 6.1 16.0 4.1 28 26.0 9.2 16.8 17.6 6.6 24.0 11.6 12.4 17.8 6.8 29 25.0 9.7 15.3 17.4 6.7 25.0 10.0 15.0 17.5 6.8 30 25.8 11.5 14.3 18.7 6.8 24.5 9.5 15.0 17.0 6.8 31 25.7 10.3 15.4 18.0 6.8 23.4 10.0 13.4 16.7 6.8 \ 56 October TMAX TMIN d/c Date TMAX TMIN D/c Av Av 2010 2010 2010 2010 H10 2011 2011 2011 2011 H11 1 24.5 11.0 13.5 17.8 5.6 25.8 11.3 14.5 18.6 6.3 2 24.5 9.5 15.0 17.0 5.5 25.7 13.0 12.7 19.4 6.7 3 25.3 6.0 19.3 15.7 6.6 25.0 10.0 15.0 17.5 6.6 4 25.2 6.0 19.2 15.6 6.5 25.4 11.5 13.9 18.5 6.6 5 24.5 10.0 14.5 17.3 5.5 25.3 10.0 15.3 17.7 6.7 6 24.5 9.0 15.5 16.8 4.5 25.4 9.7 15.7 17.6 6.2 7 25.8 12.5 13.3 19.2 6.6 25.4 10.0 15.4 17.7 6.3 8 25.7 9.8 15.9 17.8 6.6 24.9 10.8 14.1 17.9 6.2 9 25.8 12.0 13.8 18.9 6.6 23.9 10.0 13.9 17.0 6.5 10 25.7 10.6 15.1 18.2 6.6 25.7 11.3 14.4 18.5 6.6 11 25.7 13.4 12.3 19.6 6.6 25.3 9.4 15.9 17.4 6.3 12 25.6 11.0 14.6 18.3 6.6 25.3 10.4 14.9 17.9 6.4 13 24.2 8.2 16.0 16.2 5.2 25.6 9.5 16.1 17.6 6.5 14 25.0 5.8 19.2 15.4 4.7 25.7 10.0 15.7 17.9 6.5 15 25.3 7.0 18.3 16.2 6.0 25.6 10.5 15.1 18.1 6.5 16 24.2 9.5 14.7 16.9 5.4 25.0 9.0 16.0 17.0 6.5 17 25.0 11.4 13.6 18.2 6.3 21.5 10.0 11.5 15.8 6.5 18 25.4 11.0 14.4 18.2 6.5 22.6 10.2 12.4 16.4 6.5 19 25.4 11.5 13.9 18.5 6.4 25.0 9.6 15.4 17.3 6.5 20 25.3 8.0 17.3 16.7 6.4 25.3 9.2 16.1 17.3 6.4 21 25.2 12.0 13.2 18.6 6.3 25.7 9.5 16.2 17.6 6.4 22 25.0 7.8 17.2 16.4 6.4 25.8 8.5 17.3 17.2 6.4 23 22.2 7.6 14.6 14.9 4.4 25.4 9.8 15.6 17.6 6.4 24 22.6 9.8 12.8 16.2 4.9 25.3 11.0 14.3 18.2 6.4 25 23.7 5.8 17.9 14.8 5.1 25.4 9.8 15.6 17.6 6.4 26 24.6 9.0 15.6 16.8 6.3 25.1 9.4 15.7 17.3 6.3 27 24.7 9.0 15.7 16.9 6.3 25.8 9.6 16.2 17.7 6.3 28 24.5 8.5 16.0 16.5 6.2 25.5 10.5 15.0 18.0 6.3 29 23.8 5.0 18.8 14.4 5.6 25.1 10.2 14.9 17.7 6.2 30 23.6 4.0 19.6 13.8 5.5 25.4 11.0 14.4 18.2 6.3 31 24.7 9.0 15.7 16.9 6.0 25.2 10.8 14.4 18.0 6.2 57 October TMAX TMIN d/c Date TMAX TMIN d/c Av Av 2012 2012 2012 2012 H12 2013 2013 2013 2013 H13 1 25.0 10.6 14.4 17.8 6.7 23.8 10.9 12.9 17.4 6.8 2 24.9 10.6 14.3 17.8 6.7 17.7 9.8 7.9 13.8 1.3 3 20.0 10.4 9.6 15.2 5.0 24.0 10.0 14.0 17.0 6.0 4 25.7 10.5 15.2 18.1 6.7 20.0 9.7 10.3 14.9 6.3 5 25.4 10.2 15.2 17.8 6.7 19.3 10.0 9.3 14.7 4.8 6 24.9 10.2 14.7 17.6 6.6 18.0 11.0 7.0 14.5 3.3 7 24.8 11.0 13.8 17.9 6.6 16.0 12.3 3.7 14.2 1.6 8 24.7 9.3 15.4 17.0 6.6 18.8 12.4 6.4 15.6 2.6 9 24.7 9.4 15.3 17.1 6.5 20.2 10.8 9.4 15.5 5.3 10 24.8 9.0 15.8 16.9 6.6 20.5 10.5 10.0 15.5 4.9 11 24.8 9.0 15.8 16.9 6.6 19.0 9.8 9.2 14.4 5.1 12 25.0 9.2 15.8 17.1 6.5 20.6 12.3 8.3 16.5 5.9 13 24.1 8.0 16.1 16.1 6.6 22.0 11.3 10.7 16.7 6.4 14 24.7 8.9 15.8 16.8 6.6 19.5 10.3 9.2 14.9 5.5 15 25.0 9.4 15.6 17.2 6.5 22.5 10.5 12.0 16.5 6.4 16 24.5 9.0 15.5 16.8 6.5 23.5 11.3 12.2 17.4 6.3 17 24.5 10.6 13.9 17.6 6.5 24.8 10.5 14.3 17.7 6.5 18 24.0 10.2 13.8 17.1 6.5 24.7 11.0 13.7 17.9 6.5 19 24.0 9.9 14.1 17.0 6.5 20.0 9.7 10.3 14.9 6.5 20 24.6 9.5 15.1 17.1 6.5 24.0 11.0 13.0 17.5 6.4 21 24.3 9.5 14.8 16.9 6.4 24.5 11.0 13.5 17.8 6.3 22 24.5 9.3 15.2 16.9 6.4 24.6 10.7 13.9 17.7 6.4 23 24.3 10.6 13.7 17.5 6.4 23.8 9.3 14.5 16.6 6.4 24 24.5 10.9 13.6 17.7 6.4 23.7 9.3 14.4 