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Challenges of Party-Building in Latin America
Jorge I. Domínguez, Harvard University
Steven Levitsky, Harvard University
James Loxton, Harvard University
Brandon Van Dyck, Lafayette College
Political parties are the basic building blocks of representative democracy. Political scientists have
long argued that democracy is “unthinkable” (Schattschneider 1942: 1), or at least “unworkable”
(Aldrich 1995: 3), without them. Yet more than three decades after the onset of the Third Wave of
democratization, parties remain weak in much of Latin America. Established parties have
collapsed or weakened in many countries and relatively few new parties have consolidated.1
Yet the party-building experience has not been universally bleak. Several new parties have taken
root in Latin America during the Third Wave, including the Workers’ Party (PT) and Social
Democracy Party (PSDB) in Brazil; the Independent Democratic Union (UDI) and Party for
Democracy (PPD) in Chile; the Farabundo Martí National Liberation Front (FMLN) and
Nationalist Republican Alliance (ARENA) in El Salvador; the Party of the Democratic Revolution
(PRD) in Mexico; the Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN) in Nicaragua; and the
Democratic Revolutionary Party (PRD) in Panama.2 These successful cases suggest that partybuilding is difficult, but not impossible, in contemporary Latin America.
This volume seeks to explain variation in party-building in Latin America. Why do some new
parties take root while others do not? The question has important implications for democracy.
Where parties are weak, or where party systems decompose and are not rebuilt, democracies often
suffer from problems of governability, constitutional crisis, and even breakdown (e.g., Peru,
Venezuela). In contrast, where parties remain strong, or where previously inchoate party systems
become institutionalized, democracies tend to remain stable (e.g., Chile, Uruguay) or become
consolidated (e.g., Brazil, Mexico).
Scholars know little about the conditions that give rise to strong parties. The leading theories of
party and party system development are based almost entirely on studies of the United States and
Western European countries.3 Since almost all of these polities developed stable parties and party
systems, much of the classic literature takes party-building for granted. Thus, while classic studies
like those of Duverger (1954), Lipset and Rokkan (1967), Shefter (1994), and Aldrich (1995)
contributed much to our understanding of the origins and character of parties in the advanced
democracies, they offer less insight into a more fundamental question: Under what conditions do
Of the six party systems that Mainwaring and Scully (1995) scored as “institutionalized,” four have either fully
(Venezuela) or partially (Argentina, Colombia, Costa Rica) collapsed, and of the four party systems that they
classified as “inchoate,” three (Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru) have weakened even further.
2
We score new parties as successful if they win at least 10 percent of the legislative vote in at least five consecutive
national elections.
3
See, for example, Duverger (1954), Downs (1957), Lipset and Rokkan (1967), Panebianco (1988), Kitschelt
(1989), and Aldrich (1995).
1
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stable parties emerge in the first place?
This volume develops a new theoretical framework to explain the success or failure of partybuilding. Building on recent research on new parties in developing and post-communist
countries,4 we argue that parties are most likely to take root when they develop (1) a strong brand
and (2) a robust territorial organization. A strong brand helps parties develop a base of partisans,
or individuals who feel an attachment to the party. Parties with clear brands come to “stand for”
something in the eyes of supporters, who in turn are more likely to turn out for them at election
time. Territorial organizations help parties survive over time. Parties with organized activist bases
are less prone to collapse in the face of early defeats. Thus, although new parties may win
elections without organizations, few of them can lose elections and survive without them.
Neither brands nor organization are easy to come by. Brand development requires programmatic
differentiation and consistency, or, in the absence of these, strong performance in office (Lupu,
this volume). Yet the debt crisis of the 1980s and the neoliberal reforms of the 1990s undermined
government performance and induced many emerging parties to shift programmatically to the
right. The combination of poor performance and programmatic inconsistency hindered brand
development. Indeed, as Roberts’ chapter shows, most new left-of-center parties that implemented
neoliberal reforms eventually collapsed. Organization-building is also difficult in the
contemporary period. Mass media technologies enable politicians to win elections without
activist-based organizations, weakening their incentive to invest in them (Hale 2006; Mainwaring
and Zoco 2007). As Van Dyck’s chapter argues, parties are more likely to build organizations
when access to the state and media is limited, as in the case of parties born under authoritarian
rule. With democratization, however, these incentives to invest in organization weakened.
