FIFTH ASIAN AND PACIFIC POPULATION CONFERENCE 11 – 17 December, 2002 Bangkok, Thailand SRI LANKA COUNTRY REPORT Population Division Ministry of Health, Nutrition and Welfare Colombo, Sri Lanka December, 2002 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY During the past decade, Sri Lanka has continued to consolidate on its achievements in the population, development and reproductive health fields. This period has seen an acceleration of population and socio-economic change. The level of poverty has shown a significant reduction in terms of consumption poverty due to the continued emphasis on the provision of income transfers to the poor through food subsidies, free education and health services. Considerable progress has been made in improving the level of health and education of the population. There has been significant improvements in the living standards, health and the educational levels of the people. Sri Lanka today presents a picture of a country experiencing rapid and deep seated demographic and social change. The rate of growth of population has been reduced to 1.1 per cent. The total fertility rate has dropped from 3.4 in the early 1980s to 1.9 during 1995 to 2000. The contraceptive prevalence rate has increased from 66.1 per cent in 1993 to 70.0 per cent in 2000. The infant mortality rate has shown a steady decline from 19.3 per thousand live births in 1990 to 14.0 in 1998. Trained care during pregnancy and labour is high in Sri Lanka. Nearly 99 per cent of pregnant women receive antenatal care during pregnancy. Approximately 94 per cent of deliveries take place in medical institutions. The status of women in the Sri Lankan society is relatively high and in the South Asian context Sri Lanka ranks first in the gender related development index. Yet, there are areas in Sri Lanka which need focused attention. A major challenge the country will face in the immediate future is to increase the pace of economic growth and thereby effectively eliminate poverty. It is clear that much higher rates of economic growth is needed to improve living standards of the population. The the government has set a target growth rate of 10 percent. This is indeed necessary not only to substantially reduce poverty, but also to carry out the required reconstruction and rehabilitation to ensure permanent end to the conflict in the north and east of the country. Another challenge is the ageing of the population. It is important to plan out adequate health care and social support programmes for this segment of the population. Although the pace of urbanization in the past has been relatively slow, by 2030 more than 40 per cent of the total population will live in the urban sector. It is therefore, necessary to ensure the planned planed growth and development of cities. In spite the progress made in the field of maternal health, still two thirds of maternal mortality and morbidity are due to preventable causes. Of the infant deaths, about 75 per cent take place during the first month of life. Thus coverage of postnatal domiciliary care services need to be improved. Child mortality has 2 declined steadily during the past decade. Though maternal and child care services have reached the greater majority of the population, the quality of services needs to be improved if maternal and child mortality and morbidity is to be further reduced. The knowledge in respect of STD and HIV/AIDs and their prevention varies among different groups of the population. Some of the identified high risk groups include Sri Lankans employed in the Gulf States, workers in the Free Trade Zones, beach boys and young girls involved in commercial sex and displaced persons. Associated with increasing life expectancy in Sri Lanka, the chronic noncommunicable diseases such as diabetes, hypertension and cancers have become more important causes of morbidity and mortality. In females, 50 per cent of reported cancers are those of the reproductive tract. A screening programme for reproductive organ malignancies and certain other conditions has been introduced since 1996 through the establishment of Well Women’s Clinics. Although appreciable reduction in fertility has been observed, still significant differentials exist between socio-economic groups as well as between geographic areas. Male methods of contraception are not quite popular. In 2000, only 2.1 per cent had accepted vasectomy, 3.7 per cent were using condoms and 7.1 per cent used Withdrawal as a method of contraption. About 26 per cent of the Sri Lankan population comprise adolescents and youth. Though a considerable amount of work as been initiated, it is necessary to organize programmes to provide reproductive health information, education and services to this segment of population. Sri Lanka continues to promote and sustain a policy environment that is conducive to gender equality and the empowerment of women. However, there is still a need for the greater involvement of women in policy, decision making processes at senior level managerial positions. A well designed advocacy strategy is therefore necessary to create a supportive environment to address these issues with a view to promote changes in policy and resource allocations. Among the areas of donor assistance in the future will include support to strengthen services to underserved geographic areas and specified vulnerable groups of population, consolidation and quality improvement in the delivery of services, prevention of abortions, reproductive tract infections including HIV/AIDS, adolescent reproductive health and counseling, prevention of gender 3 based violence, support to NGOs, data collection and research, advocacy and building capacity at national and sub-national levels for effective implementation of policy and coordination and monitoring of programmes using results based management. Therefore, in order to consolidate the gains achieved thus far and to move forward to face the emerging challenges in the coming years, broader and deeper partnerships between the government, the NGOs, civil society and the international donor community is needed. 4 1. Overview of Population and Development Situation and Prospects with Special Attention to Poverty In the South Asian context Sri Lanka’s experience in achieving considerable progresses in reducing its rate of growth of population and the human development dimension of poverty has been unique. Enlightened social development policies pursued during the past five decades have no doubt contributed to this welcome change. The strong commitment by government to provide free education and health care services to all segments of the population and subsidized food for the entire population for about three decades and to more than one half of the population during the past two decades and the wide coverage of these services has resulted in very good indicators in terms of fertility, mortality, literacy and basic education enrollment. This marks Sri Lanka as an outlier in relation to other countries at similar levels of per capita income. Sri Lanka’s progress in the population and development field during the past decade is significant. The rate of growth of population has declined from 1.5 per cent in the early 1990s to 1.1 per cent today. Similarly, the per capita income which was US $ 418 in 1990 has increased to US $ 841 in 2000. In addition, emphasis on establishing peace and ethnic harmony, the strengthening of democracy and human rights and maintaining economic progress have been reflected in government policies and programmes in the post-ICPD period. Continued reliance on open economic policies and human resource development has enabled Sri Lanka to achieve an average economic growth rate of near 5 per cent during the past decade. The liberalization process set in motion for over two decades has contributed to diversification of the production structure of the economy. The expert-led diversification of the economy has also contributed to the changes in the composition of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In 1995, for the first time the industrial sector overtook the agricultural sector in terms of its share to the GDP. The level of poverty in Sri Lanka has also shown a significant reduction in terms of consumption poverty due to overall economic growth and continued emphasis on the provision of income transfers to the poor in particular through food subsidies, free education and health services. The proportion of individuals at the household level with consumption expenditure below poverty level was estimated at 22 per cent in the early 1990s. If a United States dollar