Comment on Air Quality – Propose Exploratory Drilling at Ballinlea (E/2013/0093/F Rathlin Energy Ltd.) Background Information and longer-term Considerations • No long-term study has been done anywhere in the world on the health effects of chronic exposure of human populations to the emissions from gas/oil extraction. Hence, the long-term risk is not known. However, it is known that extended exposure to the radioactive and chemical emissions typically associated with gas/oil operations poses a serious mortality and morbidity risk. • The risk to residents living within a few hundred meters of a well pad may be very significant due to exposure to products of flaring and radon, compressors and pipe networks, when these are transported by the prevailing wind. The long-term risk to such residents, particularly the ill and elderly, the young and the not-yet-born, is likely to be serious. • The atmospheric concentration of highly carcinogenic polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) measured across a natural gas patch in Colorado (taken to represent a typical gas field) was 15.5 ng/m3, 60 times that allowed in UK. This is likely to be the level of PAHs over onshore oil/gas field anywhere and can be expected to have clinical significance. A number of investigations reviewed by Colborn et al (Human and Ecological Risk 2011 vol.17 (5) p 1039-1056) highlight the health risk particularly cancers for those exposed to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. Babies prenatally exposed to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons with a total concentration at much less than 15.5 ng/m3 suffered developmentally. (Vandenberg L, Colborn T, Hayes T, et al. 2012. Endocrine Rev 33(3):378-455). The proposed regulatory regime at Ballinlea would not detect such emissions or control them. • The cumulative effects or synergy of components in emissions needs to be taken into account. Laboratory investigations to determine safety limits typically measure exposure to one chemical at a time, while real-life conditions entail simultaneous exposure to a number of volatile chemicals, with interactions that cannot be predicted. Government standards are typically based on the exposure of a grown man encountering relatively high concentrations of a chemical over a brief time period, for example, during occupational exposure. They do not address the issue of exposure to many chemicals simultaneously which is precisely what a flare emits. • Extended low-level pollution from a wide range of chemicals is known to cause a variety of chronic illnesses – skin irritation, severe headache, eye irritation, sinus problems etc (Steinzor et al. New Solutions 2011 Vol 23(1) p55-88). Common illnesses induced by emissions,with likely prevalence in the neighbourhood of well pads have been documents. McKenzie, Witter, Newman, & Adgate (2012, Science of the Total Environment DOI: 10.1016/j/sciotenv.2012.02.018) examined neurological, respiratory, hematologic and developmental effects in relation to proximity to a gas well and their findings are not consistent with an evaluation of 'low risk'. • Endocrine disruption through chronic exposure to airborne emissions is being urgently discussed worldwide. National emissions standards do not apply to exposure faced by individuals (including pregnant women, children, and the elderly) experiencing chronic, low-level exposure, 24 hours a day 7 days a week in natural gas/oil neighbourhoods. Emission limits do not take account of an atmospheric cocktail of endocrine-disrupting chemicals, which can be particularly harmful during prenatal development and childhood (Colborn et al (Human and Ecological Risk 2011 vol.17 (5) p 1039-1056), Dejmek J, Solansky´ I, Benes I, et al.2000. Environ Health Perspect 108:1159-64). • Emissions and associated smog induced by ozone formed in the hydrocarbon/Noxrich atmosphere over an oil/gas field may critically affect those already ill with a chronic condition such as respiratory or cardiovascular disease. • The risk of persistent organic chemicals/heavy metals entering the food chain is not discussed. Ballinlea is rural. Soil particularly will be contaminated with PAHs for long periods. Bamberger and Oswald (2012 New Solutions 22 (1) 51-77) pointed out the accessibility of toxins from oil/gas fields to the human food chain, via meat and dairy produce, with implications for human health and agriculture. Summary of Objection The applicant has presented an air dispersion study of carbon monoxide (CO) and oxides of nitrogen (NOx) emissions from flaring affecting properties in the prevailing wind from the flare. Use of the wind records data from Belfast airport to undertake air dispersion modelling for houses which are approximately 100 m from the flare is not justified. The applicant states that in the vicinity of the residences located within about 100 metres from the flare, the CO and NOx and VOC levels are likely to be at levels which comply with Air Quality Objectives. In such a critical instance site specific data must be used. There is an imperative particularly here to consider the cumulative effect of all emissions and impacts on residents- chemical, noise, traffic and lighting disturbances. Also, there are at least three other toxic emissions scenarios