16.5 6.2 25 24.5 10.9 13.6 17.7 6.4 23.6 8.6 15.0 16.1 6.3 26 24.0 9.5 14.5 16.8 6.4 23.8 9.0 14.8 16.4 6.3 27 24.5 8.3 16.2 16.4 6.4 24.4 8.9 15.5 16.7 6.3 28 23.8 8.0 15.8 15.9 6.3 22.0 9.5 12.5 15.8 6.3 29 23.7 10.6 13.1 17.2 6.3 22.0 10.1 11.9 16.1 6.3 30 24.0 10.8 13.2 17.4 6.1 23.0 9.9 13.1 16.5 6.3 31 18.0 11.2 6.8 14.6 4.5 22.5 10.5 12.0 16.5 6.2 58 November TMAX Date TMAX TMIN D/c Av TMIN d/c Av 2010 2010 2010 2010 H10 2011 2011 2011 2011 H11 1 24.5 9.4 15.1 17.0 6.2 25.0 10.4 14.6 17.7 6.1 2 24.6 8.0 16.6 16.3 6.2 20.8 10.2 10.6 15.5 4.9 3 24.6 5.5 19.1 15.1 6.2 21.7 10.0 11.7 15.9 5.7 4 24.5 7.0 17.5 15.8 6.2 18.0 10.0 8.0 14.0 4.2 5 24.6 9.5 15.1 17.1 6.2 19.5 10.5 9.0 15.0 5.3 6 24.7 6.0 18.7 15.4 6.2 19.5 11.0 8.5 15.3 5.3 7 24.8 4.5 20.3 14.7 6.1 19.0 11.0 8.0 15.0 5.0 8 24.5 4.5 20.0 14.5 6.0 25.0 10.2 14.8 17.6 6.0 9 24.0 6.0 18.0 15.0 6.1 21.0 10.4 10.6 15.7 5.3 10 23.4 7.0 16.4 15.2 4.8 21.0 10.0 11.0 15.5 5.4 11 24.0 5.4 18.6 14.7 5.5 22.0 9.9 12.1 16.0 5.1 12 24.1 6.0 18.1 15.1 5.8 18.0 9.7 8.3 13.9 3.0 13 23.5 7.6 15.9 15.6 5.5 25.0 9.4 15.6 17.2 6.1 14 23.6 6.0 17.6 14.8 4.8 25.4 10.0 15.4 17.7 6.0 15 23.5 3.0 20.5 13.3 4.9 25.3 9.8 15.5 17.6 6.0 16 25.9 3.5 22.4 14.7 6.0 25.4 10.2 15.2 17.8 6.0 17 24.6 3.5 21.1 14.1 5.8 25.3 9.9 15.4 17.6 6.0 18 25.0 10.5 14.5 17.8 6.0 25.6 9.5 16.1 17.6 6.0 19 25.0 6.0 19.0 15.5 6.0 25.6 9.7 15.9 17.7 6.0 20 24.0 8.0 16.0 16.0 5.9 24.9 10.8 14.1 17.9 6.0 21 25.0 7.6 17.4 16.3 6.0 25.4 10.6 14.8 18.0 6.0 22 24.1 9.5 14.6 16.8 5.9 24.0 9.0 15.0 16.5 5.9 23 23.4 5.5 17.9 14.5 5.6 24.0 9.2 14.8 16.6 5.9 24 23.3 3.0 20.3 13.2 5.4 23.8 9.7 14.1 16.8 5.8 25 20.0 2.4 17.6 11.2 3.2 23.4 8.8 14.6 16.1 5.5 26 16.0 6.0 10.0 11.0 2.7 17.0 9.8 7.2 13.4 4.8 27 22.0 2.5 19.5 12.3 4.0 23.4 9.4 14.0 16.4 5.8 28 24.7 3.5 21.2 14.1 5.9 23.5 9.0 14.5 16.3 5.9 29 24.7 3.0 21.7 13.9 5.9 23.4 9.0 14.4 16.2 5.8 30 24.4 6.0 18.4 15.2 5.8 24.0 9.4 14.6 16.7 5.9 59 November TMAX TMIN d/c Date TMAX TMIN d/c Av Av 2012 2012 2012 2012 H12 2013 2013 2013 2013 H13 1 21.0 9.8 11.2 15.4 5.6 22.0 11.5 10.5 16.8 6.2 2 20.0 9.3 10.7 14.7 5.1 23.2 10.0 13.2 16.6 6.2 3 23.8 9.6 14.2 16.7 6.2 23.7 11.9 11.8 17.8 6.1 4 23.7 9.3 14.4 16.5 6.2 23.8 10.7 13.1 17.3 6.1 5 23.5 9.4 14.1 16.5 6.1 21.8 11.3 10.5 16.6 5.8 6 23.8 9.0 14.8 16.4 6.2 21.3 12.0 9.3 16.7 5.8 7 18.0 10.4 7.6 14.2 4.5 24.3 10.5 13.8 17.4 6.1 8 21.0 10.3 10.7 15.7 5.5 24.0 10.3 13.7 17.2 6.1 9 23.4 10.9 12.5 17.2 6.1 24.0 11.3 12.7 17.7 6.1 10 23.7 10.5 13.2 17.1 6.1 21.0 12.0 9.0 16.5 5.2 11 23.0 10.0 13.0 16.5 6.0 19.8 10.5 9.3 15.2 6.1 12 23.4 10.5 12.9 17.0 6.1 24.0 10.9 13.1 17.5 5.9 13 23.5 11.0 12.5 17.3 6.1 20.4 10.3 10.1 15.4 5.9 14 23.4 10.5 12.9 17.0 6.1 18.0 10.0 8.0 14.0 3.8 15 23.0 10.2 12.8 16.6 6.0 19.0 11.2 7.8 15.1 4.6 16 22.4 10.2 12.2 16.3 6.0 21.0 9.5 11.5 15.3 5.6 17 21.5 10.0 11.5 15.8 5.8 21.4 8.9 12.5 15.2 5.0 18 23.0 9.9 13.1 16.5 6.0 20.0 9.2 10.8 14.6 4.9 19 23.0 10.4 12.6 16.7 6.0 21.8 9.5 12.3 15.7 5.9 20 23.2 10.2 13.0 16.7 6.0 21.5 9.8 11.7 15.7 5.5 21 23.1 10.6 12.5 16.9 6.0 22.0 10.3 11.7 16.2 5.9 22 23.4 10.2 13.2 16.8 6.0 22.0 8.8 13.2 15.4 5.9 23 21.3 9.8 