Options for developing a roadmap of energy research, skills and training needs Consultation document Research Councils UK Energy Programme Strategy Fellowship June 2012 Jim Skea RCUK Energy Programme Strategy Fellow Tel: 0207 594 1571 Email: j.skea@ic.ac.uk 1 Contents List of consultation questions ................................................................................................... 2 1. Introduction....................................................................................................................... 3 2. The shape of the current Research Councils Energy Programme .......................................... 3 3. Why cluster? ...................................................................................................................... 4 4. Selecting topics for light touch review ................................................................................ 5 5. Options for clustering the technical workshops ................................................................... 5 6. Options for the strategy workshops .................................................................................. 12 Annex: Briefing Note – synthesis of roadmap of research, skills and training ........................... 15 1 List of Consultation Questions Q1. Do you agree that it would be preferable to start with the strategic workshops? What are the reasons for your view? Q2. Do you agree that nuclear fission and industrial energy demand are candidates for a “light-touch review” process? Are there other topics that could be dealt with in this way? Q3. Do you agree with our identification of clusters and topics that would be robust against a range of options for structuring the technical workshops? Are there other topics that you would also regard as robust? Q4. Broadly, do you have a preference for any one of the options for clustering the technical workshops over another? Would you advocate a completely different approach and if so why? Q5. Are there any individual topic choices you would propose to make in order to fine-tune the options for clustering the technical workshops? Q.6 Which option for structuring the strategy workshops would you prefer? What are the reasons for your preference? Q.7 If you are not attracted by either option for structuring the strategy workshops, what alternative approach would you recommend? Q.8 Are there any other observations you would like to make? 2 1. Introduction A key aim of the Strategy Fellowship is to develop a roadmap for UK energy research, skills and training. The roadmap is envisioned as a tool which will provide the evidence base upon which the RCUK Energy Programme can plan its forward activities, acting in concert with Government, RD&D funding bodies, the private sector and other relevant stakeholders. The aim is to produce the first version of the roadmap by late summer 2013 and then maintain the roadmap until the end of the Fellowship in March 2017. The roadmap will be topic-based and published mainly as a web document. However, the topic documents will be complemented by a top-level document (~30 pages) spanning the entire energy domain. Its purpose will be to set out the policy context and the role which individual technologies and approaches (such as behaviour change) might contribute. Work will be conducted in three waves: a scoping phase (April - August 2012) will involve a comprehensive review of relevant energy roadmaps, pathways and scenario exercises plus extensive consultation with stakeholders; an evidence-gathering phase (September 2012 - May 2013) will rely heavily on workshops bringing the research community and stakeholders together round specific topics (e.g. wind, wave and tidal; bioenergy; buildings energy use etc) in order to develop new roadmap documents or refine existing ones; and a synthesis stage (June 2013 - September 2013) when the results of the foregoing work will be consolidated, peer-reviewed and brought into a consistent format for publication. A fuller description is provided in the Annex. The purpose of this document is to inform consultations with stakeholders during the scoping phase. It is concerned with the design of the evidence-gathering phase and the structuring of workshops. It is envisaged that two types of workshops will be held: a) technical, topic-based workshops which will offer a space for experts in the relevant field to focus on detailed research, skills and training needs; and b) broader “strategic” workshop which will deal with energy research and training in the context of wider policy, societal and commercial needs. It should be emphasised that the technical workshops will draw on all relevant skills, not just those of engineers. Social scientists,for example, bring key insights relevant to energy demand topics. Within the resources available, six –eight technical workshops are envisaged during the evidence-gathering phase and three strategic workshops. The central purpose of this document is to set out a small number of options for the scope of these workshops so as to solicit views from stakeholders. A key initial question is whether the strategic workshops should precede the technical workshops or vice versa. The advantage of starting with the strategic workshops is that the wider context for needs associated with research and training can be clearly set out; the advantage of starting with technical workshops is that the strategic events will be able to take account of the range of possibilities. Our initial proposition is that the balance of advantage lies with taking the strategic workshops first. Q1. Do you agree that it would be preferable to start with the strategic workshops? What are the reasons for your view? This document deals first with options for the technical workshops, then with the strategic workshops. 