TFEIP – Expert panel on projections
11 August 2014
Requirement for projections
Summary
Pollutants with mandatory reporting of projections:
SO2, NOx, VOCs, NH3 and PM2,5
The informative inventory report shall also provide information on projections.
PM2.5 projections will be mandatory from 2015 (see timeline for reporting).
Rationale:
According to the 1999 Protocol to Abate Acidification, Eutrophication and Ground-level Ozone to the
Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution, as amended on 4 May 2012 (ECE/EB.AIR/114
(Article 3, basic obligations and article 7, reporting)):
Article 7
Reporting
1. Subject to its laws and regulations and in accordance with its obligations under the present
Protocol:
(a) Each Party shall report, through the Executive Secretary of the Commission, to the
Executive Body, on a periodic basis as determined by the Parties at a session of the Executive
Body, information on the measures that it has taken to implement the present Protocol.
Moreover:
(i) Where a Party applies different emission reduction strategies under article 3,
paragraphs 2 and 3, it shall document the strategies applied and its compliance with the
requirements of those paragraphs;
(ii) Where a Party judges certain limit values, as specified in accordance with article 3,
paragraphs 3 and 7 not to be technically and economically feasible, taking into
consideration the costs and advantages, it shall report and justify this;
(b) Each Party within the geographical scope of EMEP shall report to EMEP through the
Executive Secretary of the Commission the following information for the emissions of sulphur
dioxide, nitrogen oxides, ammonia, volatile organic compounds and particulate matter on
the basis of guidelines prepared by the Steering Body of EMEP and adopted by the Executive
Body:
(i) Levels of emissions using, as a minimum, the methodologies and the temporal and
spatial resolution specified by the Steering Body of EMEP;
(ii) Levels of emissions in the reference year as specified in annex II using the same
methodologies and temporal and spatial resolution;
(iii) Data on projected emissions; and;
(iv) An Informative Inventory Report containing detailed information on reported
emission inventories and emission projections;
Timeline for mandatory reporting of projections:
Projections shall be reported every four years from 2015, for the year 2020, 2025 and 2030 and
where available, also for 2040 and 2050, by 15 March.
Rationale:
Decision 2013/4 “Reporting of emissions and projections data under the Convention and its protocols
in force” (ECE/EB.AIR/122/Add.1, annex IV, (b)) and Guidelines for Reporting Emissions and
Projections Data under the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution (ECE/EB.AIR/125,
C, 44)) provide the rationale:
ECE/EB.AIR/122/Add.1, annex IV, (b):
Parties to the Gothenburg Protocol within the geographical scope of EMEP shall regularly update their
projections and report every four years from 2015 onward their updated projections, for the years 2020,
2025 and 2030 and, where available, also for 2040 and 2050
ECE/EB.AIR/125, C four yearly reporting, paragraph 44:
Parties to the Gothenburg Protocol within the geographical scope of EMEP shall regularly update their
projections and report every four years from 2015 onward their updated projections, for the years 2020, 2025
and 2030 and, where available, also for 2040 and 2050. (Parties to the other Protocols are encouraged to
regularly update their projections and report every four years from 2015).
Non mandatory projections:
As detailed by the guidelines for reporting emissions and projections data under the Convention on
Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution (ECE/EB.AIR/125, C, 44), Parties to the other Protocols are
encouraged to regularly update their projections and report every four years from 2015. There are no mandatory
requirement for POP, heavy metals, PM10, TSP and black carbon.
1999 Protocol to Abate Acidification, Eutrophication and Ground-level Ozone to the Convention
on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution, as amended on 4 May 2012 (ECE/EB.AIR/114)
Article 3 Basic obligations
...
11 ter: Each Party shall develop and maintain inventories and projections for the emissions of
sulphur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, ammonia, volatile organic compounds, and particulate matter.
Parties within the geographic scope of EMEP shall use the methodologies specified in guidelines
prepared by the Steering Body of EMEP and adopted by the Parties at a session of the Executive Body.
Parties in areas outside the geographic scope of EMEP shall use as guidance the methodologies
developed through the workplan of the Executive Body.
...
Article 7 Reporting
1. Subject to its laws and regulations and in accordance with its obligations under the present
Protocol:
...
1 (b) Each Party within the geographical scope of EMEP shall report to EMEP through the Executive
Secretary of the Commission the following information for the emissions of sulphur dioxide,
nitrogen oxides, ammonia, volatile organic compounds and particulate matter on the basis of
guidelines prepared by the Steering Body of EMEP and adopted by the Executive Body:
(i) Levels of emissions using, as a minimum, the methodologies and the temporal and spatial
resolution specified by the Steering Body of EMEP;
(ii) Levels of emissions in the reference year specified in annex II using the same methodologies and
temporal and spatial resolution;
(iii) Data on projected emissions;
…
(d) Each Party should also report, where available, its emissions inventories and projections for
emissions of black carbon, using guidelines adopted by the Executive Body.
2. The information to be reported in accordance with paragraph 1 (a) shall be in conformity with a
decision regarding format and content to be adopted by the Parties at a session of the Executive
Body. The terms of this decision shall be reviewed as necessary to identify any additional elements
regarding the format or the content of the information that is to be included in the reports.