a day is used as the poverty line (adjusted for purchasing power parity), only about 7 percent of the Sri Lankan population is poor. However, when the poverty line is increased to US $ 2 a day, the poverty line increases to 45 per cent. The income distribution pattern of the population shows that there has been improvements among the middle 40 per cent and bottom 50 per cent of income groups during the period 5 1986 to 1997. In Sri Lanka, poverty groups are essentially the landless and small farmers, unskilled labourers, low skilled artisans, self employed , the unemployed, the aged in low income families and working poor at subsistence levels of income. Universal access to education and health care has to some extent protected these poverty groups. Poverty is predominantly a rural phenomenon. Studies have shown that poor households are more likely to be found in rural than in urban areas. Households are more likely to be poor if their working members are employed in agriculture and other primary production activities. Poverty among female headed households is about the same as among male headed households. Poor households generally have a larger family size. Their members are less educated than those of non-poor households. Members of poor households who are in the labour force are more likely to be unemployed. It is also observed that the poor divert a large proportion of their consumption expenditure to food. As the economic growth rate over the past few decades has not grown at an appreciable pace to reduce poverty, special programmes have been implemented to reduce consumption poverty in Sri Lanka. Moreover, despite the relatively slow economic growth rates, the macro-economic and structural adjustment programmes have aggravated the plight of the poor in certain areas. The major State strategy to alleviate poverty and generate incomes for the poor is the Samurdhi Programme, which replaced the Janasaviya Poverty Alleviation Programme implemented prior to 1994. The Samurdhi programme has several components; income transfers, compulsory savings and insurance schemes and loans and training for micro-enterprises. This programme services about 53 per cent of all households in the country. During the past few decades, considerable progress has been made in improving the level of education of the population. These improvements have been greater for females. In 1994, 89.4 per cent of boys and 89.5 per cent of girls aged 5-14 years were in school. School dropout occurs mainly at the senior secondary level. The school participation rates in the age group 15-19 years were 55.3 per cent for girls and 53.4 per cent for boys. Literacy rates have improved from 92.5 per cent for males and 87.9 per cent for females in 1994 to 94.5 per cent and 89.8 per cent respectively in 1996/97. In January 1998, compulsory education regulations were introduced for the age group 5-14 years to ensure that the 5 per cent of those aged 5 years who do not attend school and those who drop out before aged 14 are retained in the educational system. The rising educational level of the population, in particular that of females have contributed to the decline of infant and maternal mortality and fertility in Sri Lanka. 6 Due to the relatively high fertility rates in the past, the current rate of growth of the labour force is 1.7 per cent, much higher than that of population which grows at 1.1 per cent. Although the overall unemployment rates have declined over the past decade, youth unemployment rates are about three times higher. Female rates are much higher than that of males, Labour force projections for the current decade indicate that the total labour force will increase from 8.9 million in 2000 to 10.1 million in 2010. A developmental benefit from the slower rate of growth of population in Sri Lanka as a consequence of the decline in fertility is the trend towards lower dependency ratios. The dependency ratio which was 85.2 per cent in 1991 dropped to 46.4 per cent in 2000. It is expected to further decline to 44.5 per cent by the year 2010. Thus the demographic structure of Sri Lanka is well geared for social and economic advancement. Thus Sri Lanka therefore, has another window of opportunity to respond the current favourable population age structure. Before the older population dramatically increases, there will appear a bulge is the workforce, initially in the peak working ages. Therefore, it is important to create appropriate enabling economic conditions to take advantage of this opportunity. Population projections for this decade indicate that the total population will increase from the current estimated number of about 19.0 million to about 20.7 million by the year 2010. 2. Fertility Levels and Trends and their Implications for Reproductive Health, Including Family Planning Programmes Sri Lanka has undergone significant declines in fertility during the past few decades. The level of fertility measured by total fertility rate show a decline from about 5 children per woman in the early 1960s to below replacement level of 1.9 children in 2000 making Sri Lanka the country with the lowest level of fertility in South Asia. The age-specific fertility rates show that during the early 1980s fertility decline has been entirely due to the decline in fertility levels of women aged 30 years and over. However, since then significant declines have been observed for women aged below 30 years. Completed fertility measured by the average number of children ever born to currently married women aged 45-49 years also confirm the downward trend in fertility where it has declined from 5.1 children to 3.2 children. Initial fertility decline in Sri Lanka was mainly attributed to the rise in the age at marriage of females. The mean age at marriage of females increased from 7 20.9 years in 1953 to 24.6 in 2000. The subsequent decline in fertility is attributed to the rise in contraceptive prevalence rate from 34.4 per cent in 1975 to 70.0 per cent in 2000. An examination of the demand for contraceptives by method show that until around the mid 1980s the contraceptive prevalence rate of modern temporary methods had remained around 10 per cent. Since then, it has increased to 17 per cent in 1993 and to 26 per cent in 2000. The demand for permanent methods of family planning has shown an increase in prevalence from about 11 per cent in 1975 to 30 per cent in 1987 and since then has declined to 23 per cent in 2000. In addition to contraceptive use and rise in age at marriage, abortion and post-partum in fundability may have also contributed to fertility decline in Sri Lanka. Surveys have shown that the number of married women resorting to abortion has increased during the past decade. Similarly, the mean duration of breastfeeding has remained at around 23 months despite the rising educational levels of women. While the rise in educational level of married females in the reproductive ages has contributed to the increase in the age at marriage and contraceptive use, in recent years, the upward social mobility of females brought about by the wider availability of economic opportunities and their participation in the modern economic sectors have also contributed to higher level of contraceptive use and fertility decline in Sri Lanka. Studies have also shown that there is a clear inverse relationship between mothers education and fertility. Lower the level of education of the mother higher is the number of children in the family. Therefore, it is generally seen that family size is higher in low income families. Similarly, it also shows that in households where the husband is engaged in white colder work, the number of children in the household is lower than in households where the husband is engaged agricultural work. Fertility decline in Sri Lanka has brought about both positive results and challenges. On the positive side it is seen that dependency ratios and the rate of growth of population have declined. Better birth spacing has no doubt contributed to the decline in infant and maternal mortality rates. The reduction in the absolute number of births has also put less pressure on primary education and primary health care services. It has also brought about a slower growth of labour force enabling the reduction of unemployment rates and increased labour productivity through the application of modern technologies. 