The Christchurch earthquake New Zealand’s location on the Pacific ‘Ring of Fire’ makes it particularly susceptible to tectonic hazards. The country’s wealth, sophisticated monitoring systems and small population of 4.4 million mean that it is much less vulnerable to the impacts of natural hazards than countries such as Haiti. The earthquake which struck New Zealand on 4 September 2010 was similar in magnitude to the one that hit Haiti in January 2010, measuring 7.1 on the Richter scale, compared with the Haiti earthquake’s 7.0. In New Zealand there were no deaths and only two serious injuries, but Haiti suffered more than 300,000 casualties and 1.3 million displaced people. Moreover, the disruption caused by the September earthquake in New Zealand was quickly overcome, but there are still displaced people, badly damaged buildings and serious problems of sanitation in Haiti. However, New Zealand was not destined to escape unscathed from the tectonic forces at work in its South Island. On 22 February 2011 a magnitude 6.3 aftershock of the September earthquake struck the country’s second largest city of Christchurch, killing 181 people and seriously damaging the city. The deaths from this earthquake make it the second most deadly natural disaster in New Zealand’s history, while the estimated cost of rebuilding of around $NZ 15–16 billion will mean it is by far the country’s most expensive. New Zealand’s plate tectonics New Zealand is located along a section of the Pacific Ring of Fire where the Pacific plate is converging with Indo-Australian plate. Subduction along this boundary is responsible for volcanic activity in the North Island, which is also the location of New Zealand’s major earthquakes. The largest of these, with a magnitude of 8.2, occurred near the Wairarapa Plains on 23 January 1855. New Zealand experiences between 10,000 and 15,000 earthquakes each year, of which around 100–150 are large enough to be felt, with several exceeding magnitude 6. On average magnitude 7 earthquakes occur once every 10 years, while magnitude 8 earthquakes occur once a century. The South Island is less seismically active than the North Island and experiences fewer earthquakes of a high magnitude. The September 2010 earthquake was the largest recorded in the Canterbury region. The interaction of the Pacific and Indo-Australian plates in the South Island has resulted in the major Alpine and Hope fault lines. It is movement along these faults, strike-slip faulting, and numerous smaller faults that causes the South Island’s earthquakes, including the deadly February 2011 Christchurch earthquake. Geology of the 2011 earthquake The February 2011 earthquake resulted from movement along a previously unknown fault line running approximately east–west and located to the southeast of Christchurch. A strike-slip fault resulted in movement both east and west, although there was also upward movement (reverse thrust) along the fault line. The relatively shallow (5 km) depth of the earthquake meant that, even though its magnitude was lower, it was much more destructive than the 2010 earthquake. The February earthquake’s epicentre, in the Port Hills, 10 km southeast of the centre of Christchurch, was also much closer to the city (Figure 1). It seems likely that the February earthquake was an aftershock of the 2010 earthquake, although some geologists consider that it was a separate event because it occurred along a separate fault. The February earthquake itself has produced over 300 aftershocks, the largest of which, in June 2011, again measured magnitude 6.3. Both the location of the epicentre and the geology of the Canterbury Plains on which Christchurch is located compounded the destruction caused by the earthquake. The hard volcanic rocks of the Port Hills resulted in seismic energy being reflected back up to the surface. In addition, the fault line which ruptured lies below the alluvial sediments of the Canterbury Plains. Because groundwater levels were close to the surface, ground shaking during the earthquake caused liquefaction, which in turn led to significant damage to buildings and infrastructure. Hazard planning and mitigation in Christchurch As would be expected, given New Zealand’s wealth and its experience of destructive earthquakes, the country is well prepared for seismic hazards. A national network of instruments and data centres, GeoNet, detects and monitors earthquakes and other hazardous events, and can provide information to emergency services within minutes of a major earthquake. Funding for GeoNet is provided by an Earthquake Commission, established by the government to provide earthquake insurance to homeowners. The commission is also responsible for public education, including a campaign designed to encourage New Zealanders to ‘Quake Safe’ their homes. New Zealand adopted a building code for earthquake-resistant buildings as early as 1935. Codes are designed to protect buildings from structural damage during moderate earthquakes and, in the case of major earthquakes, to ensure that buildings do not collapse and people can escape, even if a building is badly damaged. Older buildings have had to be reinforced, although only in the more earthquake-prone North Island. In the South Island, such strengthening was not seen as essential, so Christchurch’s heritage buildings were much more vulnerable. The impact of the