The volume’s central argument is that successful party-building is most likely to occur under
conditions of intense polarization and conflict. Periods of intense (and often violent) conflict, such
as revolution, civil war, authoritarian repression, and large-scale mobilization facilitate partybuilding by forging strong partisan attachments (and brands), creating powerful incentives for
politicians to build organizations, and generating the kind of “higher cause” that attracts committed
activists (which are essential to building organizations). Many of the most durable parties in Latin
American history were born or consolidated during periods of revolution,5 civil war, 6 or intense
polarization and repression.7 As the volume demonstrates, most of the new parties that took root
in Latin America during the Third Wave were likewise born amid intense polarization and conflict.
Nearly all of the new left parties that consolidated after 1978 either emerged out of violent
revolutionary movements (e.g., FMLN in El Salvador, FSLN in Nicaragua) or resistance to
4
On Latin America, see Mainwaring (1999); Mainwaring and Zoco (2007); and Lupu (forthcoming). On subSaharan Africa, see LeBas (2011); Arriola (2013); and Riedl (forthcoming). On Asia, see Hicken (2009). On the
former Soviet Union, see Hale (2006) and Hanson (2010).
5
For example, the Mexican PRI and the Bolivian MNR.
6
For example, the Liberals and Conservatives in Colombia; the Blancos and Colorados in Uruguay; and the PLN in
Costa Rica.
7
For example, AD and COPEI in Venezuela; the PRD in the Dominican Republic; APRA in Peru; and the Radicals
and Peronists in Argentina.
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authoritarian rule (e.g., PT and PSDB in Brazil, PRD in Mexico, PPD in Chile). Similarly, the two
most successful new right-wing parties in the region (ARENA in El Salvador and the UDI in
Chile) emerged amid intense polarization and perceived leftist threat.
The chapters in the volume make several additional contributions to the emerging literature on
party-building in new democracies.
New Bases of Party Organization. Contemporary parties confront a paradox: territorial
organizations remain critical to long-term party success, but due to the availability of mass media,
politicians no longer need them to get elected. Consequently, party organization is often undersupplied. Several of the volume’s chapters offer insights into what it takes to build robust
organizations in such a context. They show, for example, that organization-building is most likely
where politicians can build upon pre-existing mobilizing structures. These structures take diverse
forms, including ex-guerrilla organizations (Holland), indigenous social movements (Madrid),
private corporations (Barndt), and networks inherited from authoritarian regimes (Loxton).
Eaton’s chapter on failed conservative party-building in the Bolivian east shows how weakening
social movements can hinder party-building efforts.
Our contributors also highlight the importance of financial resources for building durable
organizations. For example, Dargent and Muñoz show how reforms that limited national
politicians’ access to patronage resources hindered party-building efforts in Colombia and Peru.
Yet alternative sources of finance may substitute for patronage resources. Thus, Bruhn’s chapter
highlights the role of (legal) public finance, arguing that generous public subsidies helped new
parties to consolidate in Brazil and Mexico, and Barndt’s chapter argues that an increasing number
of wealthy businesspeople have used private corporations as a means of party-building.
Democracy, Authoritarianism, and Party-Building. It is often assumed that, just as democracy
needs parties, party-building needs democracy. Yet several of the chapters in this volume find that
authoritarianism may facilitate party-building. For example, Loxton shows how authoritarian
successor parties, or those whose leaders had previously occupied important posts in dictatorships,
are more likely to possess an established brand, private sector funding channels, clientelist
networks, and other organizational resources that facilitate party-building. And in his chapter on
new left-wing parties, Van Dyck argues that parties that are born in opposition to authoritarianism
have a stronger incentive to build durable organizations than those born under democracy, largely
because the former lack access to the media and state resources that can substitute for party
organization. Yet origins under authoritarianism may also have costs. Greene’s chapter argues
that because parties that are born in opposition to authoritarian regimes are more likely to attract
ideologically extreme activists, they often become “niche parties” that have difficulty competing
for the median voter—even after democratization.