11.5 15.6 5.9 21.0 9.0 12.0 15.0 5.9 24 21.0 9.9 11.1 15.5 5.9 21.5 10.0 11.5 15.8 5.9 25 22.0 10.5 11.5 16.3 5.9 20.8 9.9 10.9 15.4 5.8 26 21.7 10.1 11.6 15.9 5.9 21.0 9.5 11.5 15.3 5.9 27 23.0 9.1 13.9 16.1 5.9 20.7 8.5 12.2 14.6 5.5 28 22.9 9.6 13.3 16.3 5.9 23.0 8.3 14.7 15.7 5.9 29 22.0 9.8 12.2 15.9 5.8 23.4 7.9 15.5 15.7 5.9 30 21.8 9.2 21.8 10.9 5.3 22.0 8.7 13.3 15.4 5.9 60 December TMAX TMIN Date TMAX TMIN D/c Av d/c Av 2010 2010 2010 2010 H10 2011 2011 2011 2011 H11 1 24.5 4.5 20.0 14.5 5.8 23.0 8.8 14.2 15.9 5.8 2 24.7 4.4 20.3 14.6 5.8 23.1 10.3 12.8 16.7 5.8 3 24.7 6.6 18.1 15.7 5.8 23.0 9.5 13.5 16.3 5.8 4 24.7 7.0 17.7 15.9 5.8 23.8 9.4 14.4 16.6 5.8 5 24.8 4.8 20.0 14.8 5.8 23.0 8.0 15.0 15.5 5.8 6 24.7 5.0 19.7 14.9 5.8 23.4 9.6 13.8 16.5 5.8 7 24.5 5.5 19.0 15.0 5.8 23.6 8.9 14.7 16.3 5.8 8 24.8 7.5 17.3 16.2 5.7 23.4 10.0 13.4 16.7 5.8 9 24.8 6.0 18.8 15.4 5.8 23.4 9.5 13.9 16.5 5.8 10 24.6 6.0 18.6 15.3 5.8 23.7 8.5 15.2 16.1 5.8 11 24.4 7.5 16.9 16.0 5.8 23.8 10.3 13.5 17.1 5.8 12 22.7 7.5 15.2 15.1 4.7 23.4 10.5 12.9 17.0 5.8 13 20.4 7.2 13.2 13.8 3.2 23.8 9.6 14.2 16.7 5.8 14 23.8 3.0 20.8 13.4 5.1 23.6 9.5 14.1 16.6 5.8 15 24.0 1.0 23.0 12.5 5.7 23.4 10.5 12.9 17.0 5.8 16 24.6 5.4 19.2 15.0 5.8 23.1 9.0 14.1 16.1 5.8 17 24.5 6.0 18.5 15.3 5.8 23.4 9.5 13.9 16.5 5.8 18 24.6 5.0 19.6 14.8 5.8 23.5 10.0 13.5 16.8 5.7 19 24.6 2.0 22.6 13.3 5.8 23.6 10.7 12.9 17.2 5.8 20 24.8 7.2 17.6 16.0 5.8 23.0 11.0 12.0 17.0 5.7 21 24.8 5.5 19.3 15.2 5.8 23.0 10.6 12.4 16.8 5.7 22 24.6 8.6 16.0 16.6 5.8 23.0 10.0 13.0 16.5 5.7 23 24.6 7.2 17.4 15.9 5.7 23.1 9.6 13.5 16.4 5.8 24 24.6 6.5 18.1 15.6 5.7 23.1 8.5 14.6 15.8 5.8 25 24.5 9.5 15.0 17.0 5.7 23.4 8.9 14.5 16.2 5.8 26 24.5 9.8 14.7 17.2 5.7 23.3 11.5 11.8 17.4 5.8 27 24.6 9.0 15.6 16.8 5.8 23.2 8.0 15.2 15.6 5.8 28 24.2 8.0 16.2 16.1 5.2 23.6 7.5 16.1 15.6 5.8 29 19.0 7.0 12.0 13.0 2.7 23.1 7.0 16.1 15.1 5.8 30 24.2 8.0 16.2 16.1 5.3 23.4 8.0 15.4 15.7 5.8 31 16.5 7.0 9.5 11.8 1.9 23.2 10.0 13.2 16.6 5.8 61 December TMAX TMIN d/c Date TMAX TMIN d/c Av Av 2012 2012 2012 2012 H12 2013 2013 2013 2013 H13 1 22.0 9.5 12.5 15.8 5.8 22.2 9.2 13.0 15.7 5.7 2 21.4 9.2 12.2 15.3 5.8 23.0 8.0 15.0 15.5 5.8 3 21.5 8.9 12.6 15.2 5.8 22.8 7.8 15.0 15.3 5.8 4 21.0 8.8 12.2 14.9 5.8 23.0 9.3 13.7 16.2 5.8 5 21.0 8.9 12.1 15.0 5.8 23.5 7.6 15.9 15.6 5.8 6 22.5 9.1 13.4 15.8 5.8 22.8 5.7 17.1 14.3 5.8 7 21.5 8.7 12.8 15.1 5.6 22.5 5.0 17.5 13.8 5.8 8 22.0 8.8 13.2 15.4 5.8 22.0 5.0 17.0 13.5 5.8 9 21.0 8.8 12.2 14.9 5.7 22.5 5.9 16.6 14.2 5.8 10 22.0 8.6 13.4 15.3 5.8 22.0 3.8 18.2 12.9 5.8 11 22.5 8.4 14.1 15.5 5.8 23.0 8.5 14.5 15.8 5.7 12 22.6 7.9 14.7 15.3 5.8 22.8 6.5 16.3 14.7 5.8 13 22.6 7.7 14.9 15.2 5.8 23.0 6.8 16.2 14.9 5.7 14 22.7 7.6 15.1 15.2 5.8 24.0 6.0 18.0 15.0 5.8 15 22.5 8.1 14.4 15.3 5.8 23.5 7.5 16.0 15.5 5.8 16 21.1 8.3 12.8 14.7 5.7 22.0 6.9 15.1 14.5 5.4 17 21.0 8.5 12.5 14.8 5.7 22.0 6.5 15.5 14.3 5.4 18 22.5 8.5 14.0 15.5 5.8 23.4 7.0 16.4 15.2 5.8 19 21.0 8.4 12.6 14.7 5.6 22.5 7.0 15.5 14.8 5.8 20 20.9 8.6 12.3 14.8 5.6 23.8 6.9 16.9 15.4 5.8 21 22.5 8.4 14.1 15.5 5.8 22.0 7.5 14.5 14.8 5.7 22 23.0 