Air Pollution Control Plan for In-Use Vehicles in the Southern Taiwan Air Basin Control #: 1126 Jiun-Horng Tsai, Yung-Chen Yao, Hui-Fen Ye Department of Environmental Engineering, National Cheng-Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan (E-mail: jhtsai@mail.ncku.edu.tw) Hung-Long Chang Department of Environmental Engineering, Fu-Yin University, Kaohsiang, Taiwan ABSTRACT Emissions from motor vehicles contribute a significant portion in the overall emission inventory. To tackle such problem, the Taiwan Environmental Protection Agency has tried to develop a comprehensive strategy to reduce emission from mobile sources. In-use vehicles contribute a significant portion of emissions in the overall inventory. Therefore several strategies have been developed. For instance, the adoption of more stringent emission standards. According to emission inventory in 2000, there were approximate 2.3 millions motorcycles, eight hundred thousands gasoline vehicles, and 33 thousands diesel trucks in the Southern Taiwan Air Basin, which contributed approximate 22% of non-methane hydrocarbon (NMHC), 28% of nitrogen oxides (NOX), and 74% of carbon monoxide (CO). This paper discusses the potential control plan for in-use gasoline vehicles in 2007. In use gasoline vehicle consists of private passenger car, business passenger car, and gasoline truck. Control strategies for all types of vehicle have been evaluated based on technical feasibility, emission reduction potential, and the cost effectiveness. Control strategies are base on the regulations and authority of EPA. For in-use gasoline vehicles, four measures has been developed, the major control strategies are including enhanced the inspection/maintain (I/M) program, enhanced the management and elimination of polluted vehicle, maintain the performance of pollution control device and the management of the import in-use vehicle. The highest projected equivalent emission reduction for CO, HC, and NOx from the previous pollution control measures is approximate 2,172 ton/yr in 2007. The control plan shows a significant progress to reduce the exhaust emissions from in-use gasoline vehicles from the Southern Taiwan Air Basin. INTRODUCTION The area of the southern Taiwan air basin (Kao-Ping air basin) is approximate six thousands kilometer square. Two-thirds of the area is hilly terrain. This air basin has been classified as a non-attainment region of ozone and PM10 since 1990’s. In 2002, there were approximate 8% of air monitoring data classified as “poor” or “unhealthy”, with the pollutant standard index (PSI) higher than 100 in the Kao-Ping air basin [TEPA, 2000]. There were approximate three millions of residence and over 3.4 millions of vehicles (0.9 million gasoline vehicles, 2.5 million motorcycles and 72 thousands diesel engine) in the air basin in year 2004. Amount of vehicles has increase about 51% by compare with 10 years ago. Several studies [TEPA, 2000; Tsai etc., 2000; Chan etc., 2001] indicate that the on-road mobile sources are one of the dominant contributors which caused the serious air pollution issue in Taiwan. Taiwan Environmental Protection Administration (TEPA) proposed a control plan for air pollution in late 1990’s and has been conducting a series of control measures to reduce emissions from mobile sources and stationary sources simultaneously [TEPA, 2000]. Since motor vehicle density in Taiwan is higher than other country. In order to control the growth of pollution associated with motor vehicles in major urban downtown, the TEPA has developed a comprehensive strategy in mobile source. For in-use motor vehicle, there are several strategies have developed, such as stringent emission standards, emission control technologies, but also have some deficiencies. Abatement of mobile source emission is an important task in the control program for attainment demonstration, especially in in-use vehicles. The emission inventory (TEDS, 2000) of air pollutants shows that 74% of CO, 28% of NOx, and 22% of NMHC in Taiwan is contributed by on-road mobile sources [TEPA, 2001]. The car age distribution