Supplementary Figure FS1. (a) Incremental magnitude-frequency plot of the post-1979 ANSS catalog that begins to roll off around M=5. The b-value of the whole catalog above M=5.0 is b=1.24 by maximum likelihood. In (b) the maximum curvature method of Wiemer and Wyss [2000] is applied, and the magnitude of completeness (Mc) is estimated at M=4.85. In (c) the goodness-offit method of Wiemer and Wyss [2000] is applied for b-values of b=1.1 and b=1.2, which results in estimates of Mc ranging from M=4.6 to M=5.1 (using the criterion that 90% of the data above Mc are fit are fit by the b-value model). In (d) the b-value stability model of Cao and Gao [2002] is used with the criterion recommended by Woessner and Wiemer [2005] that the difference between bvalue calculated above a cut-off magnitude (blue curve) and average b-value (red curve) be less than the calculation uncertainty [Shi and Bolt, 1982]. This method gives Mc=4.7. References Cao, A. M., and S. S. Gao (2002), Temporal variation of seismic b-values beneath northeastern Japan island arc, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, doi 10.1029/2001GL013775. Shi, Y., and B. A. Bolt (1982), The standard error of the magnitude frequency b-value, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 72, 1677–1687. Wiemer, S., and M. Wyss (2000), Minimum magnitude of complete reporting in earthquake catalogs: examples from Alaska, the Western United States, and Japan, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 90, 859–869. Woessner, J., and S. Wiemer (2005), Assessing the quality of earthquake catalogues: Estimating the magnitude of completeness and its uncertainty, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 95, 684–698, doi: 10.1785/0120040007.