Rethinking the Role of Leadership and Populism. Dominant or charismatic leaders are widely
viewed as antithetical to party-building. Personalistic leadership and electoral appeals are said to
undermine party organization and hinder brand development. Yet, as several of our chapters show,
popular leaders may also contribute to party-building. In presidential systems such as those in
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Latin America, parties without viable candidates are rarely competitive,8 and non-competitive
parties rarely endure. Indeed, founding leaders have often played a critical role in making new
parties electorally viable (e.g., the PT, Mexican PRD). Likewise, populism, in which personalistic
leaders mobilize subaltern groups against the political and/or economic elite, is similarly viewed as
antithetical to party-building. Populists’ plebiscitary, anti-establishment appeals tend to weaken
existing parties and inhibit the institutionalization of new ones (Weyland 1999, Barr 2009). Yet if
populists weaken parties in the short run, they may (unintentionally) strengthen them in the long
run. Populism polarizes societies, and in many cases (Peronismo in Argentina, Aprismo in Peru,
Chavismo in Venezuela), it triggers sustained conflict between populist and anti-populist forces.
As the chapter by Levitsky and Zavaleta argues, such conflicts often generate strong partisan
identities and activist bases, which may provide the basis for durable party organizations.
***
The volume’s main audience will be scholars of Latin American politics and party politics. It
should be widely assigned in graduate and upper-division undergraduate classes on Latin
American politics, and in graduate courses on political parties. Indeed, given the quality of the
contributors,9 we expect the entire book to be assigned in many courses. Our model is Mainwaring
and Scully’s Building Democratic Institutions (Stanford, 1995), which shaped the agenda for the
study of Latin American party systems for a generation. Its introduction and other chapters are
still routinely assigned in undergraduate and graduate-level courses.
The volume complements recent or forthcoming Cambridge books on party-building in Africa
(Arriola, Riedl), Asia (Hicken), and the former Soviet Union (Hale, Hanson), and it fits well into
CUP’s recent collection of books on Latin American parties and party systems, including Hunter
on the PT, Greene on dominant-party rule in Mexico, Kitschelt et al. on Latin American party
systems, Van Cott and Madrid on indigenous parties, and forthcoming books by Lupu and Roberts.
At the same time, our book’s focus on party-building is distinctive. Recent books on Latin
American parties focus mainly on party system collapse (Lupu, forthcoming; Morgan 2011;
Seawright 2012) or the sources of programmatic party competition (Kitschelt et al. 2010;
Hagopian, forthcoming). With the exception of the Van Cott and Madrid books on indigenous
parties, none of these works examines party-building. Because we develop a new theory of partybuilding that travels beyond Latin America, the volume should be read (and assigned) not only by
scholars of Latin America, but also by students of parties more generally.
8
9
See Samuels and Shugart (2010).
Bruhn, Dargent, Eaton, Greene, Levitsky, Luna, Lupu, Madrid, Roberts, and Samuels are all Cambridge authors.
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Duverger, Maurice (1954) Political Parties: Their Organization and Activity in the Modern
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Greene, Kenneth F. (2007) Why Dominant Parties Lose: Mexico’s Democratization in
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Hagopian, Frances (forthcoming). Reorganizing Political Representation in Latin America:
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Hale, Henry E. (2006) Why Not Parties in Russia? Democracy, Federalism, and the State. New
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Hanson, Stephen E. (2010) Post-Imperial Democracies: Ideology and Party Formation in Third
Republic France, Weimar Germany, and Post-Soviet Russia. New York: Cambridge University
Press.
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Hunter, Wendy (2010) The Transformation of the Workers’ Party in Brazil, 1989-2009. New
York: Cambridge University Press.
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Levitsky, Steven and Kenneth M. Roberts, eds. (2011) The Resurgence of the Latin American
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Table of Contents
Introduction: Explaining Party-Building in Latin America
Steven Levitsky, James Loxton, and Brandon Van Dyck
This introductory chapter examines the challenges of party-building in Latin America and
develops a new framework for understanding variation in success and failure among new parties
formed in the region since 1978. The chapter begins by defining and operationalizing successful
party-building (winning at least 10 percent of the legislative vote in 5 consecutive elections) and
demonstrating that only 11 new parties have crossed this threshold since the onset of the third
wave. Most new parties have failed. It then argues that the relative lack of successful new
parties cannot be explained in terms of institutional design or societal cleavages. The chapter
argues that party-building success is caused by three key factors: (1) a party brand, (2) a robust
territorial organization, and (3) sources of elite cohesion. These three factors do not often arise
in the context of peaceful democratic competition. Instead, the chapter argues that they are
almost always the products of episodes of intense polarization and conflict, such as revolution,
civil war, authoritarian repression, and waves of social mobilization. The final section discusses
the theoretically contentious role of four factors in party-building: (1) authoritarianism, (2)
access to the state, (3) party leadership, and (4) populism.
