1 (12) CLEEN Strategic Research Agenda for the theme Sustainable Production, Handling and Use of Gases for Energy CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 2 (12) Executive summary The role of gas in power production and transportation has increased significantly during the last decade, and this rapid growth is anticipated to continue in the future. The strategic research theme of CLEEN for gas production, handling, and use may be broadly categorized, e.g., as follows: Gas based power production Liquid natural gas (LNG) value chain Future gas production solutions Carbon capture and storage/utilization (CCS/CCU) Hydrogen utilization and economy Based on global trends, business potential, and the Finnish positioning, Finland has significant business opportunities with respect to several of the above-mentioned areas. Especially in gas based power production and LNG there is tremendous near- to mid-term business potential. Also other fields such as renewable gas conversion and certain niche areas may provide significant business opportunities for Finnish players both in near- and long-term. To capture the opportunity and secure the Finnish positioning within the gas related development in the future, several strategic topics are identified and proposed for CLEEN’s Strategic Research Agenda: Gas engine related research and development Small-scale arctic LNG solution research and development Research on renewable and synthetic gas conversion technologies Dedicated technology and solution research and development on identified niche areas, such as fuel cells and CO2 fixation Systemic and conceptual research to identify the future business potential and development needs Background Over the last few years, the importance of (mainly) natural gas use in power production and transportation has increased significantly. This increase was and still is fuelled by several key factors: Sustained high oil prices Increased focus on reducing air quality related emissions to increase the quality of life of people living in the vicinity of “traditionally” fuelled power stations Large discoveries of shale gas and development of low-cost production technology Growing concerns on global warming and ignificant, cost efficient greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reductions which are enabled by utilisation of gas in response for CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 3 (12) The nuclear accident in Yukushima The increased importance of natural gas fuelled power production goes hand in hand with the introduction of significant amounts of renewable energy from wind and solar. Despite the positive development, wind and solar energy are very intermittent in nature. To ensure grid stability and balance between production and consumption, a level of power generation dynamics that cannot simply be achieved using steam cycle based technology is required. Even though being fossil, natural gas is an environmentally sound fuel compared to coal and oil, and hence gas-based power production is bound to increase in connection with large-scale deployment of renewables. In 2012, the global natural gas consumption was 3314 bcm1, which was about 20 % higher than in 2005 (data: BP 2013). In 2012, about 22 % of world’s gas was consumed in the US and 13 % in Russia. In Russia, the consumption has been more connected to the economic growth, and has recently decreased slightly. The most radical change has been in Asia, where the gas consumption has increased nearly 60 % since 2005, with China showing even three-fold figures during the period. The use of natural gas is expected to continue its growth, especially if the expected growing contribution of unconventional gases is realized. Shale gas formations exist in all continents, also in countries that are lacking conventional gas resources and are hence heavily dependent on gas imports today. According to the existing knowledge, the largest shale gas resources exist in China and the US. In the US, shale gas production has expanded rapidly causing a radical collapse of US natural gas prices, and currently there is practically no need for gas imports. In fact the situation has turned the other way round, and there are several on-going investments to transform import terminals to export terminals in the US. According to IEA, gas consumption will increase to 4000 - 5000 bcm by 2035 (see Fig. 1) depending on the expected future climate policies. According to VTT scenario studies, global gas consumption with existing energy and climate policies could increase even close to 6000 bcm by 2035. On the other hand, with tight climate policies (i.e. 2 degree mitigation target), the global gas consumption could stagnate to the current level, especially if investments in carbon capture and storage solutions are not realised early enough. VTT’s studies indicate that the global cumulative investments on gas fired new electricity and CHP production could rice up to 1000 billion € in 2020 and 1500 billion € in 2030. The largest market growth is expected in developing Asia, especially in China. In addition to power generation, the use of natural gas is expected to increase as transport fuel especially in marine sector. Furthermore, the increasing utilisation of natural gas also boosts production of clean synthetic gases from coal and heterogeneous biomass and waste streams as the infrastructure for gas handling develops. Gasification technology enables utilisation of solid fuels both in high efficiency power cycles as well as production of transportation fuels and chemicals. 