2. The shape of the current Research Councils Energy Programme The portfolio of the Research Councils UK Energy Programme (RCEP) is divided into 14 areas, based largely on an engineering/technology perspective. The degree of differentiation is much greater on the supply side 3 than the demand side which is essentially covered in a single area. Table 1 compares the RCEP portfolio with areas under the International Energy Agency (IEA)/EU energy R&D nomenclature1. This demonstrates that the coverage of the RCEP programme is virtually complete, with the only apparent gaps relating to solar thermal power, geothermal and hydro. The roadmapping activity will give consideration to the merits or otherwise of the inclusion of these areas. Table 1 also shows that there is a high degree of coherence with the IEA/EU scheme. There is a good oneto-one mapping in most areas. The exceptions relate to energy end use, sustainable energy networks and sustainable energy vectors. A limitation of both schemes is that, in taking an engineering/technology perspective, they make it difficult to locate: a) economic and social research; and b) research in environmental sciences. Table 1: RCEP Energy research areas and the IEA energy R&D nomenclature RCEP Area IEA Nomenclature Title Bioenergy Carbon Capture and Storage Conventional combustion/oil and gas strategy Bio-energy CO2 capture and storage Oil and Gas Coal Electric power conversion Energy efficiency Solar heating and cooling Consumer attitudes and behaviour Energy storage Fuel cells Ocean energy Nuclear fission Photovoltaics District heating Electricity transmission and distribution Hydrogen Distributed generation Energy efficiency - transport - analysis and optimisation of energy consumption Energy efficiency - transport - public transport systems Energy system analysis Wind energy Solar thermal power Geothermal energy Hydropower Underpinning basic research End use energy demand Energy storage Fuel cells Marine Nuclear fission Solar Sustainable energy networks Sustainable energy vectors Transport operations Whole systems Wind Missing areas Nomenclature Code III.4 II.3 II.1 II.2 VI.1 I.0 III.1.1 VII.1.2.3 VI.3 V.2 III.3 IV.1 III.1.2 I.4.2 VI.2 V.1 VI.1.9 I.3.1 I.3.3 VII.1 III.2 III.1.3 III.5 III.6 VII.2.3 3. Why cluster? Ideally, a roadmapping exercise entailing a structured technical workshop would be conducted for each RCEP area. This is neither practical nor possible within the resources available. The proposed response is therefore: a) to conduct only a light-touch review process in areas where the quality of existing evidence is high; and b) to cluster together areas sharing linked research challenges or relying on similar underlying 1 EU Commission, Energy R&D Statistics in the European Research Area, EUR 21453, Brussels, 2005, http://ec.europa.eu/research/energy/pdf/statistics_en.pdf 4 skills and competences. These would then be covered within a single roadmapping process covering more than one area, or sub-areas. The Fellowship bid proposed running six-eight technical roadmapping workshops. The make-up of the Energy Programme and its 14 areas entail some unavoidable decisions in terms of clustering. Specifically, areas that could be said to fall under the heading of “new energy” comprise a number of heterogeneous renewables technologies plus carbon capture and storage and energy networks. There is an absolute need to cluster in these areas. 4. Selecting topics for light-touch review We have identified two candidate areas for a light-touch review. These are: nuclear fission where there has been a great deal of recent activity in relation to both training and skills needs; and b) industrial energy demand where the community of interested parties is small and a structured activity would require a disproportionate use of resources. In both these areas we plan that the Strategy Fellowship team will review existing material, consulting with the relevant community individually or in small group meetings. Q2. Do you agree that nuclear fission and industrial energy demand are candidates for a “lighttouch review” process? Are there other topics that could be dealt with in this way? 5. Options for clustering the technical workshops There is no “correct” way of clustering the Energy Programme areas; different rationales might lead to different outcomes. In this section we present four different options and we are soliciting views as to which might provide the most useful way forward. Table 2 summarises the four options, mapping the Energy Programme areas on to the proposed technical roadmapping workshops; Tables 3-6 then do the reverse and map the proposed technical roadmapping workshops back on to the Energy Programme areas. Options 1) - 3) allow for the maximum number of technical workshops (eight), while Option 4) deliberately goes for the maximum level of aggregation, with only six workshops. The final choice need not precisely match one of