Chapter 2: Building Party Brands in Argentina and Brazil
Noam Lupu
Successful mass parties need to build a stable base of partisans, or citizens who feel an affinity
with the party. One important determinant of whether new parties succeed in building a partisan
base is their ability to develop a strong brand. Party brands give voters an idea of the type of
citizen a particular party represents. When parties offer a demonstrably consistent brand, voters
attracted to that brand are more likely to form lasting attachments. Partisanship also depends on
voters’ ability to distinguish among competing parties. Voters form stronger attachments to a
party when they see important differences between their party and its competitors. This chapter
examines whether these branding dynamics help to account for the rise and fall of partisan
attachments with new parties in Argentina and Brazil in the 1990s and 2000s.
Chapter 3: Historical Timing, Political Cleavages, and Party-Building in Latin America
Kenneth M. Roberts
Party systems in the “third wave” of democracy are often thought to be unstable because they have
weaker mass organizations than those founded during earlier cycles of democratization. The
recent Latin American experience suggests, however, that the stability of party systems is not
strictly determined by their age or historical period of foundation. Well-defined left-right
cleavages forged during the dual transitions to democracy and market liberalism could exert a
stabilizing effect on party systems—even relatively new ones formed during the third wave.
Conversely, dual transitions that de-aligned party systems programmatically tended to destabilize
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them electorally. The consequences of aligning and de-aligning patterns are explored through a
comparative analysis of critical junctures in Brazil, Ecuador, El Salvador, and Venezuela.
Chapter 4: The Paradox of Adversity: New Left Party Survival and Collapse in Brazil,
Mexico, and Argentina
Brandon Van Dyck
This chapter argues that adverse conditions facilitate the creation of durable political parties.
Most new parties collapse because they do not have strong organizations with committed
activists and, consequently, do not survive early electoral setbacks. Paradoxically, new parties
with strong organizations and committed activists are most likely to emerge under conditions of
adversity. Elites with low access to patronage, finance, and mass media must undertake the
slow, laborious, autonomy-reducing work of organization-building in order to contend for
national power. Because organization-building is time-consuming, labor-intensive, and nonremunerative at the grassroots level, the process selects for ideologically driven, committed
activists and leaders. The chapter illustrates this argument through a comparison of three
recently emerged left-wing parties in Latin America: two that survived early electoral crises
(Brazil’s PT and Mexico’s PRD) and one that did not (Argentina’s FREPASO).
Chapter 5: Authoritarian Inheritance and Conservative Party-Building: Chile’s UDI and
El Salvador’s ARENA in Comparative Perspective
James Loxton
This chapter examines the phenomenon of authoritarian successor parties, or parties founded by
incumbents of defunct dictatorships that remain widely associated with the old regime. Such
parties have been surprisingly successful, particularly among new conservative parties in Latin
America. What explains their success? This chapter argues that the answer is authoritarian
inheritance: authoritarian successor parties often inherit valuable resources from former
dictatorships that can help them to flourish under democracy. Such resources include a party
brand, territorial organization, sources of cohesion, clientelistic networks and close ties to
business elites. The chapter illustrates this argument through an examination of two successful
new conservative parties in Latin America: the Independent Democratic Union (UDI) in Chile
and the Nationalist Republican Alliance (ARENA) in El Salvador.
Chapter 6: The Niche Party: Regime Legacies and Party-Building Pathologies in New
Democracies
Kenneth Greene
Niche parties are created by political outsiders in competitive authoritarian regimes and other
situations of multiparty competition where the incumbent benefits from dramatic advantages. As
a result, their organizations are built to survive under difficult conditions and feature inwardlooking, hermetic practices designed to protect their identities. Niche parties exhibit partybuilding pathologies. First, they produce candidates and leaders whose policy preferences are
out-of-step with the average voter—a finding that runs counter to standard theory about the
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relationship between intra-party actors and inter-party competition. Second, they represent
minority core constituencies in the electorate and are poor vehicles for winning public
office. Finally, where niche parties take root, their organizations reproduce these practices even
after transitions to fully competitive elections. Niche parties thus demonstrate tremendous path
dependency, rather than responding quickly to changes in the institutional environment as most
rational choice theories of party organization would predict.