8 The reduction of fertility also poses challenges in accelerating the process of population ageing in the future. The projections of fertility for the future indicate that the total fertility rate will continue to decline to about 1.7 during 2015-2020 and thereafter gradually rise to replacement level. One of the main goals of the Population and Reproductive Health Policy of the government presented in 1998 is to maintain current declining trends in fertility so as to achieve a stable population size at least by the middle of the 21 st century. 3. Mortality and Morbidity Trends and Poverty A sharp reduction in mortality in Sri Lanka was observed during the period 1946 to 1957 which coincided with initiation of the intensive campaign to eradicate Malaria and the expansion of health care services. This resulted in the reduction geographic differentials in mortality by early 1960s. Further reductions in mortality that followed in the next few decades is the result of further improvement in the health care system, improved nutrition, personnel hygiene, environmental sanitation and the rising educational attainment of the population. The crude death rate which stood at 14.4 per thousand of the population during 1946 to 1950 has declined to 5.6 during 1991 to 1995. The infant and maternal mortality rates have declined from100.6 and 9.3 per thousand live births to 17.1 and 0.3 during the same period. Data from Demographic and Health Surveys clearly indicate that there is an inverse relationship between mother’s educational level and infant and maternal mortality rates. Sex differentials in mortality in Sri Lanka show that from birth to advanced ages female have lower mortality than males. As a result the estimated life expectancy for males in 2000 was 71.3 years compared to 76.5 years for females. Improvement in morbidity has been much less than that of mortality. It is seen that traumatic injuries, diseases of the respiratory system and viral diseases were the three leading causes of hospitalization during 1998 to 2000. Also, morbidity and mortality rate of inpatients in State hospitals indicate that substantial increases are seen with regard to hypertension and ischaemic heart diseases. In the year 2000 ischaemic heart disease, diseases of the gastrointestinal tract and cerebro-vascular diseases were the leading causes of hospital deaths. 9 Despite the epidemiological transition that has taken place in Sri Lanka, infections and parasitic diseases including malaria, diarrheal diseases and acute respiratory infections continue to be among the leading causes of out patient care in hospitals. The underlying factors influencing the incidence of these diseases are poor environmental sanitation and housing, poor personnel hygiene and malnutrition. The prevention and control of vaccine preventive diseases received considerable attention during the past decade with the expansion of environmental sanitation activities such as safe water supply, latrine construction and better housing. Efforts were also directed at educating the population to improve personnel hygiene through health education programmes. Although infant, child and maternal mortality rates are low in Sri Lanka, relatively high rates are found among sub-groups of the population such as urban slums, estate population and under privileged groups. The major underlying cause is poverty (poor living conditions, malnutrition, poor hygiene and sanitation) high parity and poor birth spacing. Diarrheal diseases and acute respiratory infections lead to chronic malnutrition and growth failure among infants and pre-school children. Therefore, better environmental sanitation, housing, water and sewerage disposal will reduce mortality and morbidity from respiratory and gastrointestinal diseases which is a major cause of infant and child mortality and morbidity. Psycho-social problems, sexual problems, and addictions are reported to be on the increase among school children. During the past decade action has been taken to improve the quality and coverage of the school health programme. A National Coordinating Committee for School Health has been set up by the Ministry of Health in collaboration with the Ministry of Education As a result, school medical inspections and health promotion have been strengthened. A school sanitary survey has been initiated to obtain information to improve school health. 4. Migration, Urbanization and Poverty Migration to and from Sri Lanka has had both positive and negative influences on the Sri Lankan society. Prior to gaining independence, migration positively contributed to population growth and economic development with the inflow of Indian Tamils to work in the tea and rubber plantations. Subsequently, since independence with the restrictions of emigration and the repatriation of stateless persons, migration ceased to influence the rate of growth of population. However, during the past few decades, in a given period the number of female migrants going to the Gulf States for temporary employment has been much larger than those returning after completing their employment contracts. As a result, 10 migration has contributed negatively to population growth during the past three decades. In addition, the economic benefits to the country through remittances in foreign exchange have to some extent being offset by the social costs to the families that are left behind and to some migrants through harassment and exploitation at work places abroad. Internal population movements in Sri Lanka during the period 1946 to 1981 show that movements to the district of Colombo, the commercial city of Sri Lanka has been mainly from south-western coastal districts. The volume of migration has increased over this period. Migration from the northern district of Jaffna is the only long distance flow to Colombo. Short distance movements between the contiguous districts have been prominent. Large movements from the high rainfed and densely populated districts to low density and low rain fed districts have been a post independence phenomenon. In 1994, there were eight in-migration districts. In six, the female migration rates were equally high as males. There were eleven districts where there was a net loss of population. Out of which nine districts lost both male and female populations. The remaining two districts namely Ratnapura and Kalutara had a loss of females only. One of the significant developments in migration in the last decade is the increase of independent migration of women. This is seen in the movement of young rural women to urban areas for employment in modern sectors such as garment industry in export processing zones and the outflow of women for domestic employment in the Gulf States and South-east Asian countries. While this has opened up many opportunities for improving the status of women, there have been instances where women have been subject to exploitation. The Population and Reproductive Health Policy of the Government contains the following two strategies with regard to female employment abroad. a) “Provide international labour migrants support to acquire the requisite social skills and attitudes to face new situations both at the destination and on return”. b) “Provide families of female migrant workers with the necessary support so that their young children can be taken care of while the mother is abroad” The pace of urbanization during the past two decades in Sri Lanka has continued to be slow due to the weakening of both “push” and “full” factors. The push factors have been wakened by the emphasis given by governments to rural development to uplift rural communities and eliminate large urban-rural disparities in living conditions. The “pull” factors have been weakened by the 11 low level of growth and investment in the industrial and other modern service sectors. However, with the emphasis given to rural development by successive governments, by and large, urban poverty has also been kept under control. Nevertheless, the pace of urbanization in Sri Lanka is expected to accelerate in the coming decades, due to the growth of small and medium size towns around the major cities of the country. According to projections of urban population, the percentage of population living in urban areas is expected to increase from 24 per cent in 2000 to 42 per cent in 2030. As a result, increase environmental pollution, changes in occupational and consumption patterns and life styles would contribute to greater health and social problems. Therefore, it is the policy of the government to promote the economic benefits of migration and urbanization while controlling their adverse social and health effects. 