8.1 14.9 15.6 5.8 22.1 6.3 15.8 14.2 5.7 23 22.4 7.8 14.6 15.1 5.8 23.3 7.1 16.2 15.2 5.7 24 22.0 7.9 14.1 15.0 5.7 23.8 7.4 16.4 15.6 5.8 25 22.0 7.7 14.3 14.9 5.7 23.5 7.2 16.3 15.4 5.8 26 22.1 7.9 14.2 15.0 5.7 24.0 7.8 16.2 15.9 5.8 27 22.0 8.5 13.5 15.3 5.7 24.2 7.2 17.0 15.7 5.8 28 22.8 8.7 14.1 15.8 5.8 23.5 7.0 16.5 15.3 5.7 29 22.5 8.0 14.5 15.3 5.7 24.5 8.0 16.5 16.3 5.8 30 22.0 8.5 13.5 15.3 5.7 23.8 8.1 15.7 16.0 5.4 31 21.5 8.2 13.3 14.9 5.6 24.3 7.8 16.5 16.1 5.7 62 Appendix. Table 2: Air temperature in ( o c) and daily solar radiation H (KWh/m 2 ) of wet season of the four years June TMAX TMIN d/ce Date TMAX TMIN d/ce Av Av 2010 2010 2010 2010 H10 2011 2011 2011 2011 H11 1 25.8 7.5 18.3 16.7 6.8 19.6 10.5 9.1 15.1 5.0 2 24.5 8.0 16.5 16.3 6.5 22.0 11.0 11.0 16.5 6.7 3 23.6 7.5 16.1 15.6 5.4 22.5 11.6 10.9 17.1 6.8 4 23.0 9.5 13.5 16.3 5.9 22.2 12.5 9.7 17.4 6.6 5 23.5 9.0 14.5 16.3 6.0 23.0 11.4 11.6 17.2 6.3 6 24.5 8.0 16.5 16.3 6.2 23.0 11.8 11.2 17.4 6.8 7 24.3 8.8 15.5 16.6 6.6 22.5 11.4 11.1 17.0 6.7 8 24.2 8.0 16.2 16.1 6.1 22.5 11.6 10.9 17.1 4.7 9 24.5 8.5 16.0 16.5 5.5 20.5 12.6 7.9 16.6 4.1 10 25.0 8.5 16.5 16.8 6.7 23.2 17.6 5.6 20.4 6.1 11 23.0 10.2 12.8 16.6 5.9 20.4 10.6 9.8 15.5 4.7 12 24.0 9.5 14.5 16.8 5.5 21.2 11.5 9.7 16.4 5.4 13 23.8 8.5 15.3 16.2 6.4 19.0 10.6 8.4 14.8 1.5 14 23.5 10.0 13.5 16.8 6.7 19.2 10.0 9.2 14.6 4.5 15 25.5 7.8 17.7 16.7 6.8 21.0 10.8 10.2 15.9 5.3 16 25.0 10.5 14.5 17.8 5.4 21.8 12.2 9.6 17.0 6.7 17 24.0 10.6 13.4 17.3 5.8 22.0 12.6 9.4 17.3 6.7 18 23.7 8.0 15.7 15.9 6.7 21.8 11.6 10.2 16.7 6.5 19 23.5 10.0 13.5 16.8 6.6 20.8 11.5 9.3 16.2 2.6 20 23.5 11.0 12.5 17.3 6.7 19.4 11.8 7.6 15.6 1.9 21 23.0 10.5 12.5 16.8 5.8 20.6 10.3 10.3 15.5 4.4 22 24.5 9.5 15.0 17.0 6.7 20.8 10.7 10.1 15.8 6.2 23 20.2 9.2 11.0 14.7 2.8 22.5 11.0 11.5 16.8 5.0 24 22.0 9.8 12.2 15.9 4.0 20.0 10.2 9.8 15.1 2.9 25 20.0 10.5 9.5 15.3 2.6 20.4 11.0 9.4 15.7 6.3 26 22.5 8.0 14.5 15.3 5.3 21.4 9.4 12.0 15.4 6.3 27 20.5 8.5 12.0 14.5 2.5 20.3 10.5 9.8 15.4 3.2 28 20.0 8.0 12.0 14.0 2.2 19.5 11.2 8.3 15.4 2.1 29 21.5 8.2 13.3 14.9 6.5 19.4 9.8 9.6 14.6 5.4 30 20.2 10.5 9.7 15.4 3.3 18.0 10.6 7.4 14.3 1.3 63 June TMAX TMIN d/ce Av Date TMAX TMIN d/ce Av 26 2012 2012 2012 H12 2013 2013 2013 2013 H13 1 24.8 12.0 12.8 18.4 6.8 25.9 15.0 10.9 18.4 6.4 2 23.2 12.2 11.0 17.7 6.0 24.5 14.3 10.2 17.4 6.8 3 22.5 11.4 11.1 17.0 5.3 22.1 13.0 9.1 15.6 6.8 4 23.5 10.7 12.8 17.1 5.4 24.5 12.3 12.2 18.4 6.8 5 22.5 10.7 11.8 16.6 6.8 23.4 11.5 11.9 17.7 6.1 6 21.0 11.2 9.8 16.1 5.6 24.5 12.3 12.2 18.4 5.8 7 23.0 11.3 11.7 17.2 4.3 25.0 13.0 12.0 18.5 6.1 8 23.2 11.0 12.2 17.1 5.4 25.5 12.8 12.7 19.1 6.7 9 22.2 10.5 11.7 16.4 6.5 24.2 13.3 10.9 17.6 6.2 10 21.0 12.8 8.2 16.9 5.6 24.6 12.7 11.9 18.3 5.8 11 23.2 10.3 12.9 16.8 5.6 24.7 12.0 12.7 18.7 6.0 12 23.0 10.4 12.6 16.7 6.7 23.2 12.3 10.9 17.1 4.5 13 23.0 11.3 11.7 17.2 6.4 23.0 13.3 9.7 16.4 4.8 14 22.2 12.4 9.8 17.3 6.6 24.5 12.3 12.2 18.4 6.5 15 22.2 11.5 10.7 16.9 6.4 21.8 11.5 10.3 16.1 4.8 16 21.4 10.8 10.6 16.1 5.2 22.2 12.3 9.9 16.1 6.7 17 21.9 11.5 10.4 16.7 4.5 21.0 10.9 10.1 15.6 6.6 18 21.0 11.5 