Changes to the Poll Dorset and Dorset Horn Breeding Evaluation (Part 1 – Genetic Parameters) - January 2014 Summary EBLEX recently funded a review of the genetic parameters used in the Dorset breeding evaluation. Improvements have been made to the way EBVs are calculated, particularly the Maternal Ability EBV. Breeders will notice changes in the scaling of a number of EBVs and the ranking of certain animals. Due to the number of changes incorporated into this evaluation, breeders are strongly advised to use the new values when assessing sheep and not to make direct comparison to their rating in previous evaluations. A technical note is provided here for those breeders wishing to know more about these changes. Introduction Estimated Breeding Values are calculated using knowledge of the heritability of different traits (the degree to which variation between animals is influenced by their genes) and the relationships (correlations) between these traits. Periodically these “genetic parameters” are reviewed to ensure that they are appropriate for the sheep/breed being analysed. In 2014 EBLEX funded SRUC to review the genetic parameters used in the evaluation of Dorset sheep. Work by SRUC has developed: A new set of heritabilities and genetic correlations using a dataset of Dorset records for animals born between 2003 and 2012. A better way to calculate EBVs for Maternal Ability and Litter Size (Born) Two new EBVs for Birth Weight and Litter Size (Reared) {Not yet published} How have heritability values changed? The table below shows the new heritability values that are being used in the Dorset evaluation. Estimates of heritability (h2) for Dorset Sheep Trait Birth Weight (New Trait) 8 Week Weight Maternal Ability Litter Size (Born) Litter Size (Reared) (New Trait) Scan Weight Old h2 0.21 0.10 0.07 0.36 New h2 0.20 0.11 0.15 0.12 0.06 0.27 Change Lower Higher Higher Lower Muscle Depth Fat Depth Mature Size 0.31 0.22 0.35 0.29 0.26 0.25 Similar Similar Lower How do I interpret heritability values? The heritability value indicates the proportion of the variation between animals that can be explained by their genes (or you could think of it as the degree to which an animal’s appearance is influenced by its genes). If a growth trait has a heritability of 0.4 then 40% of the liveweight variation between animals would be due genetic differences between them and 60% would be due to environmental influences. Health and reproduction traits tend to have a low heritability – but this doesn’t mean they are not worth assessing; even a small change in these traits can be highly profitable. What do these changes mean? The most striking change is that the heritability of 8 Week Weight has fallen, whilst that of Maternal Ability has risen. This could be interpreted as the evaluation doing a better job of attributing lamb weight gain to the genetic potential of the ewe to produce milk and care for her lamb (where appropriate) and no longer confounding this influence with the lamb’s genetic ability to grow. EBVs will be re-scaled to take into account these changes. How have the genetic correlations changed? The old and new genetic correlations are shown in the tables below. Old genetic correlations between traits 8 Week Weight Scan Weight Muscle Depth Fat Depth Maternal Ability Mature Size Litter Size Born 8 WK SWT MD FD MAT MS LSB 8 WK SWT MD 0.90 0.38 0.46 FD MAT MS LSB 0.46 0.20 0.35 -0.22 0.31 0.40 0.35 -0.15 -0.01 0.38 0.00 -0.05 0.40 0.00 -0.16 0.33 -0.18 0 New genetic correlations between traits BWT Birth Weight 8 Week Weight Maternal Ability Scan Weight BWT 8 WK MAT SWT 8 WK 0.50 MAT -0.29 -0.22 SWT 0.27 0.82 0.33 MD 0.27 0.31 0.20 0.46 FD 0.10 0.19 0.23 0.31 MS 0.01 0.40 0.40 0.48 LSB 0.25 0.41 -0.42 0.04 LSR 0.25 0.19 -0.12 0.07 Muscle Depth Fat Depth Mature Size Litter Size Born Litter Size Reared MD FD MS LSB LSR 0.18 -0.02 0.49 0.04 -0.02 0.19 How do I interpret genetic correlations? The size of the correlation indicates how closely related traits are to one another. A correlation of 0 indicates “no relationship”, 0.90 would be a very strong, positive relationship between traits and -0.90 would indicate a strong negative relationship. In this case the strongest genetic relationship is between 8 Week Weight and Scan Weight (0.82). This is unsurprising as the genes that control growth rate to 8 weeks of age are also likely to influence growth rate in later life. What do these changes mean? The predicted genetic relationship between growth and carcase traits has changed very little, although the relationship between Fat Depth and Muscle Depth is now positive (in line with observations in other breeds). Litter Size now has a positive relationship with most performance traits (previous analyses were assuming a slightly negative relationship). The Maternal Ability EBV has a negative correlation with 8 Week Weight. This is in line with the antagonistic relationship often observed between carcase traits and maternal traits. It then tends to be positively correlated with other traits assessed later in life. Dorset Test Runs SRUC have completed a series of test runs using over a quarter of a million Dorset animal records to determine the impact of these changes. This table shows the average EBV for animals in each analysis. The correlation between results in the two analyses was high for most traits (0.92-0.99). The correlation of 0.73 reported for Maternal Ability EBV was lower (as expected) and reflects the improvements that have been made in the way the trait is assessed. Breeders will notice changes in the ranking of animals for Maternal Ability. The low correlation (0.67) for Mature Size EBV is due to the trait being poorly recorded and strongly correlated with the Maternal Ability EBV (which has changed considerably- as explained above). 0.10 0.02 0.05 0.38 On average index values have fallen by around 15 index points as a result of these changes. 8 Week Weight EBV Scan Weight EBV Muscle Depth EBV Fat Depth EBV Maternal Ability EBV Mature Size EBV Litter Size Born EBV Terminal Sire Index* Maternal Index* Old Run Average Standard Value Deviation 0.76 1.41 1.52 2.85 0.40 0.80 0.07 0.28 0.21 0.56 0.18 0.73 0.01 0.07 111 72 102 59 New Run Average Standard value Deviation 0.45 0.86 1.37 2.48 0.41 0.77 0.07 0.30 0.42 0.87 0.65 1.05 0.01 0.10 98 66 88 66 Correlation between two sets of results 0.91 0.99 0.97 0.95 0.73 0.67 0.92 * These are the old index values – which are to be re-modelled to reduce the index of animals with a low Fat Depth EBV. Conclusions This work represents a significant update of Signet’s Dorset breeding evaluation. These changes should be viewed as enhancements, which will ultimately lead to more stable and more accurate EBVs. Now that this work has been completed, SRUC have worked on changes to the two breeding indexes used by Dorset breeders. One aspect of these changes is the application of a new penalty to reduce the index of animals with a very low Fat Depth EBV.