1 1 bcm (billion cubic meter) = 36 PJ = 10 TWh CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 4 (12) Figure 1. Scenarios for regional gas use (Source: IEA WEO 2012). Gas to power The above mentioned energy megatrends, i.e. renewable energies and the significant increase in the use of gas, combine to create a favourable position for gas-fuelled internal combustion engine based power generation as a source of clean, efficient,highly flexible, and reliable power. Internal combustion engine (together with hydro power), is the most promising production technology that can compensate the intermittency of renewables in an environmentally sound and cost-efficient manner. It has been estimated that in the UK almost 1 billion € annual savings can be achieved by 2020 (Redpoint study in UK 2012) if part of the old capacity is replaced with flexible power generation to balance the intermittency of renewables. This implies that the potential market volume by 2020 can be up to 10 billion € in Europeand even more than 50 billion € globally. In addition to gas-fuelled engines, also fuel cells are a highly potential and efficient technology to convert gas into power. These are more suitable for smaller-scale and decentralized power generation with efficiencies potentially up to more than 55%. LNG value chains Due to the increased use of gas, the importance and utilisation of LNG in transport will increase. There are also further facts that highlight the importance of developing LNG infrastructure, such as: IMO restrictions for bunker fuel sulphur content (max 0,1 %) coming in effect in the beginning of 2015 in SECA areas (including the Baltic Sea) increase the need for LNG fuelled vessels and hence also LNG infrastructure EU directive proposal COM(2013)18 according to EU’s clean fuel strategy sets heavy minimum requirements, e.g., for LNG and compressed natural gas (CNG) fuelling infrastructure CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 5 (12) In Finland there is also pressure to liberate and diversify the gas business to ensure reliable and cost-efficient availability of gas through multiple sources. LNG terminals and handling logistics will play an important role in this, and the Government of Finland is preparing support packages for LNG related investments. Future gas production solutions There are four principle methods to compensate the intermittent nature of renewables: flexible power generation, electricity/energy storages, high capacity transmission grids, and demand control. None of these are either sufficient or optimal alone, and hence they all require attention and further development. For energy storage, the so called Power-to-Gas (P2G) approach provides an interesting alternative as gas is a supreme means to store and transport excess energy. The conversion process of P2G consists of electrolysers using the oversupply of electricity by converting water to hydrogen (H2), which could be stored, sold or further processed with low price carbon dioxide (CO2) and/or monoxide (CO) to methane (CH4) or liquid hydrocarbons. The benefit of processing hydrogen into methane is the possibility to use the whole infrastructure and devices of the natural gas and traditional fossil oil system. The gas can then be utilized either in power generation in engine-based plants and gas turbines, or as transportation fuel. The same approach could also be applied to synthetic natural gas (SNG) production through biomass gasification. One major economic barrier of P2G relates to the periodical nature of renewable electricity oversupply that confines the annual runtimes of P2G equipment significantly below the standard 8000 h/a. On the technical side of P2G, the low conversion efficiency and low lifetime of electrolysers are identified as major drawbacks causing high overall life-cycle costs. In renewable gas production and conversion, thermal gasification where solid fuels can be converted into gaseous intermediates allows clean, cost-efficient and high efficiency production of a wide range of end products including transportation fuels, power and heat, and chemicals. Global markets are growing especially for fluidized bed gasification systems which convert lowgrade wood residues and waste fuels to gas to replace fossil fuels in power and combined heat and power (CHP) plants, and in industrial kilns. In addition, thermal SNG/H2 technologies can be integrated to the electrolysed hydrogen or to the use of off-gases from steel industries providing additional potential for thermal gasification. In addition, biogas production by anaerobic digestion will also create growing market in the centralised waste to energy solutions and transport/SNG applications. Some industrial processes produce large volumes of combustible waste gases, which could be upgraded to valuable products or premium price energy products. In most cases these gaseous side streams are currently used efficiently for energy production by combustion along with other low value fuels. However, the actual value of these gases is higher than that of conventional fuels and thus these gases could be used as raw materials for some more valuable end products. CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 6 (12) CCU/CCS In order to meet the low carbon targets, i.e.,over 85 % reduction in