9.5 16.3 6.0 21.2 11.5 9.7 15.5 6.4 19 18.0 10.8 7.2 14.4 4.5 22.5 10.0 12.5 17.5 2.8 20 18.2 10.5 7.7 14.4 2.6 22.6 10.7 11.9 17.3 5.2 21 18.0 10.5 7.5 14.3 3.9 23.7 12.6 11.1 17.4 6.0 22 18.4 9.5 8.9 14.0 4.4 24.1 12.9 11.2 17.7 6.3 23 20.0 8.4 11.6 14.2 5.1 23.4 13.4 10.0 16.7 4.2 24 20.5 7.5 13.0 14.0 5.8 21.5 12.5 9.0 15.3 3.5 25 17.0 9.6 7.4 13.3 6.1 21.5 11.7 9.8 15.7 2.6 26 18.4 7.5 10.9 13.0 2.2 21.4 10.4 11.0 16.2 5.0 27 18.4 9.8 8.6 14.1 3.8 21.1 11.5 9.6 15.4 5.9 28 18.5 9.9 8.6 14.2 5.1 19.9 8.8 11.1 15.5 6.6 29 17.0 10.0 7.0 13.5 4.2 17.5 10.0 7.5 12.5 6.1 30 18.0 9.0 9.0 13.5 2.2 17.5 10.6 6.9 12.2 5.4 64 July TMAX TMIN d/ce Av Date TMAX TMIN d/ce Av 2010 2010 2010 2010 H10 2011 2011 2011 2011 H11 1 22.0 10.5 11.5 16.3 3.7 19.8 10.8 9.0 15.3 4.5 2 23.8 11.0 12.8 17.4 5.2 20.5 11.6 8.9 16.1 4.3 3 22.5 8.5 14.0 15.5 6.1 20.1 11.4 8.7 15.8 6.2 4 24.0 8.2 15.8 16.1 6.2 20.4 10.0 10.4 15.2 5.8 5 22.0 9.0 13.0 15.5 6.6 18.6 11.5 7.1 15.1 3.9 6 21.0 9.5 11.5 15.3 4.9 20.0 10.4 9.6 15.2 5.2 7 23.0 10.0 13.0 16.5 6.4 17.8 10.2 7.6 14.0 3.1 8 21.0 10.5 10.5 15.8 5.1 21.0 10.2 10.8 15.6 6.0 9 21.0 10.5 10.5 15.8 4.5 20.8 11.5 9.3 16.2 5.2 10 25.5 9.6 15.9 17.6 5.1 21.6 10.6 11.0 16.1 6.4 11 23.0 9.0 14.0 16.0 5.9 20.7 9.7 11.0 15.2 5.6 12 21.0 10.2 10.8 15.6 2.8 19.0 11.5 7.5 15.3 2.4 13 24.5 10.6 13.9 17.6 6.5 14.5 10.4 4.1 12.5 3.1 14 22.5 11.0 11.5 16.8 3.7 15.0 10.5 4.5 12.8 1.2 15 23.5 11.0 12.5 17.3 6.3 17.6 9.2 8.4 13.4 3.5 16 23.3 7.0 16.3 15.2 6.3 20.6 10.4 10.2 15.5 5.9 17 23.6 9.2 14.4 16.4 5.4 18.5 9.8 8.7 14.2 2.2 18 18.4 10.0 8.4 14.2 1.3 17.2 9.8 7.4 13.5 1.3 19 21.0 6.1 14.9 13.6 6.1 18.7 9.5 9.2 14.1 1.8 20 18.5 10.5 8.0 14.5 1.3 19.4 11.0 8.4 15.2 5.9 21 18.0 9.0 9.0 13.5 1.3 18.2 10.0 8.2 14.1 4.2 22 20.0 8.0 12.0 14.0 5.3 19.5 11.0 8.5 15.3 2.8 23 21.0 9.5 11.5 15.3 4.7 17.8 10.6 7.2 14.2 2.7 24 20.0 9.0 11.0 14.5 2.4 16.4 10.6 5.8 13.5 2.2 25 17.4 9.0 8.4 13.2 1.3 17.3 10.0 7.3 13.7 3.1 26 20.0 7.4 12.6 13.7 3.7 20.0 9.9 10.1 15.0 4.2 27 20.0 9.2 10.8 14.6 3.7 20.5 10.3 10.2 15.4 4.2 28 17.0 9.5 7.5 13.3 1.3 20.5 10.5 10.0 15.5 6.3 29 21.5 8.5 13.0 15.0 5.0 19.1 11.2 7.9 15.2 2.2 30 21.5 10.5 11.0 16.0 3.7 15.2 10.8 4.4 13.0 1.3 31 22.6 9.0 13.6 15.8 4.5 15.8 15.4 0.4 15.6 1.4 65 July TMAX Date TMAX TMIN d/ce Av TMIN d/ce Av 2012 2012 2012 2012 H12 2013 2013 2013 2013 H13 1 17.0 8.8 8.2 12.9 4.0 18.5 11.5 7.0 12.8 3.1 2 16.8 9.4 7.4 13.1 1.7 18.7 11.3 7.4 13.1 5.8 3 15.9 9.0 6.9 12.5 5.1 18.2 11.9 6.3 12.3 4.3 4 17.2 10.0 7.2 13.6 1.9 18.2 11.0 7.2 12.7 4.6 5 17.5 10.4 7.1 14.0 3.0 17.1 10.7 6.4 11.8 2.4 6 18.4 8.9 9.5 13.7 3.1 18.2 10.8 7.4 12.8 2.4 7 18.5 9.5 9.0 14.0 2.6 18.7 10.6 8.1 13.4 3.5 8 19.5 9.0 10.5 14.3 5.0 16.0 12.5 3.5 9.8 5.4 9 19.5 10.0 9.5 14.8 5.9 16.4 11.5 4.9 10.7 1.2 10 21.3 10.6 10.7 16.0 3.5 17.8 12.0 5.8 11.8 4.2 11 20.3 9.9 10.4 15.1 6.4 19.5 12.2 7.3 13.4 6.5 12 19.5 11.4 8.1 15.5 5.5 16.8 12.5 4.3 10.6 6.1 13 20.0 10.4 9.6 15.2 5.3 17.5 9.8 7.7 12.6 3.2 14 18.0 10.9 7.1 14.5 5.2 17.8 9.7 8.1 13.0 4.4 15 18.0 10.2 7.8 14.1 4.5 16.8 12.5 4.3 10.6 4.7 16 19.5 10.7 8.8 15.1 3.7 17.4 12.0 5.4 11.4 3.6 17 18.0 10.0 8.0 14.0 3.9 