Municipal Emergency Management Planning Committee (MEMPC) Community Emergency Risk Assessment INTRODUCTION: As part of the Emergency Management Planning Process, Council is required through the Emergency Management Act and the Emergency Management Manual Victoria to undertake a Community Emergency Risk Assessment (CERA). Moorabool’s Municipal Emergency Management Planning Committee has appointed a CERA Sub Committee which consists of members of the SES, VicPol, CFA both regional and local members and Council staff. The Committee worked through the Statewide SES CERA Template to review the community emergency risk profile and risks for Moorabool. Key documents used in the development of the Moorabool risk assessment include the Community Emergency Risk Assessment Planning Guide available on the SES website and the Emergency Risks in Victoria Report released in April 2014 and available on the Department of Justice website. Data of recent events included in Council’s Municipal Emergency Plan were detailed and assessed. CONSULTATION AND FEEDBACK: The Community Emergency Risk Assessment (CERA) process has been established by the State to identify and prioritise emergency risks within a local municipality. The output of the assessment process can be used to ensure communities are aware of and better informed about hazards and the associated emergency risks that may affect them. In accordance with the framework, this process is undertaken every three years by a working group consisting of hazard specific experts in the identified hazard areas and local emergency service personnel. It then gives the community an opportunity to provide localised input into impacts and the existing mitigation controls they have developed and any improvement opportunities that they are undertaking in their local areas i.e. localised Community Emergency Planning. The following information on the priority risks for Moorabool Shire Council is detailed below and includes a definition of the risk, current impacts and existing mitigation controls and improvement opportunities that agencies and the Municipal Emergency Management Planning Committee will assess over the coming years. The Committee would like to include any local emergency plans or community resilient measures that are currently being undertaken or have been developed within the Shire. Feedback can be provided to info@moorabool.vic.gov.au or through the haveyoursay community engagement portal until Friday 17 October. The following Risks are listed in priority order: 1. Flood – Moderate 2. Flood - Major 3. Bushfire – Large Regional 4. Bushfire – Small, isolated 5. Human Epidemic / Pandemic 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Transport Incident – Road Transport Incident – Aircraft/Rail Storm Landslip Extreme Temperatures – Heatwave 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. Earthquake Exotic Animal Disease Fire Incidental Fire Residential Structural Failure Dam Risk 1 – Flood (moderate) Flooding is mainly caused by heavy rainfall that exceeds the capacity of normal water courses and bodies of water. Most floods are classified as riverine (where rivers, streams or lakes overflow) or stormwater flooding that occurs when the capacity of drainage systems is exceeded and water can flow in normally dry and often impervious urban areas Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. Property Owners Property Owners Council Infrastructure 2. 3. 4. Property Owners Vulnerability/ Exposure Properties Inundated Properties Inundated Roads, Bridges, Culverts, Walking Tracks, Council Properties Inundated Existing Controls Owner Opportunity Impac t No. Owner Land Use Planning Overlays and Zonings Municipal Flood Emergency Plan Municipal Flood Emergency Plan Council Planning Development of Flood Warning Systems 2. SES SES Signage at Flood Prone Areas 3. Council Council Engineering Bureau of Meteorology Weather Stations 2. MEMPC Sandbagging Machine and Procedure Council/SES Risk 2 – Flood (major) Most floods are classified as riverine (where rivers, streams or lakes overflow) or stormwater flooding that occurs when the capacity of drainage systems is exceeded and water can flow in normally dry and often impervious urban areas. Flood waters can often rise rapidly and flow with high velocity, thus posing the greater threat to human life, particularly for stormwater flooding or riverine flooding in the upper catchments. Such flooding is often called flash flooding because warning times are very short. Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. Property Owners Property Owners Council Infrastructure 2. 