Information Extraction Using Remote sensing Technology to Study the Impact on Climate Kapil Pandey Asstt. Professor, CSE Dept. Govt. College of Engineering & Technology, Bikaner, pandeykapil2003@gmail.com Abstract - Change Analysis due to climate is an important step in many environmental studies. A wide variety of methods have been developed in this concern. During this study, remote sensing images and GIS techniques were used to extract information for environmental impact prediction in Doon Valley area, Uttarakhand, during the years of 1985~2010. It was assumed that environmental impact could be predicted using time series satellite imageries. Natural vegetation cover, urban areas were chosen as main environmental elements to study. Meteorological data, land use and land cover classes within several years were prepared using satellite images. Supervised classification and change detection techniques were adopted in this project. The detected changes in land use classes were correlated with temperature and rainfall data of twenty five years. Significant differences were observed as increasing temperature and decreasing rainfall. Finally, graphical models were used to present the changes. Keywords: Change detection technique, Remote Sensing and GIS, Classification. I. INTRODUCTION Climate change is not a new phenomenon. Any enhanced greenhouse effect that warms the earth is natural over time scale of over hundreds or thousands and millions of years. The increases in global temperatures projected by scientific data on climate trends could bring about significant changes to the world. Global warming may also have serious implications for forest ecosystems, especially for plantations which may be affected by changed climatic conditions [8]. It is well established that global climate is changing day by day as a result natural variability. This includes the change in the atmospheric composition, hydrological changes in solar inputs and finally changes in the land surface. Changes are taking place in our environment. Global changes are occurring in many ways: atmosphere, landuse and now also in climate [6][3]. Climate change is occurring, and though there is uncertainty about the exact magnitude, rate and regional patterns of its impacts, it will almost certainly bring about sea level rise and shifts in climatic zones due to increased temperatures and changes in precipitation patterns. Also, climate change is likely to increase the frequency and magnitude of extreme weather events such as droughts, floods, and storms [2]. Land use and land cover change has become a central component in current strategies for managing natural resources and monitoring environmental change. The rapid development of the concept of vegetation mapping has lead to increased studies of landuse and land cover change worldwide. Although the terms ‘Land Use’ and ‘Land Cover’ are often used interchangeably, their actual meanings are quite distinct. ‘Land Use’ refers to human activities that take place on the earth’s surface. (How the land is being usedÍž such as residential housing or agricultural cropping.) ‘Land Cover’ refers to the natural or manmade physical properties of the land surface. During the past millennium, humans have taken an increasingly large role in the modification of the global environment. With increasing numbers and developing technologies, man has emerged as the major, most powerful, and universal instrument of environmental change in the biosphere today. Both globally and in India, land cover today is altered primarily by direct human use. Any conception of global change must include the pervasive influence of human action on land surface conditions and processes. The growing demand for new agricultural land is generally met from nearby resources such as forest areas/scrub dominated areas [9]. The most common remote sensing applications in environmental assessment are environmental inventory and monitoring studies [10][11]. Satellite imagery has provided a valuable source of information on topography, land use, vegetation cover and habitat destruction. It has also enabled us to quantify the rate of global and regional habitat destruction which would otherwise be an incredibly difficult task [5][12]. Remotely sensed images have played a key role in ecosystem classifying and mapping, particularly for regional and national applications. Lunetta [4] used satellite images for detection of land-cover (LC) change; overall results indicate that a minimum of 3- to 4-year temporal data acquisition frequency was