15.8 11.6 4.2 10.0 1.3 18 16.5 10.3 6.2 13.4 2.8 15.7 12.5 3.2 9.5 1.3 19 18.5 10.2 8.3 14.4 3.9 18.6 13.0 5.6 12.1 4.3 20 18.4 10.5 7.9 14.5 3.3 18.4 12.0 6.4 12.4 4.7 21 16.3 9.7 6.6 13.0 4.2 15.1 13.5 1.6 8.4 1.3 22 16.6 11.0 5.6 13.8 3.1 15.2 12.5 2.7 9.0 1.3 23 18.4 11.5 6.9 15.0 3.6 19.5 12.8 6.7 13.1 4.2 24 16.2 10.0 6.2 13.1 4.1 18.5 12.3 6.2 12.4 6.0 25 15.0 11.6 3.4 13.3 1.9 15.5 13.5 2.0 8.8 5.3 26 18.8 10.7 8.1 14.8 2.7 14.5 12.5 2.0 8.3 1.8 27 16.0 10.9 5.1 13.5 3.4 17.5 10.1 7.4 12.5 2.4 28 20.1 11.7 8.4 15.9 1.9 14.7 11.8 2.9 8.8 2.8 29 16.0 9.9 6.1 13.0 5.1 18.5 12.3 6.2 12.4 2.7 30 22.2 11.0 11.2 16.6 2.0 17.3 11.3 6.0 11.7 3.9 31 17.5 10.0 7.5 13.8 6.8 15.4 11.1 4.3 9.9 2.1 66 August TMAX Date TMAX TMIN d/ce Av TMIN d/ce Av 2010 2010 2010 2010 H10 2011 2011 2011 2011 H11 1 21.6 9.0 12.6 15.3 3.9 19.5 10.0 9.5 14.8 6.2 2 21.0 9.4 11.6 15.2 3.9 18.7 11.5 7.2 15.1 4.1 3 22.8 7.5 15.3 15.2 6.1 17.7 10.0 7.7 13.9 4.6 4 22.5 10.5 12.0 16.5 5.6 16.5 11.0 5.5 13.8 1.3 5 19.6 12.5 7.1 16.1 2.0 18.0 10.7 7.3 14.4 2.4 6 21.7 9.0 12.7 15.4 5.4 18.4 10.5 7.9 14.5 5.6 7 21.6 9.0 12.6 15.3 4.0 16.0 10.6 5.4 13.3 1.3 8 21.8 9.0 12.8 15.4 5.8 16.7 11.0 5.7 13.9 1.3 9 21.5 9.0 12.5 15.3 4.8 15.0 10.7 4.3 12.9 2.0 10 20.0 9.5 10.5 14.8 4.8 18.5 9.0 9.5 13.8 1.9 11 22.5 7.5 15.0 15.0 6.5 17.5 11.4 6.1 14.5 2.2 12 22.5 9.5 13.0 16.0 5.5 19.5 10.0 9.5 14.8 4.5 13 18.5 10.0 8.5 14.3 2.0 19.0 10.4 8.6 14.7 5.1 14 21.0 9.0 12.0 15.0 4.3 19.8 11.4 8.4 15.6 3.6 15 23.3 8.0 15.3 15.7 6.0 20.0 11.0 9.0 15.5 3.5 16 21.5 10.5 11.0 16.0 3.7 19.0 11.0 8.0 15.0 5.6 17 23.4 8.0 15.4 15.7 5.7 17.7 10.0 7.7 13.9 4.2 18 23.0 11.0 12.0 17.0 6.7 18.3 11.3 7.0 14.8 4.4 19 23.0 10.0 13.0 16.5 6.8 19.1 9.8 9.3 14.5 3.2 20 23.0 9.0 14.0 16.0 6.5 20.2 10.2 10.0 15.2 5.8 21 21.0 8.9 12.1 15.0 5.7 16.2 10.2 6.0 13.2 1.5 22 22.0 10.0 12.0 16.0 6.0 20.5 9.0 11.5 14.8 5.5 23 21.5 9.5 12.0 15.5 4.4 21.0 10.5 10.5 15.8 6.0 24 23.0 10.6 12.4 16.8 6.9 21.3 10.3 11.0 15.8 5.3 25 19.5 10.6 8.9 15.1 1.3 19.4 10.0 9.4 14.7 2.5 26 22.7 9.4 13.3 16.1 4.9 18.5 10.0 8.5 14.3 2.1 27 20.4 10.4 10.0 15.4 4.0 18.8 10.2 8.6 14.5 3.6 28 22.0 9.7 12.3 15.9 4.7 18.8 11.8 7.0 15.3 2.4 29 21.0 10.4 10.6 15.7 4.1 17.1 10.7 6.4 13.9 1.8 30 19.5 10.0 9.5 14.8 3.0 19.5 10.8 8.7 15.2 4.2 31 24.8 7.8 17.0 16.3 6.4 19.0 16.0 3.0 17.5 3.3 67 August Date 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 TMAX TMIN d/ce Av 2012 2012 2012 2012 18.7 12.0 6.7 15.4 15.2 11.3 3.9 13.3 18.9 9.4 9.5 14.2 22.4 9.5 12.9 16.0 22.1 11.5 10.6 16.8 17.5 10.3 7.2 13.9 18.2 10.8 7.4 14.5 19.6 9.0 10.6 14.3 16.9 9.2 7.7 13.1 18.3 11.0 7.3 14.7 18.8 10.7 8.1 14.8 19.0 9.7 9.3 14.4 18.9 10.0 8.9 14.5 19.0 10.6 8.4 14.8 17.9 8.5 9.4 13.2 16.5 9.5 7.0 13.0 16.2 10.0 6.2 13.1 19.4 9.2 10.2 14.3 16.8 10.0 6.8 13.4 19.2 10.0 9.2 14.6 18.6 9.4 9.2 14.0 18.4 10.2 8.2 14.3 19.6 8.4 11.2 14.0 17.6 9.2 8.4 13.4 16.2 10.8 5.4 13.5 18.6 10.6 8.0 14.6 17.8 9.8 8.0 13.8 19.4 10.5 8.9 15.0 20.5 9.5 11.0 15.0 17.9 11.4 6.5 14.7 21.8 10.5 11.3 16.2 TMAX H12 2.9 3.2 1.3 4.4 6.8 6.5 2.2 3.5 5.5 1.3 3.7 2.6 4.8 4.8 3.1 5.3 3.7 1.8 5.2 2.0 5.5 5.2 5.5 5.9 4.9 1.3 4.5 3.7 