5. Population Ageing The demographic transition that has taken place in Sri Lanka over the past five decades is gradually transforming its population to an elderly one where proportionately and in absolute numbers those aged 60 years and over will increase. The proportion of population under 15 years of age to the total population has declined from 41.5 per cent in 1963 to 24.8 per cent in 2000. On the other hand, the share of those aged 60 years and over has increased from 5.4 per cent to 10.0 per cent during the same period. This change has been brought about by the rise in life expectancy at birth from 42 years in 1946 to about 73 years in 2000 and the decline in the number of children per woman in the reproductive ages from about five children in the early 1960s to the current level of about two children. This favourable decline in morality and fertility has been achieved through the effective implementation of primary health care and family planning and other social development policies and programmes. Unlike in western societies, elderly in Sri Lanka prefer to live with their children. There is no strong preference for living with a son or daughter. In a study of intergenerational relationships and reciprocity, has shown three distinct patterns. First, the old earned support of their children by providing good care for their children earlier in life; second, the old do value things to assist their children and improve their well being in the household; and third one time substantial assistance in the from of a dowry or inheritance to a childe balances the ongoing support that the old parents receive in later life. 12 With increasing longevity in Sri Lanka, families with four living generations will increase. However, the decrease in the number of children per family and their dispersion due to migration and urbanization would result in a fewer number of children available for home care The demographic ageing in Sri Lanka will decrease the ratio of middle aged women to elderly people. This “daughter care potential” for Sri Lanka is expected to decline from around 1.8 to 1.0 by 2040. The decline in the ratio particularly form 2010 onwards, would pose significant issues with regard to care of the elderly. Thus there would be an increasing need for externally provided support services to assist families to care for their elderly relatives and a corresponding need for the development and expansion of community based health care as an alternative to home care. Sri Lanka has been providing social security to the elderly population and has expanded its coverage in recent years. An Act to provide for the establishment of a National Council for elders with the objective of promoting and protecting the welfare and the rights of the elders was enacted in Parliament in the year 2000. There are also important government superannuation schemes that cover the aged who have been employed in the formal and informal sectors of the economy. Day care centers for the elderly have been established in a limited way in addiction to full time institutional care. Currently, the Ministries of Health and Social Services are engaged in developing programmes and to strengthen the existing mechanisms to provide support the elderly, specially in respect of heath care, housing, income security, care giving facilities and living arrangements. There is also a need for providing social and economic security to the poor segments of the elderly in particular to those who are single and widowed living in low income households. The Population and Reproductive Health Policy of 1998 has outlined the following strategies for the care of elderly: - Encourage the private sector, NGOs, CBOs and the local community to provide community care and services to the elderly. - Initiate social security schemes for the elderly not already covered by EPF, ETF, etc. - Provide incentives to families to care for the elderly at home - Provide appropriate training for out of school youth awaiting employment to enable them to take care of the elderly at home. - Provide special care units for the elderly in the State Health Care System. 13 - 6. Establish a cadre of Community Health Nurses with responsibility for the care of the elderly. Reproductive Health Sri Lanka has been providing integrated family planning and maternal and child health services form the late 1960s. The border concept of reproductive health was adopted in 1998 with the formulation of national policy on population and reproductive health. From the inception of the family planning programme, the government has adopted a “cafeteria” approach for delivery of family planning services. Clients are given the option of selecting a contraception method of their choice from range of methods made available through family planning service outlets. To facilitate decision making by the clients, advice and counseling is provided by health workers. Family planning services (temporary and modern methods) are provided through a wide network of MOH/FP clinics conducted regularly (usually once in two weeks) in medical institutions and health centers . The Public Health Midwives provide oral pills and condoms during their field visits. The government effort is supplemented by the NGO sector. The permanent methods of family planning (tubectomy and vasectomy) services are provided through the larger hospitals and the NGOs. Currently more than 50 per cent of the demand for sterilizations is met by the NGO sector. About 95 per cent of deliveries take place in medical institutions. The number of births that occur in government medical institutions have increased steadily during the past four decades. Easy access to institutional care and regular contract with the Public Health Midwives have influenced the choice in favour of institutional deliveries. Of the deliveries that take place in government institutions, nearly 70 per cent occur in larger hospitals where specialist services are available. After delivery, the mother and child are followed at home by the area Midwife with necessary post-partum care. Approximately 65 per cent of women receive post-natal care at least once during the first ten days after delivery. As a result, maternal and infant mortality rates have declined appreciably during the past decade. 14 Sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) are a major public health issue and constitute one of the important causes of infertility/ sub-fertility in Sri Lanka. It is estimated that around 60,000 new episodes of STDs occur annually of which about 1.5 per cent are seen at the government clinics with the majority seeking treatment from the private sector. With increasing life expectancy and changing life styles, noncommunicable diseases such as diabetes, hypertension and cancers have become important causes of morbidity and mortality in Sri Lanka. In females, 50 per cent of reported cancers are those of the reproductive system. A screening programme for reproductive organ malignancies and certain other conditions has been introduced since 1996, through the establishment of “Well Women’s Clinics” (WWC). These clinics are conducted every two weeks or monthly by trained Medical Officers, and women over 35 years of age could get themselves checked for conditions like hypertension, diabetes, breast malignances and cervical cancers. This organized WWC programme in Sri Lanka is unique in the region where asymptomatic women are screened for debilitating and life threatening illnesses. It is estimated that about 10 to 12 per cent of married couples in Sri Lanka are sub-fertile. The services for infertility/sub-fertility constitute an important component of the national reproductive health programmes. Although considerable progress has been made in the field of reproductive health, particularly in maternal and child health and family planning, quality of service delivery needs further improvement in order to attain some of the targets set for end of this decade. Despite the significant declines in maternal and infant and child mortality rates, there are geographic areas of high maternal and infant mortality within the country. About two thirds of the maternal mortality and morbidity are due to preventable causes. Poor nutritional status and inadequate weight gain in pregnancy together with a high incidence of anemia and inadequate birth spacing are major factors contributing to maternal morbidity and mortality. Anemia has been identified as a common problem among pregnant women. Studies show that about 50 to 60 per cent of pregnant women are anemic. A national strategy to prevent and control anemia in pregnancy has been formulated and is currently being implemented to overcome this situation. The incidence of low birth weight is relatively high in Sri Lanka, although it has shown a steady decline during the past decade. Nearly 16 per cent of 15 children born have a low birth weight of less than 2500 grams. There is considerable variation among districts with regard to low birth weight babies. Despite a relatively high contraceptive prevalence rate of 70 per cent, the incidence of induced abortion is high. Many unwanted pregnancies terminate in unsafe abortions exposing women to higher risks of mortality and morbidity. Studies also show that over 90 per cent of abortion seekers are married women. Majority resort to abortions due to contraceptive method failure (oral pills and traditional methods) About 10 per cent of maternal deaths are due to causes related to abortion. Availability of proper guidelines and protocols on important areas of reproductive health would improve the quality of services. Currently, action is being taken in this regard to improve the quality of reproductive health care services at all levels. 