results indicated over 50% vehicles are over 5 years old. High aged gasoline that aged over 7 years was taken over 50%. Air pollutants emitted from aged on-road vehicles are significant question in Taiwan. This paper discusses the near-term control measures for in-used gasoline vehicles emissions in the air basin, includes passenger car, taxis and low-duty gasoline trucks. METHODOLOGY Development of Control Plan TEPA organized a task force to develop the air pollution control plan of the Kao-Ping air basin in late 1990’s. The experience of air quality management plan (AQMP) developed by the south coast air quality management district (SCAQMD) in California had being learned by the government and had being applied in the development of the control plan in Taiwan. The process for developing the control plan of mobile sources includes the emission estimation, control measure development, emission abatement estimation, and cost-effectiveness analysis [TEPA, 2000]. Development of Control Measure Development of control measure is considered for in-use gasoline motor vehicles. Meanwhile both regulatory approach and incentive program are included. However, technical limitation and administration feasibility are also considered. Consideration factors are emission abatement potential, technical feasibility, administration feasibility, and cost-effectiveness for each candidate measure. Fig.1 shows the control measure development process. Fig.1 The development process for gasoline vehicle emission control measure Emissions Estimation for In-use Gasoline Vehicle Subcategory Emission Analysis -Number of influenced vehicle -Vehicle kilometer traveled (VKT) -Engine type -Deterioration Rate (DR) Candidate Control Measure Development (New and In-use vehicles) Assessment of Candidate Measure 。Emission Abatement Potential 。Technical Feasibility 。Administration Feasibility 。Cost-effectiveness Emission Abatement Estimation Emission abatement for each control measure was estimated by the followings: EAP = NV × VKT × △EF × 10-6 EAP : Emission abatement potential (tpy) NV : Number of vehicle which were influenced by the proposed control measure VKT : annual travel distance of vehicle (km/yr) △EF : improvement of emission factor (g/km) Due to the effect of multiple pollutants abatement as a control measure has been adopted, the equivalent emission abatement (EEA) was applied as the parameter for assessing the effectiveness of each control measure. It was defined as the summation of hydrocarbon (HC), oxides of nitrogen (NOx) and 1/7 carbon monoxide (CO) [SCAQMD, 1997]. Only a few of NOx, SOx and PM emission are caused by gasoline engine exhaust, therefore abatement of those compounds is neglected in this study. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Candidate Control Measures Emission abatement from in-use motor vehicle is necessary and is expected effectively. There are three types of gasoline vehicle (passenger car, taxis and low-duty gasoline trucks) are included in this project. Control strategies are base on the regulations and authority of TEPA. We establish some measure frameworks for all types’ vehicles, all candidate control measures were follow those criterions. The measure frameworks are as follow: Encourage older, higher-emitting vehicles retirement Ensure effective of air pollution control devices for in-use motor vehicles Enhanced the inspection/maintain (I/M) program Manage the import gasoline and diesel vehicles Table 1 list registered vehicles numbers and VKT of all motor vehicles in Kao-Ping Area. There were almost 2.4 millions in-use motorcycles in the Kao-Ping air basin in 2003. For gasoline vehicles, number of vehicle was taken 26% but the contribution of air pollutant was higher then other vehicles. The major emission air pollutants were CO and NMHC. Table 2 shows the emission contribution of CO, NMHC, NOx and PM from on-road vehicles. Table 1. The vehicles numbers and VKT values for motor vehicles in Kao-Ping Area Type Motorcycle Gasoline Vehicle Diesel Engine Number (car) VKT (km/yr) Two-stoke engine motorcycle (MC-2) 1,015,967 3,400 Four-stoke