greenhouse gases by 2050, commercialisation of optimized CCS and mid-term CCU is called for. Significant research efforts have been made globally for CCS, but the large-scale implementation is postponed due to low price of CO2 emission allowances and the lack of public acceptance as well we risk sharing incentives. CCU may provide a stepping stone in a relatively short time frame towards realization of CCS investments. In addition, bio-CCS has been identified as one of the most effective ways to reduce the atmospheric CO2 content. Nevertheless, there is still lack of understanding of how well the carbon capture concepts can adapt to the fast load changes and partial loads in the future energy system. Hydrogen utilization and economy Hydrogen can be used for example to store (solar and wind) energy, to power vehicles, to upgrade chemicals into fuels or fuels into higher value products. The vision of futuristic hydrogen economy consists of a production of hydrogen from renewable primary energy sources and nuclear energy, storage of hydrogen, distribution networks, and finally the use of hydrogen to produce high efficiency power and heat with near-zero emissions. Intensive research and demonstration activities concerning hydrogen-based energy systems are ongoing globally. Development of both fuel cell powered vehicles (FCEV) using hydrogen as a fuel and different infrastructure options for distribution of hydrogen are nearing commercialisation. Nevertheless, converting the world to hydrogen economy still requires a lot of R&D&I. Positioning of the Finnish know-how Gas to power Finland has a truly unique position in the area of gas-fuelled internal combustion engines. Finnish companies are among the technology leaders of the world with companies from the US and a small number of other EU countries. Finland also has the only global provider of large gas-fuelled engine based power plants. Academic research is distributed to all over the world, with only few groups specialized in gas. Overall, very little scientific research has been made on high efficiency and low emission gas combustion. Finnish gas combustion related research can be considered as being world class. The development in the Far East and other upcoming regions are gearing up. To maintain the competitive advantage and to capture the significant business potential, the Finnish industry and academia needs to continue to invest in the entire knowledge chain from fundamental research through product development to business operations. CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 7 (12) In the research on fuel cells, there are some active actors in Finland. Especially, know-how on solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) system integration can be considered to be of high class. However, the actual fuel cell technology development is quite far from the state-of-the-art, and there are also major players providing (pre)commercial systems, e.g., in the US, Asia and Germany. In addition, gasification facilitates increased efficiency in thermal waste conversion, as well as replacement of coal by biomass based gas in power boilers. In this sector the technology development and know-how in Finland is at high international level. Overall, due to the know-how of Finnish companies in gas to power business, there is a high potential in gaining a major share of the above-mentioned over 50 billion € annual market by 2020 assuming that the development, marketing, and influencing efforts are correctly directed. LNG value chains In Finland,the whole value chain for gas (transportation, handling, terminals, bunkering and inert gas solutions, integrated power plants) is represented thus enabling the development of comprehensive and complete solutions. The special niche know-how can especially be found in smaller scale LNG systems – most LNG solutions are currently done as large-scale applications, and in Finland there is a need for clearly smaller solutions. These solutions require different approach for concepts and integration, and hence such knowhow can be utilized also in other growing markets for small-scale LNG solution. In addition, another important area for Finnish speciality know-how comes from the arctic climate. There is a need for special LNG solutions for arctic environment (special requirements e.g. for transportation and bunkering solutions, and also for power plant integration). Clear added value could be brought about if the know-how on LNG solutions and arctic conditions can be combined into competitive advantage. It is also recognized that the better education programs are needed on the LNG field, preferably somehow combined with the arctic know-how. The upcoming restrictions set by the International Maritime Organization (IMO) for the Baltic Sea area bring also about interesting business opportunities for Finnish companies. The restrictions will force certain LNG solutions to be taken into use, and if this is utilized wisely, the Baltic Sea can act as a piloting and demonstration platform for new competitive solutions. To conclude, there is a high and global mid- and long-term market potential for Finnish companies in solutions for LNG value chains, but capturing this opportunity requires bringing the key actors together for overall solution development. Future gas production solutions P2G technology units and processes are currently available in the global chemical industry and processing