3. 4. Property Owners Vulnerability/ Exposure Properties Inundated Properties Inundated Roads, Bridges, Culverts, Walking Tracks, Council Properties Inundated Existing Controls Owner Opportunity Impac t No. Owner Land Use Planning Overlays and Zonings Municipal Flood Emergency Plan Municipal Flood Emergency Plan Council Planning Development of Flood Warning Systems 2. SES SES Signage at Flood Prone Areas 3. Council Council Engineering Bureau of Meteorology Weather Stations 2. MEMPC Sandbagging Machine and Procedure Council/SES Risk 3 – Bushfire – large, regional The high bushfire risk in Victoria is the consequence of a combination of factors including: • large areas of highly flammable eucalypt forest, • expanses of highly flammable grassland, • a climatic pattern of mild, moist winters followed by hot dry summers, • protracted droughts, • agricultural practices that include the use of fire, • increasing population density in bushfire-prone areas, such as in the rural-urban fringe. The reason that the potential consequences of the rarest bushfires are so severe is the high possibility that major bushfires will lead to loss of life and injury, damage key State infrastructure such as electricity transmission lines, water supply assets including mature forests in water catchments, transport links such as roads, bridges and railways and cause permanent environmental damage. Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. Community 2. Infrastructure 3. 7. Community Awareness Homes and Infrastructure Residents and Visitors Loss of Life, Property, Environment Community 8. Infrastructure 9. Road Closures 4. 5. 6. Vulnerability/ Exposure Loss of Life, Property, Environment Loss of Property and Essential Services Education Property Loss Unable to leave early Destruction of homes, businesses, etc. Loss of Life, Property, Environment Loss of Property and Essential Services Roads/Bridges Existing Controls Owner Opportunity Impact No. Owner Fire ignition controls, including Total Fire Ban, electricity, etc. All Agencies Community Warning Sirens 3 State/CFA/Council Municipal Fire Management Plan and Victorian Fire Risk Register All Agencies Community Info Guides, Fire Awareness Week, Community Warnings & Advice Planning Overlays in BMO CFA Shelter Options Community Fire Refuges & Neighbourhood Safer Places Municipal Fire Management Plan – Planned Slashing /Burning Treatments State, CFA, Council MFMPC Midlands Fire Operations Plan DEPI Midlands Fire Operations Plan DEPI Road Closure information published on website VicRoads State Risk 4 – Bushfire – small, isolated The high bushfire risk in Victoria is the consequence of a combination of factors including: • large areas of highly flammable eucalypt forest, • expanses of highly flammable grassland, • a climatic pattern of mild, moist winters followed by hot dry summers, • protracted droughts, • agricultural practices that include the use of fire, • increasing population density in bushfire-prone areas, such as in the rural-urban fringe. The reason that the potential consequences of the rarest bushfires are so severe is the high possibility that major bushfires will lead to loss of life and injury, damage key State infrastructure such as electricity transmission lines, water supply assets including mature forests in water catchments, transport links such as roads, bridges and railways and cause permanent environmental damage. Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. Community 2. Infrastructure 3. 7. Community Awareness Homes and Infrastructure Residents and Visitors Loss of Life, Property, Environment Community 8. Infrastructure 9. Road Closures 4. 5. 6. Vulnerability/ Exposure Loss of Life, Property, Environment Loss of Property and Essential Services Education Property Loss Unable to leave early Destruction of homes, businesses, etc. Loss of Life, Property, Environment Loss of Property and Essential Services Roads/Bridges Existing Controls Owner Opportunity Impact No. Owner Fire ignition controls, including Total Fire Ban, electricity, etc. All Agencies Community Warning Sirens 3 State/CFA/Council Municipal Fire Management Plan and Victorian Fire Risk Register All Agencies Community Info Guides, Fire Awareness Week, Community Warnings & Advice Planning Overlays in BMO CFA Shelter Options Community Fire Refuges & Neighbourhood Safer Places Municipal Fire Management Plan – Planned Slashing /Burning Treatments State, CFA, Council MFMPC Midlands Fire Operations Plan DEPI Midlands Fire Operations Plan DEPI Road Closure information published on website VicRoads State Risk 5 – Human Epidemic / Pandemic A Human epidemic/pandemic occurs for example; when a highly infectious new strain of influenza emerges for which humans have little or no immunity -resulting in severe social and economic disruption. History has shown that pandemics tend to occur every 10-50 years. It is estimated that up to 40% of the workforce may withdraw from work at any one time due to illness, the need to care for family members, or the fear of contracting the virus in the workplace or on public transport. Businesses need to be conscious of this possibility for their continuity planning, as well as exercising their duty of care to employees under occupational health and safety to take all reasonably practicable steps to protect their health and safety at work. Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. Community 2. Moorabool Community Council Staff 3. Vulnerability/ Exposure Illness or death Existing Controls Owner Opportunity Impact No. Owner Vaccination Business Continuity Plan 3 Council Illness or death Municipal Influenza Pandemic Plan Health Services Council Agency Business Continuity Plans 3. All agencies Unable to operate business Municipal Influenza Pandemic Plan Council Risk 6 – Transport Incident - Road There is a risk that damage caused by failure of or within the transport system infrastructure would impair the operations of the road networks, as well as causing death and injury. Economic consequences through repair costs and disruptions to normal flows of people and goods could be high. Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What Existing Controls Owner Opportunity Impact No. Owner People Vulnerability/ Exposure Death or injury 1. Education and awareness and testing State, VicPol 1 Council/VicRoads 2. Road Closures Roads, Bridges Road Closure Information published on website VicRoads Advocacy for Blackspot funding for known impact areas. Ongoing monitoring of speed zones 1. Council/VicRoads 3. VicRoads Infrastructure Death or Injury Monitoring of crash stats and funding submissions VicRoads Maintenance on roads, ie: potholes, regulating, linemarking etc. 1. Council/VicRoads 4. VicRoads Infrastructure Death of Injury Ice warning devices on Western Freeway and Midland Highway VicRoads Risk 7 – Transport Incident – Aircraft/Rail As above. Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. Community or Passengers Vulnerability/ Exposure Death or injury Existing Controls Owner Opportunity Impact No. Owner Emergency Plans State or Operator Completed Emergency Management Plan for Bacchus Marsh Aerodrome 1 BMAM Risk 8 – Storm Thunderstorms are most likely to occur during the period October to April. Only about 10% of thunderstorms are severe. However they all produce lightning which can cause death, injury and damage. Wind storms can occur at any time of year although are more common in the winter and spring. Heavy rainfall is mostly a winter-spring phenomenon in Victoria. However some major events have occurred in the summer half-year as systems of tropical origin extend or move south. Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. Community 2. Trees and Roads Trees over Roads Community 3. Vulnerability/ Exposure Damage to homes and buildings Trees over roads or powerlines Trees over road Existing Controls Owner Opportunity Impact No. Owner Community Education – Stormsafe Emergency Occurrence Procedure SES SES Appropriate Trees for planting education 2. Council Loss of Life 5. Road Closures Roads, Bridges Community Education – Stormsafe Road Closures 6. Trees over Roads Trees over road Trees over Roads 4. Council Emergency Management SES and Relevant Road Authority SES VicRoads VicRoads Risk 9 – Landslip Landslips occur when the stability of the slope changes from a stable to an unstable condition. A change in the stability of a slope can be caused by a number of factors. Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. Road Closures Road Closures 2. Vulnerability/ Exposure Road Closures Road Closures Existing Controls Owner Road Closure Information published on website Regular monitoring of slip sites and areas of geotech instability VicRoads Opportunity Impact No. Owner VicRoads 3. Road Closures Road Closures Traffic Management plan for Melton West - Bacchus Marsh Road VicRoads 4. Road Closures Road Closures Geotech Reports in areas Council Risk 10 – Extreme Temperatures – Heatwave For consistent community understanding in Victoria, a heatwave is generally defined as a period of abnormally and uncomfortably hot weather that could impact on human health, community infrastructure and services. Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. 