4.8 6.0 2.5 2013 16.4 16.4 15.8 13.5 15.4 15.3 16.3 18.5 16.0 15.2 16.7 17.6 16.8 16.2 16.6 16.6 17.4 18.5 16.3 15.8 24.3 15.3 15.2 19.2 16.1 17.4 18.0 18.1 16.5 19.8 15.8 TMIN d/ce Av 2013 2013 2013 13.0 3.4 9.9 13.0 3.4 9.9 12.8 3.0 9.4 13.2 0.3 6.9 13.6 1.8 8.6 13.5 1.8 8.6 13.6 2.7 9.5 12.7 5.8 12.2 15.0 1.0 8.5 14.2 1.0 8.1 13.8 2.9 9.8 13.5 4.1 10.9 13.7 3.1 10.0 14.0 2.2 9.2 14.0 2.6 9.6 14.5 2.1 9.4 13.8 3.6 10.5 14.2 4.3 11.4 13.9 2.4 9.4 14.5 1.3 8.6 13.6 10.7 17.5 14.4 0.9 8.1 13.8 1.4 8.3 13.5 5.7 12.5 13.2 2.9 9.5 12.7 4.7 11.1 13.0 5.0 11.5 12.8 5.3 11.7 14.0 2.5 9.5 13.9 5.9 12.9 11.9 3.9 9.9 H13 1.4 1.4 1.9 2.2 1.4 3.0 1.8 6.9 3.1 1.4 5.1 2.7 2.4 1.9 1.3 1.5 3.2 4.0 5.7 1.7 6.9 2.9 2.9 5.1 5.9 2.9 4.3 2.8 3.8 2.8 1.6 68 September TMIN d/ce Av Date TMAX 2010 2010 2010 2010 H10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 20.6 20.0 20.5 21.5 23.2 22.0 21.0 22.5 19.3 19.2 21.5 21.0 21.0 21.0 21.8 19.0 21.0 21.1 21.0 21.0 20.7 21.5 21.5 22.8 20.0 18.8 22.5 23.3 22.8 22.2 9.0 9.5 7.0 9.5 8.5 10.0 10.0 7.6 8.5 9.0 8.0 9.5 8.5 9.0 9.5 8.5 7.0 9.5 7.0 7.5 6.5 6.0 9.5 6.6 8.0 6.5 6.5 6.2 6.6 10.9 11.6 10.5 13.5 12.0 14.7 12.0 11.0 14.9 10.8 10.2 13.5 11.5 12.5 12.0 12.3 10.5 14.0 11.6 14.0 13.5 14.2 15.5 12.0 16.2 12.0 12.3 16.0 17.1 16.2 11.3 14.8 14.8 13.8 15.5 15.9 16.0 15.5 15.1 13.9 14.1 14.8 15.3 14.8 15.0 15.7 13.8 14.0 15.3 14.0 14.3 13.6 13.8 15.5 14.7 14.0 12.7 14.5 14.8 14.7 16.6 3.3 2.5 2.9 2.8 3.5 2.7 2.2 3.6 2.5 2.5 3.8 3.3 3.1 3.0 4.1 3.6 2.5 2.9 3.1 2.0 2.7 3.5 3.2 2.6 2.0 1.9 4.1 3.5 2.4 2.9 TMAX TMIN d/ce Av 2011 2011 2011 2011 H11 19.1 19.5 16.8 19.4 19.9 19.6 19.5 17.8 19.6 19.4 20.2 20.5 19.5 20.0 19.0 19.5 19.6 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.6 21.0 19.3 20.2 19.4 18.5 18.8 21.0 21.0 22.0 10.5 11.3 9.8 9.6 10.0 10.5 11.5 10.5 10.1 10.5 11.4 10.2 9.2 10.5 10.5 11.0 10.5 10.2 10.5 10.0 12.0 11.5 11.2 10.2 10.6 10.0 10.0 9.4 12.0 13.2 8.6 8.2 7.0 9.8 9.9 9.1 8.0 7.3 9.5 8.9 8.8 10.3 10.3 9.5 8.5 8.5 9.1 9.8 9.5 10.0 8.6 9.5 8.1 10.0 8.8 8.5 8.8 11.6 9.0 8.8 14.8 15.4 13.3 14.5 15.0 15.1 15.5 14.2 14.9 15.0 15.8 15.4 14.4 15.3 14.8 15.3 15.1 15.1 15.3 15.0 16.3 16.3 15.3 15.2 15.0 14.3 14.4 15.2 16.5 17.6 1.9 3.5 3.3 3.9 5.5 4.2 2.5 1.4 3.5 5.1 5.0 5.5 5.5 4.7 4.7 5.8 4.7 5.1 6.1 6.3 5.6 6.1 2.8 4.8 4.9 1.2 4.6 6.7 6.7 6.7 69 September TMAX TMIN Date TMAX TMIN d/ce Av d/ce Av 22012 2012 2012 2012 H12 2013 2013 2013 2013 H13 1 18.2 8.8 9.4 13.5 6.5 18.0 12.6 5.4 11.7 5.4 2 18.2 9.5 8.7 13.9 3.3 18.4 12.4 6.0 12.2 4.3 3 19.4 9.9 9.5 14.7 3.2 17.5 13.1 4.4 11.0 2.5 4 18.0 10.3 7.7 14.2 5.4 21.6 11.7 9.9 15.8 6.1 5 17.5 9.0 8.5 13.3 3.7 18.4 12.8 5.6 12.0 4.3 6 18.8 10.1 8.7 14.5 3.6 16.6 13.6 3.0 9.8 2.7 7 18.2 9.0 9.2 13.6 5.8 19.0 12.4 6.6 12.8 5.4 8 22.2 8.2 14.0 15.2 4.2 21.2 13.4 7.8 14.5 6.0 9 19.5 9.8 9.7 14.7 6.4 18.8 12.7 6.1 12.5 3.9 10 19.0 11.5 7.5 15.3 4.8 19.5 13.2 6.3 12.9 3.7 11 18.0 10.1 7.9 14.1 3.2 21.6 13.5 8.1 14.9 6.4 12 20.1 10.6 9.5 15.4 2.8 16.8 13.1 3.7 10.3 4.7 13 18.9 9.5 9.4 14.2 6.0 15.5 12.9 2.6 9.1 3.2 14 23.1 10.0 13.1 16.6 5.8 17.6 13.8 3.8 10.7 4.3 15 17.8 9.0 8.8 13.4 6.6 16.4 13.7 2.7 