Water Security for Wangaratta DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENT AND PRIMARY INDUSTRIES Options Evaluation and Indicative Costing Phase 2 Project Report | Final Contract No. 306796 August 2014 Options Evaluation and Indicative Costing Water Security for Wangaratta Project no: VW07492 Document title: Options Evaluation and Indicative Costing Document no: Phase 2 Project Report Revision: Final Date: August 2014 Client name: Department of Environment and Primary Industries Client no: Contract No. 306796 Project manager: Simon Lang Author: Simon Lang, Tara Smith, Elisabeth Norman, Peter Corrie, Michelle Freund File name: DMCA/VW07492 Sinclair Knight Merz Pty Ltd (Jacobs) ABN 37 001 024 095 Level 11 452 Flinders Street Melbourne VIC 3000 Australia PO Box 312 T +61 3 8668 3000 F +61 3 8668 3100 www.jacobs.com COPYRIGHT: The concepts and information contained in this document are the property of Sinclair Knight Merz Pty Ltd (Jacobs). Use or copying of this document in whole or in part without the written permission of Jacobs constitutes an infringement of copyright. Final i Options Evaluation and Indicative Costing Document history and status Revision Date Description By Review Approved Draft A 13.06.14 Draft for comment by the Project Steering Committee S. Lang K. Austin K. Austin Final Draft 07.07.14 Updated draft based on Project Steering Committee comments S. Lang K. Austin K. Austin Final 04.08.14 Final, based on further Project Steering Committee comments S. Lang K. Austin K. Austin Final ii Options Evaluation and Indicative Costing Executive Summary Water security for Wangaratta has been a topical issue for several years, and assumed a particularly high profile during the millennium drought and when 2003 bushfires affected the water quality of the Ovens River. In 2013, the Victorian Government announced funding for the Water Security for Wangaratta Project to assess the demand for water in Wangaratta, and consider the best option for improving water security. This first phase of the project estimated that the reliability of Wangaratta’s water supply is 88%, assuming current demands and operating rules, and historic climate conditions. That is, there will be restrictions in 12% of years (or on average a 12% likelihood of restrictions in any one year). This does not meet North East Water’s level of service objective of 90% reliability. The first phase of the project also investigated several options to improve Wangaratta’s reliability of supply: The use of groundwater as a regular supplement to surface water supplies The enlargement of Lake Buffalo by 10 GL (from 24 GL to 34 GL) The use of alternative water sources, such as those identified in North East Water’s Alternative Water Atlas (NEW, 2012) This project forms part of phase two of the Water Security for Wangaratta project. The objective was to undertake a more detailed analysis of the options listed above, and recommend which of them would provide the most benefits, with the least negative impacts, for the best value for money. To do this, concept designs of the three options were completed, and their costs, benefits and impacts were compared using a triple bottom line (TBL) assessment. The options were designed with the aim of providing 90% reliability of supply to Wangaratta under a “return to dry climate” and future (2060) demand scenario. The return to dry climate represents a repeat of climate conditions experienced from 1997/98 to 2008/09. The concept design for the additional groundwater use option involves upgrading the water treatment infrastructure at NEW’s Kerr Street site, and installing two new bores with associated water treatment infrastructure. The first would be located at NEW’s Phillipson Street site. Three options were considered for the location of the second new bore, and the preferred location was Cruse Street (near Kerr Street). Final i Options Evaluation and Indicative Costing The concept design for enlarging Lake Buffalo involves raising the main and secondary embankments by 3.8 m, upgrading the existing primary and secondary spillways, installing a tertiary spillway, installing a new high level outlet, and placing filters in the secondary embankment. The dam would become a fixed crest rather than gated storage, and the full supply level would rise by 2.9 m. During the concept design for the alternative water use option, several potential water sources were considered, including treated trade waste, storm water and effluent from Wangaratta’s waste water treatment plant (WWTP). Recycling effluent from the WWTP to Class A standard, and using it to meet up to 700 ML of industrial, commercial and Wangaratta City Council demands, and 250 ML of non-potable residential demands, was found to be the most viable option. The concept design therefore involves a Class A water treatment plant and a distribution system