7. Adolescent Reproductive Health Adolescents (aged 10-19 years) comprise 17 per cent of the total population. Adolescence is a dynamic phase of development in the life of young people. It is a period of change from childhood to adulthood characterized by physical, mental, emotional and social development. Thus it is a period often not very well understood by both adolescents themselves as well as by adults. This is particularly evident with regard to sexuality and reproductive health . The risk of unwanted pregnancy and sexually transmitted diseases including HIV/AIDS and induced abortions are some of the emerging issues confronting adolescents. In view of the above concerns, the national reproductive health programme in Sri Lanka gives very high priority to the provision of both education and services to the adolescents. One of the early attempts at providing population education to adolescents was in 1973 when the Department of Education embarked on a Population Education programme for school children. The introduction of population education in schools was considered a bold initiative considering the socio cultural background of the Sri Lankan society at that time. Since then considerable progress has been made and from the early 1990s family life education programme has been implemented through the formal school system. Two important activities through this project that were implemented are (a) incorporation of test items to cover population and family life education at national level public examinations conducted throughout the country by the Department of Examination and (b) the involvement of parents in family life education by organizing programmes to 16 create awareness on adolescent issues among parents through parent-teacher organizations. The National Youth Services Council conducts reproductive health information programmes with the objective of providing leadership training for youth and poor groups. In 1993 a National Steering Committee on Adolescent Health was established to coordinate adolescent health activities and develop new initiatives. The committee made far reaching recommendations regarding the promotion of adolescent health. A book on common adolescent health issues was developed for higher grade school children titled “Dawn of Adolescence” and was distributed to all relevant school children. In 1998, a directorate for youth was established in the Ministry of Health for promotion of life skills education as an important element to reduce adolescent health problems including reproductive health issues. Many NGOs have been involved with adolescent related programmes concerning education, training and counseling. The Family Planning Association of Sri Lanka has been in the forefront of reproductive health education as well as service provision. The Family Planning Association is also the lead organization in the UNFPA/EC initiative in addressing adolescents and youth and their reproductive health needs. The project focuses on counseling and provision of services to adolescents and youth in thirteen districts of the country. 8. Demographic, Economic and Social Impact of HIV/AIDS Sri Lanka has an estimated 7,200 adults and children living with HIV infection. The prevalence rate of HIV is estimated at 0.06 per cent in the adult population. According to the UNAIDS classifications Sri Lanka has a “low-level HIV epidemic”. By end of June, 2002, a cumulative total of 425 HIV infections have been reported to the National STD/AIDs Control Programme. Of these 134 have been diagnosed as AIDs and 102 have died. Of the 388 HIV infected persons with known age, 90 per cent are aged 15 to 49 years. Since HIV affects the most productive age group of the population, it is estimated that the morbidity it causes will result in productivity loss of approximately US $ 30 million per year and 225,000 person years of life lost. 17 With the changing demographic and social and economic structure, there has been an increase in youth practicing unsafe and unprotected sexual behaviours. In the first five years of the epidemic (1987-1991) the male to female ratio was 4.1, however by end of 2001 the ratio had decreased to 2.1. At the end of 2001, 48 per cent of reported HIV cases were women who had gone abroad for employment. In Sri Lanka approximately 180,000 persons seek foreign employment annually and woman account for nearly 80 per cent of migrant workers. From all provinces of the country HIV has been reported with 63 per cent of cases being reported from the Western Province. One of the key factors precipitating the spread of HIV is sexually transmitted infections (STDs). Thus provision of comprehensive care in the management of STIs is a major strategy adopted for prevention of HIV through sexual transmission, National guidelines on clinical management of STIs have been developed. Syndromes management of STIs has been introduced at the primary health care level. Sri Lanka is one of the first South Asian Countries to reform its blood banks to prevent HIV transmission. Screening of donor blood of HIV antibodies commenced in 1987. The Central Blood Bank in Colombo and 56 regional blood banks distributed throughout the country screen donated blood on site. All blood and blood products are screened for HIV, Hepatitis B, syphilis and Malaria before transfusion. Guidelines on safer blood has been developed and circulated to all health care institutions in the public and private sector. A national blood policy has been formulated. A Private Medical Institutions Bill that incorporates legislative power to the Ministry of Health to regulate public and private sector blood banks has been presented to Parliament. The preventive education aimed at persons with increased risk as well as the general public commenced in the mid 1980s and continue to be implemented both through the government and NGOs. Attempts to modify sexual behaviour through information and education have been one of the major prevention strategies. Knowledge of HIV transmission and prevention methods among married women of reproductive age group is relatively high except on the plantation (Estate) sector of the country. The government, NGO and community based organizations and the private sector are responsible for the implementation of the National Programme. The National STD/AIDS Control Programme provides technical support to all collaborating agencies in order to enable them to implement their activities 18 effectively. The NGOs have been focusing their attention on HIV prevention services to key vulnerable and high risk groups. The HIV/AIDs is not only a health problem. It is development issue as well having both economic and social consequences. Therefore, the epidemic cannot be talked only through medical interventions. It involves a multicultural approach, involving sectors other than health. Ministries such as education, defense, labour, Women Affairs, Youth Affairs are encouraged to formulate their own action plans for HIV prevention and interventions. Such sectors are not only able to draw upon their own resources but are in a better position to reach vulnerable populations such as soldiers, migrant workers, youth etc. Sri Lanka with its deep commitment to human development, literate population and a well developed health infrastructure is in a strong position to confront and control the spread of HIV infections in the country. The recently formulated National Strategy Plan draws on these strengths to address the priority areas in the prevention and control of HIV/AIDs in the country. 