described below which were not considered by the applicant which may breach Air Quality Objectives. New Air Dispersion Studies on Sulphur Dioxide (SO2), Polyaromatic Hydrocarbons and Particulate Matter (PM) are needed. An appropriate plan for Monitoring and Mitigation of Emissions is needed Air Dispersion Studies Needed i) Sulphur Dioxide (SO2) The applicant states that: “Sulphur dioxide (SO2) has not been examined within this assessment due to the understanding that there is negligible sulphur content in the natural gas.” The data to support this assumption should be provided. The solution gas coming out of any oil during flow testing may be “ wet” and contain sulphur compounds such as mercaptans or thiols and H2S. Modelling of the dispersion of Sulphur Dioxide (SO2) ( which is heavier than air) should be requested. (ii) Polyaromatic Hydrocarbons (PAH) In the vicinity of the residences located within about 80 metres from the flare the polyaromatic hydrocarbon concentration is expected to be above the National Air Quality Objective for Polyaromatic hydrocarbons (0.25 ng/m3 ) and so air dispersion calculations of this are necessary. (iii) Particulate Matter (PM2.5 and PM10) The applicant states that: “Poor combustion and the presence of a smoky flame during the flaring process can lead to the production of fine particulate matter. Concerning this site; its characteristics and its flaring activities, this report is of the opinion that there will be no significant discharge of fine particulate matter and as such has not been examined within this report. This risk needs to be addressed properly. If the flare temperature drops particulates will be produced. This scenario should be modelled to assess the risk of a incomplete combustion of the feed gas entering the flare. Monitoring and Mitigation of Emissions The applicant states that: “On‐site Monitoring During the operational phase of the proposed development on‐site monitoring in the form of diffusion tubes may be conducted, if required, in order to give confidence to Moyle District Council that atmospheric pollutants associated with the drilling and flaring are within acceptable levels. Nitrogen dioxide and VOCs may be measured through the use of diffusion tubes. Methane levels may also be monitored by appropriate methods (i.e. grab samples or use of portable monitoring equipment)” Use of diffusion tubes is likely to be much too slow to give warning of a problem in air quality. In this instance real-time monitoring using Fourier transform infra-red spectroscopy or Flame ionisation detection should be considered. This would be using the best available technology. With regard to methane, this has a molecular weight of 16 and is lighter than air. Monitoring of Methane emissions should take this into account. Professor Lawrence Dunne BSc, MSc, ARCS, PhD The person providing this comment has previous research expertise on modelling soot production (particulates) in flames and polyaromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) formed in thermal decomposition of organic materials. This experience given below is highly relevant to air quality from flaring. Relevant Technical Publications Formation of Twisted AB-Graphitic and Fullerene-Related Tubular Structures During Soot Deposition from the Flaming Combustion of Polymers By L.J Dunne, P.F Nolan, M Terrones, J Munn, A Jones, P Kathirgamanathan, J Fernandez Combustion and Flame Volume 114, Issues 3–4, Pages Pages 591-593 (August–September 1998) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Experimental verification of the dominant influence of extended carbon networks on the structural, electrical and magnetic properties of a common soot By: Dunne, LJ; Nolan, PF; Munn, J; et al. JOURNAL OF PHYSICS-CONDENSED MATTER Volume: 9 Issue: 48 Pages: 10661-10673 Published: DEC 1 1997 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Electrical, magnetic and structural characterization of fullerene soots (vol 8, pg 2127, 1996) By: Dunne, LJ; Sarkar, AK; Kroto, HW; et al. JOURNAL OF PHYSICS-CONDENSED MATTER Volume: 8 Issue: 33 Pages: 6113-6113 Published: AUG 12 1996 Electrical, magnetic and structural characterization of fullerene soots By: Dunne, LJ; Sarkar, AK; Kroto, HW; et al. JOURNAL OF PHYSICS-CONDENSED MATTER Volume: 8 Issue: 13 Pages: 2127-2141 Published: MAR 25 1996 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ELECTRONIC, MAGNETIC, AND STRUCTURAL-PROPERTIES OF AMORPHOUS CARBONS AND THE DISCOVERY OF THE FULLERENES By: DUNNE, LJ; CLARK, AD; CHAPLIN, MF; et al. CARBON Volume: 30 Issue: 8 Pages: 1227-1233 Published: 1992 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ELECTRONIC AND STRUCTURAL-PROPERTIES OF AMORPHOUS SEMICONDUCTING CARBONS PREPARED BY THE THERMAL-DECOMPOSITION OF SULFANILIC ACID IN THE SOLID-STATE By: ROULSTON, SA; DUNNE, LJ; CLARK, AD; et al. PHILOSOPHICAL MAGAZINE B-PHYSICS OF CONDENSED MATTER STATISTICAL MECHANICS ELECTRONIC OPTICAL AND MAGNETIC PROPERTIES Volume: 62 Issue: 3 Pages: 243260 Published: SEP 1990 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- QUASICLASSICAL KINETICS ON THE GROUND-STATE POTENTIAL-ENERGY SURFACE OF CH2 By: MURRELL, JN; DUNNE, LJ CHEMICAL PHYSICS LETTERS Volume: 102 Issue: 2-3 Pages: 155-157 Published: 1983 This paper is about soot formation in flames.