Chapter 7: Successful Party-Building in Stable Party Systems: The Cases of the UDI
(Chile) and Frente Amplio (Uruguay)
Juan Pablo Luna
This chapter presents a comparative analysis of the electoral strategies of the UDI in Chile and
the Frente Amplio (FA) in Uruguay, two recent instances of successful party-building. It
illustrates how, over time, the UDI and the FA became socially rooted and achieved national
significance, focusing on the patterns of party-society linkages (which progressively allowed
electoral rootedness to take hold and endure) and how they are linked to specific organizational
features of each party. The comparative analysis highlights how the elements identified in the
introduction to the volume (a party brand, a territorial organization, and sources of elite
cohesion) help explain the successful building of the UDI and FA, albeit in different ways.
Chapter 8: Money for Nothing? Public Financing and Party-Building in Latin America
Kathleen Bruhn
Scholars of new democracies argue that public funding of political parties can provide insurance
against anarchic and unstable party systems. The authors of this volume argue that successful
new parties are most likely to emerge in the context of intense polarization and conflict. This
chapter argues that public finance of parties is most critical at the second stage of new party
development. Public finance helps to ensure the survival of new parties once the initial
investment of resources to establish an electoral presence has been exhausted, since it provides
both incentives and resources for parties to invest in an organizational presence throughout the
national territory. However, public funding is not an effective tool for building voter loyalties or
the construction of a party brand.
Chapter 9: Sub-National Ties and Party-Building: Examples from Colombia and Peru
Eduardo Dargent and Paula Muñoz
This chapter highlights the importance of sub-national state resources for successful party
aggregation and, hence, party-building. The chapter does so by showing how political reforms
can affect parties’ control over the distribution of resources at the sub-national level and thus
weaken party linkages across the territory. In the absence of other conditions that favor partybuilding, these reforms make party aggregation more difficult, limiting the possibility of a
resurgence of political organizations. The cases of Colombia and Peru, two countries in which
political elites pursued important reforms amidst a severe political crisis, allow us to show the
mechanisms at work. By overlooking the importance of the concentration/dispersion of sub-10-
national resources for party aggregation, reformers hindered party-building efforts in both
countries. In this new institutional context, party-building has been largely unsuccessful in both
cases.
Chapter 10: The Corporate Path to Durable Parties
William Barndt
New stable parties have been rare in contemporary Latin America. Yet one possible road to
successful party-building has remained largely unexamined. In much of the region, individual
corporations have spearheaded the construction of their own parties. This chapter argues that an
affinity exists between corporation-based party-building and the development of several of the
attributes associated with party durability. As such, there is good reason to expect that
corporation-based party-building represents a new path to lasting political parties. Drawing on
original research, this chapter examines how parties have been constructed by supermarkets,
breweries, and agro-industrial firms in Panama, Ecuador, Bolivia, and elsewhere in Latin
America. While corporation-based parties are unlikely to resemble conservative parties of the
past, they may represent a new face of party politics in the region.
Chapter 11: Obstacles to Ethnic Parties in Latin America
Raúl L. Madrid
Ethnic parties in Latin America have typically had little electoral success. This chapter argues
that this is due to resource disadvantages and low levels of ethnic consciousness in the region.
Widespread mestizaje has blurred ethnic boundaries and weakened ethnic attachments, and the
high levels of poverty in indigenous and Afro-Latino communities have meant that parties that
originate in these communities have few local resources upon which to draw. Ethnic parties that
succeeded overcame these disadvantages in two ways. First, they reached out to members of all
ethnic groups by using traditional populist strategies in addition to an inclusive ethnic appeal.
Second, they forged alliances with various social movements, which provided them with human
as well as material resources. This chapter explores these arguments through an analysis of two
cases of relative success (MAS in Bolivia and Pachakutik in Ecuador) and two cases of failure
(Movimiento Indígena Pachakuti in Bolivia and Winaq in Guatemala).
Chapter 12: Insurgent Successor Parties: Scaling Down to Build a Party After War
Alisha Holland
The chapter analyzes why some insurgent organizations have formed successful parties and others
have floundered after demobilization. It theorizes about the distinctive organizational inheritances
of insurgent groups stemming from their origins in violence, and argues that investments in
subnational elections can help armed actors become successful parties. Subnational elections open
political careers to former fighters and help dilute polarizing brands by showing that former
fighters can govern. The comparison of two insurgent successor parties that held great promise
during their early stages, the FMLN in El Salvador and AD M-19 in Colombia, helps to illustrate
the argument. The chapter speaks to theoretical debates on the impact of electoral decentralization
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on party-building, and to the question about when armed groups like the FARC become viable
political contenders.