9. Gender Equality and Development The status of women in Sri Lanka is relatively high compared to their counterparts in other South Asian countries. Ratification of the convention on elimination of all forms of discrimination against women provided the impetus for women in Sri Lanka to persuade the State to take more active interest in promoting gender equality in the country. Women’s Charter the policy document on women was prepared based on the convention in 1993. The National Committee on Women was established in the same year. The Ministry of Women’s Affairs as the main agency for policy formulation on women’s issues has prepared a National Plan of Action for women (NPA) based on the Beijing Platform for Action. This Plan which was developed in consultation with government and non governmental agencies was updated in 2001 to cover the period 2001-2005. Action has been initiated to implement the Plan of Action through mainstreaming gender. The main gender mainstreaming attempt by the Ministry of Women’s Affairs is the formation of gender focal points in line Ministries to act as catalysts in promoting gender responsive policies and programmes, collecting, analyzing, interpreting and disseminating gender disaggregated data, ascertain the 19 impact of polices and programmes on gender; formulating sectoral plans and programmes in conformity with the NPA and allocating resources for gender and monitoring gender programmes. Gender parity is enshrined is Article 12 (2) of the Constitution of Sri Lanka. Since rectifying the UN convention on elimination of all forms of discrimination against women in 1981, Sri Lanka has become a party to many international conventions with regard to women’s issues and rights. Amendment to the Panel Code has been made after a review of laws prior to 1995. The law on sexual offences, marital rape in the event of judicial separation incest, trafficking, and sexual separation, are the main areas taken up with the amendments. Age at marriage has been raised to 18 years. Education polices have helped women to move forward to acquire a better quality of life and enter gainful employment. In both participation in education and performance at examinations, women have shown a steady progress.. The educational reform introduced through legislation in 1998 making education compulsory for the age group 5-14 years has contributed to greater participation of girl children in education. The female literacy rate was 89.4 per cent during 1996/97 period. A positive development noted in recent years is the increased percentage of females being admitted to universities. However, a distinct gender difference is apparent in their distribution among disciplines. A relatively lower percentage of females seek science based courses. The expansion of free health care services during the past five decades have benefited women in all economic strata in achieving a better quality of life. The female life expectancy at birth of 76 years is higher than that of males by six years. Malnutrition among women has been a problem for decades. Anemia in women is found to be higher than in males. The nutrition requirement of pregnant women are not adequately met leading to higher incidence of low birth weight babies. The labour force participation of women has increased from 32 per cent in 1994 to 37 percent in 2000. There is a heavy concentration of women in subsistence agriculture, plantations, textiles and garment industry, teaching and nursing, clerical services and domestic work. The number of females employed in the primary sector has declined from 54 per cent in 1990 to 43 per cent in 1998. In the secondary sector, female employment has increased from 22.6 per cent to 24.8 percent during the same period. Similar shift is seen in the tertiary sector where the proportions have 20 increased from 28.4 per cent to 30.1 per cent. The economic liberalization policies, expert orientation and private sector participation have further played a positive role in women’s employment during the last decade. Pressing economic difficulties and low wages earned as unskilled labour have compelled many women especially from rural areas to seek employment abroad as domestic workers. The Sri Lanka Foreign Employment Bureau, the State institution dealing with foreign employment has expended its activities to meet welfare needs of migrant women. In spite of the continuous decline in female unemployment rate during the past decade, it is nearly double that of man. According to the labour force survey of 2001, the unemployment rate for females remained at 11.6 per cent compared to 5.8 per cent for males. A relatively high percentage of unemployed women are educated and are in the age group 15 to 24 years. Low participation of women in policy formulation is seen despite a high percentage of voters being females. The female members of Parliament comprise only 4 per cent. In the more recent past, the government as well as NGOs have advocated the increase in women’s participation in politics. Political parties have been requested to revamp their women’s wings to have more women candidates to contest at elections. Women in households below the poverty line are affected to a greater extent than men as they are not sufficiently equipped to combat problems connected with adversity. Female headed households, war windows, ageing women, women lacking resources, low wage earners, destitutes are the categories of poor women. The Samurdhi programme of the government is the major poverty alleviation programme which include income transfers, compulsory savings schemes, insurance and credit for self-employment. Women in poor households have benefited form this programme. Studies have shown that about 10 per cent of the poor have been able to come out of the poverty trap. Violence against women is one of the important concerns of the Ministry of Women’s Affairs and the NGOs. Women’s Charter has a special section dealing with this issue. Measures suggested in this respect are the promotion of legislative reforms the promotion of structural reforms within the criminal justice system and the provision of support to non governmental organizations working with women victims of violence. There are several steps taken to combat this situation, one important step is the revision of the Penal Code in 1995, which made substantive changes relating to rape, incest, trafficking and sexual harassment. 21 10. Behavioural Change Communications, Advocacy and Information and Communication Technology as Tools for Population Development and Poverty Reduction Since the mid 1990s the information, education, communication and advocacy activities in Sri Lanka have been focused on the holistic approach to reproductive health. The advocacy programmes in population and reproductive health is aimed to create a socio-political climate within which relevant awareness, knowledge and motivation for behaviour changes are imparted with a view to bring about better reproductive health services to the target population. The advocacy strategy seeks to increase the awareness and strengthen the capacity of the Parliamentary Forum on Population and Development to be the leading advocate of population and reproductive health issues in the country. The Parliamentary Committee on Population and Development was reestablished in 1997 and subsequently reconstituted in July 2002. Consisting as it does of members of Parliament of the major political parties, it represents a valuable multi-party political consensus which can be utilized to provide legislative support for population and development initiatives. The Committee is currently focusing its attention on some of the important population and development issues such as youth unemployment, population ageing, rising incidence of abortions, environmental degradation, and water resources. These issues are not only discussed at the national level, but also at the sub-national level among elected members of local bodies and divisional councils. There are also advocacy activities directed at mass media personnel and religious leaders. The current activities include the establishment of a forum of journalists representing all media channels, a newsletter aimed at journalists, orientation seminars for journalists at national and sub-national levels, and the production of handbooks and information kits on reproductive health issues for distribution to the media personnel. In addition, advocacy seminars are conducted for local level opinion leaders and religious authorities. Advocacy strategy also aims at women’s organizations. The leaders of grass roots level women’s societies are provided with training and orientation on reproductive health and advocacy skills. 