the four options; constructing the four options revealed many individual choices that could be used to fine tune the options. We are also soliciting view on the allocation of individual research areas to technical workshops. We believe that some choices are robust across the four options: Bioenergy as the sole subject of a single workshop. The aggregation of all renewable technologies relying heavily on mechanical and civil engineering competences, i.e. wind and marine energy. Light-touch reviews only for nuclear fission and industrial energy demand as justified above. “Whole systems research” to be dealt with at the level of the strategy workshops, not through a technical workshop. Q3. Do you agree with our identification of clusters and topics that would be robust against a range of other options? Are there other topics that you would regard as robust? Option 1: Skills-based. This system of clustering focuses on skills and the key disciplinary inputs to technologies. One key element is the aggregation of all technologies with a chemical or electro-chemical basis ranging from fuel cells and PV through to those parts of the “sustainable energy vectors” area referring to, for example, hydrogen storage. CCS is split between carbon capture and transportation on the one hand, which is coupled with conventional combustion, and carbon storage on the other, which is then 5 linked to oil and gas production. The latter workshop topic , “fossil fuel production and carbon storage” is then essentially about the contribution of the geological sciences. End use energy is split into its three main component areas according to the IEA nomenclature: built environment; transport; and industry. Each of these has a distinct research community associated with it. The social sciences and economics need to play a significant role in relation to the demand topics because outcomes depend critically on the interaction between technical and social factors. Option 2: Technology system-based. The rationale here is that research areas be defined in line with “technology systems” whose different components might require different disciplinary inputs. This scheme is closer to the current structure of the Energy Programme than is Option 1 as it is more in line with a “whole systems” philosophy. Under this scheme, all of the components of CCS fall under a single topic, though we still add in conventional combustion. Fossil fuel production remains a separate topic. The aggregation of the “electrochemical” areas is different. Solar energy is separated out, as is hydrogen storage which stays with sustainable energy vectors under the topic of “energy infrastructure”. Fuel cells and energy storage remain linked. Option 3: Energy system-based. This is a variant of Option 2 which focuses more on the role of technologies within the energy systems as a whole. A key feature is that all of the end demand areas are aggregated, as under the current Energy Programme arrangement. Energy storage is isolated as a separate topic, incorporating hydrogen storage taken from the current “sustainable energy vectors area”, leaving fuel cells and PV linked as a single topic. Option 4: Maximum aggregation. This is a deliberate attempt to reduce the number of roadmapping workshops to six. The key elements are: aggregation of all energy demand; aggregation of all “electrochemical” technologies; and the conflation of “sustainable energy networks” and “sustainable energy vectors”. Q4. Broadly, do you have a preference for any one of these options for clustering the technical workshops over another? Would you advocate a completely different approach and if so why? Q5. Are there any individual topic choices you would propose make in order to fine-tune the options for clustering the technical workshops? 6 Table 3: RCEP Energy Research Areas: Overview of Clustering Options for Technical Roadmapping Workshops Energy Programme Area Option 1: Skills-based Option 2: Technology systembased Option 3: Energy systembased Option 4: Maximum aggregation Bioenergy Carbon Capture and Storage Bioenergy CCS and combustion Bioenergy CCS and combustion Bioenergy Fossil fuel and CCS CCS and combustion Fossil fuel production CCS and combustion Fossil fuel production Fossil fuel and CCS Built environment and transport Industry energy demand (light touch) End use energy demand End use energy demand Fuel cells and storage Energy storage Fuel cells and storage Electro-chemical energy technologies Wind, wave and tide (Light touch review) Electro-chemical energy technologies Energy infrastructure Energy infrastructure Energy storage Transport operations Bioenergy Carbon capture, transport and combustion Fossil fuel production and carbon storage Carbon capture, transport and combustion Fossil fuel production and carbon storage Built environment energy demand Transport energy demand Industry energy demand (light touch) Electro-chemical energy technologies Electro-chemical energy technologies Wind, wave and tide (Light touch review) Electro-chemical energy technologies Energy infrastructure Electro-chemical energy technologies Energy infrastructure Transport energy demand End use energy demand Electro-chemical energy technologies Electro-chemical energy technologies Wind, wave and tide (Light touch review) Electro-chemical energy technologies Energy infrastructure Electro-chemical energy technologies