required to monitor LC change events in a study area. Satellite data and GIS were used to develop a land cover map of the area to detect landscape changes through the time span. Climate change in present day is affecting our environment globally, due to increase in temperature of the environment; variable pattern of rainfall has a adverse effect on our natural resources such as water bodies and forest. A study will be presented using time series analysis of remote sensing data and there correlation with meteorological data. II. STUDY AREA Doon Valley is located in northern Uttarakhand between longitudes 77035’& 78024’ (E) and latitudes 3005’ & 30035’(N) and stretches in NW-SE direction following the main Himalayan trend. The valley is about 70 kms. In length; the 1 width of the valley floor varies from 10 to 25 kms. Northern and Southern boundaries of the valley are surrounded by high peaks of Mussoorie and Siwalik ranges. Doon valley covers 85.7% area of Dehradun Tehsil of Dehradun district. Doon valley has a rich vegetation cover. Although the major portion of Doon is occupied by the Sal (shorea robusta) but miscellaneous forests are also found here. The hydrogeological and meteorological conditions (2150 mm. annual average rainfalls) of the valley are responsible for the condition for the different types of forest cover [1]. III. METHODOLOGY AND DATA USED Figure 1: Location Map of Study Area Land use of the valley is dominated by forest and cultivated area. During past independence era, urbanization in the valley has become most powerful agent of transformation. After creation of Uttarakhand state in 2002, Dehradun city became state capital which ushered the era of rapid expansion in Built up area beyond municipal limits. There has been massive expansion in construction activities for industries, institutional infrastructure and residential colonies [9]. Figure 2: Methodology Used The information required for the study has been procured from various sources. A summary of the data collection is given below: 1) Meteorological Data were collected from FRI & CSWCRTI Stations. 2) Data of study area for classified classes of year1985 & 1993 were collected from a report titled “Carrying Capacity based Development Planning of Doon Valley,1994, NEERI, Nagpur. 3) Software used to find out different image processing operations is ERDAS IMAGINE 9.1 and ARC GIS 9.3 4) Topographic features were extracted from topographic map sheets (53 F/11, F/14,F/15,F/16: 53 J/3,J/4,J/7,J/8: 53 K/1) at a scale of 1:50,000 from the Survey of India (SOI). 5) Table1 shows Pre-processed multi-temporal data in the form of satellite images from the LANDSAT-7. 2 TABLE 1: SATELLITE IMAGES FROM THE LANDSAT-7 S. No. Satellite Sensor Resol -ution PathRow Dates 1. LAND SAT-7 TM 30 m 146-39 21/10/1990 2. LAND SAT-7 TM 30 m 146-39 23/11/2005 3. LAND SAT-7 ETM+ 30 m 146-39 20/11/2010 A. Geo Referencing of Satellite Data Satellite data has been checked for radiometric error and basic corrections for radiometry for line dropout and striping have been applied. Individual scenes of the satellite data are georeferenced with respect to the Survey of India topographic. 2nd order polynomial transformation was used to achieve higher accuracy in georeferencing. This polynomial requires 6 or more ground control points (GCPs) for geometric rectification of satellite data. To ensure better geometric fidelity of the images minimum twenty GCPs, well distributed spatially, have been used for each satellite image. UTM WGS 84 projection system and UTM zone 43 have been used for geo-referencing satellite images. B. Analysis of Remote Sensing Images From remote sensed data after duly geo-referencing them, a series of new data are generated. The boundary of Doon Valley was extracted from the topographic maps at scale 1:250,000 and digitized to prepare a mask. The mask was then overlaid onto satellite data to extract the Doon Valley. The FCCs satellite data of Doon Valley for the years 1990, 2005 and 2010 are shown in Figure 3, 4 and 5 respectively. In FCCs, various shades of pink color indicate the vigorisity of vegetation cover. Rivers and streams appear light blue in color. Dehradun city can be also easily located which is present in the heart of Doon valley, giving bluish tint. Figure 3: FCC image of 1990 Figure 4: FCC image of 2005 The satellite data were subsequently analyzed digitally on an image processing system for vegetation and land use classification, employing maximum likelihood supervised classification technique and accuracy assessment was done