engine motorcycle (MC-4) 1,488,619 4,300 791,060 17,800 Taxis 10,721 58,600 Light-duty gasoline trucks (LDGT) 79,695 19,900 Light -duty diesel trucks (LDDT) 37,504 20,700 Heavy-duty diesel trucks (HDDT) 34,204 51,070 Passenger vehicles (PV) Table 2. The percentage of on-road vehicles for air pollutant emission in Kao-Ping Area Unit: percentile (%) Type Number CO NMHC NOx PM10 Gasoline vehicle 26 63 39 28 23 Motorcycle 72 28 52 9 14 Diesel engine vehicle 2 9 8 63 64 There were total 4 control measures proposed for the in-use gasoline vehicles, each measure was evaluated emission abatement and cost effectiveness in the study. These candidate measures were included the followings: (1) Enhancement of smoke-check (I/M) program (2) Incentive program for scrapping old (high-aged) vehicles (3) Enhancement on-road inspection by RSD (4) Reporting dirtiest vehicles (smoking vehicle) (5) Manage the import gasoline vehicles C1: Enhancement of Smoke-check Program Taiwan conducts the smoke-check program (or inspection and maintenance program, I/M) in vehicle inspection program for passage car, taxi and light duty gasoline truck. All gasoline vehicles that age is over 5 years must be smoke-checked. Beside smoke-check, safety inspection is also including in vehicle inspection program. But the inspection authority is belonging to Division of Motor Vehicles, Directorate General of Highways. There are two kinds of inspection agency, one is public and the other is private station. The result of failed percentage indicated vehicle that inspect in private inspection station has lower failed percentage. The effect of emission reduction is not good enough. On the other hand, TEPA has conducted motorcycle smoke-check program under Air Pollution Prevention Act, and obtain great emission reduction. Therefore this strategy is designed as motorcycle smoke-check system, in-use gasoline vehicles smoke-check part is taking over by environmental agency. There are two control measures developed: (1) Case A: Vehicles are classified according to age, older vehicles (over 10 years) have more severe require than low aged vehicle (5~10 years). Older vehicles have to do smoke-check in public inspection station, the cars’ age between 5 to 10 years can chose public or private station. (2) Case B: Combine Case A with cut down the inspection age from 5 years to 3 years, to estimated emission abatement. The gross emission abatement of Case A control measure is 506 (CO), 69 (THC) and 33 (NOx) tons per year (ton/year) in Kao-Ping area. The equivalent emission abatement is approximate 182 tons per year. For Case B, the gross emission abatement is 651 (CO), 80 (THC) and 39 (NOx) tons per year (ton/year) in same area. The equivalent emission abatement is approximate 212 tons per year. The cost-effectiveness for Case A and Case B were approximate 42 thousand USD /ton and 19 thousand USD /ton, respectively. C2: Incentive program for scrapping old (high-aged) gasoline vehicles Taiwan EPA has adopted emission standard for on-road vehicles in four phases since 1987. In-use gasoline vehicles compliance with the phase I standard is taken 14% (660 thousands cars) in 1998. The emission factor of CO, HC and NOx will increase in accordance with car age, 10 years old vehicles which emit about 20 times of CO and HC, 10 times of NOx than a new car (less than 1 year). But the VKT is 40% less than a new car. Table 3 indicates the annual emission and VKT in different passenger car age. This control measure was designed by three cases to retire high-aged cars: (1)Case A: pay full subvention for over 10 year’s vehicles and not meet recently smoke-checked to motivate high emitted cars retired, the other old vehicles ( over 10 year’s but meet emission standard) is giving 50% subvention. (2)Case B: pay full subvention for over 10 year’s vehicles and not meet recently smoke-checked only, the over 10 year’s but meet emission standard is not subsidized. (3)Case C: pay full subvention for all over 10 year’s vehicles. The gross emission abatement of Case A control measure is about 4380 (CO), 584 (THC) and 493 (NOx) tons