Energy infrastructure End use energy demand Whole systems Wind Strategy level Wind, wave and tide Strategy level Wind, wave and tide Strategy level Wind, wave and tide Conventional combustion/oil and gas strategy End use energy demand Energy storage Fuel cells Marine Nuclear fission Solar Sustainable energy networks Sustainable energy vectors Wind, wave and tide (Light touch review) Solar Energy infrastructure Energy infrastructure Built environment and transport Strategy level Wind, wave and tide 7 Table 3: Option 1 - Skills-based clustering Technical Workshops Bioenergy Bioenergy Built environment energy demand End use energy demand (part of) Carbon capture, transport and combustion Carbon capture and storage (part of) Conventional /combustion (part of) Electro-chemical energy technologies Energy infrastructure Sustainable energy networks Sustainable energy vectors (part of) Fossil fuel production and carbon storage Conventional combustion/oil and gas strategy (part of) Carbon capture and storage (part of) Transport energy demand End use energy demand (part of) Transport operations Wind, wave and tide Marine Wind Energy storage Fuel cells Solar Sustainable energy vectors (part of) Light touch reviews Industrial energy demand End use energy demand (part of) Nuclear fission Nuclear Strategy level workshops Whole systems Whole systems 8 Table 4: Option 2 - Technology system-based clustering Technical Workshops Bioenergy Bioenergy Built environment and transport End use energy demand (part of) Transport operations CCS and combustion Carbon capture and storage Conventional /combustion (part of) Energy infrastructure Sustainable energy networks Sustainable energy vectors Fossil fuel production Conventional combustion/oil and gas strategy (part of) Fuel cells and storage Energy storage Fuel cells Solar Solar Wind, wave and tide Marine Wind Light touch reviews Industrial energy demand End use energy demand (part of) Nuclear fission Nuclear Strategy level workshops Whole systems Whole systems 9 Table 5: Option 3 - Energy system-based clustering Technical Workshops Bioenergy Bioenergy CCS and combustion Carbon capture and storage Conventional /combustion (part of) Electro-chemical energy technologies Solar Fuel cells End use energy demand End use energy demand (part of) Transport operations Energy infrastructure Sustainable energy networks Sustainable energy vectors (part of) Energy storage Energy storage Sustainable energy vectors (part of) Fossil fuel production Conventional combustion/oil and gas strategy (part of) Wind, wave and tide Marine Wind Light touch reviews Industrial energy demand End use energy demand (part of) Nuclear fission Nuclear Strategy level workshops Whole systems Whole systems 10 Table 6: Option 4 - Maximum aggregation Technical Workshops Bioenergy Bioenergy Fossil fuel and CCS Carbon capture and storage Conventional combustion/oil and gas strategy Electro-chemical energy technologies End use energy demand End use energy demand (part of) Transport operations Energy infrastructure Sustainable energy networks Sustainable energy vectors (part of) Wind, wave and tide Marine Wind Energy storage Fuel cells Solar Sustainable energy vectors (part of) Light touch reviews Industrial energy demand End use energy demand (part of) Nuclear fission Nuclear Strategy level workshops Whole systems Whole systems 11 6. Options for the strategy workshops The purpose of the strategy workshops, assuming they precede the technical workshops, is to establish the wider context in which the more detailed assessments of research, skills and training needs will take place. These higher-level workshops should reach conclusions about the range of possible contributions that individual technologies or approaches might make to the UK energy system in the future, and the possible conditions under which different levels of contribution might arise. A key input to these workshops will be the Fellowship team’s comprehensive review of relevant energy roadmaps, pathways and scenario exercises. The workshops will engage a range of relevant stakeholders from the policy world, business, the third sector and academia so as to gain as wide a perspective as possible on different potential outcomes. Should any of these workshops fail to reach consensus that will in itself be a useful piece of evidence to take on to the technical workshops. Two options for structuring the strategy workshops are proposed. The first technology-based structuring is informed by evidence from the social sciences about how people engage with different types of technology (Table 7). The second (Table 8) is theme-based and more pragmatically addresses how energy research funded by the Research Councils may interface with policy and societal needs, links to other bodies in the energy research funding landscape, and the role of the social and environmental sciences vis-à-vis engineering perspectives which effectively define the current RCEP structure. Note that these two options could be thought of in terms of a matrix format: each of the three themes in Option 2 would need to be considered in the Option 1 workshops; if Option 2 were adopted each of the groups of technologies under Option 1 would need to be covered. Q.6 Which option for structuring the strategy workshops would you prefer? What are the reasons for your preference? Q.7 If you are not attracted by either option for structuring the strategy workshops, what alternative approach would you recommend? 