of hydrocarbons. The companies of the Finnish energy cluster are actively introducing new solutions based on local/regional market demands for the global markets. Niche know-how in CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 8 (12) P2G can be found in biomass gasification research and development, and also in development of electrolyser technology based on current fuel cell technology know-how. In thermal gasification, there are world class gasification technology providers in Finland. Finnish companies are globally leading technology suppliers of fluidized bed gasification systems, Longterm R&D activities have created technological basis to produce many alternative end products for the power and heat sector as well as fuels and chemicals. Many units have been installed for utilization of low-cost residues and waste materials as feedstock for CHP. Also small and intermediate size power production by gas engines has been demonstrated with Finnish gasification technology. In Finnish industries, most of the larger gaseous side-streams are utilised today, but primarily for energy production. These gases could, however, be also used for more profitable purposes. but he knowledge how to perform this is not well-established. Industries could benefit from additional value provided by more advanced utilization of these gases (steel mills, oil refineries, etc.). CCU/CCS Finnish top-expertise in the field of carbon capture and storage is found in fixation of CO2 as inorganic carbonate minerals or as fuels or fuel compounds, in oxy-fuel combustion, and in hot solid looping technologies. Also gasification of solid fuels, which is an important component of precombustion capture of CO2, belongs to the key competences of Finnish industries and research organisations Hydrogen utilisation and economy Concerning hydrogen-based energy systems and economy, intensive research and demonstration activities are presently going on abroad. For example, development of fuel cell powered vehicles and different infrastructure options for distribution of hydrogen are nearing commercialisation. In Finland, high level know-how is found especially in the production of hydrogen (gasification, reforming, fermentation etc). In the utilisation side, the main expertise is found in the development of SOFC systems. Production of hydrogen from biomass and waste materials is a topic where the Finnish technology suppliers and R&D organisations could generate novel new processes for renewable hydrogen markets. Identification of the research needs Based on both global and local trends, business potential, and the Finnish positioning, several research needs in the field of gas can be distinguished. These are discussed below for each item separately. CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 9 (12) In case of gas to power concepts, the main strategic research should be focused on how to generate ultra clean, highly efficient and flexible power for marine and off-road transport, power generation, and renewable power balancing. As large gas-fuelled engines are rather new products and very much designed on top of the old diesel-based engines, a lot of development potential is there to push the limits of efficiency, emissions, dynamics and reliability beyond state-of-the-art and to take the technology to the next level. Specific research themes in this category include e.g.: Gas combustion fundamental research and optimization Fuel conditioning and fuel system component research and development Development of engine control and dynamic behaviour to increase reliability and load response capability Exhaust gas after-treatment to further reduce the emission levels Gas to power -related infrastructure aspects, such as LNG and transfer capacity challenges Concerning the SOFC systems, the main strategic research topics include developing costefficiency and reliability of the fuel cell products. In LNG, the main strategic research should be targeted to the whole logistic chain on LNG including transport, handling, and use. Especially, there is a need to develop solutions for smaller scale applications and more specifically, solutions for the arctic horizon. In P2G, the main research needs are on the conceptual level, e.g. what are the key concepts for future energy systems on various markets applying P2G. In addition, integration of P2G with plants producing synthetic fuels from biomass and the development of electrolyser technology should be in focus in FForrenewable gas conversionin general, the strategic research should be focused on developing new applications and whole value chainsfor clean synthetic gases. This is essential for expanding and renewing the Finnish industries for fluidized bed combustion and gasification technologies. Main research topics include for example: System level R&D on new applications of biomass and waste gasification, including new integration opportunities with other renewable energy sources Fundamental research on fluidized bed technologies and utilisation of this know-how on new thermochemical conversion systems For utilisation of gaseous side streams, the major streams in process industry should be identified and the potential to use these gases as a raw material for new more advanced products, like synthetic liquid fuels or SNG, should be evaluated. Benefits could especially be obtained from the integration of new upgrading processes to existing production units. In