by comparing with Google images. Eight vegetation and land use classes were identified which include Dense forest, Sparse forest, Agriculture, Water, Sandy area, Urban, Uncultivated, and Scrub. The classified satellite data for the years 1990, 2005 and 2010 are shown in Figure 6,7 and 8 respectively. Figure 5: FCC image of 2010 3 Figure 6 : classified image of 1990 Figure 8: Classified image of 2010 Dense forests, which are red in color, are mostly found on Siwalik range. Agriculture areas (yellow color) are predominant in middle portion of Doon Valley which has gentle slope. Scrubs (orange color) are mostly present on higher reaches in the north and north-east regions of valley. Figure 7: Classified image of 2005 TABLE 2 : MULTI-DATE DIGITAL ANALYSIS OF SATELLITE DATA FOR LANDUSE CLASSES 1985 Landuse Class Area sq.km. % 1990 1993 2005 2010 Area Area Area Area sq.km. % sq.km. % sq.km. % sq.km. % Sand 54.32 2.41 102.55 4.57 149.86 6.68 159.37 7.10 193.04 8.60 Water 9.55 0.43 17.19 0.77 4.72 0.21 10.10 0.45 8.98 0.40 Urban 138.88 6.19 524.66 23.37 612.29 27.28 1024.74 45.65 1080.41 48.13 Dense Forest 442.94 19.73 313.67 13.97 288.91 12.87 262.91 11.71 253.65 11.30 Uncultivated 357.34 15.92 379.50 16.91 268.46 11.96 108.87 4.85 92.48 4.12 Agriculture 380.46 16.95 237.17 10.57 201.17 8.96 162.33 7.23 136.73 6.09 Scrub 496.28 22.11 328.87 14.65 393.89 17.55 276.58 12.32 280.24 12.48 Sparse Forest 365.01 16.26 341.13 15.20 325.48 14.50 239.85 10.68 199.19 8.87 Total 2244.78 100 2244.78 100 2244.78 100 2244.78 100 2244.78 100 4 IV. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION It is observed from the Table 2 that Dense forest cover about 443 sq.km. area in 1985, 314 sq.km. area in 1990, 289 sq.km. area in 1993, 263 sq.km. area in 2005 and 254 sq.km. area in 2010. Urban cover area ranging from about 139 sq.km. to 1080 sq.km.(1985-2010). Similarly Agriculture area covers 380.46 sq.km. to 137 sq.km. from 1985 to 2010 time series. The total area of Doon Valley from satellite data was found to be 2244.78 Km2. For the analysis of multi-date satellite data, the changes in the Landuse classes were computed as reported in Table 3. TABLE 3: PERCENTAGE VARIATION IN CLASSES WRT. TO 1985 1990 %Area 2.15 0.34 17.19 -5.76 0.99 -6.38 -7.46 -1.06 Landuse Class Sand Water Urban Dense Forest Uncultivated Agriculture Scrub Sparse Forest 1993 %Area 4.26 -0.22 21.09 -6.86 -3.96 -7.99 -4.56 -1.76 2005 %Area 4.68 0.02 39.46 -8.02 -11.07 -9.72 -9.79 -5.58 2010 %Area 6.18 -0.03 41.94 -8.43 -11.80 -10.86 -9.62 -7.39 The analysis of above data revealed that sand area and urban area showing the increasing pattern where as other classes have decreasing pattern as per time scale. The changes pattern is more for urban area between 1993 to 2005 due to time span and creation of Uttarakhand state in 2002. Agriculture area has decreased from 16.95% in 1985 to 6.09 % in 2010 reducing at the rate of about 0.45% per year. The comparison of Landuse classes can be shown in Fig.14. The pattern of bars shows the significant increasing pattern of urban area where as water bodies are nearly negligible with respect to other classes. 1985 1990 1993 2005 2010 50 45 40 Figure 15: Rainfall and Temperature Pattern With regard to mean maximum temperature and mean minimum temperature, the mean maximum temperature varies from 27.4 to 29.10C. On an average it fluctuates around 27.50C but if we compare 1985 with that of 2010 there is an increase of 0.650C. However sudden rise in mean maximum temperature during 1985, 2005 and 2010 is the clear indication of deforestation followed by variable trend of mean minimum temperature in subsequent years. The Annual rainfall pattern during different decades of the period showed highest 2599.3 mm during 1985-1994 and lowest 1454 mm during last years of study. Thus, a decrease of Annual rainfall intensity during whole period of 25 years is a significant of climatic change. Rawat (1998) also made similar observation while compiling climatological data of Doon Valley. The landuse changes can be correlated with the climate variability in Doon Valley area because of the above pattern of climatic variables (Temperature and Rainfall) have significant effect on landuse classes. Fig.14 shows the main landuse types occurring in study location that effect or affected by the climate. The changes in those classes can be analyzed with the help of climate variable as: 35 % Area 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 nd Sa W r ate n ba Ur D se en t d ure res ate ult Fo ltiv ric cu Ag Un Sc rub e ars Sp Figure 14: Comparison of Land-use Classes Rainfall and Temperature Pattern shows the variation in climatic condition of Doon Valley. The pattern of mean, max and mean min. temperature and rainfall of valley of 25 years (1985-2010) can be shown in Fig.15 Figure 16: Urban and Rainfall 5 Supervised classification and change detection techniques were used to investigate the situation of surface water in the study area. The results revealed that there was a significant decrease in the surface water body area during the study period. Water has always been a scarce commodity in Doon Valley. As the scarcity of surface water there is very less evaporation that decrease the rainfall and increase the temperature. This pattern leads to hot climatic condition at valley area and decrease the amount of surface water. Figure 17: Urban and Temperature Figure 16 and 17 clearly depict the behavior of urban change due to increasing pattern of temperature and decreasing pattern of rainfall. It is a linear pattern that clearly indicates that due to increasing the urbanization the earth surface temperature has increased, industrialization causes the changes in atmospheric composition that are the main component to increase the global warming. This increasing pattern of temperature with urban lead decrease vegetation on earth surface that lead to decreasing rainfall and this can be seen easily in Fig.16. CONCLUSION The results of present study revealed that time series remotely sensed data could be used to predict environmental impacts.GIS and Remote sensing images and techniques were used to obtain Landuse changes on time series data and by correlating these changes with climatic variables the effect of climatic conditions on these can be analyzed. Temperature data and rainfall data of 25 years were analyzed. It was observed that there is an increase of 0.650C in mean maximum temperature and total rainfall has declined pattern that gives the evidence for climate change. REFERENCES A report on “Carryin Capacity Based Developmental planning of Doon Valley” by National environmental Engineering Research Institute,Nagpur,1994. [2] Climate Change and Development: India Country Report(2005) The Energy and Resources Institute,UK. [3] Huang,S.,H.N.Pollack and P.Y. Shen(2000). Temperature trend over the past five centuries reconstructed from borehole temperatures. Nature,403:756-758. [4] Lunetta, R. S., Johnson, D.M., Lyon and J.G., Crotwell, J., 2004. Impacts of imagery temporal frequency on land-cover change detection monitoring. Remote Sensing of Environment, 89(4):444-454. [5] Milesi, C., Elvidge, C.D., Nemani, R.R. and Running, S.W., 2003. Assessing the impact of urban land development on net primary productivity in the southeastern United States.Remote Sensing of Environment, 86(3):401-410. [6] Mooney,H.A. and Canadell J.Champin III (1999). Ecosystem physiology response to global Change.Cambridge University Press,Cambridge.pp.141-189. [7] Rawat,Laxmi(1998),”Changing factes of weather and climate of Doon Valley,Forest Research Institute,Dehra Dun. [8] RawatVijay,Singh Dhan and Kumar Pankaj(2003).”Climate Change and its Impact on Forest Biodiversity”,Indian Forester,pp 787-798. [9] Tiwari Kuldeep and Khanduri Kamlesh(2011),” Land Use / Land cover change detection in Doon valley (Dehradun Tehsil), Uttarakhand Using GIS & Remote Sensing technique”, International Journal of Geomatics and Geosciences Volume 2 Issue 1, 2011. [10] Treweek, J.(1999). Ecological Impact Assessment. Blackwell Science Ltd., pp.128-175. [11] Ustin, S.L.( 2004). Remote sensing for Natural Resource Management and Environmental Monitoring. John Wiley & Sons, p.147-235. [12] Veitch, N., Webb, N.R. and Wyatt, B.K., (1995). The application of geographical information systems and remotely sensed data to the conservation of heath land fragments. Biological conservation, 72(1):9192. [1] Figure 18: Dense forest and Rainfall Figure 19: Dense forest and temperature The Valley has a great potential for forests. Several centuries ago it must have been covered by dense forests interspersed with grasslands. The transformation of Doon Valley from sparsely populated dense forests and flowing streams to its current state, characterized by a residential population, fast expanding urban-industrial areas and the rapid disappearance of water has caused great degradation of the environment of the valley. This deforestation affects the rainfall pattern and causes the temp. to increase and this can be easily matched with above pattern of climate variable in Fig. 18 and 19 respectively. 6