Chapter 13: Party-Building in Brazil: The Rise of the PT in Perspective
David Samuels and Cesar Zucco Jr.
This chapter explains variation in the evolution of mass partisanship across Brazil’s parties,
focusing on the Workers’ Party (PT). Most Brazilians do not identify with any party, but about
25% self-identify as petistas. Only the PT has captured the partisan loyalties of a sizable slice of
the electorate. How did the PT grow from a footnote in Brazil’s party system in the early 1980s
to a dominant player today? The emergence of widespread partisanship for the PT is
theoretically puzzling because comparative research predicts weak partisanship for all Brazilian
parties, and because the PT’s partisan base grew even as its leaders abandoned its leftist positions
and entered a confusing array of electoral coalitions. This chapter argues that the growth of
petismo is not due to the fact that the PT has been in power since 2003 or because it has held
power during relatively good times. Instead, the PT grew relative to its competitors because it
combined organizational cohesiveness with member inclusiveness. That is, variation in partybuilding in the electorate can be traced to the relationship between parties’ organizational
structure and the way that parties engage voters and organized civil society.
Chapter 14: Why No Party-Building in Peru?
Steven Levitsky and Mauricio Zavaleta
Peru may be the most extreme case of party collapse in Latin America. Every new party created
after 1990 has collapsed, failed to achieve national significance, or remained a personalistic
vehicle. Parties have been replaced by “coalitions of independents,” or tickets composed of free
agents that are cobbled together for elections and then dissolve. This chapter examines why
parties have not been re-built in post-Fujimori Peru. Although this outcome is partly explained
by the theoretical framework presented in the Introduction, the chapter argues that it is also a
product of path dependence. After parties collapsed, politicians developed alternative strategies
(partisan free agency, coalitions of independents) and technologies (use of businesses and media
outlets as “party substitutes,” subcontracting of activists for campaigns) that allowed them to win
elections without parties. The diffusion and informal institutionalization of these non-party
strategies and technologies further weakened incentives for party-building, and electoral
competition appears to select for politicians who make effective use of these strategies.
Chapter 15: Challenges of Party-Building in the Bolivian East
Kent Eaton
This chapter seeks to explain why the eastern autonomy movement that brought Bolivia to the
brink of civil war in 2008 has failed to create a viable political party. The failure of the eastern
opposition to President Evo Morales is especially puzzling given the presence of three elements
considered critical for party-building: brand attachments forged by identity-based social
movements, preexisting territorial organization, and high levels of elite cohesion. The chapter
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explains this puzzle by examining two important (exogenous and endogenous) phenomena.
First, since 2008 Morales has succeeded in driving a wedge between political and economic
elites in the east, whose former cohesion fueled the movement for autonomy and whose apparent
divorce has obstructed party-building. Second, party-building has been further hindered by
internal divisions among eastern political elites and by the weakening of the territorial
organization (Comité Pro-Santa Cruz) that had coordinated the movement for autonomy in the
east.
Chapter 16: Past the Poof Moment: Cuba’s Future Political Parties
Jorge I. Domínguez
This chapter considers the possible contours of Cuba’s party system after a hypothetical regime
change or at least the holding of free, competitive elections. It examines social cleavages,
societal changes that may blur inferences from the past, the parties of the last pre-authoritarian
period, and electoral laws. The chapter also compares the Communist Party of Cuba to Eastern
European communist parties after the transition to democracy. It argues that regionalism, race,
religion, and class are unlikely to anchor new parties. Instead, a “party of power,” indispensable
for any ruling coalition, will likely emerge as a core in the four-way splinter of the Communist
Party. This split would also yield leftist-intransigent, national-patriotic parties, and social
democratic parties, all with roots in Cuba, 1902-1958 and 1959-2013. Cuba’s rapidly aging
population may split the elderly-Red vote between the first three successors of the Communist
Party, giving social democrats a chance to govern in alliance with the party of power.