per year (ton/year) in Kao-Ping area. The equivalent emission abatement is approximate 1702 tons per year. For Case B, the gross emission abatement is 1163 (CO), 158 (THC) and 112 (NOx) tons per year (ton/year). The equivalent emission abatement is approximate 436 tons per year. The gross emission abatement is 4470 (CO), 600 (THC) and 478 (NOx) tons per year (ton/year) in Case C. The equivalent emission abatement is approximate 1717 tons per year. The cost-effectiveness for Case A, Case B and Case C is 970 USD /ton, 3,800 USD /ton and 3,850 USD /ton, respectively. emission abatement and most cost-effective in this measure. Case A has highest Table 3. The Annual Emission and VKT of Different Passenger Car Age (Base year: 2000) Age (year) CO emission (kg/year) HC emission (kg/year) NOx emission (kg/year) VKT* (103km/year) CUM* (103km) 1 2 3 4 5 18.4 17.3 13.3 12.4 11.3 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.3 2.7 2.6 2.9 2.7 2.5 16.13 14.45 12.95 11.60 10.39 16.13 30.58 43.53 55.13 65.52 6 7 8 9 10 10.4 20.7 72.6 108.5 139.3 1.3 2.2 6.4 9.0 11.0 2.3 3.0 6.4 8.5 10.0 9.31 8.34 7.47 6.69 5.99 74.83 83.17 90.64 97.33 103.33 * VKT : Vehicle Kilometer Traveled, CUM : Cumulative Travel Kilometer C3: Enhancement on-road inspection by RSD Since remote sensing (RSD) systems to the measurement of vehicle emissions is not new. Taiwan EPA has adopted RSD system to screening high emitted gasoline vehicles that are highly likely to need of repair in 1996. However, only approximate 3.5-15% of these high-aged vehicles were identifying by RSD, because screening standard are focus on Phase I emission standard for in-use vehicles, it is too lenient. This control measure was designed to increase rate of screen, and require RSD failed vehicles to do I/M test. The failed vehicle must repair failure part to eligible. The measure was assumed 70% screening rate of all passenger car, failed percentage were12% for RSD and 40% for I/M test. It’s estimated that may reduce approximate 710, 88 and 46 ton/year for CO, THC and NOx, respectively. The equivalent emission abatement is approximate 235 tons per year. The cost-effectiveness of this measure is between 7,400 USD/ton. C4: Reporting dirtiest vehicle (smoking vehicle) A well maintained vehicle is a cleaner running, lower emitting vehicle. A few smoking vehicles can have a very significant effect on our air quality. The dirtiest vehicles were found on contribute about 49 percent of total automotive pollution in Southern Taiwan. Thought reporting smoking vehicle hotline will warning the owner of smoking vehicle to repair it. This control measure was designed to promote report way, and require smoking vehicles to do I/M test. If it failed the test then will have a penalty first, then the failed vehicle must repair failure part to eligible. The measure was assumed 8% on road gasoline vehicles is reported and the failed percentage is 49%for I/M test. It’s estimated that may reduce approximate 21, 2.5 and 1.2 ton/year for CO, THC and NOx, respectively. The equivalent emission abatement is approximate 6.8 tons per year. The cost-effectiveness of this measure is 110 thousands USD/ton. C5: Manage the import gasoline vehicles Taiwan opened the country up to the import vehicles since year 2001. The number of import in-use gasoline vehicle is about 1000 cars per year. TEPA has established a rule to prevent air pollutant emission from those import vehicles in 2003. The rule calls “Air Pollution Emission Certification Rule for Import Vehicles”. Only the import vehicles meet exhaust emission standard in new vehicle level can importable. TEPA has already to check on import vehicles when they are just arrival. This measure is assumed if TEPA does not do any prevention measure in import vehicles, to estimate how much pollution will be emitted. It’s estimated that may reduce approximate 3.1, 0.4 and 0.2 ton/year for CO, THC and NOx, respectively. The equivalent emission abatement is approximate 1.0 tons per year. Since the number of import vehicle was not much, therefore the EEA was little, but if government does not have any