…
6. Notwithstanding article 7, paragraph 1 (b), a Party may request the Executive Body for permission
to report a limited inventory for a particular pollutant or pollutants if:
(a) The Party did not previously have reporting obligations under the present Protocol or any other
protocol for that pollutant; and
(b) The limited inventory of the Party includes, at a minimum, all large point sources of the pollutant
or pollutants within the Party or any relevant PEMA.
The Executive Body shall grant such a request annually for up to five years after entry into force of
the present Protocol for a Party, but in no case for reporting of emissions for any year after 2019.
Such a request will be accompanied by information on progress toward developing a more complete
inventory as part of the Party’s annual reporting.
Decision 2013/4 Reporting of emissions and projections data under the Convention and its
protocols in force ECE/EB.AIR/122/Add.1
1. Decide to revoke decisions 2002/10, 2005/1 and 2008/16 with effect from 1 January 2015 and that
the specific requirements on reporting of emissions and projections data under the Convention and
its protocols in force shall from that date be those set out in the decisions contained in annexes I to
IV to this decision;
2. Further decide that the Guidelines referred to in the annexes to this decision shall be the
Guidelines adopted through decision 2013/3, noting that no revision to the Guidelines will affect
this specification unless and until it has been expressly so decided by the Parties meeting within
the Executive Body.
Annex IV
The Parties to the 1994 Protocol on Further Reduction of Sulphur Emissions (1994 Sulphur Protocol),
the 1998 Protocol on Heavy Metals, the 1998 Protocol on Persistent Organic Pollutants and the 1999
Protocol to Abate Acidification, Eutrophication and Ground-level Ozone (Gothenburg Protocol),
respectively,
Acting under article 5, paragraphs 1 (b) and 2, of the 1994 Sulphur Protocol, article 7, paragraph 1
(b) of the Protocol on Heavy Metals, article 9, paragraph 1 (b), of the Protocol on POPs and article 7,
paragraph 1 (b), of the Gothenburg Protocol, respectively,
Decide that:
(a) The periodic basis, referred to in article 5, paragraphs 1 (b) and 2, of the 1994 Sulphur Protocol,
article 7, paragraph 1 (b), of the Protocol on Heavy Metals, article 9, paragraph 1 (b), of the Protocol
on POPs and article 7, paragraph 1 (b), of the Gothenburg Protocol for the reporting of information
on the levels of emissions by Parties within the geographical scope of EMEP, shall be:
(i) Annual for national emissions, to be submitted by 15 February for all calendar years from 1990, or
from the relevant reference year when other than 1990, to the year that is two years prior to the
reporting year;
(ii) Annual for recalculated national emission data for previous years, to be included in the reported
time series as required under (i) above;
(iii) Every fourth year, starting from 2017, for gridded and large point sources data, to be submitted
by 1 May for the calendar year that is two years prior to the reporting year;
(b) The periodic basis, determined in accordance with article 7, paragraph 1 (b), of the
Gothenburg Protocol for the reporting of information on projected emissions by Parties within
the geographical scope of EMEP, shall be every fourth year, starting from 2015, for emission
projections for the years 2020, 2025 and 2030 and, where available, also for 2040 and 2050, to
be submitted by 15 March;
Guidelines for Reporting Emissions and Projections Data under the Convention on Long-range
Transboundary Air Pollution (ECE/EB.AIR/125)
Prepared by the Task Force on Emission Inventories and Projections
C. Four-yearly reporting
44. Parties to the Gothenburg Protocol within the geographical scope of EMEP shall regularly
update their projections and report every four years from 2015 onward their updated
projections, for the years 2020, 2025 and 2030 and, where available, also for 2040 and 2050.
Parties to the other protocols are encouraged to regularly update their projections and report
every four years from 2015.
45. Projected emissions for substances listed in paragraph 7 and, where appropriate, black carbon
should be reported using the template within annex IV to these Guidelines. Parties should complete
the tables at the requested level of aggregation. Where values for individual categories or aggregated
NFR categories are not available, the notation keys defined in paragraph 12 of these Guidelines should
be used.
46. Quantitative information on parameters underlying emission projections should be reported using
the templates set out in annex IV to these Guidelines. These parameters should be reported for the
projection target year and the historic year chosen as the starting year for the projections.
Protocol to the 1979 Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution on Heavy Metals
with amendments adopted (indicated as bold text and showing deleted text) at the 31st session of the
Executive Body on Thursday, 13 December 2013
Article 3 Basic obligations
...
5. Each Party shall develop and maintain emission inventories for the heavy metals listed in annex I.
for those Parties within geographical scope of EMEP, using as a minimum the methodologies specified
by the Steering Body of EMEP, and, for those Parties outside the geographical scope of EMEP, using as
guidance the methodologies developed through the work plan of the Executive Body Parties within
the geographic scope of EMEP shall use the methodologies specified in guidelines prepared by the
Steering Body of EMEP and adopted by the Parties at a session of the Executive Body. Parties in areas
outside the geographic scope of EMEP shall use as guidance the methodologies developed through
the workplan of the Executive Body.