Conclusion
Jorge I. Domínguez
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Contributors
Editors
JORGE I DOMINGUEZ is the Antonio Madero Professor for the Study of Mexico and Vice
Provost for International Affairs at Harvard University. He is the author of Cuba: Order and
Revolution (Harvard University Press, 1978) and Cuba hoy: Analizando su pasado, imaginando
su futuro (Editorial Colibrí, 2006). He is also author and co-editor of Cuban Economic and
Social Development: Policy Reforms and Challenges in the 21st Century (Harvard University
David Rockefeller Center for Latin American Studies, 2012) and Debating U.S.-Cuban
Relations: Shall We Play Ball? (Routledge, 2011). He is a past editor of the journal Cuban
Studies and a past president of the Latin American Studies Association.
STEVEN LEVITSKY is Harvard College Professor and Professor of Government at Harvard
University. He is author of Transforming Labor-Based Parties in Latin America: Argentine
Peronism in Comparative Perspective (Cambridge University Press, 2003), co-author of
Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes after the Cold War (Cambridge University Press,
2010), and co-editor of Argentine Democracy: The Politics of Institutional Weakness
(Pennsylvania State University Press, 2005), Informal Institutions and Democracy: Lessons from
Latin America (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2006), and The Resurgence of the Latin
American Left in Latin America (Johns Hopkins University Press, 2011). He is currently writing
a book on the durability of revolutionary regimes.
JAMES LOXTON is a PhD candidate in the Department of Government at Harvard
University. He has published on the topic of populism and competitive authoritarianism in the
Andes. His current research is on conservative party-building in Latin America, and on new
parties with deep roots in defunct authoritarian regimes.
BRANDON VAN DYCK is an assistant professor of Government and Law at Lafayette College.
He works in comparative politics, with interests in political parties, regimes and regime change,
and Latin American politics.
Chapter Authors
WILL BARNDT is Assistant Professor of Political Studies at Pitzer College in Claremont, CA.
He received his PhD in Politics from Princeton University. His book manuscript, Democracy for
Sale: Corporation-Based Parties and the New Conservative Politics in the Americas,
demonstrates that particular business conglomerates are constructing their own parties and party
factions throughout much of the western hemisphere. He has published his research in World
Politics, Latin American Politics and Society, Journal of Politics in Latin America, and in edited
volumes.
KATHLEEN BRUHN is Professor of Political Science at the University of California, Santa
Barbara. Her recent publications include “Electing Extremists? Party Primaries and Legislative
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Candidates in Mexico” (Comparative Politics, 2013); “‘To Hell with your Corrupt Institutions!’:
AMLO and Populism in Mexico,” in Populism in Europe and the Americas: Threat or
Corrective to Democracy? (Cambridge University Press 2012); and “Too Much Democracy?
Primaries and Candidate Success in Mexico’s 2006 National Elections” (Latin American Politics
and Society, 2010). She is the author of Taking on Goliath: The Emergence of a New Left Party
and the Struggle for Democracy in Mexico (Pennsylvania State University Press, 2004) and
Urban Protest in Mexico and Brazil (Cambridge University Press, 2008), and co-author of
Mexico: The Struggle for Democratic Development (University of California Press, 2001 and
2006).
EDUARDO DARGENT earned his PhD in Government from the University of Texas at Austin.
He is associate professor of Political Science at the Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. His
research focuses on comparative public policy, democratization and the state in the developing
world. He is the author of Demócratas precarios: Élites y debilidad democrática en América
Latina (Instituto de Estudios Peruanos, 2009).
KENT EATON is Professor of Politics at the University of California, Santa Cruz. Focusing on
territorial politics in Latin America, his research examines the causes and consequences of
reforms that redistribute authority between national and subnational governments. His coauthored and co-edited works on decentralization include Making Decentralization Work:
Democracy, Development and Security (Lynne Rienner Press, 2010), The Democratic
Decentralization Programming Handbook (USAID, 2009), and The Political Economy of
Decentralization Reforms: Implications for Aid Effectiveness (The World Bank, 2010). His
recent articles have appeared in Comparative Politics, Comparative Political Studies, and the
Journal of Latin American Studies.
KENNETH GREENE is Associate Professor of Government at the University of Texas at
Austin. His first book, Why Dominant Parties Lose: Mexico’s Democratization in Comparative
Perspective (Cambridge University Press, 2007), won the 2008 Best Book Award from the
Comparative Democratization Section of the American Political Science Association. In
addition to his work on authoritarian regimes and democratization, he is Principal Investigator on
the Mexico 2012 Panel Study, a multi-wave public opinion project. His current work focuses on
vote-buying in authoritarian and democratic contexts and on party systems in new democracies
emerging from authoritarian rule.