measure, when the number is increase it will cause more pollutants emitted. Table 4 shows the emission abatement estimation of these four measures. Table 4. Air pollutant emission abatement estimation of gasoline vehicles various control measure Emission Abatement (ton/yr) Cost effectiveness CO HC NOx EAP (103 USD/ton) Control Measure C1 Case A: of Older vehicles have to do smoke-check in public station 560 69 33 182 42 651 80 39 212 19 584 493 1702 0.97 158 112 436 3.8 4470 600 478 1717 3.9 C3 Enhancement on-road inspection by RSD 710 88 46 235 7.4 C4 Reporting smoking vehicle 21 2.5 1.2 6.8 110 C5 Manage the import gasoline vehicles 3.1 0.4 0.2 1.0 --- Enhancement smoke-check program Case B: Combine Case A with cut down inspection age to 3 yrs. C2 Case A: Subvention divided to 100% and 50% for not meet 4379 Incentive program for smoke-checked 10 yrs vehicles and the other old vehicles. scrapping high-aged Case B: 1163 vehicles Only not meet smoke-checked 10 yrs vehicles have subvention Case C: pay full subvention for all over 10 year’s vehicles CONCLUSION Mobile sources are the important emission sources which cause the air pollution issue in southern Taiwan since 1990’s. Emissions from the great number of gasoline vehicles in Kao-Ping air basin should be abated with high priority. Taiwan EPA cooperated with local environment protection agency to conduct a series of control measures in order to reduce the emissions from on-road mobile source, especially in passenger and motorcycle. The control measures have been conducting since late 1990’s and show an evident progress. However, incentive program for scrapping high-aged vehicles and enhancement of roadside inspection have shown the significant abatement of air pollutant emissions from in-use gasoline vehicles. The measure of case C of scrap old passenger car presents significant reduction potential (1,717 ton/year), and the cost-effectiveness is not high. The measure of case A of scrap old passenger car has high potential of emission reduction also, 1,700 ton/year, and the cost-effectiveness is much lower than other measures. The control plan shows a significant progress to reduce air pollution emissions from in-use gasoline vehicles in the air basin. More effective measures for gasoline vehicles and emission abatement should be proposed for further emission reduction in the air basin. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This research was supported by the National Science Council and the Taiwan Environmental Protection Administration through grant NSC 93-EPA-Z-006-002. REFERENCE 1. State of the Environment; Environment Protection Administration, Executive Yuan, Taiwan, R.O.C. (2000) 2. Monthly Report of Traffic Affairs; Ministry of Transport, Executive Yuan, Taiwan, R.O.C. (2002) 3. Tsai, J.H.; Hsu, Y.C.; Weng, H.C.; Lin, W.Y.; Jeng, F.T. Air Pollutant Emissions from New and In-use Motorcycles Tested on Dynamometer; Atmos. Environ. (2000) 34:4747-4754 4. Handbook of Taiwan Emission Data System (TEDS), Environment Protection Administration, Executive Yuan, Taiwan, R.O.C. (2001) 5. Air Pollution Control Plan for Kao-ping Air Basin (Draft), Environment Protection Administration, Executive Yuan, Taiwan, R.O.C. (2000) 6. Chan, Y.C.; Yu, Y.H.; Tsai, J.H. (2001) Air Pollution Control Measures for Motorcycles in the Kao-ping Air Basin, the 18th Air Pollution Control Conference, Kaoshiung City, Taiwan. 7. SCAQMD, 1997 Air Quality Management Plan (1997) 8. Air Pollution Situation and Control Strategy for Gasoline Vehicle in Taiwan, Air Pollution Protection Quarterly of Kashsiung County, Kashsiung County Bureau of Environment Protection (2004) 9. Chan, Y.C, The Study of Air Pollution Control Measures and Emission Reduction for On-road Mobile Source, Master Thesis, Dept. of Environmental Engineering, National Chen-Kung University (2000) 10. Air Pollution Control Strategy and the Effectiveness for In-use Vehicles, National Science Council and Environment Protection Administration, Taiwan, R.O.C. (2004) KEYWORDS In-use gasoline vehicles, air pollutant, emission control measure, Southern Taiwan