for the recycled water. Table Error! No text of specified style in document..1 summarises the estimated capital and operating costs, and net present value, for these three options. Although not included in the concept design, the additional groundwater use option may also need a ‘stand-alone’ treatment plant for groundwater to be built at the Faithfull Street Water Treatment Plant (WTP). This would cost an extra $1.5 - 2.0 million. Similarly, although not included in the concept design, an enlarged Lake Buffalo may need a new intake tower and outlet arrangement at an extra cost of $20 - $25 million, and a fish ladder at an additional cost of at least $5 million. Table Error! No text of specified style in document..1 : Indicative costs Option Estimated capital cost Estimated additional operating cost Net present value Additional groundwater use $15 million $260,000*1 $17 million^ Enlarge Lake Buffalo $80 million $0*2 $54 million*3 Alternative water use Notes: $95 million $1,000,000*1 $86 million*4 1 for return to dry climate scenario 2 relative to current operating costs 3 accounts for avoided future dam safety upgrades 4 accounts for avoided costs in developing additional agricultural re-use schemes For the TBL assessment, each option was scored against financial, environmental, social and technical criteria which were selected and weighted in consultation with the Project Steering Final ii Options Evaluation and Indicative Costing Committee. Based on the adopted criteria, additional groundwater use is the highest ranking option (Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..1). Enlarging Lake Buffalo and alternative water use have similar, but much lower TBL scores. The ranking of additional groundwater use as the best option was not sensitive to the weighting of each criterion. For example, the cost drives much of the difference between the TBL score for each option. However, even if financial criteria were excluded, groundwater remained the highest ranked option (Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..2). One reason for this is the additional groundwater use option scored highest on the resilience criterion, because it is a climate independent source of water, and it is not affected by events which may reduce surface water quality (e.g. bushfires and floods). Enlarging Lake Buffalo scored the lowest totals on the environmental and technical criteria, and similarly to the alternative water use option on the social and financial criteria. The large scale of capital investment required to deliver the project was somewhat off-set by the expected third party benefits to irrigators. However the complexity of the works, their impact on terrestrial flora and fauna, and the anticipated price impact for irrigators also contributed to the low TBL score. The large cost of capital works for the alternative water use option also contributed to its relatively low score compared with groundwater. In addition, this option is not expected to reduce the demand for potable water enough to achieve 90% reliability of supply for Wangaratta under return to dry climate scenarios. Potential users of recycled water will also need to be incentivised to switch over from their current potable water supply. In summary, the use of additional groundwater was assessed as the option most likely to improve water security for Wangaratta, and provide the best value for money with the least negative impacts. Final iii Options Evaluation and Indicative Costing TBL assessment scores 0 -20 The Base Case (Option 1) -40 Additional Groundwater Use (Option 2) Enlarge Lake Buffalo (Option 3) -60 -80 Alternative Water Use (Option 4) -100 -120 -140 -160 -180 -200 Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..1 : The TBL assessment score for each option (relative to a base case score of 0) The graph illustrates the TBL assessment score for each option. The Base Case (Option 1) has a score of 0; Additional Groundwater Use (Option 2) has a score of minus 21; Enlarge Lake Buffalo (Option 3) has a score of minus 143; and Alternative Water Use (Option 4) has a score of minus 188. Non-financial (0/40/40/20) 60 The Base Case (Option 1) 40 20 0 Additional Groundwater Use (Option 2) Enlarge Lake Buffalo (Option 3) Alternative Water Use (Option 4) -20 -40 -60 -80 Figure Error! No text of specified style in document..2 : The TBL assessment score for each option, excluding financial criteria The graph illustrates the non-financial TBL assessment score for each option, excluding financial criteria. The Base Case (Option 1) has a score of 0; Additional Groundwater Use Final iv Options Evaluation and Indicative Costing (Option 2) has a score of between 35 and 40; Enlarge Lake Buffalo (Option 3) has a score of between minus 60 and minus 70; and Alternative Water Use (Option 4) has a score of between minus 35 and minus 40. Final v