2. Community Community Vulnerability/ Exposure Death or injury Death or injury 3. Community 4. Flush seals Existing Controls Owner Council Ambulance Victoria Death or injury Cooling Centres Resource Management – internal process Awareness Campaign kit. Low Skid Resistance Monitoring during period of heatwave Council – Home and Community Care (HACC) VicRoads Opportunity Impact No. Owner Risk 11 – Earthquake Earthquakes have the potential to cause catastrophic losses. Victoria is considered to have a comparatively low earthquake risk compared to more seismically active areas of the world. However, it is still possible to have a major earthquake located under a heavily developed and populated area that causes widespread damage. While there is a low likelihood such an event will occur in the foreseeable future, it is important to recognise the potential for catastrophic consequences. Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. Community 2. Road Closures Road Closures 3. 4. Road Closures Vulnerability/ Exposure Loss of life or property Road Closures Road Closures Road Closures Existing Controls Owner VICSES Quakesafe program Road Closure Information published on website Regular monitoring of slip sites and areas of geotech instability SES Traffic Management plan for Melton West - Bacchus Marsh Road VicRoads Impact No. Opportunity Owner VicRoads VicRoads Risk 12 – Exotic Animal Disease Emergency animal diseases are diseases of animals (including bees and fish) that pose a serious risk to the economy, public health or the environment. An emergency animal disease outbreak could result in: serious socioeconomic effects on farming and associated industries and communities (through international trade losses, production losses and market disruptions), risks to public health in the case of zoonosis, environmental impacts where wildlife are also affected. Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. Animals Vulnerability/ Exposure Death or destruction Existing Controls Owner Opportunity Impact No. Owner Animal Emergency Welfare Plan Council Ongoing education and training and exercising of Emergency Services Agencies and Staff. 1. MEMPC Risk 13 – Fire Industrial A fire occurring within an industrial area within the municipality can result in property damage, environmental damage, injuries or death to people, stock or wildlife and loss of employment. Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. Business Community Vulnerability/ Exposure Loss of life or property Existing Controls Owner Opportunity Impact No. Owner Municipal Fire Management Plan – Structural Risk MEMPC Private Business (Business Continuity Plans) 1. Property Owners Risk 14 – Fire Residential A fire occurring within a residential property within the municipality can result in property damage, environmental damage, injuries or death to people, stock or wildlife. Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. Residents 2. Community Vulnerability/ Exposure Loss of life or property Loss of life or property Existing Controls Owner Opportunity Impact No. Owner Single Incident House Fire Procedure Municipal Fire Management Plan – Structural Risk Council / DHS / VicPol Community Awareness Program 2. CFA MEMPC Risk 15 – Structural Failure – Dam Although dam failure maybe relatively rare, preparation for their occurrence is necessary. Two forms of failure are possible: flood overtopping, and “sunny day” (non-flood) event. An overtopping failure may occur if a flood overtops the dam embankment because the spillway cannot pass the flood flow. Before this form of failure occurs, it is likely that considerable areas of the downstream valley will already be inundated by river flood flow and emergency response organisations would be on standby or in action due to flood warning systems. A non-flood failure may occur due to an incident when the reservoir is at normal operating level. Downstream inundation will be solely due to failure of the dam. “Piping” erosion through the embankment or its foundations, fracturing of the dam’s clay core, an earthquake, slide, or settlement, are possible causes of a non-flood failure. . Impacts and Existing Mitigation Controls Improvement Opportunities (Dependent on funding and resource availability) Impact No. Who/What 1. 2. 3. Properties Roads Road Closures Vulnerability/ Exposure Flood inundation Structural Damage Road/Bridges Existing Controls Owner Opportunity Impact No. Owner Dam Emergency Plans Road Authority Inspections Road Closure information published on website DEPI Council VicRoads Education and Awareness 1 DEPI