9.6 4.0 16 18.0 9.6 8.4 13.8 5.5 14.5 12.9 1.6 8.1 1.4 17 23.1 9.5 13.6 16.3 5.7 20.6 13.7 6.9 13.8 5.9 18 19.5 9.2 10.3 14.4 6.6 22.2 13.8 8.4 15.3 5.1 19 19.7 9.8 9.9 14.8 6.3 19.9 11.0 8.9 14.4 3.9 20 18.9 9.8 9.1 14.4 5.3 18.8 11.9 6.9 12.9 6.0 21 21.2 8.9 12.3 15.1 4.6 20.0 11.0 9.0 14.5 6.7 22 21.5 10.0 11.5 15.8 6.5 20.8 11.8 9.0 14.9 6.7 23 20.1 11.2 8.9 15.7 6.6 20.5 12.1 8.4 14.5 6.4 24 21.2 10.0 11.2 15.6 6.1 17.2 10.8 6.4 11.8 4.4 25 21.2 10.0 11.2 15.6 6.5 23.8 11.3 12.5 18.2 6.7 26 21.8 9.7 12.1 15.8 6.4 21.5 11.6 9.9 15.7 6.2 27 20.5 10.0 10.5 15.3 6.7 22.0 10.3 11.7 16.9 5.6 28 20.2 10.0 10.2 15.1 6.1 24.2 11.0 13.2 18.7 6.6 29 17.5 9.8 7.7 13.7 6.2 24.5 12.5 12.0 18.3 6.7 30 17.5 9.0 8.5 13.3 4.9 24.4 12.3 12.1 18.3 6.2 70 Appendix. Table 3a: temperature in ( o c) Measured Tat intensity I(W/m 2 ) and corresponding Imeas Tat date 9am Iest at 9am 12am Iest Imeas Tat 15pm Iest Imeas 8 17.0 39.8 35.6 17.7 62.1 57.3 18.8 39.8 36 9 18.2 39.4 36.0 23.7 61.4 56.4 18.5 39.4 34.3 10 16.0 39.7 33.5 23.1 54.1 54.1 18.2 39.7 34.3 11 18.0 39.3 35.1 22.4 41.3 52 19.4 39.3 36 12 16.8 28.7 32.7 22.6 44.6 53.1 16.2 28.7 27.6 13 19.6 40.2 37.8 22.8 62.4 57.3 18.9 40.2 31.8 14 17.5 39.8 31.0 24.1 61.6 56 19.4 39.8 36 15 17.4 37.9 29.5 21.9 58.6 55.4 19.6 37.9 36.9 16 17.0 40 27.9 21.4 61.7 57.3 19.8 40 38.9 17 17.2 39.2 34.3 22.8 60.6 56.3 21.4 39.2 39.4 18 17.1 40.7 34.3 21.4 62.8 57.9 19.5 40.7 32.7 19 18.2 41.8 36.9 22.8 64.4 57.5 22.6 41.8 34.3 20 18.2 41.9 37.7 22.8 64.5 57 20.5 41.9 36 21 18.5 40.5 37.9 22.5 62.3 57.8 21.5 40.5 36.9 22 18.5 39.4 36.0 23.2 60.5 57.7 20.0 39.4 35.2 air 71 Appendix. Table 3b: Estimated daily mean solar radiation of april (8 -22/ 2014) H (KWh/m 2 ) Date nd δ 8 98 6.76 9 99 10 Ws N Ho n a b H 1.59 91.14 12.15 10.51 9.90 0.38 0.34 6.94 7.14 1.59 91.21 12.16 10.51 9.10 0.36 0.38 6.84 100 7.53 1.59 91.27 12.17 10.52 9.30 0.37 0.37 6.88 11 101 7.91 1.59 91.34 12.18 10.52 8.70 0.35 0.41 6.77 12 102 8.29 1.60 91.40 12.19 10.52 4.30 0.24 0.66 4.93 13 103 8.66 1.60 91.47 12.20 10.52 9.30 0.37 0.37 6.88 14 104 9.04 1.60 91.53 12.20 10.53 8.70 0.35 0.41 6.77 15 105 9.41 1.60 91.59 12.21 10.53 7.40 0.32 0.48 6.42 16 106 9.78 1.60 91.66 12.22 10.53 8.60 0.35 0.42 6.75 17 107 10.14 1.60 91.72 12.23 10.53 8.00 0.33 0.45 6.60 18 108 10.50 1.60 91.78 12.24 10.53 9.00 0.36 0.39 6.83 19 109 10.86 1.60 91.85 12.25 10.53 10.60 0.40 0.30 6.98 20 110 11.22 1.60 91.91 12.25 10.52 10.40 0.40 0.31 6.98 21 111 11.57 1.61 91.97 12.26 10.52 8.50 0.35 0.42 6.72 22 112 11.92 1.61 92.03 12.27 10.52 7.70 0.32 0.47 6.50 72 Measured air temperature and PV voltage on April 8-22/2014 date Tat 9am Tat 12am Tat 3pm V9 V12 V3 8 17.0 17.7 18.8 8.4 10.6 8.5 9 18.2 23.7 18.5 8.4 10.5 8.4 10 16.0 23.1 18.2 8.1 10.3 8.3 11 18.0 22.4 19.4 8.3 10.1 8.4 12 16.8 22.6 16.2 8.0 10.2 7.4 13 19.6 22.8 18.9 8.6 10.6 8.6 14 17.5 24.1 19.4 8.2 10.5 8.4 15 17.4 21.9 19.6 7.9 10.4 8.5 16 17.0 21.4 19.8 7.8 10.6 8.7 17 17.2 22.8 21.4 8.2 10.5 8.8 18 17.1 21.4 19.5 8.2 10.7 8.0 19 18.2 22.8 22.6 8.5 10.6 8.2 20 18.2 22.8 20.5 8.6 10.6 8.4 21 18.5 22.5 21.5 8.6 10.6 8.5 22 18.5 23.2 20.0 8.4 10.6 8.3 73