earthquake New Zealand’s preparedness was not able to prevent the deadly consequences of the February earthquake for a number of reasons: The shallow focus and the relative proximity of the epicentre to Christchurch meant that the effects measured 8 on the modified Mercalli intensity scale. Many buildings had already been weakened by the September earthquake The earthquake occurred on a Tuesday at 12.51 p.m., so the city centre of Christchurch was crowded. The peak ground acceleration was 1.8 times the acceleration due to gravity. The shaking intensity this caused in central Christchurch led to enormous damage to the city’s buildings, around half of which were destroyed or severely damaged. Most disastrously, the six-storey Canterbury Television building collapsed, killing 85 people. The six-storey PGC House also collapsed, killing 18 people, and Christchurch’s tallest building, the 26-storey Hotel Grand Chancellor, was displaced half a metre by the earthquake, and had to be demolished. In total, more than 100,000 homes and other buildings in Christchurch were severely damaged or destroyed by the earthquake, and more than 100 additional buildings were damaged beyond repair by an aftershock in June 2011. Liquefaction Liquefaction was widespread and severe in Christchurch (Figure 2). It has always posed a risk to Christchurch as large parts of the city are underlain by soft sediments, but the problem in 2011 was exacerbated by the unseasonably high water content of the substrata. As the name implies, liquefaction is a natural phenomenon that occurs when soils behave like a liquid and not a solid. A number of conditions determine the likelihood of soils liquefying during an earthquake. These include soil properties such as grain size, the water content of the soil and the severity of the earthquake. During an earthquake the individual soil particles become re-arranged. The resultant shrinkage of the pore spaces causes water to be squeezed out. In built up areas liquefaction can result in the destruction of infrastructure such as roads, pavements and underground pipes . Rupturing of pipes in Christchurch resulted in many schools being closed even though the buildings were relatively intact. Because the soil mass becomes compacted and decreases in volume, subsidence is common. The ground can also shift sideways, a process known as lateral spreading. Preventative measures The most common way to reduce the impact of liquefaction is to increase the strength of foundations. This can involve sinking deeper piles. Part of the AMI Stadium, for example, was reinforced by a vast network of 10 m stone columns covering an area of over 12,000 m2. Unfortunately, even this was not enough to prevent subsidence of two stands by around 40 cm. Structural engineers are now considering driving piles down 25 m to reach solid ground. The February earthquake also resulted in significant slope failure in the southeastern upland Port Hills area. The volcanic rocks forming this southern region have steep slopes. Some are remnants of ancient sea cliffs and are almost vertical. These areas experienced rock and debris falls that caused both fatalities and considerable damage to properties adjacent to the cliff base. Reconstruction Following the September 2010 and February 2011 earthquakes, the government established the Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Authority to spearhead the reconstruction of Christchurch. The estimated cost is £13 billion. The city has been divided into four zones based on the amount of damage, the cost of rebuilding and the ability of the land to sustain future earthquakes. The worst affected residential area, the Red Zone, extends along the banks of the River Avon from the Bexley wetlands at the Avon estuary to Avonside, close to the inner city. Land in this zone suffered considerable lateral spreading associated with liquefaction. The government has agreed to buy over 5,000 of the worst-affected insured properties or the land on which they are built, based on the 2007 rateable value. Under the scheme these homes could not be repaired for at least 3 years. In the Orange Zone there are another 10,000 homes, the fate of which is uncertain until further geotechnical investigation is completed. About 100,000 homes are located in the Green Zone and these are likely to be rebuilt. The process for assessing the White Zone, which includes Port Hills and the central business district, has yet to be fully developed. The demographic impact It was widely reported after the earthquake in Christchurch that 70,000 people had fled the city. However, research on the impact of natural disasters in developed countries would suggest that after 12 months a city of the size of Christchurch (380,000) is likely to have lost only about 10,000 people through outmigration. Before the earthquakes of 2010 and 2011, Christchurch had population growth of about 12,000 a year, mainly due to in-migration. Statistics New Zealand had projected this trend to continue for the next two decades. The rate of increase is now likely to be lower. Some sectors of the city’s economy have suffered enormously but that could be partly offset by new activity in the construction sector. Indeed, 6 months after the earthquake, although unemployment had risen, it was still below the national average. http://www.christchurchquakemap.co.nz Figure 1 Figure 2