CCU/CCS, key focus areas of Finnish CCS expertise, such as hot looping cycles based on fluidized bed technology, should be further developed. In addition, research on flexibility of CCS plants is needed. Other targets include the direct use of CO2 as a resource or raw material for valuable fuels or chemicals through combining CO2 with other process gases and/or gases CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 10 (12) produced from biomass. Furthermore, the existing expertise in fixation of CO2 as inorganic carbonate minerals using slags, ashes and mine tailings should be strengthened. When it comes to hydrogen economy, potential hydrogen-based energy concepts are still to be defined. Studies should evaluate technical, environmental and economic feasibility of different concepts in order to find the best solutions. Technology development efforts should be directed to the most promising concepts. In addition, pre-competitive R&D on the production of hydrogen from waste streams and biomass, and related system level studies would be beneficial, but these should be done in close collaboration with the international hydrogen society. Proposal for the Strategic Research Agenda at CLEEN Ltd The Strategic Research Agenda of CLEEN should be focused on the areas that provide significant potential for Finnish industry either in near-term business growth or long-term business potential, and hence enhancing the Finnish economy in both time scales. High level goals for this particular theme of Sustainable production, handling and use of gases for energy are: Finnish parties will have a major share in global markets for gas-fired engine based power generation in 2020 Key actors will be brought together for joint interest and synergies in LNG value chain to enhance the development of relevant niche solutions, enabling a significant market share in arctic and small-scale LNG business by 2020, also in global perspective Finnish actors will be forerunners in the development and commercialization of technologies and solutions related to renewable gas conversion A national network for education of high level experts will be established within thetheme Based on the above discussion on trends, business potential, and the Finnish positioning, the following topics are proposed for the Strategic Research Agenda. Gas engine related research, development and systemic demonstration Small-scale arctic LNG solution research and development with the Baltic Sea as a potential piloting platform Research on renewable gas conversion o Power to gas systems and processes o Synthetic gas processes o Biogas processing Dedicated technology and solution research and development on the identified niche areas, e.g. o SOFC systems and applications o Utilization of gaseous side streams to value added products o Fixation of CO2 as inorganic carbonate minerals CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 11 (12) Systemic and conceptual research on other areas to identify the future business potential and development needs, e.g. o Development of integrated flexible concepts for production of power & synthetic fuel (CCU) o Development of technologies for conversion of CO2 to fuels, fuel components and/or other chemicals o Studies on hydrogen economy (including catalytic routes) and concepts for hydrogen utilization Suggested project & program portfolio for the Theme The Strategic Research Agenda can and should be covered through a variety of different funding instruments that either exist or are under preparation. These include, e.g., new potential SHOK programs, EU projects and programs (Horizon2020, EUREKA…), strategic TEKES initiatives, Energy program of the Academy of Finland and direct funding from Ministries (Environment, Education and Culture, Employment and the Economy, Transport and Communications). In the suggested program portfolio, also the potential identified funding mechanisms have been listed, but these should be understood only as indicative mechanisms. Gas engine related research and development program (e.g. through SHOK program and demonstration e.g. through EU funding) Small-scale arctic LNG solution research and development program (e.g. new strategic TEKES initiative or SHOK program and potential Baltic Sea piloting e.g. through EU funding) Renewable gas conversion o Power to gas systems (e.g. strategic TEKES initiative) o Synthetic gas processing (e.g. through SHOK program or combined with P2G systems) o Biogas (potential to be part of larger program, e.g. within a related SHOK) Systemic research on niche and longer-term areas to capture the potential and to maintain the level of understanding to enable identification of future key development areas (e.g. dedicated EU and TEKES projects) o SOFC system and application development o Catalytic routes to hydrogen economy and renewable hydrogen technologies o Carbon capture and utilisation Participants of the SRA group Sari Siitonen, Gasum (chair) Tero Hottinen, Wärtsilä (deputy chair) Anders Brink, Åbo Akademi University Timo Hyppänen, Lappeenranta University of Technology Riitta Keiski, University of Oulu CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi 12 (12) Jouko Korppi-Tommola, University of Jyväskylä Juha Lehtonen, Aalto University Kai Sipilä, VTT Marjut Suomalainen, VTT (secretary) Responsible author Tero Hottinen, Wärtsilä Finland Oy CLEEN OY Eteläranta 10, P.O. BOX 10, FI-00131 HELSINKI, FINLAND www.cleen.fi