22 The major issues which call for advocacy include reducing the incidence of abortions and information and services to adolescents and youth. As regards abortion, it is necessary to ensure wider availability and effective use of contraceptives and to reduce the need for abortion. In view of the magnitude of unwanted pregnancies resulting due to method failure and unplanned pregnancies, advocacy for the use of post coital contraception is being implemented. While the level of information provided to adolescents and youth who are unmarried through the media and interaction with peer groups is perhaps adequate, a real lacunae in the past has been the access to contraceptive services, counseling etc. owing to widespread opposition in the community that assess to contraceptives would lead to greater promiscuity. In 1998, the Ministry of Health issued circular instructions that the marital status of clients should not be inquired into before health staff provide services on request. The behavioural change communication has focused on specific target audience such as adolescents and youth, and the married couples in the reproductive age group. The adolescents are provided reproductive health education through the school system, with the objective of reducing anxieties connected with growing up, sexuality and gender relations and enhance their knowledge on population and reproductive health issues. Information and education on population and reproductive health are also being provided to out of school youth through youth clubs, vocational training centers and outreach programme for young females workers in Free Trade Zones. In addition, counseling is also provided to undergraduates in the universalities. Information and education is provided to the adult population by interpersonal contracts through home visits and at clinics by grass root level health workers. Sri Lanka is in the transition stage of using information and communication technology in population, development and reproductive health. The Sri Lanka Population Information Centre is linked to the Asia Pacific POPIN network through the internet and has up-to-date global information on population and reproductive health. In addition, in-country information network is developed on a limited scale to exchange information through the e-mail. In the area of reproductive health, action is being taken to repackage electronic information into print formats and disseminate it to relevant health workers particularly those who work in remote areas and in geographic areas where the level of poverty is relative high. This is an area when Sri Lanka will need the assistance of the international donor community to expand its network of information and communication technology to the sub national level. 23 11. Data, Research and Training Sri Lanka has a long history of data collection on population and reproductive health. The first scientific Census of Population was conducted in 1871. Collection vital statistics on a continuous basis commenced even earlier in 1867. Sample surveys on fertility and other demographic and health information have been collected on a regular basis since 1975. The most recent Demographic and Health Survey was conducted in the year 2000. Routine data on maternal and child health and family planning on a regular basis have been collected and tabulated since the early 1970s. Despite the availability of data from population censuses, surveys and the management information system, the quality and coverage of data and their relevance to current needs have not been quite satisfactory. In developing a holistic reproductive health service, and adequate data base for planning and resource mobilization, supported by an effective behavioural change communication, advocacy and information system is essential. Currently very little data exists on socially sensitive areas such as adolescent reproductive health and abortion. There is also a need to obtain client based data eliciting individual views on service needs on quality of service for the design and implementation of effective quality reproductive health service. The decentralization of health services to provincial, district and divisional levels calls for effective coordination of the data collection systems at different levels. There is a need to conduct studies on the effect of decentralization on the process of planning and management and the availability and quality of health services at the sub-national level. These studies could also identify additional data required at the central level for monitoring purposes, under the decentralized environment. The stage of demographic transition that Sri Lanka is currently passing through warrants studies to be undertaken on macro and micro level consequences of population growth, for sectoral planning and strategy development. There is also the need to develop national research priorities which would address critical current concerns and on emerging problem areas. The government policy on devolution also requires training at all levels to be strengthened including the sub-national institutions. The prime mover institutions in this regard are the Sri Lanka Institute of Development Administration and the National Institute of Health Sciences. These institutions are being strengthened to provide regular in-service training on both technical and managerial aspects to the staff at Divisional level and below. This is particularly necessary to standardize training curriculum and methodology. 24 Data collection systems on population and reproductive health at the national and sub-national are being strengthened to obtain quality data on time for monitoring and decision making. In order to improve measurement and monitoring of population and reproductive health programme at all levels, action is being taken to (a) strengthen the management information and statistical system (b) improve skills in monitoring evaluation and analysis. A major challenges for the future is the need the consolidate on what has been achieved in the past and to move forward to achieve higher quality of reproductive health services to the eligible population through an effective management information system. 12. Partnerships and Resources The partnership between Sri Lanka and the donor community in the field of population and family planning commenced as far back as 1958 when an agreement was signed between the Governments of Sweden and Sri Lanka to provide assistance to strengthen the Maternal and Child health and family planning activities. The USAID also provided assistance in the late 1970s and 1980s mainly to NGOs through central funding mechanisms. During this period, organizations such as the Population Council and the Ford Foundation brought their expertise and support to the programs. Japan too was a bi-lateral donor to population and related programmes in the 1980s. In the late 1980s the World Bank/IDA provided support through a soft loan to the national population programme through the Health and Family Planning Project. The UNICEF continues to be source of major support in the field of safe motherhood and support to the girl child. The HIV/AIDs prevention programme has received major support from the World Bank, UNAIDS and the WHO. The Dutch government has been a major multi-bi donor to Sri Lanka to support family life/reproductive health education in the formal school system. AUSAID has provided support to strengthen reproductive health services in the conflict affected areas of the country. Through a regional project the European Union provides funding for adolescent reproductive health. Partnership between the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) and the Government of Sri Lanka commenced in 1969. The UNFPA remains the largest means of external assistance in the field of reproductive health to Sri Lanka. Since other early 1970s, the UNFPA has up to date completed five cycles of programme assistance to Sri Lanka in the field of population, family planning and 25 reproductive health. In the current sixth cycle of assistance for the period 2002 to 2006 the UNFPA is committed to provide US $ 5.5 million to the government of Sri Lanka to implement its reproductive health programme. Under this programme the UNFPA will assist the government in strengthening the national capacity to provide increased access to quality reproductive health including family planning services for populations living in underserved areas and in conflict affected zones. The UNFPA is also committed to providing assistance to increase awareness of sexual and reproductive health issues, including