fs01

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Supplementary Figure FS1. (a) Incremental magnitude-frequency plot of the
post-1979 ANSS catalog that begins to roll off around M=5. The b-value of the
whole catalog above M=5.0 is b=1.24 by maximum likelihood. In (b) the
maximum curvature method of Wiemer and Wyss [2000] is applied, and the
magnitude of completeness (Mc) is estimated at M=4.85. In (c) the goodness-offit method of Wiemer and Wyss [2000] is applied for b-values of b=1.1 and b=1.2,
which results in estimates of Mc ranging from M=4.6 to M=5.1 (using the
criterion that 90% of the data above Mc are fit are fit by the b-value model). In (d)
the b-value stability model of Cao and Gao [2002] is used with the criterion
recommended by Woessner and Wiemer [2005] that the difference between bvalue calculated above a cut-off magnitude (blue curve) and average b-value (red
curve) be less than the calculation uncertainty [Shi and Bolt, 1982]. This method
gives Mc=4.7.
References
Cao, A. M., and S. S. Gao (2002), Temporal variation of seismic b-values beneath northeastern
Japan island arc, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, doi 10.1029/2001GL013775.
Shi, Y., and B. A. Bolt (1982), The standard error of the magnitude frequency b-value, Bull.
Seism. Soc. Am. 72, 1677–1687.
Wiemer, S., and M. Wyss (2000), Minimum magnitude of complete reporting in earthquake
catalogs: examples from Alaska, the Western United States, and Japan, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am.
90, 859–869.
Woessner, J., and S. Wiemer (2005), Assessing the quality of earthquake catalogues: Estimating
the magnitude of completeness and its uncertainty, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 95, 684–698,
doi: 10.1785/0120040007.
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