ALISHA HOLLAND is a PhD candidate in the Department of Government at Harvard
University. She has published on the political repercussions of rising crime in El Salvador. Her
current research focuses on the politics of property law enforcement in Latin American cities.
JUAN PABLO LUNA is Associate Professor in the Instituto de Ciencia Política at the Pontificia
Universidad Católica de Chile. His research focuses on political parties and democratic
representation, the political effects of inequality, and the nature of state institutions. He is the
co-author of Latin American Party Systems (Cambridge University Press, 2010). His dissertation
was awarded the 2008 Juan Linz Best Dissertation Award by the Comparative Democratization
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Section of APSA and is forthcoming at Oxford University Press. His work has appeared in
Comparative Political Studies, Política y Gobierno, Revista de Ciencia Política, Latin American
Politics and Society, International Political Science Review, Third World Quarterly, Journal of
Latin American Studies, Journal of Democracy, Perfiles Latinoamericanos, and
Democratization. He has held visiting positions at Princeton University (2008), Brown
University (2011), and Harvard University (2013).
NOAM LUPU is Assistant Professor of Political Science and Trice Faculty Scholar at the
University of Wisconsin-Madison. His current book project, Party Brands in Crisis, explores
how the dilution of party brands eroded partisan attachments in Latin America and facilitated the
collapse of established parties. His dissertation won the 2012 Gabriel A. Almond Award and the
Juan Linz Prize from the American Political Science Association. His research has appeared or
is forthcoming in American Journal of Political Science, American Political Science Review,
Comparative Political Studies, Electoral Studies, and Latin American Research Review.
RAUL L. MADRID is Professor in the Department of Government at the University of Texas at
Austin. He is the author of The Rise of Ethnic Politics in Latin America (Cambridge University
Press, 2012) and Retiring the State: The Politics of Pension Privatization in Latin America and
Beyond (Stanford University Press, 2003), and is a co-editor of Leftist Governments in Latin
America: Successes and Shortcomings (Cambridge University Press, 2010). His articles have
appeared in Comparative Politics, Electoral Studies, Journal of Latin American Studies, Latin
American Politics and Society, Latin American Research Review, Political Science Quarterly,
and World Politics.
PAULA MUÑOZ earned her PhD in Government from the University of Texas at Austin. She is
associate professor of Social and Political Science at the Universidad del Pacífico. Her
dissertation explores the use of electoral clientelism in Peru, a country with weak political
parties. Her research focuses on political parties, electoral campaigns, sub-national politics, and
public policy.
KENNETH M. ROBERTS is a Professor of Government at Cornell University, with a
specialization in Latin American political economy and the politics of inequality. He is the
author of Deepening Democracy? The Modern Left and Social Movements in Chile and
Peru (Stanford University Press, 1998), and the co-editor of The Diffusion of Social
Movements (Cambridge University Press, 2010) and The Resurgence of the Latin American Left
(Johns Hopkins University Press, 2011). His current work explores the transformation of party
systems and political representation in Latin America’s neoliberal era.
DAVID SAMUELS is Distinguished McKnight University Professor of Political Science at the
University of Minnesota. His most recent book (with Matthew Shugart) is Presidents, Parties,
and Prime Ministers (Cambridge University Press, 2010). He is also the author of the
introductory textbook Comparative Politics (Pearson Higher Education, 2012), and serves as the
co-editor of Comparative Political Studies.
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MAURICIO ZAVALETA holds an undergraduate degree in political science from the Pontificia
Universidad Católica del Perú. He is the author of Coalitions of Independents: The Unwritten
Rules of Electoral Politics in Peru (Instituto de Estudios Peruanos, forthcoming). He has
published articles on subnational politics, political parties, and social conflict around mining
activities in Peru.
CESAR ZUCCO Jr. is assistant professor at the Fundação Getúlio Vargas’ Brazilian School of
Public and Business Administration. He was previously assistant professor in the Political
Science Department at Rutgers, and has held visiting positions and postdoctoral fellowships at
Princeton and Yale. He has published articles and chapters on electoral politics, political parties,
executive-legislative relations, ideology, and social policy, and his work has appeared in the
American Journal of Political Science, Journal of Politics, and Legislative Studies Quarterly.
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