responsible and gender sensitive behaviour among adolescents and youth and advocacy activities on emerging population development and reproductive health issues targeted at parliamentarians, sub-national level elected representatives, administrators, religious and community leaders. Although Sri Lanka has made considerable progress in the field of population and reproductive health, there are critical areas of concern which require the assistance of the international community to enable the national authorities to address these issue effectively. There are vulnerable groups of population and under-served geographic areas where the indicators are much less favourable than the national averages. These include districts that were affected by the ethic conflict, marginalized rural areas, migrant women, the plantation sector, women working in Free Trade Zones and urban slum dwellers. The government has launched Well Women’s Clinics an innovative approach to provide holistic reproductive health services and screening to women over 35 years of age. There is a need to strengthen training of health personnel, technical support, medical equipment and IEC activities in this regard. Despite relative high prevalence of contraceptive use, there is a need to improve family planning services in the under-served areas and vulnerable groups of the population. It is necessary to improve quality of care, assessment of unmet needs, upgrading of family planning clinics in under served areas and contraceptive commodity assistance. The incidence of maternal anemia is high in Sri Lanka. As a result of the increased incidence of unsafe abortions, about are fifth of beds in maternity wards in government maternity homes consist of patients suffering from abortion complications and morbidity. Therefore, donor support is required for reduction of maternal anemia, improve coverage of VDRL testing for syphilis, assistance to manage complications of abortions including support to maternity institutions and emergency obstetric care to vulnerable populations particularly those in the conflict affected areas. 26 Violence against women is a serious social and human rights issue. Although the number of cases of violence reported are on the increase, many are not reported due to cultural constraints and reporting of domestic violence is very rare. It is necessary to address these issues and promote GO/NGO cooperation in the implementation of action programmes. Another area of support envisaged is advocacy for reproductive health issues. Advocacy for critical and burning issues such as abortion, reproductive health heeds of vulnerable groups, violence against women, adolescent health, reproductive health of older women and male participation in reproductive health. The target groups include Parliamentarians, sub-national level elected representatives, health authorities, journalists and women and youth leaders. In the considerable tasks that Sri Lanka has to undertake in the immediate future, the support of the international community would be of much value. Sri Lanka has effectively and efficiently utilized domestic and international resources in the field of population and reproductive health. Continued support on a much larger scale will enable the country to continue its efforts at capacity building and self-reliance. 27 TABLE 1 GROWTH OF POPULATION 1992 - 2001 Year Population (000) Annual Increase (000) Annual Growth Rate (%) 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 17406 17619 17865 18112 18336 18552 18774 19043 18359 18732 213 246 247 224 216 222 269 316 - 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.7 - Source: Registrar General’s Department. The 2001figure is the enumerated and estimated population at the 2001 Census of Population. 28 TABLE 2 THE INCIDENCE OF CONSUMPTION POVERTY 1990/91 – 1996/97 1990/91 1995/96 (Percent) 1996/97 Lower Poverty Line 20 25 19 Higher Poverty Line 33 39 31 Sources: Household Income and Expenditure Survey 990/91, Department of Census and Statistics (DCS), Consumer Finances and Socio-Economic Survey 1996/97, Central Bank. Central Bank estimates are not strictly comparable with DCS estimates. Note : The DCS used a lower poverty line of Rs. 791 and a 20 percent higher poverty line of Rs. 950 while the CB used a lower poverty line of Rs. 860 and a 20 per cent higher poverty line of Rs. 1,032 per person per month, to estimate the incidence of consumption poverty. 29 TABLE 3 INCIDENCE OF POVERTY BY PROVINCE, 1995/1996 Province (Percent) Lower Poverty Line Higher Poverty Line Western 14 23 Central 28 43 Southern 26 41 North Werstern 34 52 North Central 31 47 Uva 37 55 Sabaragamuwa 32 47 Source : Household Income and Expenditure Survey 1995/96, Department of Census and Statistics. 30 TABLE 4 INCIDENCE OF POVERTY BY SECTOR, 1995/1996 (Percent) Lower Poverty Line Higher Poverty Line Sector Urban 15 25 Rural 27 41 Estate 25 45 Source : Household Income and Expenditure Survey 1995/96, Department of Census and Statistics. TABLE 5 PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF INCOME 1986/87 AND 1996/97 Income Group 1986/87 1996/97 Top 10% 41.1 37.3 Top 20% 56.8 53.0 Middle 40% 25.3 27.5 Bottom 50% 17.1 19.0 Bottom 10% 1.1 1.3 Source: Central Bank, Consumer Finance Surveys 31 Table 6 HOUSEHOLD SIZE AND COMPOSITION BY PERCENTAGE OF THE REFERENCE POVERTY LINE, 1990/91 Category % of the Population within the age group Household Size Under 10 10-15 15-60 Over 60 Ultra Poor 24.5 14.4 54.6 6.5 5.92 Poor 23.8 14.5 55.1 6.6 5.39 Non Poor 16.5 11.1 62.4 9.9 4.54 19.1 12.3 59.8 8.7 4.89 All Source: Economic Review, Colombo,1995. 32 TABLE 7 CRUDE BIRTH RATE, CRUDE DEATH RATE AND RATE OF NATURAL INCREASE, 1992 - 2000 Year Crude Birth Rate Crude Death Rate Rate of Natural Increase (%) 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000* 20.1 19.9 19.9 19.3 18.6 17.9 17.3 16.8 16.3 5.6 5.3 5.6 5.8 6.5 6.1 5.9 6.0 6.1 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 Source: Registrar General’s Department * Estimated 33 TABLE 8 CRUDE BIRTH RATE AND TOTAL FERTILITY RATE 1980 - 2000 Period Crude Birth Rate Total Fertility Rate 1980-1982 27.8 3.4 1982-1987 24.0 2.8 1988-1993 20.6 2.3 1995-2000 17.4 1.9 Source: Demographic and Health Surveys and Registrar Generals Department TABLE 9 INFANT MORTALITY RATE AND MATERNAL MORALITY RATIO 1981 - 1995 Period Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births) Maternal Ratio Mortality (per 100,000 live births) 1981-1985 28.0 40 1986-1990 20.4 40 1991-1995 17.1 27 Note : Computed from data of the Registrar General Department 34 TABLE 10 EXPECTATION OF LIFE AT BIRTH BY SEX, 1981 - 2000 Sex 1981 1991 2000* Total 69.9 72.9 73.8 Male 67.7 71.1 71.4 Female 72.1 74.8 76.1 Source: Department of Census and Statistics * Estimated TABLE 11 INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION TRENDS 1971 - 2000 Period Net Migration Migration Rate (per 000) 1971-1980 -46,539 -3.4 1981-1990 -43,031 -2.4 1991-2000* -23,530 -1.3 Source: Registrar General’s Department * Estimated 35 TABLE 12 GROWTH OF URBAN POPULATION, 1981-2005 Year Urban Population (000) Percent Urban 1981 3,192 21.5 1995 4,538 25.0 2000* 4,986 26.0 2025* 9,095 38.6 Source: Census of Population *Estimated TABLE 13 POPULATION COMPOSITION AND DEPENDENCY RATIOS, 1981 – 2020 Year 0-14 years 15-64 years 1981 1991 1995 2000 2010 2020 35.2 31.2 27.2 24.8 22.2 19.2 60.5 63.4 66.1 68.3 69.2 68.7 (per cent) 65 years Dependency Index & over Ratio Ageing 4.3 5.4 6.2 6.9 8.6 12.1 65.2 57.7 51.3 46.4 44.5 45.6 12.2 17.3 22.8 27.8 38.7 63.0 Source : Computed from Census data and Population Projections. 36 . TABLE 14 CONTRACEPTIVE PREVALENCE 1987 - 2000 1987 (Per cent) 1993 2000 Any Method 61.7 66.1 70.8 Any Modern Method 40.6 43.7 49.5 Modern Temporary 10.8 16.5 26.4 Modern Permanent 29.8 27.2 23.1 Any Traditional Method 21.1 22.4 21.3 Source: Demographic and Health Surveys , 1987,1993 & 2000. Excludes the Northern and Eastern Provinces. TABLE 15 YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT RATES 1992 AND 1997 Age Group Male 1992 Female Male 1997 Female Total Total 15-19 38.4 46.4 41.5 30.9 40.1 34.8 20-24 27.3 45.5 34.3 23.4 35.1 28.0 15-24 30.7 45.8 36.4 25.9 36.9 30.0 Source: Labour Force Surveys 1992 and 1997 37 Table 16 NUMBER OF REPORTED HIV AND AIDS CASES 1987 - 2001 Period HIV Male Female AIDS Male Female 1987-1984 89 34 38 9 1995-2001 163 119 59 26 Source : STD and AIDS Control Programme, Ministry of Health TABLE 17 GENDER RELATED DEVELOPMENT INDEX Country Rank Sri Lanka 90 Maldives 95 India 128 Pakistan 138 Bangladesh 140 Nepal 152 Bhutan 155 Source: Human Development Report, 1998 38 39