12 Table 7: Strategy Workshop Option 1 – Technology-based Strategy Workshop Component RCEP research areas 1. Energy end use, microgeneration and End use energy demand smart grids Transport operations Energy storage Fuel cells 2. Renewables and networks Bioenergy Energy storage Fuel cells Marine Solar Sustainable energy networks Sustainable energy vectors Wind 3. Fossil fuels, nuclear, hydrogen and biomass Bioenergy Carbon capture and storage Conventional combustion/oil and gas Nuclear fission Sustainable energy vectors Rationale Areas where people are agents of change Supply side technologies with which people in general have no intrinsic objection but which may challenge people’s sense of place in specific locations Technologies to which many people react with antipathy due to unfamiliarity or which evoke feelings of “dread” (c.f. Paul Slovic’s psychometric approaches to risk). 13 Table 8: Strategy Workshop Option 2 – Theme-based Strategy Workshop 1. Policy and societal needs Focus and rationale Broad focus on the roles that all technologies might play in the UK’s future energy system. Broadly, the technologies covered in all three workshops under option 1 packed into a single workshop. 2. Research Councils and the energy funding landscape The role of the Research Councils vis-à-vis other funding bodies , including those in the UK as well as the EU, and methods for ensuring coherence. 3. The role of the social and environmental sciences How social, economic and environmental considerations can usefully be built into research programmes largely designed form an engineering perspective while maintaining the integrity of underlying approaches and concepts. 14 Annex: Briefing Note - Synthesis of Roadmap of Research, Skills and Training Background The Research Councils have appointed Jim Skea, Professor of Sustainable Energy in the Centre for Environmental Policy at Imperial College London, as Research Councils UK Energy Programme Strategy Fellow. Jim steps down as Research Director of the UK Energy Research Centre and takes up his new role full-time from 1 July 2012. The establishment of the Fellowship responds to recommendations from the International Review of Energy Research undertaken by the Research Councils in 2010. There are two roles: the synthesis of a roadmap of research, skills and training needs across the energy landscape; and a related research programme focusing on the effectiveness of systems of energy innovation. A support team is being appointed at Imperial College to help Professor Skea in these tasks. This briefing note describes the proposed roadmap synthesis. A separate briefing note describes the research programme. Objectives The roadmap is envisioned as a tool which will provide the evidence base upon which the RCUK Energy Programme can plan its forward activities, acting in concert with Government, RD&D funding bodies, the private sector and other relevant stakeholders. The tool will make explicit links forward along the innovation chain from basic science through to demonstration and commercialisation. The tool is intended to be flexible and adaptable and will take explicit account of uncertainties so that it can remain robust against emerging evidence about research achievements and policy priorities. The roadmap will be framed by a top-level document (~30 pages) spanning the entire energy domain. Its purpose will be to set out the policy context and the role which individual technologies and approaches (such as behaviour change) might contribute. It will draw on existing policy documents and deployment roadmaps. Possible technology contributions will be expressed as ranges to reflect underlying uncertainties. The assumptions underpinning these ranges will be made transparent. The top-level document will be underpinned by a more conventional set of roadmaps. These will cover human capacity and training and skills needs as well as research. The option of combining areas where there may be strong disciplinary linkages and linked training and skills needs (e.g. for the “mechanical” renewables such as wind/marine) is being investigated. The primary communication tool for the roadmap will be a website. The top-level document will be made available in hard copy to raise profile. Method Work will be conducted in three waves: A scoping phase (April - August 2012) will involve a comprehensive review of relevant energy roadmaps, pathways and scenario exercises plus extensive consultation with stakeholders across the energy landscape to encourage buy-in and establish clearly the boundaries and links between the RCUK roadmap and other products related more to deployment. An evidence-gathering phase (September 2012 - May 2013) will rely heavily on workshops bringing the research community and stakeholders together round specific topics (e.g. marine renewables, nuclear fission, transport energy etc) in order to develop new roadmap documents or refine existing ones. Three high level strategy workshops engaging a wide range of stakeholders will be complemented by six-eight more focused technical workshops involving experts. During a synthesis stage (June 2013 - September 2013) the results of the foregoing work will be consolidated, peer-reviewed and brought into a consistent format for publication. 15